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Brendan Nyhan

Thursday, Sep 5, 2002 6:08 PM UTC2002-09-05T18:08:00Zl, M j, Y g:i A T

The big NEA-Sept. 11 lie

How the conservative Washington Times helped create a myth about the teachers' union and Sept. 11 that has become conventional wisdom.

Over the last few weeks, the National Education Association, the nation’s largest teachers’ union, has been widely denounced for supposedly calling on educators not to blame the Sept. 11 attacks on al-Qaida. But this is a manufactured falsehood created by a kind of assembly line for political myths. The story is familiar: A distorted claim is fed into the echo chamber, where it is increasingly twisted as it is repeated over and over until it becomes conventional wisdom.

The controversy was created by an Aug. 19 article on Page 1 of the Washington Times about a Web site created by the NEA’s Health Information Network. The site was designed to help schools plan lessons for the first anniversary of Sept. 11. Under the headline “NEA delivers history lesson; Tells teachers not to cast 9/11 blame,” reporter Ellen Sorokin claimed that the NEA “is suggesting to teachers that they be careful on the first anniversary of the Sept. 11 attacks not to ‘suggest any group is responsible’ for the terrorist hijackings that killed more than 3,000 people.”

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Tuesday, Aug 17, 2010 5:25 PM UTC2010-08-17T17:25:00Zl, M j, Y g:i A T

Right still searching for “death panel” proof

Rationing is a reality of any plan to bring down healthcare costs

To match Special Report USA-POLITICS/TEAPARTY

A Tea Party member carries a sign voicing his concern over "ObamaCare" during a rally marking the one-year anniversary of the movement in Troy, Michigan February 27, 2010. Some Tea Partiers say they can pinpoint the precise moment when they made it clear to the Republican Party they had no intention of being its lapdog. On a bright, brisk afternoon in mid-February, with snow still thick on the ground from storms that had battered Washington the week before, Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Steele met with more than 50 members of the Tea Party, the Twitter Age conservative movement that is reshaping the U.S. political landscape. Picture taken February 27, 2010. To match Special Report USA-POLITICS/TEAPARTY. REUTERS/Rebecca Cook (UNITED STATES - Tags: POLITICS CIVIL UNREST) (Credit: © Rebecca Cook / Reuters)

This originally appeared at Brendan Nyhan’s blog.

One of the most frustrating aspects of the current debate over the healthcare reform is the way that conservative bloggers and pundits keep trying to find evidence to justify Sarah Palin’s false claims about a “death panel.”

The latest example comes from bloggers Ann Althouse, Jim Hoft, and Doug Ross, who claim that the decision by the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services to conduct a National Coverage Determination for the prostate cancer treatment Provenge is evidence of a “death panel” (Althouse headline: “Death panel”; Hoft: “HERE COME THE DEATH PANELS”; Ross: “sounds like a death panel to me”).

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Friday, Aug 6, 2010 6:15 PM UTC2010-08-06T18:15:00Zl, M j, Y g:i A T

The Fed is Obama and the Dems’ best bet for ’12

It's actually huge news that one of Obama's picks for the Federal Reserve Board was blocked this week

Barack Obama, Ben Bernanke

President Barack Obama meets with Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, Tuesday, June 29, 2010. (AP Photo/Charles Dharapak) (Credit: Charles Dharapak)

It’s shocking to me how little attention is being given to the Federal Reserve by the Obama administration and its supporters. Consider the following list of statements:

1. The economic downturn has been severe. The history of financial crises suggests that recovery may be long and difficult, particularly if the U.S. enters a deflationary spiral.

2. A second stimulus can’t pass Congress now and certainly won’t pass after expected Republican gains in November.

3. The Federal Reserve plays the most important role in determining short-term macroeconomic outcomes.

4. While interest rates are at the so-called zero bound, the Fed could take other steps to try to stimulate the economy.

5. Some officials at the Fed are concerned about inflation; this appears to be limiting its aggressiveness.

6. Obama’s Fed appointees are likely to be inclined to try to stimulate the economy. Their confirmation could help tilt the balance toward more aggressive measures.

7. There are significant lags in macroeconomic policy, which make swift action by the Fed especially important.

8. If successful, these measures could help millions of Americans who are struggling to make ends meet during the deepest downturn of their lifetimes.

9. The economy plays the most important role in presidential approval and presidential election outcomes. If economic growth does not improve significantly, Obama’s approval ratings will decline and he is likely to be defeated in his re-election campaign.

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Wednesday, Jun 9, 2010 6:50 PM UTC2010-06-09T18:50:00Zl, M j, Y g:i A T

The magical thinking of Fred Barnes

Economic growth, not spending cuts, will be the major factor in determining whether Obama gets another four years

The magical thinking of Fred Barnes

This piece originally appeared at Brendan Nyhan’s blog:

I take it as a given that most journalists know very little about political science. But I still assumed that almost everyone has a basic understanding of the relationship between the state of the economy and presidential election outcomes. Apparently Fred Barnes missed the memo.

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Thursday, Apr 1, 2010 1:02 PM UTC2010-04-01T13:02:00Zl, M j, Y g:i A T

The disappearing Democratic brand advantage

Until recently, voters were more favorable to Democrats than the GOP. Now that advantage is eroding

Back in October, I noted that the GOP’s brand (as measured by its favorable/unfavorable ratings) was in much worse shape than any opposition party at that stage in the previous four midterm election cycles. That stigma, I suggested, might limit Republican gains in the November midterm elections relative to a 1994-style scenario.

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Friday, Nov 8, 2002 5:28 PM UTC2002-11-08T17:28:00Zl, M j, Y g:i A T

Making Bush tell the truth about Iraq

The media has to be tougher on the president's tendency to dissemble about his policies, and then again when he's caught -- especially when it comes to war.

On Election Night, Republican candidates backed by President Bush won a resounding victory across the country. Facing a transformed political landscape, with a newly invigorated president and a war with Iraq looming, it’s time to ask a crucial question: Will the media finally hold the president and his staff accountable for their repeated evasions and dissembling?

In Washington, the maxim used to be that you get in trouble not by lying, but by trying to cover up the lie when you get caught. Bush has turned this tired piece of conventional wisdom on its head, running an administration that almost always tries to cover its tracks with misinformation rather than admit to an error or a lie — and often gets away with it.

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