In the polls


Geraldine Sealey
February 27, 2004 12:49AM (UTC)

Is John Edwards surging in Georgia? Pollster John Zogby thinks so. John Kerry still holds a double-digit lead in the polls for next Tuesday's primary, but Kerry appears to be losing ground fast.

From the Atlanta paper: "Despite his seemingly large lead, John Zogby ... said Kerry hemorrhaged support over the two days the poll was conducted. Kerry led Edwards 49 percent to 19 percent among 126 voters contacted Monday, then dropped among the 269 voters contacted Tuesday to 35 percent while Edwards rose to 25 percent."

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"Something is definitely happening here," said Zogby. "I'm going to suggest that Edwards wins Georgia. He's a late closer."

If the election were held tomorrow, Pennsylvania would go for John Kerry over George W. Bush (voters weren't asked about Edwards), but Kerry's lead, 47 percent to 46 percent, is within the margin of error. The director of the Keystone Poll said the president's flagging popularity -- his favorable ratings declined from 63 percent in April to 46 percent this month -- could be a reflection of uneasiness over the economy, which 35 percent of those polled identified as their primary concern.

Californians may not be crazy about Bush, but they love Governor Arnold. A Los Angeles Times poll shows the GOP governor is now California's most popular politician, scoring favorable job ratings from a robust 65 percent of the state's voters. Just 19 percent disapprove of his job performance.


Geraldine Sealey

Geraldine Sealey is senior news editor at Salon.com.

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