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“Playing fast and loose”: Vilsack urges realism from GOP as farm bill negotiations hit stalemate

In February, during a tense House hearing over funding for the upcoming Farm Bill — one in which Agriculture Committee chair Glenn Thompson classified the current administration as being one that “demonizes farmers” if they do not “subscribe to a far-left climate agenda” — USDA Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack already seemed a little weary when he issued the seemingly simple directive: “The bottom line is, we need to get it done.” 

Vilsack’s charge to lawmakers came nearly five months after the 2018 Farm Bill had already expired in September, and as tensions between House Republicans and Democrats over budget priorities had really started to simmer; the Republicans want to allocate more funding to large-scale corporate farms, while Democrats want to prioritize federal nutrition assistance programs and conservation efforts. 

However, as evidenced by the fact that the package still isn’t funded, it’s a legislative challenge that’s more easily given than accomplished.

Now, Vilsack has a different message for Republican lawmakers: Be realistic. 

“I don't think we're close to getting a farm bill done until the folks who are negotiating the farm bill are realistic about what's doable within a constrained resource environment,” Vilsack said in an interview on the radio program AgriTalk on Thursday. 

The Farm Bill, which is typically renewed every five years, governs a wide range of agricultural and food programs. It supports farmers by offering crop insurance to mitigate financial risks from natural disasters or market dips, as well as commodity programs that stabilize prices for staple crops, like corn, soybeans and wheat. It also funds the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) and The Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants and Children (WIC). 

In speaking at a House Agriculture Committee meeting in late May, Rep. Tracey Mann, a Republican from Kansas, summarized the enormity of the legislation: “A lot of people forget why we need a five-year farm bill, why it’s so necessary to balance fiscal responsibility reform with anticipatory policy and why the legislation we pass today ought to reflect the needs of agriculture producers and consumers. It’s because farm bills are felt in every corner of America, in every field and pasture, in every grocery story and agribusiness. The legislation we pass today will have ripple effects for years to come.”

According to Vilsack, the Republican proposals require a significant amount of additional funding “in order to pay for all of the various promises that have been made from reference prices to crop insurance premium assistance to all the other proposals that are contained in those bills.” 

He continued: “The reality is they just don't have [the funding]. First of all, they're taking resources from nutrition assistance which is a red line for Democrats.” Secondly, Vilsack said, Republicans are “essentially playing fast and loose” with the future agriculture secretary’s ability to use the Commodity Credit Corporation, a government agency that supports farmers through loans, subsidies and buying surplus crops to stabilize market prices. 

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Vilsack’s appearance on AgriTalk largely centered around whether the disputes between the two parties could be resolved in such a way that would lead to actually passing the Farm Bill before the one-year extension of the 2018 law runs up. However, lawmakers on both sides have already indicated they would rather issue another temporary extension of the current law — pushing a vote for a longer-term measure until after the November election — than rush (or compromise, depending on how one interprets their statements) on the $1.5 billion package. 

In speaking with the Washington Post,  Sen. Debbie Stabenow, D-Mich., chair of the Senate Agriculture Committee, said, “I’m not going to support a bad bill.” 

The committee’s top Republican, Sen. John Boozman of Arkansas, agreed: “If we don’t make meaningful improvements, if we don’t put more ‘farm’ in the farm bill, we’re better off not having a new farm bill.”

However, Vilsack maintained in speaking with AgriTalk that legislators (and specifically Republican legislators) need to come to the table prepared to make progress. “People have to lower the expectations,” Vilsack said. “They have to really look at what's going on in the countryside, and tailor a farm bill in a way that responds to the challenges of more farmers, many farmers, not just a few.”

SpaceX pulls off a Starlink double-launch aboard Falcon 9s

Atop its Falcon 9 rockets, commercial spaceflight outfit SpaceX launched two batches of its Starlink internet satellites into orbit Sunday — one from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California, and the other from Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida. The east coast launch included 22 Starlink satellites, while the California launch carried 20, including 13 that have direct-to-cell communications capabilities. Both Falcon 9 rockets landed on SpaceX droneships in the ocean, minutes after launch, as planned.

"Satellites with Direct to Cell capabilities enable seamless access to data without phone modifications or special apps," Starlink explained in a social media post

The Sunday launches come just ahead of another highly anticipated launch for SpaceX — which is slated to carry a powerful new meteorological satellite from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, called GOES-U, into orbit Tuesday atop a Heavy Falcon. GOES-U (which stands for Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite U) will enable earlier oceanic storm detection and give weather broadcasters more time for public warnings ahead of hurricanes. GOES-U is currently planned to depart NASA's Kennedy Space Center in Florida. However, as reported by Florida Today, the Space Force 45th Weather Squadron has predicted only a 30% chance of launch-favorable conditions during the two-hour window starting at 5:16 p.m. EDT.   

SpaceX reportedly now has more than 6,100 operational Starlink satellites in its network. As reported by ABC news affiliate WLOS on Sunday, debris from SpaceX aircraft have been falling into the homes and yards of North Carolina residents, some of which have been too large to be removed by hand. NASA officials advised anyone who finds space debris on their property not to handle or retrieve it — but to contact the SpaceX Debris Hotline at 1-866-623-0234. 

The climate case for mock meats is clear. But who can afford them?

Isobelle McClements was 13 when she came home from school and told her parents she was going vegan. Reading one book that delved into meat processing was all it took to convince her it was time for a lifestyle upheaval. The logistics of seamlessly feeding a family is a big reason her parents followed suit.

That was a decade ago. Nowadays, the freezer often stocks plant-based meatballs, sausages, or nuggets. When dining out, a faux burger sometimes makes the cut. Her father, David Julian McClements, is a food scientist at the University of Massachusetts Amherst who studies how to make such things healthier and tastier. 

Still, everyone in the family prefers to prepare meat-free fare using fresh fruits and veggies, whole grains, and other ingredients. They can afford the more planet-friendly options now common in grocery stores, but have the time and means to make them from scratch. Most people, of course, can't do either of those things, which presents an impediment to broader adoption of beef, pork, and chicken alternatives that could help the nation hit its climate targets.

"Finding good quality ingredients [and] being able to bring them all together and combine them into something that tastes great but is also affordable, healthy and sustainable is very, very challenging," McClements said. 

Pound for pound, plant-based mock meats cost an average 77 percent more than their conventional counterparts. These proteins are typically heavily processed as they're manufactured from things like soy and pea protein. "That's partly why it's so expensive."

When thinking about who is buying these pricey proteins, an affluent, urban, Tesla-driving white woman who has sworn off all animal products might come to mind. The high tax bracket often rings true, but the rest of that mental picture is a trite misconception. Even the idea that it's only vegans or vegetarians buying it isn't entirely the case.

Young and non-white consumers are the most likely to eat plant-based meats, according to a May 2024 survey commissioned by alt-meat advocacy nonprofit the Good Food Institute. Roughly 38 percent of Gen Z and 35 percent of Millennials report dining on such alternatives at least once a month, which is around twice the number of Gen Xers and Baby Boomers doing so. About one-third of Black and Latino consumers regularly eat meat substitutes, compared to one-fourth of white consumers. And just 2.79 percent of households toss only plant-based proteins into the shopping cart. Almost 95 percent of them buy the real deal as well.

Income is where the most striking disparities lie. U.S households with an income approaching $100,000 are most likely to purchase plant-based alternatives, but most of those making less than $45,000 rarely do. One reason is federal assistance like the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, or SNAP, often provides too little financial help to make them affordable.

"It's just a question of cost, and if that is going to be feasible for them, to make sure they make it through the month," said Parker Gilkesson Davis, a senior analyst at the Center for Law and Social Policy who studies nutrition and poverty.

About 12.5 percent of Americans are enrolled in SNAP, which provides a monthly benefit based on income, family size and certain expenses. In April 2023, the average benefit was $181.72 for a single person or $343 for a household. Making that last is a challenge when food prices have climbed 25 percent in four years. Those who work to reduce hunger argue that safety nets like SNAP have failed to keep pace with inflation, dietary shifts, and all the ways climate change impacts the food supply chain. When low-income residents struggle to purchase meat with food stamps, it reinforces the fact that costlier plant-based alternatives are only for the affluent.

"SNAP has already fallen short in terms of supporting traditional diets, so adding other non-traditional items may be even more difficult," she said. "There are a lot of lower-income people who do want to consider non-traditional protein products or meats, but these products are more expensive, and so we have to account for that." 

Of the plant-based meats, beef substitutes have the smallest premium at 20 percent more per pound than the real thing. That's because they have been around the longest, relatively speaking — hamburger analogues arrived about 15 years ago. Beef also tends to cost more than other meats (and has been getting pricier as climate change impacts herd sizes), which makes the financial jump to its plant-based versions smaller.

And yet even those who can afford the alternatives seem to be cooling on them amid concerns about their sustainability, nutritional value, and even their taste and texture. The $8.1 billion fake meat industry, which experienced soaring sales during the pandemic as the supply chain for conventional meats collapsed, struggled last year. The industry's sales volumes dropped 9 percent between 2022 and 2023, with a 2 percent decline in revenue.

Glynn Tonsor, an agricultural economist at Kansas State University, manages the Meat Demand Monitor, a database that surveys the meat-buying habits of consumers monthly. The trend he's seeing suggests that changing eating habits might have something to do with the market decline. In May, plant-based patties held 2 percent of the retail market and 4 percent of the food service market, which is respectively half and a quarter of the market portion they controlled in May of 2021, Tonsor said.

Dwindling volumes don't help prices, either. Conventional meats are commodities that have been sold at a vast scale for more than a century through a well-established and robust supply chain, with the benefit of government subsidies. All of that keeps costs down.

"Right now, plant-based meat products are not commodities, so that means that plant-based brands tend to sell lower volumes," said Daniel Gertner, a business analyst at Good Foods Institute. "They might, with those lower volumes, in certain cases make higher net profits, but then much of that profit is reinvested into things like overhead, research and development, [and] marketing. With any nascent category, there's this need to just build the infrastructure from the ground up."

The Bezos Earth Fund wants to give the industry a boost by finding ways of reducing the cost of plant-based alternatives to animal proteins.

"The food we're eating is one-third of global emissions. And if you look at where that comes from, half of it is coming from animal-sourced foods, from livestock. So it's a huge piece of the emissions puzzle," said Andy Jarvis, director of the fund. 

In an effort to solve that puzzle, the fund has earmarked $100 million toward the creation of three research centers — the first of which opened last month at North Carolina State University — focused on sustainable protein alternatives like plant-based products, precision fermentation and cultivated meat

But the largest hurdle to making plant-based proteins a more viable alternative for everyone is the U.S. government's deep investment in the status quo. Washington spends up to $38 billion subsidizing the meat and dairy industries each year, a move that keeps prices artificially low. Meanwhile, nations around the world have invested a grand total of little more than $1 billion in the alternative protein industry. 

"There's no surprise that it's not at price parity, when you certainly don't have a level playing field on the government support," said Jarvis.

Barring a major federal intervention, one akin to the financial support that catalyzed explosive growth in renewable energy, getting plant-based meats to a point where they can compete with conventional counterparts will take quite some time. Until that happens, it won't matter if plant-based chicken tastes just like the real thing. Only when it's more affordable will more people be able to make a major lifestyle change, much like the McClements household once did.

This article originally appeared in Grist at https://grist.org/food-and-agriculture/the-climate-case-for-mock-meats-is-clear-but-who-can-afford-them/.

Grist is a nonprofit, independent media organization dedicated to telling stories of climate solutions and a just future. Learn more at Grist.org

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CEOs skeptical of Trump’s 2024 team of “MAGA extremists and junior varsity opportunists”: expert

Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, president of the Yale Chief Executive Leadership Institute, pushed back against the GOP narrative that the country's business executives are rallying behind former President Donald Trump with a New York Times op-ed, arguing that while many can merely tolerate President Joe Biden, more truly fear Trump.

"If you want the most telling data point on corporate America’s lack of enthusiasm for Mr. Trump, look where they are investing their money," Sonnenfeld wrote. "Not a single Fortune 100 chief executive has donated to the candidate so far this year, which indicates a major break from overwhelming business and executive support for Republican presidential candidates dating back over a century."

The choice between Trump or Biden is not heartening to CEOs, according to Sonnenfeld. Both presidents have adopted populist stances towards businesses, with executives particularly incensed at Biden for his attacks on corporate greed and his administration's vigorous antitrust enforcement. But they have also been pleased by a thriving economy and government investments in domestic manufacturing and infrastructure, while balking at Trump's unorthodox, potentially destabilizing economic positions.

During his presidential term, Trump gifted corporate executives a big tax break and sometimes took the advice of well-connected aides from the business world like Jared Kushner, Dina Powell and Steven Mnuchin. The latter, Sonnenfeld says, is no longer the case. They are gone now, replaced by "MAGA extremists and junior varsity opportunists."

Sonnenfeld cited a number of Trump positions that have provoked the ire of CEOs, including a proposed 10 percent tariff on all imports, stripping the Federal Reserve Board of its independence, and devaluing the U.S. dollar, all of which could drive inflation much higher. Many CEOs also resent Trump's personal attacks on businesses with meddling and divide-and-conquer tactics, as well as statements that likened anti-racist protesters with white supremacists. Dozens of them called for Trump's impeachment after the January 6 storming of the U.S. Capitol.

At times, Trump's outreach to the business community has backfired. One New York Times reporter said that he received feedback from a group of executives who met the Republican nominee earlier in June and characterized him as going "all over the map" and unable to "keep a thought straight."

Other CEOs, however, have responded positively to Trump's extensive courtship, or remained loyal since supporting him in his first two election campaigns. They have helped him catch up with Biden's fundraising haul with billions of dollars in donations, setting up what could be the most expensive presidential election in history.

Taylor Swift brings Travis Kelce onstage at London Eras tour concert

Taylor Swift on Sunday night brought her boyfriend and Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce on stage at an Eras Tour show in London, much to the delight of fans at London's Wembley Stadium. 

Kelce, who has been dating Swift since September 2023, made his cameo for Swift's performance of "I Can Do It With a Broken Heart" off of her latest album, "The Tortured Poets Department." Dressed in a top hat and black tailcoat and flanked by two similarly costumed backup dancers, he carried the pop singer across the stage to a sofa.

Kelce's guest appearance came on the third night of Swift's London stay. Ahead of Friday night's show, Swift and Kelce posed for backstage photos with Prince William — who was celebrating his 42nd birthday — and his children, Prince George and Princess Charlotte. Swift shared a selfie of the group to her personal Instagram account, captioning the post, "Happy Bday M8! London shows are off to a splendid start."

https://www.instagram.com/p/C8hIungMPmD/?utm_source=ig_web_copy_link

 

MAGA operative compiling list of “anti-Trump” federal workers, setting stage for Project 2025 purge

Longtime GOP operative Tom Jones is investigating dozens of federal employees suspected of opposing Donald Trump's policies as part of a larger, coordinated project by MAGA-aligned groups to reshape the government into a tool for right-wing causes.

According to an Associated Press report, Jones and his American Accountability Foundation (AAF) are using a $100,000 grant from the right-wing Heritage Foundation to ferret through the backgrounds, social media activity and past political statements of high-ranking government workers, starting with the Department of Homeland Security. Once the operatives have collected a list of problematic employees, they plan to publish 100 names online to demonstrate who might stand in the way of a second-term Trump agenda, and expose them to scrutiny, harassment, reassignments, and firings.

“We need to understand who these people are and what they do,” Jones, a former Republican Senate aide, told the AP.

In order to compile their list for the so-called Project Sovereignty 2025, AAF is collecting tips from a network of contacts that includes federal workers. The extensive probe into civil servants who aren't political appointees and have to swear an oath to the Constitution, not to any specific president has alarmed experts who have characterized the AAF effort as undermining democracy and evoking the McCarthyist red scare; the 1950s inquisition that targeted suspected Communist sympathizers was led by Roy Cohn, who became a confidant of a younger Trump.

In announcing its funding of the group, the Heritage Foundation lauded AAF for seeing to purge "anti-American bad actors" in government. Jacqueline Simon, policy director at the American Federation of Government Employees, described that language as “shocking.”

“It just seems as though their goal is to try to menace federal employees and sow fear,” Simon, whose union supports President Joe Biden, told the AP.

AAF's investigation would lay the groundwork for Heritage Foundation's Project 2025, which proposes reviving a Trump-era policy that tried to reclassify tens of thousands of federal workers as political appointees, exposing them to mass firings and opening up their positions to a cadre of right-wing replacements.

“None of this should be surprising”: John Oliver calls out GOP “cancel culture” hypocrisy

John Oliver on Sunday's edition of "Last Week Tonight"  called out the latest chapter of the culture war Republicans are waging on public schools.

Oliver noted that Louisiana last week became the first state to require the Ten Commandments be displayed in public classrooms "from kindergarten to publicly funded universities," highlighting the growing trend of Republicans pushing Christian ideology into public education. Louisiana Gov. Jeff Landry signed the bill into law last Wednesday, saying, "If you want to respect the rule of law, you gotta start from the original lawgiver, which was Moses."

Oliver retorted "First: Moses was not the original lawgiver. That would be—say it with me—Ur-Nammu, king of the ancient Sumerian third dynasty of Ur, that’s right. It’s something we all know. But more importantly, it’s true: Louisiana will now require the Ten Commandments be displayed in all public classrooms, even kindergartens. Which is absurd."

"Kindergarteners don’t need 'Thou shalt not covet thy neighbor’s wife' next to their cubbies. That’s not a thing they do. And even if they did, who cares? They’re five. If you’re that worried about your wife running off with a five-year-old, your marriage has problems no god can fix," Oliver joked.

The host also pointed out that behind the governor, "one of the kids collapsed and Landry never once turns around to see what’s going on."

"But that’s a perfect encapsulation of the Republican Party today—loudly pretending to care about the well-being of children while completely ignoring the literal well-being of a child," Oliver stated.

The host added that the bill's sponsor also had no concerns about how the new law would affect non-Christian or Jewish students.

"You don’t believe this alienates students who are not Christian or Jewish?" an opposing lawmaker questioned Republican state Rep. Dodie Horton.

"No ma’am, I don’t. This is about a moral code that our country was founded upon and they can simply turn their heads, I suppose," Horton responded.

Oliver replied: "Yeah, they can simply turn their heads, you suppose. You know, the thing the governor of Louisiana seems completely incapable of doing when a child falls right behind him."

The host noted that the "clearly unconstitutional" law is already facing a lawsuit threat from the ACLU. "And you’d think they’d stand a good chance to win—especially as Kentucky actually passed a similar law decades ago, only for it to be struck down by the Supreme Court in 1980. But the truth is, as this constitutional expert points out, this time could be different," he said.

While the the Supreme Court's precedent held a similar law as unconstitutional, "precedent isn’t what it used to be" given the political leanings of the current court, an expert said in a clip on the show.

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"Yeah, that’s putting it mildly. Precedent used to mean justices had to have a really good reason to reverse course on settled law, and one better than just, 'My billionaire friends said they’d take me to Barbados next time,'" Oliver said in an apparent reference to Justice Clarence Thomas.

This isn't the only battle schools have faced in the last several years, from book banning, banning trans students from using gender-affirming bathrooms and now a new conflict over public displays of symbols in Tennessee, Florida and Utah has led to the states all introducing bills to ban Pride flags in schools.

"None of this should be surprising, conservatives love to rail against 'cancel culture' while trying to ban any speech they don’t like. So when it’s someone else’s symbol, it’s an affront that needs to be burned or banned, but when it’s theirs, it can be mandated by law, and anyone who doesn’t like it can just turn their head and not look," Oliver concluded.

Last Week Tonight with John Oliver airs on Sundays at 11 p.m. ET on Max.

“She’s distancing herself”: Melania Trump unlikely to ever move back to the White House

Melania Trump won’t spend much time in D.C. if her husband is re-elected, according to those who follow her. 

In a survey from Axios, self-proclaimed Melania experts weighed in on Melania’s absence from Trump’s first term in office and what that means if the Trumps do another stint in the White House  

A first lady sighting was so rare throughout Trump’s first term that many questioned whether she lived at the White House or at home with her parents in the suburbs.

The “Melania-ologists” said if Trump is re-elected, Melania is more likely to be splitting her time between Palm Beach and New York, where her son is rumored to be attending NYU, than at the White House. She is likely to only show face for special occasions, they said. 

“She's distancing herself even more from her husband and from the Washington social political scene," Kate Andersen Brower, the author of several books about the White House and first ladies, told Axios. 

Mary Jordan, the author of a book about Melania, said Melania's independence from her husband makes her a “standout in history from any other first-lady.”

“Melania does what Melania wants,” Jordan told Axios.

Melania has been almost entirely absent from Trump’s current presidential campaign. She wasn’t at the recent hush-money trial where her husband was convicted, nor at any of the campaign rallies he has held in recent months, the Associated Press reported.

In February, Trump was asked about his wife's absence on the campaign trail. He acknowledged it, but said Melania is still invested in his candidacy and "loves the country." A month later, Melania was asked directly about whether she would be more present throughout Trump's campaign. 

"Stay tuned," she responded.

“Everybody was shocked”: Trump joked about “Nazi ovens” in meeting with Jewish business leaders

A former vice president of the Trump Organization said Donald Trump once jokingly referenced "Nazi ovens" in a meeting with several Jewish executives. 

Barbara Res told MSNBC host Ali Velshi that Trump was bragging to his team about a new hire, who was German. “And he looked at a couple of our executives who happen to be Jewish, and he said ‘Watch out for this guy, he sort of remembers the ovens,’ you know, and then smiled,” Res said.

“Everybody was shocked,” she said. “I cannot believe he said that. He was making a joke about the Nazi ovens and eating people,” referencing Trump’s stated "support" for fictional cannibal Hannibal Lecter. 

Velshi then asked Res for her thoughts on Trump’s allegiance to the religious right.

“His embrace of religion is absolute nonsense,” Res replied, adding that Trump would “mock” religious people. She left the Trump organization in 1998, saying Trump mistreated her and her colleagues.

Leading up to the election, Trump has repeatedly tried to shame Jewish Americans into voting Republican. In March, Trump said Jews who vote for President Joe Biden should be "ashamed of themselves."

Trump took secret trip to Mar-a-Lago just weeks before an FBI raid, witnesses say

Special counsel Jack Smith's team may have uncovered another attempt by Donald Trump to obstruct the government's investigation into his alleged mishandling of classified documents. Sources close to the matter told ABC News that witnesses who spoke to prosecutors said that the former president made a previously undisclosed trip to Mar-a-Lago in July 2022, his aides instructed to "keep quiet" about the jaunt to Florida just weeks before FBI agents searched the property.

At least one witness close to Trump reportedly told prosecutors that he was told, at the time of Trump's trip, that the former president was there "checking on boxes."

According to ABC News, several witnesses said the trip was highly unusual, since Trump usually spends his summer months at his Bedminster golf club in New Jersey, and also because Trump's private residence at Mar-a-Lago was under renovation at time time. Other witnesses said they were given the impression that Trump was there to check on the renovations.

"They were keeping this one quiet … nobody knew about this trip," one witness with direct knowledge of the trip told investigators. Trump's decision to go was apparently made on short notice. Sources described airport manifestos as showing Trump's original route from a rally in Alaska back to New Jersey, before updating to reroute the former president towards Florida.

One of Trump's alleged co-conspirators, longtime aide Walt Nauta, reportedly sent a number of text messages to trusted aides instructing them to not talk about the changes.

"I'm pretty sure [Trump] wants minimal people around on Monday," Nauta wrote one day before Trump's arrival at Mar-a-Lago, according to a message provided to ABC News. The sources said that Nauta wanted the trip to remain "discreet" and used emojis with zipped mouths to indicate its secretive nature.

Later, Nauta reportedly visited Mar-a-Lago on his own, possibly to meet property manager and alleged co-conspirator Carlos De Oliveira.

Reports of the secret trip are coming to light after prosecutors brought 40 criminal charges against Trump over refusing to return hundreds of classified documents and attempting to hinder the government from retrieving those documents. The trip came shortly after federal investigators sought surveillance footage from Mar-a-Lago showing Trump aides moving boxes from a storage room in the resort to his personal residence. Around the same time, Trump allegedly changed the locks on a closet hiding a stash of papers while his own attorney was in the basement searching for them.

Last month, Smith's team submitted a filing alleging that Trump, after being informed of the subpoena for surveillance footage, sent some of the documents back to the club's basement without being caught on camera. Trump, for his part, has denied all 40 charges and denounced the investigation as a political witch hunt.

“Just baffling”: Experts say Judge Cannon’s “completely frivolous” hearing enables Trump attacks

On Truth Social, Donald Trump is adamant that the conspiracy goes all the way to the top — that special counsel Jack Smith was appointed to be President Joe Biden’s attack dog, aiming to damage his candidacy with more criminal convictions ahead of the November election. In court, though, Trump’s legal team argued last week that Smith is actually a prosecutor gone rogue, so stridently asserting his independence that, per attorney Emil Bove, he and his team effectively constitute a “shadow government.”

Even U.S. District Judge Aileen Cannon, the Trump appointee overseeing his classified documents case, appeared to think that the claim was a stretch, commenting: “That sounds very ominous.” But even if Cannon is not prepared to declare Smith’s entire existence invalid, affirming the defense argument that the appointment of any special counsel is unconstitutional, last Friday’s hearing raised an all-important question in the minds of legal experts observing the case: What are we even doing here?

“It’s just baffling,” MSNBC legal analyst Lisa Rubin said of Friday’s hearing. What was odd was not just the legal arguments but that Cannon — who last month indefinitely postponed a trial, citing all the work she still has to do — agreed to hold the hearing at all, scheduling almost two days worth of time in court to debate an issue (whether an attorney general can appoint a special counsel) that’s already been settled by numerous other courts. And not just that: at the hearing, she allowed lawyers who aren’t even part of the case to come in and argue on the defendant’s behalf.

The contrast with how she treats prosecutors could not be more obvious.

Cannon “gave almost two full days to the question of whether Jack Smith was lawfully appointed,” Rubin noted. “But when Jack Smith went to her and said we need to modify Trump’s bail conditions because his speech is threatening the safety of people involved in the investigation, Judge Cannon said, literally, you can have two hours this coming Tuesday.”

Rubin was referring to Trump’s claim that Smith and the deep state henchmen who raided Mar-a-Lago were authorized to kill him, a lie so egregious that the FBI, still led by a Trump appointee, issued a rare statement rebutting a former president.

Smith asked for Cannon to modify Trump’s bail conditions on May 24, arguing that his dishonest allegations were endangering members of law enforcement. Over a month will have passed before Smith’s team is allowed to present their arguments in court; in that time, members of the MAGA base, never ones to believe a fact check, have turned Trump’s dangerous rhetoric into deadly threats: one supporter was arrested earlier this month for threatening to “slaughter” an FBI agent and their family over grievances ranging from Hunter Biden to the 2020 election.

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In their own filing, prosecutors cite that incident and others spurred by the former president’s incitement, going back to the 2022 raid of Trump’s Florida home, when scores of national secrets were found stashed on the property.

“Shortly after the execution of the search warrant at Mar-a-Lago, one of Trump’s supporters carried out an armed attack on an FBI office in the wake of Trump’s Truth Social statements regarding the search,” the filing notes. “No court would tolerate another defendant deliberately creating such immediate risks to the safety of law enforcement, and this Court should not wait for a tragic event before taking action in this case.”

And yet, as former federal prosecutor Kristy Greenberg noted, instead of speedily addressing that threat, Cannon has dallied, focusing her court’s attention on a “completely frivolous” argument that the Department of Justice is not allowed to have special prosecutors. The gift to Trump’s defense is not just that hearing, but more importantly: the delay it and other frivolous motions have caused by virtue of Cannon agreeing to treat them as serious legal arguments.

All of that, in sum, Greenberg told MSNBC, almost makes the judge an accomplice.

“He is inflaming his base, that is the purpose,” Greenberg, “and by not taking immediate action to make sure that he can’t do that, she’s allowed this kind of inflammation of his base to continue.”

Trump’s pre-debate bluster is a bluff

The earliest general election presidential debate ever is coming up this week and it's all anyone can talk about. And there's actually a good reason for that for a change. This debate could be an important moment in an already extremely high-stakes campaign that's ridiculously close and may very well stay that way all the way up until Election Day. Both campaigns are eager to try to shake things up and this week's debate is the first opportunity.

For much of the primary season, polling showed that some people were just not convinced that this re-run was actually going to happen. It seemed impossible to believe that the disgraced ex-president Donald Trump would become the nominee and that Joe Biden would not step aside for a younger successor. But here we are. And frankly, it was where we were always going to be unless something happened to one or both of them. There was clearly no desire among the many Democratic presidential hopefuls waiting in the wings to primary the incumbent and the MAGA usurpers, like Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, flamed out in the primaries while the establishment alternatives, like Nikki Haley, couldn't get past Trump's rabid base. 

So, we're going to party like it's 2020 all over again (except without the thousands of people succumbing to a deadly virus as the rest of us watched in horror while the president demanded: "Slow the testing down, please."

The New York Times reported that, as usual, Trump doesn't like to prepare with mock debates or reading briefing books so some people are informally showing up to chat about policy with him. I recall that in both 2016 and 2020, the scuttlebutt was that debate coaches like Chris Christie couldn't get him to focus so inevitably Trump and his cronies would end up sitting around shooting the breeze. I'd guess that's probably the case this time as well. 

According to Jonathan Karl's book, "Betrayal: The Final Act of the Trump Show," in the 2020 prep meetings Rudy Giuliani was obsessed with Hunter Biden to the point that one attendee said, "Rudy was being a disruptive force. No matter what we were talking about, all he wanted to do was talk about Hunter." When Christie, playing Biden, retorted ,"You have real nerve talking about relatives taking advantage of political power…Your family traded the influence they have in the White House to make tens of millions of dollars," Trump reportedly got furious and told him, "I'm not going to sit here and put up with this shit … move on." If he was that sensitive about his family, I'd guess no one is willing to bring up his legal problems during debate prep this time. 

Trump held a rally over the weekend and at one of his pre-planned "spontaneous" restaurant stops he said that he considered that to be debate prep so it sounds like he feels that he's ready to go. He asked the crowd at the rally if he should be "tough and nasty" toward Biden or  “be nice and calm and let him speak?” The crowd predictably indicated the former and Trump agreed. He gave them a little taste of just how nasty he could be, claiming that Biden had gone to a log cabin to study but "he's sleeping now" and then claimed that just before the debate "he'll get a shot in the ass" and come out "all jacked up." 

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That disgusting little prediction was slightly better than his earlier lie that Biden will be "pumped up" on cocaine because they found "hundreds of thousands of dollars worth" of it in the White House. (Just when you think he can't sink any lower he always does.)

President Biden, meanwhile, is up at Camp David preparing for the debate. He's no doubt doing what normal candidates do, studying policy papers, practicing with mock debates and running possible lines of attack. It's clear they're taking this very seriously and for good reason. It's vitally important that the American people see the two candidates one-on-one. 

Biden's campaign has a big plan for the debate. Thousands of watch parties are being organized around the country with surrogates fanning out with the message they hope to convey. NBC reported that they have sent out a memo with the three main topics they hope to emphasize in the debate: reproductive rights, the threat to democracy and the economy. The memo states, “President Biden, who is fighting for the American people, and Donald Trump, who will walk on stage as a convicted felon fighting for himself" echoing their theme about Biden being for the people while Trump is only for Trump. 

The assumption among the pundits and analysts is that the debate is most important for Biden so that he can prove that he's up for the job. Yes, he's been president for three and a half years and has an excellent record of success, which would normally be a clue, but the fact that he looks old seems to override the reality of actual results. After months of the Republicans and the media portraying him as barely alive, at this point Biden's main job is to not fall down or start drooling. (This might explain Trump and his minions' sudden insistence that Biden is a hardcore speed freak.) 

Trump, on the other hand, has to show that he isn't the whining, self-serving, malicious and increasingly incoherent creep we all see at his rallies. It's hard to imagine that he can do that but who knows? Maybe he'll get a "shot in the ass" of some kind of tranquilizer and the debate will end up being between a jacked up Biden and a zoned out Trump. 

Much of this will be determined by the moderators' questions and how they handle the rules of the debate. The candidates' mics will be cut off when they run out of time which will keep Trump from talking and yelling non-stop as he did last time. There's no audience so the MAGA cult can turn it into a Trump rally and they will not be allowed to consult with their staff during the break for reasons which aren't obvious to me.

All of this will be an improvement over the usual spectacle we've come to expect. But none of that will matter if the answers are not followed up and the lies aren't corrected. The debate is on CNN so the two moderators have one of the best fact-checkers in the business, Daniel Dale, who we must hope will be in their ears to correct Trump's litany of lies. That will no doubt make the whole exercise awkward for them but there is no choice. 

This debate is the real kickoff to the most important election any American alive has ever experienced. It's surreal, it's frightening and it's oddly dull, all at once. But barring something unexpected, the advantage goes to Biden. After all, the most important thing is that he isn't Trump, the sorest loser in human history. I'm betting that when people see them both together it won't be hard to remember why he just keeps losing over and over again. 

A viral blog post from a bureaucrat exposes why tech billionaires fear Biden — and fund Trump

The drastic rightward lurch of Silicon Valley's executive class has been swift and mysterious — but now the key to unlocking the mystery may lie in a cheeky blog post written by a regulator from the Federal Trade Commission. Advisories from federal regulators instructing businesses to follow the law aren't typically known for being funny, but Michael Atleson, an attorney for the agency's advertising division, went viral this month with a public memo warning tech companies to stop falsely advertising their chatbots. 

"Your therapy bots aren’t licensed psychologists, your AI girlfriends are neither girls nor friends, your griefbots have no soul, and your AI copilots are not gods," Atleson wrote in a post titled "Succor borne every minute." Comparing so-called "artificial intelligence" to a Magic 8 Ball, the federal regulator chastised tech marketers who "compare their products to magic (they aren’t)" and "talk about the products having feelings (they don’t)." Atleson even joked that his Magic 8 Ball replied, "Outlook not so good," when he asked if he can expect companies to advertise chatbots "in ways that merit no FTC attention." 

Will Oremus of the Washington Post posted on Bluesky, "The Federal Trade Commission, of all entities, is out here writing absolute bangers about AI snake oil." It was both funny and a relief to read someone cutting through all the hype to remind everyone that AI is not "intelligent." Turns out that Atleson has a rich body of pun-heavy work threatening companies that misuse AI to steal, mislead or defraud. Delightful stuff, but also a telling indicator of why we're seeing a stampede of tech billionaires throwing money and assistance to Donald Trump's campaign. 


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The tech industry is getting increasingly scammy. True innovation has slowed down drastically in recent years, threatening to shrink the staggering profits from the earlier parts of the century. To replace that income, tech leaders have increasingly turned to overhyped products or even outright fraud, as evidenced by the collapse of the FTX cryptocurrency exchange and imprisonment of its founder. Joe Biden's administration has made shutting down consumer fraud a majority priority. Rather than dial back the shady behavior, the tech industry is turning to Donald Trump, a man whose entire business career was built on fraud, to save them. 

It's alarming how many tech leaders have thrown their weight behind ending Joe Biden's presidency.

The liberalism of the tech investor class has always been overrated. Yes, the industry overall tends to be more Democratic, but that's due to the workers more than the people in the C-suites. Still, it's alarming how many tech leaders have thrown their weight behind ending Joe Biden's presidency. As Theodore Schleifer reported in the New York Times, Trump, who used to avoid Silicon Valley, has now been regularly rubbing shoulders with its elite class. This month, he visited San Francisco for the first time since before his first presidential run, for a fundraiser that raised $12 million. In a publicity stunt donation, the Winklevoss twins of Facebook infamy, now big cryptocurrency celebrities, donated $2 million in Bitcoin to Trump

Before this, perhaps in a pathetic bid to pretend they are still "liberal," many of these same folks were propping of the candidacy of Robert F. Kennedy Jr., an anti-vaxx crank who many Trump supporters hoped could use his famous name to siphon votes off Biden. Kennedy is so wound up in Silicon Valley that his running mate, tech lawyer Nicole Shanahan, is the ex-wife of one Google executive and close friend of Tesla CEO Elon Musk. But as polls are starting to suggest Kennedy might be pulling support away from Trump as much as Biden, the Silicon Valley enthusiasm for the anti-vaccine activist has dimmed. They're moving to just supporting Trump directly. 

The direct fundraising is just the tip of the iceberg. Big names in tech are also steering the larger media environment in a more Trump-friendly direction. Musk famously bought Twitter and has been steadily turning the now-named X into a dumping ground for odious right-wing propaganda, much of it overtly neo-Nazi in nature. Musk himself tweets a steady stream of "just asking questions"-style provocations about race and intelligence. Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos, who promised the values of the Washington Post "do not need changing" when he bought it in 2013, has made a series of controversial changes in management recently, hiring multiple people who cut their teeth working for right-wing propagandist Rupert Murdoch. Both the newly hired publisher and editor, Will Lewis and Robert Winnett, were swiftly exposed for having ties to a criminal phone hacking scandal that roiled the British publishing world years ago. Winnett resigned before even starting at the Post

The Bezos decision has been spun as merely a business move. But the Post could make money without embracing sleazy characters. (The New York Times does it with their games and their food coverage.) So I'll note that the Biden administration has sued Bezos, accusing Amazon of an illegal monopoly. It's this monopoly that has turned Amazon's once-fantastic product search engine into a wasteland of junk. It's impossible to search for anything, from socks to computers, without being overwhelmed with shoddy knockoffs. But going elsewhere to buy stuff is hard as Amazon has run competitors out of business. 

It's a process we see time and again: Tech companies that once made genuinely good and helpful products are becoming increasingly useless, overwhelmed by spam, scammy gimmicks, and other efforts to snake a few extra pennies from consumers without producing any value for their money. Google searches are wastelands of ads and AI-generated "answers" that rarely answer your question. Social media is full of snake oil salesmen. Instead of the next cool product that will improve everyone's lives, we first got cryptocurrency, which was tulip trading at best and, as FTX showed, outright theft in many cases. Then NFTs, which pretended easily screenshot pictures on the internet could be worth more than diamonds and gold. Now we have "artificial intelligence," in which we're falsely told we can replace human intelligence with machines that mimic language but have no actual thoughts of their own. 

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Because it's wonky and mostly boring — except for the occasional funny blog post — Biden's war on corporate fraud, including forcing airlines to refund customers for canceled flights, rarely gets the attention it deserves. Just this week, for example, Biden's FTC sued Adobe for making it impossible to cancel subscriptions. But, as Schleifer notes, the private jet class of Silicon Valley sure noticed. Lina Khan, the chair of the Federal Trade Commission, "has ascended to Darth Vader-like status in some corners of the technology industry," Schleifer reports. Turns out the meanie bears in the Biden administration don't like it when you tell lonely men a computer screen can replace a girlfriend. They correctly see that as a lie, just like the fake cancer cures and get-rich-quick schemes that have been used to defraud so many people before. 

Trump, however, will never get between a con artist and his victim.

Project 2025, which functions as the policy arm of the Trump campaign, has openly promised to clean house at federal agencies, replacing competent bureaucrats with Trump stooges. When it comes to agencies like the FTC, this plan is often downplayed as "business-friendly" in the press, but that is a misnomer. It's scam-friendly. Trump is ready to empower every multi-level marketer, fake "cure" hawker, and investment fraudster in the business. The category increasingly encompasses much of the tech world.

“Middle class” is an outdated misnomer: It’s now “a minimum standard of living”

It is very expensive to be poor in America. This paradox negatively impacts the lives of the approximately 40 million people in this country who fall under the federal government’s official poverty line – and the many millions more who are one paycheck, serious illness, or other unforeseen challenge away from joining that group.

America’s poverty tax takes many forms including how people who live in poor and other under-resourced communities pay more for a range of services, most of them low quality, such as food, housing, and healthcare. In fact, there is an entire industry that profits from exploiting poor people and others who are navigating economic precarity such as payday lenders and check cashing stores, rental properties that do not require credit checks, used car dealerships that charge usurious interest rates, pawn stores, rent-to-own stores, “health” providers (including dentists) that target Medicaid patients, and for-profit prisons.

America’s poverty tax also causes negative intergenerational economic, emotional, and health outcomes as well. Because they live in a state of economic precarity and day-to-day survival mode, poor people are unable to accrue wealth and income and other resources (such as social capital) to pass down to their children, which in turn deprives future generations of life opportunities.

The poverty tax does not exist in isolation: its negative impact (and literal cost) is amplified by racism and white supremacy, sexism, ableism, and other forms of prejudice and discrimination.

The many ways that America’s poverty tax keeps tens of millions of people in poverty and near poverty, is not a moral or character failing of those communities and individuals. Instead, America’s poverty tax is a lived example of how institutional and structural forces – in this context predatory and cannibal capitalism – create a trap that is very difficult if not almost impossible to escape.

Anne Kim is a writer, lawyer, and public policy expert with a long career in Washington, DC–based think tanks working in and around Capitol Hill. She is also a contributing editor at Washington Monthly, where she was a senior writer. Her work has appeared in the Washington Post, Governing, the Wall Street Journal, Democracy, and numerous other publications. Her new book is “Poverty for Profit.” Her previous book is “Abandoned: America’s Lost Youth” and the Crisis of Disconnection.”

In this conversation, Kim outlines how poor people are exploited for profit(s) by private and other self-interested actors across American society. Kim also explains how the American public’s understanding of poverty, specifically, and economic class, more generally, is in many ways incorrect.

This interview has been lightly edited for clarity and length

Given the state of this country, how are you feeling?

How I’m feeling? I’m depressed and frightened, frankly, given the existential stakes we’re facing this fall. But ask me again after November, and I hope to be feeling differently! Relief, at least, if not optimism.

Even if we avert the catastrophe of a second Trump presidency, we’ve still lost our collective ability to solve big national problems – or even small ones. It’s hard to fathom today, but Congress passed the Civil Rights Act of 1964 on a vote of 289-126 in the House and 73-27 in the Senate. The Voting Rights Act of 1965 passed the House 328-74! I’m struggling to remember the last time we’ve had a rational, fact-based, nonpartisan, good-faith debate on any topic, whether it’s climate change, abortion rights, or inequality.

I think the maldistribution of income, wealth and opportunity is a huge factor feeding the discontent driving our current politics, but there’s no shortage of bold ideas and great scholarship on how to fix this problem. Matthew Desmond’s "Poverty by America," Natalie Foster’s "The Guarantee," and Heather McGhee’s "The Sum of Us "are just a few recent examples of provocative and pathbreaking work. But every effort to start a sincere conversation on these topics gets shut down by politicians who’d prefer to activate and weaponize class, economic and racial divisions for their own gain.

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I don’t know that I see more clearly on any of this than anyone else, and I am missing many lenses. I don’t presume to speak on behalf of the communities affected by the policies I write about, for instance – I can only do the best I can to bear witness. What I think I do have, though, is an inside perspective on the intersection of policy, politics and business. I’ve worked as a senior staffer on Capitol Hill, and I’ve worked in think tanks and at a nonprofit advocacy organization. I also spent six years as a corporate lawyer reading financial statements and learning corporate finance. One benefit of this scattershot career is that it helped me uncover what I call “Poverty, Inc.” in the book and to explain how it came about.

What does it mean to be poor in America?

The Census Bureau defines “poverty” solely as a measure of income – you’re “poor” if your household’s income falls below a certain level for any given year. We can all agree that’s way too narrow; you can’t reduce the experience of poverty to a dollar figure. 

To be poor in America is to be denied a chance to fulfill your potential because you lack access to the opportunities that money can buy. It means the inability to meet your basic needs – food, housing, and health care – or having access only to substandard versions of what’s available to everyone else. It means the inability to develop your human potential because of the structural limitations around you – lousy schools and indifferent teachers, violence, and discrimination. Some people call it “surviving” versus “thriving,” which I think is a pretty good description of what it means to be poor. 

What does the language of social science and public policy hide and/or obscure about poverty in America?

Social science research is meant to be objective. It’s supposed to be fact-based and logical so that policymakers take researchers’ conclusions seriously and formulate rational policies backed up by data. But the language of objectivity is also very objectifying. Take, for example, the tendency of academic researchers to use the acronym “LMI” for “low- and moderate-income.” Referring to people as “LMI households” sounds very clinical and detached and diminishes the humanity of the people defined this way.

There’s actually quite a bit of language in the discourse around poverty that is very “othering.” Even a reference to “the poor” lumps people with full lives and individual experiences into a single category defined solely by their income, and it becomes very easy to think of “the poor” as “them” versus “us.”

And then there’s language that carries implicit judgment, intended or not. A lot of research around program effectiveness, for instance, refers to “recipients,” which to me implies passivity and undeservedness.

What of lived experiences?

I think the world of social science and public policy is generally pretty sterile. There are “recipients” and “interventions” – meaning government programs – and no room for the complexity of lived experience. I’m not sure how current discourse can accommodate the reality of lived experience fairly and completely, but the failure to even acknowledge this dimension means all research is incomplete.

What does it mean to be “working poor?” Moreover, many if not most Americans who consider themselves “working class” or “middle class” are closer to actual poverty than they would ever admit or want to realize.

You make a good point that many Americans perceive themselves – or want to perceive themselves – as better off than they really are. According to an April 2024 survey by the National Endowment for Financial Education, for example, 68 percent of Americans rate the “current quality of their financial life” as “better than expected” or “about as expected.”

Nobody wants to admit they are struggling or, worse yet, that they are members of the stigmatized “poor.” In a society that equates success with money, poverty is failure.

"The federal government spends a lot every year on social services, as do states. All of that money is a very attractive target for poverty profiteers."

The same goes for being “working poor.” Working gains you some measure of respect compared to the so-called “idle poor,” whom Elizabethan and colonial “poor laws” considered “unworthy” of help. But I think most people see “working poor” as a rung below “working class” – even if in reality the financial condition of people in both groups overlap. To be “working class” implies you have a steady job that demands skills, if not a college education. “Working poor,” on the other hand, implies you’re unskilled labor, maybe working in fast food or as a janitor. “Working class” implies the potential for upward mobility; “working poor” implies stagnation and struggle. I know I’m trafficking in stereotypes, but I think that’s how most Americans think about who is “deserving” of government help.

There is the repeated finding that many Americans identify as “middle class” regardless of income or wealth. First, is that still true? Second, what does that mean in terms of politics and the way our society deals with poverty and the poor?

Gallup just put out a survey finding that 54 percent of Americans identify as “middle class,” including 15 percent who say they are “upper middle class.” Just 12 percent, in contrast, call themselves “lower class.” The poll doesn’t correlate people’s answers with their actual financial circumstances, and there isn’t an official, government definition of “middle class.”

But it’s a pretty safe bet, as you posit, that many people who call themselves “middle class” don’t enjoy middle class security. Earlier this year, a Washington Post analysis found that only about a third of Americans meet all six hallmarks of what they defined as a “middle-class lifestyle,” including a steady job, health insurance, savings, the ability to afford emergency expenses and pay bills on time and the means for a comfortable retirement.

But as alluded to above, people identify as “middle class” not because it’s an accurate descriptor of their financial condition but because the term reflects a preferred set of norms for behavior, thought, and a minimum standard of living. A few years back, researchers at the Brookings Institution put out a really fascinating report on how to define the middle class through different lenses, including as a purely cultural construct. In their analysis, the researchers quoted a 2010 report by the US Commerce Department that defined the middle class as much by its aspirations as its achievements: They “strive for economic stability,” “are forward-looking,” and “must work, plan ahead and save for the future.” According to this Commerce Department report, “being middle class may be as much about setting goals and working to achieve them as it is about their attainment.” 

So, when you look at middle class identity this way – as a value system – you’re absolutely right that people’s self-identification with the “middle class” is hugely consequential for politics and the treatment of poverty.  Politicians pander to the middle class because that’s the group that “works hard and plays by the rules,” to borrow President Bill Clinton’s formulation, and they are the ones that embody American virtues and the American dream.

This means, by implication, that people not in the middle class – i.e. the poor – live outside this value system. They’ve presumably rejected the middle-class ethos and therefore also “deserve” to be excluded, marginalized and scapegoated – which is exactly what many politicians do.

So much of politics is about reinforcing people’s sense of identity. And one strategy some politicians use to make their base feel good is to elevate their membership in an “in” group (e.g., “the middle class”) while demonizing an “out” group (e.g. “the poor”).    


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What does it mean to be “a problem," to borrow the language that is often used to describe Black folks and the color line? In this context, what does it mean to be a poor person in America, and to be viewed as a member of a class that is a problem to be solved? 

First of all, viewing poverty and poor people as a “problem” to be solved limits the solutions on the table. It’s a very deficit-focused perspective, and the goal becomes eliminating the problem versus identifying and building on strengths. As a result, a lot of human potential gets overlooked. Poor people and communities are something to be “dealt with” rather than developed. (The “asset-based community development movement” is a fascinating counter-approach to this kind of thinking.) 

Second, the framing of poverty as a “problem” leads far too easily to analyses of poverty as the consequence of individual behavior rather than systemic barriers. Daniel Patrick Moynihan’s 1965 report helped cement this viewpoint – he popularized the idea of a “culture of poverty” and bemoaned the “tangle of pathology” in low-income Black communities.

There’s so much wrong with his analysis that it’s hard to know where to begin. It’s focused on behaviors, not on systems. It’s dehumanizing, limiting and pessimistic. Moynihan assumes, for example, that everyone raised in a destructive environment will succumb to it, and he doesn’t perceive anyone’s potential for rising above their circumstances, which so many people obviously have done. It’s hard to overstate, however, how influential this report has been in shaping policymakers’ perceptions of poverty and of Americans who are poor.

Who profits from poverty in America?

In "Poverty, By America," Matthew Desmond argues that all non-poor Americans profit from poverty because our well-being has been achieved at the expense of people at the bottom of the ladder. Products and services are cheap, for instance, because someone else’s wages are low.

My book drills down on a narrower aspect of this question to look at the businesses that profit directly from poverty, either as government contractors paid to deliver social services or as “poverty entrepreneurs” exploiting government programs. The federal government spends at least $900 billion a year on programs that directly or disproportionately impact low-income Americans, so there’s a lot of profit to be made. 

Some industries, for instance, make their money by getting a cut of the government aid that low-income Americans receive. The paid tax prep industry, for instance, charges low-income taxpayers hundreds of dollars to file returns and to issue predatory “refund advance” products that are basically payday loans. Many low-income taxpayers are eligible for the federal Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), which returned $57 billion to families in 2023 — a fat target for tax preparers. The fees they charge are deducted from people’s refunds, which for EITC filers averaged $2,541 last year.

Another category of poverty industrialists are the contractors hired by governments to deliver social services. This includes companies like the Management & Training Corporation, which runs 20 federal Job Corps centers for low-income young adults across the country, as well as detention centers, prisons, halfway houses and prison medical departments. It’s a private company, so there’s no public information available about its revenues or operations (despite the fact that it’s basically taxpayer-supported through government contracts). There are hundreds of these contractors, large and small, and some of them are running a state’s entire welfare or Medicaid system, including the calculation of benefits and eligibility – decisions you’d expect government workers to make. These contractors often deliver subpar services, and many of them have been targets of audits, investigations and claims of outright fraud.

And then there’s a third category of industries whose business model depends on the consequences of persistent poverty. The dialysis industry, for example, makes most of its money from Medicare, which guarantees coverage for patients with kidney failure. Kidney disease disproportionately strikes low-income and minority patients, the result of decades of inequitable access to quality health care, nutrition and other factors. If you map dialysis centers, you’ll see them clustered in low-income communities because that’s where their markets are. I write in the book about the terrible toll that dialysis takes on patients, along with some of the industry’s questionable practices to maximize its profits.

Reading your book, I kept thinking of the folk wisdom that the money is in the disease and not in the cure.

Yes, I think that’s right! As I noted above, the federal government spends a lot every year on social services, as do states. All of that money is a very attractive target for poverty profiteers.

It’s also definitely in the business interest of the poverty industry for poverty to persist, and my book documents a bunch of ways in which poverty-dependent industries lobby to preserve their markets, both in Congress and in the states. Private prison companies, for instance, have worked hard to get more “customers” within their walls. They’ve endorsed harsh sentencing laws, like mandatory minimums and the treatment of juveniles like adults. Some prison companies have also negotiated “lockup quotas” to guarantee revenues, according to a blockbuster 2013 expose by the nonprofit In the Public Interest. In Arizona, for example, the state has to guarantee 100 percent occupancy under some of its prison contracts — a pretty obvious incentive for mass incarceration.

Likewise, the tax prep industry has spent millions fighting efforts to simplify the tax code or to provide lower-income taxpayers with free filing options through the IRS. In 2017, ProPublica published an investigation describing how the tax prep industry lobbied for legislation to permanently bar the federal government from offering free pre-filled returns.

Sad to say, less poverty poses an existential threat to many of the players in Poverty, Inc., which is why they invest so much in maintaining the status quo.

AI doomers have warned of the tech-pocalypse — while doing their best to accelerate it

One of the most prominent narratives about AGI, or artificial general intelligence, in the popular media these days is the “AI doomer” narrative. This claims that we’re in the midst of an arms race to build AGI, propelled by a relatively small number of extremely powerful AI companies like DeepMind, OpenAI, Anthropic, and Elon Musk’s xAI (which aims to design an AGI that uncovers truths about the universe by eschewing political correctness). All are backed by billions of dollars: DeepMind says that Microsoft will invest over $100 billion in AI, while OpenAI has thus far received $13 billion from Microsoft, Anthropic has $4 billion in investments from Amazon, and Musk just raised $6 billion for xAI.

Many doomers argue that the AGI race is catapulting humanity toward the precipice of annihilation: if we create an AGI in the near future, without knowing how to properly “align” the AGI’s value system, then the default outcome will be total human extinction. That is, literally everyone on Earth will die. And since it appears that we’re on the verge of creating AGI — or so they say — this means that you and I and everyone we care about could be murdered by a “misaligned” AGI within the next few years.

These doomers thus contend, with apocalyptic urgency, that we must “pause” or completely “ban” all research aiming to create AGI. By pausing or banning this research, it would give others more time to solve the problem of “aligning” AGI to our human “values,” which is necessary to ensure that the AGI is sufficiently “safe.” Failing to do this means that the AGI will be “unsafe,” and the most likely consequence of an “unsafe” AGI will be the untimely death of everyone on our planet.

The doomers contrast with the “AI accelerationists,” who hold a much more optimistic view. They claim that the default outcome of AGI will be a bustling utopia: we’ll be able to cure diseases, solve the climate crisis, figure out how to become immortal, and even colonize the universe. Consequently, these accelerationists — some of whom use the acronym “e/acc” (pronounced “ee-ack”) to describe their movement — argue that we should accelerate rather than pause or ban AGI research. There isn’t enough money being funneled into the leading AI companies, and calls for government regulation are deeply misguided because they’re only going to delay the arrival of utopia.

Some even contend that “any deceleration of AI will cost lives. Deaths that were preventable by the AI that was prevented from existing is a form of murder.” So, if you advocate for slowing down research on advanced AI, you are no better than a murderer.

The loudest voices within the AI doomer camp have been disproportionately responsible for launching and sustaining the very technological race that they now claim could doom humanity.

But there’s a great irony to this whole bizarre predicament: historically speaking, no group has done more to accelerate the race to build AGI than the AI doomers. The very people screaming that the AGI race is a runaway train barreling toward the cliff of extinction have played an integral role in starting these AI companies. Some have helped found these companies, while others provided crucial early funding that enabled such companies to get going. They wrote papers, books and blog posts that popularized the idea of AGI and organized conferences that inspired interest in the topic. Many of those worried that AGI will kill everyone on Earth have gone on to work for the leading AI companies, and indeed the two techno-cultural movements that initially developed and promoted the doomer narrative — namely, “Rationalism” and “Effective Altruism” — have been at the very heart of the AGI race since its inception.

In a phrase, the loudest voices within the AI doomer camp have been disproportionately responsible for launching and sustaining the very technological race that they now claim could doom humanity in the coming years. Despite their apocalyptic warnings of near-term annihilation, the doomers have in practice been more effective at accelerating AGI than the accelerationists themselves.

Consider a few examples, beginning with the Skype cofounder and almost-billionaire Jaan Tallinn, who also happens to be one of the biggest financial backers of the Rationalist and Effective Altruist (EA) movements. Tallinn has repeatedly claimed that AGI poses an enormous threat to the survival of humanity. Or, in his words, it is “by far the biggest risk” facing us this century — bigger than nuclear war, global pandemics or climate change.

In 2014, Tallinn co-founded a Boston-based organization called the Future of Life Institute (FLI), which has helped raise public awareness of the supposedly grave dangers of AGI. Last year, FLI released an open letter calling on “all AI labs to immediately pause for at least 6 months the training of AI systems more powerful than GPT-4,” where GPT4 was the most advanced system that OpenAI had released at the time. The letter warns that AI labs have become “locked in an out-of-control race to develop and deploy ever more powerful digital minds that no one — not even their creators — can understand, predict, or reliably control,” resulting in a “dangerous race.” Tallinn was one of the first signatories.

Tallinn is thus deeply concerned about the race to build AGI. He’s worried that this race might lead to our extinction in the near future. Yet, through his wallet, he has played a crucial role in sparking and fueling the AGI race. He was an early investor in DeepMind, which Demis Hassabis, Shane Legg and Mustafa Suleyman cofounded 2010 with the explicit goal of creating AGI. After OpenAI started in 2015, he had a close connection to some people at the company, meeting regularly with individuals like Dario Amodei, a member of the EA movement and “a key figure in the direction of OpenAI.” (Tallinn himself is closely aligned with the EA movement.)


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In 2021, Amodei and six other former employees of OpenAI founded Anthropic, a competitor of both DeepMind and OpenAI. Where did Anthropic get its money? In part from Tallinn, who donated $25 million and led a $124 million series A fundraising round to help the company get started.

Here we have one of the leading voices in the doomer camp claiming that the AGI race could result in everyone on Earth dying, while simultaneously funding the biggest culprits in this reckless race toward AGI. I’m reminded of something that Noam Chomsky once said in 2002, during the early years of George Bush’s misguided “War on Terror.” Chomsky declared: “We certainly want to reduce the level of terror,” he said, referring to the U.S. “There is one easy way to do that … stop participating in it.” The same idea applies to the AGI race: if AI doomers are really so worried that the race to build AGI will lead to an existential catastrophe, then why are they participating in it? Why have they funded and, in some cases, founded the very companies responsible for supposedly pushing humanity toward the precipice of total destruction?

In fact, Amodei, Shane Legg, Sam Altman and Elon Musk — all of whom founded or cofounded some of the leading AI companies — have expressed doomer concerns that AGI could annihilate our species in the near term. In an interview with the EA organization 80,000 Hours, Amodei referenced the possibility that “an AGI could destroy humanity,” saying “I can’t see any reason in principle why that couldn’t happen.” He adds that “this is a possible outcome and at the very least as a tail risk we should take it seriously.”

Over and over again, the very same people saying that AGI could kill us all have done more than anyone else to launch and accelerate the race toward AGI.

Similarly, DeepMind cofounder Shane Legg wrote on the website LessWrong in 2011 that AGI is his “number 1 risk for this century.” That was one year after DeepMind was created. In 2015, the year he co-founded OpenAI with Elon Musk and others, Altman declared that “I think AI will … most likely sort of lead to the end of the world,” adding on his personal blog that the “development of superhuman machine intelligence is probably the greatest threat to the continued existence of humanity.”

Then there’s Musk, who has consistently identified AGI as the “biggest existential threat,” and “far more dangerous than nukes.” In early 2023, Musk signed the open letter from FLI calling for a six month “pause” on advanced AI research. Just four months later, he announced that he was starting yet another AI company: xAI.

Over and over again, the very same people saying that AGI could kill us all have done more than anyone else to launch and accelerate the race toward AGI. This is even true of the most famous doomer in the world today, a self-described “genius” named Eliezer Yudkowsky. In a Time magazine article from last year, Yudkowsky argued that our only hope of survival is to immediately “shut down” all of “the large computer farms where the most powerful AIs are refined.” Countries should sign an international treaty to halt AGI research and be willing to engage in military airstrikes against rogue datacenters to enforce this treaty.

Yudkowsky is so worried about the AGI apocalypse that he claims we should be willing to risk an all-out thermonuclear war that kills nearly everyone on Earth to prevent AGI from being built in the near future. He then gave a TED talk in which he reiterated his warnings: if we build AGI without knowing how to make it “safe” — and we have no idea how to make it “safe” right now, he claims — then literally everyone on Earth will die.

Yet I doubt that any single individual has promoted the idea of AGI more than Yudkowsky himself. In a very significant way, he put AGI on the map, inspired many people involved in the current AGI race to become interested in the topic, and organized conferences that brought together early AGI researchers to cross-pollinate ideas.

Consider the Singularity Summit, which Yudkowsky co-founded with the Google engineer Ray Kurzweil and tech billionaire Peter Thiel in 2006. This summit, held annually until 2012, focused on the promises and perils of AGI, and included the likes of Tallinn, Hassabis, and Legg on its list of speakers. In fact, both Hassabis and Legg gave talks about AGI-related issues in 2010, shortly before co-founding DeepMind. At the time, DeepMind needed money to get started, so after the Singularity Summit, Hassabis followed Thiel back to his mansion, where Hassabis asked Thiel for financial support to start DeepMind. Thiel obliged, offering Hassabis $1.85 million, and that’s how DeepMind was born. (The following year, in 2011, is when Tallinn made his early investment in the company.)

If not for Yudkowsky’s Singularity Summit, DeepMind might not have gotten off the ground — or at least not when it did. Similar points could be made about various websites and mailing lists that Yudkowsky created to promote the idea of AGI. For example, AGI has been a major focus of the community blogging website LessWrong, created by Yudkowsky around 2009. This website quickly became the online epicenter for discussions about how to build AGI, the utopian future that a “safe” or “aligned” AGI could bring about, and the supposed “existential risks” associated with AGIs that are “unsafe” or “misaligned.” As noted above, it was on the LessWrong website that Legg identified AGI to be the number one threat facing humanity, and records show that Legg was active on the website very early on, sometimes commenting directly under articles by Yudkowsky about AGI and related issues.

Or consider the SL4 mailing list that Yudkowsky created in 2001, which described itself as dedicated to “advanced topics in transhumanism and the Singularity, including … strategies to accelerate the Singularity.” The Singularity is a hypothetical future event in which advanced AI begins to redesign itself, leading to a “superintelligent” AGI system over the course of weeks, days, or perhaps even minutes. Once again, Legg also contributed to the list, which indicates that the connections between Yudkowsky, the world’s leading doomer, and Legg, cofounder of one of the biggest AI companies involved in the AGI race, goes back more than two decades.

These are just a few reasons that Altman himself wrote on Twitter (now X) last year that Yudkowsky — the world’s leading AI doomer — has probably contributed more than anyone to the AGI race. In Altman’s words, Yudkowsky “got many of us interested in AGI, helped DeepMind get funding at a time when AGI was extremely outside the Overton window, was critical in the decision to start OpenAI, etc.” He then joked that Yudkowsky may “deserve the Nobel Peace Prize for this.” (These quotes have been lightly edited to improve readability.)

Rationalists and EAs are also some of the main participants and contributors to the very race they believe could precipitate our doom.

Though Altman was partly trolling Yudkowsky for complaining about a situation — the AGI race — that Yudkowsky was instrumental in creating, Altman isn’t wrong. As a New York Times article from 2023 notes, “Mr. Yudkowsky and his writings played key roles in the creation of both OpenAI and DeepMind.” One could say something similar about Anthropic, as it was Yudkowsky’s blog posts that convinced Tallinn that AGI could be existentially risky, and Tallinn later played a crucial role in helping Anthropic get started — which further accelerated the race to build AGI. The connections and overlaps between the doomer movement and the race to build AGI are extensive and deep — the more one scratches the surface, the clearer these links appear.

Indeed, I mentioned the Rationalist and EA movements earlier. Rationalism was founded by Yudkowsky via the LessWrong website, while EA emerged around the same time, in 2009, and could be seen as the sibling of Rationalism. These communities overlap considerably, and both have heavily promoted the idea that AGI poses a profound threat to our continued existence this century.

Yet Rationalists and EAs are also some of the main participants and contributors to the very race they believe could precipitate our doom. As noted above, Dario Amodei (co-founder of Anthropic) is an EA, and Tallinn has given talks at major EA conferences and donated tens of millions of dollars to both movements. Similarly, an Intelligencer article about Altman reports that Altman once embraced EA, and a New York Times profile describes him as the product of a strange, sprawling online community that began to worry, around the same time Mr. Altman came to the Valley, that artificial intelligence would one day destroy the world. Called rationalists or effective altruists, members of this movement were instrumental in the creation of OpenAI.

Yet another New York Times article notes that the EA movement “beat the drum so loudly” about the dangers of AGI that many young people became inspired to work on the topic. Consequently, “all of the major AI labs and safety research organizations contain some trace of effective altruism’s influence, and many count believers among their staff members.” The article then observes that “no major AI lab embodies the EA ethos as fully as Anthropic,” given that “many of the company’s early hires were effective altruists, and much of its start-up funding came from wealthy EA-affiliated tech executives” — not just Tallinn, but the co-founder of Facebook Dustin Moskovitz, who, like Tallinn, has donated considerably to EA projects.

There is a great deal to say about this topic, but the key point for our purposes is that the doomer narrative largely emerged out of the Rationalist and EA movements — the very movements that have been pivotal in founding, funding and inspiring all the major AI companies now driving the race to build AGI.

Again, one wants to echo Chomsky in saying: if these communities are so worried about the AGI apocalypse, why have they done so much to create the very conditions that enabled the AGI race to get going? The doomers have probably done more to accelerate AGI research than the AI accelerationists that they characterize as recklessly dangerous.

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How has this happened? And why? One reason is that many doomers believe that AGI will be built by someone, somewhere, eventually. So it might as well be them who builds the first AGI. After all, many Rationalists and EAs pride themselves on having exceptionally high IQs while claiming to be more “rational” than ordinary people, or “normies.” Hence, they are the best group to build AGI while ensuring that it is maximally “safe” and “beneficial.” The unfortunate consequence is that these Rationalists and EAs have inadvertently initiated a race to build AGI that, at this point, has gained so much momentum that it appears impossible to stop.

Even worse, some of the doomers most responsible for the AGI race are now using this situation to gain even more power by arguing that policymakers should look to them for the solutions. Tallinn, for example, recently joined the United Nation’s Artificial Intelligence Advisory Body, which focuses on the risks and opportunities of advanced AI, while Yudkowsky has defended an international policy that leaves the door open to military strikes that might trigger a thermonuclear war. These people helped create a huge, complicated mess, then turned around, pointed at that mess, and shouted: “Oh, my! We’re in such a dire situation! If only governments and politicians would listen to us, though, we just might be able to dodge the bullet of annihilation.”

This looks like a farce. It’s like someone drilling a hole in a boat and then declaring: “The only way to avoid drowning is to make me captain.”

The lesson is that governments and politicians should not be listening to the very people — or the Rationalist and EA movements to which they belong — that are disproportionately responsible for this mess in the first place. One could even argue — plausibly, in my view — that if not for the doomers, there probably wouldn’t be an AGI race right now at all.

Though the race to build AGI does pose many dangers, the greatest underlying danger is the Rationalist and EA movements that spawned this unfortunate situation over the past decade and a half. If we really want to bring the madness of the AGI race to a stop, it’s time to let someone else have the mic.

Iberian lynxes move from endangered to vulnerable thanks to conservation efforts

Viral illnesses don't just hurt their hosts, but sometimes can indirectly devastate other animals. Take for example the the endangered European rabbit (Oryctolagus cuniculus), which is paradoxically invasive in some parts of the world, but is on the verge of extinction in its native Iberian Pennisula. One of the primary drivers killing it is rabbit haemorrhagic disease virus, which can trigger a deadly fever that kills within 36 hours. This is bad news for the rabbits, obviously, but also not great for the animals that depend on it as a food source, such as the Iberian lynx (Lynx pardinus), which is also endangered.

Or it was. A recent report from the International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN) noted a surge in the number of Iberian lynxes. As a result, the organization has reclassified the Iberian lynx, one of the four living species from the genus of medium-sized wild cats known as lynxes, from being "endangered" to the less perilous status of "vulnerable." That means it's a lot less likely to become extinct like the dodo or passenger pigeon.

According to the IUCN, Iberian lynx reintroductions to the wilds of Portugal and Spain have been successful. The lynx population has exploded from a mere 62 mature individuals in 2001 to a whopping 648 mature individuals by 2022. The combined population of young and mature lynx is now more than 2,000, while its range has increased more than sevenfold, to at least 3,320 square kilometers in 2022 from 449 square kilometers in 2005.

The report notes that part of the success here stems from "increasing the abundance of its prey, the endangered European rabbit (Oryctolagus cuniculus), protecting and restoring Mediterranean scrub and forest habitat, and reducing deaths caused by human activity." Though the rabbits are a major factor, of course they aren't the only reason Iberian lynxes have struggled. And while this is a rare success story in conservation, many more species are slipping in the opposite direction, toward what some ecologists describe as a "biological holocaust" thanks to human activity.

But the lynx story does illustrate the importance of considering ecosystems as a whole and not just attempting to protect individual animals, as well as underlining that conservation works when we put effort into it. In other words, letting so many creatures fall into oblivion is a choice and a reversible one at that.

Kristi Noem puts on a brave face while discussing Trump’s VP pick attending the presidential debate

After much anticipation, former President Donald Trump claims he has finally chosen his running mate for the 2024 presidential elections and South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem is putting on a brave face about it, because it ain't her. 

The preemptive GOP nominee told reporters in Philadelphia on Saturday that no one knows his choice for running mate and that, for now, his secret is safely vaulted “inside his own mind,” according to Newsmax.

However, three finalists have risen to the top of his list in recent days:  Ohio Senator J.D Vance, North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum, and Florida Senator Marco Rubio.

After months of legal headaches, choosing the right person to be by his side has become of utmost importance and could potentially sway the presidential race either way. Each option has its notable claims to fame. Vance for example, gained national attention with his bestselling memoir “Hillbilly Elegy.” Burgum, a fellow businessman like Trump, has been a vocal supporter of the former president’s policies and remarks

Rubio, on the other hand, actually ran against Trump in the 2016 Republican primaries — making him the candidate with considerable political experience.  

Understandably, given the competition, it is difficult to land on the shortlist. South Dakota Governor, Kristi Noem is one such GOP member who didn’t make the cut. 

Noem appeared on NBC’s “Meet The Press” Sunday morning, to discuss what she thinks hindered her chances. She certainly doesn’t seem to think the national attention the story of her killing her dog garnered had anything to do with it. 

She claimed that that was simply a story from 20 years ago about protecting her children from “vicious animals,” maintaining that the book is full of “challenging times and hard decisions.”

This is not the only question Noem tried to skillfully avoid. Bringing up a line from her book that was later redacted, guest host Peter Alexander asked, “You wrote about meeting with Kim Jong Un. There's no evidence that meeting happened, so how did it make it into your book?"

Noem said, "I'm not gonna talk about that. I took that line out of my book."

Alexander persisted, "Why was that line ever in your book?"

In her roundabout way, Noem avoided the question and then finally, when asked one last time, the Republican leader said: “I am not going to talk about this.”

What the South Dakota governor was willing to confirm is that she didn’t receive any paperwork to vet her for the VP role. 

“You said that having a woman on the ticket would help Donald Trump win, and he said on this program last year that he liked the concept of running with a woman,” said Alexander, pointing out that three men are currently on the shortlist. “Would Donald Trump be making a mistake if he doesn’t pick a woman as his running mate?”

Noem pivoted the question to compliment Trump, saying that the convicted felon is in a “fantastic position” to win the election no matter who he picks, as long as that person helps him win.

 

 

“When the robots get scary,” AMC’s “Orphan Black: Echoes” asks what makes us human

Orphan Black” began with one of the TV's most memorable opening scenes: Small-time grifter Sarah Manning (Tatiana Maslany) is waiting on a train platform when she notices another woman farther away who looks identical to her. Before she can process this shock the other woman steps in front of an oncoming train. 

From there our heroine dives into a thrilling saga that leads her to discover she is one of many clones. Over its five seasons, the audience gets to know five of them, all played by Maslany, frequently in the same scenes.

Although “Orphan Black: Echoes” picks up the plot in 2050, series creator and showrunner Anna Fishko was determined to differentiate her continuation from the original in a few fundamental ways. 

Firstly, Krysten Ritter’s Lucy is one of a kind, if not necessarily singular. But the mystery she awakens to is no less intriguing than Sarah’s. Lucy has no memory of who she is, only assurances from a kind doctor (Keeley Hawes) that everything is OK. This is a lie, naturally, and soon enough Lucy breaks out from what looks like an apartment to realize she’s been kept in an industrial facility. 

Before she finds her way out, she comes across a machine . . . and is told that’s where she came from. In the original “Orphan Black,” the clones were carried to term by human surrogates. In Fishko’s speculative figure, one that is only a quarter of a century away, our biological copies can be printed. 

“I really just liked this idea of replacement,” Fishko told Salon in a recent Zoom interview,” so really like, ‘Could I replace somebody? Was a one-for-one exchange possible, and in the sense that it would allow me to avoid actual emotional loss?’”

This idea hooks to modern concerns too, specifically conversations related to the possibilities and perils posed by artificial intelligence. With “Echoes,” Fishko wants us to ponder the qualities that not only make us human, but unique and irreplicable.

“I think that how science is slowly and consistently changing our lives and invading our space, is making us think about what makes us human and what's real and what's not real, and what's important to us as a society.” 

Orphan Black: EchoesOrphan Black: Echoes (AMC)

AI asks a lot of those same questions, she points out, citing the conversations related to AI-generated art. That programming can create technically perfect images, but there’s still something missing. “The idea behind a human making something, there's an intention to express something very meaningful and personal,” Fishko said. “AI kind of lacks that intention to express meaning.”

“What makes us who we are? Is it our relationships with other people? Is it our physical bodies?"

Intention and meaning are the core of Lucy’s adventures – we think. Initially, she just wants to be left alone to find her way in the world. But there’s always a shadowy, all-powerful entity behind it all. And Lucy, being a product of technological innovation, is viewed by her maker as property.

Many recognize Ritter as “Jessica Jones,” a Marvel superhero who survived the trauma of being controlled by a malevolent puppeteer. Lucy’s story bears some similarities to Jessica’s but, as Ritter observes in a separate video interview, “She has no backstory, unlike Jessica Jones who is so informed by such a deep well, and such a rich, tragic history. [It] informed everything she did, and informed every step she takes, everything comes out of her mouth.”

She added, “This was an interesting acting challenge, to play somebody who wakes up with no memory and doesn't feel the way she's supposed to feel, doesn't have the memories that she's expected to have, and is completely alone in the world.”

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About that. Don't look for Ritter to play multiple versions of herself any time soon – which, again, is part of Fishko’s determination to stand apart from Graeme Manson and John Fawcett’s creation. 

Production practicality informs part of that decision. All those scenes featuring Maslany playing against herself took a long time to shoot, requiring time to block stand-ins and then time to change costumes and reshoot from the other side.

“AI kind of lacks that intention to express meaning."

Another may be thematic, though. In 2013 “Orphan Black explored matters of biological and reproductive agency. Certainly that’s more relevant now than before, what with the death of Roe v. Wade and state-level bans on long-practiced fertility procedures including in vitro fertilization.

With “Echoes,” Fishko invites us to take a broader view of personhood and questions concerning what it means to be human.  Since surrogacy was part of the cloning process in the first series, there’s less of a question of whether the clones are human beings. Introducing a mechanical element, Fishko said, raises different questions even though the process is entirely organic, or “as much as we could imagine it to be.”

This leads to various hypotheticals to chew on, she says. “Are they not people? Are they? They've been kind of created in this unusual way that we're not used to, and how do we feel about that?” she asks.


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Fishko adds that her two children were conceived using IVF, which is not the way that lots of people have babies. “But there are a lot of different ways in which technology aids in reproducing the species,” she said. “It doesn't seem like this particular one is happening anytime super soon. But it's not that inconceivable in a lot of ways.” 

Additionally, there’s the consideration of how such mechanics would affect the people produced, and how other humans would view them.

Orphan Black: EchoesOrphan Black: Echoes (AMC)

“Lucy even has a line like, ‘I didn't ask for this, I did not ask to be put in the world this way,’” Ritter said. “I think it's pretty f**ked up to be a person just printed from some goo — no history, nothing, no connection to anybody. And I think that's part of Lucy's whole drive is figuring out how to make sense of that.”

Through her, we might also consider questions about how we relate to each other, Fishko offers. “What makes us who we are? Is it our relationships with other people? Is it our physical bodies? Is it our memories?” she ponders. “What is that sort of magic combination of things that that gives us our sense of self and our identity?”

That may be the most important question to wrestle with in a time defined by sharp and dangerous partisan rifts, where much of society interprets people they deem to be separate and perhaps lesser based on external forces. 

When I made that observation to Fishko, she replied, “I think you're right. I think politically, obviously, people tend to find their identity more and more is related to larger groups and political associations.

“But I think that sometimes when the robots get scary,” she added, “it’s helpful to remind [ourselves] to ask the important questions about what we all do have in common as humans.”

"Orphan Black: Echoes" premieres at 10 p.m. Sunday, June 23 on AMC, AMC+ and BBC America. 

What Red Lobster could learn from Olive Garden

In early June, after it was announced that Red Lobster was filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, Public Enemy rapper and television personality Flavor Flav posted a picture of himself at one of the chain’s locations. While wearing dark glasses and his signature clock necklace, he posed with his arms extended (with a cheddar bay biscuit in-hand) over two tables worth of food: hushpuppies, rings of calamari, a few steaks and some solo mounds of mashed potatoes. Amid several plates of lobster claws, there’s one full lobster, alongside a black plastic cup of melted butter, serving as a kind of centerpiece. 

“Ya boy meant it when I said I was gonna do anything and everything to help Red Lobster and save the cheddar bay biscuits,” he wrote on X, formerly Twitter. “[O]rdered the whole menu,!!!” 

The post — which inspired a sizable portion of social media users to reminisce about Flavor Flav’s past experiences at the chain, notably as a date spot on his superbly messy VH1 dating show “Flavor of Love” — quickly became a meme, much in the way Red Lobster’s money-losing endless shrimp promotion did after the restaurant declared bankruptcy. 

The restaurant’s financial situation is pretty complicated; in 2014, the company relinquished many of its real estate assets to finance an earlier owner’s acquisition of the chain, CNN reports, essentially turning the company into a renter, which put them on shaky footing heading into the industry wide tumult of the pandemic. Soon, though, the story quickly sharpened into a tidy punchline: “Red Lobster went bankrupt from giving away too much shrimp.” 

And while, again, that’s a little too simplistic, the reality is that the promotion, which let diners order all-they-can-eat shrimp for $20, didn’t help Red Lobster’s already-tenuous grip on solvency. The chain estimates it lost $11 million in the third quarter of 2023, which means it’s probably safe to categorize the move as a mistake — one that Olive Garden doesn’t plan on making. 

Much like Red Lobster, Olive Garden holds a unique spot in the American chain restaurant landscape. With the average check coming in at around $22 per person, it’s accessible enough for casual diners, but also feels upscale enough for special occasions, like dates, anniversaries and prom night. (Back in high school, I was a hostess at a suburban Chili’s located in the same parking lot as an Olive Garden; their restaurant had six proposals during the time I worked, while we had none.) 

Yet while the entire casual-dining segment has struggled during the pandemic, Olive Garden’s leadership team has made a concerted effort to stay away from some of the discount messaging and promotions towards which their competitors have turned. 

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In September of last year, Fast Company declared that “Olive Garden is having a moment.” That was the same month that Olive Garden’s parent company, Darden, reported an 11% sales increase for its last quarter, with revenue of $2.74 billion, and same-location sales up 5% across all its properties.

“And in its most recent earnings call, Darden executives emphasized that they would avoid discount-focused promotional strategies,” Fast Company’s Rob Walker wrote. “Marketing strategies ‘will not be at a deep discount’ designed to boost foot traffic, CEO Rick Cardenas said on the call, but will balance ‘value’ with ‘profitable growth’ from its customer base. While it brought back those Never Ending Pasta Bowls and other no-limit menu items, initial servings likely satisfy most appetites and serve more to lend a feeling of luxurious indulgence to the proceedings.” 

“Whatever we do is going to elevate brand equity,” Cardenas later said. 

While similar to Red Lobster’s endless shrimp promotion, Olive Garden’s Never Ending Pasta Bowl is different in a few distinct ways. While Red Lobster made their all-you-can eat event a permanent fixture in order to drive traffic, Olive Garden’s came with some stipulations: The promotion lasted only eight weeks (though those with Lifetime Pasta Passes have yearlong access) and includes unlimited breadsticks, salad or soup and pasta for $14.99. Some toppings, like crispy chicken fritta or meatballs, are extra. 

In December, Nation’s Restaurant News reported that Olive Garden’s sales performance was buoyed by the Never Ending Pasta Bowl promotion, which was brought back at the same price point as the year prior. 

“This made it an even stronger value,” Cardenas said in a call. “Guest demand was higher this year.”

Cardenas also noted that the Never Ending Pasta promotion helped drive Olive Garden’s sales past the $5 billion mark on a trailing 52-week basis for the first time in the company’s 41-year history.

Now, Olive Garden has announced it is actually raising its prices slightly — about 3% over the next four quarters “to be more in line with inflation” — and is still eschewing deeper discounts even as data shows casual dining has slowed among lower-income customers. 

“I'm proud of our ability to stay disciplined and control what we can control,” Cardenas said in an earnings call on Thursday.. “This continued focus enabled us to have a strong year in what became an increasingly weaker consumer environment especially for consumers below the median household income.”

Meanwhile, Red Lobster is eying another promotion to try to entice customers back to their remaining locations. The chain has partnered with Flavor Flav to advertise the return of Crab Fest. Starting at $20, guests can try selections like creamy crab carbonara or snow crab-topped steak. “We love seeing our fans show up and rally for us, so when Flavor Flav reached out, we answered the call and invited him to join us in reminding fans we’re here to stay,” Sara Bittorf, Chief Experience Officer at Red Lobster, said in a release

However, the chain seems to have learned a lesson from the endless shrimp debacle — portions for Crab Fest top out at one pound per customer. 

“They want the votes”: Ted Cruz says Democrats are pro-Palestine just for show

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) had a tall order of complaints Sunday morning when he blasted President Biden and Democrats as a whole, accusing them of supporting pro-Palestinian protestors for political gain. 

Cruz joined radio host John Catsimatidis — best known as a grocery store mogul and Republican donor — on “The Cats Roundtable” on WABC 770 AM in an interview anchored in criticisms of the Biden administration and the Democrats’ approach to U.S foreign policy and immigration. 

Specifically, Cruz focused on the pro-Palestine movement’s significance to the Democratic party in the presidential elections. “They’re having pro-Hamas rallies, and the Democrat Party is paralyzed because they want the votes,” he told Catsimatidis.

His accusations didn’t stop there, as he went on to call out the criminal justice system and school administrators for being too lenient towards student protesters who participated in pro-Palestine encampments and demonstrations on college campuses across the country.

He alleged that these students are being funded by “people directly affiliated with Hamas,” and claimed that the Justice Department is too “politicized” to investigate.

“If anyone threatens another student — and we’re seeing Jewish students threatened at universities across the country — here’s what should happen: You threaten another student, you should be arrested," Cruz said. "You should be prosecuted. You should be expelled.”

The senator’s remarks come mere days after 31 of 46 college students who were arrested for allegedly participating in the occupation of Columbia University’s Hamilton had charges dropped by the Manhattan district attorney’s office due to lack of evidence and criminal history, the Hill reported.

 

 

Biden campaign details pre-debate plan of attack

The Biden campaign and its allies have a plan for the first scheduled debate against Donald Trump — set for Thursday, June 27 at 9 pm EST. Along with running a new slate of TV and digital advertisements which they called “one of the first moments … where a larger slice of the American electorate” will tune into the campaign, they will also hold 1,600 events, according to a new memo first obtained by NBC News.

In an effort to mobilize surrogates, events will target voter groups the campaign views as important to its alliance. This includes college students, members of the LGBTQ community, and 300 debate night watch parties. Some of these watch parties will be hosted by social media content creators whom the campaign will grant special access to a place usually reserved for credentialed media, the post-debate spin room. 

Per NBC News' reporting, Biden is spending several days at Camp David preparing for Thursday’s debate, including going toe-to-toe with his personal lawyer Bob Bauer, who is role-playing as Trump. The Biden campaign highlights a few key issues they are focusing on where Trump “continues to pose the most extreme threat,” such as the economy, attacks on democracy and abortion rights.

The Biden campaign’s goal is to emphasize the debate as “two distinct visions for the future,” to further widen the sea of differences between the candidates. 

It will all start on Monday — the second anniversary of the Supreme Court decision to overturn Roe v. Wade — when the campaign and its allies will host 16 events across a dozen states, including Maryland and Arizona, which will feature Vice President Kamala Harris. 

At this first debate, voters will see “President Biden, who is fighting for the American people, and Donald Trump, who will walk on stage as a convicted felon fighting for himself no matter how much harm he inflicts on the American people,” said Biden campaign spokesman Michael Tyler in the memo. 

The delusion of advanced plastic recycling using pyrolysis

Last year, I became obsessed with a plastic cup.

It was a small container that held diced fruit, the type thrown into lunch boxes. And it was the first product I’d seen born of what’s being touted as a cure for a crisis.

Plastic doesn’t break down in nature. If you turned all of what’s been made into cling wrap, it would cover every inch of the globe. It’s piling up, leaching into our water and poisoning our bodies.

Scientists say the key to fixing this is to make less of it; the world churns out 430 million metric tons each year.

But businesses that rely on plastic production, like fossil fuel and chemical companies, have worked since the 1980s to spin the pollution as a failure of waste management — one that can be solved with recycling.

Industry leaders knew then what we know now: Traditional recycling would barely put a dent in the trash heap. It’s hard to transform flimsy candy wrappers into sandwich bags, or to make containers that once held motor oil clean enough for milk.

Now, the industry is heralding nothing short of a miracle: an “advanced”type of recycling known as pyrolysis — “pyro” means fire and “lysis” means separation. It uses heat to break plastic all the way down to its molecular building blocks.

While old-school, “mechanical” recycling yields plastic that’s degraded or contaminated, this type of “chemical” recycling promises plastic that behaves like it’s new, and could usher in what the industry casts as a green revolution: Not only would it save hard-to-recycle plastics like frozen food wrappers from the dumpster, but it would turn them into new products that can replace the old ones and be chemically recycled again and again.

So when three companies used ExxonMobil’s pyrolysis-based technology to successfully conjure up that fruit cup, they announced it to the world.

“This is a significant milestone,” said Printpack, which turned the plastic into cups. The fruit supplier Pacific Coast Producers called it “the most important initiative a consumer-packaged goods company can pursue.”

“ExxonMobil is supporting the circularity of plastics,” the August 2023 news release said, citing a buzzword that implies an infinite loop of using, recycling and reusing.

They were so proud, I hoped they would tell me all about how they made the cup, how many of them existed and where I could buy one.

Let’s take a closer look at that Printpack press release, which uses convoluted terms to describe the recycled plastic in that fruit cup:

“30% ISCC PLUS certified-circular”

“mass balance free attribution”

It’s easy to conclude the cup was made with 30% recycled plastic — until you break down the numerical sleight of hand that props up that number.

It took interviews with a dozen academics, consultants, environmentalists and engineers to help me do just that.

Stick with me as I unravel it all.

So began my long — and, well, circular — pursuit of the truth at a time when it really matters.

This year, nearly all of the world’s countries are hammering out a United Nations treaty to deal with the plastic crisis. As they consider limiting production, the industry is making a hard push to shift the conversation to the wonders of chemical recycling. It’s also buying ads during cable news shows as U.S. states consider laws to limit plastic packaging and lobbying federal agencies to loosen the very definition of what it means to recycle.

It’s “very, very, very, very difficult” to break down plastic that way.

It’s been selling governments on chemical recycling, with quite a bit of success. American and European regulatorshave spent tens of millions subsidizing pyrolysis facilities. Half of all U.S. states have eased air pollution rules for the process, which has been found to release carcinogens like benzene and dioxins and give off more greenhouse gases than making plastic from crude oil.

Given the high stakes of this moment, I set out to understand exactly what the world is getting out of this recycling technology. For months, I tracked press releases, interviewed experts, tried to buy plastic made via pyrolysis and learned more than I ever wanted to know about the science of recycled molecules.

Under all the math and engineering, I found an inconvenient truth: Not much is being recycled at all, nor is pyrolysis capable of curbing the plastic crisis.

Not now. Maybe not ever.

In traditional recycling, plastic is turned into tiny pellets or flakes, which you can melt again and mold back into recycled plastic products.

Even in a real-life scenario, where bottles have labels and a little bit of juice left in them, most of the plastic products that go into the process find new life.

The numbers are much lower for pyrolysis.

It’s “very, very, very, very difficult” to break down plastic that way, said Steve Jenkins, vice president of chemicals consulting at Wood Mackenzie, an energy and resources analytics firm. “The laws of nature and the laws of physics are trying to stop you.”

Waste is heated until it turns into oil. Part of that oil is composed of a liquid called naphtha, which is essential for making plastic.

There are two ingredients in the naphtha that recyclers want to isolate: propylene and ethylene — gases that can be turned into solid plastics.

To split the naphtha into different chemicals, it’s fed into a machine called a steam cracker. Less than half of what it spits out becomes propylene and ethylene.

This means that if a pyrolysis operator started with 100 pounds of plastic waste, it can expect to end up with 15-20 pounds of reusable plastic. Experts told me the process can yield less if the plastic used is dirty or more if the technology is particularly advanced.

I reached out to several companies to ask how much new plastic their processes actually yield, and none provided numbers. The American Chemistry Council, the nation’s largest plastic lobby, told me that because so many factors impact a company’s yield, it’s impossible to estimate that number for the entire industry.

With mechanical recycling, it’s hard to make plastic that’s 100% recycled; it’s expensive to do, and the process degrades plastic. Recycled pellets are often combined with new pellets to make stuff that’s 25% or 50% recycled, for example.

But far less recycled plastic winds up in products made through pyrolysis.

That’s because the naphtha created using recycled plastic is contaminated. Manufacturers add all kinds of chemicals to make products bend or keep them from degrading in the sun.

Recyclers can overpower them by heavily diluting the recycled naphtha. With what, you ask? Nonrecycled naphtha made from ordinary crude oil!

This is the quiet — and convenient — part of the industry’s revolutionary pyrolysis method: It relies heavily on extracting fossil fuels. At least 90% of the naphtha used in pyrolysis is fossil fuel naphtha. Only then can it be poured into the steam cracker to separate the chemicals that make plastic.

So at the end of the day, nothing that comes out of pyrolysis physically contains more than 10% recycled material (though experts and studies have shown that, in practice, it’s more like 5% or 2%).

Ten percent doesn’t look very impressive. Some consumers are willing to pay a premium for sustainability, so companies use a form of accounting called mass balance to inflate the recycled-ness of their products. It’s not unlike offset schemes I’ve uncovered that absolve refineries of their carbon emissions and enable mining companies to kill chimpanzees. Industry-affiliated groups like the International Sustainability and Carbon Certification write the rules. (ISCC didn’t respond to requests for comment.)

Legislation in the European Union already forbids free attribution, and leaders are debating whether to allow other forms of mass balance.

To see how this works, let’s take a look at what might happen to a batch of recycled naphtha. Let’s say the steam cracker splits the batch into 100 pounds of assorted ingredients.

There are many flavors of this kind of accounting. Another version of free attribution would allow the company to take that entire 30-pound batch of “33% recycled” pouches and split them even further:

A third of them, 10 pounds, could be labeled 100% recycled — shifting the value of the full batch onto them — so long as the remaining 20 pounds aren’t labeled as recycled at all.

As long as you avoid double counting, Jenkins told me, you can attribute the full value of recycled naphtha to the products that will make the most money. Companies need that financial incentive to recoup the costs of pyrolysis, he said.

But it’s hard to argue that this type of marketing is transparent. Consumers aren’t going to parse through the caveats of a 33% recycled claim or understand how the green technology they’re being sold perpetuates the fossil fuel industry. I posed the critiques to the industry, including environmentalists’ accusations that mass balance is just a fancy way of greenwashing.

The American Chemistry Council told me it’s impossible to know whether a particular ethylene molecule comes from pyrolysis naphtha or fossil fuel naphtha; the compounds produced are “fungible” and can be used for multiple products, like making rubber, solvents and paints that would reduce the amount of new fossil fuels needed. Its statement called mass balance a “well-known methodology” that’s been used by other industries including fair trade coffee, chocolate and renewable energy.

Legislation in the European Union already forbids free attribution, and leaders are debating whether to allow other forms of mass balance. U.S. regulation is far behind that, but as the Federal Trade Commission revises its general guidelines for green marketing, the industry is arguing that mass balance is crucial to the future of advanced recycling. “The science of advanced recycling simply does not support any other approach because the ability to track individual molecules does not readily exist,” said a comment from ExxonMobil.

If you think navigating the ins and outs of pyrolysis is hard, try getting your hands on actual plastic made through it.

It’s not as easy as going to the grocery store. Those water bottles you might see with 100% recycled claims are almost certainly made through traditional recycling. The biggest giveaway is that the labels don’t contain the asterisks or fine print typical of products made through pyrolysis, like “mass balance,” “circular” or “certified.”

When I asked about the fruit cup, ExxonMobil directed me to its partners. Printpack didn’t respond to my inquiries. Pacific Coast Producers told me it was “engaged in a small pilot pack of plastic bowls that contain post-consumer content with materials certified” by third parties, and that it “has made no label claims regarding these cups and is evaluating their use.”

I pressed the American Chemistry Council for other examples.

“Chemical recycling is a proven technology that is already manufacturing products, conserving natural resources, and offering the potential to dramatically improve recycling rates,” said Matthew Kastner, a media relations director. His colleague added that much of the plastic made via pyrolysis is “being used for food- and medical-grade packaging, oftentimes not branded.”

They provided links to products including a Chevron Phillips Chemical announcement about bringing recycled plastic food wrapping to retail stores.

“For competitive reasons,” a Chevron spokesperson declined to discuss brand names, the product’s availability or the amount produced.

In another case, a grocery store chain sold chicken wrapped in plastic made by ExxonMobil’s pyrolysis process. The producers told me they were part of a small project that’s now discontinued.

In the end, I ran down half a dozen claims about products that came out of pyrolysis; each either existed in limited quantities or had its recycled-ness obscured with mass balance caveats.

Then this April, nearly eight months after I’d begun my pursuit, I could barely contain myself when I got my hands on an actual product.

I was at a United Nations treaty negotiation in Ottawa, Ontario, and an industry group had set up a nearby showcase. On display was a case of Heinz baked beans, packaged in “39% recycled plastic*.” (The asterisk took me down an online rabbit hole about certification and circularity. Heinz didn’t respond to my questions.)

This, too, was part of an old trial. The beans were expired.

Pyrolysis is a “fairy tale,” I heard from Neil Tangri, the science and policy director at the environmental justice network Global Alliance for Incinerator Alternatives. He said he’s been hearing pyrolysis claims since the ’90s but has yet to see proof it works as promised.

“If anyone has cracked the code for a large-scale, efficient and profitable way to turn plastic into plastic,” he said, “every reporter in the world” would get a tour.

If I did get a tour, I wondered, would I even see all of that stubborn, dirty plastic they were supposedly recycling?

The industry’s marketing implied we could soon toss sandwich bags and string cheese wrappers into curbside recycling bins, where they would be diverted to pyrolysis plants. But I grew skeptical as I watched a webinar for ExxonMobil’s pyrolysis-based technology, the kind used to make the fruit cup. The company showed photos of plastic packaging and oil field equipment as examples of its starting material but then mentioned something that made me sit up straight: It was using pre-consumer plastic to “give consistency” to the waste stream.

Chemical plants need consistency, so it’s easier to use plastic that hasn’t been gunked up by consumer use, Jenkins explained.

But plastic waste that had never been touched by consumers, such as industrial scrap found at the edges of factory molds, could easily be recycled the old-fashioned way. Didn’t that negate the need for this more polluting, less efficient process?

I asked ExxonMobil how much post-consumer plastic it was actually using. Catie Tuley, a media relations adviser, said it depends on what’s available. “At the end of the day, advanced recycling allows us to divert plastic waste from landfills and give new life to plastic waste.”

I posed the same question to several other operators. A company in Europe told me it uses “mixed post-consumer, flexible plastic waste” and does not recycle pre-consumer waste.

But this spring at an environmental journalism conference, an American Chemistry Council executive confirmed the industry’s preference for clean plastic as he talked about an Atlanta-based company and its pyrolysis process. My colleague Sharon Lerner asked whether it was sourcing curbside-recycled plastic for pyrolysis.

If Nexus Circular had a “magic wand,” it would, he acknowledged, but right now that kind of waste “isn’t good enough.” He added, “It’s got tomatoes in it.”

(Nexus later confirmed that most of the plastic it used was pre-consumer and about a third was post-consumer, including motor oil containers sourced from car repair shops and bags dropped off at special recycling centers.)

Clean, well-sorted plastic is a valuable commodity. If the chemical recycling industry grows, experts told me, those companies could end up competing with the far more efficient traditional recycling.

To spur that growth, the American Chemistry Council is lobbying for mandates that would require more recycled plastic in packaging; it wants to make sure that chemically recycled plastic counts. “This would create market-driven demand signals,” Kastner told me, and ease the way for large-scale investment in new chemical recycling plants.

I asked Jenkins, the energy industry analyst, to play out this scenario on a larger scale.

Were all of these projects adding up? Could the industry conceivably make enough propylene and ethylene through pyrolysis to replace much of our demand for new plastic?

He looked three years into the future, using his company’s latest figures on global pyrolysis investment, and gave an optimistic assessment.

At best, the world could replace 0.2% of new plastic churned out in a year with products made through pyrolysis.

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The hidden key to healthy aging that we don’t tell women about: financial security

"Look, we're all aging," Maddy Dychtwald tells me. "That's a process that starts in the womb, and goes all the way to the day you die."

The 74 year-old co-founder of the consulting organization Age Wave and author (with Kate Hanley) of “Ageless Aging: A Woman's Guide to Increasing Healthspan, Brainspan, and Lifespan” knows that’s a reality our culture has difficulty reckoning with. She admits she was advised not to put the word “aging” in the title of her book, “because people don't like it.” But that was what drew me to it — that it wasn’t yet another guide to “anti-aging” or “fighting aging.” Yet what really piqued my interest was the Dychtwald’s frank, pragmatic inclusion of financial planning in her guidance. 

A 2017 Groupon survey found that women spend up to $313 a month on their appearance — a habit that can cost $225,000 over an adult lifetime. And as someone who colors her hair and uses vitamin C serum, no judgment. But if we’re giving more of our paychecks to Sephora than our own savings and investments, it’s going to be a whole lot more challenging to keep feeling good in a few decades, when the doctor bills and prescriptions are adding up.

In acknowledging that while health is wealth, wealth is also health, Dychtwald gives realistic context to her other insights about fitness, food and connection. “When you have your financial house in order, it impacts your health in so many positive ways,” she writes.

I talked to Dychtwald recently about what women need to know about growing older as well as possible — and realistically, how much longer I keep eating cheese and bread.

This conversation has been edited and condensed for clarity.

You say early on in the book that men die quicker and get sicker than women. What does that mean, in terms of how we need to be thinking strategically as we enter these next phases of our lives?

The good news is that we women have won the longevity lottery. We live an average of six years longer than men. But there is a dark side. The dark side is that our healthspans and our brainspans both don't match our lifespans as well as men’s do. The average woman spends somewhere between 12 and 14 years in a cascade of poor health at the end of her life. Who wants to live like that? That's the reality, but there's more to the reality. We have the power, we have the agency to change it. The most recent science tells us that up to 90% of our health and well-being is literally within our control. It has to do with our lifestyle, and our environment. 

If you were to pick three things that would make the biggest difference, first, make sure you don't get diabetes. Of course, you have no control over type 1, but certainly type 2 diabetes and what many people call type 3 diabetes, which is cognitive decline. You want to do everything you can to avoid that. Believe it or not, getting taking alcohol out of your life would be a very positive step, because it has a negative effect on our brain cells in particular, which of course, we women ought to be really concerned about because we're twice as likely to get Alzheimer's disease. That's a really scary statistic. The third has to do with our environment, using great air for indoor air filters, especially in your bedroom. I was really surprised by that one. 

By the time things are starting to hurt, damage has been done. Patterns have been established; habits have been embedded. How much of that is reversible? We want to feel like it's never too late. But how much longer can I keep eating bread? How much longer can I have that glass of wine? 

You're asking a good question, and you're going to hate my answer. Because my answer is, it really depends. It depends on where your bar is, for one thing, and what you're trying to achieve for another. 

One of the researchers I interviewed, who is focused on Alzheimer's disease in France, said, “We believe in having a glass of wine with dinner, and it brings us a certain amount of joy. Let's not forget that joy really works in our epigenome as much as anything.” I do agree with that point of view.

So if you're out celebrating, have that glass of wine, absolutely do it. But keep in mind that drinking it every night is probably not what you want to do. If you're like going out and partying and having margaritas and three glasses of wine, that's probably not going to help your brain health, or your physical health. I'm not saying "moderation," because that's such a funky word. What I am saying is what I've adopted in my own life. I used to love having my glass of wine at the end of the day. It was a way of relaxing, and enjoying a few minutes with either friends or my husband. I've limited it to once a week. Now I find that it doesn't have the negative effects that it used to have on me, and you know what, it tastes better to me, too.

You talk about this idea of the different types of aging — biological, chronological, psychological. How do we own all three ages to maximize being our best selves?

"This is what 74 looks like. It's the good, the bad and the ugly."

Let's talk about all three. First there’s chronological aging, the number of birthdays you have. Own it. Younger people who, by the way, are more frightened about aging than older people are, need to see a good role model for them. We need to say, “Yeah, this is what 74 looks like. It's the good, the bad and the ugly. I may look like this on the outside, but who knows what I am on the inside?” 

Then there is the psychological or emotional aging. That's the positive side of aging. We know from studies that we've done at Age Wave and that have been done at Stanford, that wisdom, resilience, happiness, these actually increase with age, and our levels of anxiety actually go down, which is relatively amazing.

Then there's the biologic aging, and that's our physiologic makeup. There are things we can do about the cascade of potentially negative things as we get older — the aches and pains, or maybe we have a chronic condition like diabetes. We have this long life in front of us, and we want to make the most of it. We want to avoid the bad and embrace the good. I felt like I was able to reverse things by embracing a different diet, by changing my exercise a little bit. I adopted some affirmations, which I know, sounds really woo woo. I embraced it and I swear to God, it made a huge difference. 

It's not just about exercise or diet or sleep, although those are essential pieces of the puzzle. But it's also about community. It's also about purpose, and our positive attitudes, and even our finances,. These things all work together to try to help us live better, longer. The good news, which I think could really help women, is that there are a lot of different levers we can pull, especially to get started. 

The financial aspect drew me to this book. When we talk about women's health outcomes, one of the things that we're not always factoring is that we earn less money, we have less money. We may be spending our later years taking care of our aging parents and aging spouses, experiencing high levels of stress and lower economic stability. We're experiencing the financial precarity of widowhood. These things are a key to our health outcomes that can feel overwhelming and scary. What do we need to know about the correlation between our financial health and our longevity? 

I think we need to go back to the word wealth, because it's got a bad rap. People think of it and they think of entitlement, but the word wealth is really from the word for well-being. We need to think about our financial well-being as part of our overall well-being. 

If you're worried about money and you have chronic stress going on, that creates higher levels of cortisol. We know that can manifest as disease and often does. Then you're finding yourself with maybe diabetes, maybe it's the aches and pains of arthritis, and having to access the healthcare system. There's this misconception that if I'm on Medicare, everything's taken care of. Most of us are beginning to recognize the fact that that just isn't the case at all, not one bit.


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And the cost of health care for women is far higher than it is for men in retirement. That just adds to the challenge, let alone the fact that women are doing 80% of all caregiving activities, whether it be for children, a spouse, partner, parents, or even grandparents — and we're also often the ones who are digging into our own pockets to pay for it. 

Not only are we doing that, but we oftentimes retire earlier, so that we can take care of a spouse, partner or parent. Certainly we take time out of the workforce to care for our children. We miss out on promotions, we miss out on salary increases, we miss out on our Social Security going up, 401k going up. It's a conversation that women need to be having with each other and, if they're married or in a partnership, their partners.

One of the studies we did at Age Wave found that women were more comfortable talking about their own death than talking about money. We don't talk about how much we make. We don't talk about how we invest our money. We don't talk about that financial advisor that we love or hate. These are not things that we have conversations about, and we need to we need to open up that door. I feel very strongly about this.

The wealth gap in this country is getting bigger and bigger and bigger, and a certain level of financial affluence is not accessible to most of us. But we need to connect the dots. I can do yoga every morning, and I can meditate every night, and if I am not planning for my financial future to whatever extent is possible, given my income, then I'm still going to be out of luck. 

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The stress that it causes is just amazingly outrageous. Frankly we women have some barriers to overcome that are just built into the system. It's very unfortunate, but it's also very true. If a man and a woman have the same job, but have a pay gap, and they go into the workforce at the same moment and they leave say moment, don't take out time to do any kind of caregiving, it can be over half a million dollars of difference. Now, that's a significant number. 

That's the years of your retirement. That’s years of your elder care. So how do we incorporate these changes in a way that feels good? That hump of learning adaptability creating good habits is hard. And it's hard when we're in the middle of caring for our older parents, trying to hang on to our jobs, facing ageism all around us. 

There's this intention action gap that exists. We kind of know some of the right things to do, but not all of them. I think that we need to try to begin by adding in things that bring us joy. For example, sleep is not my superpower, although I've gotten much better at it lately. The first thing that I tried was to recognize the fact that what I did in the morning was as important in my sleep as what I did at night. So how hard is it to face the sun first thing in the morning?

You don't even have to go outside, just raise your shades. And as silly as it may sound, it made me sleep better. And by sleeping better, I felt like I had more energy during the day, and I was happy to first get together with friends and maybe even go for a hike with them, which was fantastic. What I found was there was a cascading positive effect. I think we need to count on our bodies and our minds being in sync to our joy. 

No debate: RFK Jr. is a threat to democracy

More than a year ago, as leading voices on opposite ends of the Democratic spectrum, we sounded the alarm that third-party candidates could once again hand the White House to Republicans. The candidacies of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Jill Stein have made that threat more real now than ever before.

Trump has attempted to muddy the waters by characterizing RFK Jr. as a “Democrat plant” and “a radical left liberal.” No one should be fooled by this desperate attempt to define RFK Jr. as a liberal, or even a Democrat. His policy stances read more like a resume to be Trump’s running mate. He and third-party candidate, Jill Stein, are parroting views right out of the MAGA/Vladimir Putin playbook and yet, perhaps counterintuitively, they risk dividing the anti-Trump coalition and putting a convicted felon back in power.

Neither third-party candidate has any chance of winning the presidency. But, for a moment, let’s put aside their lack of a path to 270 electoral votes and talk about their agendas. 

RFK Jr. came to national prominence as a conspiracy monger and anti-vaxxer. Since then, he sounded even more like a MAGA radical: he has argued for a 15-week national abortion ban, declared that the government can do nothing to restrict gun violence, said climate change is a “pretext for clamping down totalitarian controls,” and proclaimed that Biden is a greater threat to U.S. democracy than Trump. He also released a YouTube video on the Ukraine war riddled with so much Russian propaganda and misinformation it took one journalist almost 3,000 words of analysis to correct the record.

Stein has echoed similar MAGA sentiments, also arguing that the U.S. is at fault for Putin’s war. She has a long history of touting Russian propaganda, and after dining in Moscow with Putin and Trump aide Michael Flynn, she received help from Russian election-meddlers during her 2016 run. 

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It’s no coincidence that this time, Stein has directed her attacks exclusively at Democrats and Biden –– not Trump. She has lied about Biden’s climate laws, lied about his expansion of the Affordable Care Act, lied about his immigration policy, and accused Democrats of being fascists posing a threat to democracy

These are not the views of “radical left liberals.” Indeed, they are antithetical to Democratic values –– and the MAGA elite know it. Beyond a long list of MAGA endorsements, there are some eye-popping donations from Trump allies to these supposedly independent candidates. RFK Jr.’s super PAC, “American Values” 2024, got $25 million from Timothy Mellon, a MAGA financier who has also donated tens of millions to Trump. 

There is a reason MAGA donors see bankrolling third-party candidates as money well spent: they know a strong third-party showing –– even from those spouting MAGA rhetoric –– is going to help Trump and hurt Biden.

Biden won previous third-party voters by 30 points in 2020. Young voters, moderates, and independents –– all top targets for the Stein and RFK Jr. campaigns –– backed Biden by double digits last cycle. Recent polling shows that a multi-candidate race this cycle could siphon off those exact voters. The national polls tracking Stein and RFK Jr.’s on their impact on the race remain fluid, but simple math shows that if a tiny percentage of these voters in the swing states back RFK Jr. and Stein this November, they could tip several battlegrounds from Biden back to Trump.

Simply put: There will be no President Kennedy or President Stein. But third-party candidates could determine who holds the White House. That happened in 2000 and in 2016, and the data and evidence suggest it could happen again in 2024. 

MoveOn and Third Way represent different views about the future of the Democratic Party, but we share a common goal: protecting our democracy and fundamental freedoms by ensuring Donald Trump is defeated.

Democrats failed to take the third party threat seriously in 2000 and 2016, and they cannot make the same mistake again in 2024. RFK Jr. and Stein are on the Red Team, and a vote for either could help Trump retake power and destroy our most sacred institutions. We have to sound the alarm now.