Iraq war
Sticker shock — and awe
The White House and Pentagon insist they didn't try to sell us a quick and easy war. Then, on Tuesday, they did it again.
On Tuesday, the sixth day of Operation Iraqi Freedom, President Bush asked Congress for $74.7 billion mostly to fund the war on Iraq, based on Pentagon estimates that the fighting will last only 30 days. Simultaneously, both the White House and the Pentagon insisted they had never suggested to the American public that there would be a quick rout in Iraq.
There was Tuesday’s press briefing with Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld and the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Gen. Richard Myers. The two denied that they had ever given anyone the impression that the Iraqi regime would quickly fold after facing up to the harsh reality illustrated by the “shock and awe” bombing campaign. The U.S. was “much closer to the beginning than the end,” Rumsfeld warned.
But hadn’t Americans been given the impression that this would be over pretty quickly?
“Not by me,” Rumsfeld told reporters. “Not by General Myers.”
Actually, on March 4, Myers had a breakfast meeting with a select group of reporters, where he stated, according to Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel: “If asked to go into conflict in Iraq, what you’d like to do is have it be a short, short conflict. The best way to do that is have such a shock on the system, the Iraqi regime would have to assume early on the end is inevitable.”
The media took that lead, and the much-heralded “shock and awe” campaign — two days of 3,000 well-aimed and highly intimidating bombs and missiles — led to great expectations. As the bombs started dropping live on ABC News last Thursday, Charles Gibson asked Pentagon correspondent John McWethy about “the heavy attack, the so-called ‘shock and awe,’ [that] General Myers … said would be such a large concerted attack that the Iraqi regime would know that there was not much purpose in resisting.” Would that come tomorrow or “might it come tonight?” Gibson asked.
Myers wasn’t the only culprit. On March 16, Vice President Dick Cheney made a rare TV appearance where he did more than a little chest-thumping. Asserting to NBC’s Tim Russert that coalition forces would be “greeted as liberators” — a prediction that has proven correct in some places, and alarmingly incorrect in others — Cheney allowed that the elite Republican Guard, and the special security organization “might, in fact, try to put up … a struggle.” That said, he went on to add that “the regular army will not. My guess is even significant elements of the Republican Guard are likely as well to want to avoid conflict with the U.S. forces, and are likely to step aside.”
Cheney even went on to throw out the possibility that Baghdad would fall without any fighting. “I can’t say with certainty that there will be no battle for Baghdad,” he said. “We have to be prepared for that possibility.”
Asked about Cheney’s rather optimistic remarks on Tuesday afternoon, White House press secretary Ari Fleischer said that “the vice president said what he said because he had reason — good reason — to say it.”
Does that mean that the White House still thinks that the Republican Guard will abandon ship?
“I assure you, the vice president does not say things lightly,” Fleischer said. “So when the vice president says something like that, he has good reason to say it, and to think it and, therefore, to say it.”
Ah.
Fleischer came to his daily briefing armed with three previous quotes from the president warning the American people that this would be a long war — reporters were “easy to read,” he joked. On March 17, Bush said that “Americans understand the costs of conflict because we have paid them in the past. War has no certainty except the certainty of sacrifice. If Saddam Hussein attempts to cling to power, he will remain a deadly foe until the end.” On March 19, the President said that “a campaign on the harsh terrain of a nation as large as California could be longer and more difficult than some predict.” He then repeated that comment on his weekend radio address.
“The American people understand it when the president talks about the use of force, they understand that means that lives can be lost,” Fleischer said.
In order to sell a war — or “product,” as White House chief of staff Andy Card once deemed the Iraq campaign — any administration has to imply that the objective will be carried out swiftly, and with relatively little pain.
Public opinion, however, turns quickly. After the initial pyrotechnic display in downtown Baghdad and the gushing rah-rah from some embedded TV reporters, the ugly realities of the war were bound to catch up with the nation’s inner Lee Greenwood. Images of dead and captured U.S. soldiers — not to mention injured and dead Iraqi civilians — combined with news from the front lines of dug-in Iraqi troops, and battles more difficult than had been anticipated, began sinking national morale. As of Tuesday evening, 20 American and 18 British soldiers had been reported killed, 12 American and two British soldiers were reported missing, and seven American soldiers had been taken prisoner. The Iraqi government was claiming more than 200 civilians dead; the U.S. military reported having captured 3,000 Iraqi soldiers. There were no figures for the number of Iraqi soldiers killed.
On Tuesday, the ranking Democrat on the Senate Intelligence Committee, Sen. Bob Graham, D-Fla., told the Miami Herald that while military and intelligence analysts relayed to the Bush administration “the potential for stiff resistance” in the war, “the political side of this administration gave a strong sell on the softest scenario, of `flowers on the tanks.’” Graham, who voted against the war resolution last October and is now weighing a presidential bid, said of the Bush White House that there “was not very much willingness to talk about the scenario that seems to be coming to pass – resistance leading to a longer war and, unfortunately, potentially greater U.S. casualties.”
Not surprisingly, a poll conducted by the Pew Research Center indicated a precipitous tumble in public opinion on whether the war is going very well — from a peak of 71 percent agreeing on Friday to only 38 percent agreeing to the same question on Monday.
And yet, there was at least one high-ranking person in the White House trying to wax optimistic Tuesday. When the president made his supplemental budget request to fund the war based on what some still might call optimistic numbers — fighting for 30 days or so, and an occupation of six months — a senior administration official who was trotted out Monday night in order to brief reporters on the budget request explained that the figures were based on the fact that Rumsfeld “has right along said that he thought that fighting was likely to last weeks, not months.” Within six months, the U.S. would see “the beginning of withdrawal of troops.”
The White House did not return a call for comment about this apparent contradiction.
Jake Tapper is national correspondent for Salon. More Jake Tapper.
America’s real Hunger Games
Young people are already being sacrificed at the whims of the 1%. Just look at Iraq and Afghanistan
U.S. Army soldiers respond after a suicide attack on the US..-led provincial reconstruction team (PRT) compound in the Behsood district of Jalalabad, east of Kabul Afghanistan, on Sunday, April 15, 15 2012. (Credit: AP Phot/Rahmat Gul) When I was growing up, I ate books for breakfast, lunch and dinner, and since I was constantly running out of reading material, I read everyone else’s — which for a girl with older brothers meant science fiction. The books were supposed to be about the future, but they always turned out to be very much about this very moment.
Some of them — Robert Heinlein’s “Stranger in a Strange Land” — were comically of their time: that novel’s vision of the good life seemed to owe an awful lot to the Playboy Mansion in its prime, only with telepathy and being nice added in. Frank Herbert’s “Dune” had similarly sixties social mores, but its vision of an intergalactic world of disciplined desert jihadis and a great game for the substance that made all long-distance transit possible is even more relevant now. Think: drug cartels meet the oil industry in the deep desert.
Continue Reading CloseRebecca Solnit grew up in California public libraries and is thrilled to be revisiting them all over the state as part of the Cal Humanities California Reads project, which is now featuring five books, including her A Paradise Built in Hell: The Extraordinary Communities That Arise in Disaster. More Rebecca Solnit.
Neocons’ new lie
You thought they were gone, but now they're popping up to claim that Iraq inspired the Arab Spring
Dick Cheney, left, and Elliott Abrams (Credit: AP/Pablo Martinez Monsivais) The rulebook for conservative punditry is straightforward. Push for a policy. When it turns into a disaster, defend it. When the defense becomes untenable, ignore it. Finally, when something unrelated but positive occurs, take credit for it.
The newest conservative myth is that the upheavals in the Middle East — called the Arab Spring but occurring too in non-Arab countries like Iran — are a result of the Iraq War. The “freedom” that George W. Bush brought to Iraq had a domino effect on other countries in the region, the argument goes. Neocon Robert Kagan told Salon recently that “there were repeated free elections in Iraq and that undoubtedly had some effect on how neighboring people views their government.” Said Kagan: “I think Egyptians said. ‘If the Iraqis can have elections, why can’t we have elections?’”
Continue Reading CloseJordan Michael Smith writes about U.S. foreign policy for Salon. He has written for the New York Times, Boston Globe and Washington Post. More Jordan Michael Smith.
“War crime” delusions
A WikiLeaks video of an Iraq war massacre raises questions about international laws governing armed conflict
Still of Namir Noor-Eldeen, a 22-year-old war photographer, from WikiLeaks' Collateral Murder video Anyone who would like to witness a vivid example of modern warfare that adheres to the laws of war — that corpus of regulations developed painstakingly over centuries by jurists, humanitarians, and soldiers, a body of rules that is now an essential, institutionalized part of the U.S. armed forces and indeed all modern militaries — should simply click here and watch the video.
Wait a minute: that’s the WikiLeaks “Collateral Murder” video! The gunsight view of an Apache helicopter opening fire from half a mile high on a crowd of Iraqis — a few armed men, but mostly unarmed civilians, including a couple of Reuters employees — as they unsuspectingly walked the streets of a Baghdad suburb one July day in 2007.
Continue Reading CloseChase Madar, is a lawyer in New York, a contributor to the London Review of Books and Le Monde diplomatique and the author of a new book, The Passion of Bradley Manning (OR Books). More Chase Madar.
Our real Iraq losses
We left their nation in turmoil and our own country entangled in an endless "national security" nightmare
A man, left, inspects his destroyed vehicle at the scene of a car bomb attack in Ramadi, 70 miles (115 kilometers) west of Baghdad, Iraq, Tuesday, March 20, 2012. Officials say attacks across Iraq have killed and wounded scores of people in a spate of violence that was dreaded in the days before Baghdad hosts the Arab world's top leaders. (AP Photo) (Credit: AP) People ask the question in various ways, sometimes hesitantly, often via a long digression, but my answer is always the same: no regrets.
In some 24 years of government service, I experienced my share of dissonance when it came to what was said in public and what the government did behind the public’s back. In most cases, the gap was filled with scared little men and women, and what was left unsaid just hid the mistakes and flaws of those anonymous functionaries.
What I saw while serving the State Department at a forward operating base in Iraq was, however, different. There, the space between what we were doing (the eye-watering waste and mismanagement), and what we were saying (the endless claims of success and progress), was filled with numb soldiers and devastated Iraqis, not scaredy-cat bureaucrats.
Continue Reading ClosePeter Van Buren spent a year in Iraq as a State Department Foreign Service Officer serving as Team Leader for two Provincial Reconstruction Teams (PRTs). Now in Washington, he writes about Iraq and the Middle East at his blog, We Meant Well. His book, We Meant Well: How I Helped Lose the Battle for the Hearts and Minds of the Iraqi People (The American Empire Project, Metropolitan Books), will be published this September. More Peter Van Buren.
He was our eyes
The tragic death of Anthony Shadid has made the world a little darker
The late Anthony Shadid I was stunned and saddened to learn of the death of Anthony Shadid, the great New York Times reporter who covered the Middle East. Shadid was quite simply the best mainstream reporter working the most important foreign beat in the world. From his superb coverage of Iraq to his groundbreaking reporting on the Arab Spring, he set the journalistic standard. Shadid’s profound knowledge of the Arab world, his even-handedness, his historical sophistication, and above all his empathy for the ordinary people he wrote about, made him indispensable.
Continue Reading CloseGary Kamiya is a Salon contributing writer. More Gary Kamiya.
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