Martin Crutsinger

US business stockpiles grew 0.3 percent in March

FILE - This Jan. 25, 2012 file photo shows hydraulic couplings ready for shipping at the Eaton Corp. plant in Berea, Ohio. U.S. companies restocked more slowly in March, continuing a trend that has weighed on growth this year. The Commerce Department said Tuesday, May 15, 2012, that business inventories rose 0.3 percent in March, the smallest increase since November. Business sales rose 0.6 percent in March. (AP Photo/Mark Duncan, File)(Credit: AP)

WASHINGTON (AP) — U.S. companies restocked more slowly in March, continuing a trend that has weighed on growth this year.

The Commerce Department said Tuesday that business inventories rose 0.3 percent in March, the smallest increase since November. Business sales rose 0.6 percent in March.

The pace of restocking has diminished this year from the end of last year, contributing less to economic growth in the January-March quarter.

Businesses order more goods when they increase their stockpiles. That supports higher factory production and faster economic growth.

Stockpiles have remained lean relative to sales. The inventory-to-sales ratio dipped to 1.27 in March, meaning it would take roughly five weeks to exhaust the stockpiles at the March sales pace.

Inventories are expected to keep growing this year. But the gains are not expected to be anywhere near the level seen at the end of last year.

That’s because businesses had cut back on restocking last summer when some feared the economy was on the verge of another recession. When it became clear that it wasn’t, many companies raced to rebuild their stockpiles and keep pace with consumer demand.

Sales were up strongly in February and March, but that reflected in part a mild winter that may have accelerated some sales at the expense of later months. A separate report Tuesday showed that retail sales barely increased in April.

Economists believe the pace of inventory rebuilding is consistent with moderate economic growth. Still, consumers must keep spending for businesses to continue restocking at a healthy pace.

In the first three months of this year, the economy grew at an annual rate of 2.2 percent. That’s down from the 3 percent growth in the October-December quarter but better than the 1.7 percent growth for all of 2011. And it was driven by the fastest growth in consumer spending since late 2010.

Consumers spent more partly in response to strong hiring. But hiring slowed sharply in the past two months. Employers added an average of 135,000 jobs per month in March and April. That’s down from an average 252,000 per month from December through February.

Sluggish job growth and weak pay raises threaten to drag on consumer spending. That would drag on growth. Consumer spending accounts for 70 percent of economic activity.

Stockpiles at the manufacturing level account for about 40 percent of the total while wholesale inventories represent 27 percent and inventories at the retail level account for about one-third of the total.

US wholesale prices fell 0.2 percent in April

WASHINGTON (AP) — U.S. wholesale prices fell in April, reflecting a big decline in gas and energy costs. But outside that drop, inflation was tame.

The Labor Department says the producer price index, which measures price changes before they reach the consumer, dropped 0.2 percent in April. It was the first decline since December and the biggest drop since October.

Excluding volatile food and energy costs, the so-called core index rose 0.2 percent.

For the 12 months that ended in April, wholesale prices have risen just 1.9 percent, the smallest 12-month change since October 2009.

Modest wholesale inflation reduces pressure on manufacturers and retailers to raise prices. That helps keep consumer prices stable.

Gas prices spiked earlier this year. But they have dropped 5 percent since peaking last month.

US deficit looms large despite April surplus

WASHINGTON (AP) — The U.S. government took in more money than it spent in April, the first monthly surplus in nearly four years.

But that black ink won’t last. The federal government is on track to exceed a $1 trillion deficit for the fourth straight year, keeping the contentious issue front and center during the 2012 presidential election.

The Treasury Department said Thursday that the U.S. deficit totaled $719 billion through the first seven months of the budget year, which began on Oct. 1. That’s $150 billion lower than a year ago.

For April, the government recorded its first surplus in 43 months — $59.1 billion. That’s not unusual for this time of year, when annual tax returns are due.

Even with that improvement, the Congressional Budget Office is forecasting the deficit will hit $1.17 trillion for the entire 2012 budget year. That’s not much better than the $1.3 trillion deficit run last year.

Democrats and Republicans have offered conflicting strategies for reducing the deficit.

President Barack Obama’s budget request calls a mix of spending cuts and revenue increases. A key part of his proposal includes allowing the Bush-era tax cuts to expire for couples making more than $250,000. Obama would also set a 30 percent tax rate on people making more than $1 million.

Mitt Romney, the presumptive Republican nominee, has proposed broad but largely unspecified cuts in spending. He opposes Obama’s tax increases. He has also said he would like to cut the federal work force by 10 percent.

House Republicans have proposed a plan that includes deep cuts in Medicare and other programs and a new round of tax cuts that would most benefit wealthy Americans. Obama has called that spending plan “thinly veiled social Darwinism” and a radical vision for the country.

The government last recorded a surplus in 2001. The deficits returned after President George W. Bush won approval for broad tax cuts, pushed a major drug benefit program for seniors and launched wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.

The deficits grew further under Obama as the Great Recession reduced tax revenue as unemployment rose and income fell. The budget gaps have topped $1 trillion in each of his first three years in office.

Continue Reading Close

US trade gap widens at fastest pace in 10 months

WASHINGTON (AP) — The U.S. trade deficit rose in March at the fastest rate in 10 months. A rise in consumer goods lifted imports to a record level, outpacing a solid gain in U.S. exports.

The Commerce Department says the trade deficit widened to $51.8 billion in March, up from $45.4 billion in February. Imports rose 5.2 percent to a record $238.6 billion, reflecting more foreign oil, autos, cell phones and clothes.

Exports increased 2.9 percent to $186.8 billion. Sales to Europe reached an all-time high despite the region’s debt crisis.

Economists caution that export growth, a bright spot for the U.S. economy, could slow in coming months if more European countries fall into recession.

US employers posted 3.74 million March jobs

WASHINGTON (AP) — U.S. companies in March posted the highest number of job openings in nearly four years, a sign that hiring could strengthen in the coming months after slowing this spring.

The Labor Department says employers advertised 3.74 million job openings in March. That’s up from a revised 3.57 million in February. The March figure was the highest since July 2008, just before the financial crisis erupted that fall.

The 4.8 percent increase in openings suggests job growth could pick up in May. It usually takes one to three months for employers to fill openings.

Still, more than 12.7 million people were unemployed in March. That means an average of 3.4 people competed for each open job. In a healthy job market, the ratio is usually around 2 to 1.

US consumers upped their borrowing in March

WASHINGTON (AP) — U.S. consumers swiped their credit cards more often in March after cutting back during the previous two months. The increase helped drive overall borrowing up by the most in more than a decade.

Total consumer borrowing rose $21.4 billion in March, the Federal Reserve said Monday. That’s the seventh straight monthly increase and the largest since November 2001.

A measure of auto and student loans increased $16.2 billion. A separate gauge of mostly credit card debt rose $5.2 billion after declining in January and February.

The increase pushed total borrowing up to a seasonally adjusted $2.54 trillion. That’s slightly below the all-time high of $2.58 trillion reached in July 2008, eight months after the Great Recession began. Consumers then cut back on borrowing sharply for more than two straight years.

Americans began taking on more debt again in the fall of 2010 and have stepped up borrowing in recent months.

The steady rise in borrowing is generally considered a good sign for the economy. It suggests consumers are more confident and comfortable taking on more debt.

The overall economy grew at an annual rate of 2.2 percent in the January-March quarter, helped by the strongest growth in consumer spending since late 2010. Consumer spending accounts for 70 percent of economic activity.

Still, job growth has slowed sharply in the past two months, while wages have lagged inflation. That has raised concerns that consumers might pull back on spending later this year.

Employers added just 115,000 jobs in April, the government said Friday. That followed the creation of 154,000 jobs in March. From December through February, the economy added an average of 252,000 jobs per month.

The employment report also noted that the average worker’s hourly pay rose by just one penny in April. Over the past year, average hourly pay has ticked up 1.8 percent to $23.28. Inflation has been roughly 2.7 percent. Which means the average consumer isn’t keeping up with price increases

With weaker income growth, U.S. households haves spent more while saving less. The savings rate was 3.8 percent of after-tax income in March, nearly a full percentage point below the 4.7 percent where it had been three months before. For all of 2011, the savings rate declined to 4.7 percent of after-tax income, compared to 5.3 percent in 2010.

Households began borrowing less and saving more when the recession began and unemployment surged. While the expectation is that consumers are ready to resume borrowing, they are not expected to load up on debt the way they did during the housing boom of the last decade.

The Federal Reserve’s borrowing report covers auto loans, student loans and credit cards. It excludes mortgages, home equity loans and other loans tied to real estate.

Continue Reading Close

Page 1 of 14 in Martin Crutsinger