Has McCain peaked?

New polls seem to indicate that John McCain's recent bounce is flattening out.


Gabriel Winant
September 16, 2008 12:55AM (UTC)

Has John McCain stopped bouncing? His poll numbers over the past few days have shown signs of a plateau, suggesting that he may have gone as high as the Sarah Palin boost will take him.

With the latest results of its daily tracking poll not varying from the weekend's numbers, Gallup suggested Monday that "the race may be stabilizing ... after the tapering off of some, but not all, of McCain's post-convention bounce." Rasmussen's daily tracker, too, has been relatively stable, as has Hotline's, which has actually shown Barack Obama up very slightly the past two days.

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Looking at the latest iteration of their Electoral College map on Monday, the bloggers at NBC's First Read -- including the widely respected Chuck Todd -- asked whether "this is as good as it gets" for McCain. It's a good question -- RealClearPolitics' poll of polls currently has him at 46.3 percent of the vote, which is just about the upper limit he has been hitting all year.


Gabriel Winant

Gabriel Winant is a graduate student in American history at Yale.

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2008 Elections John Mccain, R-ariz. War Room




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