War Room

The calendar and the candidates

This morning in New Hampshire, we'll learn the date of the 2008 GOP presidential primary in South Carolina and maybe the date of the New Hampshire primary, which in turn will almost certainly cause a change in the date for the Iowa caucuses.

What we don't know -- what nobody knows -- is what effect, if any, all this leap-frogging and domino dropping will have when it comes to choosing the parties' presidential nominees or, ultimately, the next president of the United States.

What we're thinking: If all the frogs jump and dominoes fall in the way they seem to be headed -- which is to say, if the 2008 Iowa caucuses end up happening in December 2007 -- then won't it be even a little harder for candidates running in the middle or the back of the pack to overcome those at the front? And won't a shortened pre-primary season -- admitting that, in this case, "shortened" is a relative word -- make it harder for fence sitters like Fred Thompson and Newt Gingrich to get themselves up and running and into the race?

Thompson is having a hard enough time as it is. Although polls show him running ahead of just about everyone except Rudy Giuliani, Thompson's organization seems to be in disarray. On Wednesday, he hired his third pseudo campaign manager. This time, it's William B. Lacy, a former Bob Dole strategist Thompson credits with turning around his 1994 run for the U.S. Senate. Says Lacy: "My immediate goal is to provide stable, hands-on leadership and to retool the Thompson operation to implement a non-traditional, message-driven effort."

As for Gingrich? He trails Giuliani, Thompson and John McCain in the polls, and his recent off-message messages may not sit well with a lot of Republican primary voters. But in an appearance at the National Press Club this week, he sounded more and more like a guy planning to enter the race -- eventually. Asked whether it isn't a little late to be getting organized, Gingrich said: "I think it is proven I'm candidate material." Then he said that, for most Americans, the election season doesn't really begin until after Christmas. That was probably true on Tuesday, when Gingrich spoke. As of this morning, it may not be true anymore.

VoteVets targets McCain with new ad
In the spot, a veteran of the Iraq war says, "'freedom' means when the Iraqi people and their Prime Minister ask us to make a plan to leave, we do."
Who'll be the Republicans' Obama now?
Bobby Jindal, who'd been discussed as a potential running mate for John McCain, says he doesn't want to be nominated for the vice presidency.
More bad news for McCain on Iraq
A new poll shows Americans favor a timeline for withdrawal, which McCain's campaign has argued against.
Republicans lose a major financial backer
T. Boone Pickens, who gave millions to support the Swift Boat Veterans, among other GOP causes, is now focusing on energy independence instead.

Current Salon Politics Stories

’08 Update

19:00 EDT, July 23, 2008
VoteVets targets McCain with new ad In the spot, a veteran of the Iraq war says, "'freedom' means when the Iraqi people and their Prime Minister ask us to make a plan to leave, we do."
War Room
13
17:41 EDT, July 23, 2008
Who'll be the Republicans' Obama now? Bobby Jindal, who'd been discussed as a potential running mate for John McCain, says he doesn't want to be nominated for the vice presidency.
War Room
19
15:31 EDT, July 23, 2008
More bad news for McCain on Iraq A new poll shows Americans favor a timeline for withdrawal, which McCain's campaign has argued against.
War Room
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14:22 EDT, July 23, 2008
Republicans lose a major financial backer T. Boone Pickens, who gave millions to support the Swift Boat Veterans, among other GOP causes, is now focusing on energy independence instead.
War Room
28
12:37 EDT, July 23, 2008
Obama camp debuts Spanish-language radio ad Highlighting Obama's personal history, the spot concludes, "It's time we had a president who understands we all deserve a chance to make our own way."
War Room
7

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Who'll be the Republicans' Obama now?
Bobby Jindal, who'd been discussed as a potential running mate for John McCain, says he doesn't want to be nominated for the vice presidency.
More bad news for McCain on Iraq
A new poll shows Americans favor a timeline for withdrawal, which McCain's campaign has argued against.
Republicans lose a major financial backer
T. Boone Pickens, who gave millions to support the Swift Boat Veterans, among other GOP causes, is now focusing on energy independence instead.
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War Room is written and edited by Alex Koppelman, with contributions from Salon reporters around the country.

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