In the polls


Jeff Horwitz
October 12, 2004 1:54AM (UTC)

Three new polls released since the second presidential debate all report that one candidate enjoys a significant lead, but don't agree on which one. Zogby's survey says Kerry leads Bush 47-44, while a Washington Post/ABC News poll puts Bush up 50-46, and Rasmussen's daily tracking poll shows Bush ahead 49-45. All three polls are of "likely voters" in a multi-candidate race.

In contrast to its Democrat-friendly results, Zogby reports that Bush enjoys a 47-38 advantage among voters between the ages of 18 and 29. Most previous polls, including those conducted by Zogby, found young voters to be solidly Democratic.

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Finally, while young voters might not be lining up for Kerry, new voters appear to be. With registration deadlines rapidly approaching in most states, Zogby's sample of first-time voters suggest that Democrats and their allies have won the registration battle: Newly registered voters lean Democratic by a 5 percent margin.


Jeff Horwitz

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