2008 Elections
What to watch for in the GOP debate
Supposedly the candidates can't afford to dis the president. But will anybody deviate from Karl Rove's game plan of pandering to a tiny right-wing base and scaring the rest of us?
I’ve already shared my excitement about the early 2008 campaign, as well as my very unpopular enjoyment of MSNBC’s Chris Matthews, so yes, I’m looking forward to the Matthews-moderated GOP debate tonight. Unlike the Democrats, Republicans don’t have a front-runner who can afford to play it safe. Where Hillary Clinton won last Thursday night by not losing, Rudy Giuliani and Sen. John McCain don’t have that luxury. They’re both running bad campaigns to this point, with the morning news dominated by new polls showing the popularity of a guy who isn’t in the race yet, former Sen. Fred Thompson. So they both need to shore up their candidacies with a memorable debate performance.
The other fun fact about this debate is that while nobody can afford to be Hillary Clinton, almost everyone has a chance to be Mike Gravel, including the two GOP front-runners, who are prone to anger as well as foot-in-mouth disease. I don’t expect McCain to sing “Bomb Iran” tonight, but he also won’t be able to simply filibuster like he did last week with Jon Stewart. Giuliani’s been giving rambling, self-indulgent speeches and tying himself in knots over squaring his pro-choice past with his promise to appoint Antonin Scalia-style strict constructionists. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney doesn’t seem prone to Gravel-like anger, although he’s got to be mad he lost third place in today’s polls to Thompson, after winning the money primary. The second-tier guys — and they’re all guys, and all white, and all 50-plus; more reasons the Democrats have the better field — have to make an impression, and since the conventional wisdom says they can’t bash President Bush (more on that in a minute) they’re more likely to take on the guys in front.
I’m not likely to be a Republican primary voter, so I’m not these guys’ target audience, but I find myself wondering about the idea that they can’t criticize Bush. Even if I accept the notion that they can’t afford to repudiate the president, I don’t see why they can’t at least repudiate Karl Rove, and his supposedly brilliant strategy of pandering to a relatively small, extremely conservative base of voters and turning them out, even if you wind up scaring the hell out of the rest of the country in the process. It seems to me that strategy has run the Republicans into a ditch. Yet all 10 candidates are either taking, or playing up, extreme positions on choice, immigration, personal freedom and privacy issues, as well as the hugely unpopular war in Iraq, and playing down any positions (McCain on immigration; Giuliani on abortion) that might put them in the mainstream but anger the base. Democrats get rapped by pundits all too often for supposedly being captives of their lefty base (I don’t buy the premise of that argument, but you hear it from the punditocracy daily) and praised for so-called Sister Souljah moments. So why are Republicans usually given a pass by the MSM on the way they absolutely pander to right-wing extremists?
It may well be in vain, but I’ll be watching to see if anyone does anything courageous in this debate. Sure, it’s their introduction to the GOP primary voters, but it would be nice if they remembered it’s the first time most of them will be meeting the American voters, too. Will any of them take a risk and defy the base, in order to reach independents or — God forbid — Democrats? We’ll soon see.
Joan Walsh is Salon's editor at large. More Joan Walsh.
Nicolle Wallace’s Palin lesson: Make better stunt Veep picks
A running mate should be prepared, and maybe not about to be indicted (according to rumors)
Nicolle Wallace (Credit: ABC) “Game Change” is a movie about how longtime Republican Party communications hack Nicolle Wallace and longtime Republican Party campaign hack Steve Schmidt actually have souls, and brains, and hence feel quite bad for accidentally being responsible for the creation of Sarah Palin, national monster. (Neither felt any qualms about working to get the most irresponsible warmonger currently serving in the Senate elected president, but Sarah Palin was nuts!)
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Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene More Alex Pareene.
Sarah Palin’s Hollywood ending
HBO's "Game Change" presents Palin as simply a bumbling Tina Fey -- and misses the real story of the 2008 campaign
Julianne Moore as Sarah Palin in HBO's "Game Change" (Credit: HBO Films) HBO’s “Game Change,” airing this Saturday, is not actually an adaption of the book “Game Change,” by Mark Halperin and John Heilemann. It is “Sarah Palin Goes Rogue,” the movie, with a couple of anecdotes borrowed from the notoriously gossipy account of the 2008 election as a whole. (Or, arguably, it’s an adaptation of Scott Conroy and Shushannah Walshe’s “Sarah From Alaska.”)
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Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene More Alex Pareene.
Baseless Condi Rice speculation making a comeback
Updated: To celebrate its return, a brief history of this variety of pundit fantasy writing
Condoleezza Rice (Credit: Reuters) [UPDATED BELOW] Joseph Curl, former White House correspondent for the Washington Times, is bringing me back to the good old days of 2006 in his latest opinion column for the conservative paper. It’s a breathless report that Condoleezza Rice will seek the vice presidency, and it’s a classic of the genre.
Any amateur can speculate that Chris Christie will enter the presidential race, or posit a Mike Bloomberg third-party run, or imagine Hillary Clinton launching a primary challenge against Barack Obama. After all, those three have actually won elections and expressed political ambitions. It takes a real pro to decide to build buzz around someone who not only hasn’t ever run for anything, but who’s never expressed a desire to run for anything.
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Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene More Alex Pareene.
Breitbart shock: Obama was in same place at same time as New Black Panthers
Right-wingers once again try to connect the president to a fringe group of laughable conservative boogeymen
Members of the New Black Panther Party, including, Divine Allah, left, arrive for funeral services for 13-year-old shooting victim, Tamrah Leonard, at the Friendship Baptist Church in Trenton, N.J., Saturday, June 13, 2009. (Credit: AP/Mike Derer) Andrew Breitbart’s loud, dumb BigGovernment site has a loud, dumb story about how Barack Obama “appeared and marched with the New Black Panther Party in 2007.” The occasion was the 42nd anniversary of the march from Selma, Alabama, and in addition to Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton and Al Sharpton were also there, along with dozens of civil rights era luminaries and thousands of other people because it was a massive annual celebration and not actually an Obama campaign event.
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Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene More Alex Pareene.
Palins give free publicity to book bashing Palins
Joe McGinniss' "The Rogue" gets a big marketing boost from its subject's classic (and predictable) overreaction
Sarah Palin Here, according to the National Enquirer, are the shocking revelations in Joe McGinniss’ new book about Sarah Palin, “The Rogue”:
- She has done drugs.
- She had sex with a basketball player before she married Todd.
- She is mean and petty.
- She is a bad mother.
- She had an affair after she married Todd.
There is also, obviously, some stuff about Trig’s birth, but I have not yet read the book, so I couldn’t tell you how far down the rabbit hole that goes.
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Alex Pareene writes about politics for Salon and is the author of "The Rude Guide to Mitt." Email him at apareene@salon.com and follow him on Twitter @pareene More Alex Pareene.
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