Richard Blumenthal

Linda McMahon campaign accidentally posts video of Blumenthal telling the truth

In a clip helpfully unearthed by his opponent, Richard Blumenthal accurately describes his military service

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Linda McMahon campaign accidentally posts video of Blumenthal telling the truth

The Associated Press found the full video of Richard Blumenthal’s 2008 speech in which he claimed to served “in” Vietnam. In the same speech, though, he also correctly characterized his military service. You’ll never guess where the AP found the video! (Unless you read the headline.)

The other night, the New York Times ran what looked like a bombshell story: Democratic Senate candidate Richard Blumenthal lied about serving in Vietnam. Except it really was more like Richard Blumenthal allowed people to believe he served in Vietnam, and once or twice he said things that could’ve been construed as claiming to have served there.

Muddying the waters further, the campaign of Blumenthal’s Republican opponent, wrestling entrepreneur Linda McMahon, initially took credit for the Times story as the product of its opposition research. Which is, politically, dumb. (And also perhaps not even true — some people seem to think the story actually came from GOP candidate Rob Simmons. And today the Times ran an even odder story about how Blumenthal’s “friend” Chris Shays, a former Republican congressman who still may have political ambitions, wishes he’d said something about Blumenthal’s history of almost-lying sooner.)

The McMahon campaign eventually removed the claim from its site. But today, the official Linda McMahon campaign YouTube channel posted the full, six-minute version of the 2008 video. Not the short one the Times had. It posted the one in which Blumenthal correctly says he served “during the Vietnam era.”

And so Linda McMahon’s campaign has now completely undermined its best chance at derailing the candidacy of Richard Blumenthal.

Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

Will Richard Blumenthal drop out? And if he does, what happens?

Barring further revelations, Richard Blumenthal's probably the Democratic nominee for Senate. But if things change?

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Will Richard Blumenthal drop out? And if he does, what happens?Connecticut's State Attorney General and U.S. Senate candidate Richard Blumenthal speaks to reporters at a Veterans of Foreign Wars post in West Hartford on May 18.

According to a Rasmussen phone survey released today, Richard Blumenthal’s lead over Republican opponent Linda McMahon has shrunk from 13 points to 3. All because he sometimes forgot he didn’t actually serve in Vietnam, during the war there.

This is a Rasmussen poll, so it might mean absolutely nothing. (Unless you believe the liberal line against Rasmussen — that its terribly conservative house effect is intentional — in which case it means that it’s trying to push the “Blumenthal in trouble” narrative while the news is fresh.)

Today, the New York Times ran a follow-up to its story about how every now and then Blumenthal encourages the belief that he fought in Vietnam. (One odd thing is that the story’s main source is former Republican congressman Chris Shays, who claims to be very friendly with and admiring of Blumenthal. Shays was also seriously considering a run for the Senate seat himself as of last year.)

But despite following up on the story, there’s no new news. Most of the time, Blumenthal correctly recounted his service. Sometimes he didn’t. He never corrected anyone who, based on his often vague language, assumed he fought in Vietnam. I’d say it’s impossible to know, at this point, how damaging this will actually be to Blumenthal, and how effective his forceful response was. (Furthermore, I’m still not convinved Linda McMahon is electable. Doesn’t anyone remember what her husband did to their daughter Stephanie?)

Steve Kornacki laid out the possible Blumenthal scenarios yesterday, but there’s a new wrinkle: The Connecticut Supreme Court ruled that the state secretary of state is ineligible to run for Blumenthal’s current job, attorney general. Which gives Blumenthal an out, should more reliable polls show his support collapsing.

What happens if Blumenthal leaves the race? The convention is this weekend. Anyone who gets 15 percent of the vote will make it onto the primary ballot. After the convention, anyone who can get the signatures of 2 percent of the enrolled membership of the Connecticut Democratic party (approximately 15,000 people) by June 8 can also qualify for the ballot. That’s a tall order for anyone hoping to replace Blumenthal, should he turn out to be unelectable.

But after that petition deadline, and before the August primary, should a qualifying candidate remove himself from the race, the Democratic Party can select literally anyone it wants to replace him. So Blumenthal and Connecticut Democrats have months to figure out whether they need to find a new candidate.

Personally, I find Blumenthal’s misleading Vietnam statements much sadder than outrageous. The guy clearly wants desperately for veterans to think he’s one of them. But this aspect of his fantasy is much, much more annoying:

When it was his turn to speak, Mr. Blumenthal at one point brought up the subject of his military service and lamented that when “we returned from Vietnam” Americans had spit on soldiers, Mr. Shays recalled.

I know Richard Blumenthal’s entire Vietnam experience is a guilt-induced daydream based primarily on half-remembered scenes from “Rambo: First Blood Part II,” but the spitting thing is most likely a pernicious myth.

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

Good news for Democrats in Connecticut

Party has a good shot at keeping Sen. Chris Dodd's seat, and picking up another down the road

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Good news for Democrats in ConnecticutConnecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal announces his candidacy for the U.S. Senate seat vacated by the retirement of fellow Democrat Christopher Dodd in Hartford, Conn., Wednesday, Jan. 6, 2010. (AP Photo/Jessica Hill)(Credit: Jessica Hill)

Quinnipiac’s out today with a new poll confirming results from one earlier survey that had been conducted by a Democratic firm: Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal is a heavy favorite to win the race for Sen. Chris Dodd’s seat, in a much better position than Dodd would have been.

In a nod to the presence of World Wrestling Entertainment executive Linda McMahon in the race, Quinnipiac says: “Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal has 35 to 47-point leads over three Republican candidates for the 2010 U.S. Senate contest, thumping former wrestling executive Linda McMahon 64 – 23 percent, bruising businessman Peter Schiff 66 – 19 percent and smacking former U.S. Rep. Rob Simmons 62 – 27 percent.”

Many Democrats, though, will be even happier to hear some other results from the same poll. It shows Connecticut residents losing faith in the state’s other senator, independent Joe Lieberman. His approval rating is at a dismal 39 percent, 10 percentage points off what it was as recently as November, with 54 percent of respondents saying they disapprove of the job he’s doing.

Alex Koppelman is a staff writer for Salon.

Democrats aren’t dead yet

Tuesday's retirement news may look worse than it really is for this year's elections

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Democrats aren't dead yetHouse Speaker Nancy Pelosi, left, and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid

At the White House Wednesday, press secretary Robert Gibbs wasn’t about to play political prophet.

“Look, it is hard to look into the crystal ball 11 months from Election Day,” Gibbs said. Hard — and also, if you’re a Democrat these days, a little scary. The surprising news Tuesday night that Sen. Byron Dorgan, D-N.D., wouldn’t run again was followed not long afterward by the slightly less surprising news that his Connecticut counterpart Chris Dodd would join him in retirement. Colorado Gov. Bill Ritter announced his retirement, too, and just for good measure, Michigan Lt. Gov. John Cherry said he would sit out the 2010 election as well. Republicans and the media alike declared the sky was falling for the Obama administration and the Democratic Party.

“The real question is whether Harry Reid, now the Senate’s most vulnerable Democrat, will follow Chris Dodd’s lead and step aside,” Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Steele said in a statement. (Take this one to Vegas, in Reid’s home state — he won’t.)

Clear away the overheated rhetoric, though, and the reality in Washington looks a little different. Sure, Democrats will struggle in November’s elections — which they were already going to do anyway. The timing is bad, because all the retirement announcements stacked up on top of each other. So the “optics,” as political operatives say, are terrible. But the Democrats aren’t actually in substantially worse shape Wednesday than they were Monday.

Take Connecticut. Dodd may be a beloved member of the Senate Democratic caucus, but there was almost no way he was going to win another term. His ill-fated move to Iowa during the 2008 presidential primaries, his sweetheart mortgage deal from Countrywide and his work to enable AIG to issue bonuses despite billions of dollars in federal aid left him the most endangered incumbent senator in either party. Attorney General Richard Blumenthal, though, entered the campaign Wednesday with at least a 30 point lead over his GOP opponents, according to one poll taken before Dodd bowed out.

“Let’s get real here,” one Senate Democratic leadership aide told Salon. “We had a huge problem, and now it’s gone.”

With Blumenthal in much better shape than Dodd, the party won’t have to devote anywhere near as much money to holding Connecticut as it might have otherwise. Buying ads in the state means buying ads on New York television; Democrats say the cash they’ll save in Connecticut could help out in races in Ohio, Missouri or Kentucky.

North Dakota is a little different. Dorgan gave no advance warning to any of his colleagues (and barely any to his staff, informing aides by e-mail just before he announced his decision), and his departure doesn’t relieve any pressure on the Democratic majority. But it’s not entirely clear he would have won another term, anyway. There was persistent speculation Wednesday among Senate insiders that North Dakota’s Republican Gov. John Hoeven had tipped Dorgan off over the holidays that he would get into the race, and that Dorgan opted out as a result. A poll taken just before Christmas showed Hoeven beating Dorgan easily. Of course, now the seat is a virtual lock for the GOP to pick up, even if Hoeven stays out, but Republicans might have won it no matter what. (Dorgan, for his part, said in his retirement announcement that he would have held on if he’d run.)

Colorado, where Ritter was deeply unpopular, may turn out to be better for the Democrats after Tuesday, as well. Interior Secretary Ken Salazar could run for the job, or Andrew Romanoff, who’s challenging Democratic Sen. Michael Bennett in a primary, could switch to the governor’s race.

And as Democrats were forced to point out repeatedly Wednesday, even after the retirement announcements, there are more Republicans who won’t run for their seats this year than Democrats. Already, 14 House Republicans have declared they won’t seek another term, compared to only 10 Democrats. (Some are seeking higher office.) Six Senate Republicans, compared to only four Democrats, are stepping down. And four Republican governors will retire this year, joined by three Democrats.

Again, none of this means Democrats are eagerly awaiting the elections right now. Things were bound to be tough for the party that controls the White House, the House and the Senate during a midterm election, especially if the economy doesn’t improve. But the map hasn’t fundamentally changed, no matter what you hear on TV.

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Mike Madden is Salon's Washington correspondent. A complete listing of his articles is here. Follow him on Twitter here.

Lieberman may have serious challenger

Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal is reportedly considering a Senate run against his state's "Independent Democrat."

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Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman had a tough time winning reelection in 2006; in order to do it, after being defeated in the Democratic primary, he had to run as an independent. The road ahead of him in 2012 might not be any easier, as one of the state’s prominent Democrats is reportedly considering taking a run at Lieberman’s seat.

State Attorney General Richard Blumenthal, the Hill reports, “has begun informing influential members of the state’s political class that he will prepare for a run against Lieberman.” The Hartford Courant notes that Blumenthal has always coveted a Senate seat, but his path to one had long been blocked by the presence of two Democrats — Lieberman and Chris Dodd — in the state’s delegation. With Lieberman now an independent who only caucuses with the Democrats, it’s no longer taboo to challenge him.

The news was especially interesting to me because I covered the end of the 2006 primary between Lieberman and Ned Lamont, and met Blumenthal at Lieberman headquarters that night. At the time, he supported the incumbent. He eventually endorsed Lamont, but that was essentially mandatory after Lamont’s primary victory, and has apparently remained friends with the senator. So it’s interesting to see him considering a campaign.

Alex Koppelman is a staff writer for Salon.

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