In the polls


Geraldine Sealey
January 23, 2004 7:50PM (UTC)

The ARG daily tracking poll in New Hampshire shows Kerry at 31 percent, Clark at 20 percent, Dean at 18 percent, Edwards at 11 percent and undecideds at 12 percent.

The ARG analysis gives some back-story to Dean's drop in New Hampshire -- his unfavorable rating has shot up. Howard Deans favorable on Thursday was 31 percent and his unfavorable was 42 percent. On Wednesday, Deans favorable was 33 percent, and his unfavorable was 30 percent.

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In comparison, Kerrys favorable is 77 percent and his unfavorable is 14 percent. Clarks favorable is 49 percent and his unfavorable is 19 percent. Edwards favorable is 56 percent and his unfavorable is 14 percent.

The Boston Globe tracking poll shows Kerry at 34 percent, Dean at 19 percent, Clark at 14 percent, Edwards at 11 percent and undecideds at 17 percent.

From the Globe analysis: "Eleven percent of all respondents say they have moved away from Dean in the past 2 weeks with 60 percent of those Dean defectors now saying they back Kerry." The characteristic that is most important in deciding how to vote: 39 percent are looking for a candidate who can best manage economy and provide affordable health care, 26 percent want a candidate who can beat Bush, and 7 percent seek a candidate who can best fight terrorism and rebuild Iraq.


Geraldine Sealey

Geraldine Sealey is senior news editor at Salon.com.

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