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MoveOn backing challenger to Sen. Blanche Lincoln

Liberals lining up behind man taking on moderate Democrat in primary

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The left is, collectively, ecstatic over the news that Arkansas Lt. Gov. Bill Halter has decided to challenge Sen. Blanche Lincoln, D-Ark., in this year’s Democratic primary. Lincoln was very vulnerable even without a primary fight, and she’s far too conservative for some Democrats’ taste — those two factors combined mean liberals have been hoping for some time that Halter would get in the race.

So it’s not too surprising that progressive groups like MoveOn.org would immediately jump on the Halter bandwagon. MoveOn did so Monday with an e-mail to members asking for donations to Halter. The e-mail is reproduced below — all emphases are in the original.

Dear MoveOn member,

For the past year, a small handful of conservative Democrats in Congress has obstructed progress at every turn—but starting today, we’ve got a huge opportunity to stop one of the worst of them.

That’s because just this morning Arkansas Lieutenant Governor Bill Halter announced that he’s challenging Senator Blanche Lincoln in the Democratic primary there.

Sen. Lincoln stood with insurance companies to kill the public option, with coal companies to roll back the Clean Air Act, and with big banks to kill legislation that would have helped families stay in their homes.

If we can replace her with progressive Bill Halter, it’ll put every conservative Democrat in Washington on notice that siding with corporate interests has a heavy political price.

But Halter needs to quickly raise enough money to compete with Lincoln, who has over $5 million in the bank, much of it raised from corporate interests.3

So a major coalition of progressive groups has set a goal of raising $500,000 for Bill Halter this week. That’d make headlines, but it’ll take 314 donations from New York to meet the goal—can you chip in $5?

Just how bad is Blanche Lincoln?

She promised to filibuster any health care bill that included a public option after taking more than $866,000 from insurance and HMO interests.4 She’s the #1 recipient of campaign contributions from Big Oil in the last year, and now she’s sponsoring a bill to roll back the Clean Air Act.5 And she accepted more than $1.3 million over her career from Wall Street banks and financial interests, and then voted to kill legislation that would’ve allowed struggling homeowners to renegotiate their mortgages and stay in their homes.

Here’s how MoveOn member Jennifer P. from Little Rock put it: “Lincoln never met a special interest she didn’t like. It’s hard to express just how awful she has been as a senator. I don’t know of anyone who will vote for her if she shows up on the November ballot.” That’s why MoveOn members in Arkansas voted 92% to support Halter’s campaign to replace her.

Fortunately, we’ve got a much better alternative. Bill Halter has a progressive record as lieutenant governor and he’s willing to take on big corporations when he gets to Washington.

In announcing his candidacy today, Halter said: “Washington is broken. Bailing out Wall Street with no strings attached while leaving middle-class Arkansas taxpayers with the bill. Protecting insurance company profits instead of protecting patients and lowering health costs. Gridlock, bickering, and partisan games while unemployment is at a 25-year high. Enough is enough.”

Halter’s well-positioned to beat Lincoln, and her approval ratings are so low that he has a much better chance of keeping the seat Democratic—but only if he can quickly raise enough money to compete. And given her unpopularity, Lincoln’s likely strategy is to flood the air immediately with attack ads to keep him from building the momentum he needs to win.

So we need to get Bill Halter’s campaign off to a huge start. Can you chip in $5 towards our goal of 314 donations from New York to his campaign this week?

Thanks for all you do.

–Adam, Wes, Nita, Michael, and the rest of the team

Alex Koppelman is a staff writer for Salon.

MoveOn for Boehner?

Liberal group appears to endorse House Republican leader -- sort of

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MoveOn for Boehner?House Minority Leader John Boehner of Ohio speaks during a news conference on Capitol Hill in Washington, Thursday, Jan. 21, 2010.

Liberal group MoveOn.org isn’t really endorsing House Minority Leader John Boehner, R-Ohio. The group doesn’t usually back Republicans, and it’s not exactly about to make an exception for someone like Boehner.

But in a new ad, Move On is at least mockingly pretending to endorse Boehner — on behalf of insurance companies.

“As House minority leader, and a favorite of the insurance industry, John showed the courage to stand up for the big guy,” the ad’s narrator says. The spot concludes with the narrator saying, “John Boehner: The right choice for Ohio — I mean, uh, health insurance companies.”

This is, by the way, yet another sign of just how much populist messages are likely to dominate this election season.

Alex Koppelman is a staff writer for Salon.

Why the public option isn’t really “back”

Liberal groups celebrating prematurely; victory on issue still seems all but impossible

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Why the public option isn't really

When they’re not attacking the White House over it, liberal groups are celebrating the return of the public option, as seen in a campaign that has gotten more than 20 senators to sign on to a letter urging Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid to use reconciliation to pass a bill that includes the government-run insurance plan.

MoveOn.org, for one, released an updated version of its ad on the issue that starred Heather Graham. In this new iteration, the narrator says, “When a majority of Americans support something, it’s hard to keep a good idea down. Because the public option is back. The public option is making a comeback. Over 20 senators and over 100 House members have endorsed putting the public option back on the table.” (The ad is at the bottom of this post.)

That is, simply put, a very optimistic way of looking at things — an overly optimistic way of looking at things, really. It’s impressive that liberal groups have gotten as many senators to back the idea as they have, but not much more than that is likely to happen.

Under reconciliation, a Senate procedure that rules out the possibility of a filibuster, Democrats would still need 51 votes to pass a bill that includes a public option. Technically, they’d really only need 50 votes, plus a tie-breaker from Vice President Joe Biden. But given the White House’s reluctance to actively support the public option, and the terrible optics of having Biden cast that vote — Republicans would cry that a government healthcare takeover was shoved down Americans’ throats — there’s basically no chance that Demcoratic leadership will let the process get to that point. So, practically speaking, they need 51 votes, or 28 more than the 23 senators who are currently signatories to the letter.

The simplest way to think of it is this: There are 59 members in the Senate Democratic Caucus. Public option supporters could afford to lose only eight. And there’s almost no way that won’t happen. Right away, you can write off Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman, whose vote for reconciliation will be a tough get even without a public option included in a bill, and who opposes the public option on top of that. Then figure public option supporters would also lose Arkansas Sen. Blanche Lincoln, who won’t vote for any healthcare measure that’s considered under reconciliation. Louisiana Sen. Mary Landrieu, who’s as politically vulnerable on Lincoln, has also said she opposes the idea of using reconciliation for healthcare generally. On top of that, there’s Florida Sen. Bill Nelson, who’s voted against a public option. Most disappointing for supporters of the idea of a government-run insurer, West Virginia Sen. Jay Rockefeller, one of their staunchest allies, has come out against the idea of using reconciliation to get it passed.

Right there, you’re already down to 54 votes. It’s very easy to see how you get down below 51 from there, and not so easy to see how you stay above it. Nebraska Sen. Ben Nelson, Montana Sen. Max Baucus  and Indiana Sen. Evan Bayh would be shaky on this, at best. West Virginia Sen. Robert Byrd is a big proponent of restrictive rules on the use of reconciliation — one of them, the Byrd Rule, is named after him — and he’s not likely to bend on that. Lose all of them, and you’re down to 50. And if the vote’s that close, others may start to balk as well.

Ultimately, this is likely to be moot anyway. The White House is making it very clear that they’re not interested in passing the public option through reconciliation, and that attitude has a way of putting the brakes on things, and quick.

Update: One point of clarification — Florida Sen. Bill Nelson has voted for one version of a public option plan, though he voted against another. But his “aye” vote — for a proposal that failed in committee anyway — seemed more like a political play than anything else. He’s also said that a public option can not pass, and that supporters of the idea “don’t have a clue.

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Alex Koppelman is a staff writer for Salon.

MoveOn raises $1M from Lieberman ad

Lieberbulwark may shut down policy progress, but he opens wallets

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MoveOn claims to already have raised $1 million on the backs of this very creative and frankly hysterical “Lieberman Socks” ad: 

I want a pony! Good stuff….

Thomas F. Schaller is professor of political science at the University of Maryland, Baltimore County and the author of "Whistling Past Dixie: How Democrats Can Win Without the South." Follow him @schaller67.

Well, if Heather Graham supports the public option…

MoveOn taps the actress for a new ad about the idea for a government-run insurer

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The liberal advocacy group MoveOn has a fairly spotty record when it comes to its advertising. Some of the organization’s ads have been very effective; others fall flat — and they’ve gotten in trouble over a contest they held to come up with one ad, too. The group’s latest ad is one of the flatter ones, a puzzling choice that doesn’t seem to be all that effective — even if it does feature Heather Graham.

The idea of the spot, which the group is telling its members “could be the funniest and most memorable ad we’ve ever produced,” is that Graham represents the public option, and is preparing for a running race against private insurers, who are lazy and don’t want to compete. It’s not a bad idea, but the ad doesn’t stick closely enough to the metaphor, and the message gets muddled. Plus, while Graham’s presence may draw some headlines, it will also distract viewers — there doesn’t seem to be much point to it, except maybe to suggest that the public option will have plenty of cleavage.

It’s not all bad, though — at least Graham is getting work.

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Alex Koppelman is a staff writer for Salon.

Debate over Afghanistan is deja vu all over again

Joe Lieberman hates to say it, but Afghanistan is just like Nazi Germany

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Remember 2002 and 2003? Those were some pretty good times. Rudy Giuliani was knighted. “A Beautiful Mind” won Best Picture. The U.S. invaded Iraq.

In case you’d forgotten the basic tenor of the arguments of those years, Afghanistan is here to help you remember. As the Taliban has regained strength and the White House weighs sending thousands more troops, Afghanistan has lost its status as “the Good War.” Instead, the conflict is beginning to polarize American politics in a way that’s all too familiar.

So, in an unsurprising move, MoveOn.org today will send out an email calling for the president to withdraw from Afghanistan, echoing an increasingly prevalent position on the American left. Meanwhile, precisely on cue, Sen. Joe Lieberman, I-Conn., yesterday made his case for maintaining an American presence in the country. Said the senator:

It’s more like, and I hate to use the analogy, it is like the Second World War. Shortly after it was over, if the Nazis began to form again and tried to take back Germany from a new democratic government, what would we have done? We would not have stood by and let it happen!

I’m sure it’s just killing Lieberman, this duty to say these things. Just like it did on May 15, 2008, when he said that President Bush’s use of the word of “appeasement” to describe Democrats was “exactly right.” Or three days later, when Lieberman took to the Wall Street Journal to accuse his fellow Democrats of betraying their party’s noble Hitler-fighting lineage.

Beginning in the 1940s, the Democratic Party was forced to confront two of the most dangerous enemies our nation has ever faced: Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union. In response, Democrats under Roosevelt, Truman and Kennedy forged and conducted a foreign policy that was principled, internationalist, strong and successful.

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Gabriel Winant is a graduate student in American history at Yale.

Page 2 of 14 in MoveOn.org