2012 Elections
And then there were two
With the Cain train off the tracks, Newt Gingrich emerges as the official Not Mitt Romney. Can he win?
Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich(Credit: AP) Herman Cain’s campaign was already going down under the weight of sexual harassment charges, as well as his own foreign and domestic policy ignorance. But the news that an Atlanta woman says she had a 13-year affair with the married Cain officially makes him just a punch line, not a presidential candidate. (Yes, some people can be both, but not Cain.)
We’ve been waiting for months for the race to narrow itself to Mitt Romney and the not-Mitt candidate, and it looks like it’s going to be Newt Gingrich. His strong debate performance last week combined with the endorsement of the Manchester Union Leader this weekend means he’s unlikely to rise and fall in GOP polling as rapidly as Cain or earlier not-Mitt candidates Rick Perry or Michele Bachmann. No one else is likely to rise to challenge him. Huntsman is too moderate (and Mormon) to be not-Mitt, and Ron Paul is too eccentric for Tea Party Astroturf types to get behind. Rick Santorum is Rick Santorum.
So goodbye, Herman Cain. I said the minute Cain began to trash his accusers that it would backfire on him, and it did. White says she only came forward because she saw the other women being mistreated. “It bothered me that they were being demonized, sort of, they were treated as if they were automatically lying, and the burden of proof was on them,” White told Atlanta’s Fox5. “I felt bad for them.” I feel bad for Cain’s wife. It’s worth noting that while Cain denies the affair to CNN, his attorney basically didn’t, issuing this not-terribly-helpful statement:
This is not an accusation of harassment in the workplace – this is not an accusation of an assault – which are subject matters of legitimate inquiry to a political candidate.
Rather, this appears to be an accusation of private, alleged consensual conduct between adults – a subject matter which is not a proper subject of inquiry by the media or the public. No individual, whether a private citizen, a candidate for public office or a public official, should be questioned about his or her private sexual life. The public’s right to know and the media’s right to report has boundaries and most certainly those boundaries end outside of one’s bedroom door.
The fact that Cain’s womanizing is going to help Gingrich, the serial adulterer, is beyond ironic. But whatever people think of Gingrich’s cheating on his first two wives, at least he’s admitted it; in fact, it’s become part of his Catholic convert redemption tale. Just Monday he told an interviewer: “I think anybody who is honest about it knows that no person except Christ has ever been perfect. I don’t claim to be the perfect candidate. I just claim to be a lot more conservative than Mitt Romney and a lot more electable than anybody else.” It’s classic Gingrich, comparing himself to Jesus Christ with faux-humility. But it’s possible Gingrich’s redemption story will ease some voters’ concerns about his character.
The real question is, when will Romney begin to fight back? Early in the campaign I wrote about what I thought was an effective, if dishonest, Romney ad attacking President Obama for the nation’s high unemployment rate. Romney’s been ignoring his GOP rivals from on high, letting Rick Perry punch himself into exhaustion as the Cain Love Train goes off the tracks. But if the Tea Party right begins to coalesce around Gingrich, Romney may find himself in trouble. It’s been clear in every poll, since the beginning of the campaign, that the right-wing not-Mitt candidates had far more support than Romney, who tends to max out in the high 20s. As long as they fought among themselves, he seemed safe, but if one emerged, it was clear he’d have a battle on his hands.
It looks like one has emerged. With six weeks until the Iowa caucuses, no one else has time to heat up – or reheat. Will Romney go on the attack? There’s plenty for him to hit Gingrich on. He can neutralize Newt’s complaints about his flip-flops with the long roster of Gingrich’s own, from the individual mandate to the Paul Ryan budget to climate change. He’s got a lot to work with in Gingrich’s well-documented history enriching himself via crony capitalism, which Sarah Palin and the Tea Party purport to oppose.
This race is about to get interesting. I’ll be discussing the latest on Cain, Gingrich and Romney on MSNBC’s “The Ed Show” at 8 ET.
Joan Walsh is Salon's editor at large. More Joan Walsh.
Florida purging voter rolls
Governor Rick Scott moves forward with a plan to disqualify thousands of mostly Hispanic and Democratic voters
Rick Scott (Credit: Reuters/Brendan McDermid) Hated Florida Governor Rick Scott has a great idea: A big, massive purge of the state’s voter roll right before a sure-to-be-close presidential election. The governor ordered his secretary of state to compile a list of registered voters who might not be citizens, based on an unreliable and out-of-date state motor vehicle administration database. The secretary of state made a list and then realized the list was not actually very useful or accurate. Then he resigned, and now Scott is just purging away.
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Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene More Alex Pareene.
Mitt Romney: Politics “like a sport”
What makes Mitt tick? The nominee says he likes politics because "I can't compete in competitive sports very well"
Republican presidential candidate and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney gestures as he leaves a campaign event in Hillsborough, New Hampshire May 18, 2012. (Credit: Reuters/Jessica Rinaldi) Mitt Romney may have unintentionally opened a window onto his somewhat obscured motivations for running for president in an interview with the Wall Street Journal’s Peggy Noonan today, explaining that he likes sports, but isn’t very good at them, so he does politics instead.
Asked about whether he likes “the game” of politics, the presumed GOP nominee replied, “I like competition, and I think the game [of politics] is like a sport for old guys. I mean, you know, I can’t compete in competitive sports very well, but I can compete in politics, and there’s the — what was the old ABC ‘Wide World of Sports’ slogan? ‘The thrill of victory and the agony of defeat.’ The only difference is victory is still a thrill, but I don’t feel agony in loss.”
Continue Reading CloseAlex Seitz-Wald is Salon's political reporter. Email him at aseitz-wald@salon.com, and follow him on Twitter @aseitzwald. More Alex Seitz-Wald.
Trump insinuates self into Romney campaign
How a toxic attention-seeker (not Newt) will likely end up speaking at the RNC
Businessman and real estate developer Donald Trump (L) greets Mitt Romney after endorsing his candidacy for president at the Trump Hotel in Las Vegas, Nevada February 2, 2012. (Credit: Reuters/Steve Marcus) So. Donald Trump again? Are we really doing this again? I guess we are!
There were stories, recently, in the usual places, about how Trump was being seriously considered for a major speech at the Republican Convention. I did not dwell on the story much, because I assumed that these rumors were a product of Donald Trump’s prodigious vanity and powerful imagination. Ha ha ha, sure, the Republicans will definitely want the stupid make-believe TV mogul who pretends to fire people for a living, at their big party.
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Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene More Alex Pareene.
“Battlefield Earth”: Romney vs. the Psychlos
The GOP's standard bearer calls L. Ron Hubbard's bizarro sci-fi epic his favorite novel. Is that cause for concern?
Republican presidential candidate and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney reads a book to children in Manchester(Credit: Brian Snyder / Reuters) There’s a scene near the end of “Battlefield Earth,” Scientology founder L. Ron Hubbard’s 1982 science fiction epic, that may explain a bit of why Mitt Romney has said (most recently this week) that it’s his favorite novel.
Our hero, Jonnie Goodboy Tyler, has just finished taking down the Psychlo empire, which has ruled Earth for the past millennium and has dominated most of the known 16 universes for going on 300,000 years. Now Jonnie has to negotiate with the alien powers who are jockeying to fill the power vacuum left behind, and things aren’t looking so good for the human race.
Continue Reading CloseDaniel Oppenheimer's book "Turncoats: The Journey from Left to Right and How It’s Transformed America," a political and intellectual history of six prominent American intellectuals who journeyed from the left to the right of the political spectrum, will be published by Simon and Schuster More Daniel Oppenheimer.
Will Latinos elect Obama?
Hispanic voters may not be as decisive a voting bloc as everyone assumes. Just look at the swing states
(Credit: AP/Jae C. Hong) The conventional wisdom is that the growing Latino vote is key to President Obama’s reelection prospects. By all accounts, Latinos favor the president over Mitt Romney by wider margins than they favored him over John McCain in 2008, when he won two-thirds of the Hispanic vote and captured crucial swing states with large Hispanic populations, including Colorado, Nevada and Florida. Bloomberg reported this week that lower-than-average unemployment in the key battleground states “coupled with the growth of adult minority populations in those states create a higher bar” for Romney in his quest to oust the incumbent.
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Jefferson Morley is a staff writer for Salon in Washington and author of the forthcoming book, Snow-Storm in August: Washington City, Francis Scott Key, and the Forgotten Race Riot of 1835 (Nan Talese/Doubleday). More Jefferson Morley.
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