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Samuel Alito took luxury fishing vacation with GOP billionaire who later had cases before the court

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In early July 2008, Samuel Alito stood on a riverbank in a remote corner of Alaska. The Supreme Court justice was on vacation at a luxury fishing lodge that charged more than $1,000 a day, and after catching a king salmon nearly the size of his leg, Alito posed for a picture. To his left, a man stood beaming: Paul Singer, a hedge fund billionaire who has repeatedly asked the Supreme Court to rule in his favor in high-stakes business disputes.

Singer was more than a fellow angler. He flew Alito to Alaska on a private jet. If the justice chartered the plane himself, the cost could have exceeded $100,000 one way.

In the years that followed, Singer’s hedge fund came before the court at least 10 times in cases where his role was often covered by the legal press and mainstream media. In 2014, the court agreed to resolve a key issue in a decade-long battle between Singer’s hedge fund and the nation of Argentina. Alito did not recuse himself from the case and voted with the 7-1 majority in Singer’s favor. The hedge fund was ultimately paid $2.4 billion.

Alito did not report the 2008 fishing trip on his annual financial disclosures. By failing to disclose the private jet flight Singer provided, Alito appears to have violated a federal law that requires justices to disclose most gifts, according to ethics law experts.

Experts said they could not identify an instance of a justice ruling on a case after receiving an expensive gift paid for by one of the parties.

“If you were good friends, what were you doing ruling on his case?” said Charles Geyh, an Indiana University law professor and leading expert on recusals. “And if you weren’t good friends, what were you doing accepting this?” referring to the flight on the private jet.

Justices are almost entirely left to police themselves on ethical issues, with few restrictions on what gifts they can accept. When a potential conflict arises, the sole arbiter of whether a justice should step away from a case is the justice him or herself.

ProPublica’s investigation sheds new light on how luxury travel has given prominent political donors — including one who has had cases before the Supreme Court — intimate access to the most powerful judges in the country. Another wealthy businessman provided expensive vacations to two members of the high court, ProPublica found. On his Alaska trip, Alito stayed at a commercial fishing lodge owned by this businessman, who was also a major conservative donor. Three years before, that same businessman flew Justice Antonin Scalia, who died in 2016, on a private jet to Alaska and paid the bill for his stay.

Such trips would be unheard of for the vast majority of federal workers, who are generally barred from taking even modest gifts.

Leonard Leo, the longtime leader of the conservative Federalist Society, attended and helped organize the Alaska fishing vacation. Leo invited Singer to join, according to a person familiar with the trip, and asked Singer if he and Alito could fly on the billionaire’s jet. Leo had recently played an important role in the justice’s confirmation to the court. Singer and the lodge owner were both major donors to Leo’s political groups.

ProPublica’s examination of Alito’s and Scalia’s travel drew on trip planning emails, Alaska fishing licenses, and interviews with dozens of people including private jet pilots, fishing guides, former high-level employees of both Singer and the lodge owner, and other guests on the trips.

ProPublica sent Alito a list of detailed questions last week, and on Tuesday, the Supreme Court’s head spokeswoman told ProPublica that Alito would not be commenting. Several hours later, The Wall Street Journal published an op-ed by Alito responding to ProPublica’s questions about the trip.

Alito said that when Singer’s companies came before the court, the justice was unaware of the billionaire’s connection to the cases. He said he recalled speaking to Singer on “no more than a handful of occasions,” and they never discussed Singer’s business or issues before the court.

Alito said that he was invited to fly on Singer’s plane shortly before the trip and that the seat “​​would have otherwise been vacant.” He defended his failure to report the trip to the public, writing that justices “commonly interpreted” the disclosure requirements to not include “accommodations and transportation for social events.”

In a statement, a spokesperson for Singer told ProPublica that Singer didn’t organize the trip and that he wasn’t aware Alito would be attending when he accepted the invitation. Singer “never discussed his business interests” with the justice, the spokesperson said, adding that at the time of trip, neither Singer nor his companies had “any pending matters before the Supreme Court, nor could Mr. Singer have anticipated in 2008 that a subsequent matter would arise that would merit Supreme Court review.”

Leo did not respond to questions about his organizing the trip but said in a statement that he “would never presume to tell” Alito and Scalia “what to do.”

This spring, ProPublica reported that Justice Clarence Thomas received decades of luxury travel from another Republican megadonor, Dallas real estate magnate Harlan Crow. In a statement, Thomas defended the undisclosed trips, saying unnamed colleagues advised him that he didn’t need to report such gifts to the public. Crow also gave Thomas money in an undisclosed real estate deal and paid private school tuition for his grandnephew, who Thomas was raising as a son. Thomas reported neither transaction on his disclosure forms.

The undisclosed gifts have prompted lawmakers to launch investigations and call for ethics reform. Recent bills would impose tighter rules for justices’ recusals, require the Supreme Court to adopt a binding code of conduct and create an ethics body, which would investigate complaints. Neither a code nor an ethics office currently exists.

“We wouldn’t tolerate this from a city council member or an alderman,” Sen. Dick Durbin, an Illinois Democrat and chair of the Senate Judiciary Committee, said of Thomas in a recent hearing. “And yet the Supreme Court won’t even acknowledge it’s a problem.”

So far, the court has chafed at the prospect of such reforms. Though the court recently laid out its ethics practices in a statement signed by all nine justices, Chief Justice John Roberts has not directly addressed the recent revelations. In fact, he has repeatedly suggested Congress might not have the power to regulate the court at all.

“We Take Good Care of Him Because He Makes All the Rules”

In the 1960s in his first year at Harvard Law School, Singer was listening to a lecture by a famed liberal professor when, he later recalled, he had an epiphany: “My goodness. They’re making it up as they go along.”

It was a common sentiment among conservative lawyers, who often accuse liberal judges of activist overreach. While Singer’s career as an attorney was short-lived, his convictions about the law stayed with him for decades. After starting a hedge fund that eventually made him one of the richest people in the country, he began directing huge sums to causes on the right. That included groups, like the Federalist Society, dedicated to fostering the conservative legal movement and putting its followers on the bench.

Other guests on the trip included Leo, the Federalist Society leader, and Judge A. Raymond Randolph, a prominent conservative appellate judge for whom Leo had clerked, according to fishing licenses and interviews with lodge staff.

On another day, the group flew on one of the lodge’s bush planes to a waterfall in Katmai National Park, where bears snatch salmon from the water with their teeth. At night, the lodge’s chefs served multicourse meals of Alaskan king crab legs or Kobe filet. On the last evening, a member of Alito’s group bragged that the wine they were drinking cost $1,000 a bottle, one of the lodge’s fishing guides told ProPublica.

In his op-ed, Alito described the lodge as a “comfortable but rustic facility.” The justice said he does not remember if he was served wine, but if he was, it didn’t cost $1,000 a bottle. (Alito also pointed readers to the lodge’s website. The lodge has been sold since 2008 and is now a more downscale accommodation.)

The justice’s stay was provided free of charge by another major donor to the conservative legal movement: Robin Arkley II, the owner of a mortgage company then based in California. Arkley had recently acquired the fishing lodge, which catered to affluent tourists seeking a luxury experience in the Alaskan wilderness. A planning document prepared by lodge staff describes Alito as a guest of Arkley. Another guest on the trip told ProPublica the trip was a gift from Arkley, and two lodge employees said they were told that Alito wasn’t paying.

Arkley, who does not appear to have been involved in any cases before the court, did not respond to detailed questions for this story.

In the last decade, Singer has contributed over $80 million to Republican political groups. He has also given millions to the Manhattan Institute, a conservative think tank where he has served as chairman since 2008. The institute regularly files friend-of-the-court briefs with the Supreme Court — at least 15 this term, including one asking the court to block student loan relief.

Singer’s interest in the courts is more than ideological. His hedge fund, Elliott Management, is best known for making investments that promise handsome returns but could require bruising legal battles. Singer has said he’s drawn to positions where you “control your own destiny, not just riding up and down with the waves of financial markets.” That can mean pressuring corporate boards to fire a CEO, brawling with creditors over the remains of a bankrupt company and suing opponents.

The fund now manages more than $50 billion in assets. “The investments are extremely shrewdly litigation-driven,” a person familiar with Singer’s fund told ProPublica. “That’s why he’s a billionaire.”

Singer’s most famous gamble eventually made its way to the Supreme Court.

In 2001, Argentina was in a devastating economic depression. Unemployment skyrocketed and deadly riots broke out in the street. The day after Christmas, the government finally went into default. For Singer, the crisis was an opportunity. As other investors fled, his fund purchased Argentine government debt at a steep discount.

Within several years, as the Argentine economy recovered, most creditors settled with the government and accepted a fraction of what the debt was originally worth. But Singer’s fund, an arm of Elliott called NML Capital, held out. Soon, they were at war: a midtown Manhattan-based hedge fund trying to impose its will on a sovereign nation thousands of miles away.

The fight played out on familiar turf for Singer: the U.S. courts. He launched an aggressive legal campaign to force Argentina to pay in full, and his personal involvement in the case attracted widespreadmediaattention. Over 13 years of litigation, the arguments spanned what rights foreign governments have in the U.S. and whether Argentina could pay off debts to others before Singer settled his claim.

If Singer succeeded, he stood to make a fortune.

In 2007, for the first but not the last time, Singer’s fund asked the Supreme Court to intervene. A lower court had stopped Singer and another fund from seizing Argentine central bank funds held in the U.S. The investors appealed, but that October, the Supreme Court declined to take up the case.

On July 8 of the following year, Singer took Alito to Alaska on the private jet, according to emails, flight data from the Federal Aviation Administration and people familiar with the trip.

The group flew across the country to the town of King Salmon on the Alaska peninsula. They returned to the East Coast three days later.

In Alaska, they stayed at the King Salmon Lodge, a luxury fishing resort that drew celebrities, wealthy businessmen and sports stars. On July 9, one of the lodge’s pilots flew Alito and other guests around 70 miles to the west to fish the Nushagak River, known for one of the best salmon runs in the world. Snapshots from the trip show Alito in waders and an Indianapolis Grand Prix hat, smiling broadly as he holds his catch.

“Sam Alito is in the red jacket there,” one lodge worker said, as he narrated an amateur video of the justice on the water. “We take good care of him because he makes all the rules.”

“The exception only covers food, lodging and entertainment,” said Virginia Canter, a former government ethics lawyer now at the watchdog group CREW. “He’s trying to move away from the plain language of the statute and the regulation.”

The Alaska vacation was the first time Singer and Alito met, according to a person familiar with the trip. After the trip, the two appeared together at public events. When Alito spoke at the annual dinner of the Federalist Society lawyers convention the following year, the billionaire introduced him. The justice told a story about having an encounter with bears during a fishing trip with Singer, according to the legal blog Above the Law. He recalled asking himself: “Do you really want to go down in history as the first Supreme Court justice to be devoured by a bear?”

The year after that, in 2010, Alito delivered the keynote speech at a dinner for donors to the Manhattan Institute. Once again, Singer delivered a flattering introduction. “He and his small band of like-minded justices are a critical and much-appreciated bulwark of our freedom,” Singer told the crowd. “Samuel Alito is a model Supreme Court justice.”

Alito did not disclose the flight or the stay at the fishing lodge in his annual financial disclosures. A federal law passed after Watergate requires federal officials including Supreme Court justices to publicly report most gifts. (The year before, Alito reported getting $500 of Italian food and wine from a friend, noting that his friend was unlikely to “appear before this Court.”)

The law has a “personal hospitality” exemption: If someone hosts a justice on their own property, free “food, lodging, or entertainment” don’t always have to be disclosed. But the law clearly requires disclosure for gifts of private jet flights, according to seven ethics law experts, and Alito appears to have violated it. The typical interpretation of the law required disclosure for his stay at the lodge too, experts said, since it was a commercial property rather than a vacation home. The judiciary’s regulations did not make that explicit until they were updated earlier this year.

In his op-ed, Alito said that justices “commonly interpreted” the law’s exception for hospitality “to mean that accommodations and transportation for social events were not reportable gifts.”

His op-ed pointed to language in the judiciary’s filing instructions and cited definitions from Black’s Law Dictionary and Webster’s. But he did not make reference to the judiciary’s regulations or the law itself, which experts said both clearly required disclosure for gifts of travel. ProPublica found at least six examples of other federal judges disclosing gifts of private jet travel in recent years.

Meanwhile, Singer and Argentina kept asking the Supreme Court to intervene in their legal fight. His fund enlisted Ted Olson, the famed appellate lawyer who represented George W. Bush in the Bush v. Gore case during the 2000 presidential election.

In January 2010, a year and a half after the Alaska vacation, the fund once again asked the high court to take up an aspect of the dispute. The court declined. In total, parties asked the court to hear appeals in the litigation eight times in the six years after the trip. In most instances, it was Singer’s adversaries filing an appeal, with Singer’s fund successfully arguing for the justices to decline the case and let stand a lower court ruling.

The Supreme Court hears a tiny portion of the many cases it’s asked to rule on each year. Under the court’s rules, cases are only accepted when at least four of the nine justices vote to take it up. The deliberations on whether to take a case are shrouded in secrecy and happen at meetings attended only by the justices. These decisions are a fundamental way the court wields power. The justices’ votes are not typically made public, so it is unclear how Alito voted on the petitions involving Singer.

As Singer’s battle with Argentina intensified, his hedge fund launched an expansive public relations and lobbying campaign. In 2012, the hedge fund even attempted to seize an Argentine navy ship docked in Ghana to secure payment from the country. (The effort was thwarted by a ruling from the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea.) Argentina’s president labeled Singer and his fellow investors “vultures” attempting extortion; Singer complained the country was scapegoating him.

In 2014, the Supreme Court finally agreed to hear a case on the matter. It centered on an important issue: how much protection Argentina could claim as a sovereign nation against the hedge fund’s legal maneuvers in U.S. courts. The U.S. government filed a brief on Argentina’s side, warning that the case raised “extraordinarily sensitive foreign policy concerns.”

The case featured an unusual intervention by the Judicial Crisis Network, a group affiliated with Leo known for spending millions on judicial confirmation fights. The group filed a brief supporting Singer, which appears to be the only Supreme Court friend-of-the-court brief in the organization’s history.

The court ruled in Singer’s favor 7-1 with Alito joining the majority. The justice did not recuse himself from the case or from any of the other petitions involving Singer.

“The tide turned” thanks to that “decisive” ruling and another from the court, as Singer’s law firm described it. After the legal setbacks and the election of a new president in Argentina, the country finally capitulated in 2016. Singer’s fund walked away with a $2.4 billion payout, a spectacular return.

Abbe Smith, a law professor at Georgetown who co-wrote a textbook on legal and judicial ethics, said that Alito should have recused himself. If she were representing a client and learned the judge had taken a gift from the party on the other side, Smith said, she would immediately move for recusal. “If I found out after the fact, I’d be outraged on behalf of my client,” she said. “And, frankly, I’d be outraged on behalf of the legal system.”

The law that governs when justices must recuse themselves from a case sets a high but subjective standard. It requires justices to withdraw from any case when their “impartiality might reasonably be questioned.” But the court allows individual justices to interpret that requirement for themselves. Historically, they’ve almost never explained why they are or are not recusing themselves, and unlike lower court judges, their decisions cannot be appealed.

Alito articulated his own standard during his Senate confirmation process, writing that he believed in stepping away from cases when “any possible question might arise.”

In his Wall Street Journal op-ed, Alito wrote of his failure to recuse himself from Singer’s cases at the court: “It was and is my judgment that these facts would not cause a reasonable and unbiased person to doubt my ability to decide the matters in question impartially.”

Critics have long assailed the Supreme Court’s practices on this issue as both opaque and inconsistent. “The idea ‘just trust us to do the right thing’ while remaining in total secrecy is unworkable,” said Amanda Frost, a judicial ethics expert at the University of Virginia School of Law.

For Singer, appeals to the Supreme Court are an almost unavoidable result of his business model. Since the Argentina case, Singer’s funds were named parties in at least two other cases that were appealed to the court, both stemming from battles with Fortune 500 companies. One of the petitions is currently pending.

Grey Goose and Glacier Ice

The month after Singer got home from the 2008 fishing trip, he realized he had a problem. He was supposed to receive a shipment of frozen salmon from the Alaska lodge. But the fish hadn’t arrived. So the billionaire emailed an unlikely person to get to the bottom of it: Leo, the powerful Federalist Society executive.

“They’ve escaped!!” Singer wrote. Leo then sent an email to Arkley, the lodge owner, to track down the missing seafood.

The only clear thread connecting the prominent guests on the trip is that they all had a relationship with Leo. Leo is now a giant in judicial politics who helped handpick Donald Trump’s list of potential Supreme Court nominees and recently received a $1.6 billion donation to further his political interests. Leo’s network of political groups was in its early days, however, when he traveled with Alito to Alaska. It had run an advertising campaign supporting Alito in his confirmation fight, and Leo was reportedly part of the team that prepared Alito for his Senate hearings.

Singer and Arkley, the businessmen who provided the trip to the justice, were both significant donors to Leo’s groups at the time, according to public records and reporting by The Daily Beast. Arkley also sometimes provided Leo with one of his private planes to travel to business meetings, according to a former pilot of Arkley’s.

In his statement, Leo did not address detailed questions about the trip, but he said “no objective and well-informed observer of the judiciary honestly could believe that they decide cases in order to cull favor with friends, or in return for a free plane seat or fishing trip.”

He added that the public should wonder whether ProPublica’s coverage is “bait for reeling in more dark money from woke billionaires who want to damage this Supreme Court and remake it into one that will disregard the law by rubber stamping their disordered and highly unpopular cultural preferences.”

Arkley is a fixture in local politics in his hometown of Eureka, California, known for lashing out at city officials and for once starting his own newspaper reportedly out of disdain for the local press. By the early 2000s, he’d made a fortune buying and servicing distressed mortgages and also become a significant donor in national GOP politics.

As his political profile rose, Arkley bragged to friends that he’d gotten to know one-third of the sitting Supreme Court justices. He told friends he had a relationship with Clarence Thomas, according to two people who were close with Arkley. And the Alito trip was not Arkley’s first time covering a Supreme Court justice’s travel to Alaska.

In June 2005, Arkley flew Scalia on his private jet to Kodiak Island, Alaska, two of Arkley’s former pilots told ProPublica. Arkley had paid to rent out a remote fishing lodge that cost $3,200 a week per person, according to the lodge’s owner, Martha Sikes.

Snapshots from the trip, found in the justice’s papers at Harvard Law School, capture Scalia knee-deep in a river as he fights to reel in a fish. Randolph, the appellate judge who was also on the later trip, joined Scalia and Arkley on the vacation, flying on the businessman’s jet.

Scalia did not report the trip on his annual filing, another apparent violation of the law, according to ethics law experts. Scalia’s travels briefly drew scrutiny in 2016 after he died while staying at the hunting ranch of a Texas businessman. Scalia had a pattern of disclosing trips to deliver lectures while not mentioning hunting excursions he took to nearby locales hosted by local attorneys and businessmen, according to a research paper published after his death.

Randolph, now a senior judge on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit, did not disclose the trip. (Nor did he disclose the later trip with Alito.) Randolph told ProPublica that when he was preparing his form for 2005, he called the judiciary’s financial disclosure office to ask about disclosing the trip. He shared his notes from the call with a staffer, which say “don’t have to report trip to Alaska with Rob Arkley & others / private jet / lodge.” Kathleen Clark, an ethics law expert at Washington University in St. Louis, said, “I don’t understand how the staff member came to that conclusion based on the language in the statute.”

On June 9, Arkley’s group chartered a boat, the Happy Hooker IV, to tour Yakutat Bay. On the way over, Scalia and Arkley discussed whether Senate Republicans, then in a contentious fight over judicial confirmations, should abolish the filibuster to move forward, according to a person traveling with them.

A photo captures Arkley and Scalia later that day gazing off the side of the boat at the famed Hubbard Glacier. At one point, a guide chiseled chunks off an iceberg and passed them to Scalia. The justice then mixed martinis from Grey Goose vodka and glacier ice.

It remains unclear how Scalia ended up in Alaska with Arkley. But the justice’s archives at Harvard Law School offer a tantalizing clue. Immediately before the fishing trip, Scalia gave a speech for the Federalist Society in Napa, California. The next day, Arkley’s plane flew from Napa to Alaska. Scalia’s papers contain a folder labeled “Federalist Society, Napa and Alaska, 2005 June 3-10,” suggesting a possible connection between the conservative organization and the fishing trip.

The contents of that folder are currently sealed, however. They will be opened to the public in 2036.

“Too stupid to know better”: MAGA eats up Trump’s idiot president defense

Donald Trump continues to be a defense lawyer’s biggest nightmare.

On Monday night, Fox News aired Brett Baier’s latest interview with Trump, in which the former president opened a firehose of lies “defending” himself in the case of the stolen classified documents. Trump’s litany of B.S. is now becoming all too familiar: He supposedly declassified the documents. (He’s on tape admitting he hasn’t.) They were his personal property. (Extensive evidence shows he knows they were not.) He’s “president” and gets to do whatever he wants. (Basically a confession.) Trump’s strategy is to toss off a bunch of excuses, which often contradict each other, just so his followers can grab onto whichever rationalization tickles their fancy. 

Watching this new interview, however, what really stands out is how focused Trump is on arguing that, ultimately, he was just too stupid to know any better. He portrays himself as a doddering old man who is both daunted by his own disorganization and too dimwitted to understand this whole “subpoena” business. 

“These boxes were interspersed with all sorts of things; golf shirts, pants, shoes, all sorts of things,” he rambled on, claiming he was too “busy” to handle the supposedly overwhelming task of pulling out classified documents from a junk box of golf balls. 

He is, of course, lying.


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As the indictment details, Trump had a team of lawyers ready to go through the boxes for him. But rather than allow it, he went to great effort to hide the boxes from not just law enforcement but his own lawyers, proving that he was actively trying to keep the government from getting it back. Further reporting from the New York Times shows Trump knew exactly what was in his boxes at all times.

“Mr. Trump would notice if somebody had riffled through them or they were not arranged in a particular way,” the New York Times reporters wrote. “Mr. Trump was generally able to identify what was in the boxes most immediately around him,” and had a “meticulous” sense of what he had. 

For authoritarians, the “right” to lead — really, to dominate — comes not from merit, but from one’s status in a strict hierarchy.

Not exactly the senile hoarder overwhelmed by his own crap he’s pretending to be! But it’s obvious what Trump is doing. He’s portraying himself as a type that is familiar to his supporters: An eccentric grandpa who hasn’t cleaned out his garage in 40 years and has no idea what’s in the piles of junk laying around.

It’s the “too dumb to know better” defense. 

As a legal defense, however, this doesn’t fly. There’s too much documented evidence that Trump knew exactly what he was doing. But it’s also baffling as a political defense, at least it is to non-MAGA people. Isn’t this man running for president? Do his voters believe “too stupid to know what a subpoena is” is an argument for his candidacy? It’s hard to understand how they square his claims to be intelligent enough to run the free world with his simultaneous claims to be this big an imbecile. 

But rather than be embarrassed to back an admitted dumbass like Trump, expect Republicans to adopt Trump’s talking points, arguing that their beloved leader is just way too dim to be held responsible for his actions. 

Understanding why this obvious contradiction doesn’t bother them offers tremendous insight into the authoritarian mindset of the MAGA voters. For authoritarians, the “right” to lead — really, to dominate — comes not from merit, but from one’s status in a strict hierarchy. This is in contrast to people who believe in a democratic system and expect leaders to display qualities making them worthy of the role, especially intelligence.

Authoritarians, on the other hand, believe in a strict hierarchical system where white men — especially rich white men — are at the top, and everyone else needs to be held in their place in a strict pecking order. Judging people on their talents threatens their hierarchical system, as women and people of color can rise above their “station.” That’s why so many Republicans completely lost their minds over both President Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton’s campaign. It’s not that they failed to see both those politicians are capable leaders. On the contrary, that skillfulness is what threatened Republicans so much. They want a system where power is allocated on the basis of race and gender privilege, not competence.


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The most overt manifestation of this is the Christian right, which embraces an explicitly patriarchal argument that men are the authorities simply because they are men. Over the weekend, the Southern Baptist Convention doubled down on the argument that gender matters more than talent by amending their constitution so member churches can have “only men as any kind of pastor or elder.” The convention, along with most other evangelical churches, also holds to the belief in male “headship” at home: Women should “submit” to husbands even in cases where the wife knows better or is morally in the right.

The hit documentary “Shiny Happy People” about the infamous Duggar family, and their relationship to the far-right Institute in Basic Life Principles, really underscored how dark this authoritarian mindset can get.

For hardliners, there’s pretty much nothing a man can do that would dislodge him from a position of authority over his wife and children, as demonstrated by the widespread tolerance for abuse, even child sexual abuse, within the community. For them, it’s black-and-white: God appointed men as the authority, full stop. As Nathaniel Manderson wrote for Salon, “In the evangelical worldview, a woman must never appear to be in a place where she leads or holds authority over a man.” Not even if she’s smart and capable and he’s a blithering moron.

This model of patriarchal authority extends beyond the family into every realm of life, especially politics. White evangelicals have added another layer of justification for their Trump enthusiasm, painting him as chosen by God as their leader. That allows them to write off objections over Trump’s brainlessness and criminality with a “God works in mysterious ways” shrug. And, of course, God is the ultimate example of an authority figure who can never be questioned. Not even if God is said to have done something unforgivable, such as choose Trump as the vessel for his will.

White men, in these authoritarian worldviews, only lose status by questioning the system that grants it.

 Of course, not every MAGA voter is a white evangelical (even though the vast majority of white evangelicals are MAGA). But you see a similar attitude about status and power even in more secular conservative circles. There are plenty of families that treat Grandpa as a near-godlike figure who must be obeyed as the patriarch, no matter how foolish or selfish he may be. That attitude benefits Trump, who gets assigned the role as the forever-forgiven grandfather figure, whose leadership will never be questioned, no matter how many laws he breaks or how many times he lies. 


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White men, in these authoritarian worldviews, only lose status by questioning the system that grants it. That creates a neat loophole to reject the power of all white male Democrats, but especially those, like Biden, who have previously accepted leadership from people of color or women. 

To Americans who believe in rationality and democracy, it’s ridiculous, to hear Trump spin a tale about how he’s just too dumb to be expected to tell golf pants from classified documents. He’s obviously lying, but it would almost be worse if he weren’t. It seems self-evident that no one so profoundly stupid should be anywhere near the White House. But, for MAGA Americans, there’s something reassuring about Trump’s stupidity. When he says idiotic things, such as telling people that bleach injections cure COVID-19, it’s a sign of a return to the social order they prefer. They want a world where white men come out on top, even — and especially — when they don’t deserve it.

Trump’s defense that he’s too dumb to obey the law may not fly in court, but he’s not wrong to think his own voters will eat that excuse right up. 

“Decline into anocracy”: Experts outline Trump’s retaliation plan

Following the advice of his infamous mentor Roy Cohn, instead of being chastened and cowed by the possibility of spending the rest of his life in prison, Donald Trump has instead chosen to go on the attack by proclaiming his innocence through lies and fantastical statements. The former president insists he did nothing wrong stowing away top secret and other highly classified information at his Mar-a-Lago resort, in alleged violation of the Espionage Act. Trump is also making delusional conspiratorial claims that he is being “persecuted” for “defending” “real America” against Joe Biden and the Democrats and “the left” and the “woke agenda” and “the socialists.” 

Since his arrest and indictment in Miami, Trump claims to have received many millions of dollars in donations from the MAGA faithful. Predictably, he and his agents are now escalating their threats of widespread violence and civil unrest — including making threats against special counsel Jack Smith — if he is held accountable for his many crimes against democracy and the rule of law. The Republican Party and the right-wing “news” media have rallied to the disgraced former president’s defense.

In all, the tumult and troubles of the Trumpocene and America’s democracy crisis are far from over – and will likely get much worse when Donald Trump’s various criminal trials begin in Miami, New York, and likely in Georgia and other parts of the country as well. In an attempt to make sense of his truly historic moment, I asked a range of experts for their reactions to last Tuesday’s events and predictions for what comes next in the Age of Trump and the country’s democracy crisis.

Their answers have been lightly edited for length and clarity.

Joe Walsh was a Republican congressman and a leading Tea Party conservative. He is now a prominent conservative voice against Donald Trump and the host of the podcast “White Flag with Joe Walsh.”

I felt immense satisfaction when Trump was indicted for these federal crimes. I felt like celebrating. Because the justice system, for now, held. The rule of law held. The principle that no one is above the law held. The principle of equality under the law held. All against great political odds. The rest of the Western world holds their leaders and their former leaders accountable. We’ve always shied away from that here. With Donald Trump, we’ve been forced to confront this “for the good of the country, leave him alone” bullshit. I felt damn happy that we rose to the occasion and did the right thing with this indictment.

I also immediately felt the same fear I’ve always had that this indictment will make Trump stronger politically.

“If Aileen Cannon does not recuse herself, the trial could be a farce.”

What happens next in this saga is easy to see – Trump will use this indictment as a badge of honor, as a sign of persecution, he will campaign on it, his challengers will back down in cowardice, and Republicans will rally behind him until his next indictment in two months. And then another indictment in another two months. The next 16-17 months will feature a 3-4 times indicted, eventually convicted felon leading one of America’s two major political parties in the fight to take back the White House from an 80-something-year-old incumbent who needs to stay upright.

The Republican Party put themselves in this horrible spot, and there is nothing they can do to escape it.

Violence. I fear 16-17 months of political violence. I come from the Republican base, I still engage with the Republican base, and I hear a level of anger from that base I haven’t heard since before January 6. It will only get worse. I fear a number of potential targeted, lone wolf incidents of violence. I fear violent political rallies from the MAGA base. The country needs to be prepared for what promises to be a violent, ugly, tearing apart of the fabric of America these next 16-17 months.

Thomas Lecaque is an associate professor of history at Grand View University where he specializes in apocalyptic religion and political violence.

I have a mixed bag of emotions about Trump’s indictment and arrest.

On the one hand, the Department of Justice pushing forward is proof that the rule of law still exists in this country, that even the most powerful face consequences for breaking the law. Trump’s modus operandi has long been a personal disregard for societal rules and regulations and extending that to taking top secret documents home with him and holding on to them is finally too far. On the other hand, despite the indictment, he’s the runaway favorite for the GOP nomination for the presidency. His supporters refuse to see this as a crime, claim that it is a politically motivated investigation, repeatedly diminish the importance of national security standards—they are using this to continue developing their parallel reality where power is the only metric that matters, so long as it is their power.

I do not believe we will see massive street protests during the trial—the rhetoric of crowds does not seem to match the reality—but I do believe fundraising will kick off from this, that branches of the GOP will continue to escalate their rhetoric of DOJ overreach, that unending garbage bills will be thrown out from the House to censure and investigate and impeach officials in the Biden Administration on the flimsiest of pretenses to “punish” them for investigating Trump. If Trump is convicted, which it certainly seems he should be, and if he is given an adequate sentence for his very real crimes—which I am less convinced of—then I worry about bloodshed. The bigger worry, for me, is that the rhetoric coming out of this will continue the escalation of stochastic terrorism—attacks on the FBI or the DOJ or on judges, lawyers, and congresspeople who speak out about it. And that is a wider and more disturbing trend that we need to remain vigilant about, the dehumanization of opponents by the far right that leads to real world attacks, bomb threats, fascist rallies, mass shootings, etc.

Brynn Tannehill is a journalist and author of “American Fascism: How the GOP is Subverting Democracy.”

I’m feeling very “meh.” If you lay out the timelines, there’s only a slim chance he goes to trial before the election, and basically zero chance he’s in prison. Even if he’s convicted, high likelihood he’ll be out on appeal given that he’s almost certain to be the GOP nominee for president). It doesn’t change the long-term equation much either: Biden only did two points better than Clinton in 2020, which is indicative of how inelastic the vote is.

I don’t think these indictments move the needle much, and the polling for Biden shows he might only be getting back some of what he’s lost in the past few years. The vast majority of Republicans will stick with him, and most GOP leaders are either hedging their bets or sticking with him. Honestly, the introduction of a “No Labels” third-party ticket is likely to have way more impact on the election.


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We wait for many, many months for the trial to start as Trump’s team uses every trick in the book to stall for time. Aileen Cannon is a partisan hack and unqualified to sit on the bench, but she will accommodate these tactics, just as she did with the request for a special master. With nothing happening, the attention of the American public will wane, especially with no cameras or recordings of the court proceedings (this seems highly likely given the threat to people involved in the trial due to the potential for stochastic terrorism). So, just like with mass shootings, this moves out of the public eye, and is forgotten, until the trial starts, if it ever happens at all. It only has relevance if, by some miracle, Biden wins a second term. This is the right thing to do. I wrote before that Trump can’t go out like Nixon. But it’s too little, too late, and we’re all going to pay the price during the second term when Trump fully weaponizes the Department of Justice in retaliation and accelerates the United States decline into anocracy.

Norm Ornstein is emeritus scholar at the American Enterprise Institute and contributing editor for The Atlantic. 

My first reaction to Trump’s indictment and arraignment was relief. Finally, this monster will be held to account for his criminal and reckless actions. And some elation that there will be more indictments, and more of his cronies testifying against him. But the path ahead is a bumpy one. I wish this had happened earlier; the trials will all be during a heightened political season. If Aileen Cannon does not recuse herself, the trial could be a farce, and end badly despite the devastating facts we already know— much less the ones we don’t. And then there is the disappointment— not surprise— that so many Trump lickspittles continue to defend his recklessness and damage to America’s fundamental national security.

Barbara Walter is a professor of political science at the University of California, San Diego. She is also a permanent member of the Council on Foreign Relations and has consulted for the State Department, the Department of Defense, the UN and the World Bank. Walter’s most recent book is “How Civil Wars Start: And How to Stop Them.”

I have mixed feelings. I’m feeling a mix of sadness, pride, and relief all in one. I’m sad because America’s great democracy is in the fight of its life against an anti-democratic former president who is willing to do whatever is necessary to capture power and money. I’m sad to see the presidency used and tarnished this way.  But I’m also proud because our justice system has not only remained stalwart in the face of one of its greatest lifetime challenges – to indict a recent president who is the ideological leader of a large faction of Americans – but it has pursued the cases with immense care, thoroughness, and professionalism. The Department of Justice is one of the guardrails of democracy that has held in a time of deep challenges. And I’m relieved because American voters are taking Trump’s indictment (especially the one in Miami) seriously.

Almost 40% of Republicans think the charges against Trump are serious (up from 21% in April), suggesting that his popularity with Republicans is decreasing. What is even more important is that the indictment is causing Trump to lose support among key suburban swing voters whose votes he needs to win the election in 2024. Trump didn’t have enough votes to win in 2020, and his indictment is likely to make it even harder to win in 2024. That is a relief. 

I think Republicans will start to jump off the Trump ship as the indictments and their details pile up. Republican leaders want to grow the party and win elections and they know that Trump will make this harder for them. They need an opening to get rid of him and these indictments are likely the best opportunity they are going to get. Their challenge, however, is that they will need MAGA base support if they want to win in 2024 and it will be very hard to find a candidate who will appeal both to this base and to educated white suburban voters. You can bet Republican leaders are desperately trying to find such a person. 

But their chances of finding such a person are likely to improve as Trump gets distracted, tired, and weakened by the cases against him. So, Republican leaders are likely secretly hoping for a tipping point when enough moderate Republicans and independents shift away from Trump that it becomes clear to potentially electable Republican candidates to get in the race. 

Republicans are beginning to turn on him – you saw this with Chris Christie’s public criticisms of Trump this past week, as well as the series of Republicans who added their own criticisms of Trump’s behavior. You are likely to see more and more of this as Trump faces months of bad press and continues to lose the support of key independent voters. In their heart of hearts, most Republican Party leaders do not want to see Trump succeed and the indictments are helping to inch their voters to the tipping point.

Trump was not successful in mobilizing a mob to defend him in Miami the way he was able to mobilize a mob on January 6th. Americans might be tempted to celebrate this non-event and assume that the threat of violence has dissipated. But violent extremists have not declined in America, they have simply gone underground in the face of a justice system that is increasingly prosecuting them. The underlying conditions for violent extremism in the United States – white anger and resentment at changing demographics and their loss of status – are all still there. And as long as the underlying conditions are still there, violent extremists will continue to plan how to prevent this.

David Pepper is a lawyer, writer, political activist, and former elected official. His new book is “Saving Democracy: A User’s Manual for Every American“.

We have a crisis of lack of accountability at all levels of American politics. It’s what’s fueling so much of the attack on democracy around the country. So even though I think the short-term political consequences of the indictment are mixed and minimal, it’s a welcome sight to see accountability emerge at the highest level and for such egregious acts. It’s a badly needed and welcome break from years where no accountability has driven the downward spiral in the rule of law.

What happens next is months and months of delay and “both sides” propaganda from the right that turns this into a painful and drawn-out process. This will become a race between the trial and an election by which Trump will seek to pardon himself. My guess is the election comes first.

As important as this is, this case will not magically shore up democracy. Nothing will but the hard, day-to-day work of protecting democracy in state after state. My advice to those who are worried about democracy is: don’t let this distract you from doing the work it takes to protect democracy wherever you live, and wherever it’s under attack.

Federico Finchelstein is a professor of history at the New School for Social Research and Eugene Lang College in New York. His most recent book is “A Brief History of Fascist Lies.”

My impression is that democracy is working to defend itself when all are equal under the law, especially politicians like Donald Trump who has dedicated the last years of his life to downplay democracy by almost any means necessary.

It is unclear to me what is the outcome of the Trump saga of evading justice and responsibility. Trump is trying to manipulate the judicial process turning into yet another excuse for his failings. It is not surprising that this manipulation takes the form of fascist-style propaganda, including conspiracy theories about the deep state as well as projective impulses. Perhaps what is more worrying is that Trump is, of course, being defended and enabled by conservative media and the GOP. The most recent example of this was Fox News inverting the terms of the equation and calling President Joe Biden a “wannabe dictator” when in fact the opposite is true. It is Trump that wanted to be a dictator via coup. Trump is the wannabe fascist in American politics.


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As I explain in my forthcoming book, “The Wannabe Fascist”, Trump fits that description because like classic fascists dictators of the past, such as Hitler and Mussolini, he wants to destroy democracy from within but unlike them, he has failed. Trump’s failure has a variety of causes: from lack of ideological commitment to an excess of opportunism and of course how the state’s institutions defended democracy. The current indictments are another example of the latter.

Noah Bookbinder is the president of Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington (CREW) and a former federal corruption prosecutor. He previously served as chief counsel for criminal justice for the Senate Judiciary Committee. 

Donald Trump has repeatedly engaged in serious criminal conduct, often of a nature that has threatened our democracy, and he has continually evaded real accountability. It is always a somber moment when a leader is charged with crimes, and charging a former president is never something that should be taken lightly. But seeing Donald Trump finally face federal charges after dodging consequences for so long brings a sense of justice and renewed faith in our system.

The indictment itself is remarkable. It tells an incredibly compelling and cohesive story, supported by strong evidence. Particularly powerful are the descriptions of Walt Nauta, at Donald Trump’s instruction, moving boxes containing classified documents to hide them from Trump’s own lawyers and the Department of Justice; of Trump showing highly sensitive documents to someone from his PAC and to journalists, knowing that they were not cleared to see them; and of Trump’s many statements from 2016 about the need for presidents to understand and enforce classification laws and to be held accountable if they did not.  If Jack Smith can back all of this up with strong evidence, and there is grounds for confidence that he can, it will be very, very hard to beat.

Donald Trump will try very hard to delay this case with all manner of motions. We will learn very soon whether Judge Cannon will make decisions that ignore the law and favor Trump, as she did in earlier proceedings about these documents, or whether she will be chastened by the appeals court’s rebuke after she did so previously and apply the law fairly going forward. This case should be able to move to trial in less than a year and be done by the middle of next year, absent extraordinary delays from Trump or the court.

Key next steps in the saga also include a likely indictment of Trump in Georgia, perhaps in August, for his efforts to overturn that state’s vote in 2020 and quite possibly an additional federal indictment, likely in Washington, DC, for Trump’s attempts to overturn the 2020 election and perhaps for his incitement of the January 6, 2021 insurrection.

One common criticism of the recent indictment is that others like President Biden and former Vice President Pence engaged in conduct similar to that for which Donald Trump was charged, and did not face any charges. That’s just not the case, as the indictment makes clear. Trump retained many more documents, and there is significant evidence that he intended to do so, while there is no such evidence that is publicly known for Biden or Pence. More importantly, while Biden and Pence cooperated fully with investigators and returned the documents, Trump obstructed the investigation and has been charged with doing so. His efforts to hide documents from investigators and attorneys were extraordinary and of a totally different nature than we’ve seen in those other investigations. Indeed, none of the documents Trump is charged with illegally retaining were ones that he returned voluntarily. So if he had cooperated and returned the documents, as Biden and Pence did, rather than obstructing the investigation, he very likely would not have been charged at all even though he took many more documents and did it intentionally.

Even some left-leaning people support RFK Jr. Here’s why conspiracy theories are so attractive

Last week, Joe Rogan hosted a three-hour podcast with Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the anti-vaccine leader and conspiracy theorist who has declared himself a presidential candidate vying for the Democratic nomination.

As one would expect, the podcast’s content was brimming with dangerous soundbites of anti-vaccine misinformation, which have previously been debunked again and again, but are now recirculating amongst conspiracy theory circles. For example, Kennedy falsely implied that vaccines cause autism, which besides being insulting and stigmatizing toward people with autism, is not true.

Kennedy, the son of senator Robert F. Kennedy and nephew of president John F. Kennedy, also went on about how vaccines contain a dangerous form of mercury, touting his 2005 story “Deadly Immunity” that Salon and Rolling Stone simultaneously retracted in 2011, falsely claiming that childhood vaccines are poisoning children. (Thimerosal, a mercury-based preservative, is not dangerous and no longer used in most vaccines anyway.) In the podcast, Kennedy also claimed that Big Pharma suppressed data on COVID-19 and ivermectin, an off-label anti-parasite drug used for the treatment of some parasitic worms in people and animals.

On Monday, YouTube removed a video of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. speaking with Jordan Peterson for spreading anti-vaccine misinformation. Meanwhile, Spotify has done nothing. Kennedy shows no signs of staying quiet, so long as his content isn’t pulled down.

According to a 2021 report by the Center for Countering Digital Hate, there are 12 anti-vaxxers who are responsible for approximately two-thirds of the anti‑vaccine content that’s shared on social media platforms — including Kennedy. Now, as he kicks off his campaign, while clearly targeting podcasts as a favored medium, Kennedy has an opportunity to recirculate the dangerous misinformation he’s been spreading for years.

And as the misinformation spreads, it’s possible that more people will buy into it. Kennedy is reportedly pulling 20 percent support among Democratic primary voters, a figure which includes people like football player Aaron Rodgers and former Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey. As Media Matters recently reported, Kennedy’s anti-vaccine organization Children’s Health Defense has a history of partnering with right-leaning QAnon conspiracy theorists and organizations. Despite the connections to right-wing conspiracy theorists, why do some politically left-leaning individuals support Kennedy?

It turns out that believing in conspiracy theories doesn’t favor political lines. In a study published last year in Political Behavior, researchers analyzed the content of 52 specific conspiracy theories and found that neither democrats nor republicans were more prone than the other to engaging in conspiracy theories. “We found that both Democrats/liberals and Republicans/conservatives engage in motivated conspiracy endorsement at similar rates,” the researchers explained. Instead, there are other factors that contribute to the likelihood of people believing in conspiracy theories.

A conspiracy theory is usually a proposed plot suggesting that something was carried out in secret, usually by a powerful group of people. The end goal is positioned as a sinister one. As historians have pointed out, politics and history are no stranger to conspiracy theories — from reptiles ruling the world to fake moon landings to climate change being a hoax. However, several studies and researchers argue that Western democracies are in a “post-truth” era, and with the help of social media and uncensored media platforms, they’re more likely to become part of mainstream discussions and even be taken more seriously in presidential elections.

In general, researchers believe that endorsing a conspiracy theory is a form of “motivated reasoning.” In other words an attempt to make sense of something based on their own world view.

“Conspiracy theories tend to emerge when important things happen that people want to make sense of,” Karen Douglas, a professor of social psychology at the University of Kent in the U.K., previously told Live Science.”In particular, they tend to emerge in times of crisis when people feel worried and threatened. They grow and thrive under conditions of uncertainty.”


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COVID, inflation, an upcoming presidential election, climate change, political uncertainty, student debt, an erosion of democracy — it’s no secret the U.S. is in a state of uncertainty, and everyone faces stressors on a daily basis. Douglas’ previous research also suggests that conspiracy theories can make people feel important and could provide a self-esteem boost to the believer.

“Perhaps conspiracy theories allow people to feel that they are in possession of rare, important information that other people do not have, making them feel special and thus boosting their self‐esteem,” Douglas wrote in the journal Political Psychology.

Rachel Bernstein, a Licensed Marriage and Family Therapist (LMFT) and host of the Indoctrination Podcast, who works with people in cult recovery, previously told me she believes the stresses of society contribute to conspiratorial thinking and can make people more prone to them — and that people who believe in conspiracy theories often exhibit “black and white” thinking. Berstein said they usually have “very little tolerance for things that operate in the gray, yet most things do” operate there.

“There is too much ambiguity and unpredictability, and it is tremendously uncomfortable and fraught with the unknown and things that only remain to be seen,” she said. “People who are more black or white thinkers search for absolutes and confirmation of their views.”

Berstein added that “much of the gravitational pull towards conspiracy theory is about the need to feel safe.”

One study published in the scientific journal PNAS suggested that improving basic social services could effectively decrease conspiratorial thinking in society.

“The evidence we presented suggests that the prevalence of rigid beliefs may perhaps best be mitigated by strengthening educational systems and addressing inequity and the related problems of poverty, conflict, food insecurity and social cleavage,”the authors state. “Put bluntly, measures such as a universal base income might go a surprisingly long way in reducing the resilience of harmful beliefs.”

In terms of the link between education and conspiratorial thinking, research published in Applied Cognitive Psychology suggests that people who believed in conspiracy theories could have less developed critical thinking skills. However, there are researchers who believe that loneliness could fuel conspiracy theories, too, as social exclusion could be linked to conspiratorial thinking. As researchers continue to figure out why people believe in conspiracy theories, the pressure will be on. From the “Big Lie” about the 2020 election to climate change denial, misinformation and “alternative facts” play an outsized role in our political landscape. As LA Times columnist  Michael Hiltzik wrote recently, Kennedy is “emerging as a walking public health hazard.” The stakes are high given that conspiracy theories are a tangible threat to both public health and democracy.

Ultimate all-American slush fund: Budget loophole could send Pentagon spending soaring even higher

On June 3rd, President Joe Biden signed a bill into law that lifted the government’s debt ceiling and capped some categories of government spending. The big winner was — surprise, surprise! — the Pentagon.

Congress spared military-related programs any cuts while freezing all other categories of discretionary spending at the fiscal year 2023 level (except support for veterans). Indeed, lawmakers set the budget for the Pentagon and for other national security programs like nuclear-related work developing nuclear warheads at the Department of Energy at the level requested in the administration’s Fiscal Year 2024 budget proposal — a 3.3% increase in military spending to a whopping total of $886 billion. Consider that preferential treatment of the first order and, mind you, for the only government agency that’s failed to pass a single financial audit! 

Even so, that $886 billion hike in Pentagon and related spending is likely to prove just a floor, not a ceiling, on what will be allocated for “national defense” next year. An analysis of the deal by the Wall Street Journal found that spending on the Pentagon and veterans’ care — neither of which is frozen in the agreement — is likely to pass $1 trillion next year.

Compare that to the $637 billion left for the rest of the government’s discretionary budget. In other words, public health, environmental protection, housing, transportation, and almost everything else the government undertakes will have to make do with not even 45% of the federal government’s discretionary budget, less than what would be needed to keep up with inflation. (Forget addressing unmet needs in this country.)

And count on one thing: national security spending is likely to increase even more, thanks to a huge (if little-noticed) loophole in that budget deal, one that hawks in Congress are already salivating over how best to exploit. Yes, that loophole is easy to miss, given the bureaucratese used to explain it, but its potential impact on soaring military budgets couldn’t be clearer. In its analysis of the budget deal, the Congressional Budget Office noted that “funding designated as an emergency requirement or for overseas contingency operations would not be constrained” by anything the senators and House congressional representatives had agreed to.

As we should have learned from the 20 years of all-American wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, the term “overseas contingency” can be stretched to cover almost anything the Pentagon wants to spend your tax dollars on. In fact, there was even an “Overseas Contingency Operations” (OCO) account supposedly reserved for funding this country’s seemingly never-ending post-9/11 wars. And it certainly was used to fund them, but hundreds of billions of dollars of Pentagon projects that had nothing to do with the conflicts in Iraq or Afghanistan were funded that way as well. The critics of Pentagon overspending quickly dubbed it that department’s “slush fund.”

So, prepare yourself for “Slush Fund II” (coming soon to a theater near you). This time the vehicle for padding the Pentagon budget is likely to be the next military aid package for Ukraine, which will likely be put forward as an emergency bill later this year.  Expect that package to include not only aid to help Ukraine fend off Russia’s ongoing brutal invasion but tens of billions of dollars more to — yes, of course! — pump up the Pentagon’s already bloated budget.

Senator Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) made just such a point in talking with reporters shortly after the debt-ceiling deal was passed by Congress. “There will be a day before too long,” he told them, “where we’ll have to deal with the Ukrainian situation. And that will create an opportunity for me and others to fill in the deficiencies that exist from this budget deal.”

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) made a similar point in a statement on the Senate floor during the debate over that deal. “The debt ceiling deal,” he said, “does nothing to limit the Senate’s ability to appropriate emergency/supplemental funds to ensure our military capabilities are sufficient to deter China, Russia, and our other adversaries and respond to ongoing and growing national security threats.”

One potential (and surprising) snag in the future plans of those Pentagon budget boosters in both parties may be the position of House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif). He has, in fact, described efforts to increase Pentagon spending beyond the level set in the recent budget deal as “part of the problem.” For the moment at least, he openly opposes producing an emergency package to increase the Pentagon budget, saying:

“The last five audits the Department of Defense [have] failed. So there’s a lot of places for reform [where] we can have a lot of savings. We’ve plussed it up. This is the most money we’ve ever spent on defense — this is the most money anyone in the world has ever spent on defense. So I don’t think the first answer is to do a supplemental.”

The Massive Overfunding of the Pentagon

The Department of Defense is, of course, already massively overfunded. That $886 billion figure is among the highest ever — hundreds of billions of dollars more than at the peak of the Korean or Vietnam wars or during the most intensely combative years of the Cold War. It’s higher than the combined military budgets of the next 10 countries combined, most of whom are, in any case, U.S. allies. And it’s estimated to be three times what the Chinese military, the Pentagon’s “pacing threat,” receives annually. Consider it an irony that actually “keeping pace” with China would involve a massive cut in military spending, not an increase in the Pentagon’s bloated budget.

It also should go without saying that preparations to effectively defend the United States and its allies could be achieved for so much less than is currently lavished on the Pentagon.  A new approach could easily save significantly more than $100 billion in fiscal year 2024as proposed by Representatives Barbara Lee (D-Calif.) and Mark Pocan (D-Wis.) in the People Over Pentagon Act, the preeminent budget-cut proposal in Congress. An illustrative report released by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) in late 2021 sketched out three scenarios, all involving a less interventionist, more restrained approach to defense that would include greater reliance on allies. Each option would reduce America’s 1.3-million-strong active military force (by up to one-fifth in one scenario). Total savings from the CBO’s proposed changes would, over a decade, be $1 trillion.

And a more comprehensive approach that shifted away from the current “cover the globe” strategy of being able to fight (though, as the history of this century shows, not always win) wars virtually anywhere on Earth on short notice — without allies, if necessary — could save hundreds of billions more over the next decade. Cutting bureaucracy and making other changes in defense policy could also yield yet more savings. To cite just two examples, reducing the Pentagon’s cohort of more than half-a-million private contract employees and scaling back its nuclear weapons “modernization” program would save significantly more than $300 billion extra over a decade.

But none of this is even remotely likely without concerted public pressure to, as a start, keep members of Congress from adding tens of billions of dollars in spending on parochial military projects that channel funding into their states or districts. And it would also mean pushing back against the propaganda of Pentagon contractors who claim they need ever more money to provide adequate tools to defend the country.

Contractors Crying Wolf

While demanding ever more of our tax dollars, the giant military-industrial corporations are spending all too much of their time simply stuffing the pockets of their shareholders rather than investing in the tools needed to actually defend this country. A recent Department of Defense report found that, from 2010-2019, such companies increased by 73% over the previous decade what they paid their shareholders. Meanwhile, their investment in research, development, and capital assets declined significantly. Still, such corporations claim that, without further Pentagon funding, they can’t afford to invest enough in their businesses to meet future national security challenges, which include ramping up weapons production to provide arms for Ukraine.

In reality, however, the financial data suggests that they simply chose to reward their shareholders over everything and everyone else, even as they experienced steadily improving profit margins and cash generation. In fact, the report pointed out that those companies “generate substantial amounts of cash beyond their needs for operations or capital investment.” So instead of investing further in their businesses, they choose to eat their “seed corn” by prioritizing short-term gains over long-term investments and by “investing” additional profits in their shareholders. And when you eat your seed corn, you have nothing left to plant next year.

Never fear, though, since Congress seems eternally prepared to bail them out. Their businesses, in fact, continue to thrive because Congress authorizes funding for the Pentagon to repeatedly grant them massive contracts, no matter their performance or lack of internal investment. No other industry could get away with such maximalist thinking.

Military contractors outperform similarly sized companies in non-defense industries in eight out of nine key financial metrics — including higher total returns to shareholders (a category where they leave much of the rest of the S&P 500 in the dust). They financially outshine their commercial counterparts for two obvious reasons: first, the government subsidizes so many of their costs; second, the weapons industry is so concentrated that its major firms have little or no competition.

Adding insult to injury, contractors are overcharging the government for the basic weaponry they produce while they rake in cash to enrich their shareholders. In the past 15 years, the Pentagon’s internal watchdog has exposed price gouging by contractors ranging from Boeing and Lockheed Martin to lesser-known companies like TransDigm Group. In 2011, Boeing made about $13 million in excess profits by overcharging the Army for 18 spare parts used in Apache and Chinook helicopters. To put that in perspective, the Army paid $1,678.61 each for a tiny helicopter part that the Pentagon already had in stock at its own warehouse for only $7.71.

The Pentagon found Lockheed Martin and Boeing price gouging together in 2015. They overcharged the military by “hundreds of millions of dollars” for missiles. TransDigm similarly made $16 million by overcharging for spare parts between 2015 and 2017 and even more in the following two years, generating nearly $21 million in excess profits. If you can believe it, there is no legal requirement for such companies to refund the government if they’re exposed for price gouging.

Of course, there’s nothing new about such corporate price gouging, nor is it unique to the arms industry. But it’s especially egregious there, given how heavily the major military contractors depend on the government’s business. Lockheed Martin, the biggest of them, got a staggering 73% of its $66 billion in net sales from the government in 2022. Boeing, which does far more commercial business, still generated 40% of its revenue from the government that year. (Down from 51% in 2020.)

Despite their reliance on government contracts, companies like Boeing seem to be doubling down on practices that often lead to price gouging. According to Bloomberg News, between 2020 and 2021, Boeing refused to provide the Pentagon with certified cost and pricing data for nearly 11,000 spare parts on a single Air Force contract. Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Representative John Garamendi (D-Calif.) have demanded that the Pentagon investigate since, without such information, the department will continue to be hard-pressed to ensure that it’s paying anything like a fair price, whatever its purchases.

Curbing the Special Interest Politics of “Defense”

Reining in rip-offs and corruption on the part of weapons contractors large and small could save the American taxpayer untold billions of dollars. And curbing special-interest politics on the part of the denizens of the military-industrial-congressional complex (MICC) could help open the way towards the development of a truly defensive global military strategy rather than the current interventionist approach that has embroiled the United States in the devastating and counterproductive wars of this century.

One modest step towards reining in the power of the arms lobby would be to revamp the campaign finance system by providing federal matching funds, thereby diluting the influential nature of the tens of millions in campaign contributions the arms industry makes every election cycle. In addition, prohibiting retiring top military officers from going to work for arms-making companies — or, at least, extending the cooling off period to at least four years before they can do so, as proposed by Senator Warren — would also help reduce the undue influence exerted by the MICC.

Last but not least, steps could be taken to prevent the military services from giving Congress their annual wish lists — officially known as “unfunded priorities lists” — of items they want added to the Pentagon budget. After all, those are but another tool allowing members of Congress to add billions more than what the Pentagon has even asked for to that department’s budget.

Whether such reforms alone, if adopted, would be enough to truly roll back excess Pentagon spending remains to be seen. Without them, however, count on one thing: the department’s budget will almost certainly continue to soar, undoubtedly reaching $1 trillion or more annually within just the next few years.  Americans can’t afford to let that happen.

Missing Titanic sub: What are submersibles, how do they communicate, and what may have gone wrong?

An extensive search and rescue operation is underway to locate a commercial submersible that went missing during a dive to the Titanic shipwreck.

According to the US Coast Guard, contact with the submersible was lost about one hour and 45 minutes into the dive, with five people onboard. The vessel was reported overdue at 9.13pm local time on Sunday (12.13pm AEST, Monday).

The expedition was being run by US company OceanGate as part of an eight-day trip with guests paying US$250,000 per head to visit the wreck site. As of Monday afternoon (Tuesday morning in Australia), US Coast Guard Rear Admiral John Mauger said the watercraft likely had somewhere between 70 and the full 96 hours of oxygen available to the passengers.

The Titanic’s wreck sits some 3,800 metres deep in the Atlantic, about 700km south of St John’s, Newfoundland. Finding an underwater vehicle the size of a small bus in this vast and remote expanse of ocean will be no small feat. Here’s what the search and rescue teams are up against.

OceanGate’s Titan submersible goes missing

Submersibles are manned watercraft that move in a similar fashion to submarines, but within a much more limited range. They’re often used for research and exploration purposes, including to search for shipwrecks and to document underwater environments. Unlike submarines, they usually have a viewport to allow passengers look outside, and outside cameras that provide a broader view around the submersible.

The missing submersible in question is an OceanGate Titan watercraft, which can take five people to depths of up to 4,000m. The Titan is about 22 feet in length, with speeds of about 3 knots, or 5.5km per hour. Although submersibles are often connected to a surface vessel by a tether, video and photos suggest the Titan was likely operating independently of the surface ship.

According to OceanGate’s website, the Titan is used “for site survey and inspection, research and data collection, film and media production, and deep-sea testing of hardware and software”.

It also has a “real-time hull health monitoring (RTM) system”. This would likely include strain gauges to monitor the health of the Titan’s carbon fibre hull. A strain gauge is a kind of sensor that can measure applied force and small deformations in material resulting from changes in pressure, tension and weight.

The Titan’s carbon fibre hull connects two domes made of composite titanium – a material that can withstand deep-sea pressures. At 3,800m below sea level (the depth of the Titanic) you can expect pressures about 380 times greater than the atmospheric pressure we’re used to on the surface of the earth.

Communication and rescue efforts

The Titan would have had an acoustic link with its surface vessel, set up through a transponder (a device for receiving a sonar signal) on its end, and a transceiver (a device that can both transmit and receive communications) on the surface vessel.

This link allows for underwater acoustic positioning, as well as for short text messages to be sent back and forth to the surface vessel – but the amount of data that can be shared is limited and usually includes basic telemetry and status information.

The Titan is a battery-operated watercraft. Given it has lost all contact with its surface vessel, it may have suffered a power failure. Ideally, there would be an emergency backup power source (such as an independent battery) to maintain emergency and life support equipment – but it’s unclear if the missing vessel had any power backup on hand.

According to reports, at least two aircraft, a submarine and sonar buoys were being used to search for the vessel. The sonar buoys will be listening for underwater noise, including any emergency distress beacons that may have gone off.

One of the major challenges in the rescue effort will be contending with weather conditions, which will further shrink an already narrow search window.

What might have happened?

In a best case scenario, the Titan may have lost power and will have an inbuilt safety system that will help it return to the surface. For instance, it may be equipped with additional weights that can be dropped to instantly increase its buoyancy and bring it back to the surface.

Alternatively, the vessel may have lost power and ended up at the bottom of the ocean. This would be a more problematic outcome.

The worst case scenario is that it has suffered a catastrophic failure to its pressure housing. Although the Titan’s composite hull is built to withstand intense deep-sea pressures, any defect in its shape or build could compromise its integrity – in which case there’s a risk of implosion.

Another possibility is that there may have been a fire onboard, such as from an electrical short circuit. This could compromise the vehicle’s electronic systems which are used for navigation and control of the vessel. Fires are a disastrous event in enclosed underwater environments, and can potentially incapacitate the crew and passengers.

Time is of the essence. The search and rescue teams will need to find the vessel before its limited supplies of oxygen and water run out.

There’s an ongoing debate in scientific circles regarding the relative merit of manned submersibles, wherein each deployment incurs a safety risk – and the safety of the crew and passengers is paramount.

Currently, most underwater research and offshore industrial work is conducted using unmanned and robotic vehicles. A loss to one of these vehicles might compromise the work being done, but at least lives aren’t at stake. In light of these events, there will likely be intense discussion about the risks associated with using these systems to support deep-sea tourism.

Stefan B. Williams, Professor, Australian Centre for Field Robotics, University of Sydney

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

Experts agree: Climate change is a weapon of mass destruction

The Annual Threat Assessment was created in the aftermath of 9/11 to centralize findings across all of the U.S. government intelligence agencies about the greatest threats to national security. The assessment, published in a declassified form each year, is essential reading for journalists and others interested in the new hot spots of tension and change.

For 2023, the assessment lists six major threats. Four of them are from rival nations: China (“building a world-class military [and] pushing to change global norms and potentially threatening its neighbors”); Russia’s invasion of Ukraine (“a tectonic event that is reshaping Russia’s relationship with the West and China … in ways that are unfolding and remain highly uncertain”; and North Korea and Iran (for their existing or suspected nuclear capabilities).

And then there’s climate change — which is destined “to exacerbate risks to U.S. national security interests as the physical impacts increase and geopolitical tensions mount about the global response to the challenge.” (The assessment also lists health security as a major area of global concern due to the huge strains on government budgets from the COVID-19 pandemic and its potential to ignite already existing social tensions).

So the first four major threats to the United States require a military posture and response, as well as diplomatic and god knows what other classified responses. But the fifth threat is ecological. Climate change is a reflection of how disequilibrium in the atmosphere has unleashed forces on Earth that exacerbate and heighten social and political tensions. Those stresses, says the Annual Threat Assessment, can range from the whipsawing impacts of extreme events to the displacement of people from lands that are no longer capable of sustaining them. Those climate refugees then become pawns in the immigration debate, one of the most divisive, and politically destabilizing, issues in America and Europe.

The conclusions of the U.S. intelligence community now line up with one of the private sector’s most thorough gatherers of predictive data: the insurance industry. Insurance companies don’t have the military to back them up, like the intelligence agencies, but they have money on the line and depend on accurate risk assessments for their survival. So they scope out threats to their indemnities against weather and other disasters and ensure the cost of premiums reflects the odds of risk.

This is what actuaries and spies have in common. Both the insurance and intelligence sectors swim in the language and science of risk and probability; neither can afford surprises.

Just as the government’s intelligence agencies have identified climate change as a top security threat, the insurance industry has concluded it is an ominous threat to the world economy, the most potent nonmilitary weapon of mass destruction.

“Climate change poses the biggest long-term risk to the global economy. No action is not an option.” says Swiss Re, one of the world’s biggest reinsurance companies. Reinsurers insure retail insurance companies: They back up the insurers, and so, with their own money on the line, keep a close eye on the risks they face. At current emission trajectories, Swiss Re asserts that by mid-century the world economy will lose 10% or more of its value due to climate change’s disruptive impacts.

The think tank of the global insurance industry, the Geneva Association, has called for an entirely new paradigm for assessing risk, since the volatility in weather extremes is confounding traditional insurance predictions based on the past. “Climate change is altering the future likelihood of a wide range of risks,” concludes one of its recent reports. Those risks, they say, include the huge financial blows from the impacts of extreme weather events, the impact on company supply chains and the “likelihood” of increasing rates of success of climate lawsuits holding fossil fuel companies accountable for such losses. Several European insurance companies have already withdrawn from financing fossil fuel projects that contribute to climate change. In California and other states, U.S. firms are withdrawing rapidly from offering insurance policies against the symptoms of climate change, like wildfires and floods.

Rogue States

Just as climate change is identified as an imminent national security threat, some U.S. states are opting for appeasement. In Montana late last month, the governor signed a bill that bans the state from considering the climate implications in its environmental assessments of large construction projects, like coal mines or power plants. In other words, the state is prohibited from including climate impacts when considering permits for large earth-transformative energy projects. Such projects would both contribute to, and be impacted by, climate change. That law was signed by the governor just before the June 12 commencement in state court of a court case in which a group of young plaintiffs assert that the rights guaranteed to them in the state’s constitution for a “clean and healthful environment” have been undermined by the state’s longtime promotion of fossil fuels.

In Texas, the state Legislature passed a bill, SB 883, that forbids insurance companies from incorporating ESG standards in their valuation of insurance policies written in the state. ESG is the standard that many companies use to measure attention to environmental, social and governance factors in determining the worthiness of investments. The S and G are often associated with a range of matters like gender and racial equity, executive pay, community engagement. The E, of course, is environment — which to a great degree has come to mean climate change. Insurance companies raised concerns that they would be banned from using data that is core to their business model of assessing risk. Several insurance trade organizations opposed the bill, and reportedly leveraged exemptions to some of its provisions, including the ability to continue using traditional actuarial tools to perform risk analyses.

In Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis signed a law prohibiting any public funds to be invested in companies that commit to ESG principles. Other state legislatures are considering similar legislation. At least half-a-dozen global insurance companies have withdrawn from a U.N.-sponsored Net-Zero Insurance Alliance after efforts by Republican state politicians to threaten members with lawsuits to prevent them from operating in their states. 

Such measures create a new set of tensions for businesses that want to operate in both red and blue states. Which rules to follow? According to a survey by PricewaterhouseCoopers, 85% of global insurers affirmed that ESG principles can be an important factor in determining the overall health of a business; a quarter of that total indicated that the most important criterion among those three principles was “to minimize the impact from climate change.” 

Unlike with foreign military battles, journalists do not have to drop into far-away combat zones to cover the insurgency against responses to the climate crisis. The latter national security threat can be reported on from every destabilized location in the United States. 

Impeached Texas AG Ken Paxton partnered with troubled businessman to push opioid program

This article is co-published with ProPublica, a nonprofit newsroom that investigates abuses of power. Sign up for ProPublica’s Big Story newsletter to receive stories like this one in your inbox as soon as they are published. Also, sign up for The Brief, our daily newsletter that keeps readers up to speed on the most essential Texas news.


A year after persuading Texas lawmakers to buy millions of child identification kits that had no proven record of success, a businessman with a troubled history found an in with the state’s attorney general.

Last fall, Kenny Hansmire was tapped by Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton to be part of a coalition to combat opioid abuse that Paxton declared would “be the largest drug prevention, education, abatement and disposal campaign in U.S. history.”

Riffing off the name of a popular book about Texas football, Paxton announced the Friday Night Lights Against Opioids coalition and pilot program. The initiative would distribute 3.5 million packets at high school football games that contain a powder capable of destroying opioids when mixed with water.

Paxton didn’t provide a price tag for the effort or explain Hansmire’s exact role, but he said a partnership with the businessman’s National Child Identification Program would be important to the program’s success.

A former NFL player, Hansmire has persuaded leaders in multiple states to spend millions of dollars purchasing inkless fingerprinting kits on the promise that they could help find missing children. Texas alone allocated $5.7 million for kits over the past two years. An investigation published last month by ProPublica and The Texas Tribune found little evidence of the kits’ effectiveness and showed that the company exaggerated missing child statistics in its marketing.

The investigation also revealed that Hansmire has twice pleaded guilty to felony theft and was sanctioned by banking regulators in Connecticut in 2015 for his role in an alleged scheme to defraud or mislead investors.

Paxton has been a key ally for Hansmire. In 2020, he signed a letter to then-President Donald Trump urging him to get behind ultimately unsuccessful legislation that would approve the use of federal money to pay for the child identification kits. Hansmire later honored the attorney general at a Green Bay Packers game for his support.

For the opioid initiative, Paxton worked to connect Hansmire with Texas Comptroller Glenn Hegar, who oversees the distribution of hundreds of millions of dollars the state is set to receive after settling lawsuits with pharmaceutical companies over their roles in the opioid crisis.

Paxton discussed the initiative with Hegar, asking him to speak with its leaders, including Hansmire. On multiple occasions, Hansmire “called Comptroller Hegar to ask for funding for the Friday Night Lights program,” said the comptroller’s spokesperson, Chris Bryan.

Hegar, a Republican former state legislator who served with Paxton in the Texas Senate, declined to entertain Hansmire’s requests and explained that funding decisions will follow a formal approval process that is still being developed, Bryan said. He did not respond to additional questions.

Hansmire’s financial stake in the opioid initiative is unclear. He did not respond to questions about his role or about his requests for funding from the comptroller. He has previously defended himself and his company, asserting that the fingerprinting kits have made a difference in missing child investigations and that he resolved his financial and legal troubles.

Over the years, Hansmire has successfully leveraged his relationships with professional and college football teams in promoting his fingerprinting kits, honoring allied lawmakers and attorneys general at high-profile events such as football games.

While unveiling the opioid program last October, Paxton stood flanked by Hansmire and other former NFL players. Among them: NFL Hall of Famers Mike Singletary, who played for the Chicago Bears, and Randy White, a former Dallas Cowboy. White later participated in the launch of a similar program in Delaware alongside the state’s lieutenant governor. And last month, Mississippi’s attorney general announced the distribution of 500 free “Family Safety Kits.” Each included a child ID kit from Hansmire’s company and a drug disposal packet, which was provided by North Carolina-based DisposeRX. The company, which is also involved in the Texas and Delaware programs, lists Hansmire’s National Child ID Program as an official partner on its website.

Neither Singletary nor representatives for White or DisposeRX responded to requests for comment.

Paxton also did not respond to multiple requests for comment and to detailed questions from ProPublica and the Tribune. The news organizations requested records from Paxton’s office that could show the cost of the opioid initiative, the scope of the work and the breakdown of compensation for the companies involved. In response, the attorney general’s office released some emails, including one that contained an August 2022 letter from Paxton to Hansmire proposing to partner on the initiative. The office has fought the disclosure of other records that include communications with a lawmaker about potential legislation and claimed that it has no record of written agreements or expenditures related to the Friday Night Lights Against Opioids program.

Last month, the attorney general became one of only three state officials in Texas history to be impeached. He has been temporarily suspended while he awaits a trial in the Texas Senate on charges that include bribery, conspiracy and obstruction of justice. (Those charges are not related to the opioid program.)

The impeachment vote in the Texas House was the culmination of a probe by the lower chamber’s General Investigating Committee. In a memorandum, the panel said the inquiry was initiated by Paxton’s request for $3.3 million to cover a negotiated settlement he announced in February with four former top aides.

Those aides sued Paxton in 2020 under the state’s whistleblower law, arguing that they were illegally fired after reporting their boss to the FBI for alleged misdeeds, including bribery and leveraging the power of his office to help a political donor.

Paxton has denied wrongdoing and has dismissed his impeachment as politically motivated.

“Slower approach”

The week after Paxton announced the proposed settlement of the suit against him, state Sen. Donna Campbell, a New Braunfels Republican, filed a bill that would transfer $10 million to the attorney general from the opioid settlement fund.

Also a supporter of Hansmire’s, Campbell authored legislation in 2021 that led to the approval of $5.7 million to provide child ID kits to elementary and middle school students across the state. (State lawmakers had been set to approve additional money this year to purchase kits, but budget negotiators nixed the funding following publication of the ProPublica-Tribune investigation.)

In this case, Campbell’s bill would direct funding to Paxton that he could use “for the purpose of prevention, education, and drug disposal awareness campaigns to include providing at-home drug disposal kits and abatement tools for children- and youth-focused populations across this state.”

A new 14-member council led by Hegar is responsible for doling out the bulk of the opioid settlement funding, though lawmakers can allocate some of the money through legislation.

A week before Campbell filed her opioid bill, Hansmire’s longtime business partner, Mark Salmans, registered a new company with the state called Friday Night Lights LLC. Little information is publicly available about the company.

Campaign finance records show Salmans has donated $6,500 to Paxton and his wife, state Sen. Angela Paxton, since late 2019. That includes a $1,000 donation to the attorney general the week after the Friday Night Lights Against Opioids announcement. He has not donated to Campbell, according to records from the same time period. Salmans and the Paxtons did not respond to questions about the new entity or their roles in the program.

Campbell also didn’t respond to questions. Her bill, which died in committee, came after both Paxtons publicly criticized Hegar for being slow to distribute the opioid settlement money. Neither Paxton mentioned the Friday Night Lights Against Opioids initiative while doing so.

“My main concern is that if we wait to use that money, we’re missing the opportunity to help people that need the help and we’re missing the opportunity to really save lives,” Ken Paxton said at a hearing in response to questions from Campbell less than two weeks before she filed her bill. Hegar has defended the pace, noting that the nature of the council’s work is unprecedented and that it needs to establish a clear, fair and transparent process to get the money out.

At a legislative hearing in late January, Hegar pointed to the sweeping corruption scandal that plagued the Cancer Prevention and Research Institute of Texas during its first few years as a reason to ensure a more deliberate process. The state agency came under fire a decade ago for doling out tens of millions of dollars in grants to politically connected applicants through a process that lacked proper scientific review. The scandal, which raised concerns about conflicts of interest and lax oversight, resulted in various resignations and reforms.

“The point is, we’re taking a slower approach to make sure we get it right,” Hegar told Angela Paxton. “That entire board was wiped away because the process that was put into place was not very thorough, and all of their reputations were tarnished.”

Opioids and missing children

At the October news conference where Paxton announced the Friday Night Lights Against Opioids initiative, Hansmire explained that it would employ the model pioneered by his child identification company, which got its start by distributing kits at college and professional football games.

He also linked the initiative to his child identification company by repeating the incorrect statistic he’s used to promote the company’s fingerprinting kits. Hansmire asserted that, “out of 800,000 children that are reported missing every year, 200,000 of those have an opioid issue.”

He didn’t cite a source for the figures, but they appear to come from an old Department of Justice study that was co-authored by David Finkelhor, the director of the Crimes Against Children Research Center at the University of New Hampshire. Finkelhor previously told ProPublica and the Tribune that the 800,000 figure Hansmire was using from the 24-year-old study was no longer accurate and overstated the scale of the missing children problem, in part because it included children who were missing for benign reasons such as spending the night at a friend’s house or coming home late from school. Using the inflated and outdated figure to then suggest that a quarter of those children have opioid-related problems is simply wrong, Finkelhor said.

The Department of Justice study estimated that 292,000 children who ran away or were kicked out of their homes in 1999 were “using hard drugs.” Finkelhor said the study referred to anything aside from marijuana — not just opioids — as a hard drug. He said he is not aware of anyone who formally tracks “opioid issues” among missing or runaway children.

Experts say that beyond being premised on incorrect statistics, the promotion of disposal packets as a solution for the opioid epidemic is a misguided use of resources, in large part because prescription opioids can be safely disposed of in multiple ways. According to the Food and Drug Administration, the best way to dispose of most medications, including opioids, is to drop them off at a drug take-back site. If that’s not an option, they should either be flushed down the toilet or be thrown in the trash, depending on whether they are on the FDA’s flush list.

Pushing disposal packets is a good way for a politician or legislator “to appear to be addressing the opioid crisis without actually doing anything that would upset industry,” said Dr. Andrew Kolodny, medical director for the Opioid Policy Research Collaborative at Brandeis University.

Paxton and Hansmire didn’t respond to questions about the effectiveness of the packets. But Paxton said during the October news conference that it was his “hope and prayer that this program will aid in fighting the opioid epidemic that has claimed far too many young lives across our great state.”

The attorney general’s original plan was to distribute the 3.5 million disposal packets at high school football programs across Texas in the latter part of last year. But Brian Polk, chief operating officer of the Texas High School Coaches Association, said the inaugural distribution was smaller than envisioned.

Polk, whose organization partnered with Paxton on the initiative, couldn’t remember exact numbers but said in an interview that about 10 school districts received 3,000 packets each. A much larger distribution is expected this fall, but plans are still being finalized, Polk said.

Paxton did not respond to questions about Polk’s comments or whether unsuccessful efforts to tap opioid settlement money contributed to the smaller-than-planned distribution.

Disclosure: The Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts has been a financial supporter of The Texas Tribune, a nonprofit, nonpartisan news organization that is funded in part by donations from members, foundations and corporate sponsors. Financial supporters play no role in the Tribune’s journalism. Find a complete list of them here.

Jeremy Schwartz, of ProPublica and The Texas Tribune, and Carla Astudillo, of The Texas Tribune, contributed reporting.


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This article originally appeared in The Texas Tribune at https://www.texastribune.org/2023/06/20/ken-paxton-kenny-hansmire-partner-on-opioid-program/.

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“Bombshell”: Internal docs highlight flaws in student debt case now before Supreme Court

As the U.S. Supreme Court nears a decision on President Joe Biden’s student debt relief proposal, an advocacy group on Friday published internal records revealing the “anxiety and confusion” of staffers at a loan company critics say is being spuriously used by Republican attorneys general in their attack on the president’s plan.

Internal documents from the Missouri Higher Education Loan Authority (MOHELA)—a private state-chartered lender—obtained by the Student Borrower Protection Center (SBPC) under Missouri’s Sunshine Law show that agency employees were confused by then-state Attorney General Eric Schmitt’s lawsuit and argument that Biden’s relief plan could harm the company.

That dubious claim—an independent report showed that not only would MOHELA not be harmed by Biden’s proposal, it would make more money—forms the purported basis for MOHELA’s standing in the suit, Biden v. Nebraska. Arkansas, Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, and South Carolina are suing the administration, alleging that its debt forgiveness plan violates the U.S. Constitution’s separation of powers and Administrative Procedure Act.

MOHELA is not even a plaintiff in the case, a fact that critics including progressive U.S. Rep. Cori Bush (D-Mo.) have cited in calling for the dismissal of the suit—one of two student debt relief cases the high court is expected to rule on sometime this month.

“These emails confirm what every honest observer has long understood: Missouri’s lawsuit is just a partisan hack job aimed at getting the right-wing attorney general’s name in the paper,” Ella Azoulay, SBPC’s research and policy analyst, said in a statement.

“MOHELA’s own staff agree—the case currently before the Supreme Court that is holding up debt relief for tens of millions of borrowers lacks standing, and it should be tossed aside,” Azoulay added.

“Just out of curiosity, is MOHELA apart [sic] of the lawsuit going on to prevent the loan forgiveness?” wrote one employee in an email. “Are we the bad guys?”

Another staffer wrote that Schmitt’s lawsuit”has nothing to do with us,except that they’re using the [Missouri] consumers harm as standing.”

Indeed, in an October 2022 letter to Bush—who had inquired about the lender’s relationship with the attorney general’s office—MOHELA said its “executives were not involved in the decision” by Schmitt to sue the Biden administration.

“I think MOHELA was opposed to this move, but couldn’t do anything about it,” wrote yet another staffer. “The Mo. state AG needed to claim that our borrowers were harmed for standing, so they’re making us look bad by filing this not only with Mo. on it, but especially bad because they filed it in Mo.”

During oral arguments in February, the Supreme Court’s right-wing supermajority signaled it is poised to side with Republicans challenging the debt cancellation program and strike it down.

Last week, a trio of progressive U.S. lawmakers—Reps. Ro Khanna (D-Calif.), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.), and Ayanna Pressley (D-Mass.)—implored the Biden administration to have a backup plan to aid student borrowers if the Supreme Court kills its debt cancellation proposal.

“Blatant as it comes”: Ethics experts sound alarm over Trump hotel deal with Oman

A new Trump hotel and golf course under development in the Gulf of Oman raises fresh ethical concerns as Donald Trump runs for president again in 2024, a New York Times investigation revealed Tuesday.

Trump was both invited into the project by a Saudi Arabian real estate firm with close ties to the Saudi government and is now directly in business with the government of Oman to develop it.

“This is as blatant as it comes,” Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington chief ethics council Virginia Canter told the Times. “How and when is he going to sell out U.S. interests? That is the question this creates. It is the kind of corruption our founding fathers most worried about.”

“I have never seen anything like the Oman deal, re the potential for a conflict of interest.”

As part of his investigation,Times reporter Eric Lipton conducted interviews, visited the Oman construction site, and looked over hundreds of pages of financial documents.

“As a NYT reporter, I’ve been investigating Trump family international deals since 2016,” Lipton tweeted. “India, Indonesia, Philippines, Turkey, Panama. I have never seen anything like the Oman deal, re the potential for a conflict of interest.”

According to the terms of the deal, the Trump Organization will design a hotel, golf course, and golf club and manage them for as long as 30 years. It will not put any money into the project, but has already received at least $5 million.

Its business partners are the Saudi real estate firm Dar Al Arkan and the government of Oman, which is putting up land and money for the project and will reap a share of the profits over time.

Lipton noted that both Trump and son-in-law Jared Kushner worked to deepen the U.S. relationship with Oman while Trump was in office. Oman is a U.S. ally and an important regional player because it maintains a relationship with both Saudi Arabia and Iran.

Trump also deepened ties with Saudi Arabia during his presidency. After his departure, he and Kushner have continued to do business with the country, as he worked with Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund to host the LIV golf tour and Kushner received a $2 billion investment from the fund.

Trump announced that he would seek reelection on November 15, 2022. Days later, DarGlobal posted a video on YouTube launching the Trump-brand facilities at the Oman resort that featured footage of a Trump tower deal-closing event that Trump attended the same week. In February 2023, after his father had already thrown his hat into the presidential ring, Eric Trump traveled to Oman to meet with officials there.

“His stake in the project in Oman as he runs for president again only focuses more attention on whether and how his own financial interests could influence foreign policy were he to return to the White House,” Lipton wrote for the Times.

The federal prosecutors behind Trump’s indictment for mishandling classified documents have already subpoenaed information about his deals with foreign governments, including the LIV golf tour.

“This alone should disqualify Trump from ever being president again,” journalist Victoria Brownworth tweeted in response to the Times revelations.

Another potential concern raised by Lipton is the possibility of labor rights violations in the construction of the project. Daytime temperatures in Oman can reach into the 100s of degrees Fahrenheit, and the country, like other gulf nations, has faced criticism for its treatment of migrant workers. Workers on the new project were paid as little as $340 per month for the first phase of construction, an engineer told Lipton.

“It’s too hot—too hot,” 38-year-old supervisor Mathan Mp of Tamil Nadu, India, told the Times. “But we came for work. We have a time schedule. We have to finish the project.”

Can we train our taste buds for health? A neuroscientist explains how genes and diet shape taste

Have you ever wondered why only hummingbirds sip nectar from feeders?

Unlike sparrows, finches and most other birds, hummingbirds can taste sweetness because they carry the genetic instructions necessary to detect sugar molecules.

Like hummingbirds, we humans can sense sugar because our DNA contains gene sequences coding for the molecular detectors that allow us to detect sweetness.

But it is more complex than that. Our ability to sense sweetness, as well as other tastes, involves a delicate dance between our genetic makeup and the foods we encounter from the womb to the dinner table.

Neuroscientists like me are working to decipher how this intricate interplay between genes and diet shapes taste.

In my laboratory at the University of Michigan, we are diving deeply into one specific aspect, which is how consuming too much sugar dulls the sense of sweetness. Taste is so central to our eating habits that understanding how genes and the environment shape it has crucial implications for nutrition, food science and disease prevention.

 

The role of genes in sensing taste

As with hummingbirds, the human ability to discern what food tastes like depends on the presence of taste receptors. These molecular detectors are found on the sensory cells, which are housed inside the taste buds, the sensory organs on the surface of the tongue.

The interactions between taste receptors and food molecules give rise to the five basic taste qualities: sweetness, savoriness, bitterness, saltiness and sourness, which are transmitted from the mouth to the brain via specific nerves.

            A diagram of a taste bud, with arrows pointing to the taste pore, a taste receptor cell and taste cells.
A diagram of a taste bud, indicating different types of cells and the sensory nerve. Julia Kuhl and Monica Dus, CC BY-NC-ND
           

For instance, when sugar binds to the sweet receptor, it signals sweetness. Our innate preference for the taste of some foods over others is rooted in how the tongue and the brain became wired during our evolutionary history. Taste qualities signaling the presence of essential nutrients and energy, like salt and sugar, send information to brain areas linked to pleasure. Conversely, tastes that alert us to potentially harmful substances, such as the bitterness of certain toxins, are connected to those that make us feel discomfort or pain.

While the presence of genes encoding for functional taste receptors in our DNA allows us to detect food molecules, how we respond to these also depends on the unique combination of taste genes we carry. Like ice cream, genes, including those for taste receptors, come in different flavors.

Take, for instance, a taste receptor for bitterness called TAS2R38. Scientists found small changes in the genetic code for the TAS2R38 gene among different people. These genetic variants affect how people perceive the bitterness of vegetables, berries and wine.

           

Aside from allowing us to taste the wide variety of flavors in foods, taste also helps us distinguish between foods that are healthy or potentially harmful, such as spoiled milk.

Follow-up studies have suggested a link between those same variants and food choice, particularly with respect to vegetable and alcohol consumption.

Many more variants exist in our gene repertoire, including those for the sweet taste receptor. However, whether and how these genetic differences affect our taste and eating habits is still being worked out. What is certain is that while genetics lays the groundwork for taste sensations and preferences, experiences with food can profoundly reshape them.

 

How diet influences taste

Many of our innate sensations and preferences are molded by our early experiences with food, sometimes before we’re even born. Some molecules from the mother’s diet, like garlic or carrots, reach the fetus’s developing taste buds via the amniotic fluid and can affect the appreciation of these foods after birth.

Infant formula can also influence food preferences later on. For example, research shows that infants fed with formulas that are not based on cow’s milk — which are more bitter and sour because of their amino acid content — are more accepting of bitter, sour and savory foods such as vegetables after weaning than those who consume cow milk-based formula. And toddlers who drink sweetened water strongly prefer sweet beverages as early as age 2.

The effect of food on our taste predispositions doesn’t stop in early life: What we eat as adults, especially our sugar and salt intake, can also shape how we perceive and potentially choose food. Cutting down on sodium in our diet decreases our preferred level of saltiness, whereas consuming more makes us like saltier foods.

Something similar occurs with sugar: Reduce sugar in your diet and you may find food sweeter. Conversely, as research in rats and flies suggests, high sugar levels may dull your sensation of sweetness.

Although we researchers are still working out the exact how and why, studies show that high sugar and fat intake in animal models dampens the responsiveness of taste cells and nerves to sugars, modifies the number of taste cells available and even flips genetic switches in the taste cells’ DNA.

In my lab, we’ve shown that these taste alterations in rats return to normal within weeks when the extra sugar is removed from the diet.

   

Illness can also influence taste

Genetics and food aren’t the only factors that affect taste.

As many of us discovered during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, disease can also play a role. After testing positive for COVID-19, I couldn’t tell the difference between sweet, bitter and sour foods for months.

Researchers have found that about 40% of people infected with SARS-CoV-2 experience impairment in taste and smell. In about 5% of those people, these taste deficits persist for months and years.

Although researchers don’t understand what causes these sensory alterations, the leading hypothesis is that the virus infects the cells that support the taste and smell receptors.

 

Training taste buds for healthier eating

By shaping our eating habits, the intricate dance between genes, diet, disease and taste can affect the risk for chronic diseases.

Beyond distinguishing food from toxins, the brain uses taste signals as a proxy to estimate the filling power of foods. In nature, the stronger a food tastes — in terms of sweetness or saltiness — is directly connected to its nutrient levels and calorie content. For example, a mango contains five times the amount of sugar than a cup of strawberries and this is why it tastes sweeter and is more filling. Thus, taste is important not just for food enjoyment and choice, but also for regulating food intake.

When taste is altered by diet or disease, sensory and nutrient information could become “decoupled” and no longer provide accurate information to our brains about portion size. Research shows this may also occur with consumption of artificial sweeteners.

And indeed, in recent studies in invertebrate animal models, our lab discovered that the changes in taste caused by high dietary sugar intake drove higher eating by impairing these food predictions. Notably, many of the eating 
patterns and brain changes we observed in flies have also been discovered in people who ate foods high in sugar or fat or who had high body-mass index. This raises the question of whether these effects also arise from taste and sensory alterations in our brains.  

But there is a silver lining to the adaptable nature of taste. Since diet shapes our senses, we can actually train our taste buds — and our brains — to respond and prefer foods with lower quantities of sugar and salt.

Interestingly, many people already say that they find foods overly sweet, which may not be surprising since between 60% to 70% of grocery store foods contain added sugar. Reformulating foods tailored to our genes and the plasticity of our taste buds could be a practical and powerful tool to enhance nutrition, promote health and decrease the burden of chronic disease.

Monica Dus, Associate Professor of Molecular, Cellular, and Developmental Biology, University of Michigan

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

“It is an admission”: Legal experts warn Trump’s “I was very busy” defense could blow up in his face

Former President Donald Trump in his first interview since being indicted on federal charges for retaining national security documents said he failed to hand over government records to federal officials because he was “very busy” and didn’t have time to sort through the box’s contents.

During an interview with Fox News, the ex-president said that the National Archives and Records Administration had requested the return of documents that were mixed with his personal belongings in containers stored at his Mar-a-Lago estate. He wanted to go through the boxes and get all of my personal things out, he added.

“I don’t want to hand that over to NARA yet,” Trump said. “And I was very busy, as you’ve sort of seen.”

Trump, who last week was indicted on 37 counts related to stashing documents at Mar-a-Lago and obstructing government efforts to retrieve them, acknowledged that he failed to fulfill the federal government’s demands requesting the return of classified documents.  

“Trump’s defense that he was too busy to return national defense information is not a valid legal defense,” former U.S. Attorney Barb McQuade, a University of Michigan law professor, told Salon. “In fact, it is an admission that he failed to turn over the documents when requested. In addition, not only did he fail to return the documents, he also engaged in proactive efforts to lie and obstruct the investigation.”

After leaving office, the former president reportedly took classified materials with him containing intelligence on nuclear weapons programs and information on the nation’s defense capabilities. 

Even as the government pressed Trump to return all materials taken to Mar-a-Lago, he ignored the subpoena and engaged in repeated efforts to obstruct the investigators’ efforts to retrieve the documents, the indictment alleges.

“Had he complied with those requests in good faith earlier in 2021 and 2022, it is very likely the FBI search would never have happened in the first place, with the subsequent federal indictment that followed for the unlawful and willful possession of classified government documents,” Javed Ali, former senior counterterrorism official at the Department of Homeland Security, told Salon.

He added that the former president’s claims that he was too busy to sort through the boxes of personal effects and government documents will not “hold water from a legal perspective” as it “shows a disdain” for the process NARA and DOJ had in place to have Trump first return those in a timely manner before the FBI conducted a search at Mar-a-Lago last August. 

The search yielded more than 100 classified documents from Mar-a-Lago despite Trump’s team affirming that they had returned all documents following a diligent search in response to a grand jury subpoena.

Trump’s recent indictment alleged that the ex-president stored classified materials in different areas of Mar-a-Lago, including his bedroom, ballroom and even next to a toilet in a bathroom. 


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“These are documents the DOJ says were classified, that contained information on U.S. nuclear weapons and the nuclear capabilities of a foreign country, and Trump is saying he didn’t personally have time to go through the boxes and pull out his golf shirts and shoes,” said Joshua Ritter, a former Los Angeles County prosecutor and a partner at the firm El Dabe Ritter.

It comes across as “dismissive of a very serious matter”, he added, pointing to how his lawyers may also view Trump’s tone as the wrong approach he should take in this case. 

“The indictment made clear that Trump had personnel in place to go through the documents and to comply with the request from NARA, if he had wanted to,” Ritter said. 

The indictment also alleged that Trump engaged in repeated efforts to sway his attorneys to lie to authorities about federal documents and suggested they tamper with the evidence. 

When asked by Fox News’ Bret Baier why he kept troves of classified materials at Mar-a-Lago and refused to comply with the government’s subpoena, Trump explained he couldn’t hand over the boxes immediately because he needed time to take out personal items like “golf shirts, clothing, pants, shoes.”

“Like every other president I take things out,” Trump said. “In my case, I took it out pretty much in a hurry. People packed it up and left. I had clothing in there, I had all sorts of personal items in there. Much, much stuff.” 

Baier also addressed a recording made at Trump’s Bedminster golf club in July 2021 in which he admitted to holding onto a classified Pentagon document about a potential attack on Iran and acknowledged he no longer had the authority to declassify it.

It contradicts his previous claims that he declassified all material he took from the White House.

But in the Fox interview, Trump insisted “everything was declassified” and said he did not “know” if the materials he took contained documents detailing an attack plan against Iran even though the July recording makes it clear that he did. 

“Trump’s latest comments aren’t going to help his criminal defense, but it’s becoming obvious that Trump intends to ‘litigate’ this case in the arena of politics and PR and not in the courtroom,” Ritter said. “… He’s essentially admitting that he knew the government wanted these documents back but that he dragged his feet. It’s not a great legal argument, but Trump may think he set exactly the right tone with this Fox News interview because he advanced the narrative that the Biden administration is unfairly pursuing him and that this is a witch hunt. He sees this indictment as a political boon because it bolsters his persona as the one man who is standing up against the establishment and is being unfairly persecuted because of it.”

Here’s why experts say men need more friends in their lives — and how they can make them

At a midtown Japanese restaurant the other evening, I found myself seated near a party of four men in their thirties, doing just what groups typically do in restaurants — ordering large platters of appetizers and rounds of beer. It seemed like a normal night out for a quartet of buddies. What was unusual about it was that they didn’t seem to be having any fun at all. As I leaned a shoulder in their direction to eavesdrop a little on their banter, the explanation became clear. They were just gathered for an after-hours work meeting. They weren’t really friends at all. Maybe every man at that table had a rich and fulfilling social life outside of their corporate one. Yet I believe their gathering had caught my attention because it had just seemed so strikingly lonely.


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Isolation is a public health crisis that affects everyone. In May, the U.S. Surgeon General released a report on the “epidemic of loneliness and isolation in the United States,” noting that “Even before the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic, approximately half of U.S. adults reported experiencing measurable levels of loneliness.” Yet men seem to be uniquely vulnerable. 

“Fifteen percent of men have no close friendships at all.”

In 2021, findings from the Survey Center on American Life put the problem into stark context. “Thirty years ago, a majority of men (55 percent) reported having at least six close friends,” the report revealed. “Today, that number has been cut in half. Slightly more than one in four (27 percent) men have six or more close friends today. Fifteen percent of men have no close friendships at all, a fivefold increase since 1990.” Similarly, a 2016 U.K. survey by the men’s health foundation Movember found that “One in ten men couldn’t recall the last time they made contact with their friends.”

The male “friendship recession,” as the Center refers to it, can have serious implications. Sustained loneliness is a contributing risk factor for heart disease, stroke and dementia. The Surgeon General reports, “Lacking social connection increases risk of premature death by more than 60%.” And in a 2021 report on men’s mental health, the American Journal of Men’s Health states that “The suicide mortality rate of men is nearly four times the rate of women.” For men, making and keeping friends might literally save their lives. 

Part of this friendship deficit problem is that we don’t prime men adequately for friendship when they’re still boys. Writing in the Journal of Research on Adolescence a decade ago, New York University professor Niobe Way found that “While boys often had intimate male friendships during early and middle adolescence, they typically lost such friendships by late adolescence, even though they continued to want them.” 

“Boys have these really close, intimate, friendships. They love being together,” Kevin Roy, Ph.D., Professor in the Department of Family Science at the University of Maryland College Park School of Public Health tells me. “Then about the age of 13, we implicitly and explicitly tell a lot of young men that’s not cool. You should be a lone wolf, should be able to stand in your own.” He adds, “I think that just comes out of all the messages they get from all of us, not just media, but families and communities.”

What follows feels painfully inevitable. “I don’t think that boys young men develop the relationship skills, the muscles to have that kind of sharing go on later in life,” Roy says. “So they don’t know how to share their grief, to deal with loss. They keep it inside. Ultimately you end up with a desperate need to process a lot of stuff, and I think the consequences of that long term are depression, isolation, feeling sad.” 

“You end up with a desperate need to process a lot of stuff.”

And sadness, for a lot of men, often looks like just one thing. “I ask all my undergrads the same question the first day of class,” Roy says. “What emotions can men express? Everyone says one emotion, and it’s anger. That’s what we expect. That’s what men think they do. Even if men feel sadness and frustration, they express it as anger, or people perceive it as anger.”

Christine Yu Moutier, M.D., Chief Medical Officer for the American Foundation for Suicide Prevention, echoes Roy’s observation. “Anger is a vastly misunderstood warning sign,” she says, “because it looks aggressive. But oftentimes, when a man is struggling, that has become the socially acceptable way to express distress.” She says that breaking those one-note patterns and expectations can be “something as basic as getting beyond our own unconscious bias about gender, and really helping people to understand that men, like all humans, have a full range of emotions and sensitivities. We just need to start assuming that that’s fair for everybody.”

Steve Siple, a previous board chair for AFSP, knows personally the ways in which mental health issues manifest differently in men — as well as the power of having friends in your corner. After losing his father to suicide and becoming a volunteer leader for AFSP, he says that “Despite the fact that I have been for the most part successfully coping with my mental health challenges for several years through ongoing therapy and other means, it took the external observation by a friend with unique background and experience to recognize my struggle at a critical time.”

He acknowledges that now as he and his wife transition to becoming empty nesters, “Maintaining a healthy male friend group (or ideally multiple ones) is critical for my mental health,” adding, “but it is not always easy to establish or maintain these connections.”

Fortunately, “not easy” is nowhere near the same as “impossible,” and dormant friend-building muscles can be built up. It’s just about starting small, and remembering that friendship is actually supposed to be fun. 

Just as social isolation can create a snowball effect of mental and physical health problems, the camaraderie of fandom can have a powerful benefit

Siple says, “Many men (myself included) struggle with being proactive in our male relationships. It is important for men to explore any and every outlet to make and maintain these connections. Formality isn’t necessary. Whether it’s a running group, trivia team, Bible study, or whatever, I believe this social connectivity is an incredibly important aspect of our mental health.”

Another path to creating or strengthening friendships is in the form of a unifying love of a favorite team. Writer Ben Valenta, coauthor (with David Sikorjak) of 2022’s infectiously persuasive “Fans Have More Friends,” acknowledges that we are living through “an era of rising loneliness, and this predates the pandemic.” But, he says, “Alongside that, there are mechanisms that create opportunities for connection and interaction. That’s what we’re arguing for with sports.”

In researching for the book, Valenta says that he and Sikorjak found that “The more engaged you are as a fan, the more friends you will have. That’s true, no matter the demographic in question, no matter the gender, ethnicity, age. Fandom creates social connection, and it results in a more active vibrant social network. You will have more friends if you are an engaged sports fan. And,” he says, “that’s not where it ends. You are also more likely to interact with those friends more frequently. And you’re more likely to value those relationships more.” 

Just as social isolation can create a snowball effect of mental and physical health problems, the camaraderie of fandom can have a powerful benefit. “It’s not just that fans have more friends,” says Valenta. “As a result of that social interaction, they’re happier, they’re more satisfied with their life. They are more grateful, they are less lonely, they experience more belonging, they are more likely to give to charity, they’re more likely to be registered to vote. There’s a whole host of objectively positive metrics that correlate with increased engaged sports.”

Of course, as Valenta points out, everyone can benefit from fandom. But because generally “Women tend to socialize face to face, and men tend to socialize shoulder to shoulder,” he suggests, “you need an activity, an anchoring interaction.” And having a more expansive group of friends benefits the women in men’s lives, who are often called upon to do the emotional labor in relationships, serving not just as partners but de facto besties. 

Regular, sustained, often enjoyable interaction can in turn help make it feel safer for men to then go deeper when needed. “There are ways to facilitate opening up and disclosing what’s going on on the inside,” says Dr. Moutier. “That happens most readily from one man opening up first to share something more personal that will signal to the other man, this is something we talk about. Sometimes part of that opening up the dialogue towards deeper discussion, and potentially even asking about suicidal thoughts, is actually just taking that risk to open up and disclose what’s going on at a deeper level oneself.” 

It can start as simply as sending a funny text, making a plan to meet up at dog park, or watching the game together. Valetta says, “I’m actually from Denver. The Nuggets just won their first NBA championship. As I’m watching the game live when they got title, my phone is just exploding. It’s all because of this team and this game. We tend to read that as not as vital social interaction, but as something kind of mindless or trivial. And it’s not. Those are all meaningful interactions for keeping me in touch with people that live where I’m from. That connection, to my family and my friends, is critically important. These little things that we can do that are so practical, that have such a big impact that people, are just right under our noses. And if we leaned into it, then the world would be a better place.”

“Shocking revelation”: Report reveals DOJ didn’t target Trump for Capitol riot until Jan. 6 hearings

The FBI resisted opening an investigation into former President Donald Trump’s role in the deadly Jan. 6 Capitol riot for more than a year, according to The Washington Post.

The report details how Department of Justice officials shut down an early plan for a task force focused on the former president and those closest to him. Washington Post reporter Carol Leonnig told MSNBC on Monday that those officials were finally spurred into action once the House Select Committee launched its own probe into the Jan 6 attacks. 

Leonnig shared that much of the hesitance came as a result of Trump’s fear-mongering. The FBI was worried because numerous people had lost their jobs as a result of the FBI’s investigation into Trump’s connections to Russia in 2016 and the DOJ was concerned about appearing to be targeting the GOP directly, as many Republicans were involved with the events on Jan. 6. 

“Merrick Garland and Lisa Monaco embraced the strategy of let’s do it like a mob case,” Leonnig said. “Build up from the riot. Figure out if there’s somebody higher and higher and higher and perhaps it will lead to those individuals around Donald Trump. Perhaps not. Let’s let the evidence lead us up that ladder.

“The problem is there is no ladder between militia members, the Oath Keepers, and the Proud Boys wearing flak jackets and bullet-proof vests and carrying bear spray and emails to Mark Meadows or Donald Trump or Rudy Giuliani about convincing state officials to help them create fake electors to swing the election for Trump and away from Biden.

“As it started to emerge in the summer and especially the fall of 2022, still, the DOJ sort of turned its eyes away from this until it became a drumbeat of criticism, news stories, some of them on this story and some of them in my paper. And a groundswell of concern that the Jan. 6th committee was really without the same kind of power as the Department of Justice uncovering stunning and worrisome and, likely criminal acts,” she continued.


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Former federal prosecutor Andrew Weissman, who served on special counsel Bob Mueller’s team, told MSBC that “it is taking politics into account when you decide that you’re going to create a higher standard before you look at somebody who committed a crime.”

“But according to The Washington Post, over and over again, the department’s leadership was saying no to an investigation,” he continued. “That is inherently political. Obviously, it is not on the same plane. Not the same level as Barr did where you’re actively going arrest people because of politics, but not going after people is also a real wrong, and we’re suffering the consequences of it now because there has been a delay, and as Carol rightly said, there is a race with the clock in terms of what Jack Smith is doing.”

Former Watergate prosecutor Jill Wine-Banks tweeted that “​​the most shocking revelation in this excellent reporting is the brazen refusal of the FBI to cooperate in investigating as requested by DOJ — though the DOJ higher ups were certainly not helping the line prosecutors.”

“When I was at DOJ, FBI worked collaboratively with us,” she added.

Former federal prosecutor Glenn Kirschner argued that the DOJ “had… enough evidence to open a criminal probe of Donald Trump on January 7th, 2021.”

How do spices get their flavor?

Curious Kids is a series for children of all ages. If you have a question you’d like an expert to answer, send it to curiouskidsus@theconversation.com.


 

 

How do spices get their flavor? — Liam, age 6, San Francisco

 


I love savory and spicy foods. Lasagna laden with basil and oregano. Beautifully golden curries infused with turmeric or rice flavored with saffron. I can’t pass up a cinnamon-dusted snickerdoodle cookie. And some of my favorite childhood memories center on my mom’s nutmeg-infused sweet potato pie.

These ingredients come from many different plants and distinct plant parts, including leaves, seeds, bark and plant oils. Their flavors are created by accumulated phytochemicals — substances the plants make. “Phyto” comes from the Latin word for plant.

Plants produce chemicals for different purposes. In my recent book, “Lessons from Plants,” I explore how plants use some of those compounds to communicate with one another.

Many of the chemicals that make up spice flavors can play important roles, such as protecting the plant against pests or pathogens. Known as secondary compounds, they can also help plants adapt to changes in the world around them. And, as spices, they communicate powerfully to our taste buds.

           

Harvesting Ceylon cinnamon in Sri Lanka involves a lot of handwork.

Common kitchen herbs like basil and oregano come from leafy plants. Essential aromatic oils that accumulate in the plants’ leaves produce their flavors. For basil, those oils are called eugenol and linalool; oregano gets its flavors from carvacrol and thymol. Oils from both of these herbs have medicinal uses against infections, pain and swelling.

Other common spices, such as pepper and red chili, come from the berries or fruits of plants. Black pepper is made by grinding the small berries, known as peppercorns, from the plant Piper nigrum. Red pepper comes from ground-up dried chiles — small, hot-tasting fruits that grow on low bushes.

Turmeric spice comes from another plant part — the rhizomes, or underground stems, of the flowering plant Curcuma longa. Rhizomes often are confused with roots, but they are more like stems that grow sideways underground and help the plant spread. A relative of ginger, another rhizome-derived spice, turmeric is beautifully orange and is used in a range of cooking that includes my beloved curries.

Saffron is from the red-colored, threadlike stigmas of the plant Crocus sativus. The stigma is one component of the female part of a flower. Saffron is one of the most expensive spices, because harvesting stigmas is very labor-intensive — it’s typically done by hand with tweezers. Saffron is high in antioxidants and has been used as a medicine, dye and perfume.

Cinnamon, which cooks use in all kinds of baked goods, is derived from yet another plant part: the inner bark of tree species from the genus Cinnamomum. The phytochemical that gives cinnamon its distinctive smell and its rich woody flavor is the aromatic compound cinnamaldehyde.

Rich in antioxidants, cinnamon may help control blood pressure and reduce inflammation. It also has natural antifungal and antimicrobial properties that may serve to protect the trees that produce it.

The dried nutmeg that my mom used in her legendary pie comes from grinding the seed of the tropical evergreen tree family Myristica fragrans. The same plant produces another spice, called mace, which is often used to flavor baked custards and to spice sausages or other meat.

Plants can teach us all kinds of meaningful lessons. One of their powerful truths is that variety is literally the spice of life. I’m thankful for their tasty chemical defenses every time I cook.


Hello, curious kids! Do you have a question you’d like an expert to answer? Ask an adult to send your question to CuriousKidsUS@theconversation.com. Please tell us your name, age and the city where you live.

And since curiosity has no age limit – adults, let us know what you’re wondering, too. We won’t be able to answer every question, but we will do our best.

Beronda L. Montgomery, Vice President of Academic Affairs and Dean of the College, Grinnell College

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

“Whataboutism”: GOP immediately rushes to “shift the goal posts” over Hunter Biden plea deal

Hunter Biden is expected to plead guilty to two federal misdemeanor counts of failing to pay his taxes in a plea deal made with Trump-appointed Delaware U.S. Attorney David Weiss. 

The president’s son is also facing a gun possession charge that will likely be waived if he is able to meet certain conditions, NBC News reported.

“Hunter Biden received taxable income in excess of $1,500,000 annually in calendar years 2017 and 2018. Despite owing in excess of $100,000 in federal income taxes each year, he did not pay the income tax due for either year,” Weiss’s office said in a statement. The statement added that “from on or about October 12, 2018 through October 23, 2018, Hunter Biden possessed a firearm despite knowing he was an unlawful user of and addicted to a controlled substance.” 

Though Weiss’s office indicated that the yearslong probe into Biden’s finances is ongoing, the U.S. Attorney’s decision signals that the investigation is nearing its end. 

“With the announcement of two agreements between my client, Hunter Biden, and the United States Attorney’s Office for the District of Delaware, it is my understanding that the five-year investigation into Hunter is resolved,” said Biden’s attorney, Chris Clark. “Hunter will take responsibility for two instances of misdemeanor failure to file tax payments when due pursuant to a plea agreement. A firearm charge, which will be subject to a pretrial diversion agreement and will not be the subject of the plea agreement, will also be filed by the Government. I know Hunter believes it is important to take responsibility for these mistakes he made during a period of turmoil and addiction in his life. He looks forward to continuing his recovery and moving forward.”

The White House issued a brief statement on the news.

“The President and First Lady love their son and support him as he continues to rebuild his life. We will have no further comment,” said a White House spokesperson.

Legal experts said the charges against the president’s son undercut conservative gripes alleging liberal bias among the Justice Department and the FBI.

“Our system isn’t perfect,” wrote former federal prosecutor Renato Mariotti, “but it is a testament to the rule of law and the Administration’s non-interference in the Justice Department that the President’s son can be investigated, prosecuted, and convicted during his father’s term in office.”

“DOJ just negotiated a plea deal with Hunter Biden to have Hunter plead guilty to crimes. No indications from the President he intends to fire everyone involved for daring to do so. Imagine that,” tweeted attorney Bradley P. Moss.

“Now that Hunter is pleading guilty to three crimes, the goal posts will be shifted from ‘the president is stopping DOJ from prosecuting Hunter’ to ‘the president made DOJ offer this plea deal to Hunter,'” Moss predicted. “And on and on the circus will continue.”

Orin Kerr,  a law professor at the University of California, Berkeley, also predicted that the “whataboutism will not stop, of course, as it was not genuine.”

“But it’s notable that a President’s DOJ charged the President’s son with a crime without the President intervening,” he wrote. “Mentally preparing for the quick transition from ‘Biden is corrupt because his DOJ hasn’t charged his son with a crime’ Twitter to ‘Biden is corrupt because his DOJ, which had to charge his son with a crime, took a misdemeanor plea’ Twitter,” Kerr added. 


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Like clockwork, Trump and his MAGA allies exploded over the plea deal.

“Our system is BROKEN!” Trump claimed on Truth Social.

“The corrupt Biden DOJ just cleared up hundreds of years of criminal liability by giving Hunter Biden a mere ‘traffic ticket,'” Trump wrote. 

“People are going wild over the Hunter Biden Scam with the DOJ!” Trump stated in another post.

House Oversight Chairman Rep. James Comer, R-Ky., argued that “Hunter Biden is getting away with a slap on the wrist when growing evidence uncovered by the House Oversight Committee reveals the Bidens engaged in a pattern of corruption, influence peddling, and possibly bribery.”

“It’s no coincidence that less than a week after President Trump is arraigned by the DOJ, Hunter Biden is pleading guilty to a sweetheart deal with no jail time,” tweeted Sen. Marsha Blackburn, R-Tenn.

“Biden’s DOJ is treating Hunter w/ kid gloves, giving him a deal that only the president’s son could receive.” alleged Rep. Kevin Hern, R-Okla. “

Trump, of course, could have avoided his own charges if he had listened to his attorneys’ advice to return the documents rather than listening to Judicial Watch activist Tom Fitton, who is not a lawyer, who claimed he could simply keep the documents by claiming they were his, according to The Washington Post, and rejected his lawyers’ efforts to negotiate a settlement with the DOJ before he was charged with 37 federal crimes.

“If he had listened to his lawyers, rather than to Tom Fitton,” Moss tweeted, “he likely could have avoided criminal charges entirely.” 

We focused on the wrong feminist icon in the “Sex and the City” franchise

Everyone’s obsessed with a promised phone call between Sarah Jessica Parker’s Carrie Bradshaw and Kim Cattrall‘s Samantha Jones for the upcoming season of  “And just Like That,” as well as Cynthia Nixon’s Miranda coming out and dating the divisive Che (Sara Ramirez). But everyone’s been focusing on the wrong heroine.

Despite becoming a freelance writer, I now identified with a totally different woman because I was one myself.

I’m a Jewish, liberal Manhattan girl raised by a hippie mother. I never paid attention to Kristin Davis’ WASP-y Charlotte York (later Goldenblatt) when “Sex and the City” premiered in 1998. But she eventually resonated in more ways that I could’ve imagined. Twenty five years later, I realized the truest role model of the series was there all along – hiding behind all the salaciousness. 

At 42, I watched the show with an entirely new perspective. I’ve been through two miscarriages, many failed IVF cycles, and my (still in progress) journey to parenthood has been more complicated than I could’ve thought. When I rewatched the original series, I realized Charlotte embodied who I should’ve paid more attention to and the one I currently need. 

Almost three decades later, women’s health and fertility are still largely unexplored in TV and movies. Yet Charlotte’s story which included loss, grief, IVF failure, adoption and eventually, natural childbirth — was vastly ahead of its time. It depicted something more relatable in 2023 – no one is immune from infertility – not even seemingly perfect people like Charlotte.   

In the early 2000’s, I declared myself to be “a Carrie.” I was quirky, aspired to sell stories, and wore tutus, and name earrings – not pearls and cardigans. I’d been told I looked like Sarah Jessica Parker on occasion too. 

Charlotte’s art gallery job, marriage to the preppy Trey (Kyle MacLachlan), their difficulties with sex and procreation and then later, her story with Harry (Evan Handler) – didn’t register at all. Her intense desire to marry and start a family wasn’t relatable, and I was more concerned with Carrie’s books and her love story with Big (Chris Noth).

But despite becoming a freelance writer, I now identified with a totally different woman because I was one myself. I’d lost a certain prior innocence and understood a new kind of grief. In old episodes, I recognized aspects of my own life. 

Upon finding out about Miranda’s pregnancy in the fourth season, Charlotte’s response is: “Steve only has one ball, it’s not fair, how could you do this to me?” She skips baby Brady’s first birthday a year later while grieving the early miscarriage of her own surprise pregnancy. 

In “Sex and the City’s” final season, Charlotte’s IVF doctor calls to tell her none of her latest eggs are viable, and she takes up running to cope with the grief. I’d gotten this same phone call from my own doctor . . . on more than one occasion. Watching actress Kristin Davis portray the character’s grief so quietly, yet profoundly impacted me. I wasn’t a runner but I could understand finding a passion to help yourself heal. In the years since my difficult journey to have a baby, naturally and scientifically, I’d used writing as the same kind of escape. 

Kristin Davis; Sex and the CityActress Kristin Davis Stars In The Comedy Series “Sex And The City” Now In Its Third Season. (Getty Images)Later, her beloved, adopted dog Elizabeth Taylor (who she, importantly, connected with while running at the Central Park reservoir) becomes pregnant, and Charlotte, despite the excitement, can’t help but be envious. I felt this scene as if I’d written the character’s words myself. I understood the unexplainable, yet real emotion of being envious of someone you were also happy to celebrate – maybe not a pregnant dog – but all the friends around me I’d watched go on to have children. 

In the Season 4 episode “Ring a Ding Ding,” newly single Charlotte gives her wedding ring to Carrie so she can buy her apartment. “But you love this ring, ” says Carrie in protest, to which Charlotte responds, “No, I loved what it represented.” 

It’s a significant moment for their friendship but especially for the character – and symbolized her walking away from a fantasy life, in order to find her real one.  It’s something every woman struggling to have a baby (or any person for that matter) has experienced. There is a shift when you relinquish one dream so you can welcome another. Though I didn’t know it in my 20s, Charlotte was an important cultural touchstone to me in my 40s. I looked to it as a reference point when I finally accepted the loss of any real control over my own fertility.  

The series ended with Charlotte and her second husband Harry walking their Cavalier King Charles spaniel puppies, awaiting Lily, an adopted baby girl from China. In the 2008 movie, Charlotte gave birth naturally to a second daughter, Rose. 

Sex and the CityThe cast of “Sex And The City”: Kristin Davis, Kim Cattrall, Cynthia Nixon and Sarah Jessica Parker. (Paramount Pictures/Getty Images)When the “Sex and the City” sequel series “And Just Like That” debuted last year, my family wasn’t yet complete – and still isn’t – as I still dream of having a child. But I gravitated towards Charlotte anyway. 

I couldn’t relate to being a PTA, cookie baker, type A mom or navigating daughter Rose’s identity changes. Yet, her present life – her loving relationship with Harry and their children – had both traditionally and unconventionally – registered more than any of the other women’s lives. But importantly, it highlighted another admirable trait: her compassion. 

In the new series’ first season, Mrs. Goldenblatt was also the most loyal and supportive friend. When Miranda had obvious drinking issues, Charlotte was the first to notice, while a distracted Carrie ignored it. Then, when Carrie believed Big sent messages from the afterlife through her lamp, Miranda dismissed it. But Charlotte supported the grief-stricken widow when it was needed. 

Between bedtime stories, blow jobs, and being a best friend, who I ask you is better than Charlotte York Goldenblatt? 

In trailers of the second season of “And Just Like” Charlotte returns to work, bringing her story, and life, full circle. The series briefly touches upon infertility topics again – new character Dr. Nya Wallace (Karen Pittman) confessed to Miranda last season that she had undergone two failed IVF cycles. 

Although Charlotte’s story is overshadowed most times, upon reflection, it’s pivotal. More than any of the other characters, she represented the idea that a happy ending is possible. Ironically, the person I always thought I resembled the least wound up being who inspired me the most.

“And Just Like That” returns for Season 2 on Thursday, June 22.

Judge Aileen Cannon sets “utterly bananas” trial date — but experts expect Trump to delay case

The Trump-appointed judge overseeing his Mar-a-Lago indictment set a trial date for August but legal experts expect that the proceedings will drag out much longer as former President Donald Trump seeks to delay the case.

Aileen Cannon, a controversial judge who earlier issued a series of rulings siding with the former president that were later overturned, has “almost unfettered discretion” on how to manage the trial courtroom, per Politico. This operative authority includes setting the trial date and determining how quickly it proceeds, scheduling deadlines, hearing arguments and entering rulings. The New York Times found that Cannon has only spent 14 days in her already short tenure as a justice overseeing criminal trials, a level of experience that is not commensurate with the weight of the impending trial and its implications. 

The Daily Beast reported that Cannon has slated Trump’s trial for August 14, a far cry from most federal trials, which often take up to a year or more as all parties ready themselves for legal battle. 

“This is utterly bananas,” wrote The Daily Beast’s Jose Pagliery. “Judge Cannon just set Trump’s Mar-a-Lago classified docs trial in August. That’s 2 months away. If this sticks, she’s doing him a favor by getting this out of the way before the 2024 election heats up.”

After reviewing Cannon’s “entire criminal case history,” Politico reporter Kyle Cheney noted that the judge “has always set a super fast trial date, as a matter of practice, and then repeatedly continued it as trial matters arose. In every single case, big and small, save for a few quick plea deals.”

The trial date “will, with absolute certainty, not actually happen,” Cheney wrote.

“Despite what many Twitter commentators would like to believe, a federal criminal trial within one year of indictment is unusual,” tweeted former federal prosecutor Renato Mariotti.

Attorney Bradly Moss agreed that the trial date “would not hold” but added that the “date that matters is the deadline for pre-trial motions” and motions to exclude evidence.

“Those are due in four weeks. Trump barely has a defense team in place,” he wrote on Twitter.


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“​​On the one hand, everyone understands it’s not real and just set according to calendar and the Speedy Trial Act,” tweeted former U.S. Attorney Harry Litman. “On the other hand, having set the date, it makes it harder I think for her to delay past say next summer. Not that it won’t happen but imposes pressure.”

Noah Bookbinder, president of the Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics of Washington, agreed with Litman’s assessment, writing on Twitter that Cannon’s “initial August trial date for Donald Trump is to get things moving and comply with the Speedy Trial Act. It will be slowed by many motions and has little to do with the actual trial date.”

“But to the extent this is Judge Cannon demonstrating that she’s not going to needlessly delay this trial, that seems to be a positive development,” he added.

“I don’t think it’s going to hold up in court”: Fox analyst trashes Trump’s “incoherent” interview

Veteran Fox News analyst Brit Hume had a scathing assessment of former President Donald Trump’s Sunday interview with the conservative network defending himself against the 37-count indictment over his alleged mishandling of national security documents at his Mar-a-Lago estate. 

Hume told Fox News anchor Bret Baier, who spoke with the former president, that Trump’s “answers on the matters of the law seem to me to verge on incoherent.”

“He seemed to be saying that the documents were really his,” Hume said as he tried to recount the sit-down with Baier. “And that he didn’t give them back when he was requested to do so and when they were subpoenaed because, y’know, he wasn’t ready to because he hadn’t sorted them and separated the classified information or whatever from his golf shirts or whatever he was saying.”

“It was not altogether clear what he was saying, but he seemed to believe that the documents were his, that he had declassified them ― evidence to the contrary ― and therefore he could do whatever he wanted with them,” he said. “I don’t think it’s gonna hold up in court,” Hume continued.

“I’m sure his legal and political advisers were wincing all the way through his answers on both those points,” he observed, nodding to the ex-president’s continuously fraught legal situation.

Other conservatives also panned Trump’s claims.

“Guys, Trump admitted on TV tonight he withheld documents from the grand jury. Game over, legally. What an idiot,” tweeted conservative pundit Erick Erickson.

MSNBC’s Joe Scarborough, a former Republican congressman, shared agreed that  “none of that is going to hold up in court.”


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“It was incoherent. I must say, incoherent, incriminating and stupid,” he added. “I say that by saying Donald Trump actually wants people to believe that in his transcript, he is looking at a document and telling an aide, ‘I can’t declassify this now, I could have when I was president of the United States, but I can’t now.’ Later in the interview, why, in 2022 — he lost the election in 2020, in 2022, why did he hide the documents? Because he had golf shirts, clothing, pants and shoes inside cases with nuclear information, war plans against Iran, and some of America’s greatest vulnerabilities, all in there with Mar-a-Lago golf shirts.”

Scarborough called the interview “incoherent, incriminating and idiotic on so many levels.”

“He keeps putting himself one step closer to jail every time he does one of these rambling interviews,” he added.

Worse than a bust: Republicans’ Biden blockbuster blows up in their face

Last week I wrote about the misinformation being distributed by Republicans in comparing the Trump documents case to Hillary Clinton’s “but her emails” scandal in 2016. It’s taken as a given on the right that she broke the law and was granted special dispensation despite the fact that there were five different investigations that found otherwise. Unfortunately, that isn’t the only fake scandal Republicans are flogging these days to try to cover for Trump’s corruption and criminality. They’re back on the Burisma beat.

I wrote about this pseudo-scandal back in 2020 when it was making one of its periodic rounds in the right wing media, mostly so they could have an excuse to circulate embarrassing photos from Hunter Biden’s laptop (which is a whole other story for another day.) I distilled the story into this succinct description:

The “scandal” itself is actually nothing more than an example of the very common (and admittedly skeevy) business practice of hiring the family members of important people for the purpose of obtaining favors, gaining access or simply being viewed in a favorable light. Hunter Biden clearly made a mistake in joining the board of Burisma, a Ukrainian gas company, while his father was vice president. The apparent conflict of interest was obvious to literally everyone. But Republican charges that Joe Biden granted a favor to Burisma by having the Ukrainian government fire a prosecutor that was investigating the company are flat-out provably false. It’s true that Biden (along with virtually the entire Western alliance) pressured the Kyiv government to fire Viktor Shokin, the prosecutor in question. But one of the reasons was because Shokin wasn’t investigating Burisma. There was no favor done on Hunter Biden’s behalf. If anything, it was the opposite.

The claims of Biden helping out Burisma just don’t make sense, the timeline is off and it’s easily disproved by the fact that the prosecutor Biden (and everyone else) wanted fired wasn’t targeting Burisma at all. Not that it mattered. The right is operating, as usual, under a set of “alternative facts.”

Recall also that Trump’s first impeachment was partially based upon this bogus narrative along with some other bizarre assertions regarding the cyber security company Crowdstrike and the DNC server supposedly being kept in Ukraine. Wired explained the thinking behind that:

Trump believes—and by all indications this is true belief, not posturing—that after the Democratic National Committee was hacked in 2016, the DNC gave a physical server to Ukrainian cybersecurity company CrowdStrike and refused to let the FBI see the evidence. Trump further argues that the server in question now physically resides in Ukraine. Inside that server, Trump suggests, one would find evidence, gleaming like a Pulp Fiction briefcase, that Ukraine, not Russia, hacked the DNC in 2016.

Part of this false narrative now includes the charge that Biden received five million dollars in bribes from Burisma to fire Shokin based upon a confidential source that Rudy Giuliani dug up in his forays over to Ukraine to set up the smear against Biden. Again, Shokin wasn’t investigating Burisma at the time, but pesky facts like that don’t matter when a hysterical right-wing scandal is in motion. (It all seems to be a sloppy conflation with a five million dollar bribe that was revealed in September 2020 when they arrested three Burisma executives for offering five million dollars to Ukrainian anti-corruption officials and which the Ukrainian government went to pained lengths to say neither Hunter Biden nor Joe Biden had anything to do with.)

Normal people can see that it’s all a joke but it feeds into the overall impression that everyone in Washington is corrupt anyway.

Two investigations were launched into these allegations, one by Bill Barr and another by Iowa Sen. Chuck Grassley and Wisconsin Sen. Ron Johnson of the GOP-led Senate Finance and Homeland Security Committees, respectively. The Justice Department’s case was handled by the US Attorney for Western Pennsylvania to handle all the alleged “evidence” Giuliani was producing and which the FBI and Intelligence community believed was likely being fed to him by Russian agents. He talked to Giuliani and closed the investigation without saying a word.


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The other investigation also found nothing except the old news that Hunter Biden traded on his father’s name to get a lucrative sinecure with Burisma and nobody testified that Biden changed any policies to help Hunter out. Grassley apparently forgot all about that when he joined up with the House Oversight Committee Chairman, Republican Rep. Jim Comer of Kentucky, to demand that the FBI turn over a document in which a confidential informant alleged that he’d heard a Burisma executive (whom we later learned was Burisma founder Mykola Zlochevsky) claim that he had paid five million dollars to Joe Biden and Hunter Biden. That document was one of Giuliani’s and was known to Barr and the DOJ since June of 2020. It was not considered credible for obvious reasons.

As Politico reported back in 2020, Giuliani’s former accomplice Lev Parnas said he and Giuliani met with Zlochevsky the year before and when asked what contacts Zlochevsky had had with Joe Biden he said, “No one from Burisma ever had any contacts with VP Biden or people working for him during Hunter Biden’s engagement.” Parnas told Politico that “at that point, after seeing the answers, Rudy started pounding the table and saying, ‘We just need to get this information!” He told Parnas to keep looking and it appears someone “found” some.

As I’m sure you’ve heard there was a big back and forth between the Justice Department, which did not want to release the document, and the House, which demanded it be turned over lest they hold FBI Director Christopher Wray in contempt of Congress. The FBI finally agreed to show a redacted version to members of Congress and they very excitedly reported that the document revealed that Zlochevsky told the informant that there were tapes of Joe and Hunter Biden accepting a bribe to fire the prosecutor in order to stop an investigation that didn’t exist. (No one knows if these tapes exist either — which even Comer, Grassley and Johnson have been forced to admit.)

Now Comer and the committee can’t find their whistleblowers and Giuliani is claiming his informant was killed and everyone knows it must be that the Biden Crime Family is doing something terrible to their enemies. None of it makes any sense but that’s really the point. The confusion and the contradictions and the possibility of tapes are all that’s needed to create a lot of smoke that their voters can claim proves that Biden is the real criminal for which the Trump investigations have been created to provide cover.

The right has done this sort of thing for years. Just look back at some of the ridiculous “investigations” they launched during the 1990s. It works for them. Normal people can see that it’s all a joke but it feeds into the overall impression that everyone in Washington is corrupt anyway. And today the person who benefits most from that belief is the presidential candidate who is under numerous investigations and indictments with more to come. If they all do it, what he did must not be all that bad, right? 

“Colossal blunder”: Legal experts say Trump’s Fox News interview was an “admission of guilt”

Former President Donald Trump claimed in an interview on Fox News that he was too busy to sift through government records to return classified materials before he was indicted by the Justice Department earlier this month.

Trump, who pleaded not guilty last week to illegally retaining national security information and obstructing government efforts to retrieve it, told anchor Bret Baier that he was too busy to separate the documents sought by the National Archives from his personal items they were stored with in the dozens of boxes he took from the White House to Mar-a-Lago.

“Because I had boxes, I wanted to go through the boxes and get all of my personal things out,” Trump said. “I don’t want to hand that over to NARA yet. And I was very busy, as you’ve sort of seen.”

Baier noted that the indictment alleges that he told his aide Walt Nauta to move the boxes “to other locations after telling your lawyers to say you’d fully complied with the subpoena when you hadn’t.”

“Before I send boxes over, I have to take all of my things out,” Trump replied. “These boxes were interspersed with all sorts of things.”

Baier also pressed Trump on an alleged recording cited in the indictment in which Trump discusses a plan for a potential attack on Iran but says he cannot show it to others because it is not declassified.

“There was no document. That was a massive amount of papers and everything else, talking about Iran and other things. And it may have been held up or it may not, but that was not a document,” Trump told Baier, “These boxes were interspersed with all sorts of things; golf shirts, pants, shoes, all sorts of things.”

“Iran war plans?” Baier asked.

“Not that I know of,” Trump said.

Baier throughout the interview repeatedly challenged Trump, including his false claim that he “won in 2020 by a lot.”

“You lost the 2020 election,” Baier pushed back.

Trump went on to criticize Fox, noting that a “lot less” people are watching the network.

“I’m no great fan of Fox,” Trump said.

“You’re sitting here,” Baier fired back.

During another portion of the interview, Baier read off a list of critical comments from numerous former Trump Cabinet and administration officials.

“Why did you hire all of them in the first place?” Baier asked.

“Because I hired ten to one that were fantastic,” Trump responded, “For every person you named, I can name 20 people that loved the administration.”

Legal experts questioned Trump’s decision to do a TV interview while facing a 37-count indictment and suggested that he may have given special counsel Jack Smith even more evidence to use against him.

“The defendant seems utterly incapable of exercising his constitutional right to remain silent,” tweeted conservative attorney and frequent Trump critic George Conway.

“Keep confessing,” wrote national security attorney Bradley Moss. “No criminal defense attorney worth their salt would ever advise their indicted client to do a media tour. That helps explain the problems Mr. Trump has had retaining qualified counsel,” he added.

Even George Washington University Law Prof. Jonathan Turley, who previously defended Trump amid his legal woes, warned that “statements of this kind are generally admissible at trial.”

“This is one more inculpatory statement,” former U.S. Attorney Harry Litman told MSNBC. “Every time he opens his mouth, it gets worse.”


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“Mr. Trump, good luck with that defense,” former acting Solicitor General Neal Katyal told MSNBC.

“If it were just newspaper articles, why in the world are you saying on the tape that it’s classified? It’s totally incoherent,” he said. “And the other parts of the tape… really is an admission of guilt. Like, if you just think about the Espionage Act, what is the prosecution need to show? They needed to show the defendant had unauthorized possession of national defense documents, that he willfully retained the document, and failed to give the documents to an officer of the U.S. Those are the elements. So, the Trump admission goes to all of that.”

Former federal prosecutor Andrew Weissmann, who served on special counsel Bob Mueller’s team, warned that it would be a “colossal blunder” by Trump to “continue down this road.”

“What he had to say is preposterous,” Weissmann said. “He is saying that he didn’t have enough time to take out personal things. So first, he has already said that everything is his — everything is personal. There’s no triage that needs to be done, because according to his prior defense, everything is personal, because they are quote, ‘mine.’ It’s an inconsistency, something that Jack Smith can easily point out. Second, people should understand when you get subpoenaed, if you don’t have time to comply, if the deadline is not there, it’s not like you don’t have the ability to have your lawyer call up and say, you know what? I need more time or I can partially comply, but I need more time. If that was true, what you don’t do is send something to the Department of Justice that says, ‘I fully complied.’ Now he is saying, in spite of the fact that he said I fully complied, he’s now saying, no, no, no, I just needed to take out my golf shirts.”

“This is the kind of thing that Jack Smith has to be salivating over,” he added.

Abortion restrictions put hospital ethics committees in the spotlight — but what do they do?

Many states have imposed sweeping restrictions that all but ban abortion since the June 2022 Supreme Court ruling that overturned the 50-year-old constitutional right to the procedure. These laws have created new obstacles for pregnant patients facing life-threatening complications like severe fetal anomalies, cancer diagnoses and ectopic pregnancies – when a fertilized egg implants outside the uterus.

Some media reports about these challenging cases mention the involvement of hospital ethics committees.

Stat, for example, a medical news website, reported that one OB-GYN had to wait for an ethics committee to determine whether she could terminate her patient’s ectopic pregnancy under the narrow, vague exceptions to Missouri’s abortion ban. In Texas, a patient told reporters that a hospital refused to abort her life-threatening pregnancy until a doctor on an ethics committee advocated on her behalf. And a patient in Oklahoma told NPR that an ethics committee declined to meet with her husband after doctors refused to terminate her dangerous pregnancy.

Abortion debates have put the ethics of medical decision-making in the spotlight, but ethics committees’ roles are often misunderstood. As trained bioethicists who have practiced and researched clinical ethics consulation, we aim to clarify how ethics services work in U.S. hospitals.

Basics of hospital ethics

Ethics have been part of medical practice throughout history, with principles like those in the Hippocratic oath guiding decision-making since the 5th century B.C.E.

Specialized hospital ethics committees originally formed in the 1960s to address decisions about the use of revolutionary therapies like mechanical ventilators, which could keep patients alive even if they would never regain consciousness or leave the hospital.

Today, accredited U.S. hospitals are required to provide ethics services, and most use ethics committees to help meet this requirement. Their functions include developing ethics-related policies and providing ethics education to staff. For example, ethics committees have contributed to hospital policies about what to do if a child’s parent opposes blood transfusions for religious reasons and triage policies for allocating scarce resources during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Another key service is clinical ethics consultation: advising staff, patients or families about how to navigate ethical issues related to a specific patient’s clinical care. Usually these requests are handled by a subcommittee or an individual ethics consultant – and, increasingly, hospitals are hiring staff with specialized training in medical ethics.

NEWZ

Apart from ethicists, committee members may also include physicians, nurses, social workers, chaplains, lawyers and administrators. Sometimes they include volunteers who represent the views and experiences of local communities. Member selection, funding and other organizational features vary by hospital.

Recommendations, not rulings

Ethics consultations about specific patients often address concerns about patients who cannot make their own medical decisions, such as if they are in a coma and it is unclear who should make decisions on their behalf. Requests for consultation also can occur when a medical team and a patient disagree about the goals of care: for example, whether applying a do-not-resuscitate order is in the best interests of a severely ill patient.

One essential aspect of ethics committees’ and consultants’ work is that their input is advisory, not binding. They help identify the range of ethically acceptable options, based on medical information from health care providers and on patients’ goals and values.

But even when ethics consultations result in a clear recommendation, neither patients nor health care providers are obligated to follow consultants’ advice. In other words, ethics consultants are not decision-makers, but they do contribute to a decision-making process.

When medicine says yes, but the law says no

Some media reports, however, have suggested that hospital ethics committees are acting as final arbiters, determining whether doctors can help end life-threatening pregnancies in states with severe abortion restrictions.

Yet none of these states currently has laws suggesting that ethics committees must play a role in those decisions. The question of whether an abortion is medically necessary or legally acceptable is one that doctors or lawyers would make, not ethicists.

Other recent reporting on hospital ethicists’ experiences suggests a different reality. New state laws threaten doctors with fines or imprisonment for providing abortions that are considered standard medical care for patients facing serious risks to their health. Some of these doctors are seeking guidance from ethics experts about how to meet their ethical and professional obligations under these difficult circumstances.

Ethics consultants in states with restrictive abortion laws can help health care providers work through difficult questions. For example, how can providers communicate honestly and respectfully with patients about their health needs when they might risk prosecution for recommending abortion? How should providers navigate ambiguities in the law in order to protect their patients’ health and well-being? When might the severe health risks to a patient morally justify providing an abortion, even if there are unresolved concerns about legal liability?

Even if the law prevents doctors from providing treatment their patients need, talking with an ethics consultant can help ease their moral distress about being unable to do what’s best for their patient.

In fact, one study showed that only one-third of clinical ethics consultations wound up changing a patient’s treatment plan. However, consultations left three-quarters of clinicians feeling more confident about enacting a plan of care. Input from ethicists can help doctors confirm that their plan of care is appropriate or help them clarify their own values.

Getting help

Most hospitals allow anyone directly involved in a patient’s care to request clinical ethics consultation services, including patients and their families.

Yet available data suggests that very few patients and families do. For example, a review of a hospital with a high volume of ethics consultation requests showed that only 4% came from patients or their families. However, the majority of patients and families who interact with ethics services say the process helped them understand their situation, figure out difficult decisions or feel morally supported.

Access to high-quality health care is deeply unequal in the United States, and the same is true for ethics consultations. Nearly all teaching hospitals, religiously affiliated hospitals and hospitals with over 200 patient beds have ethics consultation services. But roughly 1 in 5 small hospitals, rural hospitals and nonteaching hospitals do not.

Many hospitals have other services, such as “ethics hotlines” where people can report legal and compliance issues, but these are not the same as ethics committees or ethics consultants. Patients seeking support in making care decisions should ask for the hospital’s clinical ethics consultation service to connect with the right resource.

Ethicists do not make decisions for others, but they can support clinicians and patients through dilemmas and distress.

Elizabeth Lanphier, Assistant Professor of Philosophy and Bioethicist, University of Cincinnati and Jake Earl, Adjunct Lecturer of Philosophy, Georgetown University

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

“This was his campaign plan”: Trump has flipped the stolen documents case into “a farce”

Another chapter has now been added to the horrible and interminable saga that is the Age of Trump and the rise of American neofascism. He is now the only former president to have been charged with federal crimes. These alleged violations of the Espionage Act are so severe that, if convicted, Donald Trump may spend the rest of his natural life in prison.  But as Trump is not just a man but a leader of the tens of millions in the MAGA movement — a movement with a proven propensity for violence and terrorism — America’s democracy crisis continues.

One of Trump’s biographers told me that the former president imagines himself as the main character in a comic book or superhero story – that he himself is the author of. But now Trump’s fate is, quite literally, in the hands of Attorney General Merrick Garland, Special Counsel Jack Smith, the Department of Justice, and a larger American legal and court system that is finally holding him accountable for his decades of law-breaking and utter contempt and disregard for societal norms and rules.

To describe this moment as challenging, unsettling, and unprecedented for the nation, the American people, and Donald Trump personally would be an extreme understatement. In an attempt to make sense of his truly historic moment, I asked a range of experts for their reactions to last Tuesday’s arraignment in a Miami courthouse and predictions for what comes next in the Age of Trump.

Their answers have been lightly edited for length and clarity.

Dan Schnur is a Professor at the University of California – Berkeley’s Institute of Governmental Studies, Pepperdine University’s Graduate School of Public Policy, and the University of Southern California’s Annenberg School of Communications. Schnur previously worked on four presidential and three gubernatorial campaigns.  

As historic and as tumultuous and as earthshaking as the 37-count indictment filed against Trump last week will be for all of us, it actually is just the prelude for an even more cataclysmic legal and political battle that will soon follow. Legal action against Trump for his role in the January 6 Capitol riots is likely to be even more explosive.

The confidential documents that Trump took with him from the White House are undoubtedly of enormous military and diplomatic import. But even though their potential impact on the nation’s safety is tremendous, that possible danger has not yet been realized (at least to our knowledge). So the impact is still theoretical and therefore less tangible for most of us. The violence of January 6, on the other hand, has left a much more visceral imprint on the country’s psyche, and although many of Trump’s most loyal supporters now dismiss the import of the events of that day, most of the American public does understand the nature of the threat that was posed to our government by those who stormed the Capitol.

“This current fight is merely the undercard for the even more bruising one to follow.”

By contrast, this current battle is about… paper. Important paper and top-secret paper, but paper nonetheless. The potential damage that could occur should any of the confidential information stored at Mar-a-Lago have fallen into the wrong hands is catastrophic. But at this moment, the consequences of Trump’s recklessness with those documents are still unknown. On the other hand, the harm done by the mob that invaded the Capitol is something that most Americans have seen and felt. For most of us, those scars have never fully healed, and a prolonged public clash over Trump’s culpability for the events of that day will reopen those wounds. As hard as it might be to believe, this current fight is merely the undercard for the even more bruising one to follow.

Jennifer Mercieca, professor of communication at Texas A&M, and author of “Demagogue for President: The Rhetorical Genius of Donald Trump.”

Donald Trump saw the nation’s secrets as the spoils of the office of the presidency, refusing to relinquish them and lying to authorities in order to keep them. It was an odd choice, and it is illegal. That he now stands accused of violating the Espionage Act seems warranted, but it’s also bizarre that after all of the illegal things that Trump has done (including inciting an insurrection) that he is brought up on federal charges for stolen paperwork. Perhaps we’ll learn that Trump had a scheme in mind to profit from selling the nation’s secrets or to use those secrets for political leverage of some kind (which wouldn’t be surprising), but at this point—the nation is left to wonder “why”? Why did he do it? Without the answer to that question, the stolen papers seem like a farce.

Not only do they seem like a farce, but they’re being treated like a farce. Trump kept the papers in his bathroom. The nation had jokes. Trump defiantly planned a victory lap and campaign event for his arraignment day—the media complied by covering him as insouciant. If folks were hoping to see him brought low by the arraignment, that didn’t happen. Trump is the demagogue of the spectacle and he put on a show for the media to cover.

The worry, of course, is that while Trump played the arraignment scenes with defiance, his fascist language (they’re not after me, they’re after you—the rule of law doesn’t exist or apply to me) may lead to actual violence. Trump is playing a dangerous game. He would lead the nation into civil war before he would admit to wrongdoing. This is why Trump has always been a dangerous demagogue who uses language as a weapon to prevent himself from being held accountable.

Mark Jacob is the former metro editor at the Chicago Tribune.

The federal indictment of Donald Trump is an encouraging sign that the most obvious criminal in our politics might finally face justice. But the Republican reaction to Trump’s indictment is a most discouraging sign.

Some prominent Republicans twist themselves in knots to justify Trump’s theft of secret documents. Others realize that the evidence is so damning that they don’t dare defend his conduct. Instead they resort to “hey, look over there” deflection in which they pretend Hillary Clinton’s emails are still a live issue and spread reckless, evidence-free allegations against Joe Biden.

If it weren’t so dangerous, it would be laughable to hear House Speaker Kevin McCarthy defend Trump’s placement of classified documents in a Mar-a-Lago bathroom by saying, “A bathroom door locks.” Sure, Kevin, it locks from the inside. Did the documents lock the door themselves?

As serious as these charges are, I look forward to even more serious charges against Trump regarding his assault on the public’s right to choose its leaders in free and fair elections. Trump and his co-conspirators tried to overthrow our democracy. They belong in court and, if convicted, in prison.

Kenneth F. McCallion is a former Justice Department prosecutor who also worked for the New York State Attorney General’s office as a prosecutor on Trump racketeering cases. As an assistant U.S. attorney and special assistant U.S. attorney, he focused on international fraud and counterintelligence cases that often involved Russian organized crime. McCallion is also the author of several books, including “Profiles in Cowardice in the Trump Era” and “Treason & Betrayal: The Rise and Fall of Individual-1.”

It’s about time.

Trump has been flouting the law his entire career and largely getting away with it, which is why his crimes have escalated to this point. He thinks he is above the law and by using tactics of deflection and painting himself as an unjustly persecuted man, he uses his loyal followers to help sway public opinion in his favor. But the facts are the facts. The facts, in this case, are that he knew full well that these documents were top secret and that they never should have been taken from the White House. Of all the recent cases being built against Trump, this one seems to be the most solid and will be difficult for him to weasel out of. It feels good to know that even someone as rich and powerful as Trump is not above the law and that he may be held accountable for his actions in this case. And ultimately, that might prevent him from becoming president again, which is crucial for the security of the United States.

As I discuss in my book, “Saving the World One Case At A Time“, I was one of the federal prosecutors investigating labor corruption during the construction of Trump Tower. Trump and his then-lawyer, Roy Cohn, entered into a “sweetheart” deal with John Cody and Local 282 of the Teamsters (which was mob controlled at the time) whereby Trump bought “labor peace” i.e. a guarantee of no strikes, in return for putting some Working Teamster Foremen (no-show mob members) on his payroll. We successfully prosecuted Cody and other Teamster leaders, but the Department of Justice denied my request to indict Trump, who refused to cooperate with our investigation. History would likely be different if I and other Organized Crime Strike Force prosecutors were given the green light to indict Trump.

“He would lead the nation into civil war before he would admit to wrongdoing.”

I am cautiously optimistic as to what happens next. Although Trump has a knack for letting others take the fall for his misdeeds and I’m sure that will be the way he approaches these new charges. In this case, he may try to shift all the blame onto his aide, Walt Nauta, who has also been charged in the case. Trump’s lawyers are also expected to file a motion to dismiss the case and there are a variety of reasons they will cite in order to do so. Even if this motion does not succeed, it will be at least a year before the trial takes place, which means we may have already gone through the 2024 presidential election cycle. With so many moving parts, the only thing for certain is that Trump is going to do whatever he can to get out of facing the music in this case but the court of public opinion will ultimately find him guilty regardless of what his legal team manages to pull off on his behalf.


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It’s important to understand that Trump does not have any regard for the law and has built his entire career and persona on disregarding rules and laws. This was the case when he was just a New York-based businessman, and his contempt for the law continued uninterrupted when he stepped in the political ring. When a wealthy and powerful person like Trump believes he is above the law, he will pretty much do whatever he wants without any fear of being held accountable. The sad truth is that the criminal justice system in this country is not equal for everyone. Trump can and has used his power and wealth to get out of many criminal charges throughout his career. While it’s too soon to tell if he will be able to do that yet again, we can be certain that these charges will at least help to reveal the truth about who Trump is to the American people who are torn about who they will vote for in the next presidential election. Let’s all hope that’s enough to keep a criminal from once again taking the highest position in the U.S.

Cheri Jacobus is a former media spokesperson at the Republican National Committee and founder and president of the political consulting firm Capitol Strategies PR.

For Trump’s direct victims, and for many in the country at-large, the indictments, while welcome, are somewhat anti-climactic. We are tired. These indictments and the expected additional coming indictments are at least a year too late. So much damage has been done and so many Trump criminal allies still roam free, inciting violence, fomenting fascism, and spreading disinformation. The national security ramifications of this massive breach are almost too frightening to comprehend. The cottage industry surrounding Trump — on both sides — media, superPACs, pundits — are largely repeating the mistakes of 2015-2016 that got us here in the first place. There is big money in promoting Trump, covering Trump as “news”, and “fighting” Trump. To be clear — Trump understands this at a granular level.

We know Merrick Garland resisted the Mar-a-Lago raid for weeks. In fact, we might never have known that Trump stole (and let’s be honest — likely sold) our nation’s secrets, and the shared intel from allies, had he not announced the Mar-a-Lago raid, himself.  He’d gotten away with refusing to return the stolen documents for a very long time, maintaining the upper hand. And Garland may have very well allowed him to skate. Which begs the question:  Just why DID Trump go public?  He knew it meant big media attention, big MAGA drama, big controversy where he could play victim and create chaos.  And let’s not forget the sweet fundraising boost it provided the pretend billionaire.

It’s entirely possible that this was his campaign plan. He’s succeeded in burying Ron DeSantis already, his poll numbers are strengthened, and he dominates and controls the TV coverage. Trump has always monitored when others eventually blink.  House Democrats blinked and backed away from impeaching him on obstruction in the Mueller Report. That was critical information for Trump. Garland blinked by going soft and polite on the stolen classified documents crime, and it was only made public at a time of Trump’s choosing — by Trump. In fact, at every step along the way, those who could have stopped him (or at least could have tried) — blinked. Just think how delighted Trump must be at the coincidence of his hand-picked MAGA judge, still wet behind the ears. Aileen Cannon, landing the case. Things could not be going better for Trump.

So yes — while there is satisfaction in watching the circus around Trump’s indictments and arraignment, there still that nagging little voice in the back on my head reminding me that Trump is still in control, and that it simply may not be a realistic expectation that he ever spends a day in even the most luxurious of white collar crime country club prisons.

The podcast bros profiting off the loneliness epidemic

Joe Rogan. Andrew Tate. Kevin Samuels. If you’re under the age of 45 and have a heavy online presence, these names may ring an unfortunate bell. The rise of red-pill style podcasts, propelled by influencer-friendly platforms such as YouTube and Twitter, has birthed dozens of amateur, copycat shows that all share one goal: encouraging men to reassert their waning social dominance by reigning women in.

While anyone with $100 and a Youtube account can share their views on any subject, men’s “self improvement” podcasts occupy an ever-growing niche in the podcast market; most social media platforms —except for Twitter, Reddit, and Youtube — have a bigger audience among young women than men. Through these platforms, men with an ax to grind against the opposite sex have successfully tapped into a particularly impressionable set of young, overwhelmingly male listeners. And while some may chalk up the content of these podcasts to some iteration of ‘locker room’ or ‘barbershop’ talk, the claims they make, and the talking heads who make them, are profoundly alarming.

Masculinity as a concept is in a state of flux.

Joe Rogan, for example, has long been chastised for the degrading, woman-hating, transphobic rhetoric on his internationally- popular show. And while his use of the “n-word” triggered a backlash serious enough to pressure Spotify to remove certain episodes from the streaming platform, his all too frequent, derogatory comments on women’s genitalia and claims that “toxic masculinity” is “needed” within American society receive far fewer repercussions.

Then there’s Andrew Tate, a former kickboxer-turned-podcaster currently on house arrest in Romania after being arrested and held on charges of rape and human trafficking. With over six million Twitter followers (Tate’s platform has been banned on other social media sites such as Facebook and Instagram) Tate might be the most unabashedly violent and misogynistic of them all. Tate has made such foul, deplorable comments against women—including an anything but subtle description of how he would use the machete he sleeps next to if a hypothetical girlfriend accused him of cheating—that many of them are not fit to be repeated, let alone published. His influence on young men goes way beyond engaging in harmful rhetoric; Tate also sells “exclusive” membership to his cult-like, far-right haven now known as “The Real World,” designed to teach young men how to acquire “an abundance of wealth” through online means— all for a nominal fee of $50 of course. Instead, users of the platform report Discord chats in which Tate shares his manifesto-like “41 Tenets for men”, encouraging them to “protect the sanctity” of their bloodstream and raise “strong, capable, and honorable sons” and “feminine and virtuous daughters”. 

And lest one would write off Rogan and Tate as just a pair of really bad apples, dozens of lesser-known male influencers across the United States and U.K. have heeded the call to develop their own brand of male-supremacy podcasts. One such podcast, Fresh N’ Fit, hails itself as the “#1 men’s podcast in the world.” The “bros” who host this podcast openly spout beliefs that “women are terrible people once they have more status than you,” while praising the traditional marriage and family set up of yesteryear—with very little regard for the fact that women in such marriages were often subjected to various forms of abuse and exploitation precisely because they had no rights and low status.

One cannot listen to any of the named podcasts without being struck by how angry these men are. And why are women, in addition to trans people, so very often the subject of their ire?


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If podcast bros and the many men who follow them seem like they are short-circuiting, well, it’s because they are. We are, in real time, witnessing an entire gender experience a phenomenon French sociologist Émile Durkheim termed “anomie”. Originally crafted to describe the sudden state of societal instability that accompanies major changes in norms and values, the “gender anomie” we are witnessing is a direct result of women’s increased social and economic status, and an increase in the number of people assigned male at birth disconnecting from rigid gender norms in altogether.

The likelihood of returning to a society in which women are second-class citizens, and gender roles and expressions are strictly regulated, though not impossible, is lower than any of the podcast bros would like to admit.

Masculinity as a concept is in a state of flux—but for good reason. For millennia, the societal construction of their core identity has been based solely around power and domination. Even the poorest, worst off men in society were guaranteed power over the women and children in their social sphere. But with every decade that goes by, that becomes less and less the case. Greater access to critical, liberal education has created the material circumstances that allow those marginalized by gender and sexuality to exercise free will and prioritize their mental, physical, and emotional well-being over adherence to oppressive social norms.

As a result, men under 50 are becoming increasingly sexless and, well, lonely: marriage rates are declining significantly, as a growing number of heterosexual women choose long-term singleness over spouses who lack emotional intelligence and political compatibility. Childbirth rates have, unsurprisingly, followed suit.

“Podcast bros” have capitalized on gender anomie both for their personal gain and as a way to foment men’s anger about their changing role in society, and the new expectations placed on them. They are the social equivalent of haphazardly tossing lit cigarettes during wildfire season.

And yet, curbing their influence is not as easy as encouraging people to simply ‘log off’ and ignoring the “he-man woman-haters”—the digital radicalization of young men and mainstreaming of explicitly chauvinistic rhetoric is being increasingly reflected within political spheres.

In the half-century struggle to overturn Roe v. Wade, conservative leaders pursued strategic, intergenerational efforts to organize the masses against abortion by convincing younger generations of men that they, too, had a stake in limiting women’s reproductive freedom. A similar strategy is in play as conservatives attempt to manipulate the public into believing that trans people wage a threat to society. Now, as abortion bans and anti-trans legislation weasel their way into almost every state legislature in the country, podcast bros become the mouthpiece for a movement that aims to reverse centuries-long progress in the liberation of women and dismantling of patriarchy.

How we respond to them will make all the difference as we ultimately decide what kind of society we truly desire to be. However one thing remains certain: time can only move forward, never backward. The likelihood of returning to a society in which women are second-class citizens, and gender roles and expressions are strictly regulated, though not impossible, is lower than any of the podcast bros would like to admit. Women won’t go back. Trans people won’t go back—at least not without a fight. But there is enough space, even within this anomie, to work together to carve out new understandings of gender, and reimagine the relationship between men and women.