Baseball
Winning their fair share
It feels like Phillies fans have had to wait forever for another title, but if life were fair, a Phils championship would be ahead of schedule.
Philadelphia Phillies fans have been waiting a long, long time for a World Series championship. It’s been 28 years, a lifetime in many cases. It had been 15 years since the Phillies last won the National League. That’s a lot of waiting.
But it’s just about the right amount of time. It’s roughly the Phillies’ turn to win the Series. They’re not overdue.
There are 30 teams in the majors, 16 in the National League and 14 in the American. If life were fair and success were distributed evenly and everybody won their fair share of championships, the Phillies and every other N.L. team would win one pennant every 16 years, one World Series every 30.
Life isn’t fair. But the experience of Phillies fans, the feeling that they’ve been waiting so very, very long for the Phillies to win, shows that if life were fair, it wouldn’t feel very fair.
It’s true the Phillies brought some baggage to this 28-year stretch since their last World Series win. That 1980 championship was their first and before it their only two pennants in the World Series era, which began in 1903, had been won in 1915 and 1950. So the Phillies have a legacy of futility.
But unless you’re old enough to remember as far back as the 1964 collapse, that legacy is more story than experience. In the lifetimes of adults who are under 50 — which according to the Census Bureau is about two out of every three people over the age of 5 — the Phillies have been a reasonably successful franchise, with a World Series win, four pennants and nine playoff appearances since 1976.
There was a playoff drought between 1993 and 2007, so the success of the last two years has been new to anyone in their early 20s and younger. There was no postseason in 1994 because of the strike. The Phillies’ fair share of playoff appearances from 1995 to 2006 would have been three.
But in those 13 contested seasons between this Phillies pennant and the last one, six National League teams have gone without making the World Series. The Washington Nationals, Pittsburgh Pirates, Cincinnati Reds, Chicago Cubs, Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers all send along their sympathy to the Phillies for having to wait so long to get back to the Fall Classic.
In the 26 contested seasons since the Phillies won their World Series in 1980, 13 teams have failed to win it all. The Phillies have been waiting a long time, but their wait has only been middle-of-the-pack.
And the citywide championship drought, dating to the last 76ers NBA title in 1983, doesn’t earn Phillies fans any extra credit. If Red Sox and Cubs fans don’t get their martyrdom marked down for all the championships won by the Celtics, Patriots, Bulls and Bears, Phillies fans don’t win any points for also rooting for the Eagles, Flyers and Sixers.
The Tampa Bay Rays are also right on schedule in terms of winning the pennant. Playing in a 14-team league, they’ve won it in their 11th season. They’re behind on playoff appearances. If success were distributed evenly, this would be their third time in October.
I’ve been fascinated by this idea of teams winning their fair share of titles and pennants and playoff appearances for a while. Because a few teams have so dominated baseball history — the Yankees, A’s, Red Sox, Dodgers, Giants, Cardinals and Cubs — most teams have failed to win their fair share of the time. And because those successful franchises have set the standard, it feels like failure, like a long drought, when a team wins about its fair share of the time, as the Phillies have been doing for the last three decades or so.
Here is a chart showing how many pennants and World Series all 30 teams have won, compared to what their fair share would have been.
King Kaufman is a senior writer for Salon. You can e-mail him at king at salon dot com. Facebook / Twitter / Tumblr More King Kaufman.
Guillen’s pro-Castro candor
The Miami Marlins' manager is lucky to get a suspension. Not so long ago, he might have received a car bomb.
A contrite Miami Marlins manager Ozzie Guillen gestures at a news conference on Tuesday. (Credit: AP/Lynne Sladky) There’s not much reason to doubt that baseball manager Ozzie Guillen admires Fidel Castro. He said so five years ago in an interview with Men’s Journal. When asked to name the toughest man he knew, Guillen replied, “Fidel Castro. He’s a bull—- dictator and everybody’s against him, and he still survives, has power. Still has a country behind him. Everywhere he goes, they roll out the red carpet. I don’t admire his philosophy; I admire him.’’
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Jefferson Morley is a staff writer for Salon in Washington and author of the forthcoming book, Snow-Storm in August: Washington City, Francis Scott Key, and the Forgotten Race Riot of 1835 (Nan Talese/Doubleday). More Jefferson Morley.
The year of the baseball book
From a treatise on Yankee hating to a "people's history," a number of great books covered the national pastime
A simple and unsettling calculation reveals to me that this year marks the 40th anniversary of my coming to New England and setting up shop as a Red Sox fan. How innocent I was in that distant day: how little I understood the faces etched with pain, the haunted eyes, the lips that writhed in uttering “Yankees.” It did not take long to become afflicted by the same symptoms and, in my time here, certain Yankee-related events have been so traumatic that they are best designated by numerals alone: 1978 and 2003. The ALCS of 2004 (when the Red Sox came from a 0-3 game deficit to vanquish the evil ones) changed the region’s mental landscape — as, of course, did the subsequent World Championship(s). Since then, Yankee hating has become more of a pleasant pastime than a crippling mental and spiritual disorder.
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The team's revamped logo involves a whimsical rainbow swoosh. The effect is anything but intimidating
So far the biggest story to come out of baseball’s early off-season isn’t some splashy free agent signing or the abrupt retirement of St. Louis Cardinals manager Tony LaRussa, but that of the logo and uniform redesign of the Florida Marlins. The new look was officially announced on Friday, and if you haven’t seen them already, you might not believe your eyes. In fact, when some of the images of the new logo were leaked there was such shock and disbelief by the baseball world, most people assumed it was a farce, calling the look everything from “Hawaiian Shaved Ice” to “Push-up Pop” to “Rainbow Bright.”
Continue Reading CloseExonerating Bill Buckner
25 years after the Red Sox infielder's infamous World Series error, we look at what really happened that October
(Credit: AP) Bill Buckner’s error in the 1986 World Series – 25 years ago today, a day of infamy for Red Sox fans — is one of the two most famous plays in World Series history. (Willie Mays’ catch in the 1954 fall classic is the other.)
Like Mays’ over-the-shoulder catch, Buckner’s booboo is entrenched in American folklore. Jimmy Fallon’s Red Sox fanatic in “Fever Pitch,” distraught over breaking up with his girlfriend, watches Buckner’s play over and over on his VCR. During congressional hearings in 2008, U.S. Rep. John Yarmuth, D-Ky., called former Treasury Secretary John Snow, then-SEC chief Christopher Cox and former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan “three Bill Buckners.” On “Curb Your Enthusiasm” this season, Larry David loses a softball game when a ball rolls between his legs; his coach screams, “You Buckner-ed me!”
Continue Reading CloseAllen Barra's next book is "Mickey and Willie -- The Parallel Lives of Baseball's Golden Age," from Crown. More Allen Barra.
What baseball tells us about racism
Most home-plate umpires are white -- and they seem to be hurting the careers of minority pitchers
Despite recent odes to “post-racial” sensibilities, persistent racial wage and unemployment gaps show that prejudice is alive and well in America. Nonetheless, that truism is often angrily denied or willfully ignored in our society, in part, because prejudice is so much more difficult to recognize on a day-to-day basis. As opposed to the Jim Crow era of white hoods and lynch mobs, 21st century American bigotry is now more often an unseen crime of the subtle and the reflexive — and the crime scene tends to be the shadowy nuances of hiring decisions, performance evaluations and plausible deniability.
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David Sirota is a best-selling author of the new book "Back to Our Future: How the 1980s Explain the World We Live In Now." He hosts the morning show on AM760 in Colorado. E-mail him at ds@davidsirota.com, follow him on Twitter @davidsirota or visit his website at www.davidsirota.com. More David Sirota.
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