Just this past weekend, conservative activists were basking in the glow of victory. Dissatisfied with the local Republican Party's choice of a candidate in a special election to fill a Congressional seat in upsate New York, one Dede Scozzafava, they'd successfully wooed over some of the GOP's biggest names and then managed to drive Scozzafava from the race in favor of their favorite, third-party candidate Doug Hoffman.
Then, on Tuesday, the news wasn't so good: Hoffman, even with the backing of the Republican establishment newly granted to him, lost to Bill Owens, a Democrat who'd gone all but unnoticed in the commotion.
No matter, though. Because despite their candidate's ultimate defeat, some of the conservatives who'd been pushing hardest for Hoffman are still claiming victory.
RedState's Erick Erickson, who was instrumental in Hoffman's rise, had this to say shortly after the race was called for Owens:
This is a huge win for conservatives.
“Whaaaa. . . ?” you say.
There are two big victories at work in New York’s 23rd Congressional District.
First, the GOP now must recognize it will either lose without conservatives or will win with conservatives. In 2008, many conservatives sat home instead of voting for John McCain. Now, in NY-23, conservatives rallied and destroyed the Republican candidate the establishment chose.
I have said all along that the goal of activists must be to defeat Scozzafava. Doug Hoffman winning would just be gravy. A Hoffman win is not in the cards, but we did exactly what we set out to do — crush the establishment backed GOP candidate .... So we have demonstrated to the GOP that it must not take conservatives for granted.
Erickson also used the opportunity to make a threat related to another conservative upstart whose cause he's championing -- former Florida House Speaker Marco Rubio, who's taking on Gov. Charlie Crist in a Senate primary.
"For all intents and purposes, NY-23 is a trial run for Florida," Erickson wrote. "And in Florida, the conservative candidate is operating inside the GOP. If John Cornyn and the NRSC do not want to see Florida go the way of NY-23, they better stand down."
On her blog, Michelle Malkin had similar thoughts, writing:
Hoffman may have lost narrowly, but NY-23 is a much broader victory for conservatives who believe the Republican Party should stand for core limited government principles ....This is a victory of principle.
Better a donkey in office that acts like a donkey than a donkey in elephant’s clothing making a complete ass of the GOP.
Moreover, NY-23 is a victory for conservatives who refuse to be marginalized in the public square by either the unhinged left or the establishment right. A humble accountant from upstate New York exposed the hypocrisy of GOP leaders trying to solicit funds from conservatives by lambasting Pelosi and the Dems’ support for high taxes, Big Labor, and bigger government — while using conservatives’ money to subsidize a high-taxing, Big Labor-pandering, bigger government radical. The repercussions will be felt well beyond NY-23’s borders. Conservatives’ disgust with the status quo has been heard and felt. They have been silent too long. They will be silent no more.
It's easy to mock these sorts of reactions, and many liberals are doing so. It's also easy for liberals to celebrate their opponents' hard-headedness, hoping it will lead to more trouble for the Republican Party in the future. And that may well happen. But it's probably too early to write off the Ericksons and Malkins of the world completely -- once, the right was doing the same when it came to bloggers on the left like DailyKos' Markos Moulitsas. But now those forces have contributed to the Democratic Party's resurgence. Granted, Moulitsasa and company were working on a party that was much closer to the center than today's GOP, and that gave them an advantage, but there's still the chance that lightning could strike twice.
During the race for the 2008 Democratic presidential nomination, a previously-unknown group was suddenly all anyone in politics could talk about. The superdelegates -- a group of elected Democrats and Democratic National Committee officials -- held the votes that would decide the party's nominee. Though practically no one even knew they existed before the race began, by the end, the undeclared superdelegates' every cough was carefully studied.
Next time around, though, things are likely to be different. The Democratic Change Commission, a group created by the DNC to study the primary process, said Wednesday that it was recommending what amounts to the elimination of superdelegates.
If the commission's recommendation is approved by the DNC's Rules and Bylaws Committee, superdelegates would still have a vote; they just wouldn't have a choice about whom it went to. They'd be bound to go along with the state they represent.
Something like this has been coming for a while -- really, since around the time that Barack Obama officially became his party's nominee. Just before the Democratic convention, the campaign announced that it would ask the DNC to form the commission, and a reduction in the number of superdelegates was to be its primary focus. As is traditional, now that he's president, Obama and his people control the DNC, so it's no surprise the outcome of the commission's study would be something like this.
That said, though, it's unlikely that this change will have any impact for Obama himself. It's very rare for a sitting president to face real opposition in a party primary. But 2016 is going to be a whole different ballgame.
Even by his standards, former Vice President Cheney was particularly harsh on Wednesday in his criticism of President Obama and his administration's handling of terrorism and the attempted bombing of Northwest Flight 253. Now, White House Communications Director Dan Pfeiffer has responded in kind.
"I think we all agree that there should be honest debate about these issues, but it is telling that Vice President Cheney and others seem to be more focused on criticizing the Administration than condemning the attackers. Unfortunately too many are engaged in the typical Washington game of pointing fingers and making political hay, instead of working together to find solutions to make our country safer," Pfeiffer wrote in a post on the White House blog.
"To put it simply: this President is not interested in bellicose rhetoric, he is focused on action. Seven years of bellicose rhetoric failed to reduce the threat from al Qaeda and succeeded in dividing this country. And it seems strangely off-key now, at a time when our country is under attack, for the architect of those policies to be attacking the President."
Pfeiffer also specifically addressed Cheney's claim that Obama has been pretending we aren't at war, and won't admit that we are.
"The difference is this: President Obama doesn’t need to beat his chest to prove it, and – unlike the last Administration – we are not at war with a tactic (“terrorism”), we at war with something that is tangible: al Qaeda and its violent extremist allies. And we will prosecute that war as long as the American people are endangered," he said.
Sen. Ben Nelson, D-Neb., is apparently in more than a little hot water over his reluctant support of Democrats' healthcare reform legislation. A recent Rasmussen poll showed him trailing one potential challenger by almost 30 percentage points.
Fortunately for him, Nelson's not up for reelection until 2012. But he seems fairly nervous anyway, enough so that he's bought airtime during the Nebraska-Arizona bowl game Wednesday night for an ad in which he explains his position. According to the Associated Press, the spot will be airing statewide for a few days to come, as well.
Sometimes, while reading through the blogosphere, I find things written by intelligent people that are so at odds with that intelligence that, dumbfounded, I can only think of that famous quote from "Shawshank Redemption," "How can you be so obtuse? ... Is it deliberate?"
Today, an example of that was provided on the Corner, one of the National Review's blogs. The guilty party was one Victor Davis Hanson. Hanson — who is, swear to God, a former professor — wrote, in a post titled "Adverbs Can Tell Us a Lot":
When we do know for a fact that Mutallab tried to blow up a plane, we get a presidential "allegedly" ("a passenger allegedly tried to ignite an explosive device on his body, setting off a fire"), and yet when we don't know all the facts, as in the Professor Gates mess, we get instantaneous certainty ("the Cambridge police acted stupidly in arresting somebody when there was already proof that they were in their own home.")
I won't get into the Gates saga, except to say that by the time Obama spoke it was well-known that Gates had shown his identification to the police. so the "already" Hanson emphasizes was simply a statement of fact.
Besides, it's the "allegedly" part that left me slack-jawed.
I had thought that most people, especially ones smart enough to have won the National Humanities Medal, as Hanson has, knew that in the American system of justice, even terrorists are considered innocent until proven guilty. ("Fox and Friends" hosts are obviously excluded from "most people" here.) Indeed, unless someone changed this without telling me, the Supreme Court has said the presumption of innocence "is the undoubted law, axiomatic and elementary, and its enforcement lies at the foundation of the administration of our criminal law."
So why does Obama use the word "allegedly," especially in a case where so many witnesses saw Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab's attempt to set off a bomb? Well, hopefully it's at least in part because it's nice for the president to show that someone still believes in the principles outlined in the Constitution. But it's also because the word "allegedly" is standard language for prosecutors and for people like the president; Obama's pronouncement of guilt could, in some instances, lead to legal hassles for the prosecution over the question of whether he'd tainted the jury pool.
Following on the news that the man who attempted to bomb Northwest Flight 253 came by way of Yemen, and that an al-Qaida group based there has claimed responsibility, three senators had a request for President Obama. Sens. Lindsey Graham, Joe Lieberman and John McCain wrote to the president to express their concerns about the impending transfer of six Yemeni detainees from Guantánamo Bay.
"Given the security situation in Yemen and the failure of the Yemeni government to secure high-value prisoners in the past, we believe that any such transfers would be highly unwise and ill-considered. Recent events underscore why this is so," the three wrote.
"[W]e request an immediate halt to the transfer of all detainees to Yemen until the American people and the Congress can be assured of the security situation in that country. We must do everything in our power to ensure that these detainees do not pose a future threat to the United States. Until we are certain that released detainees will not return to the battlefield, all detainee transfers to Yemen should cease."
Now, I'll leave it to the reader to determine whether this is a good point on the part of Graham, Lieberman and McCain or whether it's a politically motivated call to close the barn door after the horses are miles away.
There is one piece of information that seems relevant to that determination, though: Turns out that the six detainees were actually repatriated about 10 days before the senators sent their letter to Obama. Apparently, no one on their staffs bothered to check on these sorts of details, much less talk to anyone in the administration, before trying to get some press for the request.
Its personalities may not like him, but President Obama has been very, very good for Fox News: 2009 was the best ratings year yet for the network, which was launched in 1996.
In prime time, Fox averaged 2.187 million total viewers, up 7 percent from last year; its total day numbers are up 13 percent. Meanwhile, its competitors have seen their ratings fall.
It's hard not to attribute the network's recent success to the Democrat in the White House and the party's control of Congress. Bad news for Republicans has generally been good news for Fox, and it's no surprise — anger tends to drive viewers.
War Room is written and edited by Alex Koppelman, with contributions from Salon reporters around the country.
