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ICC issues arrest warrant for Benjamin Netanyahu, accuses him of “intentionally” killing civilians

The International Criminal Court announced Wednesday that it had issued arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his former defense minister, Yoav Gallant, and charged them with war crimes and crimes against humanity. The two men had for over a year overseen an immensely destructive war in Gaza that has since expanded into Lebanon and the West Bank.

A separate press release announced that an arrest warrant had also been issued for Muhammad Deif, Hamas' military chief, for crimes against humanity over his role in planning and executing the Oct. 7 attack and hostage-taking in southern Israel. The Israel Defense Forces said in August that it had killed him in an airstrike.

According to the ICC, there are "reasonable grounds" to believe that Netanyahu and Gallant "intentionally directed attacks against the civilian population of Gaza," "intentionally limited or prevented medical supplies and medicine from getting into Gaza" and "intentionally and knowingly deprived the civilian population in Gaza of objects indispensable to their survival, including food, water, and medicine and medical supplies, as well as fuel and electricity."

Israel has reportedly killed 45,000 Palestinians in Gaza alone since Oct. 7, and displaced and starved millions more, with numerous documented cases of the IDF targeting civilians, from mass bombings of refugee camps to soldiers shooting down children and people searching desperately for supplies. Last week, a United Nations special committee found that Israel has committed atrocities consistent with the characteristics of genocide. Even before the war, critics accused the Israeli state of carrying out polices that amount to apartheid against Palestinians.

While related and often paired together, war crimes and crimes against humanity are separately defined. Individual actions in war can constitute a war crime, which can be committed against both civilians and armed combatants; crimes against humanity, on the other hand, must be committed as part of a widespread or systematic attack upon a civilian population.

The ICC's chief prosecutor, Karim A. A. Khan, had requested the warrants in May, even though Israel is not a member of the ICC. The request included warrants for Hamas leaders Yahya Sinwar and Ismail Haniyeh, who have both been confirmed killed. In issuing the warrants that put Netanyahu and Gallant in the same category as Russia's Vladimir Putin and Libya's Muammar Gaddafi, the ICC rejected Israel's challenge to the court's jurisdiction, saying “the acceptance by Israel of the Court’s jurisdiction is not required, as the Court can exercise its jurisdiction on the basis of territorial jurisdiction of Palestine."

Nevertheless, Israel's position outside the court means that Netanyahu and Gallant, whom the prime minister recently fired over a "crisis in trust," will not face any risk of arrest at home. They would, however, be subject to arrest if they traveled to any of the court's 124 member nations, which includes most of Europe but not the United States, which like Israel does not recognize the ICC's jurisdiction. The Palestinian territories joined the court in 2015.

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Israel responded to the warrants with defiance. Netanyahu’s office rejected what it called “absurd and false accusations" by a "biased and discriminatory political body," insisting in a statement Israel was waging war to defend its citizens and would continue to do so. Netanyahu “will not surrender to the pressures; he will not recoil or withdraw until all of the war’s goals — that were set at the start of the battle — are achieved,” the statement said.

Opposition leader Yair Lapid concurred in an X post, characterizing Israel's actions as a fight for survival “against terrorist organizations." Netanyahu and many other Israeli officials accused the ICC of antisemitism.

A Hamas spokesperson praised the warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant as "an important step towards justice and can lead to redress for the victims in general" but only if it is "supported by all means by all countries around the world." The Hamas statement did not mention the warrant against Deif.

European officials have largely stated they intend to comply with the ICC's decision, which comes after Germany and France stopped sending military aid to Israel and signals further declining goodwill towards Netanyahu's government. The European Union's foreign policy chief, Josep Borrell, said the court's decision was "not political" and should be "respected and implemented." A government minister in the Netherlands announced that the country is prepared to arrest Netanyahu and Gallant if either sets foot in its territory. In France, a foreign affairs spokesperson said at a news conference that its government's reaction would follow the ICC's authority as outlined in the Rome Statute, the treaty that established the court, but later added that arresting the Israeli leaders was a "legally complicated" question.


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While the United States has not yet commented on the ICC's announcement, it previously called Khan's request for warrants "outrageous" and has repeatedly joined Israel in challenging its critics on the international stage, just this week vetoing yet another UN resolution calling for a ceasefire in Gaza. Under President Joe Biden's administration, the U.S. has continued sending billions of dollars in military weapons to Israel despite voicing frustration with Netanyahu's conduct of the war.

Republicans and some staunchly pro-Israel Democrats, on the other hand, were quick to condemn the warrants and threaten action against the ICC. President-elect Donald Trump's incoming national security advisor, Rep. Mike Waltz, R-Fla., wrote in a social media post that the ICC "has no credibility" and that the Trump administration would unleash a "strong response to the antisemitic bias of the ICC & UN come January.”

What that response entails might be gleaned from Trump's decision in his first term to impose sanctions on the ICC, which included asset freezes and entry bans against ICC officials and their families. Biden revoked the sanctions upon assuming the presidency. Now, lawmakers like Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C. are urging the Senate to vote on legislation that would reimpose them.

“Just a ploy for media attention”: Ex-aide says Mace’s anti-trans tirade a stunt to get on Fox News

For Rep. Nancy Mace, R-S.C., the cruelty of her new anti-trans diatribe against Rep.-elect Sarah McBride is just the means to an end: getting on TV, her former aide alleged on social media.

Natalie Johnson, Mace’s former director of communications, took to X to question the motives of Mace’s bill to ban trans women from women’s restrooms in the House before McBride, the first transgender member of Congress, is set to take office.

“If you think this bill is about protecting women and not simply a ploy to get on Fox News, you've been fooled,” she wrote.

The ex-staffer poked fun at the sheer volume of anti-trans tweets Mace posted over the potential use of a restroom by one individual congresswoman while simultaneously ignoring a former colleague’s child sexual abuse investigation.

“Tweeting 262 times about a bill that applies to like .00000001% of Congress in 36 hours is definitely about protecting women. It’s certainly not just a ploy for media attention,” Johnson joked. 

“‘Protecting women’ in Congress would be introducing a bill to bar Matt Gaetz, a sexual predator with an affinity for underage girls, from ever walking those halls again, rather than dropping a messaging bill that’s sole goal is getting on TV,” she added in another post to X.

Mace, set to begin her third term in the House in January, spent her day on Wednesday trolling Senate Democrats who offered up restroom use to McBride, and a transgender state lawmaker in Montana, who she implied was not a woman.

McBride on Wednesday called the rule's inclusion an effort to “distract” from other issues, while Mace clarified the policy was “absolutely” an effort to discriminate against McBride directly.

House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., confirmed that Mace’s anti-trans rules package was included on Wednesday, Transgender Day of Remembrance.

“Shrinkflation”: Tropicana customers incensed over unpopular bottle redesign

Tropicana loyalists are upset over a recent bottle redesign that not only alters the aesthetic but also reduces capacity. The new bottles reportedly hold 46 ounces, compared to the original 52 ounces.

Many displeased customers have accused the company of “shrinkflation” while expressing nostalgia for the original carafe-style design. The backlash mirrors a similar controversy in 2009 when a logo redesign angered Tropicana fans, leading to a roughly 20% drop in sales. Interestingly, Tropicana has seen a comparable 19% decline in sales this year as of October.

In 2009, Tropicana quickly reinstated its original logo, resolving the issue. It remains to be seen if the company will take similar action in 2025. A Tropicana spokesperson told CNN that "the company changed the bottle to address feedback from customers, including making it easier to pour and store while reducing plastic in the cap." Nathaniel Meyersohn at CNN also noted the smaller bottles could save the company money on shipping costs.

For customers frustrated by shrinkflation, Tropicana says the new bottles will cost about 70 cents less than their predecessors, though not all retailers have adjusted prices yet.

Police report details sexual assault allegations against Trump nominee Pete Hegseth

A police report on Pete Hegseth’s alleged sexual assault of a woman in 2017 was released on Wednesday, providing details into allegations that could derail the former Fox News host’s Senate confirmation.

The Monterey Police Department released the 24-page report to news organization Mediaite after initially denying to do so, explaining that Hegseth’s request for a copy in 2021 waived its obligation to keep it under wraps.

The alleged assault took place during a Republican women's conference during which Hegseth, President-elect Donald Trump's pick to lead the Department of Defense, was a keynote speaker. In his statement to police, Hegseth said he did have sex with the accuser and corroborated details from her account, but characterized the encounter as consensual.

The woman who made the accusation, referred to as “Jane Doe” throughout the report, sought a rape test days after the encounter.

Hegseth’s alleged victim said she had a drink at a sports bar attached to the hotel before “things got fuzzy,” telling a nurse who administered her sexual assault test that she suspected something was slipped into her drink.

She said she didn’t recall Hegseth leading her to his hotel room, but she “remembered saying 'no' a lot,” and recalled the ex-Fox News host taking her phone from her and blocking her path to the door with his body. 

The alleged victim told police her next memory was being underneath Hegseth in his hotel room with the ex-National Guardsman’s dog tags dangling over her face. She added that Hegseth did not wear a condom and ejaculated on her body, details Hegseth confirmed. The victim could not remember how she returned to her hotel room but said she woke up there.

Hegseth told police he remembered having sex with the complainant, but said it was a consensual encounter and he maintained communication with the alleged victim. Hegseth claimed he asked the alleged victim if it was okay to proceed without a condom, and that she said yes.

The alleged victim also laid out a pattern of Hegseth’s behavior towards women that upset her throughout the night in the report, recalling he “was giving off a ‘creeper’ vibe” and that he was rubbing women’s legs.

In the report, the alleged victim describes an altercation with Hegseth near the hotel pool before the assault.

“The argument was about HEGSETH'S actions with the women at the conference,” the report reads, adding that Hegseth told the victim “he was a nice guy.”

A staff member at the hotel described a belligerent and “very intoxicated” Hegseth shouting about his right to “freedom of speech” near the pool after guest complaints.

A friend of the accuser said Hegseth had placed a hand on her leg at the hotel bar, and that the alleged victim intervened to prevent Hegseth from making more passes at her after she told him the contact was unwelcome.

Hegseth was ultimately not charged for the alleged assault, and the report was shelved from 2017 until Wednesday. 

A source inside Trump's transition team told Vanity Fair last week that the president-elect’s staff was unaware of the allegations before picking Hegseth, leading to a feeling that they’d been caught off guard. Hegseth’s attorney admitted last weekend that the ex-Fox News host paid the accuser off in 2020, fearing his gig at the network was on the line if she came forward.

The full report’s release may complicate Hegseth’s Senate confirmation process next year, one of at least four cabinet appointees who were involved in past or ongoing sexual misconduct investigations.

Former Rep. Matt Gaetz, R-Fla., tapped to lead the Department of Justice, faced a House Ethics investigation for a host of drug and sexual misconduct charges; would-be Health and Human Services boss Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was accused of sexual assault by a former babysitter; and Linda McMahon, asked to lead the Department of Education, is named along with her husband in a lawsuit alleging the pair covered up rampant sexual abuse of minors.

“Not a good sign”: House Republicans seek to bury Gaetz ethics report amid Trump’s lobbying push

This is an article about Donald Trump’s Cabinet nominee who faces accusations of sexual misconduct. No, not Pete Hegseth, the pick to lead the Department of Defense who a woman accuses of raping her at a conference in 2017; no, not Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the serial adulterer whose former live-in nanny says she was groped by the anti-vaccine activist; and no, not Linda McMahon, the former WWE executive accused, per CNN, of knowingly allowing an employee “to use his position as ringside announce to sexually exploit children.”

No, this is an article about Matt Gaetz, Trump’s pick for attorney general who stands accused of having sex with a minor at drug-fueled parties while serving as a member of the U.S. Congress. The evidence against Gaetz made public so far is mounting: multiple women have now come forward to claim not only that the former Florida lawmaker paid them for sex, but that they personally witnessed him having sex with a 17-year-old girl. Venmo transactions show he paid those women thousands of dollars, and wrote one a check for “tuition reimbursement”; Gaetz also reimbursed them over PayPal, relying on an account registered to Nestor Galban, a man who he claimed in 2020 was his “adopted son” (that claim came days after Gaetz’s friend, Joel Greenberg, was arrested on charges including child sex trafficking).

What else could be in the House Ethics Committee’s report on Gaetz is anyone’s guess. On Wednesday, the panel’s Republican majority blocked a Democratic effort to make its findings public, a move that came after Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, R-Ga., threatened to reveal which of her GOP colleagues had also been accused of sexual wrongdoing and which had relied on taxpayer money to pay off their accusers (an admission of her own complicity, really).

“I would hope that if you are at home and you are a Republican, a Democrat, an independent, that you would want to see the information on the nominee to become your attorney general or any other member of the Cabinet,” Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., said after the committee’s Republicans voted to cover for their former colleague. It’s “not a good sign,” she added, that the GOP does not want it released; it certainly does not suggest the report is exonerating.

It’s not a great sign for Democratic resistance, either, that not all Democrats agree. “This committee will become partisan if we vote to release a report on any member,” Rep. Jared Moskowitz, D-Fla., told Politico, which described the lawmaker as being “friendly with Gaetz.”

What, though, is there left to say a man who has already been credibly and publicly accused of sex crimes while being nominated by a man from whom he previously sought a pardon for sex trafficking?

Republicans in the Senate, who have access to the same information as any member of the public, have already signaled that nothing they have learned so far is worth blocking an appointment over.

“He wasn’t prosecuted for having sex with an underage girl,” Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., said Wednesday. “That tells me something.”

But Graham also warned that the confirmation hearings could be a spectacle that Trump may wish to avoid, even as he threatens to bypass the Senate altogether if he doesn’t get his way (his allies may not wish to test that proposition, however questionable the legal theory).

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Still, how much of a concern is a few days of a “bad look” in a post-“Access Hollywood” tape world? The president-elect was found liable by a jury for sexual assault and was just this year convicted of fraud over hush payments he made to a porn star. Just over two weeks ago, he won an election.

Indeed, while The New York Times reported that Trump himself is seemingly open to considering alternative candidates for attorney general if Gaetz goes down, he also deployed Vice President-elect J.D. Vance on Wednesday to make the case for his first choice.

According to Sen. Mike Lee, R-Utah, the pitch is that the allegations against Gaetz were already investigated and he was never charged with a crime, whether there’s enough evidence to convince a jury conflated with actual innocence. Speaking with GOP senators on Wednesday, Gaetz talked about “the unfairness and the lack of truth of the allegations being pursued by the committee, and the fact that the DOJ did decline to prosecute,” Lee told reporters.

That is part of the appeal here: Gaetz, like Trump, can claim he’s a victim of a Biden-run defamation campaign. Who better to weaponize the Department of Justice and pursue Trump’s vows of “retribution” than someone who has experienced that themselves?

Lawrence Jones, a co-host of “Fox & Friends,” made that argument Thursday morning, noting that Trump was well aware that Gaetz had been investigated for sex trafficking and sleeping with a minor. It didn’t bother him, Jones said; in fact, it was an asset.

Trump, he said, “was aware of this investigation before. And the position of the former president is that there’s a Department of Justice that went after me, and it was unfair, and they didn't find anything with me. And the same thing with Matt Gaetz. He’s actually doubled down. He wants him to be the person.”

If Gaetz makes it to confirmation hearings next year, it’s certainly possible that members of Trump’s party decide they just can’t do it (that many Republicans loathe Gaetz, as a man, is no secret); perhaps, even before then, Trump will abandon his ally for the likes of Ken Paxton, Texas’ far-right attorney general and, as far as we know, a guy who merely cheated on his wife. But the rationalizations are already out there for public consumption — Gaetz was never charged; women lie — so no one should be surprised if Republican senators ultimately decide that their moral objections should, like the House ethics report, remain private.

The press obeys in advance

The rending of hair and gnashing of teeth from those who despise Donald Trump continues inside the Beltway and across the country two weeks after his election to a second presidential term. This week, the less-than-dapper Don continues to nominate members of his Cabinet in a seemingly unending cavalcade of circus performers and reality television stars.

 Meanwhile the White House Correspondents Association is trying to negotiate a deal to provide a reporting pool to cover the president-elect while previously critical news organizations rush to fellate him with the same enthusiasm one would give to a worm-ridden corpse. It’s perfunctory but it is less than joyful to behold. 

JD Vance, the presumptive heir to the throne is laying low, while Elon “Husky Musky” Musk is out front, whipping supporters into a continued angry frenzy while those celebrating Trump’s brand of populism are crashing hard into the wall of reality. Walmart, MAGA’s favorite one-stop shop, announced this week that if Trump places tariffs on foreign-made goods, guess what folks, your prices are going to rise.

The next four years are going to be a lot like cavemen throwing stones at each other. Some will die, some will be injured and some will survive.

All across the country the sound of moaning, giggling, laughter and anguished sobs – along with several well-placed one-fingered salutes, speak to the mental state of a divided and sometimes diffident, defeated, disinterested, disappointed, dizzy populace. 

Let the games begin.

Trump is defending his choice for attorney general, the ludicrous and licentious Matt Gaetz, while promoting his nominee to oversee Medicare and Medicaid for millions of Americans, Dr. Oz, by telling us “He won nine Daytime Emmy Awards hosting ‘The Dr. Oz Show.’” In Trump’s execrable universe that passes for exemplary qualifications to do a serious job. It says something that Dr. Oz is one of the least offensive nominees for public office to be put forth by the incoming president.

Don’t expect the media to help. We sold our collective soul during the election, at least the six major companies that own and operate 90 percent of what you see, read or hear did as much. Fox News, of course, had no soul which is why Trump’s vetting process for some key nominees simply means hiring Fox talking heads – whether they’re qualified or not. At least he knows they’re loyal. 

Trump’s incoming communication staff has a reputation for saying anything that favors the boss – which means a lot of feckless, fact-less, vile sputum parading as facts. Incoming White House communications director Steven Cheung is well known for his “pugilistic” bombast – particularly on social media – and like many of Trump’s inner circle – he has a background in entertainment. Before serving as a Trump campaign aide, he was the spokesman for the Ultimate Fighting Championship. That’s not satire despite it being an obvious setup line for a series of punchlines.

His press secretary will be 27-year-old Karoline Leavitt, a former Fox News intern and assistant press secretary under Kayleigh McEnany. Leavitt ran for Congress and lost during the 2022 midterm elections and attracted support from Lauren Boebert and Ted Cruz for her “brazen” campaign style. Hold the punchlines until the end, please.

Leavitt has never really worked as a reporter and has no idea how the press operates, but according to Trump, “Karoline is smart, tough, and has proven to be a highly effective communicator.” In a statement Friday, Trump said of Leavitt “I have the utmost confidence she will excel at the podium, and help deliver our message to the American People as we, Make America Great Again.”

That remains to be seen. She has as much experience at the Brady Briefing room podium as I have performing brain surgery. I’m sure she’s seen a few YouTube videos to school herself up, but her appointment and Trump’s statement begs the question as to whether or not the president-elect, as some rumors have suggested, will take over making the assignments in the Brady Briefing room (usually left up to the WHCA)  to ensure a friendly atmosphere for his young protégé. 

“These guys are the f***ing worst,” one long-time Republican congressman told me – on background — of the incoming administration. That sentiment was confirmed by several Democrats, reporters and members of the Secret Service. 

Makes no difference. When Trump comes riding six white horses as he gallops back into the White House, he will have a young, inexperienced adult known for bombast speaking for him. She will be defending a convicted felon who cares about no one but himself. He will ban reporters, investigate them and otherwise silence them as he installs tariffs, rounds up immigrants and happily flushes fluoride from our water – making “Dr. Strangelove” that much closer to reality while eclipsing “Idiocracy” in its ignorant futility. Hey, at least he’s not spiking our water with electrolytes, right? 

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Just remember: “Evolution does not necessarily reward intelligence. With no natural predators to thin the herd, it began to simply reward those who reproduced the most, and left the intelligent to become an endangered species.”

Welcome to America in 2025.

His name isn’t Dwayne Elizondo Mountain Dew Herbert Camacho, but the second-coming of Donald Trump may go down in history for many things if there’s a future after he shuffles off his mortal coil. At the very least it will undoubtedly go down as the era that signaled the death knell for what many have come to regard as “traditional journalism.”

Rising in its place are “independent” podcasters, live-streamers and content providers who may be called many things, but “journalist” is not among them. In many ways, the new dynamic is reminiscent of the many pamphleteers and newspapers of the 19th century. Each party had their own publication which often printed fiction parading as fact about their political rivals.

As populism rose with Andrew Jackson (a Democrat) in the campaign against John Quincy Adams in 1828, voters saw it as a struggle “between the democracy of the country, on the one hand, and a lordly purse-proud aristocracy on the other.” Sound familiar? The young nation was divided and newspapers and pamphlets hammered home the differences between the two men – in many cases embellishing those differences. 

In Congress, Jackson’s followers led by Senator John Randolph harassed President Adams (seeking his second term) without mercy from “almost the day of his inauguration until the day of his defeat.” Those in Jackson’s court called Adams corrupt, accusing him of installing “gaming tables and gambling furniture” in the White House at public expense.They also accused him of premarital sex with his wife and said when he was minister to Russia, he had procured a young American girl for Czar Alexander I. 

Friends of Adams gave as good as they got. Jackson, they wrote, was “ignorant, inexperienced” and a “man of no labor, no patience . . . wholly unqualified by education, habit and temper for the station of the president.” By the time the election rolled around Adam’s angry minions had descended into the gutter and accused Jackson of adultery, gambling, cock fighting, bigamy, slave-trading, drunkenness, theft, lying and murder. Jackson won. 

In some ways, the politics of that time helped shape the next 200 years of press freedom. As newspapers became ubiquitous, advertising became more popular and prolific. The direct influence of politicians waned, to be replaced by the advertisers. Thus newspapers became more than political rags and began reporting on every aspect of American society – attracting the advertisers of everything involved in American society along the way.


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Now, times have reverted back. The press has become overwhelmingly involved in politics to the point of obsession — but without the acumen to provide insight. If Trump is right about anything, he is taking America back – back to a time when women didn’t vote, Black people were slaves and child labor was the norm.

The press is complicit in this. We report on self-serving lies, which pollsters then proceed to use to produce a desired result with no ambiguity. These polls are then reported on in the news creating a sense of public concern over imaginary threats – which the administration then will use to justify actions that in no way benefit the citizens it purports to serve. Immigrants eating dogs and cats, and crazed immigrant terrorists gunning down American citizens while both being too lazy to work while taking all of the jobs is one such issue where the press helps create the narrative Trump is using to support rounding up immigrants.

So, at the end of the day the vast number of Americans, right and left, have no idea what’s going on, but they certainly believe they are in the right and anyone who thinks differently is either a communist, socialist, stooge, or moron – and sometimes all of the above.

I recently asked on “X”: How do you deal with someone who has an opinion different from your own? More than 1,200 people responded, and several hundred more responded on “Bluesky” when I asked the same question. There were a variety of answers, and some professed to seek understanding, or greeted such opinions with indifference if it was about “something that didn’t matter,” like whether you prefer your steak rare or well done. But nearly everyone also harbored the idea, often stated, sometimes not, that their job was to listen to others only enough to convince others of the righteousness of their own cause. Intellectual curiosity – even about steak preference was woefully lacking.

That didn’t start with Trump. History shows it has been with us since the inception of our country and has been a staple of human nature since we crawled out of the caves. And sitting in the front row of today’s reality show, it is increasingly obvious that we haven’t advanced too far from the caves.

So, sit back and buckle up buttercups. The next four years are going to be a lot like cavemen throwing stones at each other. Some will die, some will be injured and some will survive.

But, no one gets out unscathed – especially since the press has already bowed in advance.

House of hate: Republicans in Congress turn MAGA harassment campaign against trans colleague

First things first: It is absolutely the case that the harassment of Sarah McBride, the newly elected Democratic representative from Delaware, is rooted in Rep. Nancy Mace, R-S.C., having an insatiable desire for attention. Mace's narcissism is legendary even by Capitol Hill standards. In one of the juicier exposés in recent memory, the Daily Beast reported that the congresswoman's "abusive" behavior created a "toxic" work environment that eventually led to a total staff turnover in the space of a couple of months. Mace's latest bid for camera time was purchased by introducing a bill that might as well be titled the "Sarah McBride Defamation Act" because it only targets one person and lies about her. 

Hate is more exciting when aimed at a person with a face and a name. So when you dangle out a random person and falsely accuse them of being a threat, it's a lot easier to whip people into a frenzy.

McBride is trans, and Mace is using this as an excuse to put forward a bill barring McBride from using the women's restroom on Capitol Hill. Mace shamelessly claims to be afraid of McBride. "I know how vulnerable women and girls are in private spaces, so I'm absolutely 100% going to stand in the way of any man who wants to be in a women's restroom," she said, lying about McBride's gender. Notably, Mace loudly supported Donald Trump's presidential bid, despite a 2023 jury finding him civilly liable for sexually assaulting E. Jean Carroll in a department store dressing room. As Tim Miller at the Bulwark argues, "Nancy Mace doesn't really feel unsafe," and "it's all farce" and a bid to get attention by being a bully.

It is tempting, therefore, to argue that the best response is to not feed the troll by giving her the attention she craves. This is the classic "deplatforming" argument, which continues to persist because, in the past, there were some victories of the "ignore them and they go away" variety. (Anyone heard from Milo Yiannopoulos lately?) But, as Zack Beauchamp of Vox wrote after the election, "Trump’s wins are proof that gatekeeping doesn’t really work anymore." Media fragmentation "means there's not enough cultural unification to ever really expel anyone from the discourse." Even if all liberals collectively agreed never to say "Nancy Mace" again, she can take advantage of the robust right-wing propaganda machine to get attention with hate. 


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There's an even more disturbing aspect to this harassment campaign against McBride. It's the latest example of how the mainstream GOP has embraced a tactic that hateful trolls first developed online during the "Gamergate" fiasco of 2014 and has become a favorite tool of the far-right for recruitment and radicalization: selecting random, innocent people to dangle out to their audiences as the hate object of the day. Back then, it was a handful of female video game developers and critics who were presented to largely male crowds online as targets for relentless, inchoate abuse.

The tactic has since become rote on the right, largely through the Twitter account Libs of TikTok. Run by far-right influencer Chaya Raichik, Libs of TikTok offers a bloodthirsty audience a constant stream of photos and videos of random people — usually from their small, personal social media accounts — usually for no other reason than they are queer or queer-positive. Her followers, whipped into a hateful frenzy, flood the victim du jour with hateful messages and often escalate to offline contact of harassing phone calls and bomb threats. We can see how this is already manifesting in the attacks on McBride. Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., is going along with the abuse. Less than a day after initially saying he wanted to "treat all persons with dignity and respect," he switched to attacking McBride by saying, "a man cannot become a woman." 

Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, whose every instinct is to join a bullying mob, joined in, saying it's "like a physical assault" to share a restroom with a trans woman. Like Mace, Greene is an avid supporter of Trump, despite the civil jury's legal finding that he committed sexual assault, which corresponds with a tape of him bragging about doing so

The psychology of Gamergate or the Libs of TikTok is nothing new. We see it in the long history of witch hunts, lynchings, gang rapes, or even just schoolyard bullying. A mob forms to target an innocent and often helpless victim, and the members of the mob draw on each other's energy to justify their sadism and turn it into entertainment. It's also a potent political weapon. Hate is more exciting when aimed at a person with a face and a name. So when you dangle out a random person and falsely accuse them of being a threat, it's a lot easier to whip people into a frenzy.

Making a spectacle out of private parts of the target's life —  which are usually not the subjects of polite conversation — is a crucial aspect of this dehumanization. We saw this in Gamergate, where wild speculation about the sex lives of the victims reinforced the framework that the victims do not deserve the protection of basic respect and decorum. Libs of TikTok does this daily, by mining the social media accounts of people who thought only their close friends would see their posts, but who are now being exposed to a large audience that they never intended to speak to. 

Anti-trans bigots love "debating" the bodies and biological functions of their targets. Their language is often focused on the scatological, where they shamelessly talk about what they believe to be the genital shapes, chromosomal make-up, and sexual habits of their victims, usually with no actual evidence to go on. This prurience is wrapped in moralizing language, such as Mace declaring, "I'm not going to stand for a man, you know, someone with a penis, in the women's locker room." The real purpose is to insinuate that this person doesn't deserve the basic presumption of privacy. Mace certainly knows there will never be a national news cycle in which people discuss what her genitals might look like.

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One reason the flying monkeys tactic works is that it isolates the target. People often avoid coming to the victim's defense, for fear that they will be the next person targeted. Multiple innocent victims of Libs of Tik Tok find themselves fired or otherwise shunned by their community, and not because people actually believe Raichik's deplorable equation of LGBTQ people with pedophiles. This is a fear response, the classic "throwing them to the wolves" strategy of feeding the victim to the mob, in hopes they don't eat you next. We see this in Johnson's change of heart, as he realized it's easier for him to placate the MAGA mob than to ask members of his own caucus to act like adults. 

The good news is there is a way to disable the gang-up tactic. It just requires the courage to rally around the victim. "Safety in numbers" isn't just a saying. It is much easier to terrorize one person, especially with harassment tactics, than it is to go after a collective. We saw this during Gamergate. Once the harassment campaign started to get more national attention, thousands of feminists logged on to defend the targets, flooding Twitter with memes and counterarguments that recognized the true villains as the Gamergaters themselves. It took the wind out of Gamergater sails and, eventually, the harassment died down. 

Many Democrats in Congress seem to grasp this, and are rushing to McBride's side. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., called Mace's behavior "just plain bullying" and many others mocked Mace for being ridiculous. "This is your priority," questioned House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y. "You want to bully a member of Congress, as opposed to welcoming her to join this body so that all of us can work together to get things done and deliver real results for the American people?"

The more people who do this, the harder it will be for Republicans to pass a law singling out one member for humiliating treatment, just to appease the sadism of their voters. 

The path forward for progressives is a return to PR basics: Put personality before policy

Donald Trump’s plans to remake American society is not incremental or gradual. Trump, his advisors and agents are attempting to impose a revolutionary project on the whole of American life that will, in various ways, likely impact every person in the country.

Trump, however, is not a political ideologue. He is obsessed with expanding the realm of his own self-interest and getting and exercising more corrupt power; “politics,” however defined and understood, is just a means to an end for Trump. By comparison, the people (and organizations) in Trump’s closest orbit such as JD Vance, Stephen Miller, the Heritage Foundation and the many White Christian nationalists and gangster capitalists (to the degree they are distinct from one another) are actual ideologues who possess a coherent theory of society (and human nature) and how to advance and achieve their desired outcomes. Because they fundamentally misunderstand the nature of the threat and struggle, the combination of these forces will be very difficult if not impossible for the “institutionalists” and mainstream members of the political class, news media and other elites to stop.

On this, historian Timothy Snyder warns:

It was wrong to treat Donald Trump as a series of absences. The standard critique has always been that he lacks something that we imagine to be a prerequisite for high office: breeding, or grammar, or diplomacy, or business acumen, or love of country. And he does lack all those things, as well as pretty much any conventional bourgeois virtue you can name.

Trump’s skills and talents go unrecognized when we see him as a conventional candidate — a person who seeks to explain policies that might improve lives, or who works to create the appearance of empathy. Yet this is our shortcoming more than his. Trump has always been a presence, not an absence: the presence of fascism. What does this mean?….

A liberal has to tell a hundred stories, or a thousand. A communist has one story, which might not turn out to be true. A fascist just has to be a storyteller. Because words do not attach to meanings, the stories don’t need to be consistent. They don’t need to accord with external reality. A fascist storyteller just has to find a pulse and hold it.

That requires presence, which Trump has always had. His charisma need not resonate with you: probably, Hitler’s and Mussolini’s would not have reached you, either. But it is nevertheless a talent. To be a fascist and to call someone else a fascist requires a cunning that is natural to Trump. And in that naming of the enemy, absurd as it is, we see the second major element of fascism.

A Leader (“Duce” and “Führer” mean just that) initiates politics by choosing an enemy. As the Nazi legal thinker Carl Schmitt maintained, the choice is arbitrary. It has little or no basis in reality. It takes its force from the decisive will of the Leader. The people who watched Trump’s television ads during sporting events had not been harmed by a transgender person, or by an immigrant, or by a woman of color. The magic lies in the daring it takes to declare a weaker group to be part of an overwhelming conspiracy.

The one thing that is not arbitrary about the choice of an enemy is that it must exploit vulnerabilities.

Throughout the Age of Trump and the democracy crisis, Masha Gessen has repeatedly counseled that we should take his threats seriously. In a new essay at the Times, Gessen continues with their warnings — which are now even more critical given Trump’s imminent return to power:

For those bewildered by why so many Americans apparently voted against the values of liberal democracy, Balint Magyar has a useful formulation. “Liberal democracy,” he says, “offers moral constraints without problem-solving” — a lot of rules, not a lot of change — while “populism offers problem-solving without moral constraints.” Magyar, a scholar of autocracy, isn’t interested in calling Donald Trump a fascist. He sees the president-elect’s appeal in terms of something more primal: “Trump promises that you don’t have to think about other people.”

Around the world, populist autocrats have leveraged the thrilling power of that promise to transform their countries into vehicles for their own singular will. …

Trump and his supporters have shown tremendous hostility to civic institutions — the judiciary, the media, universities, many nonprofits, some religious groups — that seek to define and enforce our obligations to one another.

On Monday, Trump confirmed that he will declare a state of national emergency as part of his plans to use the military and other forces as part of his mass deportation program targeting nonwhite migrants, refugees and other “illegal aliens.” This could potentially lead to the forced removal of more than 10 million people from the country – including American citizens who are caught up in the dragnet. Beyond the collective psychic, physical and emotional trauma, economists and other experts are warning that Trump’s deportation plan will also cause great financial and economic harm to the American people. On this, historian Heather Cox Richardson notes in her newsletter that, "While the Congressional Budget Office estimates this mass deportation will cost at least $88 billion a year, another cost that is rarely mentioned is that according to Bloomberg, undocumented immigrants currently pay about $100 billion a year in taxes. Losing that income, too, will likely have to be made up with cuts from elsewhere." 

In all, to navigate (and survive) the next four years of Trump’s MAGA America, the American people and their leaders will need to internalize and act upon the wisdom of Snyder, Gessen, Richardson and other leading pro-democracy voices. M. Steven Fish is one such voice. He is a professor of political science at the University of California, Berkeley. He has appeared on BBC, CNN and other major networks and has published in the New York Times, the Washington Post, Foreign Policy and elsewhere. His new book is “Comeback: Routing Trumpism, Reclaiming the Nationand Restoring Democracy's Edge.”

In this conversation, Fish explains that it was not racism nor sexism that doomed Harris’ political campaign (and by extension dealt a severe blow to American democracy) but instead a combination of failed messaging, virtue signaling and purity tests that pushed away potential voters from the metaphorical and literal big tent that the Democrats should have been creating.

Fish counsels that the Democrats and other pro-democracy Americans need to quickly get past the mourning stage and learned helplessness and other forms of inaction to shift towards an action phase of planning how best to protect and resuscitate American democracy from the assaults of Trump and his MAGA movement. To that end, Fish outlines how the Democratic Party needs to engage in a very critical self-assessment to recalibrate itself accordingly around a high-dominance and combative style of leadership and politics that directly confronts Trumpism and its allied forces.

This is the second part of a two-part conversation.

Considering the realpolitik — and what many people are likely thinking — do you believe that if the Democrats had nominated a white man instead of Kamala Harris, would they have had a better chance of victory?

Of course, there’s no shortage of racists and sexists and Trump’s campaign emboldened them. But in the bigger picture, the data show a steady decline in prejudice and intolerance. Furthermore, you can’t look at the numbers on Trump’s spectacular gains with Hispanics and milder but still appreciable gains with Blacks and Asian Americans and then blame Harris’s defeat on racism. Harris actually outperformed Biden among whites — both those with and without college degrees. If we’re look at voting by racial demographics, Trump won entirely on the strength of gains among nonwhites. And it’s hard to examine voting by gender and blame Harris’s performance on sexism since she lost more support among women than men compared to Biden in 2020. The gender gap was smaller this time than it was in 2020 and smaller still than it was in 2016. If Harris had done as well as Biden with women and Hispanics, she might be on her way to the White House.

Trump made a big play for young men, especially in the closing stages of the campaign. In our last conversation, you said she should blunt his offensive by going on Joe Rogan and other podcasts with large male audiences and the “manosphere” more broadly. Harris didn’t end up doing that and Rogan endorsed Trump. She seemed to cede that whole realm to Trump.

Absolutely and it’s time to have a more serious conversation about how the Democrats’ messaging lands with men. Let’s take abortion. Why were her supporters pro-choice, Harris asked in her stock speech? Because she roared, “We trust women!” Fair enough, but did the Democrats “trust” the other half of the electorate, too? Most men, like most women, are pro-choice. So instead of treating them as bystanders or even would-be adversaries on this issue, why not include them in the project by treating abortion as a freedom issue that was vital to all Americans? During the DNC, the Harris campaign seemed interested in shifting to a freedom frame that could appeal to all Americans. Unfortunately, that didn’t last and the Democrats ran the latter stages of their campaign as if girl power alone would win the day. They openly admitted as much. The results suggest that approach didn’t work, even with women.

Some leaders tried to make sure the Democrats aggressively included men. Pete Buttigieg pressed the point that men are also freer in a country where women have the right to choose. Walrus NYC, filmmaker Andrew Jarecki and Greencard Pictures teamed up to make engaging videos for social media that used comedy to get young men to appreciate the stake they have in policies on reproductive rights.

Ross Morales Rocketto, the guy who founded “White Dudes for Harris,” warned: “What we are really trying to do is engage a group of people that the left has ignored…There’s a silent majority of white men who aren’t MAGA Republicans." We haven’t done anything to try to capture those votes.

For voices like those, however, it was an uphill climb. In the closing weeks of the campaign and in her only major statement after the DNC, here’s how Michelle Obama addressed men: “Your rage does not exist in a vacuum. If we don’t get this election right, your wife, your daughter, your mother — we as women — will become collateral damage to your rage.” Now there’s a way to bring the guys around: Tell them that the reason they might hesitate to support Harris is their “rage.” Then let them know that you care more about their wives, daughters and mothers than they do and that you’re stepping in to shield them from all that rage.

I have other concerns as well. During Barack Obama’s presidency, he often argued that girls should not be expected to act a certain way, look a certain way and be a certain way. That’s of course true and a very important message. But I’ve also heard young men who wholeheartedly embrace gender equality and despise the likes of Andrew Tate say they think liberals are telling them that they should act in a certain way, look a certain way and be a certain way. These guys aren’t filled with rage. Instead, they’re filled with irritation at being told that embracing any traditional notions of masculinity and femininity marks them as insecure, infuriated misogynists. It’s also important to recognize that many women are also turned off by the “protection” from their men’s “rage” that well-heeled progressives like the Obamas claim to offer. Many such women also don’t appreciate being “educated” by progressive elites on the supposed benightedness of traditional gender identities and roles. If we’re to have a shot at the hearts and votes of these men and women, it’s important that we try to understand what so many of them hear in progressive messaging.

Men as protectors? That’s just patronizing. Chivalry? That’s dead and it’s a good thing it is. Guys who spend time at the gym bulking up? They must want to look like a fascist street thug and they fail to understand that modern women value sensitivity, not pecs. Men as primary breadwinners? They must just want to keep women down and out of the workplace. Women who want to stay at home with the kids while their men bring home the bacon? Well, isn’t that quaint. Arguing that athletes who were born male should not compete with women and girls? That’s just transphobia.

If we can’t make the “silent majority of white men who aren’t MAGA” and traditionally-minded non-MAGA women feel welcome and respected in the Democratic Party, we are not only blowing it politically, but we are dishonoring the liberal values we are fighting for.

Trump is filling out his Cabinet and other high-ranking positions. He is following the autocrat’s playbook by instituting personalist rule where loyalty to him is more important than loyalty to the Constitution, the rule of law, or the American people and the nation. How is this related to Trump's version of high-dominance leadership?

Trump’s appointments are definitely manifestations of his own warped version of high-dominance leadership. Responsible high-dominance leaders such as FDR, JFK and LBJ filled positions in their administrations with highly competent figures whose primary loyalty was to the Constitution and the country. Trump not only places personal loyalty first but demands adoration and self-abasement from his subordinates. Beyond that, however, Trump’s appointments are designed to force congressional Republicans to engage in groveling rituals. Trump’s choice of Matt Gaetz as attorney general is Exhibit A. Gaetz isn’t just utterly unqualified but also appears to be grossly morally compromised, which is why Democrats hate him. He is also despised by most Republicans on Capitol Hill for his single-minded devotion to turning the Republican-controlled House into an ungovernable, pitiable food fight for his own amusement and self-gratification. He’s also the subject of a House investigation into his use of illegal drugs and his sexual activities with underage girls.

Now consider what Trump is doing by nominating Gaetz. First, Trump has forced Speaker Mike Johnson either to defy him by releasing the findings of the House Ethics Committee’s investigation into Gaetz’s illegal behavior or to serve him (Trump) by blocking their release. Johnson has already passed Trump’s test: This paragon of pseudo-Christian prudery and self-righteousness is now suppressing a report on the sexual and drug offenses of Trump’s pick to be the country’s chief law enforcement officer. This episode shows beyond all doubt that Johnson’s moral posing is a joke and that his loyalty to Trump outweighs all else — precisely the spectacle Trump intended.

Now to the Senate Republicans, who must confirm Gaetz’s appointment. Gaetz has publicly derided more of them than I can count and the mainstays of their donor base must be alarmed at Gaetz’s nomination. The same corporate executives who are licking their chops at the prospects of a fat tax cut and environmental deregulation still rely on a rule-of-law state to ensure a smoothly functioning market system and they know that Gaetz wants to burn it all down. Now Trump is telling Republican senators: either stand up to the miscreant who has ridiculed you and endangers your own and the country’s vital interests or confirm him and show the world that you bow down to my every whim and lack even a shred of self-respect. If Trump wins this one, he will have the show of total congressional Republican self-abasement he seeks.

To borrow from Masha Gessen when an autocrat-authoritarian speaks, believe him. They are not kidding. In that vein, Trump is one of the most honest politicians in American history. He tells you what he thinks and is going to do. Why then, as I watch certain cable news networks and their guests, do they seem so shocked and surprised by what Trump has announced and is already putting in motion? Trump's plans are public. Where was the urgency earlier?

I agree with you on Trump and what matters most now is whether we effectively leverage his actions for political advantage. If we remain stuck in shocked-and-awed mode and critique Trump’s appointments strictly along progressive ideological lines, we will be taking Trump’s bait. Let’s return to the Gaetz appointment. Some of the focus in the liberal media has been on Gaetz’s praise of El Salvador’s President Nayib Bukele for his hard-edged approach to law enforcement. Horrified descriptions of mass incarceration and harsh prison conditions in El Salvador abound. What often gets less attention is that prior to Bukele’s presidency, El Salvador was effectively owned by gangs of narcoterrorists who brutalized and extorted the civilian population and generated the world’s highest murder rate. Bukele’s measures have drastically reduced homicide and other crime rates and enabled people to resume normal lives. His approval rating runs at 90 percent, making him the world’s most popular chief executive. If liberals want to leverage Gaetz’s appointment for political gain, they’ll stress his criminality and threat to law and order rather than attacking his endorsement of hard-on-crime tactics.

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On this score, there’s a broader point that we need to internalize as we brace ourselves to resist Trump’s attacks on the law. Voters in Oakland, one of the country’s most progressive cities, just voted by ridiculous margins to recall (that is expel from office) the mayor and the DA, who treated abiding crime as some kind of social justice imperative. Of course, liberals must always work to ensure that the rights of the accused are respected and that undocumented migrants are not subjected to inhumane treatment. But if Trump comes out as looking like the scourge of the lawless and we as their defenders, we might as well start preparing for a JD Vance presidency starting in 2029 — if not a Trump third term.

Let’s keep asking ourselves how we can take political advantage of Trump’s abominable appointments. If the Senate approves Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence, we will know for sure that the Republicans have become the party of treason. Unfortunately, the Democrats have never even begun to leverage Trump’s apparent and slavering loyalty to America’s greatest sworn enemy for political advantage. There have been exceptions, including Reps. Nancy Pelosi and Eric Swalwell, but for the most part the party seems to have been characteristically driven by inane issue polls — which, after all, show that “foreign policy” doesn’t top voters’ concerns. As Trump plots selling out Ukraine and undertaking a bevy of other measures that will please his Kremlin idol, now is the time to attack Trump’s appointment of Gabbard as what it is and to call Republicans who intend to confirm her as what they are. For the sake of eliminating the Republicans’ absurd edge in public perceptions of which party is more patriotic, not to mention guarding America’s armed forces, spies and nuclear secrets from betrayal, the Democrats have got to act.

If you were to build a Democrat or other pro-democracy candidate in a laboratory who could defeat Trump and the MAGA movement and his successors, what attributes would he or she have?

Above all, she or he would own the flag and be very confident and bold in how they present themselves and live. They would project sincerity and confidence in their beliefs and values. Everything grows from there. If you can’t even offer straight answers to straightforward questions — and Harris, as it turned out, refused to do so — many voters will perceive you as a poll-driven, craven, conniving politician who isn’t up to the job of protecting them and their interests. And most people also gravitate toward leaders who seem to love the country best and associate themselves with its exceptional attributes and boundless promise.

Democrats should also embrace charisma and search for a leader who’s got it. Liberals dislike personalism, preferring to place policies before personalities. To some extent, that’s healthy. But we’ve got to recognize that Obama had a lot more to do with Obama’s election and reelection than Obamacare did.

In fact, even liberals like having a main man or woman — most people naturally seek the person in charge. His or her personal appeal and mode of messaging has an enormous bearing on the morale of the party and shapes how the party and its causes are perceived by the electorate. That decidedly does not mean turning the party into a personality cult. That’s what the Republicans have done with Trump and what India’s Hindu-chauvinist BJP party has done with Narendra Modi. Nor does it mean that the leader has to be intolerant of differences within the party. FDR, JFK and Bill Clinton had enormous authority in the party and in America as a whole, but they didn’t seek to monopolize power and glory and their party wouldn’t have stood for it if they did. The same is true for Ukraine’s Volodymyr Zelensky, as it was for Margaret Thatcher in the UK in the 1980s and Jawaharlal Nehru in India during the 1940s-1960s.

What do you want to prepare the American people for in the upcoming months and then during Trump’s regime?

Let’s move, right away, from mourning Trump’s return to gearing up for the next election. To that end, we need to understand why the Democrats lost and that starts with putting aside all the bogus explanations for the debacle. It wasn’t “the economy, stupid!” The dunces who ran the party’s messaging on the economy were the problem. Nor did the Democrats abandon the working person in favor of greedy corporate interests. That’s what Trump did and will do again; Biden did just the opposite. Nor is the electorate raring to revive patriarchal domination and racial oligarchy. Americans have grown more, not less, tolerant over time and the raging bigots we see on social media are mostly a despised fringe. Structural conditions, cultural conditions, and our policy record don’t account for our failure; the Democrats’ amateurish messaging does. That means that everything that sabotaged us this time and has held us back for so long, we can fix.

To do so, we’ve got to adopt a new messaging strategy that reestablishes our reputations as strong leaders, fearless fighters, and hardcore patriots. It also means addressing people as individuals and as Americans, not as members of identity groups. How much more evidence do we need that women and people of color want to be treated like makers, not casualties, of the American story? Treating them like oppressed groups in need of rescue has bombed. Running our campaigns on the assumption that we can win with their votes alone has failed as well. Finally, for the sake of keeping our spirits up and landing punches against our political foes, let’s remember the power of humor and ridicule. Andy Borowitz’s post today, “Don’t Say Gaetz: Law Protects Florida’s Kids from Matt Gaetz,” is a great example of what I have in mind.

When I despair, I think of Ukrainian fighters down in the trenches, American soldiers mowed down on the beaches of Normandy, and Freedom Riders risking it all on back roads across the South — all fighting for freedom under conditions far more dire than what we face today. Defeating authoritarianism is the political combat task of our time, and we all owe our magnificent country everything we’ve got to put into the fight. We can do this, starting now. 

Could Ozempic be our next tool in fighting the overdose crisis? Surprising research suggests so

In September, Dr. Nora Volkow, head of the National Institute of Drug Abuse (NIDA), co-authored a study in the Journal of the American Medical Association showing that semaglutide (known by the brand names Ozempic and Wegovy) decreased overdose risk among people with Type 2 diabetes and opioid addiction. Last month, another study published in the journal Addiction illustrates similar findings: medications like Ozempic were associated with lower rates of opioid overdose among people with opioid use disorder and lower rates of alcohol use among people with alcohol use disorder. In other words, this preliminary data revealed that taking Ozempic could potentially prevent overdose deaths and decrease substance use.

For the past two years, there has been a buzz around the “wonderdrug” Ozempic — a medication in the class known as GLP-1 receptor agonists — from clickbait celebrity gossip websites to the front pages of leading medical journals. The ability of these medications to reduce weight, fight diabetes, even decrease the incidence of death from cardiovascular disease, has been well-studied.

But Ozempic’s effectiveness seems to be stretching beyond the realm of cardiometabolic disease and into the field of addiction medicine. Volkow’s study adds to a growing body of scientific and anecdotal evidence that GLP-1 medications can reduce cravings among people with substance use disorders, including alcohol, tobacco, opioids, cannabis and stimulants. In addition to increasing the release of insulin and slowing stomach emptying, GLP-1 analogs are thought to impact the brain’s reward circuits, leading to fewer cravings and decreased use.

As a resident physician in internal medicine and medical historian focused on addiction, I believe this data represents a tremendous breakthrough in the field of addiction treatment. It could also be the medication that brings the treatment of addiction — historically siloed from general medical practice — into mainstream medicine.

GLP-1 analogs are thought to impact the brain’s reward circuits, leading to fewer cravings and decreased use.

A handful of my primary care patients have made comments like what J. Paul Grayson, a patient taking Ozempic for obesity, reported to NPR last year: “Before Ozempic, I could consume a whole bottle of wine in an evening without trying real hard … But with Ozempic, even one beer didn’t feel good to me somehow.” Many patients simply don’t crave substances like they used to.

Fatal overdose, especially from fentanyl, continues to be the leading cause of death among people aged 18 to 45 in the U.S., surpassing deaths from suicide and car accidents. While much of the data on the link between Ozempic and decreased substance use warrants further investigation, health care providers should not wait for the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to approve these medications before prescribing them. If a patient has obesity or Type 2 diabetes and a substance use disorder, providers can and should start prescribing GLP-1 agonists “off-label” as a form of addiction treatment.

If a patient has a substance use disorder and another indication for a GLP-1 analog, providers — and patients themselves — should advocate for their use. As Dr. Kenneth Morford, an addiction medicine physician and assistant professor at Yale School of Medicine, told me, “If a patient qualifies for a medication like semaglutide and happens to have a substance use disorder with no contraindication to the medication, we have nothing to lose. Why don’t we try it?”


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Attaining FDA approval for GLP-1 analogs with the specific indication of treating alcohol use disorder, for example, will take years. The ongoing extreme shortages of medications like Ozempic may compound the delay even further. While a few randomized clinical trials have been completed, dozens more are only just starting to recruit participants with substance use disorders ranging from cocaine to opioids. Leaders at NIDA like Volkow — who has called this data “very, very exciting” — and the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (NIAAA) are allocating more funding to addiction researchers on this topic.

But in the meantime, young people are dying. Patients and health care providers are running out of time looking for potential answers.

Health care providers have been prescribing GLP-1 analogs for the treatment of Type 2 diabetes for the past decade. Due to increased demand for medications like Ozempic, providers in general practice settings have become increasingly familiar with how to prescribe these medications. Largely due to stigma and the failure to educate physicians, many primary care physicians view the treatment of addiction as outside their scope of practice.

Many medications used to treat addiction are extremely difficult to access. Methadone, one of the most effective medications for opioid addiction, can only be accessed through special clinics due to federal regulations borne out of President Richard Nixon’s War on Drugs. Buprenorphine (colloquially known by the brand name Suboxone) is more accessible than methadone and available in primary care settings. In 2023, buprenorphine became even easier to prescribe, yet primary care providers are still hesitant to begin prescribing it, likely due to fear and stigma.

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That’s just opioids. Even though 29 million people in the U.S. have an alcohol use disorder, less than nine percent of patients with alcohol use disorder are prescribed any medication. Stimulants like cocaine and methamphetamine pose an even larger problem. Experts are now characterizing stimulant-related overdose deaths as a “fourth wave” of our overdose crisis. There are few if any medications that have been shown to decrease stimulant use. Ozempic could be the first medication that meaningfully treats addiction to stimulants.

Ozempic presents a tremendous opportunity to get providers on board who might not otherwise be comfortable with prescribing medications for addiction. Unlike some of the other medications used to treat addiction, GLP-1 analogs are not controlled substances, which have potential for misuse and partially explain providers’ discomfort behind prescribing.

Our overdose crisis and lack of access to addiction treatment are urgent issues that endanger thousands of young, healthy individuals. The medical community’s discrimination against people who use drugs has crippled humane access to care in general medical settings. GLP-1 analogs have the potential to bridge this historic divide and treat multiple addictions at once. Health care providers must not wait for FDA-approval to prescribe GLP-1 analogs to patients who are currently eligible due to comorbid conditions. We must respond to our overdose epidemic in innovative ways, using all the tools at our disposal. This now includes GLP-1 analogs.

“Absolutely devastating”: Climate change is pushing coral reefs to extinction, experts warn

The Chagos Archipelago is one of the most remote places on Earth. Smack dab in the middle of the Indian Ocean, the collection of more than five dozen tiny islands are mostly uninhabited, due in no small part to the United States and United Kingdom expelling the Indigenous Chagossians in an ethnic cleansing from 1967 to 1973. For decades only a single atoll, Diego Garcia, has had any inhabitants. Yet as coral reef ecologist Alexandra Dempsey explored the atolls’ beautiful coral reefs in 2015, she nevertheless found signs of human pollution.

“While we were there, we witnessed the very first stages of a bleaching event,” Dempsey said, referring to when coral becomes dead and white due to stress. Dempsey recalled "the scale at which these 100-year-old corals were just stressed. They were paling. The cotton candy colors paling is definitely an indicator of an ecosystem that is extremely stressed.” 

Even the supposed “crown jewel of the reefs” looked bleached because of temperatures upwards of 80 and 90 degrees Fahrenheit. As CEO of the Khaled bin Sultan Living Oceans Foundation, Dempsey often thinks about how to protect coral reefs from human activity, yet is now presented with evidence that even the most remote locations cannot be entirely protected.

One big reason? Few things, if anything, will be unaffected by global heating.

“No matter how much protection and how much due diligence goes behind trying to keep humans and people away from the reefs, the effects of climate change are just absolutely devastating to these ecosystems,” Dempsey said.

Bleached Corals IndonesiaBleached Corals, Cenderawasih Bay, West Papua, Indonesia (Reinhard Dirscherl/ullstein bild via Getty Images)Similarly, if coral reefs go extinct, it won’t just be the diversity of the ocean that will suffer — many people will too. Approximately 3.3  billion people rely on aquatic foods for nutrition, which accounts for almost 20% of the average per capita consumption of animal protein. If the reefs collapse, so will some bigger fish stocks, like tuna and groupers.

Marine fisheries ecologist Khatija Alliji, from the Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, has personally seen humans tampering with coral reefs while exploring them, and from that observation points out that it is not merely our greenhouse gas emissions that harm coral reefs and underwater ecosystems.

"We are clearly challenging coral’s natural capacity for adaptation."

“Currently coral reefs face many threats, including (but not limited to) biodiversity loss, water quality, climate change, disease, predation, coastal development, litter, marine traffic and pollution,” Alliji explained. Because reefs are so complex, scientists still do not fully understand all the interlocking parts that make them work. Even the recent Red List assessment that found over two-fifths of coral reef species threatened with extinction added there are some species where data is so deficient that a risk category cannot be assigned.

“Advancements in coral taxonomy using DNA has led to the discovery of new species of coral and better taxonomic definition,” Alliji said. “But there is still lots to investigate and this is both exciting and terrifying given the many threats listed above.”

For all of the mysteries that remain about coral reefs, though, experts agree that climate change is an undisputed threat. Indeed, our planet is already in the middle of its fourth global coral bleaching event in 18 months largely due to climate change, which experts predict will worsen as we surpass 1.5º C of global temperature rise.


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“Locally, some reef regions surpassed 1.5º C in the last year, but it takes a global average over 20 years to calculate the threshold; it is highly likely temperature levels will exceed even 2º C globally before a turning point is reached,” David Obura, chair of the Intergovernmental Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services, told Salon. “Scientists recently shifted the estimated critical range for corals from 1.5º to 2º C warming to [between] 1º and 1.5º C warming. And as with many things with climate change and the Anthropocene, severe and compounding impacts are being observed earlier than predicted.”

"The ocean has no boundaries and therefore a collaborative approach is required to ensure coral survival and guarantee their future."

Aldo Croquer, a marine conservation program manager for the Central Caribbean in Nature Conservancy, said that coral reefs have weathered many cataclysmic events in Earth’s history, but they may not survive humanity.

“Corals have evolved facing great challenges and they have managed to survive, even to massive global extinctions,” Croquer said. “Their capacity to adapt to environmental change and to come back from disturbances is indisputable, at least at evolutionary time scales. However, the changes that we are seeing today occurred at the scales of decades. This is unprecedented. Thus, we are clearly challenging coral’s natural capacity for adaptation.”

To protect coral reefs from rising temperatures and other human activity, it is critical for local communities to work together with global authorities so they can salvage what they can.

“Climate change is a global issue and will need both local and global management and solutions to ensure we protect our natural ecosystems and resources,” Alliji said. “The ocean has no boundaries and therefore a collaborative approach is required to ensure coral survival and guarantee their future.”

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Obura added, “There is a localized commitment to enabling the sorts of changes that can reduce local pressures, which revolve around promoting circular economies, less destructive economic and development practices. To some extent the problem is these are pitched as ‘local’ problems for local authorities to act on, but often the broader national and international contexts don’t facilitate this by continually incentivising more growth, more resorts, more fishing, more goods and services, etc.”

Yet even if all of the necessary changes are made, scientists like Jason Spadaro from the Coral Reef Restoration Research Program in Florida's Mote Marine Laboratory still expect more depressing journeys like one he recently took to the Florida Keys.

“When I started my career back in 2006 or so, coral reefs in the Florida Keys in particular had about maybe a little better than 10% of their surface covered in live coral,” Spadaro said. “Today we've got somewhere less than 2%, as well as a fourfold decrease in the living tissue color cover of our coral reefs in the Keys. That's due almost entirely to things like climate change.”

“REPUBLICANS MUST KILL THIS BILL”: Trump orders GOP to snuff out press freedom bill

Donald Trump is asking Republicans in the Senate to squash a bill that would protect journalists from being forced to reveal their sources.

The Protect Reporters from Exploitative State Spying Act would make a current Department of Justice rule barring prosecutors from compelling the release of journalists' sources into federal law. The bill passed the Republican-controlled House of Representatives with unanimous support in January. Currently held up in the Senate, the bill came to Trump's attention after a segment on the act aired on "PBS NewsHour."

He shared that clip along with an all-caps order on Truth Social Wednesday.

"REPUBLICANS MUST KILL THIS BILL!" he wrote. 

Railing against the freedom of the press is nothing new for Trump. He spent a significant chunk of his time on the campaign trail, griping about perceived unfair coverage from media outlets and threatening the press.

 The president-elect filed a $10 billion lawsuit against CBS last month, taking issue with the way that the network edited portions of a "60 Minutes" interview with Kamala Harris. In the lead-up to that litigation, Trump called for the network's broadcast license to be revoked. 

"CBS should lose its license, and it should be bid out to the Highest Bidder, as should all other Broadcast Licenses, because they are just as corrupt as CBS – and maybe even WORSE!” he wrote on Truth Social in October. 

Elsewhere, he called journalists the "enemy of the people" and gleefully imagined someone shooting through the press area of his campaign rally to get to him. 

“All we really have over here is the fake news, right? And to get me, somebody would have to shoot through the fake news,” Trump said. “And I don’t mind that so much.”

“It’s a very difficult job”: Silver calls on Biden to resign

Pollster Nate Silver is calling on President Joe Biden to resign, saying that he should leave the "high-stakes" decisions of his final few months in office to Vice President Kamala Harris.

 The election modeler questioned Biden's fitness for office, given that the 82-year-old president was pressured to drop out of the most recent presidential election over concerns about his age.

"Is there any particular reason to assume Biden is competent to be president right now? It's a very difficult job," Silver shared on X. "It's a dangerous world. Extremely high-stakes decisions in Ukraine. He should resign and let Harris serve out the last 2 months."

Silver shared his prescription for the Biden administration alongside a screenshot of a story from the Washington Post that claimed the president spent a trip to Brazil to attend the G-20 summit ducking reporters. Biden gave a speech encouraging Democrats to "get back up" following his second-in-command's loss to Donald Trump but has refused to take questions from the press.

Biden's stock has taken a massive hit in the days since the election. Aides in Harris' camp and Democratic leaders have placed the blame for Harris' poor performance squarely at Biden's feet. Silver counts himself in that number, saying on his Substack that the president set Harris up to fail on election night.

By tapping Harris to take the lead on the border, Silver argued that Biden handed the vice president "Democrats' worst issue." The timing of his bowing out, coupled with a schedule tailored to keeping Biden off the debate stage, robbed Harris of one of her "best formats," according to Silver. 

That isn't to say the prognosticator is fully in the bag for Harris. Silver's final prediction of the Trump-Harris showdown called the election a toss-up, and that same post-mortem calling out Biden's bad deal for Harris said that the vice president ran a particularly bad campaign.

"People confuse their sympathy for Harris’s position for her having been a good candidate," he said.

Silver isn't all doom and gloom, though. He's predicting that Democrats will rebound in 2028.

 

8 revelations from “Cher: The Memoir, Part 1” from kissing Warren Beatty to her troubled childhood

Cher is a multi-hyphenate star and her brightness hasn't faded in her lengthy six-decade career.

The singer, actress and overall entertainer has led a life filled of rubbing shoulders with Hollywood figures from a young age. But before her fame, Cher, who was raised in Scranton, Pennsylvania did not have the glamorous life she has worked hard to maintain.

The recent inductee into the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame tells her life story in her own words. Released on Tuesday, Nov. 19, "Cher: The Memoir, Part 1" peels the layers back on one of entertainment's most fascinating talents. It also highlights the artist’s dynamic life and complicated relationship with her late ex-husband Sonny Bono. Eventually, it shaped Cher into the powerhouse woman she is.

Here are some of the most shocking and interesting revelations from "Cher: The Memoir Part One":

01
Cher may not have existed at all

Born to actress and singer Georgia Holt – who played small parts in shows like "I Love Lucy" – and Johnnie Sarkisian – who is described as a grifter and a heroin addict – Cher did not have an easy childhood. And she almost didn't have one either

 

After Holt became pregnant with Cher, only three months after her marriage to Sarkisian, her mother took her to get an abortion. The procedure would have been highly illegal and dangerous if Holt had followed through with it, but at the last minute, she refused.

 

Cher wrote, "It was her body, her life and her choice . . . [but] thank God she got off that table, though, or I wouldn’t be here to write these pages.”

 
02

Cher was left in an orphanage as an infant

 

Following Cher's birth, Holt struggled financially as a waitress at an all-night diner. The New York Times revealed that when Cher was an infant, out of desperation her mother abandoned her at a children's home in Scranton, Pennsylvania and skipped town. Holt paid the orphanage $4.50 a week for Cher's care.

 

It was a difficult period for Holt although she did visit weekly. She finally reclaimed her daughter from the orphanage as early as she could, around the time that Cher was able to walk. Cher said it wasn't until Holt passed that she cried when recalling this time in their lives. 

03

Cher grew up knowing Liza Minnelli and the children of Dean Martin

 

During her chaotic childhood, Cher rubbed shoulders with Hollywood royalty and their families. As a child, Cher hung out with the children of Dean Martin, who were friends with a neighbor family across the street from Cher's home. Cher describes how her friends took her over to see if that family's daughter, who was named Liza, was free to play. 

 

“We did as we were told, and when we sat on the front steps Liza spontaneously burst into song with ‘Somewhere Over the Rainbow.’ I remember thinking that was strange, as I’d never been around a kid who just burst into song like that, even though she was pretty darn good,” Cher wrote. “It was only later that I realized she was Liza Minnelli and that the woman on the stairs was [Liza Minelli's mother and star] Judy Garland . Now I realize she probably wasn’t drinking juice.”

04
Cher's first concert she attended was for Elvis Presley

Just like every other young girl in the '50s, Cher was obsessed with Elvis Presley. Watching Presley on "The Ed Sullivan Show" in 1956, Cher recalled, "I felt as if he was singing only to me. I wanted to jump right into the TV and be Elvis."

 

Several years later, Holt was able to get two tickets for them to see Presley perform at Pan-Pacific Auditorium in Los Angeles.

 

Cher wrote, "The stage was dark, but when the spotlights hit him, Elvis was there and he was magic. There was a roar from the crowd that was like nothing I had ever heard. An explosion of flashbulbs went off. I only wished I'd brought our little Kodak Brownie. Elvis was standing there in his famous gold suit, which was shimmering and changing color in the spotlights.

 

"It was the most exciting experience I'd ever had because I knew that I wanted to be on that stage in the spotlight one day too," she said.

05
At 15, Cher dated Warren Beatty

As a teenager, Cher borrowed her stepfather's car when a man in a sports car cut her off, almost causing her to collide with his vehicle. When she got out of her car to talk to the man, she realized it was actor Warren Beatty, who at that point was already known for his Broadway turn in "A Loss of Roses" and on TV for "The Many Loves of Dobie Gillis." She claimed he said she was “so drop-dead gorgeous” and then invited her to his home.

 

“He showed me inside, fixed us some cheese and crackers, then leaned in and kissed me,” Cher wrote. “The two of us went swimming, with me in Natalie Wood’s bathing suit, and we had a great time.”

 

Cher didn't get home until 4 a.m., getting in trouble for violating her curfew. But the next day when Beatty called her to ask him for dinner and a swim, she told him she was grounded. He talked to her mother, who Cher said "melted."

 

“Why didn’t you tell me you were with Warren Beatty?” her mother asked.

06
When Cher was 16 she met 27-year-old Sonny Bono in a coffee shop
 

Sonny and Cher met in a coffee shop, but at the time she lied about her age. After they became friends, Cher no longer wanted to live with her mother. So Bono offered her a place to live in exchange for cooking and cleaning.

 

“In my mind, I was thinking, Yeah, OK, this old line,” Cher wrote. “But I must have had a look on my face because he shook his head and laughed. ‘Don’t worry, I’ve got twin beds,’ he said. With a grin he added, ‘And honestly, I don’t find you particularly attractive.’”

 

They weren't officially married until 1969 but soon after they'd have a child and then starred in "The Sonny & Cher Show" together.

 

In her New York Times interview, Cher explained, “It wasn’t a #MeToo moment because I lied to him. I’m not forgiving him because there were some things he did that were ridiculous.”

 
07

Cher almost jumped off a balcony because of her failing marriage

 

Cher says that after their fame skyrocketed, Bono became controlling. By 1972, at just 26, she felt "trapped" in a "loveless marriage" and was almost driven to harm herself. 

 

She wrote in her memoir, she stepped onto her hotel balcony in Las Vegas and looked down. 

 

"I was dizzy with loneliness. I saw how easy it would be to step over the edge and simply disappear. For a few crazy minutes I couldn't imagine any other option. I did this five or six times," she said.

 

But thinking about her loved ones stopped Cher. She said, "Things like this could make people who look up to me feel that it’s a viable solution."

 

An empowered Cher realized: "I don't have to jump off. I can just leave him."

 

The couple separated following the incident and divorced in 1975. Cher said, “One day he came into the kitchen at my house and said, ‘Cher, I want to apologize. I realized that I hurt you in so many ways, and I was wrong.' That went a long way for me.”

 

However, in her interview with the Times, she also said that she wrestles with her perception of her ex-husband because she claims he stole from her and is still fighting to earn royalties for her work he owned.

 

She revealed, "He took all my money. I just thought, 'We’re husband and wife. Half the things are his, half the things are mine.' It didn’t occur to me that there was another way . . . To this day, I wish to God I could just ask, ‘Son, at what point, during what day, did you go, “Yeah, you know what? I’m going to take her money.”'”

08
Cher said she received a blessing to use her son Chaz Bono's deadname
 

The singer and actress left her readers a note, discussing Chaz Bono, her son with her late ex-husband. Chaz is transgender and announced his transition in 2009.

 

"In this memoir, I refer to my son Chaz as Chas, the name he went by during the years covered in this book," she said. "Chaz has granted his blessing for this usage. In the next volume, at the appropriate point, I will refer to my son as Chaz."

Republicans block release of report on Gaetz’s alleged sexual misconduct

Republicans on the House Ethics Committee successfully blocked the release of their report on Donald Trump's nominee for attorney general, Matt Gaetz.

The former Republican representative from Florida had been the subject of a years-long investigation by the committee, stemming from allegations of sexual misconduct and drug use. In a vote on Wednesday, the panel of three Republicans and three Democrats deadlocked along party lines, leaving the report unreleased.

The group's top Republican, Rep. Michael Guest of Mississippi, shared that there was "no agreement" on whether or not to release the report. 

Rep. Susan Wild of Pennsylvania spoke out on what happened at the meeting, telling the Associated Press that she didn't want “the American public" to think "that the committee had unanimity or consensus on this issue not to release the report.”

The report has been in limbo since Gaetz's rapid resignation following his nomination to lead the Department of Justice. Republican leaders have been pushing to squash the report, noting that Gaetz is no longer a member of the House and, therefore, not subject to the jurisdiction of the Ethics committee.

“I’m going to strongly request that the Ethics Committee not issue the report because that is not the way we do things in the House, and I think that would be a terrible precedent to set,” House Speaker Mike Johnson said last week.

Democrats have argued that their findings would be important to consider before any confirmation hearings on Gaetz's potential cabinet position.

“We cannot allow this valuable information from a bipartisan investigation to be hidden from the American people,” said Senate Judiciary Chair Dick Durbin, D-Ill.

What mandate? Trump’s popular vote lead is slimmest since Bush-Gore

Despite repeated claims from GOP corners that the United States gave Donald Trump a "mandate" on Election Day, the president-elect has still not secured a majority of the popular vote. 

According to the Cook Political Report, Trump has netted 76.8 million votes to Kamala Harris' 74.2 million votes. Trump's share of the ballots is good for 49.89% of the current tallied vote total. If the current margin of roughly 2.4 million votes holds, it will be the closest margin of victory since the contest between Al Gore and George W. Bush in 2000. 

Trump's current lead in the popular vote count is smaller than the one Hillary Clinton put up on him in 2016. Clinton gained 2.8 million more votes than Trump in her electoral loss. 

Harris lost both the Electoral College and popular vote outright, and that is unlikely to change as the vote tallies finalize. Still, the initial conception of the election as a landslide in favor of Trump does not appear to be accurate. That hasn't stopped Republican leaders from painting the victory as a clear sign that their agenda is overwhelmingly popular. 

House Speaker Mike Johnson has repeatedly brought up Trump's supposed "mandate" while pushing the president's controversial Cabinet nominees. While speaking to Jake Tapper on CNN this weekend, Johnson said that nominees like Matt Gaetz and Kristi Noem were merely a manifestation of the average American's desire for change.

"I think what the American people have believed and what they’ve delivered with the mandate in this election is a demand that we shake up the status quo. It’s not working for the American people," Johnson said when asked by Tapper if the GOP had lost its morals. "They will go into the agencies that they’re being asked to lead, and they will reform them. These agencies need reform."

“Harry Potter” series to benefit from J.K. Rowling, says HBO: Defends her right to free expression

With a "Harry Potter" show long in the works at HBO, it seems as though efforts are being made to protect the reimagining of J.K. Rowling's popular series of books from the backlash that trails behind her name — often targeted by critics, fans and even cast members of the films based on her books for what's been perceived as a long history of anti-trans statements.

In a feature published by Variety on Wednesday, they excerpt a statement made by a spokesperson for the network saying that while they will "remain focused on the development of the new series," Rowling, outside of her involvement with the show, has a right to her own beliefs. 

During a press event on Nov. 12, HBO chief Casey Bloys told reporters that Rowling was “very, very involved in the process selecting the writer and the director” for the upcoming series led by showrunner Francesca Gardiner and director Mark Mylod, both alums of “Succession,” furthering that her anti-trans reputation hasn't "affected the casting or hiring of writers or productions staff." 

In the previously mentioned statement made by a network spokesperson, they seem to co-sign this, adding that Rowling's contribution to the project has been "invaluable."

“We are proud to once again tell the story of Harry Potter — the heartwarming books that speak to power of friendship, resolve and acceptance,” the statement goes on to say. “J.K. Rowling has a right to express her personal views. We will remain focused on the development of the new series, which will only benefit from her involvement.” 

Mike Johnson responds to election of trans lawmaker by banning her from Capitol bathrooms

Speaker of the House Mike Johnson, R-La., said Wednesday that he is banning transgender individuals from accessing bathrooms on the House side of the Capitol complex that match their gender identity. The apparent decree appears to leapfrog a resolution proposed by Rep. Nancy Mace, R-S.C., that would prohibit House members from "using single-sex facilities other than those corresponding to their biological sex," accomplishing her stated goal with the stroke of a pen.

Mace and other Republicans have made no secret of the fact that these moves are directly targeted at Rep.-elect Sarah McBride, D-Del., a transgender woman. Asked if she was proposing the bill in response to her imminent entry into Congress, Mace said: "Yes, and absolutely. And then some."

In his announcement, Johnson said that "all single-sex facilities in the Capitol and House Office Buildings (like restrooms, changing rooms, and locker rooms) are reserved only for individuals of that biological sex. It's important to note that each Member office has its own private restroom, and unisex restrooms are available throughout the Capitol. Women deserve women's only spaces."

Later, he told reporters that the ban was "enforceable" per his authority as speaker.

McBride, for her part, declined to speak on the policy itself, waving it off as a" blatant attempt from far right-wing extremists to distract from the fact that they have no real solutions to what Americans are facing."

"We should be focused on bringing down the cost of housing, health care, and child care, not manufacturing culture wars," she said.

Liam Payne funeral reunites surviving One Direction members for first time in nearly a decade

More than a month after the tragic death of former One Direction star, Liam Payne, his family and friends were finally able to see him laid to rest at a funeral on Wednesday, in the English countryside northwest of London, marking the first time in nearly a decade that the singer's former bandmates Harry StylesZayn MalikNiall Horan and Louis Tomlinson joined together as a group.

CNN describes a service that included a horse-drawn carriage carrying Payne’s dark blue casket with silver fittings, adorned with two floral tributes draped on top, one reading “son” while the other read “daddy.” Among the attendees were Payne's ex, Girls Aloud singer Cheryl, with whom he shared 7-year-old son Bear Grey, as well as James Corden and One Direction co-creator Simon Cowell, according to People

As CNN details in their coverage of Payne's funeral, Styles was the first One Direction member to arrive and was the last of the band to leave after the service. 

Malik, who Radar reports decided to postpone his UK tour dates — which were due to start this week — so that he could attend the funeral, posted a final goodbye to his bandmate on Instagram, writing, "Liam, I have found myself talking out loud to you, hoping you can hear me, I can't help but think selfishly that there was so many more conversations for us to have in our lives. I never got to thank you for supporting me through some of the most difficult times in my life. When I was missing home as a 17-year-old kid you would always be there with a positive outlook and reassuring smile and let me know you were my friend and that I was loved."

FTX’s Gary Wang avoids prison after cooperating in crypto fraud case

Gary Wang, co-founder and chief technology officer of FTX, was sentenced to no time in prison on Wednesday, two years after the cryptocurrency firm collapsed and faced accusations of defrauding customers.

Wang testified over several days last year at the trial of FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried, who was convicted of fraud and conspiracy and sentenced to 25 years in prison. The firm misappropriated over $11 billion of funds that belonged to customers, investors and lenders, The Associated Press reported

A collapse in the crypto market exposed FTX's scheme that ran from 2017 to 2022. Prosecutors described it as one of the largest financial frauds in U.S. history. 

Wang, who pleaded guilty to conspiracy to commit wire fraud, wire fraud, conspiracy to commit commodities fraud and conspiracy to commit securities fraud, apologized Wednesday in court.

“I took the easy path, the cowardly path, instead of doing the right thing,” Wang said, per The Associated Press.

Prosecutors said he played a small role in the fraud and did not create the computer code that enabled it. They said he has continued to help recover money for FTX investors. 

Wang is the fifth former FTX executive to be handed a punishment for his role, CNBC reported. Bankman-Fried received the harshest sentence.

Alameda’s ex-CEO Caroline Ellison, who also testified against Bankman-Fried, was sentenced to two years in prison, per CNBC.

Ryan Salame, a former top lieutenant of Bankman-Fried, was sentenced to seven and a half years in prison in May.

 

 

 

Trump ally says the president-elect has begun a “hostile takeover” of Washington

President-elect Donald Trump has thrown out the rulebook for a peaceful transfer of power, instead undetaking a “hostile takeover” of the federal government, The Washington Post reported Wednesday. 

Having long promised to gut the federal workforce and even eliminate some departments, Trump has foregone many of the norms associated with peacefully taking office. For example, Trump hast yet to meet with the General Services Administration, which is in charge of transferring the control of federal agencies, The Post reported. His transition team also hasn't met with counterparts at any of the federal agencies in Washington.

Trump has also taken to nominating his Cabinet from Mar-a-Lago, insisting that his controversial picks not be subjected to FBI background checks. He has also excluded the State Department and its officials from his calls with foreign leaders.

Trump's unusual transition is rooted deep in his distrust of the current government, which he blames for leveling criminal charges against him, sources close to Trump’s transition team told The Post. 

Mike David, president of the Article III Project, a nonprofit group that has defended Trump against criminal charges, told The Post that the president-elect is right not to trust “the politicized and weaponized” agencies that “hobbled his presidency the first time.”

“It’s a hostile takeover on behalf of the American people," David said. 

As promised, Trump has tapped a number of loyalists without relevant experience to their corresponding positions, including Fox News host Pete Hegseth as secretary of defense, TV star Mehmet Oz as the head of Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services and WWE founder Linda McMahon to lead the Department of Education.

Eating less sugar would be great for the planet as well as our health

Sugar addiction is on the rise. Globally, sugar intake has quadrupled over the last 60 years, and it now makes up around 8% of all our calories.

This sounds like sugar's keeping us fed, but added sugars are actually empty calories – they are bereft of any nutrients like vitamins or fibers. The result is massive health costs, with sugars linked to obesity around the world. Some estimates suggest that half the global population could be obese by 2035.

A limited 20% reduction in sugar is estimated to save US$10.3 billion (£8.1 billion) of health costs in the US alone. Yet, sugar's impacts go far beyond just health and money.

There are also many environmental problems from growing the sugar, like habitat and biodiversity loss and water pollution from fertilizers and mills. But overall, sugar hasn't received a lot of attention from the scientific community despite being the largest cultivated crop by mass on the planet.

In a recent article, we evaluated sugar's environmental impacts and explored avenues for reducing sugar in the diet to recommended levels either through reducing production or using the saved sugar in environmentally beneficial ways.

By phasing out sugar, we could spare land that could be rewilded and stock up on carbon. This is especially important in biodiverse tropical regions where sugar production is concentrated such as Brazil and India. But a different, more politically palatable option might be redirecting sugar away from diets to other environmentally-beneficial uses such as bioplastics or biofuels.

Our study shows that the biggest opportunity is using sugar to feed microbes that make protein. Using saved sugar for this microbial protein could produce enough plant-based, protein-rich food products to regularly feed 521 million people. And if this replaced animal protein it could also have huge emission and water benefits.

We estimate that if this protein replaced chicken, it could reduce emissions by almost 250 million tons, and we'd see even bigger savings for replacing beef (for reference, the UK's national fossil fuel emissions are around 300 million tons). Given sugar has a far lower climate impact than meat, this makes a lot of sense.

Another alternative is to use the redirected sugar to produce bioplastics, which would replace around 20% of the total market for polyethelyne, one of the most common forms of plastic and used to produce anything from packaging to pipes. Or to produce biofuels, producing around 198 million barrels of ethanol for transportation.

Brazil already produces around 85% of the world's ethanol and they produce it from sugar, but instead of having to grow more sugar for ethanol we could redirect the sugar from diets instead. This estimation is based on a world where we reduce dietary sugar to the maximum in dietary recommendations (5% of daily calories). The benefits would be even larger if we reduced sugar consumption even further.

Supply chain challenges

This sounds like a big win-win: cut sugar to reduce obesity and help the environment. But these changes present a huge challenge in a sugar supply chain spanning more than 100 countries and the millions of people that depend on sugar's income.

National policies like sugar taxes are vital, but having international coordination is also important in such a sprawling supply chain. Sustainable agriculture is being discussed at the UN's climate summit, Cop29, in Azerbaijan this week. Sustainable sugar production should factor into these global talks given the many environmental problems and opportunities from changing the way we grow and consume sugar.

We also suggest that groups of countries could come together in sugar transition partnerships between producers and consumers that encourage a diversion of sugar away from peoples' diets to more beneficial uses. This could be coordinated by the World Health Organization which has called for a reduction in sugar consumption. Some of the money to fund these efforts could even come from part of the health savings in national budgets.

We can't hope to transition the way we produce and eat sugar overnight. But by exploring other uses of sugar, we can highlight what environmental benefits we are missing out on and help policymakers map a resource-efficient path forward to the industry while improving public health.


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Paul Behrens, British Academy Global Professor, Future of Food, Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford and Alon Shepon, Principal Investigator, Department of Environmental Studies, Tel Aviv University

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

“Alec Baldwin continues to increase my pain”: Halyna Hutchins’ mom boycotts “Rust” premiere

The family of Halyna Hutchins, the late "Rust" cinematographer, have skipped the premiere of "Rust" at the Camerimage Festival in Poland.

Hutchins died three years ago when she was accidentally shot during the production of the Alec Baldwin-led western movie in New Mexico. Since then, Hutchins' mother, Olga Solovey, has sued the production and Baldwin for the death of her daughter and opted out of the premiere for the now-controversial movie. 

In a statement issued by her attorney on Tuesday, Solovey said, “It was always my hope to meet my daughter in Poland to watch her work come alive on screen.

“Unfortunately, that was ripped away from me when Alec Baldwin discharged his gun and killed my daughter. Alec Baldwin continues to increase my pain with his refusal to apologize to me and his refusal to take responsibility for her death," she said. "Instead, he seeks to unjustly profit from his killing of my daughter. That is the reason why I refuse to attend the festival for the promotion of ‘Rust,’ especially now when there is still no justice for my daughter.”

Despite the pending lawsuits from the Hutchins family, the film has made its premiere while including a tribute to honor Hutchins' work and life, Variety reported. The closing credits of the film include the words "For Halyna." It's followed by a quote by Hutchins: "What can we do to make this better?”

In July, the legal case against Baldwin, who was on trial for manslaughter, was dismissed due to the prosecution's failure to turn over evidence to the defense. Following the trial's dismissal, Baldwin has appeared on "Saturday Night Live's" new season as President-elect Donald Trump's new Department of Health and Human Services appointee Robert F. Kennedy Jr. "Rust" armorer Hannah Gutierrez-Reed is the only person who was charged, convicted and is now serving an 18-month sentence for Hutchins' death. Gutierrez-Reed loaded a live bullet into Baldwin’s gun that killed Hutchins.

“Dream bigger”: Sheryl Lee Ralph is living proof of her “Abbott Elementary” character’s wisdom

Entertainment icon and ABC’s "Abbott Elementary" star Sheryl Lee Ralph has a unique opportunity to use her role as Mrs. Howard to both highlight the role education has played in her upbringing and shed a light on our nation's real MVPs, public school teachers.

“She's a lifelong learner,” Ralph said of her character Mrs. Howard during our conversation for "Salon Talks." “She represents so many teachers in my lifetime. My dad, a lifelong learner, an educator. My mom, an educator in fashion. My Auntie Carolyn, a Blue-Ribbon teacher turned principal. I'm surrounded by them. They've been a part of who I am.” 

On "Abbott," now in its fourth season, Ralph stars as Mrs. Barbara Howard in the mockumentary sitcom created by Quinta Brunson. She is a veteran kindergarten teacher who is sharp enough to train a new generation of educators, but also wise enough to know that she can learn from them as well.

I had plenty of teachers like Mrs. Howard during my formative years growing up in East Baltimore. I think of teachers like my 10th grade social studies teacher Mrs. Tarter. My friends and I had developed a reputation at the school for dismantling any form of classroom structure. Mrs. Tarter knew this and still welcomed us with open arms because she knew we were no match for her.

We came into her world of structure ready to play around and she instantly separated us and promised to remove those of us who wouldn’t comply. This went on for a week or so. Some of us, including me, were booted and came back, only to be booted again. We still had some play in us by the end of week two, which is when she broke out her master-veteran-teacher experience — what I'll call her inner Mrs. Howard.

“Mr. Watkins, don’t leave,” Mrs. Tarter said, separating me from my rambunctious friend group who continued down the hall, “You know the work. You are smart, you are a leader. I can’t say the same for the company you keep. I don’t understand why you are risking your future on meaningless jokes, but hey, it’s your life.” She didn’t scold me, belittle me or force me to pick sides. Mrs. Tarter simply spotted my insecurity, my need to fit in, and asked if it was worth it. It wasn’t, so I listened to her, got serious about my work and have been carving out my own path, my own way, ever since.

Ralph understands the long-held importance of teachers like Mrs. Tarter and their ability to inspire. "She's always existed in our community, in our life, in our church." Ralph said. "It used to be, 'What were Black people going to do in order to get ahead?' You were going to either really push the limits and become a doctor, you were really going to push the limits and become a lawyer, or you were going to push the limits to become an educator. That was the way into their excellence."

Ralph found her way into excellence through theater, where she earned a Tony nomination for best actress in a musical for her role as Deena Jones in the original "Dreamgirls" on Broadway and as Madame Morrible in "Wicked." She has also won an Emmy for her work on "Abbott" and was key to the show winning a Peabody Award.

Watch my "Salon Talks" episode with Sheryl Lee Ralph here or read a Q&A of our conversation below to hear more about her love for producing and classic movies, her best parenting tip and what's next on "Abbott Elementary."

The following conversation has been lightly edited for clarity and length.

Everyone's excited about the fourth season of “Abbott Elementary.” With all of the show’s success, are you used to the praise now or does it still feel fresh?

It's always fresh for me. People don't have to praise you. People don't have to give you accolades. When we continue to get it, it is because we continue to give our audience the best that we have. Our writers are outstanding, our producers are outstanding. Our creator of the show, Quinta Brunson, outstanding. The cast of people put together, outstanding. We are what excellence looks like.

What have you pulled from your personal life to add to the character of Ms. Howard?

I love Mrs. Howard. Mrs. Howard is one of those characters, she's going to push you. She expects great things from you, even in kindergarten and I love that about her. She also continues to expect good things from herself. She's always learning, and I love those episodes when she steps back, looks at where she is and tells you what it is she's learned. I love that. She's a lifelong learner. She represents so many teachers in my lifetime. My dad, a lifelong learner, an educator. My mom, an educator in fashion. My Auntie Carolyn, a Blue Ribbon teacher turned principal. I'm surrounded by them. They've been a part of who I am.

Do you think a character like Ms. Howard could exist in Hollywood 20 or 30 years ago?

She's always existed in our community, in our life, in our church. It used to be, what were Black people going to do in order to get ahead? You were going to either really push the limits and become a doctor, you were really going to push the limits and become a lawyer, or you were going to push the limits to become an educator. That was the way into their excellence. So could she exist? She has existed.

I remember there was an old film with Harry Belafonte and Dorothy Dandridge called “Bright Road” about young Black educators. I remember when I was younger, much younger, there was a series called “Room 222” about Black educators, and then there was “Welcome Back, Kotter.” There have always been educators with a difference and of color, but none like Barbara Howard.

She's the best. I've had real Mrs. Howards in my life, that's how we make it. That's why I'm here.

With her believing in you, with her telling you, "Don't give up on your dream. In fact, your dream is too small. Dream bigger!" Yeah, that's Barbara Howard.

"I have very eclectic taste, so sometimes people say, 'You really like that?' And I'm like, 'Yeah, I really like that. And if you pay attention, you might like it too.'"

I love the fact also that Barbara Howard is hanging in there. We're now in a time where they're asking teachers to stay longer, to consider “rewirement” instead of retirement, so that they can continue to be there to create the excellence that is needed for younger teachers to come behind them. And to be able to have that sort of stamina and desire to do that, I love that about her as well.

Have you pulled from your experiences being a parent to play Ms. Howard?

I think my children would always say that I'm also a teacher. I always have a word. I didn't like to give my children punishment. I didn't want to assign them punishment. The question was, "If you were me, what would you do? What punishment would you think is correct?" The first time I did that, I realized something. Usually the punishment they would give themselves was much worse than I would give them. 

Do you hear a lot of feedback and love from teachers when you're out in the world? What kinds of stories do they come to you with?

Oh God, yes. First of all, they're always so surprised that our scripts are so right on their experiences. When I tell you our writers are great, our writers are really great. They're very creative, they're very knowledgeable. I wish we had one in the room that was just a little bit older, but the ones that we have are great, and they just don't let you down. Teachers are always amazed about, "How are they able to do that?" Because they know. They do their research, and I like that about them.

Earlier this year, I interviewed your co-star, Lisa Ann Walter, and she told me how you guys bonded over classic films.

Oh, I love TCM, Turner Classic Movies. I could watch old movies all day long, starting with "Perry Mason." That's old TV, but there's something about it that I just love. I think it's the simplicity of the stories sometimes. Some of them aren't good, but that's fine. They don't all have to be great. 

I also learn a lot about society in different time [periods]. Do you watch movies in the '30s? My God, they were awful to women. They used to just slap women, and then women would just get up and say, "I love you." Or they would say "No," and these men would grab them up. I was like, "What kind of world is this?" Or they would just tell them to shut up and I'm like, "Oh, this is terrible."

You would see movies with Bette Davis in them, and just because she wore a red gown, she was, "Oh, a scarlet woman, a red gown." And then she had to sacrifice herself to scarlet fever because she wore the red gown. I was like, "What in the world?" 

There's another movie with Harry Belafonte once again [“The World, The Flesh, and the Devil”], and it was about the last people on Earth: Harry Belafonte, a white woman, and a white man, and it's all about, "Well, who's going to get the girl?" I was like, "What the hell?" It's just very interesting.

"I'll never forget the day I was too tall, too short, too Black and not Black enough, all in one day."

But then there's another one, I don't remember it [“The Enchanted Cottage”], but it's very simple. [A couple] had been through something terrible and he was scarred, and she was just not pretty. Something happens to him where he looks at her, somehow she becomes beautiful, and his scars are gone. When they're in their world, they become more beautiful, but when they step outside of that world, the world wants to tell them how unattractive they are, until one day they decide, "We are beautiful." And I'm like, "I love that. That's a story right there."

I have very eclectic taste, so sometimes people say, "You really like that?" And I'm like, "Yeah, I really like that. And if you pay attention, you might like it too."

The cast of “Abbott Elementary” is so in sync. You guys look like an authentic family. What is set life like?

Set life for us is so good that when other people come to visit us on set, other guest stars, they're always like, "Wow, you all are happy." [Laughter.] They're like, "Wow, I really could stay here." I've been on other shows where you have to fake the funk, fake the family of it. This way, we don't have to fake it. We just come in and we know sometimes, "OK, stay away from them. They're not feeling so good today," and that's what you do. You just stay away. Then, when folks come back around, you all lean back into it again. We have great timing, we have great symbiosis, and it all works.

When you won your Emmy, your speech was captivating. What challenges have you faced throughout your career that drove you to that moment of delivering so much power to so many people?

I'll never forget the day I was too tall, too short, too Black and not Black enough, all in one day. All in one day. Then another time I was doing a film with the great Robert de Niro. He looked at me and he said, "You're a damn good actress, but you better climb that mountain and wave the red flag, because Hollywood is not looking for the Black girl." It's an awful lot to take. In my very first film, Sidney Poitier gave me this black box with everything that I would need in it to do my own hair and makeup. He said, "You need this because when you leave here, you won't have the same support, and you're going to have to learn how to be able to take care of yourself. And by the way, I expect great things from you." I think about things like that and carrying on. Those are just a few things, there've been so many more, but they've been obstacles that I've been able to get over.

How do younger actors respond to these stories? Are they shocked?

Sometimes they're very shocked, but sometimes I feel like – what does Kamala Harris' mother say? "Do you think you just dropped out of a coconut tree?" No. There was no road here before, the road had to be built. It wasn't always wonderful or a smooth highway. Sometimes it was just a dirt road, and people had to bust rocks for it to become the freeway that you're walking and driving on now.

Throughout your career, you’ve used your platform to champion so many causes, HIV and AIDS, and you’ve spoken out about your love for Jamaica.

It's the land of my mother's birth. I love it. I just love it. Beautiful food, beautiful music, beautiful vibes. I think if America is a dream country, we have dreams around capitalism. Jamaica has dreams around good living. If you're starving in Jamaica, you can walk anywhere throughout the island and somebody might give you a mango. Or you could climb a tree and pick it and eat some food. I love that.

With my work around HIV and AIDS, a lot of young people have no idea what a crime it was and a shame it was for people to say they had AIDS. This was before the whole HIV of it all. It was horrible, what it was like to be in this city and try and come out as yourself. People would beat you down. Are you kidding me? I've seen men bleed in the snow around people's hatred. So that was just something that had to be done.

Do you feel like now there's a bigger demand for your voice to speak out on these issues? How do you choose which issues to give your voice and your platform to?

I can only be authentic to what's good for me. I can only be authentic to what's real for me. I can only speak truth to power about what I know about.

It's a difficult time, too. I get to spend a lot of time in schools and colleges and talking to young people who are new voters and so many of them are just growing up jaded with the system.

I want to remind them once again, there was life before you. There was a whole generation of young people your age, teenagers, younger than teenagers, who knew their generation was not going to have the right to vote. They organized and they strategized when they saw kids being blown apart by bombs

"When it comes to producing, I love the ability to put all the pieces together, to be able to pick the great talent, to see where they can go."

for simply going to church. Kids organized when they saw strange fruit, people swinging from trees for daring to say, "I want to read. I want a good education. I want to vote." Kids made the decision to support their parents and their grandparents to march on Washington for the right to vote. So you are going to tell me now that you are at the precipice of having that right being taken away from you and you're going to tell me, "I can't get up off the couch."

Dammit. Then I blame myself for not teaching you that you deserve better. I blame me. I blame the whole generation because obviously, you don't know any better. And that is a crime. That is a shame. Just open your eyes up and see what is happening around you. 

You know what else I can't stand? I can't stand when people start talking about how much they don't like immigrants and we need to shut the border. Have you [Donald Trump] not been married to two immigrants? You married immigrant after immigrant after immigrant, but now you want to tell us, "We need to shut the border." Okay, which border? The one with the white people to the north or the one with the darker people to the south?

You were an executive producer on your recent film ”The Fabulous Four.” Do you want this phase of your career to include more producing?

I love producing. People ask me about directing all the time. I love directing theater. I love directing the stage. I love working with kids in TV, not so much adults. But when it comes to producing, I love the ability to put all the pieces together, to be able to pick the great talent, to see where they can go. I love that.

What's next for you?

More. So much more, and I am thrilled and excited by it all. I think about my future and I'm like, "Thank you, God and Goddess."

Should you make major purchases before Trump’s tariffs?

Before Donald Trump became president, tariffs were a topic largely confined to history books. But as Trump prepares to reenter the White House with a proposal to significantly expand tariffs, they seem to be on everyone's mind.

Several retailers affected by the tariffs Trump enacted in his first term have said they would likely raise prices on products if they are expanded in his second. On Tuesday, Walmart became the latest to address the potential effect of tariffs, which Trump has suggested could be 10% to 20% across the board and at least 60% on imports from China.

The impetus behind tariffs is often to level the economic playing field, such as to avoid letting China subsidize production to create monopolies, said Usha Haley, professor of international business at Wichita State University. But tariffs aren't necessarily a cure-all. 

"The problem with these kinds of policy measures is that all problems don't have solutions, but we know for sure that all solutions lead to more problems. So this solution will lead to more problems," said Haley.

In short, tariffs will likely lead to price increases, though by how much remains unclear, she added.

In a study released earlier this month, the National Retail Federation said prices on products that rely heavily on imports, such as electronics, toys, clothing, furniture, household appliances and travel goods, would likely increase. Trump allies, including Howard Lutnick, a Wall Street executive he tapped for commerce secretary, have acknowledged that tariffs could cause short-term pain for consumers but will be worth the eventual gains for U.S. manufacturers.

There could be exemptions to tariffs, such as those granted to Apple during Trump's first term. So, you might not need to rush to buy a new iPhone, but if you are planning a major purchase anyway you may want to take advantage of the certainty of current pricing.

"If you’re moving up the timeline of a purchase and there is no downside, it might make sense to buy now. If there is a downside, like getting an outgoing model instead of a new model, or if you might be making a rushed and hasty buying decision, it might make sense to wait. We simply don't know enough about what is going to happen," said Jacob Rheuban, founder and owner of Prevelo Bikes, a U.S.-based company that has navigated tariffs on the bicycles it imports.

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Understanding the impact of tariffs

To get a better sense of how tariffs can affect spending choices, it's important to understand how tariffs work. 

Tariffs are not directly paid by other countries — these are taxes on imports that must be paid by the importer. While it's possible that an exporter in a foreign country compensates the importer for these taxes — such as via rebates or lower prices — there's no requirement to do so. In practicality, many importers incur these costs themselves and then pass some of these costs onto consumers so that these businesses can maintain healthy profit margins.

While some tariffs have been in existence long before Trump's presidency, the U.S. enacted new tariffs during his first administration, such as the Section 301 tariffs that added taxes on certain imported goods from China. The exact impact of these tariffs is hard to discern, considering that the full effects can take years to settle in and the inflationary impact of the pandemic makes it difficult to draw straight lines. Still, several studies show that the first Trump tariffs — many of which President Joe Biden kept in place and in some cases expanded — raised prices and hurt the economy. 

If implemented at the higher end, the tariffs now proposed by Trump would cost the average U.S. household over $2,600 per year, according to the Peterson Institute for International Economics. They are also expected to negatively affect the overall U.S. economy, according to a meta-analysis by the nonprofit Tax Foundation

Already, several companies, such as Stanley Black & Decker and AutoZone, noted on earnings calls they would raise prices if faced with tariffs.

In some cases, though, companies will be able to absorb tariffs or higher production costs if shifting manufacturing locations. But much depends on how much profit margin they have, especially if high tariffs are implemented on all imported goods, not just ones from China.

For example, Prevelo Bikes moved production to Taiwan due to the initial Trump tariffs in 2019, which increased their costs but by less than if they continued to import from China. If there are new tariffs on all imports during the next Trump administration, that could increase costs for Prevelo Bikes further, said Rheuban.

"The reality is that it's likely that some of the cost of a new tariff will make its way into our retail prices"

"I think most businesses, including ours, want to do everything we can to insulate customers from the cost of the tariff. Perhaps some businesses have surplus operating margin to use to absorb that cost, but we don't. So our primary tool for freeing up funds to cover the costs of tariffs is to cut other costs," he said. "But the reality is that it's likely that some of the cost of a new tariff will make its way into our retail prices. And the higher the tariffs, the less we will be able to absorb through cost cutting."

Anticipating the scope of tariffs

While there's a lot of anticipation around what the impact of tariffs will be, some experts think the actual implementation of tariffs will be narrower than the broad-based ones Trump suggested on the campaign trail. 

"I would expect them to be surgical in nature," says Brandon Daniels, CEO at Exiger, a risk and compliance firm specializing in areas such as supply chains. 

In his conversations with past and potential incoming Trump administration officials, Daniels said they are trying to determine how to implement tariffs in a way that enables the U.S. to fight inflation while "taking away an imbalance or what is a perceived economic coercion by China."

It's possible that tariffs end up having a more limited scope than what's been suggested

As such, it's possible that tariffs end up having a more limited scope than what's been suggested. The percentages might sound high but only apply to certain aspects of production, for example, thereby limiting the net impact, said Daniels.

The end result could also be that specific companies or categories are affected, but not necessarily to the detriment of most U.S. consumers. Instead, tariffs could mainly affect "very discount brands that are utilizing or have the benefit of economic coercion," said Daniels. 

Those brands will either have to absorb tariffs or raise costs and quality to compete with mainstream brands, he said. Consumers might also have to readjust in terms of accepting that artificially low prices won't be viable for some products. Meanwhile, there could be some benefit such as in terms of improving national security by shifting production locations; and if some manufacturing moves to the U.S., automation could offset what would otherwise be higher labor costs, said Daniels.

The verdict

Much remains to be seen in terms of what tariffs will be implemented and how these will affect inflation, corporate profits, the labor market and other factors. Until that becomes clearer, individuals should be cautious about making rash purchasing decisions. Even if you pay 10% more for an item next year, for example, it could be better rather than buying something now that you end up not really needing. 

From a personal finance perspective, consider being mindful of what's happening with tariffs and be prepared to change consumption if prices start to rise, without getting too ahead of yourself in terms of anticipatory overspending.