Three new polls released since the second presidential debate all report that one candidate enjoys a significant lead, but don't agree on which one. Zogby's survey says Kerry leads Bush 47-44, while a Washington Post/ABC News poll puts Bush up 50-46, and Rasmussen's daily tracking poll shows Bush ahead 49-45. All three polls are of "likely voters" in a multi-candidate race.
In contrast to its Democrat-friendly results, Zogby reports that Bush enjoys a 47-38 advantage among voters between the ages of 18 and 29. Most previous polls, including those conducted by Zogby, found young voters to be solidly Democratic.
Finally, while young voters might not be lining up for Kerry, new voters appear to be. With registration deadlines rapidly approaching in most states, Zogby's sample of first-time voters suggest that Democrats and their allies have won the registration battle: Newly registered voters lean Democratic by a 5 percent margin.
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