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Look out, Apple, here comes GoogleTunes

Google announces a music search-and-buy service directly from its main results page. Should iTunes be nervous?

Does Google's ambition know no bounds? Is even asking that question too silly? As if the jobs of universal library or online video mega-behemoth weren't big enough for Google's britches, the search engine company that ate the world has now announced plans to get into the music business. According to the Wall Street Journal, Google "will soon let users buy songs or listen to them for free, right on its main results page ..."

All four major record labels have already licensed their catalogs for the service, which is due to launch next week.

The WSJ spins the story with the headline "Google, Microsoft Intensify Search Rivalry," in part because on Wednesday Microsoft announced a deal to incorporate real-time Twitter and Facebook status updates into its Bing search engine results. But is this move really aimed at Microsoft? What about Apple? Maybe now we know the real reason why Google CEO Eric Schmidt stepped down from Apple's board of directors.

As far as can be told from the Journal article, Google has no plans to open its own music store. Along with allowing live streaming, it will provide links to other sites where the song can be bought, possibly even to iTunes. But does that make sense? Why add another middleman? Why share the take between three players -- Google, the record companies and iTunes? If the record studios have already licensed their catalogs to Google, why doesn't Google split the revenue with them?

For anyone else, including Microsoft, the marketing challenges involved with dethroning iTunes as the most popular online destination for listeners willing to pay for music are immense. But not for Google. I search for music on Google all the time -- popping in lyric fragments or band names heard on the radio or in a TV ad. Only then do I head over to iTunes. If Google can subtract a step from that trip, I wouldn't think twice.

The record labels, meanwhile, have made no secret of their desire to get out from under the thumb of Apple. If Google makes this as easy as Google typically tends to do -- look out iTunes.

The online ad market: "We're not dead yet"

Google's strong third-quarter earnings offer a lesson to struggling media execs. It's the Web, or bust

Google surprised analysts on Thursday with stronger-than-expected third quarter earnings. Net revenue rose 7 percent from a year earlier, to $5.94 billion, while profits surged 27 percent, to $1.6 billion.

For anyone concerned with the future of journalism, the most interesting underlying factor behind Google's renewed vigor had to do with the health of the online advertising market.

From the Wall Street Journal (italics mine):

The Mountain View, Calif., company's financial state suggests that online advertising, which has weathered the recession better than many other advertising sectors, could be one of the first areas to recover.

Revenue from U.S. Internet advertising fell 5.3 percent in the first half of 2009 compared with the same period in 2008, according to the Interactive Advertising Bureau, but some analysts forecast it will start growing again later this year.

Advertising budgets are always one of the first things to collapse when a recession hits; a key reason why advertising-dependent media companies are especially sensitive to the onset of economic downturns. But the fact that online advertising has been performing relatively better than other sectors during this recession makes sense, given the massive shift of attention and eyeballs from traditional forms of media to the Internet.

When the economy recovers, the shift of advertising dollars to the Internet, following those eyeballs, is bound to continue, with more force than ever. Google's ready, but it's not clear that the media business is. Lately, we've been hearing a great many old-school media company executives bemoaning what the Web has done to their business models, but in the near future, if you are not successful on the Web, you won't have a business model, period.

Microsoft and Yahoo: The Borg is back!

The decline and fall of Yahoo continues. Should Google be looking over its shoulder?

At a conference last year, reports Farhad Manjoo in "The Case Against the Case Against Google," Christine Varney, the new head of the Justice Department's antitrust division, said, "For me, Microsoft is so last century. They are not the problem. I think we are going to continually see a problem, potentially, with Google."

In light of the news that Microsoft has cut a 10-year deal with Yahoo to merge their search engine operations, perhaps Varney should rethink her position, at least a little bit. Microsoft was a distant third in the search engine universe. Now, at a single stroke, it is No. 2. Henceforth, Yahoo's search results will be provided by Bing, Microsoft's own newly rebranded, and positively reviewed, "decision" engine.

Glyn Moody, writing in ComputerWorldUK, thinks the deal is expensive for Microsoft, but the advantages to the move are obvious. From a financial standpoint, Microsoft can now score bigger advertising deals. From a technical perspective, the key to improving search engine performance is crunching a lot of data on what people are searching for and using that information to refine results. Microsoft now has access to vastly more info on what people are looking for than ever before.

Bing already works pretty well, if your metric of success is that it returns Googlish-looking results. But I'm guessing that Google is unlikely to be alarmed. If anything, the news might even be welcomed by Google, as it shoots a big hole in the theory that Google is the 21st century version of Microsoft, lording it over the Internet universe without any significant competitors in sight.

For Yahoo, it all has to feel a little sad. Long ago, in the prehistory of the Web, as a freelance writer who was pretty excited about this thing called the Internet, I wrote a tiny little squib for Wired magazine, "Yippee for Yahoo," announcing the news that two graduate students at Stanford had received venture funding from Sequoia Capital. Back then, start-ups that got the Web like Yahoo were seen as the anti-Microsoft, and the fact that co-founder David Filo was a free-software geek made it all the better.

From now on, every Yahoo search result will be "powered by Bing."

For Jerry Yang and David Filo, that's gotta hurt.

Google vs. Microsoft: Haven't we seen this movie?

Shades of 1995: A Web-based upstart threatens to topple Windows from its throne

Clash of the Titans! One Operating System to Rule Them All! Google Drops A Nuclear Bomb on Microsoft!

It is a tribute to Google's extraordinary mindshare that the company's announcement of a new operating system that won't be available for another year spawned an instantaneous outpouring of over-the-top commentary so frenzied that I was immediately flung into a fit of browser-war flashbacks, circa 1995. Google is a much more formidable threat to Microsoft than Netscape ever was, but it is remarkable how similar the contours of the current explosion of hype are to the babble that preceded Netscape's astonishing IPO in August, 1995. The Web, we were told back then, was sure to dethrone Microsoft, and Netscape would be the flagbearer of the revolutionaries.

Netscape got stomped, of course, and Microsoft is still hanging around, dominating the vast majority of computers in use on the planet. So excuse me if I counsel wait-and-see to those who already are imagining Redmond as nothing more than a smoking crater oozing radioactive fallout.

And yet: Anyone old enough to remember the sturm und drang of 1995, but who pays attention to how kids are growing up on the Internet today, has to admit that that while Netscape and scores of other would-be Microsoft competitors lost all their battles, the Web is winning the war. My daughter's first step after turning on the computer is a trip to Facebook. My son's is to a Web-based online gaming network that connects him to all his friends. Both of them have Gmail accounts and neither particularly cares whether they are doing their homework in Google Docs online or Microsoft Word on the desktop. It's all the same to them.

Until the WiFi drops. At which point they become lost souls, cut loose from all online moorings. Dad! The Internet is broken. Fix it! Fix it! Fix it!

No matter what happens to the "Chrome" operating system, Google, so far, is on the right side of history -- provided there's ample Internet connectivity. Microsoft has always tried to figure out how to protect its established business model while venturing onto the Web. But Google is indigenous to the Web. When Microsoft gave away its browser free with every instance of Windows, it was considered an antitrust violation by competitors. But when Google says it plans to give away the entire operating system for free -- no one blinks. The real shocker would be if the company announced plans to charge for Chrome. (And yes, I know, the Justice Department is exploring whether there is a basis for an antitrust case against Google. But not because Google's consumer-facing products are free. That's just taken for granted.)

I will make no speculation as to whether the Chrome OS will succeed in grabbing market share from Microsoft. After all, my daughter wants a Mac Air and my son scoffs at anything that can't run the latest high-end PC game: (Translation: Windows). But they also assume that everything they need should be available to them, for free, when they turn on their computer. If it isn't Google, someone will deliver that to them.

And then there's this, from the original Google announcement:

We hear a lot from our users and their message is clear -- computers need to get better. People want to get to their email instantly, without wasting time waiting for their computers to boot and browsers to start up. They want their computers to always run as fast as when they first bought them. They want their data to be accessible to them wherever they are and not have to worry about losing their computer or forgetting to back up files. Even more importantly, they don't want to spend hours configuring their computers to work with every new piece of hardware, or have to worry about constant software updates. And any time our users have a better computing experience, Google benefits as well by having happier users who are more likely to spend time on the Internet.

I've heard those promises before. I'm still waiting. But if Google delivers, the world is theirs. No nuclear bombs required.

Google Oceans Could Unveil Climate Change Data

algore3smallWhat kind of news would you expect from an event at which Google CEO Eric Schmidt and former Vice President Al Gore deliver speeches surrounded by ocean creatures? If you’re thinking something on climate change (Gore), the Internet (Google and Schmidt) and the ocean (it’s taking place at the California Academy of Sciences in San Francisco), then you’re probably right. At 10AM today Google is scheduled to unveil somethin’, and according to the Guardian Google will announce how it is using Google Earth to map the world’s oceans, complete with maps of seabeds and underwater imagery that can show the effects of climate change on seas.

Update: As expected, Google launched version 5.0 of Google Earth, which includes detailed ocean data (the ability for the user to dive beneath the surface) and “historical imagery” that features a time slider of satellite data for a location over time. Gore used the time slider feature to show the disappearance of the glaciers over time and said his hope is that people will use Google Earth to see the reality of what is happening with climate change. Sylvia Earle, National Geographic Explorer in Residence, showed the audience the imagery of diving under water and seeing the ocean floor, which drew cheers from the crowd. The event finished up with a song from Jimmy-Margaritaville-Buffett, who showed off Google Earth clips of his own global musical tour. (More photos below)

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Google has long used its mapping and satellite imagery services for environmental aims, and it has a Google Earth Outreach section that allows organizations to create a variety of do-gooder information layers on top of Google Earth, making that data publicly available and easily visualized. Last May, the Met Office Hadley Center and the British Antarctic Survey worked with Google Earth to launch climate change-related mapping info, featuring an animated globe of the Center’s model of CO2 concentrations spanning from November 1999 forward to October 2099. (And here’s our own eco-tour of Google Earth! You first have to download the software and open the KML layers.)

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Google Earth is really great tool to view the global impact of climate change. A visual representation of the effects on oceans can help the public grasp how large the problem is. “Google Oceans” is also part of the search engine giant’s overall plan to use the Internet and communication technology to make information more accessible (for more on that come to our Green:Net conference, which will feature three Google speakers). We’ll bring you the updates from the event right here!

jimmybuffetgoogleearth

Why Google Needs the GDrive to Fight Microsoft

The Internet is abuzz these days with speculation over the launch of a new online storage offering from Google said to be dubbed GDrive. The service would apparently be bundled with Google Pack, the company’s software download offering that includes products such as Picasa and Google Earth. With no official word, many questions remain unanswered about the service. But I have a theory as to why Google is introducing what is essentially a commodity service.

Online storage isn’t quite the pot of gold folks assume it to be. Even with millions of page views generated by free online storage, the resulting advertising revenues are never going to be meaningful. They can charge for these services, but that means a long gestation period. There are some that manage to make a decent living offering back-up services, but such revenues would represent little more than a drop in Google’s overall business bucket.

Information leaked on the web outlines Google’s GDrive ambitions: “GDrive provides reliable storage for all of your files, including photos, music and documents. GDrive allows you to access your files from anywhere, anytime, and from any device - be it from your desktop, web browser or cellular phone.” In other words, an awful lot like Microsoft’s Skydrive and Live Mesh offerings. Google, however, always introduces products to consumers before taking them to corporate users. Google Apps is a perfect example: GMail was available for consumers before it became part of Google Apps and was sold to enterprises. GDrive will involve a similar strategy as well.

I believe Google is looking to build something unique, a service that it would position as a direct competitor to not only Microsoft’s SkyDrive and Live Mesh services, but to the software giant’s SharePoint services. My guess would be that they would marry GDrive storage with Google Apps and other applications, such as Google Talk. In doing so they’d create a virtual “computing environment” in the cloud.

Think of it this way: On your computer you have a processor, storage, memory and a screen, and operating systems and applications running on top of it. In the always-connected world, the notion of computing has gone through a change. What was once put on a disk is now put into an online storage locker, while the processor and memory is locked away somewhere in Google’s data centers. The browser is the operating system. So anywhere there is a screen and a connection, you can access the computer. (Of course you could do this back in the days when mainframes ruled the planet, too.) 

In a post last year, I argued that one way for storage startups to stand out would be by using the online storage drive as “an underpinning to share documents, files and folders with people in your network (whether consumer or corporate).” That’s precisely what Microsoft is doing with its SharePoint service, a billion-dollar business that grows stronger by the day. “What’s working well for Microsoft is that they are treating storage for what it is — a cheap throwaway service — and layering it with more valuable ones,” I wrote.

And Microsoft wouldn’t be the only company Google would be looking to take on with this offering; Cisco Systems and EMC would be in its sight line as well. In a post last August, I pointed out that, “Cisco would develop a suite of applications that pivot around WebEx, which they could do by offering to work with all comers, big and small. Acting as a neutral player that delivers best-of-breed web services would give Cisco that best shot at effectively competing with Google-only and Microsoft-only solutions.”

From a strategic standpoint, I marvel at Google’s game plan. From a personal standpoint, however, I don’t like it a bit. My biggest problem with GDrive is that it would come from Google.

As my friend Mark Evans points out, “Before you know it, Google has become a daily and integral part of your digital portfolio. Not that this a bad thing given Google’s products are really good but it should make you think about how dependent you can become on Google for pretty much everything. The downside is you can lose access to a lot of essential information if Google, for whatever reason, locks you out.”

My fundamental belief is that as companies get too big and too powerful, they start doing anti-consumer things because they have a much larger revenue stream to protect. And while Google might come across as cute and cuddly today, they are, in reality, a monopoly. Giving such an entity unfettered access to my desktop and my data makes me uneasy.

Paint me cynical –- though I like to think of myself as realistic –- but I don’t think Google’s backing of President Obama and his campaign was done with purely altruistic intentions. Given how close the company’s management is with the government officials, I worry that Google will one day go too far — and get away with it.

Page 1 of 18 in Google Earliest ⇒

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