Jeb Bush

Carl Hiaasen

There are some questions even the author of "Sick Puppy" can't be asked.

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Carl Hiaasen

I have it in my head to ask Carl Hiaasen, “Did you make up the word ‘fellatrixes,’ or is it a common Florida term?” The word appears in his new comic-thriller “Sick Puppy.” It designates a woman who performs “world-class” fellatio. But Hiaasen and I are lunching at the Stanhope Hotel, across the street from the Metropolitan Museum of Art in Manhattan. The atmosphere is too refined to discuss “fellatrixes.” Instead I ask this native son of Florida if there is a term to describe native sons of Florida.

“Endangered species,” Hiaasen answers. “The bumper stickers have the state of Florida on them and the word ‘native.’ That’s the badge of pride.” Does he have one? “No. I’m not a big bumper-sticker guy.”

Figures. Carl Hiaasen seems as classy as the Stanhope. He is slender and refined, yet you can imagine him doing something like yanking a revolver out of his jacket and shooting up the ceiling as he drinks vodka straight out of a bottle. Hiaasen seems like the wayward son of old Newport, R.I., money, yet he is a second-generation child of Fort Lauderdale. His grandfather was born at the turn of the last century in a godforsaken place called Devil’s Lake, N.D. “He’d just come over from Norway,” Hiaasen informs me. “He didn’t learn to speak English until he was 14. It was a Norwegian farming community. Sod houses. The whole routine. First he was a preacher, then he went to law school. One of his professors asked him to come down and work for him in Florida. My grandfather was thrilled to get away from cold winters. He’d almost died in a blizzard when he was a young boy. He packed up and started the first law practice in Fort Lauderdale in 1922. At that time it was 1,000 people. Now, of course, there’s millions and millions.”

Hiaasen sips some coffee. “They did a survey before Hurricane Andrew hit in ’92. At that time more than 70 percent of the people living in South Florida had never been through a hurricane. They moved to a place that back in the 1940s was getting hit two or three times a year by hurricanes. Between Palm Beach and the Keys there’s probably 4 and a half million people living on the Gold Coast, which is a bull’s-eye in terms of tropical storms. They don’t know that. They don’t care.”

A Stanhope waiter slides up for our order. It’s noon. Still early for lunch. The place is empty. Subdued Fifth Avenue winter light flows in through sheer curtains. The emptiness only adds to the civilized feel somehow. Hiaasen orders salmon. That’s a civilized thing to eat. I order it as well.

Now, I was raised in Southern California — the onetime capital of American noir. But no longer. Florida has stolen noir’s mantle. Hiaasen agrees. “Very strange how it’s evolved. John D. MacDonald saw the shit storm coming. His books would have these great Travis McGee monologues about what was going wrong with Florida, long before it was fashionable to be worried about what was going wrong with the state.”

I’m so glad he mentioned John D. MacDonald. He was a Floridian pulp god. He seems to be out of favor today, but MacDonald’s books are dynamite. “Did you ever meet him?” I ask Hiaasen.

“For my first novel, ‘Tourist Season,’ he sent me a very nice note. It was flattering. Unsolicited. Before I could meet him, he died.” Hiaasen pauses. “One time I sat next to him at a Jimmy Buffett concert and I was afraid to introduce myself.”

“You’re kidding!”

Hiaasen gives a sheepish smile. “No. I was too shy to introduce myself. MacDonald was there with his wife.”

“Was he digging the music?”

“Oh yes. Very much. He was a very cool guy. But even then he was the only one.”

Then Hiaasen riffs about his state. “The more Florida filled up with people, the weirder it got. The weirder the headlines got. Then ‘Dutch’ Leonard went down there and did ‘La Brava,’ which is probably the best book ever written about South Beach before South Beach hit it big. An incredible book. Leonard saw the potential.” He pauses. “I only write about Florida because that was where I was born. I don’t have a choice. That’s my reason. It just attracts a lot of good writers.”

“But in your heart, don’t you feel, Get out of my territory?” I ask.

“No,” he says. “I don’t have a choice. My work at the newspaper is so much fuel to burn. I was on the investigation team at the [Miami] Herald. And that particular kind of newspaper work, you can go months without writing. You’re up to your ass in files. You’re putting together these big projects, but you’re not writing every day. If you like to write, at the end of the day you’re gnawing on your fingernails. I wrote because I needed to write.”

Our fish arrives. As we anoint it with squeezed citrus I bring up an old TV show: “Florida really became the capital of noir with ‘Miami Vice.’”

“That had a lot to do with it,” he agrees. “Which is funny because the show really was a cartoon. Every year I’d do an end-of-the-season body count on ‘Miami Vice.’ It was hilarious the number of people who’d die on that show. It’s still big in Europe.” He then tells how the titles of his first books were changed when they were translated to German. “The name ‘Tourist Season’ didn’t mean anything to them. Another one was called ‘Double Whammy.’ And ‘Skin Tight.’ They changed everything. One was ‘Miami Murder.’ The other was ‘Miami Death.’ And the other was something like — ‘Miami Gangsters.’” He gives a good laugh. “Everyone has a blazing gun on the cover. Nothing to do with the book. Very funny.”

I eat some fish. It’s almost tasteless. But it seems somehow like the height of civilization. Thinking of such things, I start slamming Key West.

“Key West,” Hiaasen says, rolling his eyes. He tells me the Russian mafia run some of the T-shirt stores on Duvall Street. “Key West trades in on the name ‘Hemingway,’” he says. “You can’t take a leak without seeing Hemingway this and Hemingway that. And the irony is, if Hemingway were alive today he’d take a blowtorch to Duvall Street.”

“Is there any kind of literary community in Florida?” I ask.

“In terms of location or spiritual community?” he asks back.

“A hierarchy.”

Hiaasen laughs. “I live on Islamorada, which is halfway between Miami and Key West. I can tell you there’s no literati there. It’s a fishing community. If I was a Miami city person I would be plugged into the literary hierarchy. There are a lot of people writing books there. A lot of people writing about the Cuban experience — which is good because it’s something the rest of us are completely unqualified to write about.”

“You’re not the first Floridian I’ve lunched with,” I say. “I had lunch with big deal lawyer Roy Black, who told me Miami was the capital of Latin America.”

Hiaasen nods. “Look at what’s happened in the papers the last couple of weeks. This 6-year-old kid. Unbelievable.” I instantly know he means the Cuban kid whose mother drowned smuggling him to Florida. “Their idea to get public sympathy for this child’s cause is to block intersections,” Hiaasen says. “Someone is going to get killed over this. It’s insanity.”

We continue eating our innocuous fish and discuss his career as a columnist vs. his novels. “It’s hard to explain,” he says. “The books are wonderful. They stick around and the columns are in the bird cage in a couple days. [No they aren't! Hiaasen's columns have been recently collected in "Kick Ass."] But in terms of immediate impact, when the juices are running the hottest and the public attention is the most intense, the columns are wonderful.”

He tells me the Cuban kid is a good example. “A book about this case started today wouldn’t be out for a year and half. A column can be out the next day. You can say, ‘Stop this madness. Get this boy back to his father.’ You can get in the paper. And people are talking about you. Screaming about you on talk radio. But in the middle of the fray, writing a novel is a much different muscle to be exercised. Writing-wise it’s more challenging. More absorbing. A column is more of an extravagance. Not a duty, but something I feel a real strong moral obligation to do.” He pauses. “If I stood at a rally and said — as some Cubans did — maybe this boy’s father should be given some consideration, I’d be booed. Jeered. Chased. And this has been going on for 15 years. Dissension is not tolerated by the people who fled Fidel Castro in the name of tolerance.”

“Have you been stalked by Cubans?” I ask.

“No,” Hiaasen answers. “You know why? Because I’m not Cuban myself. I remember walking into the newsroom. There was a young Hispanic reporter in tears at her desk. She’d just had a death threat for the most innocuous story imaginable. For daring to suggest that there are two sides to every issue.”

“Are there two sides to ‘Sparky’?” I ask, referring to Florida’s woefully inept electric chair.

He smiles. “Finally Jeb [the governor] decided Sparky wasn’t good policy. All it takes is a couple guys’ heads to explode and those Republicans go running for cover. We’re like one of the last states in the union to have an electric chair and we don’t have one that works. After the last guy got juiced, Jeb Bush’s cavalier comment was, ‘It’s just a nosebleed.’ He wants to look tough on crime, but lethal injection isn’t tough enough. Lethal injection is too nice a way to kill someone.”

I laugh. I move my fork toward my fish. Then I just set it back down. Do I really want to eat this? Sure. I take another forkful. Then I ask, “‘Sick Puppy’s’ trip is comic eco-noir. Are you an ecologist with a big E? Or do you just become one after living in Florida?”

“I just grew up feeling this way,” Hiaasen answers. “It’s not saving a tree for the sake of saving a tree. If you save enough trees, you stop a lot of the graft and criminal behavior going on between politicians. They’re selling their vote for what everyone wants — a piece of the land. For that waterfront or lake front or estuary. What ‘Sick Puppy’ is about is that they can get it as long as they have these lobbyists. It’s perfectly legal.” He takes a bite of his fish.

“The thing down in Florida is you can get in your car and drive by the carnage. See the bulldozers fill in the estuary. I just always wanted to put one of these bastards into a book and have terrible things happen to him.” He shakes his head and smiles. “I’m still amazed that readers get so plugged in to my books even though they’re set in Florida. All these folks have had the same experience. Maybe they had their kid in their car and wanted to show something from their own childhood, a pond or a lake, and it was gone. It was a Wal-Mart. There is a unique and unforgettable feeling you get in the pit of your stomach when you turn a corner and that place is not there. And that’s what they say when they write, ‘We’re trying to save Lake So-and-So. They’re trying to put in a shopping mall …’” He pauses. “I’m thinking there are just so many good people who are just human beings who have a wonderful memory of the way something was.”

Let me jump outside the narration of this lunch for a moment. A week or so later after we eat fish, ‘Sick Puppy’ hits the New York Times bestseller list. My immediate thought is, Good for Hiaasen.

This is a novel reaction for me. In my career, I’ve interviewed probably 50 novelists, and two dozen of them wrote that curious animal known as the “bestseller.” I won’t mention their names, but Hiaasen is the first writer whose marketplace success makes me feel good. Then I wonder why. He was neither arrogant nor humble. Hiaasen just was. And what he wasn’t was New York cynical. New York world-weary. Then I realize Hiaasen is probably one of those peculiar animals called “good people.” Or maybe just a typical Floridian?

We end lunch with espresso and Hollywood. We talk of Tinsel Town and that god-awful movie Demi Moore made out of Hiaasen’s “Strip Tease.” But there is no “Day of the Locust” in Hiaasen’s vision of Hollywood. He has nothing but thoughtful enthusiasm.

“I always tell people, ‘What’s the worst thing that can happen to a writer who has a not-so-perfect movie made out of one of their books?’” Hiaasen says. “If that’s the worst thing that ever happened to you, you’ve had a pretty damn good career.” He shakes his head. “Sometimes it works out and sometimes it doesn’t. I had fun. The check cleared. The script wasn’t what I would have written, but the book had problems too. My books are not plotted to warm the cockles of a screenwriter’s heart. There are a lot of subplots. Jumping around. They’re really not star vehicles. I spend a lot of time on characters that to Hollywood must seem like minor characters. But they interest me. And if they interest me, I want to know about them. It’s my book. When it lands in front of a screenwriter, they have to turn it into three acts. Make sense out of it. At the same time keep the humor, which is not slapstick. They can put on the screen a line or moment that is funny, but unless you have a narrator on the screen it’s hard to capture the tone.”

He then says something I never thought I’d hear a bestselling novelist admit. “People always say, ‘God, screenwriters make so much money.’ My response is, ‘They earn it.’” But Hiaasen is not some goody-goody sap: “Check your pride at the door, is what I always say. Hollywood will always tell you that what you wrote is the best thing they’ve ever read. And as soon as you’re out the door, they’re on the phone to the guy they’re going to get to rewrite it.”

We’re both done eating. This has been the most subliminal meal I’ve eaten in a long time. I am no longer hungry. But I’m not really full. If Hiaasen weren’t so interesting I’d be carping about Stanhope culinary ennui. As we leave, Hiaasen remarks that my town, New York, “is the greatest city in the world.” Before he’s chauffeured to a television studio for an interview he tells me, “I feel much more comfortable here than in some places in Florida.”

Where in Florida would Hiaasen not feel comfortable, I wonder. The Everglades? Disneyland? Then I know. A Wal-Mart built on a dredged wetland. Hiaasen’s limo disappears up Fifth Avenue. I bet the word “fellatrixes” really exists.

David Bowman is the author of the novel "Bunny Modern" and the nonfiction book "This Must Be the Place: The Adventures of the Talking Heads in the 20th Century."

The silly 2016 speculation game

It may be impossible to make any serious predictions about a far-off race, but that has never stopped a pundit

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The silly 2016 speculation game (Credit: AP/Shutterstock/Salon)

Being that it’s still March 2012 and we have no way of knowing who will actually be president by the end of January 2013 (besides “not Ron Paul,” obviously), it would seem to be a bit premature to speculate as to how the 2016 presidential race will shake out. And yet political reporters, finally bored perhaps with the inevitable Republican nomination of Mitt Romney, are already spewing forth predictions. Chris Cillizza at the Washington Post has even created a “Sweet 2016″ bracket. 

The most important lesson of terrible premature presidential-campaign speculation is that nearly everyone who engages in it will be terribly, hilariously wrong. It doesn’t matter if you’re a complete buffoon, like Dick Morris, author of the 2007 classic “Condi vs. Hillary: The Next Great Presidential Race,” or someone fairly serious and “savvy,” like New York Times politics reporter Matt Bai, who posited current nobody Mark Warner as the future of the party in a 2006 Times magazine cover story now best (if barely) remembered for its altered and unflattering photo of the subject.

There will be events no one could’ve predicted — like “obvious” future Republican presidential contender George Allen using an obscure racial slur on camera, or John Edwards being generally John Edwards — that destroy promising careers in an instant.

And there is also the plain fact that the sort of politicians that Washington-based reporters and pundits and political operatives like, and the sort of politicians they think “voters” would like, are often people who have no appeal for anyone outside of their districts or the Beltway. (Like Evan Bayh. Jon Huntsman. And Mitch Daniels, probably.)

Some people turn out to be awful at campaigning: Like Wesley Clark, the general who was going to sweep a troop-worshiping country off its feet and away from George W. Bush, until it turned out that he did not blink like a human. Or Rick Perry, who, it turned out, seems too dumb to dress himself when asked simple questions on television.

There are times when this sort of long-range forecasting is easy until you overthink it: John McCain was the logical 2008 front-runner the moment he addressed the 2004 Republican convention, until you started daydreaming about Fred Thompson’s seductive drawl. Al Gore was pretty obviously going to be the Democratic nominee in 2000, and boredom with his inevitability might’ve had a hand in how the political press helped destroy him that year.

A hell of a lot will obviously depend on whether or not Barack Obama wins reelection. If he loses, Democrats might suddenly find white candidates from the West or the South more attractive. If he wins, we might have to take Joe Biden semi-seriously for a few unlikely news cycles. If Obama ends a second term as popular as Clinton, someone associated with his administration is certainly more likely to be nominated than if Obama’s 2015 numbers look more like Bush’s in 2007.

So let’s get to the predictions, shall we? According to Cillizza, the “number one seed” for 2016 is New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo. (Mark Warner is still on the shortlist, by the way. His time will come!)

Cuomo is the reasonably popular governor of a very populous state. He’s thus far managed to balance liberal base-pleasing deeds (gay marriage!) with “moderate” newspaper editorial-board pleasing things (going after the pensions of public employees!). But we’re still talking about a Northeast liberal (or “liberal”) — from New York! — who’s living with but not currently married to a celebrity television cook who makes awful-looking garbage food out of prepackaged garbage food. The Democratic Party might not want to chance another blatantly culturally urban candidate. (I mean urban in the literal sense, and not as weird racial code.) Plus he’s in the honeymoon portion of his governorship, and that job has utterly destroyed its last two holders.

Plus, Cuomo looks like he’s on pace to use up much of the goodwill he built up with liberals after signing gay marriage into law. (So far there’s been his apparent lack of interest in transit, signing awful gerrymandered legislative and congressional district lines, and his property tax cap.)

Joe Biden has run for president twice and never come remotely close to winning a single primary. He’ll be 74 in 2016. As Steve Kornacki already pointed out, Republicans are much more likely than Democrats to nominate 70-somethings. He’s also a gaffe-prone goofball whose appeal is that he’s a ridiculous character. I would not put a lot of InTrade money on Joe Biden winning the Democratic nomination in 2016.

Hillary Clinton is a bit younger than Biden, and a lot more serious than Biden. But does she still want to be president? Who knows. (Anyone who says they know is lying.) And if she runs in 2016, does she hire the same asinine campaign team that lost her the nomination in 2008?

After those three, we’re already essentially in “who?” territory with the Democrats. Not to say that someone no one has heard of now won’t be the nominee — with Democrats, you may be more likely to get a relative unknown than with Republicans — but we can’t know which governors or senators will turn out to be Barack Obama (or even John Edwards) and which ones will turn out to be… well, Mark Warner.

And theoretically there would be more women vying for the nomination than just Hillary Clinton. Cillizza posits New York Sen. Kristen Gillibrand — a long shot, in my estimation — and senatorial hopeful Elizabeth Warren, who, if she loses her election, would surely be out of the running, and if she wins, would be … a liberal senator from Massachusetts. So, I dunno, Amy Klobuchar? Sadly, four of the current six female governors are Republicans. The two Democrats are North Carolina’s Bev Purdue, who is currently polling poorly enough that she’s announced that she won’t seek reelection, and Washington’s Christine Gregoire, who seems cool, so let’s just put her on the fantasy shortlist. (Oh, I guess the Times already did.)

But you see where we are, at this point: Randomly tossing out names. It’s like predicting the 2016 NFL Draft. Some of these kids are still in high school!

As for Republicans: If Mitt Romney wins the election, there’s the candidate, fun speculation time done. (Unless Newt and Ron Paul mount a primary challenge?!?) If he loses, the party likely learns the lesson it always learns and lurches to the right for a while, and your front-runner in that case (assuming he doesn’t blow up the party at the convention, I guess?) is Rick Santorum. I made this point already and Dave Weigel concurred. He’s a “true conservative” and he looks like he’ll “come in second” this year, which are both substantial advantages in the Republican race.

Maybe it’s Marco Rubio if Romney makes him the running mate, but the GOP does not often nominate losing running mates, because why would you?

Is Paul Ryan, who frantically introduces numbers-laden fake-serious budgets every year, the future of the party? I happen to think he’s basically a bland weenie who only excites people predisposed to thrill to rich-on-poor economic warefare, but a not insubstantial portion of the Republican Party “elite” seems to like that sort of thing. Mitch Daniels is somehow even less electrifying, but as a governor he has a better shot than Rep. Ryan. And Santorum still seems to have a massive advantage over them all.

(Oh, what about Chris Christie? Yes, well, he’d certainly be fun but he is pretty moderate for the national Republican Party, even if he masks it by being an obnoxious, belligerent bully. And he is woefully unprepared to protect us from CREEPING SHARIAH.)

One guy changes this calculus, obviously: Jeb Bush, because the Bush name exerts some sort of weird hypnotic power over the Republican Party, and they are often forced to do their bidding, even when, afterward, they all regret it. I like to imagine that the nation as a whole has decided that it’s done with Bushes forever, but that is pretty naive. I mean, Nixon got elected twice. Jeb Bush has not actually held office in a while — by 2016 he’ll have been a regular private citizen for nearly a decade — and it’s possible the family has decided to wait for George P. Bush to come of age before reasserting their claim over the White House (oh man, guys, he just turned 35).

The sick need to treat politics like it’s fantasy baseball ensures that there’s absolutely nothing anyone can do to make people not wildly speculate as to what will happen years after an election that is still months away, so I just encourage you to be sensible and responsible about it. (Like, it won’t be Rand Paul.)

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

Jeb Bush: I guess I endorse the guy who will get the nomination

Months after the endorsement would've been newsworthy, the least embarrassing Bush announces his support

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Jeb Bush: I guess I endorse the guy who will get the nominationMitt Romney and Jeb Bush(Credit: AP/Steve Senne/Wilfredo Lee)

Jeb Bush, the son of George Herbert Walker Bush who has likely done the least to warrant being jailed, has endorsed Mitt Romney, the likely Republican nominee for president.

Bush made a point of not endorsing Romney before the Florida primary, months ago, because, like many other mainstream Republicans, he was still hoping that someone better would come along. There was never any real chance that Jeb Bush was going to endorse Newt Gingrich or Ron Paul, so waiting this long really just hammers home that Bush was hoping someone else would make a strong showing. (Jeb was also that potential “someone better” for a number of Republican pundits and functionaries, but he declined to run, because it’ll probably take another couple of years for Americans as a whole to forget how horrible everything gets when you elect a Bush president.) But Santorum is sort of a nut and has no shot at winning the nomination, so let’s just end this horrible nightmare.

Here is the very belated and perfunctory endorsement statement:

Congratulations to Governor Mitt Romney on his win last night and to all the candidates for a hard fought, thoughtful debate and primary season.

Primary elections have been held in 34 states, and now is the time for Republicans to unite behind Governor Romney and take our message of fiscal conservatism and job creation to all voters this fall.

I am endorsing Mitt Romney for our party’s nomination. We face huge challenges, and we need a leader who understands the economy, recognizes more government regulation is not the answer, believes in entrepreneurial capitalism and works to ensure that all Americans have the opportunity to succeed.

Now is the time to just give up on finding a good properly conservative candidate who is also electable and acceptable to the Republican Party’s rich donor base and make the best of this Romney thing.

Romney celebrated the endorsement by having a major campaign aide say something unbelievably stupid on television.

(Oh, fun fact from Dave Weigel: Guess who signed Florida’s insane “stand your ground” legislation into law?)

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

GOP elites: We hate our candidates!

Republican insiders wish for an imaginary war hero governor with independent appeal to run in 2012

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GOP elites: We hate our candidates!Donald Trump, Tim Pawlenty, Michele Bachmann

Politico has a shocker: No one in the Republican Party particularly likes any of their candidates for president. Sure, there’s plenty of time between now and 2012, but no one exciting is even testing the waters. Where is Ronald Reagan? Oh, right, he is dead.

Current candidates include corpulent lobbyist Haley Barbour, superhumanly uninteresting former Gov. Tim Pawlenty, wingnut mascot Michele Bachmann, world’s most obvious panderer and Obamacare inventor Mitt Romney, washed-up serial adulterer Newt Gingrich, and the usual assortment of fringe characters, pests and unelectable voices of reason.

Washington insiders are not thrilled with this gang:

Another, more subtle indicator of the congressional GOP’s heartburn over the looming presidential campaign can be detected in the quips about some of the prospective candidates who are soaking up media attention.

“Well, I thought everybody had rallied around [Rep.] Michele Bachmann — that was my sense,” deadpanned [Rep. David] Dreier when asked about where his fellow House Republicans stand on the presidential race.

Ha. Zing? That’s going to make for an awkward chat in the cloakroom.

These establishment Republicans would like, say, David Petraeus to run. Unfortunately, he keeps saying he won’t. But the guy fights wars and wears a uniform, which makes him automatically super-qualified to be president in the imaginations of various doughy old Republicans, much like Colin Powell was, long ago.

If the general won’t run (and he won’t) these gentlemen would also settle for Chris Christie, the YouTube viral video star, or maybe Jeb Bush, who is a Bush. Or Mitch Daniels!

Not mentioned by these insiders: Christie is just as gimmicky and grating as Trump. Jeb Bush isn’t going to waste his run on a fight against an incumbent. And Mitch Daniels is, secretly, no more exciting than Tim Pawlenty.

Mitt Romney is as good as it’s going to get for the GOP this cycle, and the sooner they get over themselves and embrace him the better off they’ll be. Or keep complaining, I’m fine either way.

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

Karl Rove is not scared of Sarah Palin

He and his lobbyist girlfriend are gearing up for 2012

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Karl Rove is not scared of Sarah PalinKarl Rove, contributor for Fox News takes part in a panel discussion at the Fox TV network summer press tour in Beverly Hills, California July 14, 2008. Rove was previously U.S. President George W. Bush's closest aide. REUTERS/Fred Prouser (UNITED STATES)(Credit: © Fred Prouser / Reuters)

Karl Rove is a relentless self-promoter and consummate campaign dirty trickster who’s never been quite as brilliant as he wants everyone to think he is. (You don’t have to be “brilliant” to win elections when you’re able to raise unlimited funds and willing to just be dirty as hell.) He is the subject of a New York Magazine profile about his role in the post-Bush Republican party. He is still helping Republicans win elections, by raising a lot of money.

Fun fact: Rove, who divorced his wife of 24 years in 2009, is now openly dating lobbyist Karen Johnson. Johnson sat on Bush’s Business Council when he was governor of Texas, and worked for his transition team in 2000, which helped her lobbying business immensely. Rove and Johnson have been rumored to be having an affair for years. The former incarnation of Radar Magazine reported the rumor in 2005. In 2008 Radar claimed that Johnson’s family was urging her to leave Rove and settle down with a ranch foreman named (no joke) Rhett Hard. Looks like that is no longer necessary.

Johnson’s business partner is of course Katharine Armstrong, the owner of the ranch where Dick Cheney shot Harry Whittington in the face. (This ranch is also where Rove spends a lot of time hanging out with wealthy GOP donors.)

Ok, so, what else do we learn about Rove? He still thinks he’s secretly a policy wonk, he nearly went broke during his legal troubles and divorce, he got his Fox job by just calling up his good friend Roger Ailes and saying he needed cash (“a Fox spokesperson says that Ailes doesn’t recall that version of events”), and Fox pays him much less than they pay Palin. He claims there is no such thing as the “Republican establishment” that meets in backrooms to plot out the future of the party and anoint candidates, but also this happened:

Last spring, Rove was ready to don the crown. He gathered the old tribes together and effectively anointed himself their leader, holding a breakfast at his house in D.C. with eighteen leaders of rival pacs, including former Nixon and Bush 41 confidant and GOP fund-raiser Fred Malek, of American Action Network, and Mary Cheney, Dick’s daughter, representing the Partnership for America’s Future. The anxious group was packed into Rove’s cramped living room, his two massive, ceiling-high shelves of history books looming over them.

Rove also mocks Sarah Palin and wishes that Jeb Bush would run for president. Rove is not scared of Palin — or of Rush Limbaugh — which looks like political bravery but is really just the knowledge that the base that the rest of the GOP is in thrall to is actually a relatively small demographic segment of the electorate. And his Crossroads money-raising machine will probably have a significant role in deciding who gets the 2012 GOP nomination, even though Rove doesn’t particularly like any of the candidates involved.

(The profile is illustrated with a photo of Rove taken by artist Andres Serrano, known among non-art aficionados primarily for his 1987 piece “Piss Christ.” I assume this is New York having a bit of fun.)

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

Jeb Bush 2012!

The National Review asks the former Florida governor with the unfortunate last name to get into the race already

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Jeb Bush 2012!Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush waves as he is introduced to the crowd during inauguration ceremonies for Republican Rick Scott Tuesday, Jan. 4, 2011 outside the Old Capitol in Tallahassee, Fla. (AP Photo/Chris O'Meara)(Credit: AP)

Exciting election news: Everyone at the National Review got together and decided that Jeb Bush should run in 2012 instead of 2016. Jeb is on the cover of the print edition, and there is a story about how he was a super awesome governor and is still the coolest and smartest politician in America. Now other National Review contributors are “flooding the zone” with columns imploring the last respectable child of George H. W. Bush to ascend to the throne. Kathryn Jean Lopez’s column is headlined, “Bush Is Not a Four-Letter Word.” Nice work.

(K-Lo thinks Jeb Bush would make a fine running mate. Wouldn’t he look so nice up onstage with, say, Rick Santorum? Swoon!)

Jeb says he won’t run in 2012. If there is a point to all this Jeb Bush ego-stroking, it’s that the GOP establishment has probably decided that Jeb will be the post-Obama nominee, and they’re getting everyone acclimated to the idea. And maybe some of them would like Jeb to make a practice run for the job, like Reagan did in 1976. (Said practice run was not necessary for Jeb’s brother George, but I guess they’d like to make the process look more legitimate this time around.)

So here is Rich Lowry, with a more serious column, explaining why Jeb must run now. There are eight simple reasons, but they boil down to the fact that no one credible is running this year and by 2016 there will be more serious candidates (Christie! Rubio!) and Jeb Bush will have been out of office for 10 years. The unspoken argument is that Jeb needs to establish himself as nominee material this cycle, if he wants the crown next time.

Will it happen? I dunno, but the idea isn’t completely laughable. The sad fact is that the Bush name is not the handicap that you’d think it would be, because American popular memory lasts about 10 seconds now (aided by a press that strongly prefers to move on to the next thing), and there was never really a full national accounting of just how incompetent and criminal the previous administration was.

Those first debates are right around the corner, Jeb!

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

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