British Election

London fog

How Tony Blair, loony leftists and a sex scandal around a charismatic author turned the London mayor's race into a political-party nightmare.

This spring, London residents will choose a mayor who will have hitherto unheard-of authority. The vote will follow months of struggle for Prime Minister Tony Blair and other British political leaders. Ironically, the search for viable mayoral candidates has all but exhausted the very political parties that had hoped to gain power through the election.

London has had a lord mayor since the Middle Ages, but in modern times, it has been little more than a courtesy title, an annual reward for merchant philanthropists. The lord mayor’s nominal jurisdiction is only over the square mile in the center called the City of London.

So when Blair came up with the idea of executive mayors with real power for Britain’s larger cities, the only people who bridled were hard-line traditionalists. They objected that it was one more step down the slippery slope toward complete Americanization.

The political parties in Britain particularly loved the idea. A LaGuardia-Walker-Giuliani for London provided the opportunity to promote one of their own to greater glory — and maybe even tackle some of London’s chronic problems, such as traffic gridlock, lamentable public transportation and a failing police force. Party leaders enthusiastically began preparations for the first election to be held May 4, 2000.

But of the three effective parties, only the Liberal Democrats could agree on a candidate. They speedily nominated an unknown, Susan Kramer, who has stayed that way and will inevitably finish a poor third.

The Labor and Conservative parties, however, soon found themselves with splitting headaches, for more or less the same reason. Each had a charismatic front-runner whom their party machines did not want.

On your left, find Ken Livingstone, an unreconstructed far-out socialist. As leader of the last local London administration, Livingstone consistently embarrassed the Labor government with such radical gestures as inviting two leaders of the Irish Republic Army as official guests, long before they were welcome anywhere else in the United Kingdom.

But ordinary members of the Labor Party loved “Red Ken” for introducing cheap subway tickets and other populist measures. Many of them — perhaps a majority — prepared to vote for him. Blair, faced with the prospect of his great ideas being subverted by “the founder of the loony left,” as he called Livingstone, set about stopping him.

On your right, we have Jeffrey Archer, author of lurid bestselling novels, whose passion is politics. Archer has held a series of high-profile jobs under Conservative prime ministers Margaret Thatcher and John Major, culminating in a seat in the House of Lords. Never mind that Lord Archer’s career was littered with allegations of theft and fraud. In order to get into Oxford, he falsely claimed to have been at the University of California. In another gaffe, he walked out of a Toronto store with two unpaid-for suits, insisting he was looking for the shirt department. He also indulged in insider trading of television shares.

When it became obvious that the rank and file of London conservatives were prepared to ignore the unpleasant aroma around Archer in favor of his undoubted charm and electric crowd-pleasing, Tory Party leader William Hague bit the bullet. Smiling bravely, he announced that he was convinced that Archer was “a man of probity and integrity,” adding, “I am going to back him to the full.”

While Archer busied himself visiting malls, kissing babies and ordering for a millennium fancy dress ball a costume of Dick Whittington (the only lord mayor of whom anyone had ever heard), the Tories relished the spectacle of Labor desperately attempting to leaven democracy with the dictates of its leader: Blair set up a panel packed with his own people and gave it the power to veto candidates.

This transparent attempt to bar Livingstone upset the public. Even Blair’s own choice for mayor, veteran Frank Dobson, announced he would withdraw unless Livingstone was allowed to run. This gesture, however, may have sprung less from a sense of fairness than from the fear that, if barred, Livingstone would run as an Independent against him. If he had been less genteel, Dobson could have quoted LBJ’s celebrated preference about tents and pissing.

Meanwhile, the third Labor candidate, erstwhile theater and movie star Glenda Jackson, M.P., was completely upstaged.

As Hague, not hitherto known as a funny fellow, neatly put it to Blair across the floor of the House of Commons, “Why not split the job in two, with Frank Dobson as your day mayor and Ken Livingstone as your nightmare?”

Tory laughter stopped abruptly on Nov. 19 when the Murdoch tabloid, News of the World, presented Archer with a sworn statement by an old friend and the transcripts of three bugged telephone calls. They concerned a 13-year-old libel case in which the Daily Star was ordered to pay $750,000 in damages for suggesting that Archer had bedded a prostitute. Though he in fact admitted giving the woman $3,500 to go abroad, judge and jury believed him when he said he had been having dinner with friends on the night in question.

The new evidence came from a freelance television producer, one Ted Francis. Francis confessed that he had written to an attorney at Archer’s request falsely saying that they had dined together that night. He later received $18,000 in used notes from the author as backing for a TV series that was never made. In the calls, Francis had pretended that they had been found out, and Archer obligingly confirmed the fateful facts.

When Hague heard that the paper was telling all, he abruptly ordered Archer off the mayoral ticket. The Conservatives have gone back to the drawing board to find a new candidate.

Meanwhile, over at the Labor Party, the vetting panel reluctantly OK’d Livingstone’s candidacy. London members are preparing to vote between Livingstone, Dobson and Jackson. It looks ever more likely that the wrong candidate — from Blair’s point of view — will win.

But the nightmare is not over yet. With the forecast of a new far-left and a powerful “alternative power base” being created, it may just be starting.

Elkan Allan is a longtime British journalist and TV producer.

Why the GOP should be worried about England

The British government announced huge spending cuts and economic growth promptly went into decline

Speaker of the House John Boehner, R-Ohio, and U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron

Here’s a radical suggestion for how President Obama should kick off his State of the Union speech: Why not point out today’s news from the United Kingdom — a surprising fourth quarter decline in GDP — and argue that the same dire fate might await the U.S. if Republicans succeed in their dream of sharply slashing the federal budget this year?

Here’s the back story. Wasting no time, the new coalition U.K. government led by Prime Minister David Cameron, made a dramatic package of government spending cuts its first order of business. Many U.S. conservatives have looked with great longing at the austerity surge. The numbers are staggering — an average 19 percent cut for all government departments, resulting in half a million public sector layoffs.

And look! Just as the Keynesians predicted, the economy immediately slumped, apparently proving that the last thing a government should do in a weak economic climate is suddenly kick the legs out of the demand side of the economy. It could happen here, Obama should argue! It’s still too soon, and the U.S. economy is too fragile, to make austerity the watchword of the day.

It would be a risky gambit, to be sure. Not only is the appetite for a full-throated defense of fiscal stimulus virtually nonexistent among the American electorate, but there isn’t even any certainty that Britain’s woes can already be attributed to the austerity drive. Some commentators are blaming a bad winter for depressed construction activity. Others are noting that the bulk of the government cuts have yet to kick in, so the causal connection is thin.

But heck, if Republicans can already claim that their midterm election victory should get credit for recent signs of economic growth, than surely Democrats have every right to at least flash a caution light. The GOP has made its position clear — just hours before the State of the Union address, the House passed a resolution calling for an immediate return to 2008 spending levels, which, if enacted, could be a sucker punch into the gut of an economy just off the deathbed.

Of course, Obama most likely won’t mention the U.K.’s travails, as he tries to portray himself as a fiscal conservative who still wants to build high-speed rail and boost education spending. But the point at which all this will really get interesting is when the data start to come in on the next U.K. fiscal quarter. Because the backdrop to those numbers could quite likely be a fierce political fight over extending the debt ceiling in the U.S. It’s hard to see the likes of John Boehner and Eric Cantor trimming their sails because of anything that might happen overseas, but if the U.K. slips into full-on recession right in the middle of a swing to austerity, that’s going to make the politics of spending cuts in the U.S. a lot more interesting.

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Andrew Leonard

Andrew Leonard is a staff writer at Salon. On Twitter, @koxinga21.

U.K. election update: Tory, Lib Dem coalition back on track? (Update: Brown resigns, Cameron new PM)

The details are still fuzzy (and complicated) but Prime Minister Gordon Brown may step down tonight

Britain's Prime Minister Gordon Brown (R) stands with Conservative Party leader David Cameron and Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg during a Victory in Europe (VE) day ceremony in central London May 8, 2010. Clegg sought backing from senior party members on Saturday for a possible deal with the Conservatives after an election in which no party won an outright majority. The centre-right Conservatives under Cameron won the most parliamentary seats in Thursday's election but need the support of other parties to form a stable government that can tackle a record budget deficit. REUTERS/Luke Macgregor (BRITAIN - Tags: POLITICS ELECTIONS IMAGES OF THE DAY ANNIVERSARY)(Credit: Reuters)

Talks between the UK’s Labour Party and the Liberal Democrats have collapsed, various sources are reporting. The Evening Standard says Labor leader and Prime Minister Gordon Brown will resign tonight. The LibDems are supposedly set to make a governing pact with the Tories, which would make Conservative Party leader David Cameron Britain’s new Prime Minister.

After the recent national election, Labour holds 258 seats, the Tories have 306, and the Lib Dems hold 57 seats. A Tory/LibDem coalition could form a majority government, but Labour and the LibDems would’ve needed local nationalist and socialist parties to join a coalition.

The Lib Dems may not form a full-blown coalition with the Tories. Another strong possibility is something called “confidence and supply,” which forms a minority government that isn’t in constant danger of a vote of no confidence dissolving the government.

You can follow BBC news live here.

And in case you want to know just how goofy Parliamentary democracy can get, make sure to read this Guardian article, which begins by inexpertly translating a slip of paper that Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg made some notes on and concludes by saying a Lib Dem/Labour pact was impossible because of bad body language by cranky Labour MPs.

Update: And Gordon Brown has stepped down, ending 13 years of New Labour rule in the UK. Brown’s driving to Buckingham Palace to formally resign. David Cameron will meet the Queen soon afterward to be appointed PM.

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

The Daily Show on Britain’s indecisive election

"Cream is going unclotted! Tea is being taken at 2:15!"

Apparently, if the British parties can’t hash something out by next week, the Queen will appoint her corgi, Sir Winston Furchill, as prime minister. After all, they’re not about to put the cat, Margaret Scratcher, in charge.

The Daily Show With Jon Stewart Mon – Thurs 11p / 10c
Clustershag to 10 Downing – Hung Parliament
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Gabriel Winant is a graduate student in American history at Yale.

Prime Minister Gordon Brown steps down, U.K. still has no government

The Labour Party leader sacrifices his job to create a "progressive majority" government with the Lib Dems

Britain's Prime Minister Gordon Brown delivers a statement outside his official residence of 10 Downing Street in London May 10, 2010. The Liberal Democrats want to hold formal talks with the ruling Labour party over forming a new government, British Prime Minister Gordon Brown said, adding he would step aside by later this year. "(Lib Dem leader) Mr Clegg has just informed me that while he intends to continue his dialogue that he has begun with the Conservatives, he now wishes also to take forward formal discussions with the Labour party," he told reporters. REUTERS/Andrew Winning (BRITAIN - Tags: ELECTIONS POLITICS BUSINESS)(Credit: Reuters)

Gordon Brown, the intensely unlikable soon-to-be-former prime minster of the U.K., just announced that he will step down as the leader of the Labour Party.

Brown’s move looks like an attempt to stop the Liberal Democrats from forming a coalition government with the Conservatives, who won the most seats in last Thursday’s national elections, but who didn’t win enough to form a government. No one’s sure how well the Lib Dem/Tory negotiations are going; some Tories say they’re going well, but Tory right-winger Iain Duncan-Smith said today that the Tories are uninterested in electoral reform, a Lib Dem priority that would end “first-past-the-post” elections and help third parties pick up more seats in Parliament.

According to the Guardian:

Brown is proposing a “progressive” government, comprising Labour, the Lib Dems, and presumably the SNP, Plaid Cymru, the SDLP and the Alliance. Electoral reform would be a priority.

And it’s been revealed that Labour has been having semi-secret meetings with the Lib Dems already, which will probably not help those Tory negotiations.

So! After the so-called “Americanisation” of the recent British elections, including live televised debates between the three party leaders for the first time in British history, it’s now entirely possible that the next prime minister won’t be any of those three people.

Amusingly, the BBC asked a “bookmaker” to predict the next Labour leader, who very well might be prime minister of the U.K.:

Bookmaker William Hill has David Miliband odds-on favourite – at 4/7 – to be the next Labour leader. Also on offer: Alistair Darling at 8/1, Alan Johnson at 10/1, Ed Miliband at 11/1 and Ed Balls at 12/1.

David Miliband is the 44-year-old foreign secretary. He’s the son of Marxist theorist Ralph Miliband. Ed is his brother (his support runs to the left of David’s). Darling is the chancellor of the exchequer. Johnson is the home secretary. Ed Balls, a longtime Brown advisor, is the longtime secretary of state for children, schools, and families. He also has no shot at becoming the prime minister, because, come on, his name is “Ed Balls.”

But a new leader most likely wouldn’t be selected until September, which means the Liberal Democrats would have to join a coalition with the incredibly unpopular Brown as prime minister for the time being, followed by someone the nation didn’t “vote for.”

You can listen to Brown’s statement here, and right now the BBC is live streaming its news broadcast here.

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

Mark Penn is wrong about literally everything

The Pollster Grifter says Nick Clegg's victory will show the power of political independence (and then Nick lost)

Mark Penn

In addition to being a highly paid charlatan, Pollster Grifter Mark Penn is epically, heroically wrong about everything.

Yesterday, as British voters were heading to the polls, he wrote a wonderful column for the Washington Post. The column is a love letter to the legendary Independent Voter. Penn’s entire argument is predicated on the success of Britain’s Nick Clegg, the leader of the Liberal-Democrat party. Penn says the inevitable, stunning success of that third party will definitively prove that Mark Penn is always, always right when he says that America is full of independents who think about things the same way that Mark Penn does:

Thursday’s elections in Britain could be a harbinger of what is likely to come to America in the not-too-distant future: new movements and even parties that shake up the political system. Cleggmania shows that even the most tradition-bound electoral systems are facing the pressures of rapid change made possible by modern communications. These movements may not win out of the gate, but they will become significant political factors.

And:

Nick Clegg is a dynamic leader who was able to increase support for his Liberal Democrats through the country’s first televised debates. And he set off a firestorm.

And after that firestorm, everyone went back to voting for either the Tories or Labour. Nick Clegg’s Liberal-Democrats (whose platform is basically the Penn ideal of what American Democrats should look like: socially liberal and fiscally capital-L Liberal) actually suffered a net loss of five seats in the UK’s general election.

Later on, Penn moves to the traditional “pox on both houses” portion of the monthly call for a Third Way:

Today, strong reassertions of ideological extremes are taking place in the Democratic and Republican parties; witness conservative and liberal primary challenges arising against incumbents. While the country is moving to the center and record numbers are registering as independents, the Republicans are effectively being driven, and pressured, by Sarah Palin, and the Democrats by MoveOn.org.

Several factors could trigger the growth of these kinds of movements here. The Supreme Court has made it easier to launch massive paid political advertising campaigns; the Internet has made it possible to mobilize millions of voters quickly. From Connecticut to Pennsylvania to Florida to Utah, the pattern is emerging that when the left or right extremes mount a primary challenge, the incumbent can move outside the party — and win. More and more candidates, especially self-funders, are considering the independent option

This is a mantra for the sort of people who write columns in the Washington Post. “Both parties,” we are always told, are controlled by the extremist fringes. America is full of moderates who fall precisely in the middle of those two parties, ideologically.

That’s absurd. There’s party polarization, but that doesn’t mean there’s an extreme-right party and an extreme-left party. You take a look at the roll call vote on the Brown-Kaufman SAFE Banking Amendment and tell me there’s a left-wing party battling a right-wing party.

The Republican Party has proven that in a two-party state, you can let the ideological fringe take over and still win elections about 50 percent of the time. The Democrats have proven that there’s no consistent electoral reward for giving in to the mushy middle.

As Jon Chait pointed out, these hordes of socially liberal, fiscally conservative independent voters are entirely the fantasies of the Washington elite, which is largely made up of wealthy, educated people who do hold those rare views. (Basically the vast majority of these moderate pundits are old-fashioned New England Republicans. And D.C. must have more libertarians per capita than a Rush concert.) A shitload more Americans, in fact, would love to break up the banks and soak the rich and and get free healthcare from the government. But they’re uncomfortable with gay marriage.

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

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