Our broken system won’t be fixed by radical third parties: The U.S. needs a new centrist party now
Progress requires compromise and courage, which America's tribal political climate doesn't currently reward
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Donald Trump is now president. His unique approach to politics should not distract us from our real problem on the governance front: American politics has turned tribal.
Despite campaign promises to “drain the swamp” and change the ways of Washington, we predict that the next four years will be business as usual in America’s capital. Sure, there will be a flurry of legislative activity this year. Perhaps there will be some unfunded tax cuts or infrastructure spending. The one thing that can still bring Democrats and Republicans together is passing out goodies now that can be paid for by our children.
But real progress will require hard work, genuine compromise, and courage on Capitol Hill — three qualities that both parties seem allergic to. Mitch McConnell has already signaled that he’s willing to go it alone on major legislation — something for which he harshly criticized President Obama. The Democrats, ironically, will likely take a page out of McConnell’s playbook (circa 2014) and filibuster any serious piece of legislation with a Republican imprint.
Both major parties have conditioned their voters to view the other party as an enemy — a literal threat to America. Come the next election, it will be fear of that enemy, not legislative accomplishments, that they will rely on when running for office.
The status quo is not working — a message voters sent clearly in November. We fear the Trump presidency will not address any of our “termites in the basement” type challenges: mounting debt; stagnant middle-class incomes; rising health care, higher education and child care costs; climate change. Solutions to these kinds of problems require the two parties to work together, and the current Republican-Democrat trench warfare makes that unlikely, if not impossible.
We believe the only logical antidote to tribalism is to begin electing representatives who do not wear the gang colors of either side: centrist independents. The problem is systemic; the fix needs to be, too.
Here is a simple test. Can President Trump and Congress work to pass two significant pieces of legislation? The first is empowering Medicare to negotiate prescription drug prices, which both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton supported during the campaign. This should be a straightforward bipartisan effort that makes good on campaign promises and answers the call by many disaffected Americans for Washington to take on special interests like Big Pharma. Taking on the pharmaceutical industry would be proof positive that President Trump and the Congress were serious about draining the swamp.
The second is passing a budget that narrows the long-term debt outlook, as projected by the Congressional Budget Office. This is much harder, as it will require deep spending cuts and entitlement reforms or significant revenue increases. But it has to be done. Our current budget path is unsustainable, and the point of governance is to make hard decisions.
The Republicans will be averse to making those hard budget decisions without Democratic political cover. The Democrats, however, will not sign on to any budget compromise that gives the Trump administration a political win. In other words, more of the same.
