John McCain, R-Ariz.

It's the candidate, stupid

Don't blame reporters for putting McCain on the map. Like the senator, they are listening to the people.

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It's the candidate, stupid

In a rather predictable attempt to explain the McCain phenomenon away, certain media commentators have hit upon a novel, if inaccurate explanation.

It’s the media’s fault.

That was the theme of CNN’s Reliable Sources last weekend, when host Howard Kurtz asked a panel of reporters, “Has the press fallen in love with John McCain?” In an attempt to feel the passion that fuels most press reports, Kurtz rode on the candidate’s Straight Talk Express — and came back with his hair still in place.

With his Washington Post column and his appearances on CNN (not to mention a feature in last month’s Talk magazine), Kurtz has become a trusted — and ubiquitous — figure in the world of media criticism. When he says something stinks, it’s time to open a window. His investigation into the McCain question, however, left him concluding that though reporters tend to like any candidate who gives them lots of access, there was scant evidence that the media was giving the senator a free ride.

(The bad cop role was left, as usual, to Kurtz’s more intimidating co-host, Bernard Kalb. “You have surrendered to the massive pandering of the media that McCain inflicts on the media,” Kalb told Newsweek’s Michael Isikoff at one point, while scaring everyone else on the panel with his eyebrows.)

Blaming McCain’s astounding rise on the media isn’t news, however. Political cartoonists have been having fun with a love-struck press for weeks now and members of the Bush camp have been known to point the finger as well. Marvin Bush (evidently the bad brother) was quoted in this week’s U.S. News & World Report telling reporters, “That great sucking sound you hear is the sound of media’s lips coming off John McCain’s –”

(He stopped himself before saying the bad word, naturally. That wouldn’t be prudent.)

What gets lost in all this media bashing is the fact that the press following McCain’s campaign are not only doing their job — following the only real comet in the sky right now — they’re giving voters a sense of the man himself. Or at least what the experience of being with the man as he campaigns is like. (Admittedly, that was once considered part of their job, too, though it now seems secondary to racking up a few bons mots in the zeitgeist piece of the week.) As enamored as some reporters may sound, they are reflecting the overwhelming reaction of the electorate that has come out to see McCain stumping in the primaries.

As Nicholas Kristoff noted in a New York Times piece Saturday, “for all the blizzard of commercials and headlines about tax cuts, health policy and abortion, the main issues so far this year are not exactly issues at all, but rather matters of character, leadership and moral stature.” Having interviewed voters in South Carolina, New Hampshire, Delaware and Iowa, Kristoff concluded, “This time, character trumps the issues.”

Which is not to say that McCain — or any of the candidates — can ignore the more substantial questions, and a few handicappers have predicted trouble for him down the road if he doesn’t better define his domestic agenda. But as exhaustive (and exhausting) as some of his answers can be, McCain’s willingness to talk and talk is very much the story. It’s the singer, not the song.

All that access can grow wearying, of course, as several reporters have complained (CBS’s Bob Schieffer called it “the unending news conference,” others have likened it to being at someone else’s therapy session). And on this point even the average citizen can agree; too much McCain could be bad for you. At dinner with some colleagues in Washington last week, the talk was all of McCain.

Back in my hotel room I turned on C-Span and watched the senator shake hands with what seemed to be every veteran and enlisted man in South Carolina (“Thank you for serving, sir,” he said to many). Then I turned on Chris Matthews’ “Hardball” and watched McCain address an auditorium of college kids. He used the phrase “young people” about a thousand times and even compared himself to Luke Skywalker, trying to fight his way out of the Death Star. (An earlier reference to “Sky King” was lost on these representatives of the “South Park” generation.) Finally I turned to DL Hughley’s comedy show on HBO (straight talk of the Redd Foxx variety) just to get away from him.

Which must be just about how George W. Bush feels right now: What’s it going to take to get this sucker off my back? It’s not likely that McCain is Dubya’s worst nightmare; the governor doesn’t look the type who has been plagued by many bad dreams in his life. But for a man who, legend has it, wanted to avenge his father’s defeat in ’92, McCain’s challenge must seem like dij` vu of the distinctly bad karma variety. He had been anticipating a problem with the Reform Party (a group that now has all the credibility of the Provisional IRA). Instead he finds himself looking at a real reformer; or at least a guy who talks like one.

Candidate George W. Bush’s gravy train began with one simple fact: He wasn’t Clinton. He was a popular governor, son of a once popular president. He cut a good figure and didn’t seem to have any major flies on him. He wore cowboy boots with his suit.

But soon it appeared that other people weren’t Clinton, either. In fact, when you stack them up next to each other, McCain is a lot less like Clinton than Bush. And as Rep. Lindsey Graham (who has been playing Virgil to McCain’s Dante in the inferno of South Carolina politics) says on the stump, “I’ve got the antidote to Clinton fatigue right here, folks.”

And though the existence of “Clinton fatigue” has yet to be proved by research, neither has “chronic fatigue syndrome” — and that doesn’t prevent thousands of people from getting sick with it. The nostrum that Graham and McCain’s widening circle of supporters are hawking is more than a Clinton antidote. It’s an integrity elixir, a credibility potion. It seems to be one that no one knew they needed until they heard about it. And historical candidacies sometimes arise from a need that had previously remained unarticulated.

Boomers remain a key demographic. They elected Clinton in ’92 and Clinton (if you believed the hype) was the boomer president who was going to bring it all home — heal the divisions left by the Vietnam War, bring together the sides polarized during the Days of Rage. But unctuousness proved to be a lousy salve and boomers like me reacted with despair as we realized we had not elected Beaver or even Wally Cleaver, but Eddie Haskell.

Bush — and, for that matter, Gore and Bradley — don’t look all that different from Clinton. If they were colors you’d find them all living pretty close to each other in a big box of Crayolas, each one a lighter shade of blue. Though some pundits have claimed McCain speaks to a different side of the same boomer guilt (he was the one who went to Vietnam), I think his age is part of the secret of his appeal.

At 64, he is a decade older than his opponents. Foundering somewhere between World War II and Vietnam, his was a true lost generation. Though he served in Vietnam (as everyone in the world must know by now), he looked old before he was captured. He “missed” the marijuana phase of the war, he has answered (with typical candor) when asked about past drug use. He falls on the other side of that generational divide; he seems to have been born before the Age of Irony. Jedediah Purdy must love him.

Not to say McCain is without a sense of humor — in fact, he would do just fine on Letterman. (When asked last week by a South Carolina reporter if he intended to remind voters of his role in the S&L scandals he replied, “Sure, I’ll try to bring that up at every opportunity. I’ll say, ‘Hello dear friends, I’m one of the Keating Five, greetings.’”)

But he usually isn’t a smart ass and it’s hard to imagine him arguing over the definition of sex. (He’s had plenty and isn’t ashamed to talk about it.) He has milked his own image for all it is worth, but what else can he do? If image equals character and character trumps issues, he may hold the winning hand. Peggy Noonan, who learned a thing or two about image as a speechwriter for Ronald Reagan, wrote a savvy editorial for the Wall Street Journal about McCain’s appeal. Using the context of a B-movie, she compared the Republican electorate to the Girl, Bush to the Boss’s Son and McCain to the Flyboy.

“He has captured your imagination. This may get serious. He seems such a relief from — from that other man in your life, George W., the Boss’s Son,” she wrote. “You’ve been dating him for a year, and everyone thought marriage was in the cards, but now — now there’s Flyboy. And suddenly you realize one of the biggest reasons you couldn’t get serious about the Boss’s Son is that your parents wanted you to! Mom and pop — let’s call them ‘the Republican establishment’ — kept telling you he’s a catch. They kept pushing you, for your own good. Well, heck — let them marry him!”

Of course, the presidential race isn’t a B-movie and conservatives vote on issues, not image — right? Noonan should know. In the sort of ’40s films she alludes to, any number of guys could play the loser left at the altar: Ralph Bellamy, Leslie Howard, even Reagan. But there was only room for one real man — Bogart, say, or Gable.

So far, McCain’s campaign has been much more like a ’60s flick than something from the ’40s, its been loose, rangy and unpredictable. It’s like one of those movies McCain’s buddy Warren Beatty starred in (“Bonnie and Clyde,” “The Parallax View”) in which the good guy gets gunned down in the end, always by the forces of society or the establishment, man. Those rooting for McCain, even in spite of his politics, aren’t hoping he loses. For now they’re just enjoying the sight of someone who seems to be saying exactly what’s on his mind, taking chances and (as Maxwell Smart used to say), loving it. It’s the sight of this high-wire act that has the press, and the rest of the country, so fascinated. You don’t need a media man to know which way the wind blows.

Sean Elder is a frequent contributor to Salon.

Will “Joe the Plumber” run for Congress?

And if so, how many minutes will it take for him to say something embarrassing to a reporter? Ten?

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Will

“Joe the Plumber,” a man named Sam who is not a plumber, may run for Congress. Joe, a briefly famous desperate attempt by the John McCain campaign to paint Barack Obama as an enemy of the working man, is mulling a run against Rep. Marcy Kaptur, D-Ohio, who’s been in the House since 1983. Joe told Yahoo’s “The Ticket” his thoughts on the potential campaign:

“I’m not ruling anything out,” Wurzelbacher told The Ticket in an interview Thursday. He added that he thought it was an “interesting idea” and that people have been asking him to run for office since he confronted Obama four years ago. He’s spent much of his time since then on the speaker’s circuit, he said, encouraging others to run for office.

“I like the idea of it — just regular Americans running. If a regular guy runs, right away the media’s going to attack him,” Wurzelbacher said. “What kind of education does he have? What does he know about this? My answer to that is, regular Americans aren’t experts, but dammit, look where the experts have gotten us. Maybe we need some regular guys in there. That’s what I’ve been doing the past two and a half years, just encouraging regular Americans to run. Tell the liberal media to go to hell and I don’t care what you guys say about me, I’m going to try to fix this country.”

Man, I hate it when people condescend to regular Americans! Especially when people like Joe the Plumber condescend to “regular Americans.” Regular Americans don’t have publicity agents, Joe!

The local Republican Party is begging Mr. The Plumber to enter the race, because while running against a 30-year veteran is usually a pointless task, a pseudo-celebrity candidate can at least make a game of it. Kaptur won with 60 percent of the vote in 2010 and 74 percent in 2008, though there’s a chance redistricting could make her vulnerable. (Kaptur also introduced a bill restoring Glass-Steagall! So basically I like her.)

Local Republicans say there’s about a 90 percent chance Joe will enter the race, at which point once again he will be asked questions on camera and he will say embarrassing things, like he did last time.

But as dumb and small-minded and tiresome as Joe the Plumber is, there’s no reason why he couldn’t be a congressman. Ben Quayle is!

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

Whoops, no one told the right that their Libya talking point doesn’t work anymore

President Obama is far to weak to have accomplished what just actually happened in Tripoli

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Whoops, no one told the right that their Libya talking point doesn't work anymore

It’s obviously premature to celebrate “victory” in Libya when no one knows what will happen next, or how difficult and bloody the process of state-building will be. (And Gadhafi is not yet actually gone.) But the news is good, and Obama’s strategic approach to the conflict — allowing France and NATO to take the lead to minimize the chance that America was seen as leading another Iraq-style war of aggression — seems to have been the right one. (Strategically. Not necessarily legally.) As Steve Kornacki wrote this morning, this should be the end of the “Obama is too weak to lead” talking point from the right. It should be, but … it isn’t.

Today’s Wall Street Journal editorial page takes a break from excusing the criminality of the executives in charge of its parent company to deliver an official house reaction to the developments in Tripoli that starts off cautious and then just descends right back into the exact same lame arguments it’s been using for the last six months:

Having helped to midwife the rebel advances with air power, intelligence and weapons, NATO will have some influence with the rebels in the days ahead. The shame is how much faster Gadhafi might have been defeated, how many fewer people might have been killed, and how much more influence the U.S. might now have, if America had led more forcefully from the beginning.

Planning for this moment is precisely why we and many others had urged the State Department to engage with the rebels from the earliest days of the revolt, but the U.S. was slow to do so and only formally recognized the opposition Transitional National Council in mid-July. The hesitation gave Gadhafi hope that he could hold out and force a stalemate.

Libyans will determine their own future, but the U.S. has a stake in showing the world that NATO’s intervention, however belated and ill-executed, succeeded in its goals of removing a dictator, saving lives, and promoting a new Libyan government that respects its people and doesn’t sponsor global terrorism.

I’m not sure how long the editors of the Wall Street Journal think your average revolution lasts, but assuming Gadhafi’s hold on power is as weak as it appears today, I would argue — as a layman, of course — that NATO’s intervention seems neither “belated” nor “ill-executed.” (I mean, it seems well-executed, in the sense that it seems to have accomplished its goal?)

But it’s the line about America leading “more forcefully from the beginning” that the neocons and GOP hawks will continue to cling to no matter what actually happens in Libya. It’s the same argument BFF Sens. John McCain and Lindsey Graham used in their joint response to this weekend’s developments: “Americans can be proud of the role our country has played in helping to defeat Qaddafi, but we regret that this success was so long in coming due to the failure of the United States to employ the full weight of our airpower.”

All-out war! From day one! With the full force of American airpower! One definite way to make a civil war faster and less bloody is for a foreign country to enter it fully, right? (It tends to unite the populace, for one thing!) And conflicts are always less bloody when America drops more American bombs. That’s how we won Vietnam!

There’s no point in countering McCain and the Journal’s arguments with reason, of course, because these are not actually fact-based responses to news, they’re just rote recitations of Republican dogma: Obama weak! (Except domestically, where he is an autocrat.)

And this is the “respectable” Republican talking point. The line from the real nuts — I’m guessing something along the lines of “radical Obama allows Muslim Brotherhood to seize control in Libya” — will begin bubbling up from the sewers to talk radio and Fox News and Michele Bachmann’s campaign soon enough.

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

McCain: Afghan drawdown ‘unnecessary risk’

John McCain, Joe Lieberman and Lindsay Graham express concern about withdrawal plans

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McCain: Afghan drawdown 'unnecessary risk'U.S. Senator John McCain, R-Ariz, speaks with other U.S. Senators Joe Lieberman, I-Conn, and Lindsay Graham, R-SC, unseen, during a press conference in Kabul, Afghanistan Sunday, July 3, 2011. Three U.S. Senators visiting Kabul on Sunday say they worry that President Barack Obama's planned withdrawal of 33,000 American troops by September 2012 could undermine Afghan morale, embolden the insurgency, and hamper efforts to defeat Taliban fighters in eastern Afghanistan. (AP Photo/Musadeq Sadeq)(Credit: AP)

Three U.S. senators visiting Kabul said Sunday they are worried that President Barack Obama’s planned withdrawal of 33,000 American troops by September 2012 could undermine Afghan morale, embolden the insurgency and hamper efforts to defeat Taliban fighters.

John McCain, Joe Lieberman and Lindsay Graham said they are heartened by the progress of Afghan security forces, but worry that Obama’s withdrawal plan could deplete American military strength before dealing a decisive blow to the Taliban, especially in eastern Afghanistan. That part of the country is a haven for the Afghan and Pakistani wings of the Taliban, and al-Qaida affiliates.

“I believe that the planned drawdown is an unnecessary risk,” McCain, a Republican from Arizona, who claimed that no military leader has spoken in favor of the timetable.

Lt. Gen. John R. Allen, a Marine general expected to carry out the president’s drawdown order, has said the schedule is a bit more aggressive than the military had anticipated. Allen has cautioned that successfully winding down the war will require new progress on a wide front, including more help from allies and less Afghan corruption.

McCain — during a stop at the Kabul headquarters of the foreign military contingent, called the International Security Assistance Force — said he’s concerned there may not be enough American troops for a move from southern Afghanistan to the east to “finish the job there.” There are currently about 90,000 U.S. troops in Afghanistan among a total international force of more than 132,000.

NATO has deployed the bulk of its forces to Helmand and Kandahar, two southern provinces where Afghan Taliban influence is strong, but international terrorist groups are less influential.

McCain said the drawdown will deprive NATO “to a significant degree” as it attempts to pacify eastern Afghanistan next summer.

Graham, a Republican from South Carolina, cited gains in Afghan security force recruitment and capability and said he was optimistic that native forces would soon be ready to take over security. But Graham also worried Obama’s withdrawal plan may reduce U.S. troop strength in Afghanistan too quickly.

“Withdrawal is what the enemy hopes to hear,” said Graham. “Our goal is to make sure that the enemy doesn’t hear withdrawal and the Afghan people don’t hear withdrawal.”

Lieberman, an independent from Connecticut, said it was important to reassure Afghans that they will continue to receive help long after the 2014 deadline for the withdrawal of U.S. combat troops.

“We’re certainly going to be here in great numbers until the end of 2014 and I hope as a result of a strategic long-term partnership with Afghanistan that we will have a military presence here and cooperation here with our Afghan partners for a long time after that,” said Lieberman.

The senators were skeptical about Western efforts to reach a negotiated peace with the Taliban’s leadership and suggested that political compromises with the insurgents could betray the Afghan people.

“I don’t think there will be serious negotiations with the Taliban until they are convinced that they cannot succeed in the attaining their goals through the force of arms on the battlefield,” said McCain, who lost to Obama in the 2008 presidential race.

Lieberman said that the Taliban would not seriously consider peace until coalition and Afghan forces “basically beat down and wear down the Taliban fighters and they lose their will increasingly and the leadership is isolated.” Lieberman called the idea that Afghan President Hamid Karzai, NATO leaders and insurgent commanders could talk out their differences at a peace conference “a dream, a fantasy.”

The senators’ harshest observations were reserved for Pakistan, home of many of the insurgent groups NATO forces are currently fighting in Afghanistan.

“There’s growing anger, it’s not just impatience, in the Congress of the United States toward Pakistan,” said Lieberman. “We want to have a good relationship with them but we’re tired of seeing them be both our allies and our enemies and supporting our enemies at the same time. They’ve got to decide to be our allies and we’ll be good allies to them, or we won’t.”

Shortly before the senators’ news conference in Kabul, an improvised bomb exploded on the other end of the capital, wounding three Afghan policemen, the Afghan Interior Ministry said. Insurgents have focused many of their attacks on Afghan security forces to undermine their development and NATO’s plans to transfer security operations to Afghan control.

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Puppet John McCain returns to “The Daily Show”

Jon Stewart grills the senator's cloth doppelganger about illegal immigrants' responsibility for wildfires

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Puppet John McCain returns to

Sen. John McCain made some controversial claims over the weekend about illegal immigrants’ responsibility for border-region wildfires. “[W]e are concerned particularly about areas down on the border where there is substantial evidence that some of these fires are caused by people who have crossed our border illegally,” McCain said at a news conference, suggesting that “the answer to that part of the problem” was to “get a secure border.” (The senator has since denied that he was referring specifically to Arizona’s devastating Wallow fire with his remarks.)

As Salon’s Justin Elliott has pointed out, McCain’s “substantial evidence” has been hard to confirm — and last night, Jon Stewart tried to clear things up by interviewing the politician’s cranky puppet counterpart.

See the full clip here:

The Daily Show – Aliens vs. Senator
Tags: Daily Show Full Episodes,Political Humor & Satire Blog,The Daily Show on Facebook

Stewart’s McCain puppet debuted in January with this appearance:

 

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Emma Mustich is a Salon contributor. Follow her on Twitter: @emustich.

What other American problems can we blame on immigrants?

Why stop with wildfires?

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What other American problems can we blame on immigrants?Sen John McCain. Right: The Monument Fire burns a hillside just south of Sierra Vista, Ariz. on Sunday, June 19, 2011.

John McCain said last Sunday that there is “substantial evidence” that illegal immigrants started “some of” the wildfires consuming hundreds of thousands of acres of land in the American Southwest. While “officials” and “people who know what they’re talking about” have not produced or even claimed to have any evidence that illegal immigrants specifically were responsible for starting any of the fires that have burned across Arizona this month, that has not stopped certain brave commentators from speaking truth to the massive political power that is Big Mexican Arson.

The Corner’s Mark Krikorian has the next best thing to “substantial evidence”: He has secondhand anecdotal evidence from a guy on a panel at his anti-immigration think tank:

This is an empirical question — some fires are caused by illegal aliens and drug smugglers (either campfires that got away from them or deliberate diversionary fires) and others are not. But the authorities are unwilling to discuss in public the possibility that a politically favored group (illegal aliens and smugglers) might have caused the fires — kind of like the unwillingness to identify the religious tradition that Europe’s rioting “youths” belong to.

Arizona reporter Leo Banks talked about this recently:

The thing that kills me about these fires is Border Patrol and Forest Service won’t discuss that they are started — that they are sometimes started — and we don’t have 100-percent probability on this but we can be 95-percent sure — that illegal aliens and smugglers start fires.

It’s an empirical question! And … there is still no evidence for it, but that’s because of a conspiracy of silence. Every single authority involved is merely protecting a “favored group” of … drug smugglers.

It’s not just wildfires, either. I have substantial evidence — based on some stuff I heard some guys say — that illegal immigrants are also behind most of the rest of our problems.

  • Unemployment: Immigrants stole all the jobs.
  • Rising sea levels: While no one will speak on the record about it, because of “political correctness,” most scientists and experts agree that the sea levels are rising because so many thousands of immigrants are swimming to America to sell drugs (the effect is akin to adding ice cubes to a glass).
  • Tornadoes: Immigrants are often “hopped up” on the illegal drugs they are sneaking in the country to sell. With enough of a “buzz,” meteorologists say (off the record), a couple dozen illegals could excitedly run in circles with enough speed and force to cause the deadly twisters that tore through the nation last month. 

We must build the danged fence before thousands more die.

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Alex Pareene

Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene

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