European Financial Crisis
Should Greece reject the bailout?
The referendum lets citizens decide their country's fate. If only we'd been able to vote on bailing out Wall Street
Left: Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou; Right: Tim Geithner (Credit: AP) Which do you trust more: democracy or financial markets?
Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou decided in favor of democracy Monday when he announced a national referendum on the draconian budget cuts Europe and the IMF are demanding from Greece in return for bailing it out.
(Or, more accurately, the cuts Europe and the IMF are demanding for bailing out big European banks that have lent Greece lots of money and stand to lose big if Greece defaults on those loans – not to mention Wall Street banks that will also suffer because of their intertwined financial connections with European banks.)
If Greeks accept the bailout terms, unemployment will rise even further in Greece, public services will be cut more than they have already, the Greek economy will contract, and the standard of living of most Greeks will deteriorate further.
If Greeks reject the terms and the nation defaults, it will face far higher borrowing costs in the future. This may reduce the standard of living of most Greeks, too. But it doesn’t have to. Without the austerity measures the rest of Europe and the IMF are demanding, the Greek economy has a better chance of growing and more Greeks are likely to find jobs.
Shouldn’t Greeks be able to make this decision for themselves?
Of course, if Greek defaults on its loans, global investors (fearing that a default in Greece sets a dangerous precedent) may yank their money out of Italy. This would almost certainly bust several big European banks – and generate panic on Wall Street. That’s why Tim Geithner has been pressing Europe to bail out Greece.
We’ve been here before, remember? Here in the United States, at the end of 2008 and start of 2009. Wall Street had made lots of bad loans, and the question we faced then was whether to bail out the Street.
The difference is, we didn’t hold a referendum. Instead, the Bush administration told Congress the nation risked “economic Armageddon” if it didn’t immediately authorize a giant bailout of the Street – with no strings attached. Of course Congress hastily agreed. Hank Paulson, Ben Bernanke and Tim Geithner (as head of the New York Fed) then doled out the money. And the Obama administration (with Geithner installed as Treasury Secretary) gave out more.
So instead of allowing the Street to live with the consequences of its negligence, we bailed it out – and allowed the Main Streets of America to suffer the consequences.
If Americans had been consulted about the bank bailout, I doubt it would have happened the way it did. At the very least, strict conditions would have been placed on the banks in return for the money. The banks would have had to eat the losses of the predatory mortgages they sold, and help homeowners reduce those mortgages. They’d be required to improve the capitalization of small banks in communities across the country. They’d be forced to accept stringent new regulations, including resurrection of Glass-Steagall.
But Americans weren’t really consulted. It was an inside job.
As a result, Wall Street has prospered but the rest of the nation hasn’t. One out of four homeowners is underwater, owing more on their homes than the homes are worth.
And with the worst economy since the Great Depression, we’re now embarking on fiscal austerity. Either Congress’s super-committee comes up with $1.2 trillion of federal budget cuts that Congress agrees to – going into effect a little over thirteen months from now – or $1.5 trillion of cuts are made across the board. Meanwhile, states and cities have been slashing public services for the past three years.
So which is it? Rule by democracy or by financial markets? Based on what’s happened in America, I’d choose the former.
Robert Reich, one of the nation’s leading experts on work and the economy, is Chancellor’s Professor of Public Policy at the Goldman School of Public Policy at the University of California at Berkeley. He has served in three national administrations, most recently as secretary of labor under President Bill Clinton. Time Magazine has named him one of the ten most effective cabinet secretaries of the last century. He has written 13 books, including his latest best-seller, “Aftershock: The Next Economy and America’s Future;” “The Work of Nations,” which has been translated into 22 languages; and his newest, an e-book, “Beyond Outrage.” His syndicated columns, television appearances, and public radio commentaries reach millions of people each week. He is also a founding editor of the American Prospect magazine, and Chairman of the citizen’s group Common Cause. His widely-read blog can be found at www.robertreich.org. More Robert Reich.
Obama faces Armageddon
The trouble in Greece may be Mitt Romney's best shot at winning the White House
President Obama, Angela Merkel and Francois Hollande September 2008: The collapse of Wall Street giant Lehman Brothers provokes a worldwide economic meltdown.
May 2012: Barack Obama is warned before the Camp David G-8 summit that the financial maelstrom seizing Europe could turn out even worse. If much of Europe slides back into double-dip recession, as Britain has done, millions of Americans will be smacked hard, from Toyota workers in Kentucky to lettuce pickers in sunny California. And almost certainly, Mr. Obama will have turned over the keys to the White House come next January to the “vulture capitalist” Mitt Romney.
Continue Reading CloseFormer BBC investigative journalist Steve Weissman is at work on a book, "Big Money: How Global Banks, Corporations, and Speculators Rule and How to Break Their Hold." More Steve Weissman.
Frank Browning reported for nearly 30 years for NPR on sex, science and farming. He is the author of, among other books, "A Queer Geography" and "Apples." More Frank Browning.
Euro bonds to the rescue?
France's new president, Francois Hollande, believes he's found a solution to the euro crisis -- but others disagree
In this May 15, 2012 file photo, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, left, talks to new French President Francois Hollande in Berlin. (Credit: AP Photo/Markus Schreiber, File) BRUSSELS – French President Francois Hollande thinks he’s found a solution to the euro zone crisis: the name’s Bonds. Euro bonds.
Unfortunately, Angela Merkel’s still playing Dr. No.
At a euro zone summit on Wednesday, the new French leader plans to revive proposals for bonds that would be jointly issued by euro zone countries to spread national debt burdens across the whole currency bloc.
Europe faces difficult search for growth
European leaders desperately want to end their debt crisis. 2½ years in, they're still searching for solutions
French President Francois Hollande, left, talks with German Chancellor Angela Merkel at the North Atlantic Council meeting in Chicago during the NATO 2012 Summit Sunday, May 20, 2012. French Defense Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian is at back center. (AP Photo/Christophe Ena)(Credit: AP) WASHINGTON (AP) — On paper at least, European leaders agree: They need stronger growth measures to help their economies expand out of their 2½-year-old government debt crisis. Figuring out exactly what those new steps might be will be the hard part.
Persistent political divisions — neatly bridged by a Group of Eight summit statement that advocates a mix of austerity and growth promotion — and lack of money stand in the way of a comprehensive European growth strategy. Analysts said markets were likely to look past the verbal deal, with news about Greece’s struggle to stay in the eurozone and an informal European Union summit Thursday in Brussels more likely to set the tone.
Continue Reading CloseGreek party most extreme of Europe’s far right
Greece's far-right Golden Dawn is part of a long tradition of post-war ultra-conservative European parties
Members of parliament from the extreme right-wing Golden Dawn party, intermingled with other new lawmakers as they are sworn in during a ceremony at the Greek parliament in Athens, Thursday, May 17, 2012. Among the deputies to take their seats for a day are 21 from the Golden Dawn, which rejects the neo-Nazi label. It campaigned on pledges to rid Greece of immigrants and clean up neighborhoods. (AP Photo/Thanassis Stavrakis)(Credit: AP) Twenty-one members of Golden Dawn were sworn into Greece’s Parliament on Thursday, making it arguably the most far-right party to enter a European national legislature since Nazi-era Germany. Europe’s financial crisis is changing the tone across the continent, with frustrated voters turning to extremists on both the right and left. None seem as extreme as Golden Dawn, whose leaders claim that the Nazis did not use gas chambers to kill death camp inmates during the Holocaust. The party — which won 7 percent of the vote in a May 6 election — says it wants to rid Greece of immigrants and plant landmines along the border with Turkey.
Continue Reading CloseTHE RACE: Politics a factor in weekend summits
While Obama hosts back-to-back world summits, Romney tries to frame the president as a Euro-centric spender
President Barack Obama, and SBA Administrator Karen Mills, sitting across from Obama, participate in a roundtable discussion with local small business owners at Taylor Gourmet in the U Street neighborhood in Washington, Wednesday, May 16, 2012. From left are, Taylor Gourmet Co-owners David Mazza, and Casey Patten, the president, Kathy Rachels, President of Yes Organic Market and Brian J. Smith, of Francis Lee Contracting. (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais)(Credit: AP) President Barack Obama is taking a break from active campaigning for a few days to host back-to-back world summits. Yet U.S. presidential politics will be lurking just offstage at both.
First, leaders of eight wealthy democracies gather at Camp David on Friday and Saturday for the annual Group of Eight meeting, where Europe’s spiraling debt is Topic No. 1. Then, it’s to Chicago for a NATO meeting. The alliance’s troop withdrawal from Afghanistan and the European financial crisis will share the spotlight.
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