Mark Benjamin
A dry plan
Louisiana's official hurricane plan says absolutely zero about how to handle an evacuation once New Orleans is flooded.
Engineers have warned for decades that a massive hurricane might drown New Orleans. So why are the efforts to evacuate the city in such chaos? Didn’t somebody have a plan?
Well, yes, kind of. The “Southeast Louisiana Hurricane Evacuation and Sheltering Plan” does note that a hurricane the strength of Katrina might push a 20-foot storm surge into New Orleans, that levees might break, pumps might fail, and the drinking water supply, electricity and sewage system might go kaput. The plan “prescribes the actions to be taken at each stage of a catastrophic hurricane emergency.”
But the plan doesn’t mention anything about how a killer hurricane might make evacuating the city rather tricky, much less a logistical nightmare. In fact, it says absolutely zero about how to handle an evacuation once the city is flooded.
The plan appears on the Web site of the state’s Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness under a button labeled “Plans.” It was last revised in January 2000 and goes hand-in-hand with the state’s Emergency Operations Plan, which outlines government agencies’ responsibilities in big emergencies.
Mark Smith, the office spokesman, did not return requests for comment on the plan. In a conference call with reporters on Wednesday, Walter Baumy, chief of the Army Corps engineering division in New Orleans, says authorities could not have anticipated Katrina’s impact. “There was a plan in place,” Baumy said. “[Katrina's impact] was much more than envisioned. The city has never seen anything like this.”
According to the plan, state officials had a good idea how a storm like Katrina would deluge the city. “Tidal surge, associated with the ‘worst case’ Category 3, 4 or 5 Hurricane Scenario for the Greater New Orleans Metropolitan Area,” it reads, “could cause a maximum inundation of 20 feet above sea level in some of the parishes in the region, not including tidal effects, wind waves and storm rainfall.”
The evacuation planners also knew that New Orleans could not handle that much water. “The area is protected by an extensive levee system, but above normal water levels and hurricane surge could cause levee overtopping or failures,” it reads. It also says the city’s now-famous pumps might give out, and that a catastrophic hurricane would result in “complete roof failure on many residences and industrial buildings” and might require a “massive evacuation.” It just does not say how to do that when 80 percent of New Orleans is underwater.
The plan states that to avoid danger, most people should get in their cars and drive away before the storm comes. “The primary means of hurricane evacuation will be personal vehicles,” it reads. School buses and government vehicles will move everybody without a car. Interstate highways will be converted into one-way outbound evacuation routes (All of that did happen.)
When the approaching storm produces high winds and rising water, the evacuation routes should be closed when driving gets dangerous. “As evacuation routes are closed, people who are still in the risk area will be directed to last resort refuge within the area,” the plan reads. It is unclear if the authors understood that as many as 100,000 people might be left behind or might decide to stay in the city.
That’s it. The rest of the document outlines how to let residents back into New Orleans. It says roads should be clear, flood waters should have receded, and public utilities should be up and running. It says nothing about when people can return. Officials now estimate that fixing the levees and getting the pumps working to dry out the city might take 30 days. Mayor C. Ray Nagin predicts that residents won’t be able to return to the city for 16 weeks.
Hindsight is 20-20. But the state’s hurricane evacuation plan appears to have been nearly blind to the devastation in store. It says nothing about people having to be air-lifted from their rooftops. It says nothing about how looting, violence or sheer desperation-driven anarchy might overtake the city. It says nothing about untold gallons of chemicals, gasoline, excrement and dead bodies floating through the city. It does say, though, that people should get in their cars and drive away before the storm, or hide in the Superdome, until the water recedes.
The 10 most terrifying would-be congressmen
Slide show: One may have dry-fired a gun near his ex-wife, another may have gotten away with murder
The thing about wave elections is that you never know until the very end who will wash ashore.
That the Republicans will gain seats — probably a lot of seats — in next week’s midterms is not in dispute. But don’t be fooled by their claims of a looming mandate: They really haven’t done anything to deserve it. The GOP is simply benefiting from the same rule of politics that boosted Democrats in 2008 and 2006: When voters are angry, they take it out on the party that runs Washington.
Continue Reading Close“War on terror” psychologist gets giant no-bid contract
The Army has handed a $31 million deal to Dr. Martin Seligman, who once blasted academics for "forgetting 9/11"
Left: Marty Seligman. A Guantanamo detainee sits alone inside a fenced area during his daily outside period, at Guantanamo Bay U.S. Naval Base, Cuba.
The Army earlier this year steered a $31 million contract to a psychologist whose work formed the psychological underpinnings of the Bush administration’s torture program.
The Army awarded the “sole source” contract in February to the University of Pennsylvania for resilience training, or teaching soldiers to better cope with the psychological strain of multiple combat tours. The university’s Positive Psychology Center, directed by famed psychologist Martin Seligman, is conducting the resilience training.
Continue Reading Close“Everyone just wants to kill people at any cost”
What Adam Winfield, one of the U.S. soldiers accused of killing civilians in Afghanistan, told his father
Emma and Christopher Winfield hold a photograph of their son, 22-year-old U.S. Army Spc. Adam Winfield, at their home in Cape Coral, Fla., Friday, Sept. 3, 2010. Adam is accused of murdering civilians during his deployment to Afghanistan, a charge he and his family firmly refute. (AP Photo/Erik Kellar)(Credit: Erik Kellar) One of the five U.S. soldiers accused of murdering Afghan civilians in a grisly case now unfolding in Washington state sent Facebook messages to his father early this year in which he claimed to be mortified that his fellow soldiers had purposely killed a civilian. In the messages, Spc. Adam Winfield also indicated that the murder was an open secret among the members of his platoon, and that no one seemed to think it was a big deal.
Winfield wrote his father, Chris, on Feb. 14 about his concern that two members of his platoon had the previous month murdered “some innocent guy about my age just farming.” The correspondence from that day illustrates the young soldier’s horror at the murder, and also reveals a shocking indifference about the killing among the other troops in his platoon.
Continue Reading CloseWhat Islamophobia really threatens
Two new reports shine light on the crucial role American Muslims play in stopping terrorism in the United States
A young Muslim American woman holds the U.S. flag at the Islamic Center of America in Dearborn, Michigan on March 26. With the volume of Islamophobia on the rise in the United States, a recent report prepared for Congress and new law enforcement data are shining fresh light on the significant role American Muslims play in foiling terrorist plots, particularly those of the domestic “homegrown” variety.
The report from the Congressional Research Service, sent to Congress with little fanfare on September 20, contends that soon after 9-11, American Muslims “recognized the need to define themselves as distinctly American communities who, like all Americans, desire to help prevent another terrorist attack” and explores how federal, state and local law enforcement organizations responded by tapping into American Muslims’ language skills, contacts, information and cultural insights.
Continue Reading CloseSo, did Christine O’Donnell break the law?
And if she has spent campaign money illegally, will she pay any price for it?
FILE - In this Friday, Sept. 17, 2010 file photo, Delaware Republican Senate candidate Christine O'Donnell delivers remarks at Values Voter Summit in Washington. Comedian Bill Maher is digging up clips of Delaware GOP Senate candidate Christine O'Donnell's past appearances on his shows, including one in which she says she "dabbled in witchcraft." (AP Photo/Manuel Balce Ceneta, File)(Credit: Manuel Balce Ceneta) Christine O’Donnell has been accused twice recently of violating campaign finance laws. The Tea Party-backed GOP Senate candidate in Delaware has dismissed the allegations, characterizing the complaints as unwarranted, politically motivated smears.
A review of her campaign finance records filed with the Federal Elections Commission, interviews with attorneys familiar with campaign finance law, and a review of her own public statements suggests O’Donnell has almost certainly flouted the law. The attorneys agree, but say she is likely to face little penalty from the FEC.
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