Mike Huckabee

Getting religion about health

Mike Huckabee, Arkansas' newly skinny governor, weighs in on the humilation of being fat, why government shouldn't police our grease, and whether he's planning to diet his way to the White House.

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Getting religion about health

Gov. Mike Huckabee of Arkansas is the incredible shrinking Republican. The smaller he gets, the larger his national profile becomes.

The former Baptist minister, a conservative Republican who embraces covenant marriage, in the last few weeks has transformed himself into a national weight-loss success story, complete with “before” and “after” pictures. Since being diagnosed with Type II diabetes in 2002 and suffering a heart disease scare in 2003, the governor has drastically changed his diet (fried everything with an extra-large side of refined sugar) and his exercise habits (nonexistent). By getting religion about healthy food and fitness, he has lost 110 pounds, down from 280. He used to dread climbing the steps of the State Capitol to meet the press waiting for him at the top because he knew he’d be sweating and out of breath by the time he reached their microphones. Now slimmed down, he recently ran his first marathon.

In his new motivational book, “Quit Digging Your Grave With a Knife and Fork,” Huckabee uses his own experience to try to inspire others to eat better and get off the couch. He inveighs against the plagues of transfat, refined sugars and highly processed foods, while extolling the virtues of whole-grain breads, fruits and vegetables.

If anything, Huckabee’s book sets out to show that he feels the pudgy public’s pain. He shares personal humiliations and his mantras — like “stop whining,” “stop expecting immediate success” and, above all, “stop sitting on the couch.” He confides that he once made a ceremonious entrance into a room in the State Capitol, where 53 Cabinet-level agency directors all rose to stand in deference to their chief. But when Huckabee took his seat in the antique chair at the head of the table, the chair collapsed under his girth. He wanted to cry, he writes, but made a joke instead to cover up his humiliation. The supposed jolliness of fat people — that’s all just a defense to hide the pain inside, he says.

Earlier this month, Huckabee announced a nationwide initiative with former President Bill Clinton — whose own recent quadruple bypass has made him seriously rethink his lifelong love of fried food — to try to halt the rise of childhood obesity. Since then, Huckabee has been on a media blitz around the country, appearing in People magazine and on the “Today” show and “Good Morning America,” to promote his book. The tour is raising speculation that by penning a diet book instead of the traditional candidate biography, he’s trying to diet his way into the White House in 2008. After all, don’t Americans care more about dieting than they do about politicians?

Arkansas had an 80 percent increase in obesity among adults from 1991 to 2002, and 61 percent of adults are currently overweight, according to the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Yet it is taking some serious steps to fight the problem, too. The University of Baltimore’s Obesity Initiative ranks Arkansas as one of the top states in the nation for its attempts to take on citizens’ widening waistlines.

But some of those steps are controversial. For instance, public schools measure kids’ body-mass indexes and send the results home to parents. While public health advocates applaud the state’s first steps, they say they stop short of any actions that would potentially upset industry, like banning junk food in public school vending machines — an idea that the governor opposes.

Huckabee, who’d run 4 and half miles earlier in the morning, spoke with Salon recently by phone from a hotel in the San Francisco Bay Area, a stop on his book tour.

What has been the reaction in your state to the initiative to measure kids’ body-mass index in school?

There was this perception that we were going to line kids up in the hall, and say, “Here’s a 160-pounder.” When people understood the method of testing — pinching with calipers — and that these reports were going to be mailed confidentially and discreetly to parents, independent of the report card, it took a lot of the sting out.

We had a very small number of parents who reacted unpleasantly. A hundred to one, the reaction from parents was: “Thank you. We really weren’t even thinking in terms of how much this could affect my child’s future health.”

As crazy as it may sound, the truth is that when a parent looks at 30 kids in a classroom, and they’re all bigger than they were 30 years ago, they don’t even see it in terms of “my child’s overweight” because the frame of reference is skewed by the fact that [being overweight is] so universal. The BMI gives the parents something objective: “You know, we really need to be more thoughtful about the exercise our child is getting, and the food he or she is eating.” It has really caused people to go to their pediatricians and say: “Give me some help.”

What things has Arkansas done to help adults shape up?

We’re trying to focus on giving people reasons and incentives to make healthier choices, as opposed to creating prohibitions and penalties. We offer $20-a-month discounts on health insurance to all state employees who do a health risk assessment. We had 18,000 state employees sign up in the very first enrollment period, a far greater number than we expected.

In the Arkansas Fitness Challenge, companies challenge other comparably sized companies over the course of a month to see how many employees quit smoking and how many steps they take, measuring them with pedometers. Over 400 businesses immediately contacted us to sign up.

One thing we kept hearing from people was: “I know we need to get out and walk, but I don’t know where to go.” So we compiled a list of every walking trail in the state, and it’s constantly being updated.

We’re trying to change the culture of health from one of disease focus to one of health focus. And we’re looking at ways to change even more things. For example, it frustrates me that my own insurance plan as a state employee will pay for a quadruple bypass but will not pay for me to visit a nutrition counselor. That’s crazy. The nutrition counselor might cost me $75 for a session that could save me from having the quadruple bypass.

Your initiative with former President Clinton calls for stopping the increase in childhood obesity in the U.S. by 2010. How are you hoping to do that?

We want to work with food companies to encourage them to promote healthier food choices. We realize that the food industry is at the mercy of the marketplace, and we’re not blaming them for the fact that Americans are overweight. I certainly don’t blame the fast-food industry for making me overweight. They sold what I demanded.

The second thing is to make more parents aware of how little exercise their kids are getting, and how many calories their kids are getting. Many of the things that parents do to show love for their kids are not necessarily in their best interest. For example, you take your kids to pizza not because you hate them but because you think that you’re giving them a treat. And if a medium pizza might actually meet the nutritional needs of three or four kids, the large one shows that you have no limits to your love.

It’s part of the whole culture of food. We let food become the reward. It’s one of the most important things that I had to learn about why I’d never been successful in getting control of my health. I’ve heard people on talking-head shows chastising parents for overfeeding their kids and making parents feel terrible about it, as if they’ve done an abusive thing. And I want to just scream and say, “Obviously, either you’re not a parent or you don’t understand why parents are doing what they’re doing. They’re not doing what they’re doing because they hate their kids.

There’s not a parent in America that’s saying: “Here, son, here’s another 3,000 calories today. We’d like for you to be so fat that you have a heart attack by your 27th birthday.”

So how do you hope to get parents to think about this in a different way?

A lot of it will be through the information we present in everything from public service announcements to trying to get doctors to put a new focus on [nutrition and exercise] when they talk to their patients. The entire community has got to become involved.

I liken it to the early ’60s when Lady Bird Johnson led the Keep America Beautiful campaign. We had an incredible litter problem — not that we still don’t — but it was so much worse then. People would just throw things out, and there was no social penalty for that. There was no sense of this is wrong. And through that awareness, people changed their image of litter.

The same thing has happened with tobacco. Whereas smoking once was considered glamorous and all the cool people did it, it’s increasingly becoming something that is considered obnoxious. We don’t tolerate it on airplanes. We insist on no-smoking rooms in hotels. Restaurants and workplaces are going smoke-free. By the same token, I think we have to change cultural attitudes about being overweight and about poor health.

Now, this is a tricky one because you don’t want to go out and make people feel an extraordinary sense of shame and guilt.

You talk about that in your book — how when you were overweight, you certainly knew that it was socially stigmatized.

It was one of my greatest personal points of pain. It wasn’t like I didn’t know that I was overweight. And it wasn’t like I wasn’t aware that people were disgusted with me over it. But the guilt trip did not help me get control of my health; it did not move me to action. That is going to be the dicey thing for us. But I think that instead of focusing on weight loss, you focus on health.

Americans are obsessed with weight, and that’s the wrong obsession. It’s ideal to have a body-mass index that’s in the normal range, but I think that most any doctor in America will tell you that a person who eats well and exercises regularly but may be a few pounds overweight is much better off than the person who is skinny but eats junk food and is sedentary.

What do you see as the government’s duty in taking on obesity?

I think a lot of it is to create incentive, to reinforce positive behavior rather than to prohibit hurtful behavior. And here’s why: Americans just don’t respond to being told by anybody, especially the government, what they can and cannot do. I think Prohibition proved that. We have to create an atmosphere in which people see that being healthy is in their own best interest, and where it’s financially advantageous to them, whether it’s the $20 a month off health insurance or something else.

We’re working on a plan in Arkansas where employees would get points for healthy choices — everything from not smoking, exercising and maintaining normal body weight all the way to wearing seat belts. And then we would reward employees with paid days off, and maybe even cash benefits, because if they’re healthy, it’s actually in our best interest.

In the governor’s office, we’re letting employees have up to 30 minutes a day, during work, for exercise and activity. We started it in our office [after] I realized that by letting state employees who smoked take smoke breaks, we were rewarding the wrong people.

Your book is really about inspiring people to find the motivation not just to diet but to adopt a healthier lifestyle permanently. But if individual motivation is the crucial thing, in your view, how can the government help?

The oath of Hippocrates was: “First, do no harm.” The first thing the government can do is just not do any harm. And frankly, it does a lot of harm when it wants to start being the sugar sheriff or the grease police; if it moves this from a discussion on healthy behaviors to a point of taking over people’s lives, it’s going to lose the battle, because the American people will rebel.

If you start saying, we’re going to tax cheeseburgers more than we tax lettuce, and we’re going to charge every overweight person more to ride on the roadways because [they're] busting up the asphalt with [their] big fat rear, it’s going to absolutely be a disaster. I know I was never motivated to change because someone tried to force me. It was the least effective thing when people would come up to me and tell me how fat I was and how hideous I looked. It may have made me angry, it may have made me wish I wasn’t, it may have made me want to find out what airline seat they were sitting in and go sit beside them — but it did not motivate me to change.

But public attitudes about tobacco have changed, and hasn’t that partly been through higher taxes and all the government regulations about where you can and cannot smoke, as well as the lawsuits against the tobacco companies?

I think that it has to a degree. But there are two fundamental things that are different. No. 1, government has acted more as a response to public sentiment than it has in order to create public sentiment. Government acted only when enough people said: “We’re sick of this. We want clean air. Enforce clean air.”

And the second thing is that there are some unique things about tobacco that are not common to food. Tobacco is the only product that we legally sell that, when used according to the label instructions, is absolutely guaranteed to kill you. Whereas food is necessary to sustain life.

People have to eat; nobody has to smoke. And then the question is: How much is too much and who gets to make the decision? I think the city of Detroit talked about putting a special tax on fast food. But what’s fast food? A few minutes ago I went down to the little market a few blocks from my hotel, picked up a spinach salad and brought it back to the room to eat it. Was that fast food? It was healthy. Should I pay a tax on it just because I got it at the delicatessen as opposed to fixing it at home? That’s going to be a tough one. I don’t think that they’ll ever be able define it and make that work. Plus, I can go to McDonald’s and get a very healthy meal; sometimes I get a salad there, and it’s very good. I don’t have to get three Quarter Pounders.

What kind of pressure do you think government should put on business to serve healthier foods? You talked about trying to encourage them to, but you also said that the food industry is just responding to the market.

Interestingly enough, I’ve had several visits with major food company CEOs in the last several months, and they’re already gearing up in both their manufacturing and their marketing. Food companies know that the growth of the market is in healthier foods.

So you think that the public’s attitude is shifting, and that’s bringing the food companies along?

I do. More and more people like me are saying: “I’m looking at that label, and if it’s got partially hydrogenated vegetable oil, back on the shelf it goes.”

What role should the government have in deciding what food advertisers should be able to market to children?

I’m really a First Amendment guy when it comes to telling the media what they can do, because I don’t want the government telling you what you can write. I’m almost a libertarian when it comes to things like that, much to the surprise of many, even though I’m a conservative Republican, and a person of deep personal faith. I am very uncomfortable when people want to start choosing even what’s on the cable channels. Because you know, where does it stop?

There are a lot of things on television that are offensive to me, but that’s why I have an off button. And when enough people like me are disgusted with something and don’t watch it, then they’ll be a different kind of program. The reason some programs are continuing to proliferate is because whether or not I particularly like it or agree with it, there are folks out there that enjoy it. Art typically reflects the culture rather than necessarily creates it.

You write in the book that you’re opposed to lawsuits against food companies by people who believe that they’ve made them or their children fat. Why?

Because I think that that’s basically based on the outright, reckless, irresponsible greed of lawyers, and people who refuse to accept responsibility for their own actions and want to make excuses and blame others. I strongly believe the people who are like me — underexercised and overfed — have to stop making excuses.

I can’t go around whining all the time, blaming everybody else for the fact that I was overweight and in poor health. I was that way because I made bad choices. No one ever put a gun to my head and forced me back to the buffet for a second time.

One issue that’s been a hot-button one in your state is whether junk food should be banned in schools. As I understand it, vending machines are now banned in elementary schools in Arkansas but not in the higher grades. Why not extend it to all students?

We have banned it for the elementary kids, and I think that’s appropriate. These kids are so young that I don’t know that they are at a point where they can make good choices or would make good choices.

We may eventually ban junk food for high school kids too. But right now we want that decision to be made at the local level, with input from parents and the schools. In some cases, schools have contractual obligations, and we don’t want to disrupt that until those contracts are over. But we would like them to maybe look at not renewing restrictive contracts.

And we don’t want to be driven by assumptions and hysteria. We want a research-based approach to improving health — because the first time we do something that’s reacting to even a legitimate assumption and a study comes out and says that it’s not a factor, then I think we lose credibility.

With our BMI data, we’re preparing a study now; we’re going into our schools and forming test groups. Group 1 has unlimited access to vending machines with any kind of product they want, Group 2 has no vending machines whatsoever, and Group 3 gets vending machines, but the machines are filled with healthier options, like bottled water and juice. At the end of a year, you can see what has happened to the groups’ BMIs. Did the access to those machines make a significant difference? I think we’re going to find that it makes a slight difference, but most kids who are going to eat junk out of vending machines are [also] going to eat junk whether they bring it from home, go off campus to get it or just eat it after school.

A lot of people think: Just get vending machines out of the schools and make kids take P.E., and this whole thing is fixed. I don’t think so. And here’s why: Good health habits are more caught than taught. It has a whole lot more to do with the overall culture that a kid grows up with in his or her family than it does with just going to school.

Too many people want there to be a simple demon for why we’re in the shape we’re in, and there’s not. They want to blame the fast-food industry, or they want to blame the schools. I don’t think it’s that simple. Plus, that view totally removes parents. Parents have to understand that the school cannot be the vicarious parent.

I’m afraid that we’re creating this mind-set where a lot of parents drop their kids off at school like they’re dropping laundry off at the dry cleaners, expecting to pick them up with one-day service and that everything is going to be just fine. That’s totally unrealistic, and it’s completely unfair to teachers and to school systems to be given that kind of burden. The schools ought to be a part of it, but the school cannot be a substitute mother and father.

Don’t schools undermine what they’re teaching about nutrition in the classroom by serving unhealthy lunches or having vending machines full of junk food available?

The school lunches do have to get better — I don’t disagree with that. I think every school needs to look at its menu. It’s not that we’d say a kid could never eat a hot dog, but how many hot dogs should a kid eat? And should we fry foods in a school cafeteria? Maybe we should never fry foods there. We ought to serve more vegetables. When the USDA [U.S. Department of Agriculture] essentially ships in enormous amounts of subsidized food to schools, it’s maybe not the healthiest thing in the world. I think that government has to begin to reevaluate that.

Some people have suggested that you’re using your book tour to raise your national profile to run for president in 2008.

Well, I’m always flattered when somebody thinks that the primary reason I lost 110 pounds and got my health back is just as a political stunt.

That would be a very extreme political stunt.

Wouldn’t it, though? In fact, I could even go further and say that the reason I gained 110 pounds and almost died was so that I could then have this resurrection. That would really be a great political stunt.

It’s the nature of the public to assume that there’s an ulterior motive to everything you do. But, quite frankly, whether I’m going to run or not, I don’t know. I’m not being coy. I just simply don’t know. But I’m not going to go around saying: “Oh no, I would never even consider it.” If you get mentioned enough, and people keep talking to you, it’s something that you might consider. But right now it’s not something that’s front and center on the radar screen.

The health initiative is. I really am very passionate about it. I think that it’s an important thing. It may be more important than running for president.

In terms of the impact it could have?

Sure. I’m politically astute enough to know that just because I lost weight, started running and wrote a book about it, that’s not singularly enough of a qualification to say: “Yeah, this guy ought to be president.” Otherwise, Dr. Phil would be running; Oprah would be running. Actually, come to think of it, Oprah could get elected.

The many fictions of Huckabee’s abortion forum

Gingrich, Perry, Bachmann and Santorum genuflect to Iowa values voters -- and the former Arkansas governor

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The many fictions of Huckabee's abortion forumFormer governor of Arkansas, Michael Huckabee (Credit: AP/Keith Srakocic)

Yes, there was another Republican presidential forum in Iowa last night, an opportunity for four candidates to outdo each other as saviors of babies and makers of elaborate promises about overturning Roe v. Wade.

The Family Leader, whose leader Bob Vander Plaats spoke at the event, already had its own “social issues” forum a few weeks ago. And before that, there was plenty of anti-choice red meat at Sen. Jim DeMint’s, R-S.C., forum. But none of that abundant genuflecting to values voters sufficed — it wasn’t enough to erase the massive sense of grievance the candidates were clearly trying to mobilize.

You wouldn’t want to play a drinking game pegged to the outright lies and distortions told at the event, hosted by Citizens United and Mike Huckabee, whose documentary “The Gift of Life” also premiered. It was attended by Newt Gingrich, Rick Perry, Michele Bachmann and Rick Santorum. (Mitt Romney and Ron Paul had other commitments.) It was the stuff of stomach-pumping. President Obama notoriously supported Kathleen Sebelius’ decision to overrule the FDA and keep Plan B away from most teenagers, but Bachmann made it sound like Obama wanted to give your tween daughter “the morning-after abortion” pill anyway. How’s that for compromise and reason? (Since it may need to be said again, emergency contraception doesn’t end a pregnancy. It prevents ovulation.) Nearly everyone made repeated references to federally funded abortions, which under the Hyde Amendment remain practically nonexistent. And Bachmann made her favorite baseless claim, that “repealing Obamacare” is a pro-life cause, despite the fact that the Affordable Care Act didn’t change the status quo on abortion coverage, much to pro-choicers’ disappointment.

Throughout the evening, it was clear that even though it feels like reproductive rights are under assault from every angle, anti-choicers still feel like they’re losing and that no one cares about them.

“Why is it that the pro-lifers are always told to stand against the wall?” asked Bachmann plaintively, assuring the audience that they wouldn’t have to wait their turn in a Bachmann administration. (They just might have to wait a very, very long time for a Bachmann administration.)

That sense of beleaguerment is Santorum’s specialty — it fuels resentment to have never experienced a bump in the polls. He mimicked the press asking him, “ ‘Are the social issues really as important? And isn’t just the economic issues? Oh, it’s just the economic issues.’ I always tell the press, has the vote yet been cast?” He insisted that abortion (and implicitly, homosexuality) “are not these unique set-aside issues.”

Then it got really motivational. “You may think we’re failures. We’re not. We’re not,” Santorum insisted.

It depends how you measure success. As I reported recently, the anti-choice movement has succeeded in passing lots of laws that make abortion odious, shaming and expensive, but they have no widespread public support for an outright ban of abortion, a handful of Iowa voters aside. Not only does the movement keep having its hand slapped by the federal courts, it’s split by a debate over how to push its legislative agenda in the first place. The incrementalists, however miserable they are making women’s lives, have a pretty strong argument that their way is best, even if they wouldn’t have gotten applause at the forum tonight.  A total ban in Mississippi, the Personhood amendment, that would also have gone after birth control and IVF, failed at the ballot box. Just today, the leader of the Ohio Senate suspended debate on the so-called Heartbeat Bill, which was trying to ban first-trimester abortions.

None of this is reason for pro-choicers to take a breather, but if anti-choicers feel like failures, it’s probably because the majority of the country doesn’t agree with them.

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Irin Carmon

Irin Carmon is a staff writer for Salon. Follow her on Twitter at @irincarmon or email her at icarmon@salon.com.

GOP elites think Perry’s unelectable, but GOP voters disagree

What Tim Pawlenty's endorsement of Mitt Romney means, and why he might be misguided

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GOP elites think Perry's unelectable, but GOP voters disagreeRick Perry, Tim Pawlenty and Mitt Romney

Thrilling campaign update: Loser Tim Pawlenty, a former candidate who never actually had very much support from anyone, has made his endorsement! He is going for Mitt Romney. And I’m sure the voters who supported Pawlenty will fall in line, besides the ones who only supported Pawlenty because he was supposed to be the non-Romney candidate with the best shot at winning. Pawlenty says he is supporting Romney because of Romney’s record and his positions, but in his Fox and Friends appearance this morning, Pawlenty gave away the real reason:

“Gov. Romney wants to fix Social Security. He doesn’t want to abolish it or end it,” Pawlenty said. “Gov. Perry has said in the past that he thought it was ‘failed.’”

In other words, Pawlenty thinks Romney is more electable and Rick Perry has too many positions and quotes that could be used against him in the general election.

Maggie Haberman notes that that Mike Huckabee, a guy who would’ve had a very good shot at the nomination had he decided to run, made that same point today, explicitly:

“What Tim [Pawlenty] is looking at is the fact that Mitt may be the most electable Republican,” said Huckabee….
[...]
Also, he said bluntly: “Perry hurt himself a lot with his Social Security talk and what he said may be technically true, but you go to South Florida or even any part of Florida or even the part where I live in the panhandle where you have a lot of retired people and essentially say that Social Security is a criminal enterprise, that’s problematic.”

So this segment of Republican elites does not think Perry is the best candidate to take on Barack Obama. You know who disagrees with them? Republican voters.

A new CNN poll shows that Republicans think Perry is the most electable candidate, “with 42 percent saying he has the best chance of beating Obama next year.” Romney’s at 26%. The story isn’t that Perry is the most electable — I think Huckabee is basically accurate — it’s that Republican voters have convinced themselves that Perry can win, because they like him the most.

A party is probably better off going with someone who excites people — like Barack Obama! — than someone who won the nomination because everyone convinced themselves that he was the most “electable” according to certain totally unscientific parameters — like John Kerry! — and the GOP always does well for itself by reaching just a bit further rightward than is currently politically acceptable. So Perry’s Social Security talk might hurt him in Florida. But Mitt Romney might strike everyone in America as an effete phony with no principles. Either one could win if the economic situation continues to suck. Perry’s only slightly higher risk, with potentially much greater reward.

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

God is endorsing numerous GOP candidates

New York magazine notes that multiple candidates claim to have got the nod from on high

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God is endorsing numerous GOP candidatesGod (depicted here by Michelangelo) spreads his conservative endorsements liberally

Our hats go off this morning to New York magazine’s Dan Amira for a catch of Biblical proportions: God, he notices, seems to be backing multiple GOP candidates for 2012. Hermain Cain, Michele Bachmann and Rick Santorum all claim to have got the nod from the big guy upstairs to run for president. As Amira notes:

Over the course of the past few months and even years, God has sent signs and direct messages to each of these candidates encouraging them to run, presumably without telling them that he supports other candidates as well.

God may have further hedged his bets too. According to BuzzFlash, “Tim Pawlenty’s 28-year-old wunderkind of a campaign manager, acknowledged that before he joined Team Pawlenty, he “prayed deeply” over his future path. Ayers concluded that God had “called” him “to a higher purpose,” and that higher purpose is leading Pawlenty to victory in November 2012.

Meanwhile, God reportedly made it very clear that he didn’t want Mike Huckabee to be president, “lest he take his focus off the much more important task of producing a series of conservative American history DVDs,” reports Amira.

While Santorum, Bachmann and Cain all claim God’s endorsement, it’s worth noting that, despite the deity’s posited omnipotence, his campaign support isn’t always a golden ticket: Huckabee said God wanted him to be president in 2007 and Sarah Palin’s VP run was reportedly “God’s plan” (although I suppose that all worked out rather well in the end for the Alaskan former governor). And, to be fair, George W. Bush said God wanted him to run the country, and despite trials such as election results, that happened.

Notably God did not seem to endorse Newt Gingrich. But nonetheless, it’s not a great track record for a supposedly Supreme Being and looking at his 2012 bets, hedged as they are, it doesn’t look like a divine endorsement is as heavenly as one might hope.

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Natasha Lennard covers the Occupy movement for Salon. A British-born, Brooklyn-based journalist, she has been covering Occupy Wall Street since before the first sleeping bag was unrolled in Zuccotti Park. One of the first journalists arrested at an Occupy action, she has managed to enrage Andrew Breitbart, Rush Limbaugh and Glenn Beck. You can follow her on Twitter (@natashalennard), and email her any Occupy updates/videos/ideas to natasha.lennard@gmail.com

With Huckabee out, the GOP nomination is definitely Herman Cain’s to lose

The former pizza magnate is the rising star of the Republican race

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With Huckabee out, the GOP nomination is definitely Herman Cain's to loseHerman Cain and Mike Huckabee

Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee would rather host a talk show and produce a children’s edutainment cartoon than be president. I can respect that decision. While his withdrawal may appear to help frontrunner Mitt Romney, who now actually has a shot at winning Iowa, or maybe Tim Pawlenty, who could absorb some of the Huckabee supporters who refuse to switch to Mitt, true political junkies know that one man now stands poised to seize control of the race: Herman Cain, Tea Party pizza magnate.

Cain, the former CEO of Godfather’s Pizza (and head of the restaurant industry’s lobbying organization), has been unfairly written off as an unserious candidates by the elites, because he’s never won an election to anything before and he’s very silly. But GOP voters have caught Cain fever. After Frank Luntz’s focus group almost unanimously declared Cain the “winner” of the May 5 South Carolina debate, Cain took the Georgia Republican Party convention by storm and won the Tea Party Fort Lauderdale straw poll. As Tea Party Fort Lauderdale goes, so goes Tea Party West Des Moines.

Nate Silver has declared Cain “the most Huckabee-like of the other Republican candidates,” according to his mystic number sorcery. Cain is the thin, black Huckabee with private sector experience. He is unstoppable.

Sure, he has absolutely no clue what to even say on foreign policy and his sole domestic policy prescription seems to be the rebranded flat tax, and a great deal of his support seems to be related to white Republicans’ resentful touchiness about being accused of hating Barack Obama for reasons informed by his race, but none of that changes the fact that Herman Cain will definitely be our second black president.

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

Mike Huckabee to announce ’12 plans Saturday night

He'll announce on his Fox News show Saturday night whether he plans to "explore" a presidential bid

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Mike Huckabee to announce '12 plans Saturday nightMike Huckabee

Mike Huckabee is promising to make “a very special announcement” on his weekly Fox News show Saturday night about his 2012 intentions.

“Governor Huckabee will announce tomorrow night on his program whether or not he intends to explore a presidential bid,” Woody Fraser, the show’s executive producer, said. “He has not told anyone at Fox News Channel his decision.”

The key word in that statement may be “explore.” As Taegan Goddard pointed out earlier, it would be legally problematic if Huckabee were to use his Fox News platform to formally declare a presidential candidacy. But he could probably get away with saying that he’s decided to leave the show and that he’ll be looking into the possibility of maybe eventually launching a 2012 campaign.

It may be that his hand is being forced. Huckabee has tried to remain above the GOP fray, refusing to participate in candidate cattle calls and to accept debate invitations, but a report earlier this month suggested that Fox executives — who previously suspended likely White House candidates Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum from their roles as paid commentators — had given him until the end of May to declare whether he was running. (Huckabee’s camp has disputed this, contending that the former Arkansas governor won’t make any decision until sometime this summer.)

It’s also possible, of course, that he’ll use the occasion to put the White House chatter to rest, declaring that he has no intention of even exploring a presidential run next year and reaffirming his commitment to his television show.

But it’s hard to ignore his producer’s use of the word “explore.” There would be no need to be so precise if Huckabee were simply planning to say he doesn’t want to run for president. It may be a head fake, but it sure seems like he’s ready to take a serious step toward running.

If he does enter the race, Huckabee would be formidable. Not only does he consistently run at or near the top of the GOP pack in polls, but he also consistently ranks (among Republicans) as one of the most broadly popular national figures — with positive ratings much higher than any of the other likely ’12 candidates. Huckabee’s 2008 campaign was cursed by its image as an amateur operation, and by his inability to draw significant support from non-Christian conservatives. Polls suggest he’s broadened his appeal since then, although the scrutiny of a presidential campaign could undo the progress he’s made and force him back into the role of a niche candidate.

At the very least, Huckabee — who won the 2008 Iowa caucuses by 9 points — would enter the race as the prohibitive favorite in the lead-off caucus state. Much like Bob Dole in the run-up the 1996 campaign, he would run with the title “President of Iowa” – meaning that the pressure to post another convincing victory there would be high.

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Steve Kornacki

Steve Kornacki writes about politics for Salon. Reach him by email at SKornacki@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @SteveKornacki

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