Chris Christie

New Jersey poll shows Dem Corzine leading

The incumbent governor wasn't expected to win reelection, but may now be leading

  • more
    • All Share Services

As recently as a few months ago, you couldn’t find many people who were confident that New Jersey Gov. Jon Corzine, a Democrat, would win reelection. But now, with Election Day approaching fast, a new poll shows him leading Republican challenger Chris Christie by 3 percentage points.

The Rutgers-Eagleton Poll has 39 percent of respondents saying they support Corzine, to 36 percent who said they’re backing Christie. The man throwing a monkey wrench in Christie’s campaign, independent Chris Daggett, is at 20 percent.

It’s hardly time for Democrats to break out the champagne, though. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 4.1 percentage points, meaning Corzine’s lead could just be a blip. Perhaps more important is that chunk of voters who say now they’d vote for Daggett. Independent candidates tend to poll better than they actually perform on Election Day; any loss in support for Daggett is likely to favor Christie.

Alex Koppelman is a staff writer for Salon.

New Jersey scandal catches up with Republican Christie

The challenger had a shot at the governorship so long as he stayed out of the muck, but now he's mired in it

  • more
    • All Share Services

The Republican Party spent years trying to recruit New Jersey’s U.S. attorney, Chris Christie, to run for office. The party had a consistent record of failure, despite the state Democrats’ reputation as old-school machine hacks and crooks. So when Christie finally entered a race this year — against unpopular incumbent Gov. Jon Corzine — things looked good for the GOP. Republicans couldn’t lose forever, after all, and who better to end the streak than a federal prosecutor, an apolitical, law-and-order type?

It didn’t take much for Christie to jump to a big lead over Corzine, but events have conspired to take the sheen off of the challenger. An onslaught of negative ads from Corzine charged the GOP’s supposed white knight with using his clout as a federal prosecutor to dodge punishment for various infractions. As one spot put it, “One set of rules for himself, another for everyone else.” (This was the infamous ad in which Corzine also not-too-subtly mocked Christie’s weight.)

The Corzine campaign seems to have hit on the perfect tactic here. Christie’s whole appeal rested on the idea that he wasn’t just another operator. And though Corzine is too widely disliked to attract the voters he’s scared away from Christie, there’s a third-party candidate, former moderate Republican Chris Daggett, positioned to scoop them up.

So things are looking up for the embattled governor. In recent weeks, as Corzine’s polling numbers have stayed at their apparent ceiling in the low 40s, Christie’s have sunk to the incumbent’s level. Meanwhile, Daggett has jumped to around 15 percent. A tie in the polls is widely thought to mean an advantage on election day for Corzine; typically, Democrats are better at getting out the vote in New Jersey.

But, as Chairman Mao (via John McCain) liked to say, it’s always darkest before it’s totally black. On Tuesday, the New York Times broke a story that’s so perfect for Corzine’s line of attack on Christie, you’d think the governor wrote it himself.

Apparently, Christie gave a loan of $46,000 to his friend, neighbor and top aide, Michele Brown. This news had already emerged, to some embarrassment to the candidate, who hadn’t reported it earlier. The new problem? Although Christie said that Brown had done nothing to assist his campaign, there are reasons to suspect otherwise.

When the Corzine campaign sought potentially embarrassing Freedom of Information records from Christie’s office, Brown took over the request from the person who normally handles them. The Justice Department ultimately had to tell the office to remove her from the position because of the conflict of interest.

It also appears that Brown attempted to rush some high-profile arrests, so that they would occur before Christie resigned and he could take credit.

This story almost precisely encapsulates the state of the campaign. As it happens, the biggest scandal suffered by incumbent Corzine during his first term also had to do with a personal loan and a resulting potential conflict of interest. But “everybody does it” hardly sounds good coming from a candidate whose pitch is, “I’ll clean up Trenton.”

Continue Reading Close

Gabriel Winant is a graduate student in American history at Yale.

The next governor of New Jersey?

Former U.S. Attorney Chris Christie wins the Republican primary, and has a shot at beating the incumbent

  • more
    • All Share Services

New Jersey’s normally thought of as a blue state, but a Republican primary held there on Tuesday night could end up determining who serves as the state’s governor.

Former U.S. Attorney Chris Christie bested conservative Steve Lonegan, defeating him by a solid 13-point margin. Now he’ll go on to face current Gov. Jon Corzine, a Democrat, in the general election, which will be held later this year.

Corzine’s in trouble — most of his state’s residents disapprove of the job he’s doing, and early polls show Christie with a good shot at beating him. He’ll need to run a solid campaign, and somehow win back the hearts and minds of New Jerseyans, in order to keep his post.

One point in Corzine’s favor, though: In recent elections, polls in New Jersey have consistently shown the state’s voters leaning towards Republican candidates only to shift back when it comes time to actually vote.

Alex Koppelman is a staff writer for Salon.

Page 9 of 9 in Chris Christie