Gallup doesnt release any new horse race numbers today, but publishes a statistical pre-debate analysis. One prominent conclusion is that Bushs performance in the first two debates hasnt left voters expecting too much for the third: Kerry is expected to win by a 54-36 margin.
Gallup also concludes that the debates focus on economic and domestic policy places Kerry on his home turf. Kerry holds significant leads on education (+7), the economy (+4), Social Security (+9), abortion (+4), the deficit (+13), the environment (+29), and healthcare (+9). The only domestic issues that Gallups respondents trusted Bush to handle better than his opponent were taxes and terrorism.