Federal Deficit

Hurricane forecasting one of the many things GOP doesn’t want to spend money on

Every natural disaster now comes with a story of how Congress cut funding to detect or respond to it

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Hurricane forecasting one of the many things GOP doesn't want to spend money onHurricane Irene spans nearly 1,000 kilometers (600 miles) in this satellite image

Hurricane Irene is going to hit the United States’ east coast this weekend, as you have likely heard. It looks to be a pretty nasty storm, capable of causing billions of dollars of damage. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has been carefully tracking Irene, forecasting its path up the coast and its intensity. Of course, America’s Republican-demanded White House-encouraged austerity budget includes cuts to the NOAA. Cuts that will delay — by years — the construction and launch of an extreme weather forecasting satellite. So let’s hope there aren’t any serious hurricanes in 2016, I guess?

Think Progress links to the words of NOAA administrator Dr. Jane Lubchenco:

Speaking at the Denver Museum of Nature and Science on a day when the weather forecast warned of possible tornadoes and golf-ball-size hail east of the city, Dr. Lubchenco said there would be a gap of at least a year and a half, and possibly much longer, during which NOAA has no operational satellite circling the planet on a north-south orbit.

The polar-orbiting satellite enables scientists to predict severe storms five to 10 days before they hit.

“Whether the gap is longer than that depends on whether we get the money”— $1 billion — “in the next budget,” warned Dr. Lubchenco, an environmental scientist. “I would argue that these satellites are critically important to saving lives and property and to enabling homeland security.”

This is an old story: Before or after a natural disaster, you can usually find a Republican who wanted to cut funding for departments and organizations that predicted and protected people from said disaster.

Remember when Louisiana governor and poor public speaker mocked the concept of funding for “volcano monitoring” and then a volcano promptly erupted in Alaska? And remember how after Eric Cantor pushed for across-the-board budget cuts for the United States Geological Survey, his district was hit with an earthquake? And remember how the House Republican budget cut funding to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and then there was an earthquake and tsunami in Japan?

Yes, well, as Matt Yglesias points out, when you want to cut funding for everything the government does, sometimes there will be major news events that involve something the government should be doing something about, and people will say, hey, shouldn’t the government be doing something about this?

Cutting money for disaster preparedness programs is a really good method of eventually wasting much more money, in the future, than you saved in the present, but that’s sort of been the entire Republican spending philosophy for years now, actually.

Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

America’s deficit chart surplus

The wide world of partisan, contradictory, occasionally helpful federal debt-explaining infographics

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America's deficit chart surplus

Are you writing something about the massive federal deficit? Do you want a hot blogging tip? Here you go: Put a chart on it!

I can explain the magnitude of the federal debt pretty easily: The recession caused revenue to plummet, and tax rates have been very low for years. Plus wars. But I explained that with words. Who reads words? No one, unless those words have lines next to them, or colored bars.

The New York Times made a chart blaming Bush for the debt, and it was so popular that it made another one that added a line explaining whom we owe the debt to. (Ourselves, mostly.) The White House made a chart that was basically the New York Times chart but with Bush’s additions to the debt in red, for Republicanness. (Though a lot of it was gray, for “no one’s fault, really, debt just happens.”)

This chart was controversial! Megan McArdle said it was a bad chart and she made her own, different charts, that were much less effective in clearly communicating a complex idea simply. But basically she is all, don’t blame Bush, because the deficit is bigger now, under Obama, and then Jon Chait was like, yes, the deficit is bigger under Obama because of Bush policies plus massive recession, duh.

Then the Toronto Globe and Mail made a chart making fun of Americans for worrying about the debt while paying less in taxes than every other developed nation besides Mexico and Chile. (We’re No. 3!) This was accompanied by a chart showing how all these other countries make a lot of money from their taxes. Then James Fallows posted another chart, from Calculated Risk, showing that we have lost a lot of jobs and are not really getting those jobs back.

Nancy Pelosi made a chart that Politifact didn’t like. The Daily Caller didn’t like all these charts that correctly laid the blame for the deficit on Bush’s policies, so it had a former OMB deputy director make a chart blaming Obama (primarily for … continuing Bush-era policies). In this chart, Obama is red, and Bush is blue. Those Caller guys play by their own rules!

Mint.com made this huge infographic full of bloggy fake-nice “good design” that actually ends up being not a very good way of conveying all the information the infographic is supposed to be elegantly presenting. (The double-pyramid thing with the squiggly downward-trending line is just an illustration, right? Not actually representative of actual data?)

All of these followed on the heels of the classic chart that showed how the debt would be less without expensive things like wars and tax cuts. This chart, from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, comes in both debt and deficit versions. And there are hundreds more!

I’ve made this chart illustrating the recent explosion in charts designed to explain the causes and size of the federal deficit:

This is the one essential chart every debate over deficit charts should include.

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

John Bolton: Debt deal might imperil our endless forever war

The former ambassador and ridiculous 2012 candidate knows cutting one cent from the Pentagon will kill us all

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John Bolton: Debt deal might imperil our endless forever warJohn Bolton

Guess who doesn’t like the debt ceiling deal? Well, everyone in the country besides Mitch McConnell and the White House Communications Office, but also the single most important candidate of the 2012 election: John Bolton. You can find Bolton’s reaction at the online home of all things John Bolton, The Weekly Standard, where it appears that BIll Kristol was the only person to notice and post the “thoughtful statement” from the nation’s single most mustachioed fringe candidate.

Bolton, the former U.N. envoy too war-loving even for the Bush administration (they sent him to the U.N. purely because appointing a psychopath ambassador was a good way to prove their utter contempt for the institution), is concerned that the deal could hypothetically involve defense budget spending reductions “as much as three percent below” our current $700 billion defense budget, which has grown by around 9% annually for a decade.

Depending on the outcome of further negotiations over the size and allocation of those reductions, these cuts alone may well be quite harmful. The best that can be said is that, for these fiscal years, the issue is still unresolved.

Will we be able to afford enough bombs to bomb Iran in this new austere future? Unclear at this time. (But probably, we usually find money for bombs.)

Pam Geller’s dream-boyfriend is even more alarmed at the prospect of the “trigger cuts” to agency budgets that would happen if the super-congress can’t agree on our second round of austerity measures. The Department of Defense could lose… less than $500 billion, over the course of ten years, beginning in 2013, unless another Congress does something about it, which another Congress obviously would, because Congress refuses to ever allow defense budget cuts!

Defense spending is not just another wasteful government program. Subjecting it to potentially massive, debilitating cuts is rolling the dice in perilous times internationally. Adam Smith himself wrote in The Wealth of Nations, “the first duty of the sovereign” is “protecting the society from the violence and invasion” of others.

Adam Smith says we need a trillion-dollar defense budget, you say? Who am I to argue with the inventor of American capitalism!

Hah, wait, there is one other person who takes Bolton seriously, apparently: Jennifer Rubin, the Washington Post blogger. Fiscal conservatism is well and good, but endless war forever against the vast Muslim menace is the real priority. (Al Qaeda might attack Norway again, right, Jennifer?)

(Mitt Romney also doesn’t like the deal but that’s only because he’s trying to be the first 2012er to come out forcefully against it.)

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

Rep. Joe Walsh not very hawkish on debt he owes to ex-wife

Updated: The Tea Party freshman owes more than $100,000 in child support

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Rep. Joe Walsh not very hawkish on debt he owes to ex-wifeRep. Joe Walsh, R-Ill. addresses a Tea Party rally on Capitol Hill in Washington, Wednesday, July 27, 2011. (AP Photo/Harry Hamburg)(Credit: AP)

Joe Walsh refuses to saddle his kids with one more penny of government debt, or, alternately, one penny of his congressional salary.

The Chicago Sun-Times has a big story on the Tea Party Freshman — who is on TV 100 times a day shouting about how we need to balance the budget — and the $117,437 he owes his ex-wife, which she has been attempting to collect for years.

You know how bad pundits and annoying politicians like to pretend the Federal government is like a household when they talk about how we need to balance our books? If we take that flawed analogy seriously, it does not really make a lot of sense to trust the budget to someone Joe Walsh, a private sector failure who is hundreds of thousands of dollars in debt, whose condo was foreclosed on, and who is unable to make his child support payments. On a six-figure salary! And he’s dumb enough to pay for his health insurance out of pocket instead of getting it through his workplace — with a wife with a preexisting condition — to prove some inane point. Meanwhile, while he was semi-employed and not paying his ex-wife for his children’s expenses, he was apparently going on multiple foreign vacations. And he loaned his congressional campaign $35,000. This guy’s horrible at budgets and living within his means! He should not be allowed anywhere near debt ceiling negotiations! (The Joe Walsh Balanced Budget Act: Don’t pay any of your creditors and spend most of your time arguing with Chris Matthews.)

Walsh is an outspoken camera-hogging Tea Party die-hard in a not-particularly safe suburban Chicago district. Though he may switch districts and mount a primary run against another Republican in 2012, in which case his unrepentant Tea Partyism could turn out to be quite helpful. Not really this stuff, so much, though primary voters often favor “shouting a lot” over “accomplishing things.” (That’s the Anthony Weiner story, too.)

Also, fun fact from the Sun-Times: “Walsh is not the only current congressman with an order withholding part of his paycheck for child support, said Dan Weiser, a spokesman for the U.S. House of Representatives.” Hah, what?

Update: The Sun-Times has altered the bit quoted above, which now reads: “Congress has withheld child support money from members’ paychecks over the years when ordered by a court, said Dan Weiser, a spokesman for the U.S. House of Representatives.” The point is, Walsh is not the only congressperson to have child support withheld, by court order. (In addition, while the first line is a joke, it is not a strictly factually accurate joke — Walsh does have money deducted from his paycheck for child support, but not for the past-due money he owes his ex-wife.)

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

George Bush owns this deficit

Useless news alert: Tax cuts and war contribute more to our burgeoning debt than Obama's new policies

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George Bush owns this deficit

Talk about your left-wing blogger link bait! On Sunday, the New York Times published a chart demonstrating the relative contributions to the deficit made by George W. Bush and Barack Obama. Short version: The total cost of new policies initiated during the administration of George Bush: $5.07 trillion. Barack Obama: $1.44 trillion. 

The New York Times/Congressional Budget Office/Center on Budget and Policy Priorities

Bush’s tax cuts and the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq are the obvious big-ticket items. The tax cuts, in particular, are the structural-deficit-gift that keeps on giving. As the New York Times observes, if all of the Bush tax cuts “expired as scheduled at the end of 2012, future deficits would be cut by about half, to sustainable levels.”

Or, as James Fallows puts it more acidly, “It demonstrates the utter incoherence of being very concerned about a structural federal deficit but ruling out of consideration the policy that was largest single contributor to that deficit, namely the Bush-era tax cuts.

But this is not, by any stretch of the imagination, news. Nor is there any evidence that promulgating this information has any effect on the political process or on popular opinion. And there’s a very good reason for this: The debt ceiling is not a fight about the deficit. It’s a fight over power and the size of government.

“Utter incoherence” becomes entirely coherent when one considers that Republican strategy is founded on two things: neutering Obama and rolling back the welfare state. Tax cuts are always good, because eventually they starve the beast. That’s how to make sense of the seemingly contradictory actions of a party that just eight months ago voted for a package of tax cuts raising the annual deficit by about $200 billion turning around and suddenly declaring that the deficit is the greatest existential threat the nation faces. How else can we explain Republicans’ turning down huge deficit reduction deals, and then settling on a strategy — a short-term debt ceiling hike — whose only real attraction is that it directly contravenes the president’s oft-expressed desire for a long-term hike? The point is not to fix government finances; it’s to deny Obama anything he can call a victory while at the same time slashing the size of government so as to ensure that rich people pay low taxes.

An infinite number of charts pointing out who caused the deficit will never change that dynamic.

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Andrew Leonard

Andrew Leonard is a staff writer at Salon. On Twitter, @koxinga21.

Rep. Paul Broun’s brilliant debt ceiling plan

A Georgia Republican proves how very clever and good at legislating he is, in The Corner

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Rep. Paul Broun's brilliant debt ceiling planRep. Paul Broun

Rep. Paul Broun (R-The Confederacy) has a plan for the debt ceiling. A plan that could change everything. He discussed his plan in the National Review’s The Corner earlier today, and I think you will find it to be very serious and sober and realistic.

Boun, the guy who laughed when a town hall attendee asked, “Who’s going to shoot Obama?” and the guy who compared healthcare reform to “the war of Yankee aggression,” and the guy who refused to sit with a member of the Democratic Party during the last State of the Union and chose instead to angrily tweet from his office throughout the entire thing, has come up with a plan so brilliant in its simplicity that I’m astounded that some other teabagging good ol’ boy troll congressman didn’t come up with it first: Lower the debt ceiling.

Today, I introduced a unique bill that goes in a completely different direction than everything else we’ve been hearing out of Washington. It would force politicians to start practicing what they’ve been preaching by lowering the debt ceiling from $14.3 trillion back down to $13 trillion. Admittedly, this is not your run-of-the-mill kind of law, but it would make it imperative for Congress to think outside of the box and come up with ways to pay off a portion of our debt while drastically cutting back spending. Since 1996, the national debt has increased by an inexcusable $8.79 trillion. I firmly believe that this calls for emergency measures to reduce the debt.

Yep! That is Rep. Paul Broun’s proposal. America should make it so that we have already defaulted on our Treasury debt. We should retroactively blow up our economy, in the name of fiscal responsibility.

The best part isn’t even that this patently idiotic piece of fantasy-legislation (hell if the liberals wanna raise the debt ceiling I say we should lower it!!!) was proposed by an elected member of the House of Representatives, but that the people in charge of the homebase of the supposed intellectual wing of the conservative movement thought it was so clever that they invited the bill’s author to write a little blog post explaining his idea, to their readers. “Hey, this Confederate-sympather back-bencher moron is on to something!!”

Way to go, politics.

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

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