In the polls

Jeff Horwitz
October 13, 2004 7:57PM (UTC)

As President Bush and Sen. Kerry prepare for tonights debate, Rasmussen gives Bush a 48-46 lead among likely voters, and Zogbys tracking poll produces the same deadlock it did yesterday, 45-45.

Gallup doesnt release any new horse race numbers today, but publishes a statistical pre-debate analysis. One prominent conclusion is that Bushs performance in the first two debates hasnt left voters expecting too much for the third: Kerry is expected to win by a 54-36 margin.


Gallup also concludes that the debates focus on economic and domestic policy places Kerry on his home turf. Kerry holds significant leads on education (+7), the economy (+4), Social Security (+9), abortion (+4), the deficit (+13), the environment (+29), and healthcare (+9). The only domestic issues that Gallups respondents trusted Bush to handle better than his opponent were taxes and terrorism.

Jeff Horwitz

MORE FROM Jeff Horwitz

Related Topics ------------------------------------------

War Room


Read Now, Pay Later - no upfront
registration for 1-Hour Access

Click Here
7-Day Access and Monthly
Subscriptions also available
No tracking or personal data collection
beyond name and email address


Fearless journalism
in your inbox every day

Sign up for our free newsletter

• • •