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“He has been a complete disgrace”: Regretful Trump voter disgusted by his handling of COVID-19

Joe Biden has opened a four-point lead over President Donald Trump in Ohio, which the Republican won by twice that margin four years ago.

A survey conducted by Your Voice Ohio found the Democratic candidate leading Trump by 46-42, and Biden seems to be peeling off some of the president’s past supporters in the state, reported the Columbus Dispatch.

“Donald Trump is ruining this country,” said Jodie Susi, of New Albany, who voted for Trump in 2016.

The 56-year-old executive for a national general contractor hasn’t liked much of what she’s seen from Trump’s presidency, and the past few months have only turned her further away from him.

“He has bungled the COVID-19 response, he has bungled the race relations issues,” Susi said. “Before all of that, he has been a complete disgrace. The only thing he has gotten right is the economy. The rest of it is a disaster.”

The survey found that Biden’s supporters in Ohio are more enthusiastic for him than Trump’s, and that could pose a problem for his re-election campaign.

“No Republican has ever been elected or reelected in American history without carrying Ohio, so there’s a particular burden on Trump and his allies and supporters to compete effectively in Ohio,” John Green, director emeritus of the Bliss Institute, which conducted the poll. “These numbers forecast a very competitive race in the state.”

Manhattan DA filings indicate Trump is being investigated for “protracted criminal conduct”: report

In New York City, new court filings by the office of Manhattan District Attorney Cyrus Vance, according to the New York Times, indicate that President Donald Trump may be under investigation for possible fraud.

According to Times reporters William K. Rashbaum and Benjamin Weiser, the filings indicate a “significantly broader inquiry than the prosecutors have acknowledged in the past.” And in the filings, Vance’s office argues that Trump should have to comply with subpoenas that demanded eight years of the president’s financial and tax documents.

Rashbaum and Weiser explain, “The reports, including investigations into the president’s wealth and an article on the congressional testimony of his former lawyer and fixer, Michael D. Cohen, said that the president may have illegally inflated his net worth and the value of his properties to lenders and insurer.”

According to the Associate Press, Vance has been investigating reports of “extensive and protracted criminal conduct at the Trump Organization.”

The U.S. Supreme Court recently ruled that it Vance’s office had a right to demand Trump’s financial documents as part of an investigation — and that Trump was not sheltered from such requests. Trump had been arguing that executive privilege sheltered him from Vance’s inquiries.

Vance’s office has been investigating to determine, among other things, if hush money payments to women Trump had extramarital affairs with — including adult film star Stormy Daniels and Playboy model Karen McDougal — were illegal.

Fox’s Judge Jeanine won’t take coronavirus vaccine: “I’m not going to allow them to do that to me”

Fox News host Judge Jeanine Pirro, who has no medical or scientific background, told Brian Rose on a recent episode of the YouTube show “London Real” that she will not take a vaccine for the coronavirus, because she is both afraid of health risks and being controlled by unseen social forces.

Rose, the show’s host, framed the question with an allusion to baseless conspiracy theories about sinister motives behind the companies, investors and public health officials contributing to the worldwide project to fast-track a vaccine.

“A lot of this technology seems to also be owned by some strange characters that have financial interests, even some of the institutions,” Rose said. “I’m just a little hesitant to put untested things in my body without knowing. Is this just another thing we need to be wary of going forward?”

“Ditto. That means, ‘Yes,'” Pirro, who at 69 years old is in the demographic most susceptible to the effects of COVID-19, responded.

Pirro tossed out a few words of praise for President Donald Trump’s contributions to the effort, in the form of Operation Warp Speed, before wondering “who are you going to vaccinate” as she dismissed the enterprise as potentially dangerous. 

“Look, the president is doing everything that he can — Operation Warp Speed. And that’s Donald Trump, ‘Make it fast, don’t tell me you can’t do this in this amount of time,'” she said. “But we just spent $2 billion to get 100 million vaccines. I mean, who are you going to vaccinate?”

“I don’t want a vaccine. I want a therapeutic,” she continued. “You know, until you tell me that that vaccine is safe — and only time will tell — until you tell me what the long-term consequences of that vaccine are, I’m not interested in putting it in my body. And by the way, I’m older. And I probably should be one of the people to be vaccinated, but I won’t. I’m not going to allow them to do that to me. And then the question is, ‘Will you be forced to do it?’ You know.”

Rose leapt from there to Orwellian government-assigned citizenship ratings.

“What freedoms will you lose if you don’t do it?” he wondered. “What property will you lose? What privileges? And then it’s to the China model, where literally they have social scores. And if you’re a good boy and girl, you can go on plane flights. And if you’re not, then you can’t, and your civil liberties get removed.”

The European Union has banned Americans because of the unremitting spread of the coronavirus in the U.S.

“And, you know, I don’t like this potential future,” Rose continued. “It’s 1984. It’s Orwell. And it’s happening right in front of our eyes, Judge. And I just worry that no one’s watching it and seeing it for what it is.”

The day of the interview, the White House put out a statement titled, “President Trump Is Leading a Once-in-a-Generation Effort to Ensure Americans Have Access to a COVID-19 Vaccine.”

“SEEING TREMENDOUS PROGRESS: The President’s strategy for safely expediting vaccine development is already achieving incredible results,” the statement claimed.

Trump, who himself has at times expressed anti-vaxxer sympathies, has for months promised a vaccine, frequently claiming unrealistic timelines were possible before being corrected by experts in his own administration.

Public health experts in the U.S. and around the world have repeatedly insisted that societies impacted by the coronavirus will not be able to begin scaling up to full economic engagement without a vaccine. The New York Times reported this weekend that scientists have expressed concerns that vaccine development might fall victim to political influence.

A slide from a Health and Human Services presentation at the White House this April reportedly said: “DEADLINE: Enable broad access to the public by October 2020.” The date was in bold.

Pirro pivoted from vaccines to masks.

“What is the point of the mask?” asked the judge, who unique among many of her Fox News colleagues, has boasted about her mask use.

“The point of the mask is to basically kind of dehumanize. It’s to frighten people,” she said. “You don’t know who’s behind the mask. It’s to give people cover. It’s exactly what the anarchists and the protesters need. It strikes fear. There is something going on — there are all kinds of subliminal messages to that mask.”

A study at the University of Queensland in Australia found that anti-vaxxer conspiracy theories resonate particularly well with Trump supporters.

“Trump supporters are considerably more vaccine-hesitant than other Americans, and are more likely to be concerned about side-effects,” said the study’s lead author.

You can watch Pirro’s interview via Media Matters below:

“Where are the good Americans?”: “Immigration Nation” brings systemic exploitation to our TVs

Overwhelmed as we are with video documentation of systemic injustice in action, it is far too easy, even excusable to a degree, for people to bypass “Immigration Nation.” State-sanctioned violence against protesters in our streets is a regular feature on the evening news and in social media streams. Bearing witness to the suffering placed in front of our eyes day in and day out is indeed traumatic.

Proposing that viewers sit through six hour-long episodes breaking down the extent of the American immigration system’s brokenness, from the perspectives of Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents to the migrants and that of asylum seekers caught in the system and everyone in between, may feel like too much of an ask.

Until, that is, a person realizes that this very subject is connected to all of the conversations we’re having about law enforcement at this very moment. ICE officers were part the federal law enforcement group deployed to Portland, Seattle, Chicago, and other cities under the guise of protecting federal buildings but, in reality, to create chaos where it largely didn’t exist. 

They are part of a branch of government, the Department of Homeland Security, which has come under added scrutiny from former and current government officials and experts who regarded these actions with alarm. In the case of former congresswoman Barbara Boxer (D-CA), the professed feeling was regret over having voted for the formation of DHS in the first place in 2002, a year following the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001.

“I never thought that the Department of Homeland Security would be used against our own people,” Boxer wrote in an opinion piece for The Washington Post. “I never envisioned a dictatorial president, a tyrannical president, a desperate president. I was myopic.”

Shot over the course of three years, “Immigration Nation” explores the extent to which our immigration system doesn’t work and hasn’t worked for a very long time while demonstrating how much needlessly crueler it has become under this administration.

As the film explains, under previous administrations, ICE’s priority was to deport immigrants arrested for committing serious crimes. Within days of Donald Trump’s inauguration, he signed an executive order shifting priorities to remove all immigration violators. Hence the footage dominating the opening hours of the series showing people being put in chains during early morning sweeps in April 2018 and parents being ripped away from their families.

Their cries are familiar and nevertheless haunting. As one father talks about being separated from his young son, he relates to the filmmakers the vast gulf between his dream of what he believed Americans to be based on a meeting with American missionaries visiting in his childhood church versus his reality of being imprisoned for simply wanting to make a better life for himself and his family. “Where are the good Americans?” he poignantly asks.

How simple it is to turn a blind eye to the inhumane actions of an organization acting in our name, presumably to protect us, until that inhumanity knocks on our own front doors. 

While on its surface “Immigration Nation” is a reminder of how immigrants are treated under this administration, it’s also a useful parable to enable the layman’s understanding of, as human rights attorney Becca Heller eloquently explains, “the brilliance of any bureaucratic system whose net result is fear and trauma.” Any, she says. Not just this one.

How so? “It’s big enough to break it down such that everyone just thinks they’re only moving papers, or only doing a little piece,” Heller explains, “and a very small number of people at the top have designed the system such that, like, an incredible amount of terror or trauma results, but most people are completely divorced from that.”

She breaks it down concisely: ICE is a government agency that is not in and of itself evil. But the people who work for that agency are caught up in a policy net that’s beyond their understanding, to the point that they can look at what they’re doing on a day-to-day basis and call it justifiable.

And this is the common refrain heard from the ICE agents appearing in “Immigration Nation”: We have to enforce the law. We have to follow the orders we’ve been given. “It’s a job and somebody has to do it, and that somebody is you,” one officer observes, explaining that she’s learned to separate her personal feelings about what she’s doing from the requirements of her work.

There were eight units of ICE Fugitives Operations when Immigration and Customs Enforcement was established in 2003. Today, the series reveals, there are 129.

On one of the days filmmakers Shaul Schwarz and Christina Clusiau ride along with her, that same officer encounters an apartment filled with undocumented workers that her team enters (by exploiting their targets’ lack of understanding of their rights, which also is caught on film) on a search for one person.

Collaterals, is the term used – as in, extra bounties meant to make the branch’s enforcement stats look better. In the context of conversations about the dehumanizing process of the justice system, it’s educational and chilling to hear how human lives deemed valueless are referred to: a “pregnant female,” a number, collateral or just bodies.

The first two episodes return us to 2018’s ICE raids in cities across the country and the Trump administration’s fearmongering about migrant caravans invading the United States at our Southern border. Those factors may leave a person with the impression that the series is retracing familiar territory.

It does in some respects, which explains why ICE may have allowed the production staff a level of access extensive enough to be unwise from a public relations perspective – something the Trump administration realized too late. But the series’ major strength is in its exploration of the rolling impact of these policies.

One episode follows the plight of deported veterans who served in combat units from various branches of the United States military. Another examines the senseless toll that certain programs are taking on immigrants and asylum seekers prevented from reuniting with their families purely out of spite and cruelty. Yet another installment depicts the ways that immigrant labor is exploited by companies which, among other things, withhold payment for work and threaten those who challenge them with deportation.

Each step shows the myriad ways that our immigration system is a labyrinthine wreck, on purpose. It is designed to ensure that immigrants seeking asylum “the right way,” – that is to say, presenting themselves at a port of entry and asking for asylum – are unsuccessful in its most benign form, or abused to make an example of them, with the thought of being a deterrent. And it also depicts how a structure created to protect innocent lives ended up being used against the world’s most vulnerable. 

A New York Times story reports that White House officials have threatened the filmmakers with legal action and sought to block parts of Schwarz’s and Clusiau’s work, and there is some evidence of concessions on the part of the filmmakers, including identifying ICE agents appearing on screen only by their first names, with their last names redacted.

Of course, a Google search makes it simple enough to identify a few, including the New York City deputy field office director who gleans entertainment from the visible suffering of the people swept into his office’s holding cell. He has since retired, according to a statement DHS officials requested the filmmakers append to the close of the episode in which he’s featured.

No matter, given how fairly Schwarz and Clusiau treat all of their subjects, be they ICE agents, human rights lawyers and other specialists, and the migrants themselves. The agents that come off looking badly do so of their own accord. Indeed, one of the series’ most humane, heartbreaking moment shows a Border Patrol Search, Trauma and Rescue Unit medic treating a man, tearful and dehydrated, his lips spiked with cactus thorns. A few beats later, though, that same medic is telling his colleague how “fun” his job is, and he doesn’t mean the part where he helps people. He’s referring to the part where he hunts them down. 

Beyond any other image concerns, though, is the series’ assertion that these problems aren’t expressly of this administration’s making. It leaps back through time to Bill Clinton’s administration and points out the exacerbation of confusion created by the formation of DHS under George W. Bush, and the horrifying admission, in documentation, that part of measuring success in shifting border enforcement policy would involve a body count.

Useful, too, are the observations of John Amaya, ICE’s former deputy chief of staff under Barack Obama (who earned the nickname “deporter in chief”) regarding the inconsistencies in asylum law definitions in terms of “the right way” and “the lawful way.”

“I don’t even know how to describe it,” he says, “this undescribable phrase of doing it ‘the right way,’ whatever the hell that means. Because anyone who understands asylum law knows that when people present themselves at the port of entry and request asylum, that is doing it the lawful way. Now, it may not be the right way in this White House’s view, but I’d like to know what they mean by doing it the right way. Because it’s the lawful way.”

Later Amaya reveals that he understands the definition completely, stressing that in his opinion, it is this administration’s goal to tear families apart, bring them maximum pain and use that as a deterrent.

But as the series concludes, such deterrents don’t work. Not at the border, not in Portland or other cities. People will keep on risking life and limb in the pursuit of a better situation. That was always the immigrant’s story and that of every marginalized group living in this country. “Immigration Nation” simply brings it home for us at a time, hopefully, that people are more likely to listen.

“Immigration Nation” is currently streaming on Netflix.

Trump suggests Microsoft should pay Treasury big money amid talks to acquire TikTok’s business in US

The American technology company Microsoft confirmed Sunday that it is in discussions to purchase the Chinese social media app TikTok. The news came days after President Donald Trump threatened to ban the popular video-sharing company from operating in the U.S.

Microsoft said its CEO Satya Nadella met with Trump to discuss exploring the purchase of TikTok from its parent company, ByteDance, in a blog post announcing the discussions.

Trump later acknowledged that Microsoft was mulling the purchase, telling reporters Monday that “they don’t have any rights unless we give it to them.”

“It’s a little bit like the landlord/tenant; without a lease the tenant has nothing, so they pay what’s called ‘key money,’ or they pay something,” the president added. “But the United States should be reimbursed or should be paid a substantial amount of money, because without the United States they don’t have anything.”

If successful, the acquisition would give Microsoft control over TikTok not only in the U.S. but also in Australia, Canada and New Zealand. The potential agreement includes a promise that “all private data of TikTok’s American users is transferred to and remains in the United States.”

Microsoft wrote in its blog post, which was released before Trump’s remarks to reporters, that it “appreciates” his “personal involvement” while he ostensibly attempts to “develop strong security protections for the country.” The post also noted that Trump had established a deadline of Sept.15 for the potential acquisition, giving the company less than seven weeks to hammer out a deal.

“Microsoft fully appreciates the importance of addressing the President’s concerns,” the company wrote. “It is committed to acquiring TikTok subject to a complete security review and providing proper economic benefits to the United States, including the United States Treasury.”

Trump’s threat last week to ban TikTok did not come as a surprise. Earlier in July, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo told Fox News host Laura Ingraham that “with respect to Chinese apps on people’s cell phones, I can assure you the United States will get this one right, too.”

He later added that people who download the app should only do so “if you want your private information in the hands of the Chinese Communist Party.”

Salon reached out to Kurt Opsahl, the deputy executive director and general counsel of the Electronic Frontier Foundation, about the legal implications of a potential ban of TikTok.

“Banning Americans from using the TikTok app would infringe the First Amendment rights of those users as an overly broad restriction on a means of expression (and on reaching the TikTok audience) unnecessary to achieve the government’s national security purpose,” Opsahl said by email.

Prohibiting the app in stores would violate the First Amendment right to distribute software, Opsahl added, since courts have argued that software is a form of speech. He pointed out that “if the Trump administration’s motives were based on anti-Trump content, this is obviously not a legitimate government purpose. Courts would not balance the ban against that purpose. If censoring political speech was shown to be the true purpose, courts would subject the ban to closer constitutional scrutiny, which the ban would not survive.”

Speaking to Salon at the time of Pompeo’s comments, Leonard M. Niehoff, a professor from practice at the University of Michigan Law School who specializes in the First Amendment, explained that there were constitutional concerns about a potential ban amid Trump’s pattern of retaliation against social media companies.

“One of the primary concerns is that this is part of a pattern of retaliation against social media platforms that the president does not like, either because of how the platform has treated his speech or because of how users have deployed the platform against him,” Niehoff told Salon. “A central tenet of the First Amendment is that the government cannot retaliate against speech or speakers based on content or viewpoint. That was, in my view, quite clearly the motive behind the executive order that came out after Trump’s dispute with Twitter. The question is whether the targeting of TikTok is in the same category.”

Niehoff’s observations referenced a successful effort in June by TikTok users to embarrass Trump during a rally in Tulsa, Okla. After a 51-year-old grandmother from Fort Dodge, Iowa, named Mary Jo Laupp suggested in a TikTok video that people reserve tickets to Trump’s rally but not attend, hundreds of thousands followed suit. The prank appeared to fool Trump campaign manager Brad Parscale, who tweeted days in advance that they had “just passed 800,000 tickets. Biggest data haul and rally signup of all time by 10x. Saturday is going to be amazing!”

Laupp later told The New York Times that she was “overwhelmed” and “stunned” by her video’s success, adding that “there are teenagers in this country who participated in this little no-show protest, who believe that they can have an impact in their country in the political system even though they’re not old enough to vote right now.”

The rally ultimately had only 6,200 attendees out of a seating capacity of 19,000. Salon reached out to Microsoft about whether political activity was mentioned during their discussions with Trump. The company declined to answer.

The Republican National Committee is offering signed copies of Sean Hannity’s new book for $75

The Republican National Committee (RNC) is promoting a new book written by Fox News host Sean Hannity — and offering signed copies as an incentive for political donations.

The book, titled “Live Free or Die,” does not go on sale until later this month. However, an email sent from an RNC HQ address over the weekend suggests that the committee will make a bulk pre-order — if it has not already done so.

“It won’t be available until later this month,” the email says. “But because you’re a TOP supporter, we’re giving you PRIORITY-ACCESS so that you can get your copy FIRST.”

The bonus kicks in at a $75 starting price point, and the email suggests that the president, whom Hannity has advised and routinely interviews for the network, involved himself personally in the process: “Trump has requested that we save one for YOU.”

“All you have to do is contribute $75 or more in the NEXT HOUR,” the email says, “and we’ll send you your SIGNED copy of Live Free or Die.”

It is unclear how many copies the RNC may have acquired, or how much it may have spent on the effort.

Though the promotional email went out over the weekend, the landing page said as of Monday morning that the hour-long window was still open: “Please contribute $75 in the NEXT HOUR to get your SIGNED copy of LIVE FREE OR DIE! . . . This limited-time offer ends in ONE HOUR, so be sure to claim your signed copy NOW.”

The landing page includes an option to make the donation a monthly recurring contribution, as well as a personal request attributed to the president to make a repeat donation again only a few days later, on Aug. 4:

President Trump: I want to keep our End-of-Month momentum going into August. Can I count on YOU to step up? Join the Trump Fundraising Blitz NOW: Donate an additional $75 automatically on 8/04.

Donors must opt out of the options, both of which are pre-selected.

The email solicitation bears the header, “Authorized Website of Trump Headquarters,” which links to the landing page, where the donation form also says, “Authorized Website of Trump Headquarters.” Fine print at the bottom of the landing page says, “Paid for by WinRed. Not authorized by any candidate or candidate’s committee.”

Another WinRed landing page — this one telling donors their $250 donation will allow them to sign a “petition” to advocate labeling antifa “terrorist organization” — features the Trump-Pence campaign logo. The donation form says, “Official Website of Donald J. Trump for President.”

However, the page features the same fine print at the bottom: “Paid for by WinRed. Not authorized by any candidate or candidate’s committee.”

The page does not inform prospective donors that the president does not have the power to designate antifa a terrorist organization.

Last November, the RNC spent nearly $100,000 on orders for Donald Trump Jr.’s book, “Triggered,” punting it to the top of bestseller lists.

“We haven’t made a large bulk purchase, but are ordering copies to keep up with demand,” an RNC spokesperson told the New York Times two days after the “Triggered” fundraising email was sent. “Each book is sold to an individual who supports the Republican Party.”

Though the spokesperson said the books were “sold,” Federal Election Commission records classified them as “donor mementos.” The day of the purchase, the president’s son sent out an RNC fundraising email offering signed copies to supporters who contributed at least $50. Hannity’s book comes with a $75 price tag.

It remains unclear if the RNC has already bought copies of “Live Free or Die.” FEC reports will not be available until the end of August.

When asked whether Fox News was comfortable with the Republican Party promoting and politicizing one of its self-identifying journalists, who regularly interviews the president, a network spokesperson told Salon that was a question for the book’s publisher, Simon & Schuster.

Simon and Schuster did not respond to Salon’s request for comment. Neither the Trump campaign nor the RNC responded to Salon’s detailed questions.

Gohmert’s daughter rips GOP science denial: My dad “ignored medical expertise” — “now he has COVID”

The daughter of Rep. Louie Gohmert, R-Texas, called out President Donald Trump after her father tested positive for COVID-19 last week.

Gohmert had refused to wear a mask for months before contracting the disease. After testing positive, he attempted to claim that he got sick by incorrectly wearing a mask.

Gohmert’s daughter, Caroline Brooks, posted a statement on Twitter urging people to wear masks after her father’s diagnosis.

“Wearing a mask is a non-partisan issue,” Brooks, who is a musician, posted under her stage name BELLSAINT. “The advice of medical experts shouldn’t be politicized. My father ignored medical expertise and now he has COVID.”

Brooks said it has been a “heartbreaking battle,” because “I love my dad and don’t want him to die.”

She appeared to blame Trump for her father’s refusal to listen to doctors.

“Please listen to medical experts,” she wrote. “It’s not worth following a president who has no remorse for leading his followers to an early grave.”

Gohmert has rejected any semblance of medical advice. In addition to blaming masks for his infection, he claimed to be taking the unproven drug treatment of hydroxycholorquine.

“It is what was decided as the best course of action between my doctor and me–not by government bureaucrats,” Gohmert wrote on Twitter last week.

The Food and Drug Administration revoked its emergency authorization for hydroxychloroquine after studies repeatedly showed it was not effective in treating the coronavirus and was linked to serious side effects.

Brett Giroir, the assistant secretary for health at the Department of Health and Human Services, told NBC News on Sunday that doctors should not prescribe the drug to treat the virus.

“There may be circumstances — I don’t know what they are — where a physician may prescribe it for an individual, but I think most physicians and prescribers are evidence-based and they’re not influenced by whatever is on Twitter or anything else,” he said. “And the evidence just doesn’t show that hydroxychloroquine is effective, for now. I think we need to move on from that and talk about what is effective.”

Gohmert’s infection, which was announced a day after he participated in a televised House Judiciary hearing with Attorney General Bill Barr and ahead of a planned meeting with Trump, prompted Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., to announce new rules requiring masks to be worn on the chamber floor.

Several members of Congress were forced to self-quarantine after Gohmert’s announcement.

But the damage may have already been done. Rep. Raul Grijalva, D-Ariz., the chairman of the House Natural Resources Committee, tested positive for COVID-19 on Saturday after chairing a hearing which included Gohmert.

“While I cannot blame anyone directly for this, this week has shown that there are some members of Congress who fail to take this crisis seriously,” he said in a statement. “Numerous Republican members routinely strut around the Capitol without a mask to selfishly make a political statement at the expense of their colleagues, staff and their families.”

Move over, SpaceX – Amazon is sending its own satellites into orbit

Astronomers were already concerned about SpaceX’s plan to put 25,000 satellites in orbit. And as of July 30, there’s yet another reason for astronomers to believe that ground-based observational astronomy is about to become much more difficult: Amazon’s Project Kuiper.

On Friday, news broke that the Federal Communications Commission approved Amazon’s plans for its ambitious Kuiper constellation, which includes sending 3,236 satellites into three different altitudes in orbit.

The FCC’s approval is a big regulatory step and gives Amazon permission to move forward with the launch when they’re ready. The satellites are part of Amazon’s effort to provide satellite-based internet to everyone in the United States, an endeavor that’s been positioned as having a charitable and community-oriented mission. 

“This investment will create jobs and infrastructure around the United States, build and scale our ground network, accelerate satellite testing and manufacturing, and let us deliver an affordable customer terminal that will make fast, reliable broadband accessible to communities around the world,” Amazon stated in a blog post.

But many astronomers who depend on a clear sky from Earth to observe the universe, are wondering at what cost? Indeed, the more satellites in Earth’s orbit, the more difficult it will be for astronomers to make accurate and unobstructed observations. Alexandre Lazarian, a professor of Astronomy at the University of Wisconsin – Madison, told Salon he believes the case of Amazon’s commercial satellites ” is one of many that hinders our exploration of the universe.”

“I believe that some aspects of the civilization progress makes the work of observers more difficult,” Lazarian said. “This includes light pollution, radio noise and also satellites.”

On the other hand, Lazarian said that technological progress is opening up new horizons for astronomy.

Avi Loeb, chair of Harvard’s astronomy department, told Salon via email that astronomers have long escaped light pollution by placing their telescopes far from cities. However, new communication satellites like Amazon’s “will reflect sunlight and create a city of lights in the sky that no telescope on Earth can escape.”

“The biggest impact will be on telescopes that survey large areas of the sky on a routine basis, such as the Vera Rubin Observatory that will see its first light in the coming year and is planned to conduct the extensive LSST survey, covering the southern sky every few days in search for transient events,” Loeb told Salon. “The satellite constellations will leave streaks of bright on the CCD detectors of the observatory, making it difficult to separate real astronomical sources from their bright contaminating light.”

In May, the Vera Rubin Observatory released a statement of concern regarding the launch of SpaceX satellites, and the plans of other companies like Amazon.

“The Vera C. Rubin Observatory science community is concerned about the increasing deployment of communications satellite constellations which, if unchecked, could jeopardize the discoveries anticipated from Rubin Observatory when science operations begin in 2022,” the statement read. “Because Rubin Observatory is uniquely impacted by these satellite constellations, its science team is taking an active role in pursuing mitigation strategies to reduce the impact of the satellites on Rubin Observatory science.”

Indeed, such efforts to send internet-based satellites have already begun. In late May 2019, SpaceX launched the first 60 of its of 42,000 communications satellites for the planned Starlink constellation. Since then, Elon Musk’s company has launched several more groups of 60 satellites. While satellites aren’t necessarily a new problem for astronomers, the brightness of the SpaceX-launched satellites have been a big concern for astronomers.

In January 2020, a study published in the journal Astronomy & Astrophysics analyzed the potential impact of commercial satellites like those by SpaceX and Amazon and found that large telescopes will likely be “moderately affected.”

“The results suggest that large telescopes like ESO’s VLT and upcoming ELT will only be moderately affected, although some science cases may require the implementation of mitigation measures, such as scheduling of the observations or interruption of the exposures to allow a satellite to cross the field of view,” the study concluded.

Amazon said it will invest more than $10 billion in Project Kuiper in the company’s statement. While there are no specific launch dates yet, under the FCC’s approval the company must launch half of the constellation by 2026 to keep its FCC license, and the remaining satellites by 2029.

“We’re going to be canceled for a joke”: Judy Gold on how “safe spaces” in comedy ignore reality

Comedians may be the one group that can reliably incite the ire of conservatives and liberals, triggering snowflakes of every conceivable stripe. As veteran comic Judy Gold points out in her self-explanatorily titled new book “Yes I Can Say That: When They Come for the Comedians, We Are All in Trouble,” performers as diverse as Dave Chappelle, Michelle Wolfe and Kathy Griffin have become targets of outrage and boycotts from very different audiences but essentially for the same reason — saying things that make people uncomfortable. Which is pretty much the job description. 

Salon recently talked to Gold — who is safely doing her comedy outdoors this summer in Provincetown — about parenting, her new book, and why in serious times we have to take ourselves less seriously. The following conversation has been lightly edited for lengthy and clarity.

You tell jokes that are designed to provoke, but then everyone is offended all the time. It must be very hard within that culture to have space for anything to be funny or anything to be irreverent.

If you’re looking to be offended, you can find it anywhere, anywhere, anytime, but it’s a choice. Everyone has a platform. Everyone thinks their voice is important. Everyone gets a trophy, and we’re banning thoughts and ideas. And when there’s no discourse, there’s no growth. It’s so incredible to me that when someone is on trial for homicide, their sentence is determined by their intent. Yet we don’t give the same courtesy and consideration to a comedian. What is the comedian’s intent when they tell a joke? What is the context? What are they trying to say? Guess what? It’s not about you.

It may sound ridiculous to ask what, aside from everything, inspired you to write this book? But what made you decide, “I want to put this together in something other than my act”?

I was featured on “Vice News” on HBO. They did a piece on college bookers who book comedians and tell them what they can and cannot say on stage. They interviewed three bookers who are, quote unquote, “protecting the students.” They asked me to be the opposing point of view, which I was happy to do. And because of that piece, which got a lot of attention, an editor at Harper Collins asked me to write this book.

It’s something I’m so passionate about. Since I was a little girl, I always had no edit button. As I was writing the book and going through the history of how we got here to this place and how people fought for free speech, I’m at the clubs four or five nights a week. Some of the most edgy, subversive, incredible comics were like, “I can’t do this bit. Am I going to get in trouble?” It’s like, my God, we’re going to be canceled for a joke. 

In Seth Meyers’ “Lobby Baby,” he has this wonderful part in it where he says how, when he works at Catholic colleges, they say, “All we ask is that you don’t make any jokes about the Catholic church.” And he answers, “Oh, what kind of jokes are people making? What is it that people are saying about the Catholic church?”

Because if I don’t say it, then it doesn’t exist. What is this idea that we can never feel uncomfortable? We can never feel sad? That’s not reality. Every “safe space” has a door to the real world.

What you are are talking about is nuanced thought. As a gay, Jewish woman, you understand that comedy has also been used as a source of strength. We’re talking about groups that have suffered. It’s not like this is coming from a place of punching down.

Those are also the audience members who have the best sense of humor, the ones who have had to endure hardships and have had to get out of situations with a joke or quip. Marginalized people have used humor as a weapon. It’s because it’s powerful. It’s disarming. It heals. It educates, It connects us. And when you banish comedians, that means you’re depriving us of laughter and discourse. Lenny Bruce was arrested for using foul language. But they really wanted him because he was talking about segregation and the Vietnam war and racism and homophobia and the government.

I’m a gay, I’m a Jew. I get up and talk about my experiences. In the mid-’90s, when I came out on stage as a gay parent, I was talking about my family. And after two minutes, all the straight people in the audience forgot I was gay, because it was the same issue. I had someone in Houston come up to me after a show and say, “I see now why you want to get married. I didn’t see it in that way before.”

You point out in the book that’s different from “bad comics, substituting shock for humor, bullying people, writing sh*tty material.” You still have to be good at what you do. I am reminded of the Shane Gillis controversy last year.

Shane Gillis has every right to perform standup . . . but you can’t use the excuse of “pushing boundaries.” No, those boundaries were pushed by geniuses before you who really were talking about substantive issues. He worked for corporations representing a television show, a network, and they decided for their business model this wasn’t a good idea. That’s what happens. But no one’s saying, “Don’t. You can’t get on stage anywhere.” If that’s your material and if that’s what you want to do, fine. But then you have to take what comes with it.

You can say whatever you want. It doesn’t mean people are going to pay for it.

And it doesn’t mean that it’s funny and that it’s educated. If you’re going to joke about racism or homophobia or antisemitism, if you’re going to joke about any of these issues, it better be funny and it better be coming from an educated point of view.

The other side of that is that you can be a terrible person, and be funny. In the book, you go in and you talk about Bill Cosby and the impact that his work and that his show had on people. You talk about Louis C.K. and the opportunities that he did create for women in the industry. These things can exist simultaneously. You can be a brilliant comedian, you can have a comic legacy and you can also be a person has done really crappy things.

It’s sad because “The Cosby Show” was a great show and it represented people who weren’t represented on television. And yet he’s a sexual predator. He’s a rapist. He’s a horrible person. I had a driver for some gig, and right when the Cosby thing came out and he was like, “I just don’t understand how he could do that.” I said to the guy, “Dr. Huxtable didn’t do it. Bill Cosby did it.” I write about Coco Chanel in the book, a Nazi embedded with the Nazis. And yet I go to synagogue, and half the people have a Chanel scarf or Chanel suit.

It’s not easy to acknowledge the talent or the artistry of someone and separate that from the person. How do we reconcile that discomfort?

Why are we avoiding it? How is that good? If we didn’t hear the other side of things, we wouldn’t know what we were fighting for. It makes us more educated. It makes us more openminded, less ignorant.

What is it like now to be a comic and to have this specter hanging over you all the time? No one wants to go back to the degree of racism and antisemitism and homophobia and –

I start one chapter with, “Thank God Don Rickles is dead,” because if he was 20 today and out there, no one would get it. He literally was saying to everyone, we’re all the same. He got people to laugh at themselves, and that’s now what we’re not doing. We’re taking ourselves so seriously. Look at the president. He wants “SNL ” investigated. There are no comics at the White House Correspondents’ dinner.

So what do you do now, knowing that your livelihood is now more precarious?

I’m in a comedy club. This is my home. This is my, quote unquote, “safe space.” It’s the only art form that really needs the audience to inform the artist. And if you’re shutting us down before we start, there’s no comedy. And comedy and satire are such a big part of this country and who we are.

It’s interesting because people are like, “You can’t joke about COVID,” and it’s the perfect storm for stand-up. Everyone is in the same boat. Everyone is thinking the same thing. I have a joke: “My car is getting four months to the gallon.” Doesn’t make the pandemic any worse. I’m not saying this didn’t happen and it’s not horrible. I’m just saying, “This is what’s happening. Here’s the funny.” That’s what I do for a living. It doesn’t mean that 149,000 people aren’t dead and more are suffering right now. It doesn’t take away from that. The speech that incites violence, that takes rights away from people, conspiracy theories, these are dangerous. We’re not dangerous. 

You’re a parent; what do you have hope for your kids? Do you think think that the pendulum can swing in another direction?

I raised my kids to be socially aware. The one good thing about the last three and a half years is people are way more civic-minded. They know way more about what’s going on in the world and how it affects them. They see how leaders and the government affect us. But I raised my kids, and other parents would complain, “I can’t believe you let your kids watch ‘South Park.'” I wanted my kids to know what’s funny.

I was thinking recently how rarely anybody now has a conversation that’s not even, “You’re right, and I’m wrong and I’ve changed my mind,” but just, “That’s an interesting point. I never thought of it that way.”

That’s what makes a joke work, when you point out something that’s been in plain sight all along, and then it becomes alive in a different way. You look at it in a way where you suddenly go, “I never noticed that. Isn’t that funny?” We have to be able to laugh and not take ourselves so seriously.

Do you think it’s because things are just difficult so now that we can’t switch off?

I think in those times, it’s even more important to find the humor. Look at when people are ill. What do they ask for? Funny movies, or, “Can you call my friend and cheer her up?” People want to laugh. And you can’t say, “I don’t find this funny so it’s not funny and it should never be said again.” If you don’t like a song, what do you do? You turn it off. I don’t say to that person, “Don’t ever write a song again. You should never be able to perform.” It’s mind-boggling to me because our goal is to make you feel good. That’s what we’re doing. We’re just trying to make you laugh.

Watchdogs demand investigation into “voter suppression tactics” by Trump donor running USPS

Multiple government watchdog groups called for an investigation into newly-installed Postmaster General Louis DeJoy over concerns that his actions since taking over the agency could amount to “voter suppression tactics.”

DeJoy, a major Trump and Republican Party donor, has sparked widespread concern after pushing for an “operational pivot” at the cash-strapped agency. Advocates have expressed fears about a mail slowdown, while lawmakers called out DeJoy for reportedly planning service cuts in violation of federal law.

The watchdog groups Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington (CREW) and Common Cause Wisconsin called on Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., the chairman of the Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs, which oversees the U.S. Postal Service (USPS), to investigate DeJoy’s actions since taking over.

“In his first month on the job, the postmaster general has already taken steps that could undermine efficient voting by mail in November,” the groups said in a letter to Johnson. “According to internal USPS memos, DeJoy directed USPS employees that overtime would be limited and that they were prohibited from making late trips in order to ensure timely delivery. DeJoy offered these changes as a way to cut costs, but USPS has acknowledged that they will likely result in delayed mail delivery.”

The letter cited a recent report by the USPS Office of Inspector General highlighting problems “related to the timeliness of ballots being mailed to voters” in the Wisconsin primary earlier this year.

The groups called on Johnson to hold oversight hearings in “possible voter suppression tactics” by DeJoy, as well as the deployment of Homeland Security forces to cities like Portland.

“Acting Secretary of Homeland Security Chad Wolf’s decision to deploy federal officers to quell political protests raises significant concerns regarding the use of federal resources to repress the rights of Americans over the objections of many local elected officials who do not want federal help,” the letter said, adding that the agents “could be used to intimidate voters across the country in the upcoming election.”

The letter echoed concerns raised by other groups about DeJoy, who has no experience at the agency and is the former lead fundraiser for the Republican National Convention.

“We have an underfunded state and local election system and a deliberate slowdown in the Postal Service,” Wendy Fields, who heads the voting rights coalition the Democracy Initiative, told The New York Times, adding that Trump was “deliberately orchestrating suppression and using the post office as a tool to do it.”

Trump has repeatedly sought to sow doubts about mail voting, pushing debunked conspiracy theories alleging links to voter fraud and insisting, without evidence, that it would “lead to the end of our great Republican Party.” While lawmakers from both parties have rejected Trump’s false claims, even Republican officials are increasingly worried about how the changes at USPS will affect the expected mail-in voting surge.

“Election officials are very concerned, if the post office is reducing service, that we will be able to get ballots to people in time,” Washington Secretary of State Kim Wyman, a Republican, told NPR.

David Partenheimer, a USPS spokesman, told The New York Times that post offices have “ample capacity to adjust our nationwide processing and delivery network to meet projected election and political mail volume, including any additional volume that may result as a response to the COVID-19 pandemic.”

But the largest postal workers union argued that the changes would undoubtedly reduce service.

“The policies that the new postmaster general is putting into place — they couldn’t lead to anything but degradation of service,” Mark Diamondstein, the head of the American Postal Workers Union, told the outlet. “Anything that slows down the mail could have a negative impact on everything we do, including vote by mail.”

Democrats have been pushing to include a $25 billion cash infusion for the USUS in the next phase of coronavirus relief, which Republicans have rejected. Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., argued that the Republicans want to “diminish the capacity of the Postal System to work in a timely fashion.”

“We are worried about new management at the Postal Service that is carrying out Trump’s avowed opposition to voting by mail,” Rep. Gerry Connolly, D-Va., who heads a House subcomittee overseeing the USPS, told The Times. “I don’t think that’s speculation. I think we are witnessing that in front of our own eyes.”

Stacey Abrams, a potential running mate to presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden who faced her own battle with voter suppression when she ran for governor in Georgia, accused Trump of trying to “steal” the election by undermining the USPS.

“We will not be able to effectively count the votes of every eligible American because he’s doing his best to undermine our confidence in the process,” Abrams, who heads the voting rights group Fair Fight, told CNN, “but worst he’s doing his best to actually steal the vote by undermining the postal service.”

Trump is getting truly desperate — and that means he’s increasingly dangerous

One of the first things that activists and educators who work to stop domestic violence learn is this: The most dangerous time for the victim is when she tries to leave the abusive relationship. The abuser, desperate to keep his power and control over the victim, will drastically escalate the threats and violence if he senses that she’s looking for an escape route. If she does get out, the abuser will often track her down and try to force her to return through violence. This is why advocates for victims emphasize the importance of careful planning to escape an abusive relationship, since abusers rarely just let a victim walk away. 

The parallels between the situation of many abuse victims and the nation’s dilemma when it comes to removing Donald Trump from power have not been lost on feminists. As sex educator Twanna Hines noted on Twitter on Friday, Trump “knows his time is up.” She predicted that he will lash out the way that abusers do “when the relationship is ending.”

We’re already seeing the evidence that Trump, terrified of being kicked out by the voters, is getting increasingly unhinged in his flailing attempts to cling to power, as evidenced by last week’s threat — disguised as a helpful suggestion — to “delay” the November election.

The good news is that — despite the GOP’s usual willingness to embrace any scheme that maximizes their power for themselves, regardless of legal or or ethical concerns — leading Republicans seem disinclined to help Trump find some excuse to nullify Congress’ power to determine the date of the election. Even Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, who has already used delay tactics to steal a Supreme Court seat from a Democratic president, ruled out using a similar strategy this fall to steal the election

As my colleague Andrew O’Hehir reassuringly wrote over the weekend, it’s also unlikely that “Trump has anywhere near the courage, the confidence or the means to pull off any version of a coup with success” if he loses in November. It’s too big a task, with too many moving parts and too little buy-in from the corporate power interests that back the GOP, he argued. 

But even though we’re likely to see a situation where former Vice President Joe Biden is sworn in as president on Jan. 20, 2021, that doesn’t mean we’re in anything like a position to relax. Like the abusive husband who would rather see his wife injured or dead than let her move out in peace, Trump will, as Election Day nears, increasingly turn to schemes to keep power that will pose real threats — not just to our democracy, but to the immediate safety and well-being of Americans. 

Even if Trump is successfully removed from office, the amount of damage he could well do to punish the American people for rejecting him is, frankly, terrifying. 

The most obvious threat is the pseudo-military presence Trump is rapidly building up in the streets of American cities. He famously kicked this by tear-gassing peaceful protesters in Washington, and then moved the show across the country to Portland, Oregon. He’s now transitioning it to cities in swing states, including Cleveland and Milwaukee.  

The presence of these federal police should make anyone uneasy. It’s becoming increasingly clear, as House Majority Whip Jim Clyburn, D-S.C., noted on CNN on Sunday, that Trump has no “plans to leave the White House” if he loses in November.

Even if, as O’Hehir persuasively argues, Trump is eventually pushed out, the grim reality is that his near-certain refusal to concede defeat  — something no losing candidate has done in the era of modern politics — will lead to all manner of chaos, and likely to violence. Earlier this summer, a bipartisan group of former government officials and political scientists gathered together for the Transition Integrity Project, which largely consisted of a series of war games to project possible outcomes if and when Trump refuses to concede. 

“[I]n every scenario the answer includes street violence and political crisis,” Brian Beutler of Crooked Media explained in his weekly newsletter description of the project. 

The project looked at the various political arson fires Trump will light as he desperately seeks to reject the election results, and I recommend that everyone read the Boston Globe’s coverage of these particulars. But what is most viscerally alarming, in light of the federal police buildup that’s occurred since the project, is the likelihood of street violence. Once Trump refuses to concede, there will almost certainly be widespread street protests against him. By then, Trump will have already had months under his belt of using federal police to tear gas, beat and arrest protesters. It’s unlikely that he would hesitate for a moment to use these forces to sow even more chaos and violence if Americans dare to protest his unwillingness to accept electoral defeat. 

But that’s far from the only way that Trump is putting Americans in physical danger in his desperate efforts to keep power over a country that, as polling data shows, is eager to put him in the ex-president category. As the New York Times reported on Sunday, government scientists are concerned that Trump will try to force them to release something he can call a coronavirus vaccine by October — so he can claim credit for it, naturally — regardless of whether it’s been demonstrated to be safe or effective. 

From the very beginning of the pandemic, Trump has made it clear that his only concern is winning re-election, and that if he has to sacrifice millions of Americans to sickness or even death to get there, he won’t think twice about it. He has defied the advice of medical scientists on enforcing lockdowns, wearing masks and expanding virus testing, mostly because he believed — however mistakenly — that efforts to fight the disease would hurt his re-election chances more than an unchecked pandemic. Now, with more than 4.6 million confirmed cases and 155,000 deaths, Trump expects the same medical scientists he’s derided for months to rush in and save his campaign — even if doing so makes the pandemic worse in the long run. 

Trump’s increasingly desperate efforts to keep control aren’t just a threat to life and limb. His desire to prevent people from even being able to vote him out in November also threatens fundamental American institutions. That includes the institutions that aren’t ostensibly political at all, but exist to serve the daily needs of all Americans, such as the U.S. Postal Service. 

Yep, like an abusive husband who threatens to kill the family pet if his wife leaves him, Donald Trump has declared war on the post office. Relatively quietly, he has been gutting the ability of the Postal Service to deliver mail on time, both out of Republican ideological hostility to good government and because Trump personally thought this would be useful as part of his years-long vendetta against Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos.  

But now that it appears the election is going to be conducted in large part by mail, to allow voters to avoid exposing themselves to the coronavirus, Trump’s war on the the post office has escalated. He has been demonizing mail-in ballots as fraudulent, as part of his run-up to rejecting the election results. (There is of course virtually no evidence of any voter fraud in the history of voting by mail.) Now the chips are falling into place: Trump undermines the ability of postal workers to deliver the mail on time, and then uses the fact that mail isn’t being delivered on time as an excuse to reject the results of the election. 

The collateral damage of this strategy extends far beyond just electoral integrity, though certainly that would be enough reason to be freaked out. Americans rely on the mail system, now more than ever, for life necessities like paying bills or getting prescriptions filled. Trump, however, is fully prepared to demolish this critical institution in his desperate and hopefully fruitless bid to nullify an American election. 

I point all this out not to alarm anyone unduly, but so we can be prepared. The success of a victim leaving an abuser depends largely on her willingness to anticipate her abuser’s violent reaction when she tries to get out. Having a clearly thought-out escape plan can be the difference between getting away successfully or getting hurt. 

Similarly, Americans will need an escape plan to get away from Trump. Even if our institutions successfully hold up well enough that a new president takes office in January, the amount of damage Trump can do to the country in his scorched-earth efforts to hang onto power is terrifying to contemplate. We need to understand that he will not be held back by conscience or decency from doing physical harm to Americans or destroying even backbone institutions, and plan accordingly. This isn’t just about winning back the White House and saving democracy. It’s about minimizing the casualties along the way. 

Trump falsely accuses Nevada of using COVID-19 to “steal” election by mailing ballots to voters

President Donald Trump baselessly accused Nevada of an illegal “coup” and of trying to “steal” the election after the state’s legislature voted to send mail-in ballots to all active voters.

Trump has repeatedly falsely claimed that mail-in voting is rife with fraud, even though multiple analyses have found that the risk of potential fraud is somewhere between 0.00006% and 0.0025%. Moreover, numerous Republican officials in states with a history of all-mail voting argue that there are safeguards in place to prevent fraud.

Trump, who has argued that voting by mail favors Democrats (even though research disputes this), has tried to draw a distinction between mail-in voting, which he claims is bad, and absentee voting, which he claims is “good.” But lawyers for Trump’s own re-election campaign recently admitted in court documents they are the same thing.

Trump doubled-down on his false claims Monday after Nevada lawmakers voted to send a mail-in ballot to every registered voter over concerns about the coronavirus, which has resulted in massive worker shortages, shuttered poll sites and hours-long lines in states where in-person voting has already taken place amid the ongoing pandemic.

“In an illegal late night coup, Nevada’s clubhouse Governor made it impossible for Republicans to win the state,” Trump baselessly tweeted. “Post Office could never handle the Traffic of Mail-In Votes without preparation. Using Covid to steal the state. See you in Court!”

But the move, which was approved by the Nevada state legislature during the day (and not at night), is expected to be signed by the state’s governor. It is neither a “coup” nor “illegal.”

Nevada already mailed absentee ballots to every active voter in its June primary. Several other states, including California, have recently voted to send absentee ballots to all registered voters.

Secretary of State Barbara Cegavske, a Republican, told lawmakers last week that she was not aware of any fraud in the primary. The limited number of polling places the state opened saw lines of up to eight hours in the major cities of Las Vegas and Reno.

Trump insisted in May that Nevada’s decision would lead to “voter fraud,” and the president threatened to cut off funding for the state.

“To my knowledge . . . We’ve not had any cases of fraud that have been reported to us,” Cegavske said last week.

Trump himself, and many of his advisers, have repeatedly voted by mail before opposing it this year.

Trump has also recently pushed a new claim that the U.S. Postal Service will not be able to handle the expected surge of mail ballots. Trump’s comments come as his administration repeatedly sought to slash funding for the agency. The new postmaster general, a major donor to Trump’s campaign, has already raised alarms over potential service cuts and a a slowdown of service ahead of the election.

Trump’s complaints come as he trails badly in the polls amid sagging approval numbers over his response to the pandemic and his reaction to protests over police brutality. Trump lost Nevada by less than 2.5% in 2016. He currently trails presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden by 6.5%, according to FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

The president has also spun a new narrative about voting by mail, warning that results may not be fully counted until “months” or “years” after the election. The claim was quickly debunked by election experts.

Trump said during a news conference last week that “tremendous litigation” could hold up the results, but he has repeatedly signaled that the litigation would come from his own campaign. Trump and the Republican Party have already sued California over its plan to send ballots to voters and sued Pennsylvania over new rules making it easier to vote.

“This is outrageous. Must be met with immediate litigation!” Trump tweeted on Sunday in response to Nevada’s vote.

Trump, who has been extraordinarily litigious since his business days, is now using the threat of litigation to argue against voting by mail. 

“So many years, I’ve been watching elections. And they say the ‘projected winner’ or the ‘winner of the election.’ I don’t want to see that take place in a week after Nov. 3, or a month, or frankly, with litigation and everything else that can happen, years. Years — or you never even know who won the election,” Trump claimed at the news conference last week before hinting at where the political litigation would originate.

“I don’t want to be waiting around for weeks and months,” he said. “And, literally, potentially — if you really did it right — years, because you’ll never know.”

Deutsche Bank launches internal probe into personal banker of Donald Trump and Jared Kushner: report

Deutsche Bank launched an internal investigation into the longtime personal banker of President Donald Trump and son-in-law Jared Kushner, according to The New York Times.

Trump relied heavily on the bank for loans when other top banks refused to do business with him after a series of bankruptcies and defaults; he still owes hundreds of millions to the financial giant. Kushner’s family also borrowed millions from the bank.

Both Trump and Kushner were clients of Rosemary Vrablic, a managing director and senior private banker at Deutsche Bank. The bank opened an investigation into an apartment which Vrablic and two other colleagues at the bank bought for $1.5 million in June 2013 from a company called Bergel 715 Associates, The Times reported.

The review was opened after Kushner revealed in his annual personal financial disclosure filed last week that he and wife Ivanka Trump had earned between $1 million and $5 million last year from Bergel 715 Associates. A source familiar with Kushner’s finances told The Times that Kushner owned a stake in the company when Vrablic bought the apartment.

“Typically, banks restrict employees from doing personal business with clients because of the potential for conflicts between the employees’ interests and those of the bank,” The Times wrote. “Deutsche Bank said it had not been aware that Ms. Vrablic and her colleagues had done business with a company part-owned by Mr. Kushner.”

The bank opened the review after Kushner’s financial disclosure was filed.

“The bank will closely examine the information that came to light on Friday and the fact pattern from 2013,” Deutsche Bank spokesman Daniel Hunter told The Times.

Kushner Companies denied Jared Kushner’s involvement.

“Kushner is not the managing partner of that entity and has no involvement with the sales of the apartments,” spokesman Christopher Smith told The Times.

The size of Kushner’s stake in Bergel 715 is unclear. The company has sold dozens of condos in the Park Avenue building over the last four decades, according to the report. At least one of the apartments was sold to Kushner Companies.

Though Kushner and Ivanka Trump previously listed the entity used to make the investment in the company, this was the first year they listed income from Bergel 715. The income they reported was not related to the sale to Vrablic, The Times reported. There is also no indication that the apartment was sold below market value.

Vrablic is reportedly a “leading private banker” in New York who worked with the Kushner family before even coming to Deutsche Bank in 2006. In 2011, Kushner introduced Vrablic to future-President Trump when most top banks balked at doing business with him.

“I introduced him to this woman Rosemary,” Kushner testified to the House Intelligence Committee in 2017. “She is one of the biggest private wealth bankers, probably in the world. Amazing banker, amazing woman. Very smart banker. And she banked my family for a long time.”

The following year, the bank lent President Trump about $175 million for his Doral golf resort in Florida and the Trump International Hotel & Tower in Chicago. Trump later pursued a $1 billion loan when he unsuccessfully sought to buy the NFL’s Buffalo Bills. Financial documents submitted by longtime former Trump “fixer” Michael Cohen showed that Trump inflated his net worth by about $4 billion in his pursuit.

Though his NFL bid was rejected, Trump later got another $170 million in loans from the bank for his Washington hotel. Trump later inflated Vrablic’s role at the bank, as well during his 2016 presidential campaign.

“I am friends with all the major banks. They are dying to do business with me,” Trump insisted to the Times in 2016 when pressed on financial firms’ refusal to do business with him. “Why don’t you call the head of Deutsche Bank? Her name is Rosemary Vrablic. She is the boss.”

That year, anti-money-laundering specialists at the bank recommended that multiple transactions by companies controlled by Trump and Kushner be reported to the Treasury Department’s financial crimes watchdog. At least some of the transactions “involved money flowing back and forth with overseas entities or individuals, which bank employees considered suspicious.” However, executives at the bank rejected the suggestion and never reported them, the Times reported last year.

The Department of Justice last year launched an investigation into the bank’s compliance with money laundering regulations.

The watchdog group Citizens for Ethics and Responsibility in Washington (CREW) also called on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors to investigate whether the bank failed to report suspicious financial activity by Trump and Kushner.

“Deutsche Bank’s careless attitude towards banking compliance laws and failure to police its accounts may now be impacting American government at the highest levels,” CREW Executive Director Noah Bookbinder said in a letter to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. “Questions about transactions between President Trump and foreign actors whose conduct seemingly warranted suspicious activity reports, potentially facilitated by Deutsche Bank, harms the public legitimacy of the institution of the presidency itself.”

Trump wanted a Portland-style war in Chicago — in a second term, he’ll do it

Donald Trump isn’t the first president to fail on a grand scale, and he certainly isn’t the first to test the boundaries of the system to see what he can get away with. But he is unique in certain respects. The full panoply of grotesque personality defects and openly corrupt behaviors is something we’ve never seen before in someone who ascended to the most powerful office in the land. People will study this era for a very long time to try to figure out just what cultural conditions allowed such an advanced, wealthy nation to end up with such an ignorant, unqualified leader.

But that’s actually less interesting in some ways that how party officials came to support him so unquestioningly and why so few career bureaucrats and civil servants have publicly stood up to him. What kind of system produces that kind of loyalty for a man who never had the support of more than 45% of the country, and who won by virtue of an anachronistic electoral system that allowed him to take office with nearly 3 million fewer votes than his opponent?

Trump may be a uniquely unfit leader, but the party that has backed him without question is not unique. In fact, the last Republican administration showed many of the same characteristics. Robert Draper’s new book “To Start a War: How the Bush Administration Took America Into Iraq” reminds us that just 17 years ago, in the wake of the 9/11 attacks, the George W. Bush administration used propaganda and disinformation to persuade the American people to go along with a war that made no logical sense on its face.

As almost the entire world looked on in astonishment, the U.S. — with the shameful cooperation of the U.K. under Tony Blair — invaded a country that had no involvement in that attack. A certain faction within the administration had come into office with the intention of finding a reason to do that if they could. They seized the moment, cooked up some flimsy evidence, constructed a convoluted rationale and just went for it.

Draper goes into some detail about how the administration successfully brought the bureaucracy into line, illustrating the fact that it tends to serve any president, even when individuals may stand up or resist. In fact, he pretty much blows up the idea of an unaccountable “deep state,” showing instead that it’s pretty much impotent to stop a determined president from using the powerful levers of government when he wants to.

Trump hasn’t attacked another country, thank goodness, although I think that’s been a matter of luck more than anything else. We came extremely close last January when he decided to assassinate Iran’s top general right before his impeachment trial was about to start. Iran didn’t take the bait and we avoided that disaster.

As it turns out, the inevitable Trump catastrophe happened right here at home with his tragically inept management of the COVID-18 pandemic and subsequent economic crisis. But he has certainly done everything he can to stoke a war at home this summer as people took to the streets to protest the murder of George Floyd and show support for the Black Lives Matter movement. If Americans weren’t already overwhelmed from the other two crises and Trump was even slightly more skilled, he might have pulled it off as deftly as Bush and Cheney.

We know from his phone call with the governors back in June that he believes the government should “dominate” the streets and throw demonstrators in jail to show who’s boss. And this should be no surprise. As far back as 1989, Trump made his beliefs clear with the disgusting Central Park Five full-page ad. From the moment he took office he has embraced the most authoritarian dictators in the world, congratulating them for their violent crackdowns on their own citizens.

Over the past several weeks Trump and his top henchmen, Attorney General Bill Barr and acting Homeland Security Secretary Chad Wolf, directed a disastrous paramilitary operation in Portland, Oregon, ostensibly to “protect” a federal building from protesters. This article in the Daily Beast by Asawin Suebsaeng and Erin Banco reveals chilling details of how Trump wanted to expand that operation into Chicago, and potentially other cities:

According to three people familiar with the president’s private remarks, Trump previously envisioned an ostentatious, camera-ready show of force. He wanted to go after what he saw as violent gang leaders, flush them out of hiding in ways that would have them “shaking in their boots” like they never had before, and have alleged perpetrators marched out in front of the news cameras. Violent crime has long plagued Chicago, and murders are spiking to highs not seen in decades. But Trump insisted that with the right leader, and the right muscle, crime there could be reduced “very quickly.”

The president said he wanted something similar to what his administration has done in Portland, an ongoing melee between protesters and rioters and unmarked federal authorities. Trump has been closely monitoring the conflict — largely on his favorite channel, Fox News — and trumpeting it as a sign of his own supposed strength.

Some senior members of the White House team reportedly realized that such an assault “would almost certainly result in extreme backlash and hellishly bad PR,” so they ended up scaling back the plan to “Operation Legend,” which is simply an expansion of earlier programs to lend federal investigative help to local jurisdictions.

This was described to the Daily Beast reporters as a pattern in which Trump demands “large-scale, draconian, and potentially disastrous action, with senior officials actively working to temper or inflame, those desires”:

“There was rarely a time I spoke to him about violent crime when two things didn’t come up: Number One, that it’s all happening in Democrat-run cities, with Chicago being shorthand for that kind of [blight],” said one former senior Trump administration official. “And Number Two, if it were up to him, we would return to the old days where it was eye-for-an-eye, tooth-for-a-tooth — or we would forget about proportionality altogether. He would talk about lining up drug dealers and gang members in front of a firing squad … If it were solely up to him, that is how the country would solve crime in Democrat-run cities [such as Chicago and Detroit].”

That’s his impulse and it’s been more or less kept in check, often by his own short attention span. Trump tweets something, and it makes him feel better for the moment. But what about the rank and file, the lower levels of officialdom? What do they do?

Judging from the Portland operation, they go along. Some go even further. Just this week the acting DHS undersecretary for intelligence and analysis, Brian Murphy, was removed from his job after he was found compiling “intelligence reports” about journalists and protesters in Portland. According to the Washington Post, “Murphy tried to broaden the definition of violent protesters in Portland, in a way that some officials felt was intended to curry favor with the White House,” calling them “violent antifa anarchists.”

If Trump wins the validation he craves by being elected to a second term, true believers like Murphy will be further empowered up and down the line. And we can expect that Trump’s own Deep State will be more than happy to implement his program. It wouldn’t be the first time.

Texas schools are being compelled to reopen classrooms on the state’s timetable, like it or not

After weeks of confusion and conflicting signals, Texas has settled into policies that effectively compel schools to reopen their classrooms this fall no later than eight weeks after the academic year begins, whether they want to or not.

Teachers, parents, school administrators and public health officials have been seeking clarity for weeks on how the state will approach reopening schools safely as coronavirus infections and deaths rise across Texas.

Gov. Greg Abbott has not responded directly to questions from reporters about who has the authority to order schools closed in areas hard hit by the virus, and the Texas Education Agency has sent mixed messages on reopening guidelines.

But despite the lack of any formal announcement from the governor, the die was cast in in a rapid two-step process Tuesday. First, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton released nonbinding legal guidance saying local public health officials do not have the power to preemptively require all schools in their jurisdictions to remain closed, even as COVID-19 cases continue to climb in many Texas hot spots.

Then, state education officials reversed an earlier decision by announcing they will not fund school districts that keep classrooms closed for longer than the state allows even if ordered to do so by a local health mandate. Taken together, the actions put school districts in the position of reopening classrooms on the state’s timetable or losing funds and risking potential litigation.

Educators and families must once again rethink their back-to-school plans this fall. The education agency has given school districts up to eight weeks to limit the number of students permitted on their campuses, after which they must open classrooms to all students who want to attend.

That ninth week is looming large for superintendents who are not sure what the public health landscape will look like at that point. Now, they can’t depend on their local health officials to give them more time, without losing money.

“Starting in the ninth week of our respective school years, regardless of the status of the virus in our communities, as the guidance is written today, we would be faced with two options,” said Northside Superintendent Brian Woods in an interview with the San Antonio Express News editorial board Wednesday. “One would be to ignore a local health order, and in doing so likely put our students and staff and families at risk, or lose funding, which is essential to teaching and serving our families.”

At a school board meeting Tuesday night, Woods indicated he and other superintendents would consider filing a lawsuit seeking to keep their classrooms closed longer if necessary. Paxton’s decision to step into the fray weeks before the school year begins has prompted more questions than answers, including whether a deluge of lawsuits is expected to hit Texas courts demanding that health mandates be revoked or enforced.

In a statement Wednesday, Texas education officials said school districts will also be funded if they close due to a confirmed COVID-19 case on campus during the school year, as long as they provide remote instruction. “Lawful building closure orders will continue to enable a school system to be funded when providing remote-only instruction,” said Texas Education Commissioner Mike Morath. “Also, it’s important to note that the school start date remains at the discretion of local school boards.”

Across the state, some school districts are moving forward in compliance with local health orders while others are moving their start dates earlier in line with Paxton’s guidance. Just within Tarrant County, Fort Worth ISD remains undecided about whether to allow in-person classes in mid-August, while Argyle and Eagle Mountain-Saginaw ISDs said they would reopen next month despite orders from the Tarrant County Public Health department to remain closed for in-person learning until Sept. 28.

Officials from Harris County, El Paso County, Austin and Laredo did not respond to requests for comment or answer questions Tuesday about whether they would retract their mandates.

In a Tuesday press conference, San Antonio officials said they were confused about why Paxton chose to issue guidance now. “Every time, it seems, that our attorney general appears on the scene during this pandemic, it creates confusion and chaos and it leaves a wake. And that confusion and chaos could cost lives this fall,” said San Antonio Mayor Ron Nirenberg of the health risks associated with reopening schools.

Junda Woo, medical director for San Antonio’s Metropolitan Health District, who issued the mandate to shut down schools there, said her decisions are directly tied to public safety, and orders are “not up for a popular vote.”

Already, pastors and parents at a private San Antonio religious school are suing local officials, including the Metropolitan Health District and county judge, to force open all area public and private schools, according to the Express-News. Paxton’s guidance Tuesday said local health mandates also could not shut down religious or secular private schools.

San Antonio City Attorney Andrew Segovia, in a Tuesday press conference, did not indicate whether the city would pursue legal action against private schools and religious private schools that reopen. “There’s a range of enforcement mechanisms, obviously. We don’t want to use really any of them, but we will enforce the order if we need to,” Segovia said.

Segovia said he’s reaching out to school officials and expects that they will voluntarily comply with the order, which applies “equally, uniformly to all schools.”

Paxton’s letter was “welcome news” for the Texas Private Schools Association, which has been inundated with calls from private schools looking for guidance on how they can legally reopen, said Laura Colangelo, the organization’s executive director.

But Paxton’s guidance does not definitively allow private schools under a mandate to reopen. Colangelo said the association has advised schools to ask their local health authorities for an exception and get advice from a lawyer about how to proceed.

And some public school officials see Paxton’s letter as a benefit. Boerne ISD said it would open two elementary schools in Bexar County on Aug. 12 as originally scheduled following Paxton’s guidance, according to a written statement from district officials. The move defies a local health order mandating that they remain completely online until Labor Day.

Some local health officials have already indicated they don’t see Paxton’s letter as a mandate overruling theirs and will keep their own in place. In a Tuesday press conference, Bexar County Judge Nelson Wolff said Boerne ISD and others should still comply with the local health order. Dallas County Judge Clay Jenkins, whose county has also mandated that schools close through Sept. 7, said local officials will make decisions with student safety in mind “regardless of what opinion General Paxton comes up with.”

The resulting confusion is yet another entry in the saga of state leaders’ consistent clashes with local officials over how to corral a fast-spreading virus. Abbott has repeatedly reversed his decisions, at times deferring to local officials to implement strict standards and at others criticizing them for failing to follow his lead.

Just after noon Tuesday, soon after Paxton’s letter was released, Abbott talked to reporters in Corpus Christi, where a tropical storm had flooded homes of families already fearing the pandemic’s impact. He chastised local officials for not taking the opportunity to enforce his statewide mandate on wearing masks, indicating their inaction was responsible for the continued spread of COVID-19.

When asked about making school reopenings safer, Abbott said local officials already have the flexibility and guidance they need to keep staff and students healthy. “The TEA has provided flexibility to school districts across the state of Texas and has empowered local school districts to make the decisions that are best in that particular region knowing that the spread of COVID-19 is going to be different in different regions,” he said.

“The best decision-making authority is going to be the local school board making decisions with the benefit of input from both local public health authorities as well as state health authorities.”

Meanwhile, school superintendents are looking for ways to circumvent what they see as restrictive state rules, with politics getting the better of safety in determining when schools must reopen. San Antonio ISD Superintendent Pedro Martinez told the Express-News editorial board Wednesday that he would consider advising families to keep their children home if forced to fully reopen classrooms at the end of eight weeks.

“I don’t want to get ahead of my [school board] but we would take the necessary actions because again, I am not going to put parents or staff at risk that I know as a professional is not right,” he said.

Disclosure: The Texas Private Schools Association and the city of San Antonio have been financial supporters of The Texas Tribune, a nonprofit, nonpartisan news organization that is funded in part by donations from members, foundations and corporate sponsors. Financial supporters play no role in the Tribune’s journalism. Find a complete list of them here.

The Texas Tribune is a nonprofit, nonpartisan media organization that informs Texans — and engages with them — about public policy, politics, government and statewide issues. 

Are we witnessing the final collapse of “objective” political reporting? Let’s hope so

There are two main reasons why the leaders of America’s elite newsrooms are so devoted to the journalistic practice commonly referred to as “objectivity,” which precludes reporters from “taking sides” in their political coverage — even when one side is an obvious lie, or an affront to core journalistic values like pluralism and democracy.

The official reason is that they sincerely believe that press neutrality leads to a more informed electorate. They argue that voters will trust their news sources more if those sources are “unbiased,” and that accurate information is more likely to be accepted as the truth if readers come to their own conclusions rather than being told what to think. A news organization perceived as objective, they say, has an increased power to persuade.

The unofficial reason, which New York University journalism professor Jay Rosen pithily calls “refuge seeking,” is that the “objective” approach protects editors and reporters from criticism – specifically, from accusations of bias. It also allows them to feel superior to partisans and activists, because they remain “above the fray.”

OK, let’s review. Our leading journalistic institutions engage in “objectivity” to achieve two major goals:

  • An informed electorate
  • Immunity from accusations of bias

So, here’s my question to New York Times executive editor Dean Baquet, Washington Post executive editor Marty Baron, Associated Press executive editor Sally Buzbee and the other proclaimed and self-proclaimed guardians of our biggest, finest news organizations:

How’s that working out for you?

Not so great, huh?

The obvious answer is that “objectivity” has failed miserably to achieve either goal — and is more likely having the opposite effect.

Informed electorate? Some four out of 10 Americans currently believe all sorts of things that aren’t remotely true, like that the Black Lives Matter protests have been mostly violent, or that voter fraud is a problem and that mail-in voting makes it worse, or — despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary — that Trump is doing a good job. Nearly three in 10 believe COVID-19 was made in a lab and that Bill Gates wants to use vaccination to implant trackable microchips in people.

Immune from accusations of bias? Those misinformed voters believe these things because they heard them from Fox News or some other right-wing super-spreader of conspiracy theories, after having decided that the “mainstream press” is, as their president tells them, so biased that it has become “fake news” and the “enemy of the people.”

And before you simply blame social media and filter bubbles — which of course are factors here — ask yourself this: Could it be that the “objective” approach to covering major political issues is simply too anodyne to convince anyone who’s on the fence?

What if the mainstream, reality-based media armed its audience with facts as emphatically and effectively as Fox News arms its audience with misinformation? What if the New York Times aggressively advocated for the truth, rather than just putting it out there for the record?

A large fraction of America has tuned out the elite media, treating it like so much white noise. What if the Washington Post more assertively said in its news stories: “Here’s what we believe are the facts, and why”? What if they said: “Here’s where we’re coming from”? What if they said: “Here’s our best explanation of why all this crazy stuff is happening and why you’re so screwed”?

And what if the mainstream media provided its audience with a true, overarching narrative in which to situate the day-to-day stories — true, evidence-based narratives as  compelling as the false ones that Fox and OAN and others are selling — rather than throwing their hands up in the air and saying “you decide”?

The only thing hard about this would be overcoming decades of self-censorship.

Reality-based reporters know the truth: Economic stories exist within a narrative of grotesque inequality sustained by the people who benefit from it; the earth is in grave danger from climate change but fossil-fuel interests have blocked necessary action; law enforcement is only one of many institutions that devalue Black lives; and Donald Trump doesn’t fix problems, he exploits them.

People hunger for compelling, explanatory narratives — that’s why they respond so strongly to people like George Conway and books like those by Mary Trump and Michael Wolff.

My view is that journalism as it is currently practiced by our most elite organizations simply isn’t persuasive. It frustrates the liars enough that they’ll still try to delegitimize it — and succeed, in scary proportions.

But printing the truth and the lies and letting the people decide just isn’t working. You have to shout the truth from the rooftops, and fight the lies in the streets.

And although Trump and Trumpism have brought these issues to a head, the failure of objectivity is not just a Trump-era phenomenon.

Most notably, and fatally, the failure of the press to assertively call out the flaws in the case against Saddam Hussein — out of fear of appearing biased — arguably led to a devastating war. When a poll in late 2003 showed that a shocking 69 percent of Americans falsely believed that Hussein played a role in the 9/11 terror attacks, newsroom leaders across the country should have launched a major reassessment of their approach to fighting misinformation.

Today, with Trump openly challenging the basic mechanics of democracy, the question is upon us: When it comes down to a choice between authoritarianism and democracy, will the elite media “take sides”? Or will they be afraid of appearing biased?

The alternative: “moral clarity”

In a seminal tweet early this summer, during the battle over a particularly abhorrent op-ed, journalist Wesley Lowery set down a marker:

Some have depicted this view as radical, demanding some sort of uniform view on all issues. But what Lowery and others (including myself) are arguing for is not moral conformity, just clarity.

Government “by the people” depends on voters being exposed to different points of view — but it also requires the media to fight misinformation. So that means journalists should strive to present a variety of political arguments to their audiences. But they need to be based in reality and presented honestly. Alternately, political arguments that gain currency but are made in bad faith — particularly those that are racist, or sexist, inhumane or anti-democratic — should be clearly identified as such.

Moral clarity in news journalism isn’t partisan or polemic.

Journalists shouldn’t pretend they know the answers. We should just stop pretending we don’t know what the problems are.

Heck, maybe “moral clarity” just means having an occasional open discussion in diverse newsrooms about how to do the work, rather than just doing it the way it’s always been done.

“What I argue for is a more deliberate process that acknowledges that there are morals and ethics at all,” Lowery told newsletter journalist Luke O’Neil in early July. “All these folks get off on saying ‘We don’t make any decisions ever. This is what it’s always been’ as a way of shielding the fact that they are constantly making decisions, and those decisions are subject to their biases.”

Lowery noted: “I’ll be honest, in my experience there is far less discussion than there should be. Everything operates on autopilot.”

Losing trust, not gaining it

Objectivity is supposed to create a bond of trust between journalists and their audience. But I’ve often argued that an honest, transparent journalistic application of moral clarity would enhance trust a lot more than the transparently bogus application of strained euphemisms, flagrant false equivalenceamnesia and credulousness.

As I wrote last month, editors like Baquet are pursuing a form of objectivity that encompasses a whole range of anachronistic attitudes and habits that actually reduce the accuracy and authenticity of news coverage, rather than enhance it — and the readers notice.

Intelligent readers cringe when they read star New York Times reporter Peter Baker join the he’s-changing-his-tone chorus by pronouncing that “denial no longer appears to be a viable strategy for Mr. Trump.” (The Times itself published an unsigned and oddly short-lived item in its live news updates a few days later, headlined: “Trump Returns to Where He’s Mostly Been on Coronavirus: Denying Reality”. It started off: “Trump’s supposed shift on the virus didn’t last long.”)

Focusing on tactics rather than substance leads to horrors like this recent Washington Post article examining who will benefit politically from Republicans letting unemployment benefits run out for desperate Americans. It literally featured headers saying “Democrats say” and “Republicans say.”

The worst thing, however, is the hypocrisy. Reporters confidently describe Trump’s thinking when they’re making absurdly generous and incorrect assumptions — as when he recently restarted his daily briefings because he missed the TV ratings, which the Times somehow translated into “a tacit acknowledgment that the public health crisis he had hoped to put behind him was still ravaging much of the country.” But they can’t bring themselves to write that he’s lying, or crazy, or stupid.

Consider how the New York Times sometimes concludes that it’s important not to tell people what they should think about a news story, but at other times concludes it is — and a key factor seems to be whether doing so will annoy the left.

Don’t want to take my word for it? In his interview on the Times’s own Daily podcast in January, Baquet defended the paper’s both-sides coverage of Trump by saying: “I think of the reader who just wants to pick up his paper in the morning and know what the hell happened. I’m beholden to that reader, and I feel obligated to tell that reader what happened.”

But defending an article about Bernie Sanders’ entrance into the 2016 Democratic presidential primary, which framed Sanders as a long shot who at best might shift Hillary Clinton a bit to the left, Baquet said: “I think we got to tell the readers, in the moment, how should we think about this.” He added: “I think the reader picks up The New York Times and says, Bernie Sanders, I’ve never heard of him. How should I think about him?”

There’s no consistency. “Objectivity” seems to be based on an oversensitivity to the imagined views of a mythical center-right white male who doesn’t exist — and it pisses off readers who do.

Taking the public’s side

Local journalism is dying, and to some extent I blame that on “objectivity,” too.

Here’s the core argument I made in 2009, when I wrote that “‘Playing it Safe’ Is Killing the American Newspaper“:

But we’re hiding much of our newsrooms’ value behind a terribly anachronistic format: voiceless, incremental news stories that neither get much traffic nor make our sites compelling destinations. While the dispassionate, what-happened-yesterday, inverted-pyramid daily news story still has some marginal utility, it is mostly a throwback at this point — a relic of a daily product delivered on paper to a geographically limited community. (For instance, it’s the daily delivery cycle of our print product that led us to focus on yesterday’s news. And it’s the focus on maximizing newspaper circulation that drove us to create the notion of “objectivity” — thereby removing opinion and voice from news stories — for fear of alienating any segment of potential subscribers.)…

While we legitimately want to keep partisanship and polemics out of our news coverage, we need to stop banishing our humanity and the passions that made us become journalists in the first place. When we find a great story, why shouldn’t we shout it from the rooftops?

Maybe if local papers were pluckier and more assertive about advocating for the people in their communities, those people would be more willing to pay.

If they want to take the public’s side, local, regional and national newspapers should consider creating beats based not on how officialdom organizes itself, but on major areas where people are getting screwed. So maybe there should be a beat about struggles with poverty, and another on the effects of criminal justice.

National news organizations are suddenly, finally, devoting resources to race issues. But what about creating beats for inequality, misogyny and official secrecy?

There are signs of progress here and there. In regards to Trump’s attempts to delegitimize the November election, the mainstream media has, effectively, taken sides (with some notable exceptions).

Some news organizations are recognizing that taking sides is just fine sometimes. Here’s the vice president of news at McClatchy:

Am I hopeful that the industry can change? Not so much in the short run, no.

That’s because there’s actually a third reason so many journalistic leaders cling to “objectivity”: Abandoning it would require them to admit they were wrong — and that “liberals” like me were right. It would mean surrendering the moral high ground they treasure more than anything. That’s why I don’t expect much to change until there’s a new generation of leadership in our newsrooms.

Next COVID casualty: cities hit hard by the pandemic face bankruptcy

U.S. cities are fast running out of cash.

The pandemic will reduce local government revenues by an estimated US$11.6 billion in 2020. With COVID-19 requiring residents to stay home and stores to shutter, the bulk of this reduction comes from a slump in local sales taxes. Declines will continue into 2021.

State revenues are heading in the same direction, so many U.S. cities will need to rely on help from the federal government. Aid to cities may be part of the next pandemic aid package now being discussed by members of the House and Senate. But so far, the Republicans’ bill leaves out any new funding for state and local governments, while the Democrats’ bill includes $1 trillion for it.

And if federal assistance arrives, it will not fix every city’s budget.

The pandemic has hit budgets so hard that even cities in relatively good financial health  — including those with rainy day funds to help them through an emergency — will face significant changes to staffing and services.

For cities in the poorest shape, the pandemic could mean bankruptcy.

Size matters

Bankruptcy is a legal process where people, companies and governments who cannot pay their debts seek to reduce them.

Which debts get paid during a bankruptcy are important decisions. They involve how comfortable a city employee’s retirement might be, the level of health insurance for pensioners and workers, the extent of labor protections for employees and the future cost of borrowing for a city.

City bankruptcy was created by Congress after the Great Depression, in response to 4,770 different units of city government going belly up. Twenty-seven states now allow their cities to file for bankruptcy.

Those states that do not allow city bankruptcy — Georgia and Iowa explicitly prohibit filing, with the other 21 states having no specific allowance or prohibition — manage the problem of city indebtedness in various ways, ranging from strict budget oversight to the disbanding of heavily indebted cities. Since 1938, city bankruptcy has been used around 700 times.

A city’s bankruptcy differs from corporate bankruptcy in that it does not allow for the liquidation of assets. For cities, bankruptcy is used to reduce debts, not sell off things — such as public roads and buildings — to pay off debts. The bankruptcy judge’s role is to determine whether the proposed reduction is fair to all people the city owes money to, which may include workers, pensioners, bankers, suppliers and investors.

But bankruptcies can look different in different cities.

We are scholars who research changes in how cities go about budgeting. Our work has showed that the city bankruptcies that followed the Great Recession of 2007 and 2008 were not uniform.

If you were in a big city, your government owed money to lots of people. The converse was true in small cities. As the number of participants in a bankruptcy increases, the task of deciding how much different creditors should get repaid becomes more complicated.

Somebody doesn’t get paid

Westfall Township, Pennsylvania, home to about 2,000 people, declared bankruptcy in 2009 after losing a lawsuit to New Jersey real estate developers David and Barbara Katz. Courts ruled that the city owed the Katzes $20.8 million after improperly denying them permission to develop projects in the township.

With annual revenues of just $1 million, Westfall had few options but to file for bankruptcy.

Resolving Westfall’s bankruptcy meant reaching a new agreement with the Katzes. The bankruptcy court approved a $6 million settlement with the developers and gave Westfall 20 years to pay. The city would also raise property taxes and delay the repayment of other debts. By 2014, Westfall’s budget had recovered enough for Pennsylvania to remove it from its list of distressed cities.

Bankruptcy proceedings were more complicated in Vallejo, California, which is on the northern end of San Francisco Bay. Vallejo, population 120,000, had a 2008-2009 budget of $79.6 million. In 2008, the city lost around one-quarter of its revenues as local sales taxes and real estate development fees collapsed. Vallejo suddenly found itself unable to pay all of its bills.

The City Council voted unanimously to file for bankruptcy.

In its bankruptcy filing, the city estimated it had between 1,000 and 5,000 creditors. The most contentious part of the bankruptcy concerned the city’s obligations to its own unionized employees. Vallejo argued that its bankruptcy should include the option of reducing employee wages and benefits, and changing working conditions, if necessary, without union consent.

The judge agreed and, in doing so, expanded what types of debt could be reduced in bankruptcy. This was, and remains, controversial. Although unions have pushed back, later bankruptcies have confirmed the court’s decision.

Vallejo ultimately chose not to impose new employment contracts on most of its employees.

That decision helped Vallejo avoid costly legal battles — but the city’s main expenditures, wages and pensions, remained largely unaltered. The city emerged out of bankruptcy solvent but struggling. Filing for bankruptcy ended up costing Vallejo over $20 million in court and legal fees.

Art, philanthropy and pension debts in Detroit

Vallejo’s bankruptcy foreshadowed an even more complex one in Detroit, where revenue decline and failed Wall Street bets left the city unable to balance its budget.

Detroit listed 100,000 creditors in its 2013 bankruptcy filing, totaling $18.5 billion in debts. Like Vallejo, Detroit would have to decide which creditors to stiff, effectively asking them to pay for the city’s budget failures.

The eventual settlement would reduce Detroit’s debts by $7 billion, mostly by slashing the amount of borrowed money the city would have to repay to banks and investors.

But no creditor would walk away unscathed. Wages, pensions and health care for city employees were all cut. The city also entered into a complex “Grand Bargain” brokered by local philanthropists with the state of Michigan and pension holders that helped settle the city’s largest debt, which was to pensioners, while keeping in the city its one major asset, the Detroit Institute of Art’s collection.

The administrative and legal costs of the Detroit bankruptcy came in at around $100 million.

No single path

The bigger the city, the more complicated and expensive the bankruptcy. More creditors means more lawyers making competing claims on the city’s dwindling revenues.

It also makes the process of picking winners and losers more complex and something that can involve testing the limits of bankruptcy law. When these limits expand, just what going bust means can change dramatically. Things that once seemed untouchable, like pensions, can become vulnerable in bankruptcy courts.

With many budgets in tatters, the prospect of growing numbers of city bankruptcies looms. Distressed cities will have to figure out what the process means for them.

It is rarely possible to predict what any city will decide. With any part of a city’s operations — including salaries, pensions, road repairs, borrowing, park maintenance, policing, libraries — potentially fair game, everyone involved faces great uncertainty. There is no single, predictable path through city bankruptcy.

Mark Davidson, Associate Professor of Urban Geography, Clark University and Kevin Ward, Professor, University of Manchester

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

As COVID-19 spreads coast to coast, the federal government checks out

In my home state of New Jersey and across the river in New York, where COVID-19 has been under control for the last two months, there’s a deep sense of foreboding that the failure of so many other states to learn from our painful experience, and the MIA status of the Federal government, will lead to another mass casualty event.

As Gov. Andrew Cuomo has observed from the beginning, we have been behind the curve of this scourge, in a purely reactive mode. We’re like a person on fire running to escape the flames.

Gov. Phil Murphy of New Jersey has already sounded the alarm that our state is seeing a significant uptick in new cases. On Friday, state health authorities reported 699 new cases, up dramatically from 261 the day before.

Experts now project we could have 250,000 dead Americans by Election Day.

But these publicized numbers, which are supposed to act as our collective dashboard and define our risk-threat matrix, don’t really capture what’s actually going on — or the role the Trump administration is playing in undermining our ability to combat this virus.

The bigger picture

According to research published by the CDC and the peer-reviewed journal JAMA Internal Medicine, the nation’s COVID-19 infection rate is likely 10 times higher than what’s being reported. The findings are based on tests that flagged the presence of COVID-19 antibodies in 19,000 routine blood tests that included individuals who had likely never been tested for the virus nor displayed obvious symptoms.

Yet, even if we extrapolate this data and assume that 20 million Americans are now infected, that means the vast majority of Americans are still vulnerable to the deadly virus.

The wider prevalence of the virus comes as research is still inconclusive on whether the presence of the antibodies provides the carrier with an immunity, and if it does, for how long.

Dr. Fiona Havers, a member of the CDC seroprevalence task force, told NBC News: “We don’t know if antibodies represent protection from the virus. And there may be some suggestion [of] antibodies waning over time, so we don’t know if herd immunity is achievable.”

And that’s not the worst of it in terms of the widening gap between reality and our popular understanding of the collective threat we all face, which is vulnerable to manipulation by economic and political forces with their own self-serving agenda.

Riding the herd

To this very day, it is the presumed possibility of herd immunity has informed the Trump administration’s cynical ploy of pitting the 50 states against one another while simultaneously promoting the spread of the virus by trying to forcing schools to open and the nation’s meat plants to keep working, no matter how high the body count.

Just as the Trump administration’s lack of a national response to the virus accelerates its spread, the failure of the Republican Senate majority to extend the $600 a week supplemental unemployment benefit puts tens of millions of Americans at risk for eviction, when they need to shelter in place.

We face a multi-faceted crisis which requires an economic strategy that reinforces the essential national public health response.

In New Jersey, more than 1.3 million people,  out of a workforce of 4.3 million, have filed for unemployment since the start of the COVID-19 crisis. That statistic doesn’t include the impact of the pandemic on the hundreds of thousands of workers who work off the books or are self-employed

On Thursday, the Commerce Department announced that in the second quarter the nation’s GDP shrunk at an annualized rate of 32.9 percent,  the most severe contraction on record.

Senate MIA as families struggle

Yet Washington continues to dither about what if anything it should do to backstop the local, county and state governments drowning in red ink as they face unanticipated pandemic costs and a dramatic drop-off of tax revenues, all while the nation sinks deeper into the clutches of the virus.

“We don’t have a federal government — it’s in collapse,” said Hetty Rosenstein, New Jersey state director for the Communications Workers of America. “You can’t leave people in this circumstance. No responsible government would do that. This federal government is creating this crisis by not offering an effective integrated public health response.”

For hundreds of thousands of New Jersey families the CARES Act’s $600 in additional unemployment helped them make ends meet in a state notorious for some of the highest housing costs in the nation.

“I hear every day from our constituents whose very lives depend on the $600 unemployment insurance benefits passed by the House,” wrote Rep. Bill Pascrell Jr, a New Jersey Democrat. “Their backgrounds are diverse, their stories are compelling, and their needs are heart-wrenching…. I want to share the stories of my constituents who are just some of the people devastated by Republicans’ cruel dereliction.”

One of those constituents was Joe from Teaneck, who worked at a Broadway theatre.

“My industry has been drastically affected, with the unfortunate news that we will not be returning to live theatre on Broadway until the earliest in January 2021,” Joe wrote. “The stimulus and unemployment add up to a percentage of what was my weekly income, hence to say if the stimulus were to end, it most definitely would have a drastic impact on my financial realities.”

Joe is also an active member of my hometown Ambulance Corps, which was at the heart of the initial outbreak in Bergen County.

“Our hospital and our Township were ground zero in the early days of the pandemic,” he wrote. “It is with great pride, honor and respect for my fellow members, the men and women of our organization that answered the calls during that most difficult period and served our community.”

Many were hurting before the pandemic 

It is impossible to grasp just how precarious our national circumstance is if you don’t have the context of understanding just how many American families were struggling before the pandemic.

For decades, demographers and economists have documented how inadequate a gauge the U.S. poverty rate is, in terms of capturing the lived experience of vast swaths of our country where wages have failed to keep pace with escalating costs for shelter and basic living expenses. 

More than a decade ago, the United Way of Northern New Jersey was perplexed by the volume of calls they got from families struggling economically who lived in zip codes with some of the lowest official poverty rates in the nation.

In 2009, working with researchers from Rutgers, they developed a way to track the actual local costs of living and wages and in the process discovered a cohort of families that were not living below the official poverty line, but still struggled week to week.

That same project has been replicated with state surveys across the country.

Dr. Stephanie Hoopes, the national director of United For ALICE, has written that “40% of US households were ALICE — Asset Limited, Income Constrained, Employed — struggling paycheck to paycheck before the pandemic”:

Closed and partially open businesses have meant lost income for these families — reduced hours or unemployment. For these households, even one unemployed person can push the family over the edge. Without outside help, many will be forced to choose between their home, their car, their parent’s medication, or their child’s next meal.

While consumer spending has improved since Covid-19 restrictions have eased, low-wage workers’ hours and earning have not rebounded the same way. What little savings ALICE families had has been used up. They have no cushion to absorb gaps in benefits. Unless these families get relief quickly, there will be a huge uptick in evictions and foreclosures, utility cutoffs, lapses in car and student loan payments, and increases in medical debt; and lines at food banks will continue to grow.

Before the pandemic, according to the Federal Reserve, 40 percent of American households would have had to resort to borrowing to cover something like an unanticipated $400 car repair or medical bill.

On the edge of a COVID abyss 

In addition to letting the $600 supplemental unemployment payment lapse, Congress failed to renew the federal moratorium on evictions, which covers more than 12 million tenant households, roughly 30 percent of those who rent their homes. At the same, time state and local moratoriums are expiring.

“Frightening does not adequately describe what’s coming ahead,” said Larry Hamm, longtime Newark civil rights activist and former state coordinator for the Bernie Sanders campaign. “I know people whose federal subsidized unemployment is running out and they don’t know what they are going to do. They are going to be homeless.”

He continued. “Remember: the eviction moratorium Murphy put in place was not forgiveness of the rent but simply a suspension of eviction. I don’t know what made people think that if folks were behind in the rent before, that now they can come up with three or four months.”

The importance of keeping people in their homes, particularly in communities of color where we know COVID is taking the heaviest toll, can’t be overstated.

The next crisis

In typical mass media reductionism informed by our limited binary thinking, we frame COVID-19 as either something that kills you outright or as a disease you survive with an immunity that will protect you.

The grim reality that should be informing our actions, both individually and as a state and nation, is that you can survive COVID with disabling consequences that could take years to fully manifest.

We have to study and become conversant with the underlying science ourselves. If this virus doesn’t outright kill you, it can do serious damage to your respiratory, coronary and central nervous systems.

Studies have flagged that COVID creates scarring on the lungs for those who have survived a bout with the virus, including individuals who were asymptomatic.

“One thing we didn’t anticipate was that the virus seems to accelerate a great deal of scarring in the lungs,” wrote Dr. John Swartzberg, of the UC Berkeley-UCSF Joint Medical Program. “And if lung tissue is replaced with scar tissue, it is no longer functional as regular pulmonary tissue, which translates to poor gas exchange.”

He continues. “What we really fear is long-term shortness of breath that could extend anywhere from being very mild to severely limiting. There is also a disturbing report looking at computerized tomography (CT) scans of asymptomatic people that found they were left with some scar tissue. So, this could even be happening on a subclinical level.”

In the same analysis, Swartzberg notes that “the virus can directly attack heart muscle cells, and there’s also evidence that the cytokine storm that the virus triggers in the body not only damages the lungs but can damage the heart. We don’t know what the long-term effects of that may be, but it could be that we will have a population of people who survive COVID-19 only to go on and have chronic cardiac problems.”

And that’s not all.

“The third organ system that we’re now pretty clear about is the central nervous system,” he writes. “There is evidence of direct involvement of the virus with neurons, and also the cytokine storm and inflammatory mediators can cause damage to the central nervous system. “

He warns that in addition to “neurologic clinical findings,” attending physicians are “seeing patients post-discharge struggling with psychological challenges, almost like PTSD. And, we’re also seeing some cognitive defects in some people that are very disturbing.”

As previously reported, COVID-19 infections can cause “abnormal clotting of the blood in some people. This has led to pulmonary emboli, which are blood clots that travel to and damage the lungs, and strokes, which are blood clots in the vascular system of the brain.  Both pulmonary emboli and strokes may have long-term consequences for these two organs.”

So, yeah, as too many Republicans have been saying, it’s just like the flu.

Still not getting it

Our more enlightened policy-makers, who are still in their “flattening the curve” phase, need to also prepare for addressing these long-term health consequences from COVID-19.

Yet, as Hamm points out, the response from some in Congress has been to use the cover of the pandemic to sneak in $1.75 billion for a new FBI building and $686 million for the F-35 combat aircraft.

“All of what is happening now is just a logical extrapolation of what has been going on for decades,” Hamm said. “The bad situation may come quickly, but it is the consequence of myriad of actions that we have taken before.”

For a generation, particularly in the aftermath of 9/11, we spent hundreds of billions of dollars of borrowed money on the military so we could project force anywhere in the world.

At the same time, we defunded public health, closed hospitals in inner cities and in rural America — and for three years in a row Americans’ life expectancy declined, fueled by a spike in opioid addiction and suicides.

As President Trump and his partisans press to open schools in the fall, the reality is that the existing health infrastructure in our schools has long been inadequate, with thousands of them lacking something as basic as a school nurse.

Door-to-door healing

Donna Mazyck, executive director of the National Association of School Nurses, recently told NPR that one in four U.S. schools have no nurse, while 40 percent only have “a nurse only part of the day — a nurse who’s shared among several schools.”

The only way to successfully combat COVID is in the community where it is spreading. All too often, by the time people get to the hospital it’s too late, and in the process they infect their co-workers, friends and family.

In Cuba, where there are 8.19 physicians per 1,000 people, the government sent thousands of doctors and health professionals to canvas every home for COVID-19 cases. So far, the island of 11.3 million has recorded 2,608 cases, with 87 deaths.

“There’s no other country in the hemisphere that does anything approaching this,” William Leogrande, professor of government at American University in Washington, told the Guardian. “The whole organization of their healthcare system is to be in close touch with the population, identify health problems as they emerge, and deal with them immediately.”

He continued. “We know scientifically that quick identification of cases, contact tracing and quarantine are the only way to contain the virus in the absence of a vaccine — and because it begins with prevention, the Cuban health system is perfectly suited to carry out that containment strategy.”

We need emergency universal health care coverage now. For too long greed and scarcity have throttled our health care system, which by the way has only 2.59 physicians per 1,000 people.

Our politics and our imaginations are failing us.

We are underestimating the scale of the problems we face and the long-term consequences of failing to effectively address them. Our current system of rationing health care based on the ability to pay leaves too much of the population exposed to a deadly and disabling virus that anyone can catch.

We need to think bigger — much bigger.

GOP senator took donations from drug companies who benefited from his vaccine bills

Republican Sen. Steve Daines of Montana, who faces a tough re-election fight this year, received thousands of dollars from pharmaceutical companies while pushing Congress to fund a fast-tracked coronavirus treatment and vaccine development program that eventually awarded contracts to those companies, Federal Election Commission records show.

The $10 billion program, dubbed Operation Warp Speed, was Daines’ marquee contribution to the Coronavirus Aid, Relief and Economic Security Act (CARES Act), which President Trump signed into law on March 27.

In the days and weeks that Daines worked on the bill, PACs affiliated with the pharmaceutical corporations Pfizer and Sanofi gave his campaign $2,500 and $2,000, respectively. Four days before Trump signed the act, a Merck corporate PAC gave Daines $4,000.

In total, from the end of March to the end of June, Daines took a combined $24,000 from the corporate PACs of pharmaceutical companies involved with Operation Warp Speed.

In addition to Merck, Sanofi and Pfizer — which made two donations — Daines saw contributions from Johnson & Johnson and AstraZeneca, who in late June contributed $2,500 and $3,000, respectively.

While all these companies donated to senators and candidates on both sides of the aisle, these contributions are notable in that AstraZeneca tripled its other donations to Daines, and Johnson & Johnson had never given him money before.

All donors were among the six finalists chosen as finalists for Warp Speed contracts in June.

For reasons that are still unclear, these pharmaceutical PACs all but stopped donations entirely through the month of April, before resuming in late May.

Operation Warp Speed was created as part of a “moonshot” joint public-private effort to develop a coronavirus vaccine by early 2021. The federal government announced Friday that it had reached a $2.1 billion agreement with drugmakers GlaxoSmithKline and Sanofi — a Daines donor — the largest contract awarded through the program yet. The week before, Pfizer, another Daines donor, won a contract worth nearly $2 billion.

Daines promoted the project as recently as last week, boasting about the initiative at a Senate Finance Committee hearing last Wednesday, along with legislation to bring drug manufacturing back to the U.S. from China.

In total, the Montana Republican has accepted nearly $140,000 from pharmaceutical companies over the years, FEC records show. Those companies have little to no presence in Montana.

Daines’ 2018 financial disclosure form, the most recent available, shows that he has a Vanguard Health Care Adm Mutual Fund valued as much as $250,000. That fund includes slices of Teva and Amneal, pharmaceutical corporations that have promoted hydroxychloroquine as a treatment for COVID-19, despite health warnings from federal regulators.

In the first quarter of 2020, pharmaceutical companies Sanofi, Pfizer, Merck, Johnson & Johnson and AstraZeneca reported spending more than $6.6 million to lobby Congress on various issues, including the CARES Act and COVID-19.

Congressional oversight bodies and watchdogs have expressed concerns about the lack of transparency surrounding the award of vaccine contracts under Operation Warp Speed. 

Daines will face current Montana Gov. Steve Bullock, a Democrat, in November. Trump took the state by 20 points in 2016, but Montana has a record of electing Democrats in statewide races while favoring national Republicans. Recent polls show Bullock and Daines neck-and-neck, and Roll Call currently considers the race one of four “toss-ups” in the U.S. Senate.

The Daines campaign did not reply to Salon’s request for comment.

The COVID-19 downturn triggers jump in Medicaid enrollment

Reversing a three-year decline, the number of people covered by Medicaid nationwide rose markedly this spring as the impact of the recession caused by the outbreak of COVID-19 began to take hold.

Yet, the growth in participation in the state-federal health insurance program for low-income people was less than many analysts predicted. One possible factor tempering enrollment: People with concerns about catching the coronavirus avoided seeking care and figured they didn’t need the coverage.

Program sign-ups are widely expected to accelerate through the summer, reflecting the higher number of unemployed. As people lose their jobs, many often are left without workplace coverage or the money to buy insurance on their own.

Medicaid enrollment was 72.3 million in April, up from 71.5 million in March and 71 million in February, according to the latest enrollment figures released last week by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. The increase in March was the first enrollment uptick since March 2017.

About half of the people enrolled in Medicaid are children.

The increases varied widely around the country. Kentucky had the largest jump at nearly 7% from March to April. In addition, enrollment rose to 1.4 million in April from 1.2 million in February, according to the CMS data. That has continued, and today it’s up to 1.5 million, state officials said in an interview.

Kentucky has an aggressive outreach strategy using email or phone calls to contact thousands of residents who applied for state unemployment insurance, designed to make sure they know about Medicaid. “It’s been very effective, and in the past few weeks we’ve been enrolling 8,000 to 10,000 people a week,” said Eric Friedlander, secretary of the Kentucky Cabinet for Health and Family Services, which oversees Medicaid.

The Bluegrass State has also made enrollment easier by developing a one-page online form instead of having people fill out a 20-page application, he added.

“This is the right thing to do to help people get signed up for health care coverage and it supports the health industry in our state,” Friedlander said. “The health industry would collapse without Medicaid.”

Joan Alker, executive director of the Center for Children and Families at Georgetown University in Washington, D.C., said she expects Medicaid enrollment to keep rising this summer. “Given that there are no signs that the virus is coming under control anytime soon, job losses will become more permanent, and more folks will become eligible for Medicaid over time,” she said.

One reason Medicaid numbers have not grown faster, she suggested, is because people have more immediate needs than securing health coverage, especially if they are feeling well.

Many people are worried about getting unemployment insurance or getting evicted from their home, she noted. “That’s combined with the fact that many people are reluctant to go to their doctor because of safety concerns,” she said. “And, as a consequence, applying for Medicaid may not be at the top of their list.”

Chris Pope, a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute for Policy Research, a conservative think tank, said the slower-than-expected growth in Medicaid could signal that people who were laid off had coverage through a spouse or a parent.

In addition, he said, “many jobs that went away did not offer health insurance,” citing millions of service-sector positions in industries such as hotels and restaurants that have been lost.

Beyond the surge in unemployment, Medicaid rolls have risen because states cannot discontinue coverage to people enrolled as of March 18, 2020, as a condition of receiving higher federal Medicaid funding included in a coronavirus relief package passed by Congress.

Medicaid is a countercyclical program, meaning enrollment typically rises during an economic downturn. But that forces states to face the fiscal challenge of paying for their share of the program even as tax revenue dries up.

An exception to this rule was the jump in enrollment starting in 2014 when the Affordable Care Act allowed states to expand Medicaid to cover everyone with incomes below 138% of the federal poverty level, or about $17,609 for an individual this year.

Enrollment soared by about 15 million people from 2014 to 2017, peaking at about 75 million as nearly three dozen states expanded the program. Since then, a strong economy and steadily declining unemployment levels led to a drop in Medicaid rolls until April.

Enrollment changes in April varied across the country.

California, which has the highest Medicaid enrollment in the country, saw its level hold relatively steady at 11.6 million people in April.

Nevada and Oklahoma posted nearly 4% enrollment growth rates between March and April’s data.

Florida’s Medicaid numbers jumped to 3.7 million in April from 3.6 million in March, nearly a 2.5% increase, the CMS data showed. Since then, Florida data shows enrollment has topped 4.1 million.

The Trump administration has been criticized by consumer advocates for not establishing a national campaign to promote Medicaid during the economic downturn and health crisis.

One indicator that Medicaid enrollment is still going up is the growing number of recipients in managed care plans in 16 states that reported data from March to May. Those plans have increased by a total of nearly 4%, according to a KFF report. (KHN is an editorially independent program of KFF.) Most states have shifted many of their Medicaid enrollees into these private health plans.

KFF estimated that nearly 13 million people who became uninsured after losing their jobs in March are eligible for Medicaid.

Robin Rudowitz, a KFF vice president, said there is typically a lag time of weeks or months before people who have lost their jobs and health coverage seek to enroll in Medicaid. The impact on Medicaid enrollment also lasts well after the immediate effect of a downturn, she said.

“There is a long tail,” she said.

“Time is running out”: Trump advisers view extra debates as “best chance” to save election

In a report from Jonathan Lemire and Zeke Miller of the Associated Press, aides to Donald Trump admit that time is running out to salvage the president’s re-election bid and that they may have to bank on the president’s performance in the debates with former Vice President Joe Biden to turn things around.

With less than one hundred days to go before November’s election, the report notes that early voting starts soon which is is not good for a president with high disapproval numbers due to a crippled economy and an ongoing coronavirus health crisis.

According to conservative campaign consultant Steve Schmidt, notable for his opposition to the president, it may already be too late for Trump.

“He’s losing and the trajectory of the race is moving away from him,” explained Schmidt who ran Republican John McCain’s 2008 presidential campaign. “People vote at a moment in time: Even if there is something of a political recovery for the president in October, that is irrelevant for those who already voted.”

With the campaign in “re-set” mode after the demotion of Brad Parscale, and advertising suspended, campaign insiders admit they have big problems in states the president can’t afford to lose.

“The campaign downplayed the ad pause, saying that the new campaign manager, Bill Stepien, wanted to analyze when and where Trump’s advertising message was being delivered,” the report states, adding, “The campaign has all but pulled the plug on competing in Michigan and, privately, acknowledges deficits in vital battleground states like Florida, Wisconsin and Arizona, though it insists the margins are manageable and smaller than what is reflected in public polling.”

According to former White House press secretary Ari Fleischer, Trump has the added problem that voters are currently tuning him out.

“By the speed at which news and events move in 2020, it’s not necessarily the case that he is running out of time,” he explained. “Much of the public will not pay attention to what he will say on law and order and the economy until he gets over the COVID hurdle first.”

With that in mind, campaign aides hope debates — and lots of them — might help the president break through to voters once again.

“Many around the president are focused on the debates as perhaps the best chance, pushing for more showdowns with Biden to increase the chance of the former vice president faltering on stage,” the report states while adding, “The president’s advisers are also trying to re-imagine a campaign without its trademark rallies. Trump has been traveling to both smaller campaign gatherings and official events in swing states — on Friday, he attended one of each in Florida — and White House aides are readying a calendar full of day trips for the weeks ahead.”

You can read more here.

Work in the time of COVID-19: Why does essential work pay so little and cost so much?

In two weeks, my partner and I were supposed to leave San Francisco for Reno, Nevada, where we’d be spending the next three months focused on the 2020 presidential election. As we did in 2018, we’d be working with UNITE-HERE, the hospitality industry union, only this time on the campaign to drive Donald Trump from office.

Now, however, we’re not so sure we ought to go. According to information prepared for the White House Coronavirus Task Force, Nevada is among the states in the “red zone” when it comes to both confirmed cases of, and positive tests for, Covid-19. I’m 68. My partner’s five years older, with a history of pneumonia. We’re both active and fit (when I’m not tripping over curbs), but our ages make us more likely, if we catch the coronavirus, to get seriously ill or even die. That gives a person pause.

Then there’s the fact that Joe Biden seems to have a double-digit lead over Trump nationally and at least an eight-point lead in Nevada, according to the latest polls. If things looked closer, I would cheerfully take some serious risks to dislodge that man in the White House. But does it make sense to do so if Biden is already likely to win there? Or, to put it in coronavirus-speak, would our work be essential to dumping Trump?

Essential work?

This minor personal conundrum got me thinking about how the pandemic has exposed certain deep and unexamined assumptions about the nature and value of work in the United States.

In the ethics classes I teach undergraduates at a college here in San Francisco, we often talk about work. Ethics is, after all, about how we ought to live our lives — and work, paid or unpaid, constitutes a big part of most of those lives. Inevitably, the conversation comes around to compensation: How much do people deserve for different kinds of work? Students tend to measure fair compensation on two scales. How many years of training and/or dollars of tuition did a worker have to invest to become “qualified” for the job? And how important is that worker’s labor to the rest of society?

Even before the coronavirus hit, students would often settle on medical doctors as belonging at the top of either scale. Physicians’ work is the most important, they’d argue, because they keep us alive. “Hmm…” I’d say. “How many of you went to the doctor today?” Usually not a hand would be raised. “How many of you ate something today?” All hands would go up, as students looked around the room at one another. “Maybe,” I’d suggest, “a functioning society depends more on the farmworkers who plant and harvest food than on the doctors you normally might see for a checkup once a year. Not to mention the people who process and pack what we eat.”

I’d also point out that the workers who pick or process our food are not really unskilled. Their work, like a surgeon’s, depends on deft, quick hand movements, honed through years of practice.

Sometimes, in these discussions, I’d propose a different metric for compensation: maybe we should reserve the highest pay for people whose jobs are both essential and dangerous. Before the pandemic, that category would not have included many healthcare workers and certainly not most doctors. Even then, however, it would have encompassed farmworkers and people laboring in meat processing plants. As we’ve seen, in these months it is precisely such people — often immigrants, documented or otherwise — who have also borne some of the worst risks of virus exposure at work.

By the end of April, when it was already clear that meatpacking plants were major sites of Covid-19 infection, the president invoked the Defense Production Act to keep them open anyway. This not only meant that workers afraid to enter them could not file for unemployment payments, but that even if the owners of such dangerous workplaces wanted to shut them down, they were forbidden to do so. By mid-June, more than 24,000 meatpackers had tested positive for the virus. And just how much do these essential and deeply endangered workers earn? According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, about $28,450 a year — better than minimum wage, that is, but hardly living high on the hog (even when that’s what they’re handling).

You might think that farmworkers would be more protected from the virus than meatpackers, perhaps because they work outdoors. But as the New York Times has reported: “Fruit and vegetable pickers toil close to each other in fields, ride buses shoulder-to-shoulder, and sleep in cramped apartments or trailers with other laborers or several generations of their families.”

Not surprisingly, then, the coronavirus has, as the Times report puts it, “ravaged” migrant farm worker communities in Florida and is starting to do the same across the country all the way to eastern Oregon. Those workers, who risk their lives through exposure not only to a pandemic but to more ordinary dangers like herbicides and pesticides so we can eat, make even less than meatpackers: on average, under $26,000 a year.

When the president uses the Defense Production Act to ensure that food workers remain in their jobs, it reveals just how important their labor truly is to the rest of us. Similarly, as shutdown orders have kept home those who can afford to stay in, or who have no choice because they no longer have jobs to go to, the pandemic has revealed the crucial nature of the labor of a large group of workers already at home (or in other people’s homes or eldercare facilities): those who care for children and those who look after older people and people with disabilities who need the assistance of health aides.

This work, historically done by women, has generally been unpaid when the worker is a family member and poorly paid when done by a professional. Childcare workers, for example, earn less than $24,000 a year on average; home healthcare aides, just over that amount.

Women’s work

Speaking of women’s work, I suspect that the coronavirus and the attendant economic crisis are likely to affect women’s lives in ways that will last at least a generation, if not beyond.

Middle-class feminists of the 1970s came of age in a United States where it was expected that they would marry and spend their days caring for a house, a husband, and their children. Men were the makers. Women were the “homemakers.” Their work was considered — even by Marxist economists — “non-productive,” because it did not seem to contribute to the real economy, the place where myriad widgets are produced, transported, and sold. It was seldom recognized how essential this unpaid labor in the realm of social reproduction was to a functioning economy. Without it, paid workers would not have been fed, cared for, and emotionally repaired so that they could return to another day of widget-making. Future workers would not be socialized for a life of production or reproduction, as their gender dictated.

Today, with so many women in the paid workforce, much of this work of social reproduction has been outsourced by those who can afford it to nannies, day-care workers, healthcare aides, house cleaners, or the workers who measure and pack the ingredients for meal kits to be prepared by other working women when they get home.

We didn’t know it at the time, but the post-World War II period, when boomers like me grew up, was unique in U.S. history. For a brief quarter-century, even working-class families could aspire to an arrangement in which men went to work and women kept house. A combination of strong unions, a post-war economic boom, and a so-called breadwinner minimum wage kept salaries high enough to support families with only one adult in the paid labor force. Returning soldiers went to college and bought houses through the 1944 Servicemen’s Readjustment Act, also known as the G.I. Bill. New Deal programs like social security and unemployment insurance helped pad out home economies.

By the mid-1970s, however, this golden age for men, if not women, was fading. (Of course, for many African Americans and other marginalized groups, it had always only been an age of fool’s gold.) Real wages stagnated and began their long, steady decline. Today’s federal minimum wage, at $7.25 per hour, has remained unchanged since 2009 (something that can hardly be said about the wealth of the 1%). Far from supporting a family of four, in most parts of the country, it won’t even keep a single person afloat.

Elected president in 1980, Ronald Reagan announced in his first inaugural address, “Government is not the solution to our problem, government is the problem.” He then set about dismantling President Lyndon Johnson’s War on Poverty programs, attacking the unions that had been the underpinning for white working-class prosperity, and generally starving the beast of government. We’re still living with the legacies of that credo in, for example, the housing crisis he first touched off by deregulating savings and loan institutions and disempowering the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

It’s no accident that, just as real wages were falling, presidential administrations of both parties began touting the virtues of paid work for women — at least if those women had children and no husband. Aid to Families with Dependent Children (“welfare”) was another New Deal program, originally designed to provide cash assistance to widowed women raising kids on their own at a time when little paid employment was available to white women.

In the 1960s, groups like the National Welfare Rights Organization began advocating that similar benefits be extended to Black women raising children. (As a welfare rights advocate once asked me, “Why is it fine for a woman to look to a man to help her children, but not to The Man?”) Not surprisingly, it wasn’t until Black and Latina women began receiving the same entitlements as their white sisters that welfare became a “problem” in need of “reform.”

By the mid-1990s, the fact that some Black women were receiving money from the government while not doing paid labor for an employer had been successfully reframed as a national crisis. Under Democratic President Bill Clinton, Congress passed the Personal Responsibility and Work Reconciliation Act of 1996, a bill that then was called “welfare reform.” After that, if women wanted help from The Man, they had to work for it – not by taking care of their own children, but by taking care of their children andholding down minimum-wage jobs.

Are the kids all right?

It’s more than a little ironic, then, that the granddaughters of feminists who argued that women should have a choice about whether or not to pursue a career came to confront an economy in which women, at least ones not from wealthy families, had little choice about working for pay.

The pandemic may change that, however — and not in a good way. One of the unfulfilled demands of liberal 1970s feminism was universal free childcare. An impossible dream, right? How could any country afford such a thing?

Wait a minute, though. What about Sweden? They have universal free childcare. That’s why a Swedish friend of mine, a human rights lawyer, and her American husband who had a rare tenure track university job in San Francisco, chose to take their two children back to Sweden. Raising children is so much easier there. In the early days of second-wave feminism, some big employers even built daycare centers for their employees with children. Those days, sadly, are long gone.

Now, in the Covid-19 moment, employers are beginning to recognize the non-pandemic benefits of having employees work at home. (Why not make workers provide their own office furniture? It’s a lot easier to justify if they’re working at home. And why pay rent on all that real estate when so many fewer people are in the office?) While companies will profit from reduced infrastructure costs and in some cases possibly even reduced pay for employees who relocate to cheaper areas, workers with children are going to face a dilemma. With no childcare available in the foreseeable future and school re-openings dicey propositions (no matter what the president threatens), someone is going to have to watch the kids. Someone — probably in the case of heterosexual couples, the person who is already earning less — is going to be under pressure to reduce or give up paid labor to do the age-old unpaid (but essential) work of raising the next generation. I wonder who that someone is going to be and, without those paychecks, I also wonder how much families are going to suffer economically in increasingly tough times.

Grateful to have a job?

Recently, in yet another Zoom meeting, a fellow university instructor (who’d just been interrupted to help a child find a crucial toy) was discussing the administration’s efforts to squeeze concessions out of faculty and staff. I was startled to hear her add, “Of course, I’m grateful they gave me the job.” This got me thinking about jobs and gratitude — and which direction thankfulness ought to flow. It seems to me that the pandemic and the epidemic of unemployment following in its wake have reinforced a common but false belief shared by many workers: the idea that we should be grateful to our employers for giving us jobs.

We’re so often told that corporations and the great men behind them are Job Creators. From the fountain of their beneficence flows the dignity of work and all the benefits a job confers. Indeed, as this fairy tale goes, businesses don’t primarily produce widgets or apps or even returns for shareholders. Their real product is jobsLike many of capitalism’s lies, the idea that workers should thank their employers reverses the real story: without workers, there would be no apps, no widgets, no shareholder returns. It’s our effort, our skill, our diligence that gives work its dignity. It may be an old saying, but no less true for that: labor creates all wealth. Wealth does not create anything — neither widgets, nor jobs.

I’m grateful to the universe that I have work that allows me to talk with young people about their deepest values at a moment in their lives when they’re just figuring out what they value, but I am not grateful to my university employer for my underpaid, undervalued job. The gratitude should run in the other direction. Without faculty, staff, and students there would be no university. It’s our labor that creates wealth, in this case a (minor) wealth of knowledge.

As of July 16th, in the midst of the Covid-19 crisis, 32 million Americans are receiving some kind of unemployment benefit. That number doesn’t even reflect the people involuntarily working reduced hours, or those who haven’t been able to apply for benefits. One thing is easy enough to predict: employers will take advantage of people’s desperate need for money to demand ever more labor for ever less pay. Until an effective vaccine for the coronavirus becomes available, expect to see the emergence of a three-tier system of worker immiseration: low-paid essential workers who must leave home to do their jobs, putting themselves in significant danger in the process, while we all depend on them for sustenance; better paid people who toil at home, but whose employers will expect their hours of availability to expand to fill the waking day; and low-paid or unpaid domestic laborers, most of them women, who keep everyone else fed, clothed, and comforted.

Even when the pandemic finally ends, there’s a danger that some modified version of this new system of labor exploitation might prove too profitable for employers to abandon. On the other hand, hitting the national pause button, however painfully, could give the rest of us a chance to rethink a lot of things, including the place of work, paid and unpaid, in our lives.

So, will my partner and I head for Reno in a couple of weeks? Certainly, the job of ousting Donald Trump is essential. I’m just not sure that a couple of old white ladies are essential workers in the time of Covid-19.

Copyright 2020 Rebecca Gordon

When a winner becomes a loser: Churchill was kicked out of office in the British election of 1945

The end of World War II in Europe and the defeat of Hitler and Nazi Germany in early May 1945 turned British Prime Minister Winston Churchill into the world’s most eminent statesman. He was feted and celebrated everywhere he went and had an approval rating of 83%.

Yet he suffered a humiliating election defeat in 1945.

Churchill’s electoral fate shows, I believe, that democratic elections are not won due to past achievements, personal glory and celebrity status, but because of a persuasive and realizable program for the next four or five years. Winning parties or candidates need a vision that addresses the genuine concerns and deep anxieties of the voters.

In 1945, it seemed a foregone conclusion that Churchill and his Conservative Party would win the next general election. No election had taken place during the war. The members of the British Parliament, the House of Commons, had been elected as far back as 1935.

While Churchill wanted to delay a general election until the end of the war in Asia, the Labour Party decided to leave Britain’s national unity government soon after victory in Europe was achieved, which sparked an election that took place on July 5, 1945.

A newsreel about the Labour Party landslide.

Ballots weren’t counted until July 26, to allow votes from soldiers and residents of Britain’s far-flung overseas empire to arrive by mail.

Labour won a landslide victory. As soon as the election result was announced, Churchill went to Buckingham Palace to submit his resignation to King George VI. Labour leader Clement Attlee arrived at the palace within minutes of Churchill’s departure and was appointed new prime minister.

But at first he was greeted by an uncomfortable silence. Attlee finally told the king, “I’ve won the election.” The king, greatly displeased by the socialist Labour Party’s victory, said, “I know. I heard it on the six o’clock news.”

Watershed election

The magnitude of the loss was historic.

The Labour Party received 47.7% of the vote, compared to the Conservatives’ 36.2% and the Liberal party’s 9%.

This was a crushing blow for the Tories. Due to Churchill’s immense personal popularity, he was easily reelected in his Woodford constituency in Essex, but his party was decimated. Labour had a massive majority of 146 seats in the new Parliament.

The Labour government of 1945 would radically change British society by embarking on decolonization, which quickly led to the dissolution of the British Empire, and the creation of a new, progressive social and economic consensus that would last until Margaret Thatcher’s election victory in 1979.

Churchill took the defeat very badly.

He was just short of his 71st birthday, exhausted, in ill health and demoralized. He fell into a deep depression (his “black dog,” as he called it) and spent much time in the south of France to pursue his hobbies of painting and bricklaying.

When the king later offered him the country’s highest honor, The Order of the Garter, Churchill declined, saying that he couldn’t possibly accept such an honor, as the British voters had given him the “order of the boot.”

Churchill now was the official leader of the opposition, but it took him more than a year to overcome his apathy and reengage with politics. It was only U.S. President Harry S. Truman’s invitation to give a speech at Westminster College in Fulton, Missouri, in March 1946 — this was the “Iron Curtain speech” — that revived his political instincts and made him become politically active again.

How to lose an election

Until the last few days before the vote was held, Churchill and much of the country had been firmly convinced that he and his party would be returned to power with a large majority.

On occasion, however, Churchill realized that he had little to contribute to the raging debate about the future of British society.

“I have no message for them,” he said.

As a scholar who has written a book on Churchill’s politics, “Churchill’s Cold War: The Politics of Personal Diplomacy,” I see several reasons for the loss he and his party experienced.

The six-week election campaign in June and July 1945 sought to sway voters exhausted by six devastating years of war. They wanted a view of a bright future.

Soldiers in the field, too, were fed up with fighting and looked forward to a new age of prosperity and peace. Labour proposed a progressive social reform program that would transform the future of British society. The Conservative program was much more vague and focused on Churchill’s leadership.

Churchill and his party also conducted a poor election campaign. Symbolic of this was Churchill’s first campaign broadcast on June 4, 1945, in which he accused Attlee of harboring socialist dictatorial ambitions and even compared him to the Nazis. Outrageously, Churchill declared that Labour “would have to fall back on some sort of a Gestapo” to push through its reforms.

Attlee pointed out that the speech showed Churchill to be ill-suited to being a leader in peaceful times.

Labour had more attractive and persuasive ideas, such as government-supported full employment, the introduction of a free national health service and the nationalization of many key industries such as steel, coal and railways.

And Labour seemed to know how to implement these policies: Churchill had put senior Labour leaders in charge of running the country’s economic ministries during the war.

Housing, full employment, social welfare and the health system stood at the top of the list of most voters’ needs. Foreign affairs and national security policy, which Churchill emphasized, ranked much lower.

Another problem for the Conservatives was their poor image, which Churchill was not immune from. Despite the tremendous esteem he was held in, the elderly Churchill, with his elite background and paternalistic Victorian habits, was seen by many as out of touch with the modern world.

He also had outdated views about race and empire that for many — even back in 1945 — sounded not quite right for the new postwar era. Canadian Prime Minister MacKenzie King, who knew him well, concluded that maintaining “the British Empire and Commonwealth is a religion to him.”

Running on a bad record

Except for the years 1924 and 1929-31, Britain had been led by Conservative governments for more than two decades. The Tories could hardly avoid being seen as responsible for the high unemployment and miserable social and economic conditions of these years, especially because the conditions continued well into the 1950s.

The Conservatives were also viewed as the party of the appeasers who had, in the runup to the war, downplayed the Nazi threat, with Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain even having weakly given in to Hitler’s territorial demands.

Taking all these elements into account, it was little wonder that Churchill and the Tories lost the 1945 election.

But Churchill did not give up. In 1950 Churchill also narrowly lost the next general election. Just over a year later, with the Labour government in deep internal crisis and running out of steam, yet another election was called.

This time Churchill was victorious. In October 1951, he became prime minister again and felt greatly vindicated. He used his remaining four years as peacetime prime minister to reengage with the Soviet Union and attempt to negotiate an early end to the Cold War. Churchill retired in 1955 at the age of 80.

Klaus W. Larres, Richard M. Krasno Distinguished Professor; Adjunct Professor of the Curriculum in Peace, War and Defense, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license.

Kansas Republicans panicked Trump-appointee Kris Kobach will cost them a safe Senate seat: report

According to a report at Politico, Kansas Republicans are beside themselves that their nominee for an open U.S. Senate seat will be a controversial conservative once appointed by Donald Trump to investigate voter fraud.

With a Senate seat open in the normally reliable Republican state, local leaders would normally be sitting back and looking to coast to victory but 2020 is proving to be more difficult than usual. 

At issue, the possibility that Kris Kobach may win Tuesday primary over a more mainstream Republican candidate, making holding onto the seat difficult because a sizeable number of Republican voters have told pollsters they would vote for a Democrat over him.

According to the report, “National Republican Senatorial Committee executive director Kevin McLaughlin warned that if hardline conservative Kris Kobach wins next Tuesday’s Kansas Senate primary, it could doom the GOP Senate majority — and perhaps even hurt President Donald Trump in a state that hasn’t voted Democratic since 1964.”

Politico reports that “Republicans had mostly rallied behind Rep. Roger Marshall, who was leading Kobach comfortably in internal polling earlier in the summer,” but that was before liberal PACs “meddled” in the choice of candidates by pumping nearly $5 million into as promoting Kobach — who they would rather face — and hammering Marshall.

Adding to GOP woes is the fact that a wide array of incumbent Republican senators are facing ouster or uphill battles to keep their seats, making the GOP has little money to spend in what should have been a sure bet Kansas race.

“Trump has remained on the sidelines in the race, frustrating some Republicans who believe a late endorsement could deliver a victory to Marshall, whom they view as much more electable,” the report states before adding, “An internal survey conducted for the NRSC last week showed that in a general election matchup, only 54 percent of Republican primary voters would back Kobach, while 29 percent would instead to vote for Democrat Barbara Bollier, according to three people familiar with the data, which has been presented to the White House. That much potential crossover support for Bollier, who has the backing of major Kansas and national Democrats, could doom Republicans’ chances in the race.”

You can read more here.