Football
AFC West preview
It's the Chargers' division. Everyone else just lives in it. Except the Raiders.
The AFC West has one thing going for it. It’s not as bad as the NFC West.
Here’s another: The San Diego Chargers, again, appear to be a legitimate Super Bowl contender.
The Denver Broncos have staggered for the last couple of years as their traditional strengths, the offensive line, the running game, stopping the opponent’s running game and the ability to turn the team over on the fly, have failed them. Still, the Broncos are never a terrible bet to at least contend. The Kansas City Chiefs and Oakland Raiders will reportedly field teams.
The following is in order of predicted finish.
1. San Diego Chargers (11-5, first place in 2007)
The Chargers made it to the AFC Championship Game last year, but their best player, LaDainian Tomlinson, could only watch with an injured knee. Quarterback Philip Rivers and star tight end Antonio Gates played, but were limited by injury.
Tomlinson is back, though the clock is starting to tick on his great career. If San Diego’s going to win with L.T., they might want to do it this year.
But that’s not to say the Chargers’ window is closing. They’re a deep team and, the ancient 29-year-old superstar running back notwithstanding, they’re young. If A.J. Smith were working three time zones to the east, he’d be the most famous general manager in the league after Bill Parcells.
The Chargers have the horses but they’re still dealing with injuries. Rivers has an embarrassment of riches in Tomlinson, Gates and receivers Chris Chambers and Vincent Jackson. But Rivers is returning from ACL surgery. Not very mobile in the first place, Rivers could really struggle in the face of strong pass rushes. Gates is still hobbled by his surgically repaired toe.
The defense, led by linebacker Shawne Merriman and cornerback Antonio Cromartie, got a lot better last year after a rough start under new coordinator Ted Cottrell, but Merriman looks like he’ll play this season on a bum knee.
If all the health issues don’t overwhelm them, the Chargers could again be one of the usual suspects in the AFC. This column remains unconvinced that head coach Norv Turner, who’s best suited to employment as an offensive coordinator, is capable of leading a team to a championship, but believe it or not, this column has been wrong about that sort of thing before. Once.
2. Denver Broncos (7-9, second place in 2007)
The Broncos’ long run of success was built on strong lines. They’ve been able to run — finding a new 1,000-yard runner hanging around the practice field every season for a while — and stop the run. They’ve failed at drafting but succeeded at signing impact free agents.
But the ground is changing in the NFL. As “Pro Football Prospectus 2008″ points out, the rising salary cap has allowed teams to hang on to pretty much all of the players they want to hold on to. “To build a team around free agents, therefore, effectively requires a team to turn another team’s castoffs into its own building blocks,” Football Outsiders author Ned Macey writes in “PFP.”
Be the New England Patriots, in other words.
After a couple of mediocre seasons, Broncos chief Mike Shanahan appears to have figured that out, and Denver didn’t make a free-agent splash this summer. Instead, Shanahan engineered a front-office and staff shake-up and cut some key skill-position players. That done, this is more his team than ever, and he could pay if the Broncos don’t rebound.
With continued improvement from quarterback Jay Cutler, that’s something of a possibility, but there’s not a lot of reason to believe the Broncos will be any better against the run than they were a year ago. This is going to be a rebuilding year in Denver. But since it’s also a rebuilding year in Kansas City and Oakland, and they’ve got more to build, and the Broncos get to play them four times, everything going right might mean the Broncos get to hang around the fringes of the playoff picture for a while.
3. Kansas City Chiefs (4-12, tied for third in 2007)
There’s a saying in various Southern states: “Thank God for Mississippi.” However bad things might be in, say, Tennessee or Arkansas or Alabama, the people could always take comfort that it was worse for their benighted cousins in Mississippi.
For the last few years, however bad things have gone for AFC West teams, they could always say, “Thank God for the Oakland Raiders.” But last year, the Chiefs couldn’t even say that. They tied the Raiders for last place at 4-12. That was the first time the Raiders weren’t alone in last since 2003, when the Chargers shared the cellar with them.
The Chiefs are in full overhaul mode, going young and trying to rebuild through the draft. They’ve taken a little heat for not doing anything to improve on Brodie Croyle at quarterback, but they’ve got a ways to go before that starts to really matter.
This season will be a success if the Chiefs are competitive and it looks like the youngsters are starting to come together. Kansas City has one thing going in its favor: The Raiders are trying to rebuild too. Thank God for them.
4. Oakland Raiders (4-12, tied for third in 2007)
Remember how I said I like it when teams use a top pick on a lineman because it shows right thinking about how to rebuild? The Raiders had the fourth pick. They need about six of everything. They took a running back, Darren McFadden. The next eight players drafted were linemen or linebackers.
If JaMarcus Russell, the quarterback the Raiders took with the top pick in 2007, ahem, turns out to be the greatest quarterback ever, right here in his first full season — he staged a boneheaded holdout and missed the preseason as a rookie — the Raiders just might win six games.
All NFL previews
King Kaufman is a senior writer for Salon. You can e-mail him at king at salon dot com. Facebook / Twitter / Tumblr More King Kaufman.
Can Tebow find salvation?
Updated: After losing his job in Denver, evangelicals' favorite jock faces an uncertain future in New York.
Tim Tebow (Credit: Reuters/Rick WIlking) [UPDATED BELOW]
You don’t need to be an evangelical Christian to care about the future of Tim Tebow. I’m a lapsed atheist myself. But with the resurrection of quarterback Peyton Manning in Denver, I wonder most about the future of the spiritual scrambler, who led the Broncos to the playoffs last year.
The Broncos signing Manning to replace Tebow is a no-brainer. He may be diminished by age and injury, but he is also the best quarterback of our time, not because he is a brilliant coach’s puppet (Tom Brady) or an on-field, off-field brute (Ben Roethlisberger) but by virtue of a fierce work ethic and a concentrated intelligence that is contagious and inspirational. Whatever is left at age 35 of him will make the Broncos better.
Continue Reading CloseRobert Lipsyte is a former New York Times sports columnist. His new memoir, "An Accidental Sportswriter," has just been published. More Robert Lipsyte.
The Super Bowl is not a job creator
Despite what civic boosters say, hosting the big game provides few long-term benefits
(Credit: AP/Michael Conroy) Roger Goodell, the commissioner of the National Football League, argued on “60 Minutes” last Sunday that the NFL is one professional organization designed to appeal to the economic interests of the little guy: Its revenue-sharing model, he said, gives a fighting chance to squads from Green Bay and Buffalo as well as to those from large media markets like New York, Los Angeles and Boston.
On the eve of the Super Bowl, Goodell was touting the familiar idea that the sport’s biggest game is a boon to economic development. But with the cost of a ticket now averaging $3,982 and 30-second television spots selling for $3.5 million, the Super Bowl can appear to be more an occasion for ostentatious excess than an engine of development.
Continue Reading CloseAlexander Heffner is a freelance journalist whose writing has appeared in the New York Times, Washington Post, and Boston Globe. More Alexander Heffner.
Political lessons from this year’s Super Bowl
From jobs to health care, football's big game illustrates the factors that will dominate the 2012 election
New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady (Credit: AP Photo/Elise Amendola) Most Americans won’t need a justification to watch Sunday’s game, but if you’re a Salon reader you might think, even in passing, that celebrating the holiest day of violence, consumerism and class warfare on your couch is a betrayal of your values or a waste of your time. You might even imagine that it would be better to take a hike, read a book or meditate.
Not this Sunday, buster. It’s an election season. You need to watch this game to fully understand how jobs, religion, leadership and healthcare dominate every American contest.
Continue Reading CloseRobert Lipsyte is a former New York Times sports columnist. His new memoir, "An Accidental Sportswriter," has just been published. More Robert Lipsyte.
Enjoy the game? For the true fan, it’s all about agony
The New York Giants are in the Super Bowl. But for one obsessive, the question is what time to take the Ativan
Ohio State football fans (Credit: AP) “The truth is,” Nick Hornby wrote in “Fever Pitch,” his book about his obsession with Arsenal and British football, “for alarmingly large chunks of an average day, I am a moron.”
That’s a wonderful sentence by one of my favorite writers, but if Hornby is only a moron for only large chunks of the average day, he is doing a lot better than I am. I can honestly report that for the last few months I have been an absolute idiot for all but very small portions of the day.
Continue Reading CloseTed Heller's latest novel, "Pocket Kings," will be published in March. He is also the author of the novels "Slab Rat" and "Funnymen." More Ted Heller.
Small blunders kill Super Bowl dreams
For fans of the 49ers and Ravens, the road to the big game is paved with pain
Kyle Williams loses it Just when it looked like the NFC and AFC championship games were going to last until the Super Bowl, two fatal blunders brought them to an abrupt close. The stunning conclusions to two of the most tense, evenly matched conference championship games in recent memory were a painful reminder that although football is a team game, one miscue by a single player can wipe out thousands of hours of collective blood, sweat and tears.
It will be a sad and lonely night for Baltimore Ravens’ kicker Billy Cundiff, whose shanked chip-shot 32-yarder gave the AFC championship to the New England Patriots. Kickers must have strong mental constitutions: in a sport where bonds between teammates are cemented in blood and pain, they are not always regarded as full-fledged comrades to begin with, and so when they screw up, it’s even harder for them to deal with. The mantra “short memory,” which defensive backs are constantly shouting at each other, applies in spades to kickers. Cundiff could use a tall glass of Milk of Amnesia.
Continue Reading CloseGary Kamiya is a Salon contributing writer. More Gary Kamiya.
Page 1 of 52 in Football