How the World Works

When is a recession not a recession?

I am embarrassed. I made a bit of a fuss, last week, over the news that the International Monetary Fund is now predicting a one-in-four chance of a global recession occurring in the next twelve months. But I did not read the entire World Economic Outlook released by the IMF, and I missed the annoying little fact that the IMF defines a global recession, rather peculiarly, as under 3 percent growth. That is significantly different from how we define recessions in the United States -- where we actually mean negative GDP growth for at least two fiscal quarters.

Credit for taking me out to the woodshed and explaining the errors of my ways goes to Felix Salmon, who blogs prodigiously at Portfolio.com. I just thank heavens I don't get the same kind of attention (yet) that he devotes to Ben Stein.

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About How the World Works

A conversation about globalization.

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Recycling the old bicycle
Another entry in the $4-a-gallon consumer behavior modification logbook.
The deep structure of kung fu panda-monium
An expert in modern Chinese literature takes on the cultural significance of Dreamworks' martial arts cartoon
Growing pains for Kiva
Call it Web 2.0: The African version. The online microfinance lending site stumbles, but doesn't get knocked down

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