Iraq war
Clinging to happy talk
Bush says elections will bring democracy to Iraq, but that is as unrealistic as all his other now-disproved rosy scenarios.
“Metrics” is one of Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld‘s obsessions. In October 2003, he sent a memo to his deputies and the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff: “Today, we lack metrics to know if we are winning or losing the global war on terror.” Rumsfeld demanded precise measurements of progress, including the “ideological.” By the “war on terror” he meant Iraq as well as Afghanistan. A study was commissioned by the JCS and conducted by the Institute for Defense Analyses, a military think tank. In utterly neutral terms, the IDA report detailed a grim picture at odds with the Bush administration’s rosy scenarios. Not only has Rumsfeld suppressed the report, but the Pentagon has yet to acknowledge its existence.
Against the advice of senior officers of the military, Rumsfeld applied his doctrine of using a light combat force in the invasion of Iraq. Gen. Eric Shinseki, then commander of the Army, was cashiered and publicly ridiculed for suggesting that a larger force would be required. But Rumsfeld and the neoconservatives assumed that there would be no long occupation because democracy would spontaneously flower.
In April 2004 the Strategic Studies Institute of the U.S. Army War College produced a report on the metrics of the Rumsfeld doctrine, “Toppling Saddam: Iraq and American Military Transformation.” It concluded that the U.S. coalition’s swift victory over Saddam Hussein was achieved by overwhelming technological superiority and Iraqi weakness and therefore that using Operation Iraqi Freedom as “evidence” for Rumsfeld’s “transformation proposals could be a mistake.” The Pentagon has refused to release this study.
“Intellectual terrorism” prevails throughout the defense establishment, a leading military strategist at one of the war colleges, who deals in calm, measured expertise of a rigorously nonpartisan nature, told me. Even the respected defense research institute the Rand Corporation is being cut out of the loop, denied contracts for studies because the “metrics” are at odds with Rumsfeld’s projections.
President Bush clings to good news and happy talk, such as the number of school openings in Iraq. Those with gloomy assessments are not permitted to appear before him. The president is spared agonizing. He orders no meetings on options based on worst-case scenarios. The senior military strategists and officers are systematically ignored. Suppression of contrary “metrics” is done in his name and spirit. Bush makes his decisions from a self-imposed bunker, a Situation Room of the mind, where ideological fantasies substitute for reality.
“I think elections will be such an incredibly hopeful experience for the Iraqi people … And I look at the elections as a — as a — you know, as a — as — as a historical marker for our Iraq policy,” Bush proclaimed last week. His statement was prompted by remarks made last week by Brent Scowcroft, his father’s national security advisor and alter ego. Summarily fired as chairman of the Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board, Scowcroft went public with his views at a lunch sponsored by a Washington think tank. The Iraq election, he said, has “deep potential for deepening the conflict,” acting as an impetus to civil war. He reflected sadly that being a “realist” has become a “pejorative.” “A road map is helpful if you know where you are,” he said.
Scowcroft was joined by Zbigniew Brzezinski, President Carter’s national security advisor, who spelled out the minimal metrics for winning the Iraq war — 500,000 troops, $500 billion, a military draft and a wartime tax — and added that it would take at least 10 years. Unwillingness to pay this essential price while continuing on the current path would be a sign of “decadence.”
Bush speaks of the Iraq election as though it will be the climax of democracy. But by failing to provide for Sunni presence in the new government — proportional representation would easily have accomplished this — it is as ill-conceived a blunder as invading with a light force, disbanding the Iraqi army, attacking Fallujah, halting the attack and finally destroying the city in order to save it, Vietnam style. The British had proposed local elections, beginning in southern Iraq, but Bush’s Coalition Provisional Authority rejected the idea. According to disillusioned former CPA official Larry Diamond, “One British official lamented to me, the ‘CPA [officials] didn’t want anything to happen that they didn’t control.’”
Bush, meanwhile, works on his second inaugural address to be delivered next week. Judging from past performance, his speechwriters can be counted on to produce a bravura speech filled with high-flown patriotism and evangelical code words, a paean to can-do optimism. “They’re not code words; they’re our culture,” his chief speechwriter, Michael Gerson, explained recently.
This rhetoric summons purity of heart (“written in the human heart”), divine blessing (“God is not neutral”) and the power of faith (“there’s power, wonder-working power, in the goodness and idealism and faith of the American people”). As Bush draws the sword of righteousness against the forces of darkness, the enemy being evil itself (“evildoers … axis of evil”), he ascends on messianic and miraculous imagery. “Do you not think an angel rides in the whirlwind and directs this storm?” he said in his first inaugural address, quoting a letter written by a Virginian friend of Thomas Jefferson’s during the American Revolution. “This story goes on,” said Bush. “And an angel still rides in the whirlwind and directs this storm.”
That particular verse originates in the book of the prophet Nahum. It contains no “angel,” but the Lord, “a jealous and avenging God … full of wrath … The Lord is long suffering, and great in power, and will by no means clear the guilty; the Lord, in the whirlwind and in the storm is His way, and the clouds are the dust of His feet … Woe to the bloody city! It is all full of lies and rapine … Thy crowned are as the locusts, and thy marshals as the swarms of grasshoppers.” These metrics continue for several more verses: “There is no assuaging of thy hurt; thy wound is grievous.”
Sidney Blumenthal, a former assistant and senior advisor to President Clinton, writes a column for Salon and the Guardian of London. His new book is titled "How Bush Rules: Chronicles of a Radical Regime." He is a senior fellow at the New York University Center on Law and Security. More Sidney Blumenthal.
America’s real Hunger Games
Young people are already being sacrificed at the whims of the 1%. Just look at Iraq and Afghanistan
U.S. Army soldiers respond after a suicide attack on the US..-led provincial reconstruction team (PRT) compound in the Behsood district of Jalalabad, east of Kabul Afghanistan, on Sunday, April 15, 15 2012. (Credit: AP Phot/Rahmat Gul) When I was growing up, I ate books for breakfast, lunch and dinner, and since I was constantly running out of reading material, I read everyone else’s — which for a girl with older brothers meant science fiction. The books were supposed to be about the future, but they always turned out to be very much about this very moment.
Some of them — Robert Heinlein’s “Stranger in a Strange Land” — were comically of their time: that novel’s vision of the good life seemed to owe an awful lot to the Playboy Mansion in its prime, only with telepathy and being nice added in. Frank Herbert’s “Dune” had similarly sixties social mores, but its vision of an intergalactic world of disciplined desert jihadis and a great game for the substance that made all long-distance transit possible is even more relevant now. Think: drug cartels meet the oil industry in the deep desert.
Continue Reading CloseRebecca Solnit grew up in California public libraries and is thrilled to be revisiting them all over the state as part of the Cal Humanities California Reads project, which is now featuring five books, including her A Paradise Built in Hell: The Extraordinary Communities That Arise in Disaster. More Rebecca Solnit.
Neocons’ new lie
You thought they were gone, but now they're popping up to claim that Iraq inspired the Arab Spring
Dick Cheney, left, and Elliott Abrams (Credit: AP/Pablo Martinez Monsivais) The rulebook for conservative punditry is straightforward. Push for a policy. When it turns into a disaster, defend it. When the defense becomes untenable, ignore it. Finally, when something unrelated but positive occurs, take credit for it.
The newest conservative myth is that the upheavals in the Middle East — called the Arab Spring but occurring too in non-Arab countries like Iran — are a result of the Iraq War. The “freedom” that George W. Bush brought to Iraq had a domino effect on other countries in the region, the argument goes. Neocon Robert Kagan told Salon recently that “there were repeated free elections in Iraq and that undoubtedly had some effect on how neighboring people views their government.” Said Kagan: “I think Egyptians said. ‘If the Iraqis can have elections, why can’t we have elections?’”
Continue Reading CloseJordan Michael Smith writes about U.S. foreign policy for Salon. He has written for the New York Times, Boston Globe and Washington Post. More Jordan Michael Smith.
“War crime” delusions
A WikiLeaks video of an Iraq war massacre raises questions about international laws governing armed conflict
Still of Namir Noor-Eldeen, a 22-year-old war photographer, from WikiLeaks' Collateral Murder video Anyone who would like to witness a vivid example of modern warfare that adheres to the laws of war — that corpus of regulations developed painstakingly over centuries by jurists, humanitarians, and soldiers, a body of rules that is now an essential, institutionalized part of the U.S. armed forces and indeed all modern militaries — should simply click here and watch the video.
Wait a minute: that’s the WikiLeaks “Collateral Murder” video! The gunsight view of an Apache helicopter opening fire from half a mile high on a crowd of Iraqis — a few armed men, but mostly unarmed civilians, including a couple of Reuters employees — as they unsuspectingly walked the streets of a Baghdad suburb one July day in 2007.
Continue Reading CloseChase Madar, is a lawyer in New York, a contributor to the London Review of Books and Le Monde diplomatique and the author of a new book, The Passion of Bradley Manning (OR Books). More Chase Madar.
Our real Iraq losses
We left their nation in turmoil and our own country entangled in an endless "national security" nightmare
A man, left, inspects his destroyed vehicle at the scene of a car bomb attack in Ramadi, 70 miles (115 kilometers) west of Baghdad, Iraq, Tuesday, March 20, 2012. Officials say attacks across Iraq have killed and wounded scores of people in a spate of violence that was dreaded in the days before Baghdad hosts the Arab world's top leaders. (AP Photo) (Credit: AP) People ask the question in various ways, sometimes hesitantly, often via a long digression, but my answer is always the same: no regrets.
In some 24 years of government service, I experienced my share of dissonance when it came to what was said in public and what the government did behind the public’s back. In most cases, the gap was filled with scared little men and women, and what was left unsaid just hid the mistakes and flaws of those anonymous functionaries.
What I saw while serving the State Department at a forward operating base in Iraq was, however, different. There, the space between what we were doing (the eye-watering waste and mismanagement), and what we were saying (the endless claims of success and progress), was filled with numb soldiers and devastated Iraqis, not scaredy-cat bureaucrats.
Continue Reading ClosePeter Van Buren spent a year in Iraq as a State Department Foreign Service Officer serving as Team Leader for two Provincial Reconstruction Teams (PRTs). Now in Washington, he writes about Iraq and the Middle East at his blog, We Meant Well. His book, We Meant Well: How I Helped Lose the Battle for the Hearts and Minds of the Iraqi People (The American Empire Project, Metropolitan Books), will be published this September. More Peter Van Buren.
He was our eyes
The tragic death of Anthony Shadid has made the world a little darker
The late Anthony Shadid I was stunned and saddened to learn of the death of Anthony Shadid, the great New York Times reporter who covered the Middle East. Shadid was quite simply the best mainstream reporter working the most important foreign beat in the world. From his superb coverage of Iraq to his groundbreaking reporting on the Arab Spring, he set the journalistic standard. Shadid’s profound knowledge of the Arab world, his even-handedness, his historical sophistication, and above all his empathy for the ordinary people he wrote about, made him indispensable.
Continue Reading CloseGary Kamiya is a Salon contributing writer. More Gary Kamiya.
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