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Joe Conason’s Journal

The mystery of the disappearing Dick Armey quote.

The case of the disappearing Dick
Readers may have noticed that an item headlined “Armey Intelligence” went up Thursday evening and then disappeared a few hours later. The reason Salon’s editors took it down is that something odd happened. In fact, something odd happened twice.

The ghostly tale begins on Aug. 6, when the New York Times ran a very fine AP story about the growth in federal funding disparities between Democratic and Republican congressional districts since the GOP won a majority in the House eight years ago. The story featured a revealing remark by House Majority Leader Dick Armey: “There’s an old adage. To the victors goes [sic] the spoils.” I linked to the story, added a few snippy remarks of my own, and moved on.

Then yesterday I received an e-mail from a reader named Jonathan, complaining that when he clicks on that link, the AP story on the Times site “doesn’t contain the word ‘Armey’ at all, and implies that political considerations don’t have much to do with these disparities. Did you point to the wrong URL? Or maybe it’s been changed since you wrote your piece? If it’s been changed, do you have an archived version? Or are you pulling our legs?”

Thinking myself clever, I wrote a fresh item citing Jonathan’s e-mail and linking to a cached version of the Armey-quoting AP article on Google. I know it was there because I saw it. (From now on I’ll print out these fast-evaporating bytes.) But within a few hours, that story too vanished into the electronic ether. Vigilant readers quickly notified the Salon editors that the link didn’t work, and they took down the item because it no longer made sense.

OK, but by then I was getting mad. Mad but not crazy, because I had looked up the piece on Nexis and there it still was, first filed by AP’s David Pace on Aug. 5. I didn’t only need to prove that I hadn’t invented the Armey quote (or the entire story). I wanted to publicize the AP’s analysis because, in a nonpartisan style, it went to the heart of partisan and ideological bad faith among the Gingrich “revolutionaries.” It wasn’t just a good story; as budget stories go, it was an important and readable story, and it began as follows:

“The 1994 revolution that gave Republicans control of the House of Representatives produced a seismic shift in federal spending, moving tens of billions of dollars from Democratic to GOP districts, an Associated Press analysis shows.

“Rather than pork barrel projects for new GOP districts, the change was driven mostly by Republican policies that moved spending from poor rural and urban areas to the more affluent suburbs and GOP-leaning farm country, the computer analysis showed.

“The result was an average of $612 million more in federal spending last year for congressional districts represented by Republicans than for those represented by Democrats, the analysis found.

“In terms of services, for example, that translates into more business loans and farm subsidies, and fewer public housing grants and food stamps.”

And then came that beautifully arrogant Armey quote, followed by further analysis, which showed among other things that “When Democrats last controlled the House and wrote the 1995 budget, the average Democratic district got $35 million more than the average GOP district. By 2001, average federal spending in Republican districts was $612 million more than in Democratic districts.”

Those small-government, independent-minded, free-enterprising, tax-cutting libertarian Republicans surely know how to grab with both hands when someone opens the Treasury chest. According to the AP computer analysis, GOP policies “moved spending from poor rural and urban areas to the more affluent suburbs and GOP-leaning farm country.” There’s compassionate conservatism in a nutshell: the upward redistribution of wealth, preferably accompanied by psalm-singing.

As of today, I still don’t know what happened to the AP story at the Times site, but several readers alerted me last night to the fact that the original version, complete with villainous, mustache-twirling Armey quote, was still available at both the Washington Times and Washington Post Web sites. (My gratitude goes out to all of you.) Who knows? By the time this is posted, one or both links may still work. Meanwhile, I’ll be gone until a week from Monday, hoping we don’t have to revisit this situation.
[1:15 p.m. PDT, Aug. 9, 2002]

For more Conason, click here. To e-mail Joe, click here.

Joe Conason blogs in Salon several times a week and writes a weekly column for the New York Observer. His latest book is "It Can Happen Here: Authoritarian Peril in the Age of Bush."

Washington Post introduces incredibly useless new way to follow 2012 buzz

The @MentionMachine ranks candidates based on how often they're tweeted about, so congratulations, President Paul

Washington Post introduces incredibly useless new way to follow 2012 buzzRepublican presidential candidate Texas Rep. Ron Paul (Credit: AP/Evan Vucci)

The Washington Post’s new “MentionMachine” tool explains in its introductory post precisely what is wrong with it. The “candidate trend app” simply maps Twitter mentions of candidates and then ranks them. Here the Post attempts to make this sound useful:

When Texas Gov. Rick Perry declared his candidacy for the Republican nomination Aug. 13, the same day as the Ames Straw Poll, those watching social streams could have rightfully assumed he had won the Iowa contest. Twitter exploded with Perry mentions, even though he didn’t participate in the straw poll, while the winner, Rep. Michele Bachmann (Minn.), drew far less attention. Social media was the writing on the wall. Perry would soon trend up in polls, surpassing Bachmann and the rest of the field. Twitter was the early — scratch that — Twitter was the real-time warning system.

And then, a few short weeks later, all that “buzz” added up to precisely nothing. So, no, you should not be forgiven for having assumed that Perry had won the Iowa contest. Because if you assumed that, based on “social media buzz,” you’re horrible at forecasting elections and analyzing campaigns. Twitter was the “real-time warning system” for a media-fueled Rick Perry coverage bubble that burst months before anyone actually voted for a 2012 nominee.

Now, thanks to the Post, we will have a real-time map of ill-informed “buzz” from now until the general election. (And until it adjusts its algorithm, Ron Paul will “win” every day, because he’s got a psycho nternet cult.)

This is the distorting effect of minutiae-driven campaign coverage made animate. Here’s the Post again:

There are a few ways Twitter variables, or mentions, can be measured or extrapolated to examine trends in campaigns. Growth in number of legitimate followers or a high recurrence of retweets are both indicative of growing grass-roots support. A spike in the number of times a candidate is mentioned on Twitter might signal an event that could alter a campaign.

Even as information-free buzz-tracking this tool is flawed, because it fails to distinguish between positive and negative Twitter attention (I’m guessing Perry’s rank on the “leaderboard” would’ve surged when he forgot that third federal agency). Beginning tonight and continuing on through this year we will have an actual leaderboard for the GOP nomination, ranked by votes and delegates instead of retweets, rendering this entire thing even more useless.

The @MentionMachine (what a name) is too silly to get worked up about (sorry!), but it’s decidedly symptomatic of the awfulness of most campaign coverage, which mistakes volume for “grass-roots energy,” suffers from staggering historical amnesia, and regularly insults its audience by putting forth ridiculous speculative bullshit (Donald Trump could win!). This isn’t a call for the press to simply report on “the important stuff” — I find Santorum’s endorsement from the guy with a zillion kids just as gross and interesting as everyone else — it’s just a call to be smart about the dumb stuff. I’d like to know what it means that an old paleo-libertarian crank with a history of embracing conspiracy theories and white populism has a fanatical base of mostly young followers, not that those young followers give him enough “buzz” to win the nomination (they don’t).

Horse race coverage has an audience and a purpose — I’d just like to see it done well.

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

2. Jennifer Rubin

The Washington Post blogger is hateful and repetitive

2. Jennifer Rubin

The Washington Post had a big problem. It failed, twice, at hiring a proper “Conservative blogger,” a commodity every newspaper website needs. Its first hire was a plagiarist, and then it accidentally hired a reporter who wasn’t conservative enough. The third time, it got someone directly from the neocon Weekly Standard Commentary, ensuring her bona fides. The only problem with Jennifer Rubin as a “conservative blogger,” though, is that while she’s most definitely a Republican, she doesn’t seem invested in any conservative issues, bar foreign policy. And by foreign policy, I mean a fanatical hatred of Arabs and Muslims accompanied by constant fear-mongering about the jihadist menace and regular accusations of anti-Semitism (and tacit support for terrorism) levied against anyone slightly critical of Israeli government policies or remotely sympathetic to Palestinians.

So, good work, Washington Post editors, you have finally provided some “balance” for your newspaper’s many left-wing Palestinian voices, like … Mary Worth?

Rubin’s a very good blogger, in a quantitative sense, able to produce several hundred words several times a day. And she sparks a lot of “debate,” by posting incendiary and outrageous things regularly. What she isn’t is a good writer, or human being. Her prose is overwrought, her tone apocalyptic, her constant bile exhausting. I’m not sure Avigdor Lieberman could read her daily without soon wishing she’d dial it back a bit.

Here’s a brief list of greatest hits: Her legendarily dumb column “wondering” why American Jews were largely repulsed by Sarah Palin, which concluded that it was because, as we all know, American Jews are rootless cosmopolitan elites who spend their time sneering at real Americans like hardscrabble blue-collar working mom Sarah Palin. Repeatedly accusing President Obama — the one with all the targeted assassinations and expanded use of secret executive surveillance and counterterrorism powers — of being soft on terrorism because he doesn’t intentionally antagonize the Arab world with inflammatory language. Endorsing the absurd New Black Panthers Party conspiracy theory. Frequently endorsing and retweeting the blatantly racist and occasionally eliminationist anti-Arab writings of her friend Rachel Abrams. Regularly getting things wrong and quoting things out of context and never apologizing. Being awful.

HACKIEST 2011 MOMENT:
“This is a sobering reminder for those who think it’s too expensive to wage a war against jihadists.” That’s Rubin on the July mass shooting in Oslo, which the world soon learned had been carried out by a white right-wing anti-Islam zealot. The post was not corrected for a full 24 hours (while Rubin observed the sabbath) and was never apologized for. In her follow-up post she reiterated her claim that this shooting showed the necessity of large-scale military action against … Islamic jihadists.
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(Read the introduction here. Read the 2010 Salon Hack 30 List here.)

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

7. Robert Samuelson

The business columnist can't stop rehashing ancient, discredited Reagan-era dogma

7. Robert Samuelson

Washington Post columnist Robert Samuelson is an exercise in how often and for how long one can continue repeating the exact same received conservative economic dogma when observable reality contradicts each of your arguments before people begin to stop taking you seriously. (The answer is “always and forever.”)

So. In Samuelson’s telling, the European debt crisis was caused by the welfare state. But internationally, there’s no real correlation between government debt burdens and government spending on social programs. (Like, for example, Germany is doing better than Greece, which has a smaller welfare state.)

According to Samuelson, the American federal government debt will (any minute now!!!!) lead to hyperinflation. This was in November of 2009. We’re all still waiting.

In fact, we should all be more like Latvia, the little country that could … gut its government budget and lay off 29 percent of government workers. That’s Samuelson’s dream, for America. Latvia’s unemployment rate is 20 percent and is not seriously expected to significantly fall any time soon.

Samuelson, a former business desk reporter who I am pretty sure is taken seriously on economic issues because people think he’s related to the late Paul Samuelson, is never hysterical or bigoted or racist or any of the myriad awful things that so many others on this list are. He’s just constantly, consistently wrong, because he believes in a series of stupid Reagan-era myths, like “Johnson’s economic policies caused stagflation” and “super rich people are in fact hard-working small business owning job creating Regular Americans.”

The last decade has repeatedly and gratuitously made Samuelson’s entire political philosophy look ridiculous. Instead of ever changing his tune, though, it’s the exact same bullshit, over and over again.

HACKIEST 2011 MOMENT:
When the relentless deficit hawk argued that we mustn’t ever cut a single dime of spending on the armed forces.
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(Read the introduction here. Read the 2010 Salon Hack 30 List here.)

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

19. Ruth Marcus

The Washington Post columnist makes up for her bland liberalism with her unquestioning fealty to authority

19. Ruth Marcus

Longtime Washington Post columnist Ruth Marcus is, like most longtime Washington Post columnists, an eminently predictable fount of polite elite Beltway-area opinion. She’s generally a good moderate liberal. She dreams of bipartisan compromises, and lavishes praise on politicians willing to reject party “orthodoxy” in order to come to very orthodox centrist positions. She cares very much about tackling our long-term federal debt. She thinks Republicans are too extreme. She liked Mitch Daniels, except for the antiabortion stuff. She agrees with Robert Gibbs that liberals are “deranged” to criticize Obama, who, after all, has done the best he can, a few wasted opportunities, betrayals and inexplicable tactical missteps aside.

I think a brief post like this one, in which Marcus says Congress should name Gabrielle Giffords the honorary chairwoman of the deficit reduction supercommittee, sums up her general uselessness. There’s that traditional craving for “bipartisan unity” that all hack centrist columnists share, treating “bipartisan unity” as a self-evidently good thing instead of a hazy myth of questionable democratic worth. There’s the idea that the supercommittee was actually a serious idea designed to address a major and immediate crisis, instead of a can-kicking waste of everyone’s time in the service of looking serious about one of the least pressing problems currently facing the nation. There’s the idea that a silly symbolic gesture would create agreement among two groups with diametrically opposed policy goals. There’s an invocation of “common sense,” which is always meaningless and usually used to stand in for ideas popular among elites but hated by actual voters.

If you want to know what the world’s most boring establishmentarian liberal thinks about the issues of the day, Ruth Marcus has you covered.

HACKIEST 2011 MOMENT:
When 18-year-old high school student Emma Sullivan tweeted that she thinks Kansas Gov. Sam Brownback “sucks,” Brownback’s staff ratted this student out to school authorities, leading her principal to demand that the student write a letter of apology to the governor for disliking him. That’s weird and gross, except to Ruth Marcus, who imagined herself Sullivan’s mother, and fantasized about forcing that young woman to learn proper deference to authority figures. “If you were my daughter, you’d be writing that letter apologizing to Kansas Gov. Sam Brownback for the smart­alecky, potty-mouthed tweet you wrote after meeting with him on a school field trip,” Marcus wrote. Marcus then asserted that teenagers have no constitutional right to be rude to politicians, which is an interesting interpretation of the language and purpose of the First Amendment, to say the least.

It should be noted, for the record, that Gov. Sam Brownback, an anti-gay fanatic who once did this, does in fact suck.
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(Read the introduction here. Read the 2010 Salon Hack 30 List here.)

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

Washington Post education blogger writes sad defense of for-profit colleges

The Kaplan Company's newspaper arm says Kaplan schools aren't as horrible as everyone says

Washington Post education blogger writes sad defense of for-profit colleges (Credit: AP/Salon)

Jay Mathews, the Washington Post’s education columnist, writes a blog for the paper’s local section that is mostly about Washington, D.C.-area school news and politics, though he also writes thoughtfully on national education policy questions. Here is his challenge, though: A vital revenue source for the Washington Post Co. is Kaplan Inc., a test-prep company that branched out into owning and running for-profit online colleges. For-profit colleges, as Mathews knows, are a huge rip-off, targeting poor and minority students with deceptive and aggressive marketing, then burying them in loan debt and barely graduating anyone. The for-profit college sector has come under fire from the government for basically being an elaborate scheme to reap government-subsidized loan money, and the industry has responded with a massive, well-funded lobbying and public relations campaign. This post that Mathews published yesterday seems depressingly like a part of that campaign.

It is headlined “5 reasons for-profit colleges will survive,” and it seems like the author isn’t particularly thrilled to be writing it:

Enter Andrew S. Rosen, Kaplan’s chairman and chief executive officer, with a new book called “Change.edu: Rebooting for the new talent economy.” Who does Rosen think he is, extolling the virtues of for-profit schools while his company faces such threats?

I wasn’t sure I wanted to read the book or write about it. As a 40-year employee of The Post, anything bad I say might seem too little too late, and anything good would be taken as trying to protect the company. I was glad Rosen agreed his company had messed up. He did not shake my feeling that profits and teaching are a bad mix, but I did learn things I needed to know.

Despite the industry’s troubles, Rosen convinced me that for-profit educational ventures are here to stay. People who feel as I do will have to adjust to that.

Emphasis mine. Then there are the five reasons, which basically read like they came directly from a Kaplan press release. (“For-profit schools are less of a drain on tax dollars than non-profit or public schools.”) From this specific press release, perhaps.

It’s the tone of a sort of strongly encouraged attitude-adjustment that makes this whole thing even more depressing than the usual defensive for-profit college propaganda that the Post editorial board publishes in the Opinion section. “People like me may want for-profits to disappear,” Mathews writes, “but that is not going to happen.” Well, his bosses certainly hope so!

Bonus sadness: This comment, which comes after a small torrent of anti-Kaplan vitriol:

Maybe this wasn’t an assignment from on high, but it certainly looks like corporate press materials forced on a skeptical columnist.

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

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