Baseball
The White Sox’s wild, wild, wild win
The Tigers uncorking a week's worth of wild pitches in one inning shows why there's no predicting in postseason baseball.
The Chicago White Sox’s 8-2 win over the Detroit Tigers in Monday’s rainout makeup game offered a great example of why postseason predictions are just plain silly. There aren’t enough games for predictions to make sense.
One of baseball’s newest clichés is that the postseason is a crapshoot. Monday’s wasn’t a playoff game, but it was a single must-win game for the White Sox. They did win, and how they did it wouldn’t have been mentioned if a million typists had been writing preview pieces at a million keyboards. Or a hundred monkeys, if you’re looking for similar brainpower.
Down 2-1 entering the bottom of the sixth against their former teammate, Freddy Garcia, the White Sox tied the game and loaded the bases without getting a hit. Garcia, in only his third start since returning from major shoulder surgery, walked Dewayne Wise to lead off the inning, then came out with a stiff shoulder after Wise stole second.
He was relieved by Armando Galarraga, a rookie who turned in a fine year as a starter for the Tigers, one of their bright spots. Galarraga threw two wild pitches to score Wise, then walked Jermaine Dye. Bobby Seay came in and threw another wild pitch, sending Dye to second. After striking out Jim Thome, Seay walked Paul Konerko intentionally and Ken Griffey Jr. unintentionally.
At this point you, the prognosticator, would have analyzed the teams’ strengths and weaknesses and thought about the matchups and had it all figured out, and then you would have watched three wild pitches in one inning, two of them by a starter pitching as a reliever.
In the first 161 games this season the Tigers averaged one wild pitch every 23 and a half innings. Galarraga averaged one every 44 and two-thirds. He threw four wild pitches all year, and then Monday he threw two in two minutes.
What, you hadn’t seen that coming?
After Seay — two wild pitches in 56 innings — added the third wild one, Gary Glover came in to face Alexei Ramirez, who hit Glover’s first pitch into the stratosphere for a grand slam and a 6-2 Sox lead. Glover had been cut loose by Tampa Bay in July and signed with Detroit in August. In 18 and two-thirds innings as a Tiger he’d given up a generous six home runs. On the year, six homers in 52 and two-thirds innings.
So OK, some things aren’t out of the blue.
But would the well-traveled punching bag — the Tigers are his eighth organization in 10 years, and only the first two traded him away; the others just released him — have been in the game if the generally not-wild Galarraga or Seay had been able to throw strikes or at least keep the ball away from the backstop?
We’ll never know, just as we couldn’t have known beforehand. It’s a funny game with funny bounces and a funny way of producing heroes and goats out of thin air. Luck and timing play too big a role in single games or short series for predictions to be anything more than a silly pastime.
If you tune in to Tuesday’s A.L. Central playoff game between the White Sox and the Minnesota Twins, the game the White Sox played their way into on Monday, and the announcers are earnestly asking each other who they think is going to win, understand that they’re just goofing around. Or they’re deluded.
Now, you can say intelligent things about an entire season, because there are enough games for the luck and out-of-character heroics or failures to even out and the best teams to rise to the top. And if you can do that, you’re one up on this column, as the good people at WhereIStand.com have been kind enough to point out.
Working this column’s side of the street a little bit, WhereIStand tracks the preseason predictions of a whole mess of typists and chatterers and then ranks them based on a formula that gives points for good predictions and takes points away for bad ones.
Out of 50 entrants, your justifiably humble servant finished 41st with his picks of the Yankees, Indians, Angels, Braves, Brewers and Diamondbacks as division champions. The formula’s too complicated for me to figure out, which isn’t saying anything, but I think the Brewers’ happy weekend helped me out, because late last week the WhereIStand people informed me I was in 45th place.
Most of the people down at the bottom of the list with me started the season thinking the Mariners were going to be a good team. That’s the kind of company I’m keeping. The most accurate picker of the 50 was the very smart Keith Law of ESPN. Nobody got more than four of the six division winners. I got one. All of which leads me to one inescapable conclusion:
The Twins are going to beat the White Sox Tuesday on a dropped third strike in the 11th inning.
King Kaufman is a senior writer for Salon. You can e-mail him at king at salon dot com. Facebook / Twitter / Tumblr More King Kaufman.
Guillen’s pro-Castro candor
The Miami Marlins' manager is lucky to get a suspension. Not so long ago, he might have received a car bomb.
A contrite Miami Marlins manager Ozzie Guillen gestures at a news conference on Tuesday. (Credit: AP/Lynne Sladky) There’s not much reason to doubt that baseball manager Ozzie Guillen admires Fidel Castro. He said so five years ago in an interview with Men’s Journal. When asked to name the toughest man he knew, Guillen replied, “Fidel Castro. He’s a bull—- dictator and everybody’s against him, and he still survives, has power. Still has a country behind him. Everywhere he goes, they roll out the red carpet. I don’t admire his philosophy; I admire him.’’
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Jefferson Morley is a staff writer for Salon in Washington and author of the forthcoming book, Snow-Storm in August: Washington City, Francis Scott Key, and the Forgotten Race Riot of 1835 (Nan Talese/Doubleday). More Jefferson Morley.
The year of the baseball book
From a treatise on Yankee hating to a "people's history," a number of great books covered the national pastime
A simple and unsettling calculation reveals to me that this year marks the 40th anniversary of my coming to New England and setting up shop as a Red Sox fan. How innocent I was in that distant day: how little I understood the faces etched with pain, the haunted eyes, the lips that writhed in uttering “Yankees.” It did not take long to become afflicted by the same symptoms and, in my time here, certain Yankee-related events have been so traumatic that they are best designated by numerals alone: 1978 and 2003. The ALCS of 2004 (when the Red Sox came from a 0-3 game deficit to vanquish the evil ones) changed the region’s mental landscape — as, of course, did the subsequent World Championship(s). Since then, Yankee hating has become more of a pleasant pastime than a crippling mental and spiritual disorder.
Continue Reading CloseThe Marlins’ bizarre new look
The team's revamped logo involves a whimsical rainbow swoosh. The effect is anything but intimidating
So far the biggest story to come out of baseball’s early off-season isn’t some splashy free agent signing or the abrupt retirement of St. Louis Cardinals manager Tony LaRussa, but that of the logo and uniform redesign of the Florida Marlins. The new look was officially announced on Friday, and if you haven’t seen them already, you might not believe your eyes. In fact, when some of the images of the new logo were leaked there was such shock and disbelief by the baseball world, most people assumed it was a farce, calling the look everything from “Hawaiian Shaved Ice” to “Push-up Pop” to “Rainbow Bright.”
Continue Reading CloseExonerating Bill Buckner
25 years after the Red Sox infielder's infamous World Series error, we look at what really happened that October
(Credit: AP) Bill Buckner’s error in the 1986 World Series – 25 years ago today, a day of infamy for Red Sox fans — is one of the two most famous plays in World Series history. (Willie Mays’ catch in the 1954 fall classic is the other.)
Like Mays’ over-the-shoulder catch, Buckner’s booboo is entrenched in American folklore. Jimmy Fallon’s Red Sox fanatic in “Fever Pitch,” distraught over breaking up with his girlfriend, watches Buckner’s play over and over on his VCR. During congressional hearings in 2008, U.S. Rep. John Yarmuth, D-Ky., called former Treasury Secretary John Snow, then-SEC chief Christopher Cox and former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan “three Bill Buckners.” On “Curb Your Enthusiasm” this season, Larry David loses a softball game when a ball rolls between his legs; his coach screams, “You Buckner-ed me!”
Continue Reading CloseAllen Barra's next book is "Mickey and Willie -- The Parallel Lives of Baseball's Golden Age," from Crown. More Allen Barra.
What baseball tells us about racism
Most home-plate umpires are white -- and they seem to be hurting the careers of minority pitchers
Despite recent odes to “post-racial” sensibilities, persistent racial wage and unemployment gaps show that prejudice is alive and well in America. Nonetheless, that truism is often angrily denied or willfully ignored in our society, in part, because prejudice is so much more difficult to recognize on a day-to-day basis. As opposed to the Jim Crow era of white hoods and lynch mobs, 21st century American bigotry is now more often an unseen crime of the subtle and the reflexive — and the crime scene tends to be the shadowy nuances of hiring decisions, performance evaluations and plausible deniability.
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David Sirota is a best-selling author of the new book "Back to Our Future: How the 1980s Explain the World We Live In Now." He hosts the morning show on AM760 in Colorado. E-mail him at ds@davidsirota.com, follow him on Twitter @davidsirota or visit his website at www.davidsirota.com. More David Sirota.
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