Baseball
The Angels didn’t get fat on the West
Their division rivals were weak, but L.A. was just as good against everyone else. Plus: Who did get fat on their division?
Reader ahoy polloi, whom I mention because that’s such a great screen name, takes issue with my pointing out that the Los Angeles Angels had the best record in the American League, which I mentioned because that would have been pretty much impossible to know if you’d just followed national baseball coverage, which focused almost exclusively on the Eastern Division when talking about the A.L.
“A considerable factor in the Angels’ 100-win season,” ahoy polloi writes, “was the chance to pound the miserable AL West teams 19 games apiece.”
An interesting point and a beautiful theory, but alas not supported by the facts.
The Angels were 36-21 against the A.L. West, for a .632 winning percentage. Against everybody else, they were 64-41, a .610 winning percentage. If they’d had the same winning percentage against their own division as they had against everybody else, they’d have won 99 games instead of 100. They didn’t get fat on Texas, Seattle and Oakland.
But it’s an interesting thing to think about, how strength of schedule might affect a team’s record. We think about it a lot in college basketball and football and a little in the NFL, but except for the whining of the Toronto Blue Jays about having to play in the A.L. East, not as much in baseball.
I thought I’d figure out how the standings would have looked if every team had had the same winning percentage within its own division as it had against nondivision foes. I didn’t know what I’d find, and I want to make it clear I don’t think this is particularly useful. It’s just fun.
Here it is, with a couple of notes first: I didn’t count Tuesday’s tiebreaker game, which wouldn’t have been necessary if the standings looked like this, and the last column reflects the change in the team’s record by this measure vs. their real record.
| Team | W-L | Pct. | GB | vs. real | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern | ||||||||||
| Boston | 103-59 | .633 | – | +8 | ||||||
| Tampa Bay | 97-65 | .600 | 4 | – | ||||||
| New York | 88-74 | .544 | 15 | -1 | ||||||
| Toronto | 88-74 | .544 | 15 | +2 | ||||||
| Baltimore | 83-79 | .511 | 20 | +15 | Central | Detroit | 85-77 | .522 | – | +11 | Chicago | 81-81 | .500 | 4 | -7 | Cleveland | 81-81 | .500 | 4 | – | Minnesota | 81-81 | .500 | 4 | -7 |
| Kansas City | 79-83 | .489 | 8 | +4 | ||||||
| Western | ||||||||||
| Los Angeles | 99-63 | .610 | – | -1 | ||||||
| Oakland | 76-86 | .467 | 23 | +1 | ||||||
| Texas | 76-86 | .467 | 23 | -3 | ||||||
| Seattle | 60-102 | .371 | 39 | -1 |
The teams that got fat by playing their own division are our friends from Tuesday night, the White Sox and Twins. And look who would have won the Central if they only could have played within the division the way they played outside of it: the Tigers — this column’s preseason pick! Vindication! And please forget what I just said about this not being useful.
The Red Sox really got hammered by the East, but that doesn’t necessarily mean they somehow deserve to be considered the best team because they had a tough schedule. The Rays also play in the East, and they were the same team within the division as outside of it. And they had to play the supposedly great Red Sox, which the Red Sox didn’t have to do.
And by the way, look how good the Orioles were when they weren’t playing division rivals.
If you just want to take the weak A.L. West out of the equation and look at how everyone did against the East and Central, here were the top winning percentages:
1. Los Angeles, .621
2. Boston, .585
3. Tampa Bay, .572
4. Toronto, .565
Score one for the Angels not relying on being in the West to pile up the best record.
Here, just for fun, is how the National League standings would have looked if teams had had the same winning percentage within their division as outside of it.
| Team | W-L | Pct. | GB | vs. real | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern | ||||||||||
| Philadelphia | 92-70 | .567 | – | – | ||||||
| New York | 88-74 | .544 | 4 | -1 | ||||||
| Florida | 79-82 | .489 | 12.5 | -5 | ||||||
| Atlanta | 74-88 | .456 | 18 | +2 | ||||||
| Washington | 57-104 | .356 | 34.5 | -2 | Central | Chicago | 97-64 | .605 | – | – | St. Louis | 95-67 | .588 | 2.5 | +9 | Milwaukee | 88-74 | .544 | 9.5 | -2 | Houston | 83-78 | .518 | 14 | -3 |
| Cincinnati | 83-79 | .512 | 14.5 | +9 | ||||||
| Pittsburgh | 70-92 | .432 | 27.5 | +3 | ||||||
| Western | ||||||||||
| Los Angeles | 79-83 | .489 | – | -5 | ||||||
| Colorado | 77-85 | .478 | 2 | +3 | ||||||
| Arizona | 68-94 | .422 | 11 | -14 | ||||||
| San Francisco | 65-97 | .400 | 14 | -7 | ||||||
| San Diego | 61-101 | .378 | 18 | -2 |
We’ve found our team that got fat by playing its weak Western Division foes. It’s the Diamondbacks. Look at that: Outside of the West, they were a 94-loss team, yet they spent much of the season in first place and only missed the playoffs by two games. The Dodgers benefited by playing in the West too. Everyone did, except the Rockies. The Dodgers still would have won the West, but with the dreaded losing record.
The N.L. playoff picture would have changed by one team if teams had played within their division the way they did against nondivision foes. The Cardinals would have won the wild-card race, and it wouldn’t have been much of a race. The Cards would have beaten the Mets and Brewers by seven games. The race would have been for the Central Division title, the Cubs beating their rivals by two.
Boy, that was a lot of work — mostly coding — to figure out some useless information and, I hope, debunk the theory that the Angels got fat on the A.L. West. It was the other L.A. team that got fat on its division.
King Kaufman is a senior writer for Salon. You can e-mail him at king at salon dot com. Facebook / Twitter / Tumblr More King Kaufman.
Guillen’s pro-Castro candor
The Miami Marlins' manager is lucky to get a suspension. Not so long ago, he might have received a car bomb.
A contrite Miami Marlins manager Ozzie Guillen gestures at a news conference on Tuesday. (Credit: AP/Lynne Sladky) There’s not much reason to doubt that baseball manager Ozzie Guillen admires Fidel Castro. He said so five years ago in an interview with Men’s Journal. When asked to name the toughest man he knew, Guillen replied, “Fidel Castro. He’s a bull—- dictator and everybody’s against him, and he still survives, has power. Still has a country behind him. Everywhere he goes, they roll out the red carpet. I don’t admire his philosophy; I admire him.’’
Continue Reading Close
Jefferson Morley is a staff writer for Salon in Washington and author of the forthcoming book, Snow-Storm in August: Washington City, Francis Scott Key, and the Forgotten Race Riot of 1835 (Nan Talese/Doubleday). More Jefferson Morley.
The year of the baseball book
From a treatise on Yankee hating to a "people's history," a number of great books covered the national pastime
A simple and unsettling calculation reveals to me that this year marks the 40th anniversary of my coming to New England and setting up shop as a Red Sox fan. How innocent I was in that distant day: how little I understood the faces etched with pain, the haunted eyes, the lips that writhed in uttering “Yankees.” It did not take long to become afflicted by the same symptoms and, in my time here, certain Yankee-related events have been so traumatic that they are best designated by numerals alone: 1978 and 2003. The ALCS of 2004 (when the Red Sox came from a 0-3 game deficit to vanquish the evil ones) changed the region’s mental landscape — as, of course, did the subsequent World Championship(s). Since then, Yankee hating has become more of a pleasant pastime than a crippling mental and spiritual disorder.
Continue Reading CloseThe Marlins’ bizarre new look
The team's revamped logo involves a whimsical rainbow swoosh. The effect is anything but intimidating
So far the biggest story to come out of baseball’s early off-season isn’t some splashy free agent signing or the abrupt retirement of St. Louis Cardinals manager Tony LaRussa, but that of the logo and uniform redesign of the Florida Marlins. The new look was officially announced on Friday, and if you haven’t seen them already, you might not believe your eyes. In fact, when some of the images of the new logo were leaked there was such shock and disbelief by the baseball world, most people assumed it was a farce, calling the look everything from “Hawaiian Shaved Ice” to “Push-up Pop” to “Rainbow Bright.”
Continue Reading CloseExonerating Bill Buckner
25 years after the Red Sox infielder's infamous World Series error, we look at what really happened that October
(Credit: AP) Bill Buckner’s error in the 1986 World Series – 25 years ago today, a day of infamy for Red Sox fans — is one of the two most famous plays in World Series history. (Willie Mays’ catch in the 1954 fall classic is the other.)
Like Mays’ over-the-shoulder catch, Buckner’s booboo is entrenched in American folklore. Jimmy Fallon’s Red Sox fanatic in “Fever Pitch,” distraught over breaking up with his girlfriend, watches Buckner’s play over and over on his VCR. During congressional hearings in 2008, U.S. Rep. John Yarmuth, D-Ky., called former Treasury Secretary John Snow, then-SEC chief Christopher Cox and former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan “three Bill Buckners.” On “Curb Your Enthusiasm” this season, Larry David loses a softball game when a ball rolls between his legs; his coach screams, “You Buckner-ed me!”
Continue Reading CloseAllen Barra's next book is "Mickey and Willie -- The Parallel Lives of Baseball's Golden Age," from Crown. More Allen Barra.
What baseball tells us about racism
Most home-plate umpires are white -- and they seem to be hurting the careers of minority pitchers
Despite recent odes to “post-racial” sensibilities, persistent racial wage and unemployment gaps show that prejudice is alive and well in America. Nonetheless, that truism is often angrily denied or willfully ignored in our society, in part, because prejudice is so much more difficult to recognize on a day-to-day basis. As opposed to the Jim Crow era of white hoods and lynch mobs, 21st century American bigotry is now more often an unseen crime of the subtle and the reflexive — and the crime scene tends to be the shadowy nuances of hiring decisions, performance evaluations and plausible deniability.
Continue Reading Close
David Sirota is a best-selling author of the new book "Back to Our Future: How the 1980s Explain the World We Live In Now." He hosts the morning show on AM760 in Colorado. E-mail him at ds@davidsirota.com, follow him on Twitter @davidsirota or visit his website at www.davidsirota.com. More David Sirota.
Page 1 of 81 in Baseball





