In the polls

Published July 15, 2004 8:44PM (EDT)

New polling data indicate that John Edwards hasn't swung North Carolina into the Kerry column -- not especially surprising given Southern Democrats' recent track record of taking their home states (see Gore, Al). In a Gallup poll taken days after the veep announcement, 53 percent of likely voters said they would vote for Bush-Cheney in November. Kerry's ticket only got support from 39 percent. The latest Mason-Dixon poll shows the race to be much tighter, with 48 percent of respondents saying they would vote for Bush and 45 for Kerry. But take Mason-Dixon's results with a grain of salt; they're not as up-front about their methodology as Gallup.

By Stephen W. Stromberg

Stephen W. Stromberg is a former editorial fellow at Salon.

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