Tom Raum

THE RACE: Math adds up to GOP victory for Romney

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THE RACE: Math adds up to GOP victory for RomneyRepublican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, center, Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., right, and San Diego Veteran of the year Marine David Dickey stand together during a campaign stop at the Veterans Museum & Memorial Center, Monday, May 28, 2012 in San Diego. (AP Photo/Mary Altaffer)(Credit: AP)

This day is mostly about math for Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney.

Not fuzzy math or new math but the simple one-plus-one addition kind of math. By day’s end, if all goes as expected, the former Massachusetts governor will finally have a mathematical lock on the Republican presidential nomination.

Never mind that he’s been the frontrunner since the Iowa and New Hampshire contests in January and the presumptive nominee since his last major opponent — former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum — suspended campaigning on April 10.

Even so, “I need to get 50.1 percent or more” Romney said ahead of the Tuesday GOP primary in Texas expected to push him above the required 1,144 delegate threshold.

“I’m looking forward to good news,” he said.

He still won’t formally be nominated for another three months. That comes in late August at the Republican convention in Tampa. All before the general election campaign, which has for practical purposes been going on for months, can officially begin.

Romney was courting another set of numbers — voters and dollars — at campaign stops Tuesday in Colorado and Nevada, including a Las Vegas rally and fundraiser with Donald Trump.

Meanwhile, other significant numbers — percentages in new national polls — show President Barack Obama has been losing ground to Romney with the race now essentially a statistical dead heat.

Obama’s re-election campaign surfaced a new television commercial on Tuesday accusing Romney of failing to stand up to “the voices of extremism” in his party. Obama played his presidential card, awarding the Medal of Freedom to 13 individuals, including singer-songwriter Bob Dylan, onetime astronaut John Glenn and former Secretary of State Madeline Albright.

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Follow Tom Raum on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/tomraum. For more AP political coverage, look for the 2012 Presidential Race in AP Mobile’s Big Stories section. Also follow https://twitter.com/APCampaign and AP journalists covering the campaign: https://twitter.com/AP/ap-campaign-2012.

Presidential race is most costly ever

The election is poised to dwarf the cost of 2008, when Super PACs didn't pump millions of dollars into the race

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Presidential race is most costly everPresident Barack Obama, left, tours TPI Composites, a manufacturer of wind turbines blades, with plant manager Mark Parriott, Thursday, May 24, 2012 in Newton, Iowa. In Obama’s second visit as president to Newton, a city of about 15,000 east of Des Moines, he argued for Congress to renew wind energy tax credits.(AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais)(Credit: AP)

The battle between President Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney will be the most expensive presidential contest ever — by a long shot.

There are two main reasons. It’s the first time both major-party candidates are declining post-Watergate federal campaign financing — and the spending limits attached. And the proliferation of super PACS is pumping untold millions into the fray on both sides, mostly for advertising.

So fashion your seat belts and prepare for a howling tempest of broadcast ads, especially if you live in a battleground state.

Obama and Romney were both coming off a week of intensive national fundraising.

Without Democratic primary opposition, Obama had a huge early advantage.

But Romney, likely to surpass the 1,144 delegates needed for the GOP nomination next Tuesday with a primary win in Texas, is starting to catch up as major conservative donors begin opening their wallets.

Through April, Obama and Democratic groups supporting him have raised nearly $450 million and have more than $150 million in the bank. Romney and Republicans backing him have collected more than $400 million during the same stretch and have about $80 million at their disposal.

Both candidates are shooting for raising around $800 million, which would put their combined campaign spending at roughly $1.6 billion. Add another few hundred million from super PACs and convention spending.

Obama opted out of public financing in 2008 and raised $750 million. His spending swamped GOP rival Sen. John McCain, limited to spend the $84 million he received from taxpayers. Super PACs didn’t exist then.

We know what happened in that race. Romney didn’t want to see it happen to him.

Neither candidate had public appearances Friday. Romney was taking a long weekend California hiatus from campaigning, while Obama planned several ceremonial events on Memorial Day.

 

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THE RACE: Romney talks up his private-sector days

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THE RACE: Romney talks up his private-sector daysRepublican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, and Salina Beattie display class work they did together in the 6th grade language arts class during Romney's tour of the Universal Bluford Charter School, Thursday, May 24, 2012, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Mary Altaffer)(Credit: AP)

Presumptive GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney likes to portray himself as a better job creator than President Barack Obama, but he may have a hard time backing up those boasts.

“We were able to create over 100,000 jobs,” Romney said recently, recycling an old unsubstantiated claim. It is a debatable figure since many of those jobs were created long after Romney left Bain Capital, the Boston private equity firm he co-founded.

Romney’s central theme is that his years at Bain better prepared him “to help fix the economy” than Obama, whose economic performance he calls lackluster.

Obama dismissed Romney’s basic premise earlier this week when he told reporters in Chicago that a president’s job “is not simply to maximize profits.” The president claims Romney would bring back old Republican policies that didn’t work in the past in solving the nation’s economic problems.

“These are new problems that were created by President Obama,” Romney told Fox News on Thursday. “We need new solutions if we’re going to get this economy going again.”

Romney’s jobs assertion rests heavily on relatively small Bain stakes in companies such as Staples and Sports Authority that later grew large and profitable.

Ads by Obama’s re-election campaign and the Democratic National Committee emphasize how some companies that Bain invested in went bankrupt and workers lost their jobs while the firm still made money. Obama has been accused by Republicans — and even some Democrats — for appearing to be attacking private enterprise, something the president denies.

Obama held a fund-raiser in San Jose, Calif., Thursday and later planned to speak at the Iowa State Fairgrounds, where his campaign reminded voters is where Romney declared last year that “corporations are people.” Romney visited a West Philadelphia charter school.

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Follow Tom Raum on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/tomraum. For more AP political coverage, look for the 2012 Presidential Race in AP Mobile’s Big Stories section. Also follow https://twitter.com/APCampaign and AP journalists covering the campaign: https://twitter.com/AP/ap-campaign-2012.

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Polls show presidential race tightening

With five months until the election, new polls show the candidates in a dead heat

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Polls show presidential race tighteningMissouri Gov. Jay Nixon, left, and Joplin Superintendent of Schools C.J. Huff, right, flank President Barack Obama as he takes the stage to deliver the Joplin High School commencement address a day before the anniversary of the twister that killed 161 people, Monday, May 21, 2012, in Joplin, Mo. Obama jetted to Joplin immediately after wrapping up the national security-focused NATO conference in Chicago, the second international summit the president hosted over the past four days. (AP Photo/The Kansas City Star, Shane Keyser)(Credit: AP)

With about five months to go, the presidential race is tightening, polls show, with voters nearly evenly divided between President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, his likely Republican challenger.

Obama and Romney are locked in a dead heat over handling the economy, the top concern of voters, a new Washington Post-ABC News poll shows. They are tied at 47 percent.

Overall, 49 percent said they back Obama for re-election and 46 percent preferred Romney, a statistically insignificant difference.

Other recent national polls show a similarly close margin.

Earlier polls generally showed the former Massachusetts governor holding a slight lead over Obama on economic issues and Obama slightly ahead overall.

But the tightening follows an aggressive attack on Romney’s business credentials by the Obama campaign, including ads painting him as a job-destroying corporate raider at Bain Capital, the private-equity firm he co-founded.

Romney called the attacks “character assassination.” But Obama defended the tactic on Monday as legitimate and suggested Romney’s background was a poor qualification for the White House since being president involves more than “maximizing profits.”

Still, some prominent Democratic supporters have expressed discomfort with the attacks, including former Tennessee Rep. Harold Ford Jr., former Obama economic adviser Steve Rattner and Newark Mayor Cory Booker. Booker said he found attack ads from both sides “nauseating.” However, he later said Romney’s business record was fair game.

With U.S. unemployment still hovering above 8 percent and economic uncertainty widespread, both candidates have stepped up their emphasis on jobs and the economy.

Romney was fund raising in New York with New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and had no public appearances. Obama was at the White House also with no public appearances scheduled.

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Associated Press News Survey Specialist Dennis Junius contributed to this report.

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Follow Tom Raum on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/tomraum. For more AP political coverage, look for the 2012 Presidential Race in AP Mobile’s Big Stories section. Also follow https://twitter.com/APCampaign and AP journalists covering the campaign: https://twitter.com/AP/ap-campaign-2012.

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Obama and Romney fight over budget goals

The candidate's positions mirror the fight in Europe between austerity measures or spending and taxation

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Obama and Romney fight over budget goalsPresident Barack Obama and Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton mingle before the meeting on Afghanistan during the NATO Summit, Monday, May 21, 2012, in Chicago. (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)(Credit: AP)

The presidential race is shaping up as a battle between Republican calls for more government austerity and Democratic appeals for more spending to promote jobs and growth with tax hikes on high-income earners. It mirrors a fight raging in Europe.

Presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney has embraced a House-passed Republican budget blueprint outlining deep government spending cuts, particularly in social programs. He also advocates lower tax rates while promising increases in Pentagon spending — meaning the rest of the government would have to shrink even more.

Eight leaders from wealthy democracies opened the door to more government spending to ease Europe’s debt crisis at a weekend meeting at Camp David, Md. It was a backlash to widely unpopular austerity measures pushed principally by German Chancellor Angela Merkel.

President Barack Obama welcomed the move, citing “an emerging consensus that more must be done to promote growth and job creation right now.” That’s in line with Obama’s contention that tough austerity measures should await a stronger economy.

But there’s clearly no such consensus in American politics.

Romney fed the austerity debate as he campaigned last week in front of a whirring national-debt clock. House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., both declared Sunday that when Congress is asked to raise the nation’s borrowing cap after the election, they’ll insist on spending cuts to offset the increase.

That raised the prospect of another knock-down battle like the one last August that led to the first-ever downgrade of America’s credit rating.

Romney, writing in Sunday’s Chicago Tribune, accused Obama of overseeing looming defense cuts he said could undermine NATO’s mission and it into “an alliance in name only.”

Obama presided Monday over NATO’s Chicago summit and was to later address high school seniors in Joplin, Mo. Romney was attending fundraisers in New York.

 

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THE RACE: Obama, Romney working to stay on message

Romney tries to focus on the economy, while staving off being labeled a job-destroying corporate raider

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THE RACE: Obama, Romney working to stay on messagePresident Barack Obama speaks at the Symposium on Global Agriculture and Food Security at the Chicago Council on Global Affairs, Friday, May 18, 2012, at the Ronald Reagan Building in Washington. (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais)(Credit: AP)

President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney are being buffeted by crosswinds as Obama fights to keep his job and Romney works to wrest it from him. Both know where they want to go, but getting there is something else.

Romney is trying to pivot from the incendiary social issues that dominated GOP primaries to the economy, which polls show is his strongest suit, Obama’s biggest vulnerability and the No. 1 election issue.

The first Romney general-election TV commercial, released Friday, outlines what he’d do on Day One as president: submit tax cuts that “reward job creators not punish them,” approve the Keystone oil pipeline and start rolling back Obama’s health overhaul.

But mostly he’s been forced on the defensive.

He’s worked to deflect Team Obama efforts to paint him as a job-destroying corporate raider at Bain Capital in the 1980s. A fresh attack came Friday in a two-minute Democratic National Committee video titled “The Bane of Romney’s Existence.”

He also found himself having to repudiate a conservative independent group’s floating of a $10 million TV ad campaign recalling Obama’s ties to the controversial Rev. Jeremiah Wright. It would have raised off-message race and religion issues.

The weak economy itself is the strongest challenge confronting Obama. A stream of weak data is undercutting his contention the economy is slowly recovering and the best chance for a full comeback is to stick with him.

Obama kicked off four days of international summitry Friday by announcing $3 billion in private sector pledges to help feed Africa’s poor. But he may find it hard to demonstrate leadership at gatherings at Camp David and Chicago on two issues that defy easy solution: the European debt crisis and getting reluctant NATO members to pay more for Afghan security forces.

Romney campaigned in New Hampshire.

 

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