Iraq
Venezuela’s president is playing with fire
By befriending U.S. enemies like Saddam Hussein, Hugo Chavez risks alienating his troubled country's biggest trading partner.
One thing about Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez is certain: He’s got chutzpah. Last Thursday, the charismatic 46-year-old former paratrooper waltzed into Iraq, in defiance of U.S. wishes, becoming the first democratically elected head of state to visit Baghdad since the 1991 Persian Gulf War. While in Baghdad, Chavez supped with Saddam, toured the city in one of his chauffeured limousines and denounced the U.S. for intervening in Venezuela’s sovereign affairs by suggesting that he call off the visit.
After a brief stopover in Jakarta, Indonesia, where Chavez called for an end to U.N. sanctions against Iraq, he flew on to Tripoli, Libya, for a weekend meeting with Libyan strongman Col. Moammar Gadhafi. Chavez used the occasion to take another jab at the United States by calling Washington’s 1986 bombing of Tripoli and the port city of Benghazi a “criminal act.”
Chavez’s anti-American broadsides come as no surprise to observers of Venezuelan affairs. “El Commandante” has thumbed his nose at Washington on more than one occasion during his first year and a half in office. He’s traveled to Havana and pitched a baseball game against his idol, Fidel Castro, denied U.S. anti-drug planes permission to use Venezuelan airspace for reconnaissance flights and initiated informal contacts with leftist guerrillas in neighboring Colombia. Chavez’s decision to visit Iraq, however, is his most daring gambit to date, putting his bilateral relationship with the United States in jeopardy and alienating the investors whose dollars he needs to fulfill his “peaceful revolution.”
Why is Chavez picking a fight with his nation’s biggest trading partner and its largest source of foreign direct investment?
Peter Hakim, president of the Inter-American Dialogue, a Washington think tank, speculates that the answer has something to do with Chavez’s personality. “The Venezuelan leader craves the limelight. He loves being feted by the Chinese leadership and third-world dictators,” he says.
“Chavez is a showman and his foreign adventures are part of his populist shtick,” agrees David Becker, a professor of government at Dartmouth College and a specialist on Andean affairs. Becker says cozying up to people like Hussein and Gadhafi in order to “stick a finger in Uncle Sam’s eye” is all part of Chavez’s act.
Oil may also have something to do with it. Crude exports account for about 80 percent of Venezuela’s exports and one-third of its gross domestic product. By patching up its tattered relations with its OPEC partners (relations deteriorated under previous Venezuelan governments due to allegations of quota busting), Chavez believes he can help control supply and thereby keep prices high. He aims for a floor of $25 per barrel, which would provide enough revenue to fund his domestic social agenda without forcing his government to resort to unpopular belt-tightening measures that have been implemented elsewhere in the region.
Another theory is that Chavez’s globetrotting is an attempt to deflect attention from the fact that Venezuela’s economy continues to perform poorly. Last year, despite a tripling of oil prices, gross domestic product shrank by a staggering 7.2 percent. This year has seen an improvement, but nothing on the order of what Venezuela needs to combat unemployment and eradicate poverty, which afflicts 80 percent of the nation.
“Chavez is obviously trying to provoke a strong reaction from the U.S., to fire up nationalist sentiment at home and get people’s minds off the fact that he hasn’t delivered,” says Mark Falcoff, a senior fellow for Latin America at the American Enterprise Institute in Washington.
Up until now, the U.S. has taken a very low-key approach to the Venezuelan caudillo in hopes of encouraging Chavez to play by the democratic rules of the game and embrace market-oriented policies. That may change if Chavez continues his provocative behavior.
Indeed, some analysts say such a change is already underway. “Chavez’s trip to Iraq reinforced the position of those within the U.S. government who view the Venezuelan president as irresponsible, antagonistic and perhaps not in control of all of his faculties,” says Hakim. He predicts that relations will cool in the coming months.
Some observers foresee a possible increase in bilateral tensions after the November U.S. presidential election if Texas Gov. George W. Bush wins the White House. Among them is Bernard Aronson, a former assistant secretary of state for international affairs in the Bush administration. Aronson, who is now managing partner at Acon Investments in Washington, notes that congressional Republicans have been highly critical of President Clinton’s counter-narcotics strategy and Chavez’s refusal to grant over-flight rights to U.S. anti-drug aircraft. They may be less willing to “roll with the punches” with one of their own in the Oval Office.
What’s more, Aronson points out that several of Bush’s closest foreign policy advisors have been very outspoken in their criticism of Hussein’s regime and hinted that the Texas governor, if elected, might actively seek to overthrow it or at least destabilize it. This could complicate Washington’s delicate relationship with Caracas, given Chavez’s budding friendship with Hussein.
But not everyone thinks the row between the U.S. and Venezuela is likely to escalate into a more serious breach.
“Rhetoric aside, the fact of the matter is that Chavez has been very pragmatic on economic policy and investors realize this,” says a high-ranking U.S. diplomat. He notes that Chavez has slashed Venezuela’s bloated bureaucracy, established a petroleum stabilization fund to recycle windfall oil profits, scrupulously upheld contracts with foreign oil companies, opened the gas and petrochemicals sectors to private capital, introduced a world-class, market-oriented telecommunications law and signed a bilateral tax treaty with the United States. “While Chavez’s antics have been foolish, there is simply no basis for a hostile U.S. response.”
And Chavez’s oil strategy could protect him. Susan Kaufman Purcell, vice president of the Americas Society in New York, argues that Venezuela’s position as one of the United States’ top foreign oil suppliers gives Chavez tremendous leverage in his dealings with Washington. As such, she expects U.S. policymakers to continue handling Chavez with extreme care while trying to avoid a blowup at all costs.
Besides, she says, any decision to lash out against Chavez — for example by imposing unilateral sanctions or revoking his visa — could end up strengthening the aura around him as a nationalist hero engaged in a David vs. Goliath battle with the colossus to the north. “Nobody wants to create another Castro,” she says.
Ultimately, most analysts believe that level heads will prevail and that the U.S. and Venezuela will find a modus vivendi given the United States’ interest in dependable oil supplies and stability in the volatile Andean region — and Venezuela’s need for U.S. trade, investment and technology.
Few, however, rule out the possibility of a more serious falling out in the future, given Chavez’s quasi-messianic complex and penchant for political grandstanding. “At first, Chavez wanted to convince people that he was the second coming of Simon Bolmvar, the great liberator of South America. Now he wants to be known as Chavez of Arabia. Unfortunately, it seems that neither Gandhi nor Mandela is in his repertoire,” says former Venezuelan Ambassador to the United Nations Diego Arria.
David A. Wernick is New York-based writer who specializes in Latin American business and political affairs. More David A. Wernick.
Our real Iraq losses
We left their nation in turmoil and our own country entangled in an endless "national security" nightmare
A man, left, inspects his destroyed vehicle at the scene of a car bomb attack in Ramadi, 70 miles (115 kilometers) west of Baghdad, Iraq, Tuesday, March 20, 2012. Officials say attacks across Iraq have killed and wounded scores of people in a spate of violence that was dreaded in the days before Baghdad hosts the Arab world's top leaders. (AP Photo) (Credit: AP) People ask the question in various ways, sometimes hesitantly, often via a long digression, but my answer is always the same: no regrets.
In some 24 years of government service, I experienced my share of dissonance when it came to what was said in public and what the government did behind the public’s back. In most cases, the gap was filled with scared little men and women, and what was left unsaid just hid the mistakes and flaws of those anonymous functionaries.
What I saw while serving the State Department at a forward operating base in Iraq was, however, different. There, the space between what we were doing (the eye-watering waste and mismanagement), and what we were saying (the endless claims of success and progress), was filled with numb soldiers and devastated Iraqis, not scaredy-cat bureaucrats.
Continue Reading ClosePeter Van Buren spent a year in Iraq as a State Department Foreign Service Officer serving as Team Leader for two Provincial Reconstruction Teams (PRTs). Now in Washington, he writes about Iraq and the Middle East at his blog, We Meant Well. His book, We Meant Well: How I Helped Lose the Battle for the Hearts and Minds of the Iraqi People (The American Empire Project, Metropolitan Books), will be published this September. More Peter Van Buren.
Shaima Alawadi’s murder: Hate crime or honor killing?
The murder of an Iraqi immigrant in California has stirred rumors of both a hate crime and an honor killing
Fatima Alhimidi weeps over her mother Shaima Alawadi's coffin as it arrives in Najaf, Iraq. (Credit: AP/Alaa al-Marjani) EL CAJON, Calif. – On March 21, an unknown assailant shattered Shaima Alawadi’s skull with a tire-iron-like weapon in the living room of her home. An Iraqi immigrant and mother of five, Alawadi was found by her 17-year-old daughter, Fatima, who said she was “drowned in her own blood.” Alawadi was rushed to the hospital, still alive, but she was soon taken off life support and died March 24. It was, by all accounts, a heinous crime. But was it a hate crime?
After her mother’s death, Fatima said she found “a letter next to her head saying, ‘Go back to your country, you terrorist.’” The accusation sparked outrage and brought national media attention to the murder. And yet, within days, publicity-craving Islamophobes Pamela Geller and Robert Spencer were pushing an alternative motive: that Alawadi’s death was, in fact, an “honor killing.” Geller crowed, “I surmised that the murder of Shaima Alawadi appeared to be Islamic, rooted in Islamic teachings and culture …”
Continue Reading CloseArun Gupta, a New York writer and co-founder of Occupy the Wall Street Journal, covers the Occupy movement for Salon. More Arun Gupta.
In Iraq and on “The Wire,” it’s all acting for Benjamin Busch
In a lyrical memoir, a novelist's son discusses his strange path into war -- and David Simon's TV masterpiece
Benjamin Busch Benjamin Busch’s “Dust to Dust” is a remarkable book — part military memoir, part childhood reminiscence, and also an effort to explain his relationship with his father, the celebrated novelist Frederick Busch.
And yet it is also more than all of those things. Busch is filled with complicated and fascinating contradictions. Yes, he’s the son of a famously introspective and domestic writer, who grew up in rural New York obsessed with toy guns and building massive military forts. But he studied visual arts at Vassar, where he confused everyone by joining the Marine reserves — especially his commanders, when he accidentally announced himself in a roll call as part of the “Vassar infantry.”
Continue Reading CloseDavid Daley is the senior culture editor of Salon. More David Daley.
Iraq war booster urges Syria intervention
Kanan Mikaya insists we must save a besieged people, but that's what he said about Iraq in 2003. Should we listen?
Kanan Makiya (Credit: AP/Manish Swarup) Outside of the fraudulent Ahmed Chalabi, Kanan Makiya was the Iraqi exile most influential in driving America to war with Iraq in 2003. His 1989 book “Republic of Fear” was arguably the greatest effort to chronicle and categorize the horror of Saddam Hussein’s Iraq. His 1993 work “Cruelty and Silence” was a devastating broadside aimed at the Arab intelligentsia’s refusal to admit the horrors of Saddam. Makiya’s unique credibility and eloquence (he is now a professor at Brandeis University) made him a singularly powerful voice among those who believed it was a moral imperative to overthrow Saddam and democratize Iraq. He met with President George W. Bush and spoke at the right-wing American Enterprise Institute to make his case, promising that American troops would be greeted as liberators. Peter Beinart, in his final column as editor of the New Republic, wrote in regret that he supported the war primarily “because Kanan Makiya did.”
Continue Reading CloseJordan Michael Smith writes about U.S. foreign policy for Salon. He has written for the New York Times, Boston Globe and Washington Post. More Jordan Michael Smith.
Iraq vets on the road to recovery
Sometimes the best treatment for war wounds is a long bike ride
On the road to recovery Last September, I was in the saddle of my bicycle somewhere in the middle of Pennsylvania. Dark green farms materialized from the mist as one hill rolled into another. Somewhere out here, United Airlines Flight 93 crashed.
In about a day, I would be at the exact place where the plane went down, by the sides of dozens of troops who were injured in the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. I was chronicling a solemn moment on the 10thanniversary of the 9/11 attacks for “Recovering,” the documentary film I’m directing about troops who have turned to an unlikely recreation, bicycling, to heal from wounds such as post-traumatic stress disorder and lost limbs.
Continue Reading CloseMichael de Yoanna is a journalist and documentary filmmaker who won an Edward R. Murrow award for investigative radio journalism in 2011. You can view his past work at Salon here, visit his personal website here, and follow him on Twitter @mdy1. More Michael de Yoanna.
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