Inside the Shadow Economy
“Self-deportation” doesn’t shrink the shadow economy
Illegal immigrants don't always vanish when the laws get tougher. Sometimes they just go further underground
Chalk it up as one of the unexpected consequences of the intense media attention devoted to the Republican presidential nomination race. When Mitt Romney announced his support for the concept of “self-deportation” during a Florida debate last week, reporters instantly shone a bright spotlight on a strategy for removing illegal immigrants from the United States that had hitherto been mostly flying under the radar.
The word “self-deportation” has an agreeable, voluntary ring to it, suggesting that undocumented workers will happily decide of their own free will to return to their home countries, without the necessity for direct government action by ICE agents. The truth is something different: Self-deportation, as practiced today, is supposed to be the only choice left available to immigrants whose life has been made miserable by new, punitive laws put into place at the state level.
Of course, life in the United States is already extraordinarily difficult for undocumented workers. More often than not, non-citizen workers are the mainstay of the shadow economy, the off-the-books underground world where labor laws are frequently unenforced or ignored. In fact, one claim that proponents of self-deportation make is that by reducing the supply of labor willing to work under such conditions, self-deportation (or any other method of cracking down on illegal immigration) will cause the overall size of the underground economy to shrink, and thereby improve the quality of the U.S. labor market.
The limited data available on the impact of new anti-illegal immigration laws doesn’t support that thesis. In fact, the opposite may be happening. By making it even more difficult for non-citizen laborers to work in the normal economy, the new laws are pushing some workers even further into the shadows. The harder the crackdown, the more people are going underground. Laws aimed at encouraging self-deportation are just ratcheting up the misery.
Here’s what we know. Since the onset of the Great Recession, the number of undocumented workers in the United States has dropped sharply, from a peak of 12 million in 2007 to 11.2 million in 2010, according to the Pew Research Center. At the same time the flow of migrants across the Mexico-U.S. border has severely declined.
There are a number of intersecting explanations for the change in immigration dynamics. The economic downturn is the most obvious — the demand for labor has plummeted. As Kent Wong, director of the UCLA Labor Center observes, “if you look at the history of migration, it has frequently been influenced by the ebbs and flows of the economy. When there is more economic demand for jobs there will be an increase in immigration patterns, and when there is a shortage of jobs there will be a decrease.”
Improvements in the Mexican economy are also probably playing a role in decreasing flows across the border. The enormously stepped up number of deportations under the Obama administration — around 400,000 annually since 2009 — is another huge part of the puzzle.
And then there are the state laws passed in Arizona, Alabama and Georgia. Random identity checks, harsher oversight of employers, the creation of “chokepoints” at access points to services like public schools or medical care, are all combining to have a clear effect — at least insofar as we can tell from such data points as farmers reporting difficulty in finding workers to pick their crops.
Whether those workers are simply going to other states, instead of their home countries, is impossible to know. But on a surface level this is exactly how self-deportation is supposed to work, as spelled out by Mark Krikorian, a longtime anti-immigrant activist,
What would a policy of attrition look like? It would combine an increase in conventional enforcement — arrests, prosecutions, deportations, asset seizures, etc. — with expanded use of verification of legal status at a variety of important points, to make it as difficult and unpleasant as possible to live here illegally.
The new laws in Georgia and Alabama are too recent to provide much in the way of hard data on immigration trends or self-deportation. But Arizona has long had a head start on everyone else. In 2007 the state passed the Legal Arizona Workers Act (LAWA). LAWA mandated the use of the national identity and work authorization verification system E-Verify, and imposed sanctions on employers who continue to hire “unauthorized” workers.
In March 2011, the Public Policy Institute of California published a study of the impact of the law. The authors came to two main conclusions: LAWA did achieve “the intended goal of reducing the number of unauthorized immigrants in the state. However, it also had the unintended consequence of shifting unauthorized workers into less formal work arrangements.”
One of the authors of the report, Magnus Lofstrom, says that the data show that after the passage of LAWA, there was a substantial increase in the number of low-skilled Hispanic men categorizing themselves as “self-employed.” No longer able to obtain jobs with regular wages or salaries, they were forced to hire out their labor on a more ad hoc basis.
“If we compare Arizona to states that had the same kind of employment patterns prior to the legislation passing,” says Lofstrom, “we see that in Arizona, for this group of likely unauthorized low-skilled men, the self-employment rate almost doubled in a very short period of time. That is consistent with that concern that the law does push unauthorized immigrants into the informal sector.
“What we’ve created here with this kind of legislation,” says Lofstrom, “is an incentive to shift the relationship between the employer and the employee.”
The consequences are unpalatable for anyone worrying about the quality of life of the workers. A higher proportion of low-skilled non-citizen Hispanic men who declare themselves self-employed live in poverty, says Lofstrom, and “a much higher proportion lack health insurance.”
Instead of shrinking the size of the underground economy, the combination of slow economic growth with laws aiming to encourage self-deportation is backing workers into a corner, says UCLA’s Wong.
“The economic recession has on the one hand reduced the number of immigrants coming to this country,” says Wong, “but in many ways it has also heightened the exploitation and abuse that exists in the underground economy, based on complete lack of options for those trapped in the underground economy to find better jobs.”
Andrew Leonard is a staff writer at Salon. On Twitter, @koxinga21. More Andrew Leonard.
Finding apps for the shadow economy
The digital divide is fast becoming ancient history, thanks to the all-powerful smartphone
Could the right smartphone app help bring light to the shadow economy? The Department of Labor thinks so. Last May, the DoL announced the release of a new iPhone app: Timesheet. The purpose of the app is to help combat the off-the-books plague of “wage theft” — the increasingly common practice in which employers shortchange their workers by denying them overtime pay or break time, or failing to pay the legally mandated minimum wage.
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Andrew Leonard is a staff writer at Salon. On Twitter, @koxinga21. More Andrew Leonard.
Hot dog cart bound for the future
A street vendor dreams of his own health food diner, one bacon-wrapped hot dog at a time
Samir Mogannam SAN FRANCISCO — My name is Samir Mogannam. I’m 21 years old [and] I live in the Mission District. If you live in my neighborhood and go out to clubs at night, you see guys selling bacon-wrapped hot dogs on the street, and it’s awesome.
I always had the idea to do that, but with vegan chili-dogs, something a little different and something everybody could eat.
It took months before I got my [food] cart; talking to these mysterious guys and communicating with them, getting their numbers. You can’t just find a cart on Craigslist or whatever. Finally, I found a guy named Saul who was able to help me.
Continue Reading CloseDonny Lumpkins, 22, is a multi-media content producer at New America Media. HIs latest piece was Down and Out in Dolores Park -- Growing Up Poor in the Bay Area. More Samir Mogannam as told to Donny Lumpkins.
In praise of the shadow economy
The author of a new book on the informal sector explains what the West can learn from Nigeria
(Credit: Telstar Logistics / CC BY 3.0/Salon) “Half the workers of the world,” writes Robert Neuwirth in his new book “Stealth of Nations: The Global Rise of the Informal Economy,” work in jobs that are “off the books … neither registered nor regulated.” The combined economic activity of these 1.8 billion workers adds up to $10 trillion. If the informal economy were squeezed into a single political structure, observes Neuwirth, it would be the second largest economy in the world.
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Andrew Leonard is a staff writer at Salon. On Twitter, @koxinga21. More Andrew Leonard.
Bedroom tattoo shop is haven for a young artist
In a tough economy, a start-up opportunity starts at home
SAN FRANCISCO — Twenty-year-old Jerome Noveras from Daly City, Calif., lives in the heart of San Francisco’s Sunset district with his nine roommates. It’s the kind of house where every time you glance at the couch in the living room there are at least two new people on it who seemed to appear out of nowhere, lounging back comfortably, their eyes glued to something on the TV.
The room where he and his girlfriend live in the back of the house is typical for a couple in their early 20s. There’s a PlayStation 3 that sits humming by a TV with “Law and Order SVU” idle on the screen.
Continue Reading CloseDonny Lumpkins, 22, is a multi-media content producer at New America Media. HIs latest piece was Down and Out in Dolores Park -- Growing Up Poor in the Bay Area. More Donny Lumpkins.
Employers’ new ruse: “Independent contractors”
Companies are misclassifying staff as "independent contractors" -- and it's not just hurting the employees
A truck driver is silhouetted as he drives his truck to the port of Long Beach, Calif. (Credit: AP/Ric Francis) Leonardo Mejia is a truck driver at the Port of Long Beach, Calif. He’s worked at the port for 10 years, a vital cog in the infrastructure that moves cargo containers between ships and warehouses and other transport networks. He used to own his own truck but was forced to sell it when he couldn’t afford to fix its engine. Today, Mejia leases a truck from a company called Shippers Transport Express, a subsidiary of the massive container shipping terminal operator SSA Marine.
It’s a good deal for Shippers — Mejia has to cover the costs of his own health insurance, maintenance on the truck, and diesel fuel — but not so great for Mejia. Although he works exclusively for Shippers Transport Express, according to his employer he’s an independent contractor, with no safety net to protect him from misfortune except for whatever scraps he can carve out from his barely subsistence level wages.
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Andrew Leonard is a staff writer at Salon. On Twitter, @koxinga21. More Andrew Leonard.
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