Japan's Economy Shrinks 2.3 Percent In 4Q

Published February 13, 2012 5:54AM (EST)

TOKYO (AP) — Japan's economy shrank 2.3 percent in the fourth quarter as manufacturers were battered by the strong yen, weak export demand amid the European debt crisis and flooding in Thailand.

A drop in government spending during the quarter, due largely to political bickering delaying parliamentary approval for a 12 trillion yen ($156 billion) extra budget for tsunami reconstruction, also contributed to the year-on-year decline reported Monday.

The world's No. 3 economy should get a boost once that rebuilding money kicks in, but the outlook for the country's vital exporters remains unclear, said Masayuki Kichikawa, chief Japan economist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

"This should be viewed as temporary setback," Kichikawa said. "To what extent will the European crisis continue to affect overseas demand. That is the big question."

Japan's major manufacturers, such as Sony Corp. to Honda Motor Co., were hit badly during the fourth quarter by a drop in export demand and flooding in Thailand, a regional factory and supply base, which disrupted production.

The problems arose just as many exporters appeared to have recovered from the March 11 earthquake and tsunami, which interrupted their manufacturing at home.

The drop was worse than expected. Economists polled by Kyodo News agency projected a 1.4 percent decline.

Compared to the previous quarter, October-December gross domestic product fell 0.6 percent, the Cabinet Office said.

That comes after 1.7 percent increase in the July-September quarter, reflecting some recovery after the tsunami disaster.

Domestic private consumption, which accounts for over half the economy, edged up 0.3 percent during the quarter, the data showed.

"The growth rate will turn positive and stay positive this year because reconstruction demand will continue to push up GDP," said Kichikawa. "But the pace of growth will depend on whether the decline in exports will stabilize."

By Salon Staff

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