New Jersey poll shows Dem Corzine leading

The incumbent governor wasn't expected to win reelection, but may now be leading


Alex Koppelman
October 22, 2009 6:50PM (UTC)

As recently as a few months ago, you couldn't find many people who were confident that New Jersey Gov. Jon Corzine, a Democrat, would win reelection. But now, with Election Day approaching fast, a new poll shows him leading Republican challenger Chris Christie by 3 percentage points.

The Rutgers-Eagleton Poll has 39 percent of respondents saying they support Corzine, to 36 percent who said they're backing Christie. The man throwing a monkey wrench in Christie's campaign, independent Chris Daggett, is at 20 percent.

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It's hardly time for Democrats to break out the champagne, though. The poll's margin of error is plus or minus 4.1 percentage points, meaning Corzine's lead could just be a blip. Perhaps more important is that chunk of voters who say now they'd vote for Daggett. Independent candidates tend to poll better than they actually perform on Election Day; any loss in support for Daggett is likely to favor Christie.


Alex Koppelman

Alex Koppelman is a staff writer for Salon.

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2009 Elections Chris Christie Jon Corzine War Room

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