War Room

"There's a pattern emerging here"

In an interview with USA Today that is already becoming one of the day's hot items, Hillary Clinton told the paper that she has "a much broader base to build a winning coalition on" than Barack Obama does. And she referred to an Associated Press article that, she said, "found how Sen. Obama's support among working, hard-working Americans, white Americans, is weakening again, and how whites in both states who had not completed college were supporting me."

"There's a pattern emerging here," Clinton added.

This kind of argument coming from her isn't surprising -- as the Clinton camp has found itself in ever more dire straits, it has made ever more unsubtle arguments about the demographics of the campaign. But just because it isn't surprising doesn't mean it isn't silly.

There are two problems with what Clinton said. First, there's the assumption that voting patterns in the primaries accurately predict voting patterns in the general election. That's not a good place to start an argument from.

But even if we concede the above point, there's still the matter of the unspoken demographic problem Clinton herself faces. African-American voters are absolutely critical to the Democratic Party. And while it's true that Obama trails behind Clinton in winning support from white working-class voters, it's not as if he's getting no support from that group whatsoever. Clinton, on the other hand, has almost no support left from African-American voters. Even George W. Bush captured a larger share of the African-American vote than she has in some recent primaries. In 2004, Bush got 11 percent of the African-American vote. In the Indiana Democratic primary on Tuesday, Clinton got the same percentage Bush did in '04 -- in North Carolina, though, she took just 7 percent.

Posted in: 2008 Election, Hillary Clinton

Rove criticizes Obama on gun control
In a speech at an NRA convention in Kentucky, Karl Rove said Obama "belittles" the values of Americans and holds a "dismissive" opinion of gun owners.
Huckabee jokes about gun being aimed at Obama
Speaking at the National Rifle Association's convention, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee quipped that a sound heard from offstage was Barack Obama diving to the floor.
McCain's California dreams don't rest on marriage ruling
A senior advisor to John McCain says the Republlican does hope to put the state in play, but the campaign doesn't think gay marriage will be what does it.
Obama Strikes Back
Responding to attacks about his foreign policy positions from both John McCain and President Bush, Obama says he's ready to debate the issues, and win on them.

Current Salon Politics Stories

’08 Update

06:42 EDT, May 17, 2008
How much can John Edwards help Barack Obama? The Democratic front-runner needs his former rival's working-class populist fire, not just his endorsement. Plus: The Elizabeth watch continues.
Joan Walsh
93
17:20 EDT, May 16, 2008
Huckabee jokes about gun being aimed at Obama Speaking at the National Rifle Association's convention, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee quipped that a sound heard from offstage was Barack Obama diving to the floor.
War Room
47
16:49 EDT, May 16, 2008
McCain's California dreams don't rest on marriage ruling A senior advisor to John McCain says the Republlican does hope to put the state in play, but the campaign doesn't think gay marriage will be what does it.
War Room
9
12:38 EDT, May 16, 2008
Quote of the day Joe Klein raises some questions about Barack Obama, the neoconservative establishment and Iran.
War Room
29
12:01 EDT, May 16, 2008
John McCain's lobbyist problem McCain's campaign has had to fire four employees within just the past week, and now they're re-vetting the entire staff.
War Room
12

Salon Politics Blogs

Recent Posts

Huckabee jokes about gun being aimed at Obama
Speaking at the National Rifle Association's convention, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee quipped that a sound heard from offstage was Barack Obama diving to the floor.
McCain's California dreams don't rest on marriage ruling
A senior advisor to John McCain says the Republlican does hope to put the state in play, but the campaign doesn't think gay marriage will be what does it.
Obama Strikes Back
Responding to attacks about his foreign policy positions from both John McCain and President Bush, Obama says he's ready to debate the issues, and win on them.
Previous Posts…

War Room RSS Feed

Posts by date

May 2008
SuMoTuWeThFrSa
123
45678910
11121314151617
18192021222324
25262728293031

About War Room

War Room is written and edited by Alex Koppelman, with contributions from Salon reporters around the country.

Daily Newsletter

Get Salon in your mailbox!