Seth Borenstein

Global warming winner: Once rare butterfly thrives

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WASHINGTON (AP) — Global warming is rescuing the once-rare brown Argus butterfly, scientists say.

Man-made climate is threatening the existence of many species, such as the giant polar bear. But in the case of the small drab British butterfly, it took a species in trouble and made it thrive.

It’s all about food. Over about 25 years, the butterfly went from in trouble to pushing north in Britain where it found a veritable banquet. Now the butterfly lives in twice as large an area as it once did and is not near threatened, according to a study in Friday’s issue of the journal Science.

Decades ago, the brown Argus “was sort of a special butterfly that you would have to go to a special place to see and now it’s a butterfly you can see in regular farmland or all over the place,” said study co-author Richard Fox, an ecologist at Butterfly Conservation, a science and advocacy group in the United Kingdom.

Global warming helping the brown Argus is unusual compared to other species and that’s why scientists are studying it more, said study co-author Jane Hill, a professor of ecology at the University of York.

Biologists expect climate change to create winners and losers in species. Stanford University biologist Terry Root, who wasn’t part of this study, estimated that for every winner like the brown Argus there are three loser species, like the cuckoo bird in Europe. Hill agreed that it’s probably a three-to-one ratio of climate change losers to winners.

As the world warms, the key interactions between species break down because the predator and prey may not change habitats at the same time, meaning some species will move north to cooler climes and won’t find enough to eat, Root said.

“There are just so many species that are going to go extinct,” Root said.

What makes the brown Argus different is that it found something new to eat, something even better than its old food, the less common rockrose plant, Hill said. The new food is a geranium and it is more widespread.

“It’s almost like the whole of the buffet is now open to it,” Hill said.

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Online:

Science: http://www.sciencemag.org

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Seth Borenstein can be followed at http://twitter.com/borenbears

Commercial space race gets crowded behind SpaceX

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Commercial space race gets crowded behind SpaceXFILE - In this Tuesday, May 22, 2012 file photo, the SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket lifts off from space launch complex 40 at the Cape Canaveral Air Force Station in Cape Canaveral, Fla. The privately built space capsule that's zipping its way to the International Space Station has also launched something else: A new for-profit space race. (AP Photo/John Raoux)(Credit: AP)

WASHINGTON (AP) — A privately built space capsule that’s zipping its way to the International Space Station has also launched something else: A new for-profit space race.

The capsule called Dragon was due to arrive near the space station for tests early Thursday and dock on Friday with its load of supplies. Space Exploration Technologies Corp. — run by PayPal co-founder Elon Musk — was hired by NASA to deliver cargo and eventually astronauts to the orbital outpost.

And the space agency is hiring others, too.

Several firms think they can make money in space and are close enough to Musk’s company to practically surf in his spaceship’s rocket-fueled wake. There are now more companies looking to make money in orbit — at least eight — than major U.S. airlines still flying.

Private space companies have talked for years about ferrying goods and astronauts for NASA, but this is the first time one is actually in orbit and about to make a delivery for the space agency.

“Dragon is not the only entrant in commercial cargo,” said Jeff Greason, president of XCOR Aerospace, which specializes in the also busy suborbital marketplace. “They have competitors nipping at their heels.”

Still, Dragon’s launch is “the spark that will ignite a flourishing commercial spaceflight marketplace,” said Michael Lopez-Alegria, the president of the Commercial Spaceflight Federation and a former astronaut.

Hiring Musk’s SpaceX and other private companies is a key part of NASA’s plan to shift focus. Instead of routine flights to the space station with the now retired space shuttles, NASA is aiming further out to places like asteroids and Mars. After this test flight, SpaceX has a contract with NASA for a dozen delivery runs.

The idea is to “let private industry do what it does best and let NASA tackle the challenging task of pushing the boundary further,” NASA Deputy Administrator Lori Garver said last week.

NASA has given seed money and contracts to several companies to push them on their way. But eventually, space missions could launch, dock to a private space station or hotel and return to Earth and not have anything to do with NASA or any other country’s space agency.

Earlier this month, the Hawthorne, Calif.-based SpaceX signed an agreement with Bigelow Aerospace of Nevada which is designing inflatable space stations for research and maybe even tourists. SpaceX and other companies will provide the transportation — like airlines — and Bigelow the place to stay. There are already eight different licensed spaceports in the U.S. where companies can launch from and most of them have no connection to NASA.

Another space launch-and-tourism company, Richard Branson’s Virgin Galactic is working separately from NASA and the space station.

If NASA isn’t involved, there is one federal agency that is. The Federal Aviation Administration has a commercial space office that licenses private space missions and works with NASA to set safety standards.

An update on some of the closest competitors to SpaceX:

— Orbital Sciences Corp. of Dulles, Va., is in the cargo-only business, but it is closest to launch. It has a NASA contract for $1.9 billion for eight cargo flights to the space station once its rockets succeed. The early versions of its Antares rocket and Cygnus spaceship are already built, but the company is waiting for its launch pad to be finished at NASA’s Wallops Flight Facility in Virginia. A stay-on-the-ground test is aimed for late July, a launch test in the fall and trial run to the space station around November, said spokesman Barron Beneski.

— Alliant Techsystems, headquartered in Arlington, Va., isn’t funded by NASA’s commercial space program, but has developed the Liberty rocket and passenger spacecraft system. Most of the rocketry and capsule systems have been tested. A key structural test of the rocket’s second stage is scheduled for early July, with the first unmanned test flight in 2014. Tests with a private crew aboard would be in 2015 and it would be ready to ferry NASA material and astronauts in 2016, according to Kent Rominger, a former astronaut and Liberty’s program manager.

— Boeing Co. of Chicago has nearly $113 million in NASA commercial crew funding and just finished its second parachute drop test in the Nevada desert. It has completed 46 of 52 milestones needed before flights, spokeswoman Susan Wells said. A landing airbag test is targeted for the fall. The Boeing space capsule, called a CST-100, will carry astronauts and cargo with three test launches aimed for 2015 and 2016, the last one with a crew on board.

— The Sierra Nevada Corp. of Sparks, Nev., with nearly $106 million from NASA, is building a mini-shuttle crew vehicle called Dream Chaser with a first flight targeted for 2016 or possibly 2017. The company this year finished landing gear tests and has a full-scale ship for flight testing attached to a helicopter this fall in California.

— The most secretive of the companies, Blue Origin of Kent, Wash., is run by Amazon founder Jeff Bezos and has received $22 million from NASA. Its crew and cargo vehicle, called New Shepard, would also take tourists to suborbit. Its shell passed wind tunnel tests and its engines are now being test fired at NASA’s Stennis Space Center.

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Online:

NASA commercial program: http://www.nasa.gov/offices/c3po/home/index.html

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Seth Borenstein can be followed at http://twitter.com/borenbears

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Beam them up: Ashes of ‘Star Trek’ actor in orbit

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Beam them up: Ashes of 'Star Trek' actor in orbitThis combination of photos shows astronaut Gordon Cooper, top left; Bob Shrake, an engineer who designed spaceship control instruments for NASA’s Jet Propulsion Lab, top right; actor James Doohan, bottom left; and capsules from Space Services Inc. These three men who made space their lives are also making space their final resting place. Their ashes - and hundreds of others’ - in capsules from Space Services Inc. were aboard the Falcon 9 rocket that blasted into orbit Tuesday, May 19, 2012 as part of an in-space burial business. (AP Photo/NASA, Shrake Family, Paramount Pictures, Space Services Inc.)(Credit: AP)

WASHINGTON (AP) — James Doohan, Scotty from “Star Trek,” spent his acting career whizzing through the cosmos. Gordon Cooper was one of America’s famous Mercury seven astronauts. And Bob Shrake spent his work life anonymously helping send NASA’s high-tech spacecraft to other planets.

Now the three men who made space their lives are also making space their final resting place. Their ashes — and those of about 300 others — were aboard SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket that blasted into orbit Tuesday as part of an in-space for-profit burial business.

Shrake was an engineer who designed spaceship control instruments for NASA’s Jet Propulsion Lab in Pasadena, Calif. After he died in 2007, his family decided that space would be a nice place to send some of his ashes so they spent a few thousand dollars to launch them in space with the Texas-based firm Celestis Inc. His daughter, Robin Smith of Grapevine, Texas, got up very early Tuesday to watch the pre-dawn launch, and said it was fitting.

“I thought wow, he was actually up in the sky, in the place where his work is being used,” Smith said by telephone.

The ashes were in a special container that was in the second stage of the Falcon rocket that boosted a capsule full of supplies for the International Space Station. That section of the rocket was jettisoned about 10 minutes after launch. It will remain in orbit for about a year then burn up as it returns to Earth.

You don’t have to be in the space business to have your ashes deposited in orbit, but you do have to have nearly $3,000. Some of what Celestis calls “participants” in this flight, which the company called its “new frontier” mission, have no connection to space.

Some people’s ashes that flew Tuesday, including those of Doohan and Cooper, were also on a botched 2008 SpaceX launch that didn’t get the remains into orbit and dropped into the Pacific Ocean. This is a makeup flight for them.

Others whose ashes have flown previously include “Star Trek” creator Gene Roddenberry and his actress-wife Majel Barrett, who was in the series.

Smith said her father — ever the frugal engineer — might have thought this a waste of money, but his family is glad they did it: “Most of his career dealt with outer space and orbit and now he’s in it.”

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Online:

List: http://www.celestis.com/memorial/newfrontier/

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Seth Borenstein can be followed at http://twitter.com/borenbears

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US forecasters say heat will stay on this summer

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WASHINGTON (AP) — Meteorologists say America’s unusually warm year is likely to extend through the summer. And that’s a bad sign for wildfires in the West.

The National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration’s forecast for June through August calls for warmer-than-normal weather for about three-quarters of the nation. Only the northwestern U.S. and Alaska are predicted to be cooler than average.

The stretch from last May until April was the hottest 12-month period on record for the nation. Records go back to 1895.

Meteorologist Greg Carbin said Wednesday that the forecast is especially troublesome for the West and wildfires. There have already been some fires because of the dry weather and soil.

NOAA sought magician, now wants plans to disappear

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WASHINGTON (AP) — A federal agency needs illusionist David Copperfield to help escape from criticism over now-canceled plans to hire a magician to train agency leaders using “magic tools.”

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is in hot water because on May 1 it posted a notice seeking a magician motivational speaker for a June leadership conference in suburban Maryland. The agency said presentations should include “physical energizers, magic tricks, puzzles, brain teasers, word games, humor and teambuilding exercises.” It asked for the performer to create “a unique model of translating magic and principals of the psychology of magic, magic tools, techniques and experiences into a method of teaching leadership.”

In an eight page bid solicitation, the agency in charge of weather, climate and oceans said it wanted to use the emotional intelligence techniques of a prominent Harvard professor who has written five books, but misspelled his name.

The posting came weeks after the General Services Administration was embroiled in a scandal involving a Las Vegas conference that cost nearly $1 million and included a mind-reader.

Congressmen and senators called NOAA’s plans frivolous and ridiculous. House Science Committee Chairman Ralph Hall, R-Tex., gave NOAA Administrator Jane Lubchenco a week to come up with an explanation and details about past spending on magicians and comedians.

Sen. Scott Brown, R-Mass., in a statement, said “this is a low point even by Washington’s standards” and added that “the best magic that NOAA could perform would be to make this wasteful spending disappear.”

His wish was granted.

After NOAA’s notice was reported by Government Executive magazine, the agency cancelled the magic gig. An agency spokesman said NOAA’s top lawyer is looking into the plans. The agency did not respond to questions asking the reasoning, the cost of the proposed hiring, or if anyone in the agency would be punished.

“No speakers have been hired or confirmed for this training session,” NOAA spokesman Scott Smullen wrote in an email.

The advertisement for the magician sounded like they were trying to hire a specific person, said Steve Ellis, vice president for the watchdog group Taxpayers for Common Sense. He said what makes NOAA’s plans so surprising is that someone thought about hiring a magician after the GSA scandal raised people’s awareness about silly conference spending.

“It gets filed under ‘What were they thinking’?” Ellis said. “It boggles the mind that somebody thought that this would pass the laugh test of the public.”

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Online:

NOAA: www.noaa.gov

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Seth Borenstein be followed at http://twitter.com/borenbears

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Greenland losing ice fast, but not runaway pace

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Greenland losing ice fast, but not runaway paceFILE - In this July 19, 2011 file photo, a large melt pool forms in the Ilulissat ice fjord below the Jakobshavn Glacier, at the fringe of the vast Greenland ice sheet. Greenland's glaciers are hemorrhaging ice at an increasingly faster rate, but it's not the breakneck pace scientists once feared, a new study says. (AP Photo/Brennan Linsley, File)(Credit: AP)

WASHINGTON (AP) — Greenland’s glaciers are hemorrhaging ice at an increasingly faster rate but not at the breakneck pace that scientists once feared, a new study says.

The loss of ice from the glaciers that cover the island is about 30 percent faster than it was a decade ago, researchers said. That means Greenland’s contribution to future sea level rise would be about 4 inches by the year 2100 if ice loss doesn’t speed up much more, a study author said.

That may not sound like much, but when other causes of sea rise around the globe are added, the total could still be about 3 feet by the end of the century, researchers said.

“‘Glacial pace’ is not slow anymore,” said study author Twila Moon, a glacier researcher at the University of Washington.

At the same time, “some of the worst-case possibilities that we had imagined are not coming true at this point,” Moon said. “So it’s not good news, but it’s not bad news.”

The scientists relied on a comprehensive satellite-based survey of about 200 glaciers to make their calculations. Their research was published Thursday in the journal Science.

Compared to some past research the findings are somewhat reassuring. A 2008 study had suggested a worst-case scenario that indicated Greenland’s glaciers might contribute up to 19 inches of sea rise by the end of the century.

The glaciers have been melting under warmer summer temperatures in Greenland that on average are up by about 2 degrees Fahrenheit (1 degree Celsius) over the last decade, study authors said.

One famous glacier on northwestern Greenland called Jakobshavn is now losing ice at a particularly fast pace of 7 miles (11.3 kilometers) per year. That means an ice loss of nearly 3 feet (1 meter) of ice every hour. If you stare at the glacier for about 20 minutes you can notice it move, said University of California Irvine glacier expert Eric Rignot, who wasn’t part of the study.

Even so, that pace doesn’t match the predictions laid out in the worst-case laid out in the 2008 study, research that caused alarm about the effects of increasing greenhouse gas emissions that warm the earth.

“We’re not seeing some kind of runaway effect,” said study co-author, Ian Joughin, another University of Washington glacier scientist.

Rignot said it is unfair to compare this recent study to the more alarming 2008 one, which he said wasn’t designed to be overly realistic. However, he noted that the findings of this new study still exceed computer models and projections by the Nobel Prize-winning Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

NASA Chief Scientist Waleed Abdalati, an ice scientist, called the new work a “valuable study that advances our understanding of a very complex wild card of sea level rise.”

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Online:

Science: http://www.sciencemag.org

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Seth Borenstein be followed at http://twitter.com/borenbears

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