Howard Dean
Most likely to succeed
Howard Dean won MoveOn.org's online primary, but he didn't get enough votes to take the spoils -- a MoveOn endorsement and contributions galore.
When the 317,647 ballots in MoveOn.org’s online Democratic primary were totaled Friday afternoon, none of the other eight candidates came close to Howard Dean. With nearly 44 percent of the virtual vote, Dean fell short of the majority necessary to garner MoveOn’s influential endorsement and the millions in campaign cash that would likely come with it. But as the clear victor in a cluttered field of contenders, he proved, at the very least, that he is the top pick of well-educated, cyber-savvy Democratic activists who are registered with MoveOn, an organization that claims 1.4 million members in all. Behind Dean in the Internet voting were Rep. Dennis Kucinich, D-Ohio, with around 24 percent, and Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., with a disappointing 15.7 percent.
“We’re ecstatic about the 44 percent,” says Joe Trippi, Dean’s campaign manager. “We thought, given the number of candidates and the fact that you can vote ‘undecided’ or ‘other,’ we’d be lucky to end up with 30.” Trippi was eager to paint his boss’s big win as a momentous event — and not just for the Dean campaign. “This is an historic event in American politics,” he said. “It’s a primary where hundreds of thousands of people got together early on and said this is who we support right now. Hundreds of thousands of Americans participated in their democracy today.”
It appears that the vast majority of the participants were genuine, casting their votes without ulterior motives. Denizens of the far-right Free Republic Web site made plans on their bulletin boards to purposely skew the election to Al Sharpton, but Sharpton’s paltry .53 percent showing suggests they didn’t have much effect. According to MoveOn co-founder Wes Boyd, the 50,000 non-MoveOn members who registered and participated in the vote tended to vote much like their MoveOn member counterparts. To prevent any monkeying with the process, MoveOn hired the survey company Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research Inc. to do telephone exit polling, and the company wrote a letter after the voting ended confirming the results: “The consistency between the online vote results and the telephone survey confirms the integrity of the online vote.”
Enjoying something of a post-election glow, MoveOn emphasized the fact that more people voted in its contest — which ran over 48 hours on Wednesday and Thursday — than participate in the New Hampshire Democratic primary and the Iowa caucus combined. Yet no matter how accurately the MoveOn primary reflects the sentiments of its particular constituency, hundreds of thousands of Americans represent just a tiny slice of the broader electorate — and that slice is not a cross section but a concentration of like-minded progressives. For example, 800,000 of Moveon’s members joined the group during the its campaign against the Iraq war, and, as might be expected, the two most visible antiwar candidates came out on top in the primary.
“Among people who are in the Internet elite and who are very liberal and who knew about the MoveOn.org initiative in the first place, it probably means something, but in the big scheme of things I don’t think it means very much at all, and I voted for Dean,” says Larry Elin, an assistant professor of public communications at Syracuse University who coauthored last year’s “Click on Democracy: The Internet’s Power to Change Political Apathy Into Civic Action.”
Yet Elin doesn’t believe the primary results are meaningless. “A benefit could be that people like me know that there are others out there,” he says. “Here I am in Syracuse, New York. I take pleasure and a certain amount of morale out of the idea that there are 140,000 other [Dean activists] like me scattered all over the country.”
Not surprisingly, those who did well in the poll are quick to discuss its importance. Staffers with the underdog Kucinich campaign claim their man should now be treated as a top-tier candidate. “It’s the biggest thing that’s happened to us,” says Kucinich campaign spokesman Jeff Cohen. “This is a major step forward for us. The media pundits have tried to marginalize us, to tell everyone we’re second-tier. We proved with the voters, with Democrats, with activists, that we’re clearly at the top.”
For Kucinich, as well as the other also-rans, there might also be a certain amount of relief in the outcome. Because Dean failed to bring in 50 percent of the votes, he cannot claim the Moveon.org endorsement or the dollars that come with it. Given that the group managed to raise $4.1 million for congressional candidates in 2002, when its membership was only a third of what it is today, the purse, perhaps even more than the popularity among progressives, is the grand prize. Dean could still get MoveOn’s backing — the group will probably hold another, similar primary in September, and will continue holding them until one candidate finally wins a majority.
Republicans, ever eager to dismiss their opponents as radical leftists, seem to be enjoying the idea that liberal insurgents are taking over the Democratic Party. “It seems to be an indication of where the Democrat’s primary voters are coming from, meaning more antiwar and more liberal than the party as a whole, and further away from the mainstream of America,” says Jim Dyke, press secretary for the National Republican Party.
But Robert Reich, secretary of labor in the Clinton administration, says Republicans have no reason to gloat. “Republican strategists, if they are thinking, have cause to be worried,” he says. “Dean and Kerry are clearly viable candidates and fresh faces. I’ve been struck as I travel around the country by the determination of the progressive community to get George W. Bush and his people out of the White House in 2004, even if that requires some compromise with other progressives and other Democrats on priorities.”
Some of the MoveOn results bear this out. Large majorities of the MoveOn voters said they’d “enthusiastically” support Dean, Kucinich or Kerry in the 2004 election. More than half said the same of Rep. Dick Gephardt, D-Mo., who won a paltry 2.44 percent of the vote, and Sen. John Edwards, D-N.C., who won only 3.19 percent. Forty-two percent even said they’d enthusiastically support Sen. Joe Lieberman, D-Conn., the only candidate who declined to answer the candidate survey created by MoveOn members, and who finished second-to-last, just ahead of Sharpton.
“I don’t think it’s terribly important that Dean came out first, Kucinich second and Kerry third,” says Reich. “I sense a determination among liberals and progressives to win and to rally behind whoever emerges as the primary candidate.”
Right now, they’re hoping that candidate will be Dean.
Michelle Goldberg is a frequent contributor to Salon and the author of "Kingdom Coming: The Rise of Christian Nationalism" (WW Norton). More Michelle Goldberg.
Howard Dean responds to Salon
And we respond to his spokeswoman's dismissal of our story about Dean's paid advocacy work
Howard Dean Howard Dean’s spokeswoman, Karen Finney, has responded to my story on Dean’s turn into paid advocacy work, accusing me of engaging in “lazy journalism.” I think the adjective is not accurate.
Salon has nothing personal against Dean. But we felt that a liberal champion’s reliance on paid advocacy work reveals something significant about our political culture, and possibly about Dean himself. Finney’s statement is presented here in its entirety, along with my responses.
Continue Reading CloseJustin Elliott is a reporter for ProPublica. You can follow him on Twitter @ElliottJustin More Justin Elliott.
The seduction of Howard Dean
The liberal firebrand succumbs to Washington's money culture
Howard Dean Howard Dean has long cultivated an image as the plainspoken doctor who speaks for the left wing of the Democratic Party, a role he still plays as a pugnacious pundit on TV. But since his term as chairman of the Democratic National Committee ended in January 2009, Dr. Dean has taken on a less-noticed role: paid advocate for interest groups that would find few fans among the progressive voters once energized by Dean’s 2004 presidential bid.
Dean may not be the worst of the “buckrakers,” those prototypical capital characters who exploit their name and connections without regard for principle. But his recent political forays seem to have diverged from his trailblazing left-liberal past.
Continue Reading CloseJustin Elliott is a reporter for ProPublica. You can follow him on Twitter @ElliottJustin More Justin Elliott.
Today’s most inane 2012 speculation
Politico's Roger Simon imagines Howard Dean challenging the president
Governor Howard Dean, physician and former chairman of the Democratic National Committee, speaks during the "American Technophile: "How Technology is changing Politics, Governance & Healthcare" panel at the Fortune Tech Brainstorm 2009 in Pasadena, California July 22, 2009. REUTERS/Phil McCarten (UNITED STATES BUSINESS)(Credit: © Phil Mccarten / Reuters) Will Howard Dean challenge Barack Obama in 2012? Politico columnist Roger Simon, who drew Dean from a hat full of cards that he’d written the names of various Democrats on, says probably!
First, Simon lays out the history: Reagan and Clinton were only reelected because they did not face serious primary challenges. But Jesse Jackson almost ran against Clinton, and he would’ve made Clinton lose, because of Whitewater, NAFTA and Troopergate. Thankfully, Rahm Emanuel and Harold Ickes made Jackson not run, thus saving Clinton from being Jimmy Carter.
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Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene More Alex Pareene.
Harry Reid and Howard Dean: Fox News enablers
This is what happens when Democrats cave in to right-wing fear campaigns
Governor Howard Dean, physician and former chairman of the Democratic National Committee, speaks during the "American Technophile: "How Technology is changing Politics, Governance & Healthcare" panel at the Fortune Tech Brainstorm 2009 in Pasadena, California July 22, 2009. REUTERS/Phil McCarten (UNITED STATES BUSINESS)(Credit: © Phil Mccarten / Reuters) Harry Reid and Howard Dean had their reasons for coming out against the Park51 project in lower Manhattan last week. Well, at least Reid, who is locked in a tight reelection campaign in Nevada, did. Dean’s motives are a little harder to discern.
But whatever they hoped to accomplish, one thing is indisputable: Reid and Dean both did an enormous favor to the right-wing fear-mongers who have been pushing the “ground zero mosque” hysteria, equipping them with a compelling talking point for the cable news circuit. Here’s a sampling of how Reid and Dean have been invoked in the past few days, often (but not always) on Fox News:
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Steve Kornacki writes about politics for Salon. Reach him by email at SKornacki@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @SteveKornacki More Steve Kornacki.
Heroes, villains and cowards of the so-called “ground zero mosque”
Who's defended religious liberty, who's been too scared to, and who truly hates our founding principles?
Top left, clockwise: Mayor Michael Bloomberg, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, Sen. Chuck Schumer, Sen. Harry Reid, President Obama The bizarre, ginned-up controversy surrounding the Park51 project — a proposed Islamic community center, like the 92nd Street Y, including a space for worship, to be built at the site of an old Burlington Coat Factory (which is a store, not a factory) on Park Place in lower Manhattan, near, but not in sight of, the site of the World Trade Center — has exposed not just the blatant Islamophobia (and cheerful willingness to exploit bigotry) of many luminaries of the right, but also the cowardice of many supposed liberals. Just so we know where we stand, and using, as criteria for placement, my own inexact impressions of their public statements, I present the official War Room lists of “ground zero mosque” heroes, villains and cowards.
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Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene More Alex Pareene.
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