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The true COVID-19 death toll may be 12 million higher than official numbers state: study

Last week, a consortium of health researchers published a harrowing report that reframed the magnitude of loss during the COVID-19 pandemic: an estimated 18.2 million people have lost their lives during the pandemic, they estimate, which is three times the official global death toll of 5.9 million COVID-19 deaths.

Researchers landed on the higher number, which was published in an analysis in The Lancet, based on their calculation of the number of “excess deaths.” The term excess deaths refers to deaths that were above what would be expected on average over a given time, meaning that they were either caused directly or indirectly by the pandemic. The researchers looked at the difference between the number of deaths recorded from January 1, 2020, until December 31, 2021, and the number of expected deaths based on previous trends.

This report is the first estimate of global excess deaths to be published in a peer-reviewed journal.

“Our estimates of COVID-19 excess mortality suggest the mortality impact from the COVID-19 pandemic has been more devastating than the situation documented by official statistics,” the authors wrote. “Official statistics on reported COVID-19 deaths provide only a partial picture of the true burden of mortality.”

RELATED: Omicron (part two) may be coming

According to the report, the gap between excess mortality and COVID-19 deaths was much larger in south Asia and sub-Saharan Africa than in other regions. The researchers are calling on the scientific community to “highlight the importance of the use of COVID-19-related excess mortality estimates in policy and in monitoring and evaluation efforts.”

In an interview with Salon, Haidong Wang, an associate professor of health metrics sciences at the University of Washington and co-author of the report, argued that reporting COVID-19 deaths — as in deaths by the virus — aren’t an accurate metric to measure the true impact of the human mortality during the pandemic. Wang also noted that even the 5.9 million “official” number is likely lower than the real total deaths by COVID-19, since many countries lacked accurate reporting.

“So there was a lack of testing, and some people who died from COVID-19 were not reported as COVID-19,” Wang said. “And then there was the impact of pandemic healthcare access — so people who died during the pandemic not directly from COVID-19, but [who] wouldn’t have died over the last two years.”

Indeed, Wang said, more research is needed to separate deaths caused directly by COVID-19 from those that were indirectly caused by COVID-19.

Dr. Monica Gandhi, infectious disease doctor and professor of medicine at the University of California, San Francisco — who was not involved in the study — described the results as part of a “reckoning” that’s been happening nearly two years since the pandemic started.


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“The majority of the world is likely underestimated,” Gandhi said, adding that in Alameda County in the California Bay Area, deaths by COVID-19 were overestimated, which could indicate that in more developed countries counts could be overestimated. Gandhi agreed that it is important to look at excess deaths, especially since a lack of healthcare during pandemic peaks likely caused people to unnecessarily die, but noted that it is important to separate these deaths from deaths caused by COVID-19 directly.

“I think they should be divided into COVID deaths and then COVID-pandemic response deaths, that are related to COVID — but the problem is that if we historically look back and say 18 million, that will look like the infection-fatality ratio of the actual infection was higher than it was,” Gandhi said. The infection-fatality ratio means a rate describing the number of infections proportional to the number of deaths. Gandhi said COVID-19’s death to fatality ratio was “high enough,” but was not nearly as high as the influenza of 1918, which the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimates killed one in ten of those it infected.

“The IFR [infection fatality rate] was so much higher, especially if you think about the world’s population at the time,” Gandhi said of the 1918 pandemic.

But aside from lack of healthcare access and COVID-19, what exactly were people dying from that could factor into overall excess mortality rates?

Wang said that is a question for future researchers to answer. However, Wang told Salon he hopes this report encourages public health experts to factor in excess deaths to “more accurately assess the impact of the pandemic.”

The CDC reports that there have been more than 1 million excess deaths in the U.S. due to the pandemic; 964,000 Americans died from confirmed Covid, but deaths from hypertension, heart disease and Alzheimer’s disease were above the expected number. The number of drug overdoses has also significantly increased during the pandemic.

“I think it’s important that we have a better registration system that can provide us with more data in a more timely fashion,” Wang said. “And that’s a really important lesson to learn from this.”

Read more about COVID-19:

Joe Manchin offers absurd rationale for opposing electric vehicles

U.S. Sen. Joe Manchin came under fire Monday after his recent remarks about government support for electric vehicles made the rounds on social media and suggested that the West Virginia Democrat — known for sabotaging his own party’s agenda — either doesn’t understand how EVs work or believes he can get away with misleading comments about them.

“Washington Post” columnist Catherine Rampell noted in a tweet that Manchin told an energy conference in Texas on Friday that “I’m very reluctant to go down the path of electric vehicles… I’m old enough to remember standing in line in 1974 trying to buy gas — I remember those days. I don’t want to have to be standing in line waiting for a battery for my vehicle, because we’re now dependent on a foreign supply chain — mostly China.”

While the final version of the infrastructure bill that Manchin championed and President Joe Biden signed last year included $7.5 billion to boost EV ownership and charging capacity nationwide, the senator also criticized Democrats’ efforts to increase that investment to $85 billion, saying that he has “a hard time understanding” the use of public money for such efforts.

Some critics suggested Manchin truly doesn’t get how electric vehicles work. While there is a variety of EVs, from conventional and plug-in hybrids to fuel cell cars to battery electric vehicles, BEVs are powered by batteries that are built into the cars and recharged with grid electricity.

“This is Manchin telling us he’s ignorant without telling us he’s ignorant OR he’s gaslighting,” tweeted Paul Cicchini, the public information officer for the Illinois Department of Labor.

Tech reporter Sam Biddle said that “this is clearly disingenuous on his part but it seems possible that Manchin thinks electric cars take like, a bunch of disposable D batteries,” similar to a handheld gaming console.

University of Denver political scientist Seth Masket compared Manchin’s remarks to former President Donald Trump’s 2019 rant against wind power. As Masket put it: “The difference between this argument and Trump’s claims that windmills kill birds is that windmills have likely killed a few birds.”

Others took the statements as Manchin — who’s faced criticism for having contact with an ExxonMobil lobbyist and profiting from the coal industry — standing up for fossil fuels.

“Did he get these talking points directly from the oil lobby?” asked Tim Fullerton, a WeWork vice president who served as a digital strategist in the Obama administration.

Sawyer Hackett, co-host of the “Our America” podcast with former presidential candidate and Obama administration official Julián Castro, put the senator’s comments in the context of Big Oil cashing in on current global conditions.

“Gas prices are at a record high RIGHT NOW because we’re dependent on oil companies that gouge us at the first sign of inflation or a minor loss in supply,” he said. “Manchin sounds like a spokesperson for Big Oil.”

Ryan Cooper, managing editor of “The American Prospect,” highlighted Manchin’s track record of killing the Biden administration’s legislative goals—most notably, the House-approved Build Back Better Act that was designed to deliver on some of the president’s climate pledges.

“Manchin has more power than all but like 10 people on Earth,” Cooper said, “and he’s using it to kill the Biden agenda with incoherent, constantly changing excuses.”

In HBO’s enraging “Phoenix Rising,” Evan Rachel Wood shows how her abuse was painted as rock romance

HBO’s “Phoenix Rising” holds a plethora of enraging, nauseating details about Marilyn Manson’s violent dark side. Few are as sobering as those when Evan Rachel Wood reminds us of how their abusive relationship – and, by extension, her reputation – were commodified into tabloid fodder.

In the two-part documentary’s second episode, Wood recalls that her relationship with Manson went public in early 2007 via an Us Weekly story titled “Evan Rachel Wood’s Bizarre Love Scandal.”

At this point Manson was one of the biggest rock stars around and married to pin-up and burlesque icon Dita Von Teese. Wood’s acting career had only begun to catch fire via a string of “troubled teen” roles. Although she’d been designated one of Hollywood’s “It” girls, the power differential was plain for anyone to see. But as the article demonstrated, nobody had an eye on such things. Instead, the magazine’s angle positions Wood as part of a “crazy love triangle” pitting her against Dita.

In a tiny blurb in the corner, she points out, the reporters mention Manson’s terrible temper, his “increasing use of drugs and alcohol,” and the fact that he would throw and break things. But, she says, that’s not what the article was about.

Its larger point, along with the barrage of headlines that followed, was to trashing an up-and-coming starlet as a homewrecker. Manson’s sexually explicit video for “Heart-Shaped Glasses,” in which she stars, only boosted that engine.

By this point in “Phoenix Rising” Wood and her family have described how traumatic that experience was, which makes reading the horrified headlines especially shameful. Recently Wood alleged that Manson raped her while the cameras were rolling on the music video. Back then, gossip aggressor Perez Hilton merrily branded her “Evan Rachel Whore,” scrawling “yuck” and “ho” over her photograph.

While all this was happening, Wood was being gaslit, brainwashed, verbally assaulted and isolated, she says. Manson’s mental and physical torments quickly escalated afterward.

She was also only 19 years old. Manson was 37.

RELATED: Manson’s troubling suit against Wood

And while the public regarded Wood and Manson as a tumultuous on-again-off-again couple who were involved until 2011, the experience she recounts in “Phoenix Rising” is that of a cult’s captive and domestic abuse survivor. What onlookers salaciously viewed a break-up she describes as a final escape. The sickening part is that her living nightmare was packaged as entertainment news and celebrity gossip.

This is something of a grand tradition in the American entertainment industry, certainly when it comes to rock stars. In the same way that Tina Turner spent years dealing with reporters pestering her to relive her physical abuse to give them fresh quotes, Wood and Manson were treated like a dirty titillation.

Now Wood stars in “Westworld,” a role she took on after a recurring part in “True Blood” gave her career a second wind. Her life and stardom are entirely in her control. Regardless of this, as we see in “Phoenix Rising,” she has real reasons to be deathly afraid that Manson and his fans will harm her, her fellow accusers and her collaborator and fellow activist Illma Gore. His faithful have bombarded her with death threats. Other survivors, some of whom appear in the documentary, report being watched.

So when she begins her telling with, “I’m here to talk about Brian Warner . . . also known to the world as Marilyn Manson,” this should be taken as a risky leap into what could become a very bloody battle.

(Manson, through his attorney, insists that Wood’s claims and those of his other accusers are false. He recently filed a defamation suit against Wood and Gore in Los Angeles County Superior Court, ahead of their documentary’s HBO debut.)

Some may be tempted to lump in “Phoenix Rising” with the many recent documentaries about exploitative institutions and famous people accused of rape and sexual misconduct, falsely believing Wood’s account to be another version of the same story.

This is only true in the most general sense, in that each predator employs their fame and power to gain their victim’s trust.  However, “Phoenix Rising” also proves how each of these documentaries provides new information about the ways that rape culture, and our acceptance of it, proliferates in society and our collective mindset.

Wood publicly named Manson on February 1, 2021 via an Instagram post. This occurred years into a recovery process that led her to testify before Congress in February 2018 in support of the Sexual Assault Survivors’ Bill of Rights Act. A year later she lobbied California’s Senate to pass The Phoenix Act, which she hoped would extend the statute of limitations on domestic violence felonies from three years to 10. (Gov. Gavin Newsom eventually signed The Phoenix Act into law, although the extension was only expanded to five years.)

All the while, she refused to name her abuser – a decision that was becoming less tenable as reporters began putting the pieces of her relationship history together.  

“Phoenix Rising” joins her in the heat of this as she’s working with Gore to reconstruct the shards of her memory prior to naming Manson, an endeavor director Amy Berg illustrates with creative sensitivity.

Berg has a track record with mindfully examining influential institutions’ histories of enabling or covering for sexual abusers. First came 2006’s “Deliver Us From Evil,” a searing examination of the Catholic Church. In 2014 she produced “An Open Secret,” in which five former child actors open up about the sexual abuse they experienced while working in the industry.

Her and Wood’s approach in “Phoenix Rising” seems more singularly focused, if one doesn’t consider how the allegations against Manson are reflective of the music industry’s broader refusal to act upon accusations of rape and sexual misconduct that have been made against multiple artists.  

But if “Surviving R. Kelly” demonstrates how cavalierly Black women are dismissed by the justice system, and W. Kamau Bell’sWe Need to Talk About Cosby” dissects the ways its subject carefully exploited his fatherly image to operate for decades as a serial rapist without suffering any consequences, “Phoenix Rising” explains why survivors can take years to come forward.


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We may think we know the answer to that, given the common refrains among Bill Cosby’s and Harvey Weinstein’s accusers about career retaliation and the destruction of their reputations. But what Wood and the other people who survived Manson want people to realize is that it takes years for trauma sufferers to fully grasp that terrible crimes have been committed against them.

And in Wood’s case, her torment was disguised as a rock n’ roll romance, akin to the way Manson’s anti-Semitism and racism is camouflaged as artistic irony employed for shock value.

In sections, Berg envelops Wood’s straightforward account and those of fellow survivors in a dreamy, Lewis Carroll-inspired veil. In doing so she captures the gothic style of Manson’s world through the perspective of the girl Wood describes she was and others thought her to be before she met him. By liberally weaving Nicoletta Ceccoli’s hazily surreal animations throughout each episode along with photos of Wood pre- and post-Manson the film tumbles us into an interregnum between innocence and morbid terror.

Recall, too, that Wood’s relationship with Manson took place within the same decade that the media transformed Britney Spears from a virginal pop starlet into “Crazy Britney,” an out-of-control woman incapable of managing her life and business affairs. Spears was an international superstar then, while Wood’s film career had barely taken off.

What chance did she have for her abuse claims to be heard or believed, let alone understood, back then?

At several points in “Phoenix Rising,” Wood uses Manson’s own words from his memoir both to back up her allegations and show that he’s also a broken, damaged person. This is done as much from a place of empathy as anything else, similar to her reason for doing the documentary in the first place.

The actor stresses that she knows it is too late for her story to result in criminal charges but, by coming forward, she hopes to warn potential victims and perhaps inspire authorities to take other victims’ accounts seriously and stop Manson.

 Her personal reason for making “Phoenix Rising” exists in tandem with its broader purpose of explaining why laws surrounding the reporting of domestic violence felonies are inadequate. As she explains, the first few years of her recovery were spent running – from Manson and his followers’ threats, but also from her memories of his torture.

Bravely she lets the audience witness the pain she undergoes reliving the worst of her experiences while also providing glimpses into the ways that she’s healed, through her fellowship with other survivors and the loving bond with her parents, brother and her son.

In that respect, “Phoenix Rising” leaves us with a sense of hope, at least from where Wood stands.  As the documentary reminds us at the end of both parts, authorities have launched an investigation into the claims against Manson but to date, no charges have been brought against him.

But her voice has been joined by a chorus of women, including “Game of Thrones” star Esmé Bianco. Manson’s label Loma Vista dropped him, as have his manager and his agents. His acting career also stalled out after Starz “American Gods” and “Creepshow” cut their plans to have him appear.

None of this guarantees that Manson’s accusers will gain justice or that the rocker’s career or image are irreparable. But it does grant those he’s alleged to have harmed a hearing, and the rest of us something else to consider when we’re reminded to believe survivors – including those initially cast as villains by the Hollywood gossip machine.

The two-part “Phoenix Rising” airs Tuesday and Wednesday, March 15-16 at 9 p.m. on HBO. Both parts are available to stream on HBO Max. Watch a trailer for it below, via YouTube.

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30 Yotam Ottolenghi recipes big on flavor, low on effort

We’ll happily shout it from the rooftops: We’re the hugest fans of chef, restaurateur, and cookbook author Yotam Ottolenghi. His recipes are bright, fresh, seasonal, and full of flavor — with complex and multilayered combinations of herbs, spices, and umami-filled game-changers (black garlic and pomegranate molasses, you’re our new best friends). But we also love Ottolenghi’s food for its comforting, homemade appeal, which leans on quality ingredients and achievable techniques to make the recipes sing.

Now, he’s entering another new and delicious venture: dinnerware. In an incredible, colorful collaboration with design house Serax, Ottolenghi’s new FEAST collection is the latest display of his vibrant vision for hosting joyful (and always delicious) gatherings. The collection, which you can purchase through the Food52 Shop, includes serving plattersserving bowls, and a full set of dinnerware that ranges from salad plates and pasta bowls to dinner and dessert plates. “[Artist Ivo Bisignano] is a good friend as well as a soul mate for the creative process in all Ottolenghi graphics,” Yotam Ottolenghi said in a statement. “His art, in whatever medium, is honest, expressive, bold, joyful, and colorful. Attributes we strive to achieve in our food.”

Read on for all of the ways Ottolenghi makes cooking a boldly flavored breeze.

Our Best Yotam Ottolenghi Recipes

1. Couscous, Cherry Tomato, and Herb Salad

As the couscous steeps in hot water, burst the cherry tomatoes in olive oil and pan-roast the spices. Mix the cooked couscous together with raisins, almonds, fresh herbs, and lemon juice and zest, and serve with the tomatoes on top. This dish, from the SIMPLE cookbook, is a perfect side for grilled meats or vegetables. Bonus: It’s great to make ahead, too.

2. Shakshuka

Thick, spiced, garlicky tomato sauce makes the perfect landing pad for eggs to gently steam and simmer, allowing the whites to firm up but the yolks to stay runny and saucy. The whole dish cooks in just under 30 minutes, making for a perfect easy weeknight meal or a quick, but luxurious, brunch.

3. Burnt Green Onion Dip with Curly Kale

Spicy, lemony sautéed kale meets a smoky, creamy green onion dip. The roasted garlic is really the longest time investment in this recipe — make extra to keep on hand so you can put together this dish even more quickly next time.

4. Honey and Yogurt Set Cheesecake

This tangy, creamy, no-bake cheesecake from SIMPLE requires just 9 ingredients and can be made up to 2 days ahead — impressive and low-stress at the same time.

5. Roasted Onion Salad with Arugula and Walnut Salsa

A few key ingredients play big parts in this salad: Oven-roasted onions — tender, caramelized, and sweet — are tossed with bright parsley, arugula, goat cheese, and a zingy, crunchy walnut salsa to create a bold yet balanced salad.

6. Lemon and Poppy Seed Cake

Requiring just 10 ingredients, most of which you might already have in your fridge and pantry, this cake is fluffy, tender, moist, and extremely hard to mess up. Worth adding to your repertoire, for sure.

7. Sweet Potato Galettes

Galettes, or savory tarts, are the ultimate “fancy but actually really low-key” setup: Just take puff pastry (store-bought, in this case), top it with good stuff, and stick it in the oven for just 20 minutes. Speaking of the good stuff that goes on top, tangy sour cream, funky goat cheese, and crispy-crunchy pumpkin seeds are the perfect foil to the caramelly roasted sweet potatoes that are sliced up and artfully assembled on the pastry. This recipe checks a lot of boxes: Not only is it just 10 ingredients, it’s short on time (if you roast the sweet potatoes in advance) and super easy, too.

8. Beet, Caraway, and Goat Cheese Bread

All this earthy, nutty, cheesy quick-bread needs is a slather of salted butter. Per SIMPLE, make it a few days ahead, serve it at your next brunch gathering, and watch how quickly it disappears.

9. Lamb and Pistachio Patties with Sumac Yogurt Sauce

In this recipe — another one from SIMPLE — crunchy pistachios, ground lamb, and zippy arugula come together in just about 30 minutes to make tender meat patties. They’re great as a snack on their own, served with a tart, lemony sumac yogurt sauce, or as a protein to put on a bright arugula salad with Parmesan shavings. The ground meat mixture for the patties can be made up to a day in advance and refrigerated before cooking off, and leftovers keep well, too.

10. Apple and Olive Oil Cake with Maple Icing

This cake can attribute its deep, complex flavor to its relatively long ingredients list, but also to being made ahead; the flavors get even more concentrated when they’ve had a few days to mingle and mature.

11. Portobello Mushrooms with Pearled Barley and Preserved Lemon

The mushroom roasting, barley cooking, and lemon preserving for this dish can all happen in advance — and all you’ll have to do to when you’re ready to serve is reheat it all and top with some zippy feta cheese and peppery sprouts. This one’s a showstopper.

12. Woodland Meringues

This meringue recipe, by Ottolenghi pastry chef Helen Goh, is as easy and low-maintenance as it gets in the world of meringues. And they can be made and decorated — aka dipped in melted chocolate and crushed-up nuts, chocolate, or freeze-dried fruit after they’re baked and cooled — up to 10 days in advance. Impress the pants off your guests with ’em, but don’t tell anyone how easy they actually are.

13. Pappardelle with Rose Harissa, Black Olives, and Capers

This pasta uses several of Ottolenghi’s pantry ingredients listed in SIMPLE — rose harissa, dried pasta, yogurt, capers, olives — and comes together in just about 30 minutes. It’s a weeknight dinner hero, and the sauce can be doubled and stored in the fridge for up to 3 days (or much longer than that in the freezer).

14. Neapolitan Pound Cake

A showstopper chocolate-and-vanilla-marbled Bundt cake, made exclusively with pantry ingredients? Yes, you’re reading that correctly. It can also be made a couple days ahead and iced when you’re ready to serve.

15. Basic Hummus

This recipe is pretty magical, in that you take what essentially resembles a bag of small stones (the dried chickpeas) hanging out in your pantry, along with some other ingredients you almost certainly have on hand, and transform them into the smoothest, creamiest, nuttiest dip imaginable. The beans require overnight soaking, but need no poking or prodding until you’re ready to make hummus the next day.

16. Marinated Pepper Salad with Basil, Capers, and Pecorino

The key to this recipe is first roasting and then marinating the peppers, which will need at least an hour and preferably overnight to absorb the flavor of a thyme-garlic-balsamic vinegar marinade. Then, you’ll just toss it together with some herbs and cheese, using the same marinade you used for the peppers as the salad’s dressing.

17. Burrata with Grilled Grapes and Basil

Grapes take on a whole new flavor profile when they’re skewered and put on the grill, giving them a smoky, slightly plummy sweetness and an extra-juicy texture. Combined with creamy, mild burrata, the dish is elevated and dynamic, but pretty darn SIMPLE to put together.

18. Sweet Potatoes with Orange Bitters

The combination of sweet, bitter, and salty — achieved by reducing orange juice, red wine vinegar, brown sugar, and that friend to cocktails everywhere, Angostura bitters — provides an intense, complex, and totally complementary glaze for thickly cut wedges of sweet potato. You have to continually baste the potatoes for them to absorb as much of the liquid, and flavor, as possible.

19. Seafood, Fennel, and Lime Salad

The mixed seafood, bright assorted herbs, and spices collectively elevate this salad beyond its individual components. You’d never guess that it came together in under 30 minutes; it can also be made up to a day ahead and stored in the fridge, for the flavors to marry even more.

20. Squash with Chile Yogurt and Cilantro Sauce

This squash dish is the definition of easy — you don’t even have to peel it, for crying out loud! A quickie chile yogurt spiked with cult-favorite sriracha creates a creamy, zingy sauce for the buttery, caramelized squash; cilantro reliably adds brightness and punchy, herby flavor. Last, for added crunch, try pepitas (or even toasted butternut squash seeds!).

21. Asparagus and Gochujang Pancakes from Yotam Ottolenghi and Ixta Belfrage

Make this recipe during spring when the stalks are at their peak! These savory pancakes feature asparagus, plus scallions, gochujang, and red chile peppers, which are all incorporated into a rice flour batter. Serve with an aromatic, slightly spicy soy dipping sauce.

22. World’s Best Chocolate Cake

Amanda Hesser says that this is not only the world’s best chocolate cake, but also the easiest. But let’s start with why it’s the best: The cake batter calls for two kinds of chocolate (dark chocolate and cocoa powder), and coffee granules, which enhances the rich cocoa flavor. As for its ease, the batter is made entirely in one bowl and baked for a full hour. You can serve it with an Espresso Cinnamon Mascarpone Cream, which is entirely optional, but I don’t see why you’d want to pass on it.

23. Yotam Ottolenghi’s Sweet Corn Polenta with Eggplant Sauce

There are 30 delicious reasons why we love chef Yotam Ottolenghi (all of which are listed here), but one example is this recipe: polenta made from fresh ears of corn. The process is way simpler than I would ever imagine it to be and the result is, unsurprisingly, sweet as a bright summer day.

24. Burnt Eggplant and Tomato Tahini

This dish was born out of some leftover tomato pasta sauce, as well as a few eggplants that really needed using up. Scoop this up with warm pita bread and eat it alongside other meze, or with soft-boiled eggs for a hearty breakfast.

25. Za’atar Salmon and Tahini

This nearly-one skillet dinner (you have to mix the tahini dressing in a separate bowl, but NBD) pairs hearty salmon with the earthy flavors of za’atar, lemony sumac, and a nutty tahini dressing. You can try this recipe with other types of fish, but stick to varieties that are relatively hearty so that they can hold up to all of the rich Middle Eastern flavors.

26. Upside-Down Lemon, Maple, and Vanilla Pudding

Yotam Ottolenghi literally turned the concept of a pineapple upside-down cake on its head by making a zesty batter and an even zestier lemon-maple butter drizzled over the entire cake while it’s still warm.

27. Chicken Shawarma with Vampire-Slaying Toum

Unless you want Edward Cullen hanging around your kitchen (I wouldn’t blame you if that’s the case), you need to make this extra-garlicky chicken from Yotam Ottolenghi. Toum, which literally translates to “garlic” in Arabic, is a Levantine condiment made by whipping together raw garlic and oil with a good amount of lemon juice.

28. Lime and Poppy Seed Slaw with Curry Leaf Oil

This fragrant slaw, which has a base of sliced cabbage and julienned carrots, is the perfect side dish for the aforementioned chicken shawarma.

29. Middle Eastern Mac and Cheese with Za’atar Pesto

A combination of ground turmeric, toasted cumin seeds, feta cheese, and za’atar pesto gives this kid-friendly favorite Middle Eastern flair.

30. Celebration Rice with Lamb, Chicken, and Garlic Yogurt

The garnishes make this hearty rice dish a party — blanched almonds, pine nuts, chile pepper, parsley leaves, and pomegranate seeds.

First Taco Bell Jalapeño Noir, now Old Bay Vodka: Why food brands are shifting to unexpected spirits

An image of an endcap at a New England liquor store unexpectedly caught my attention on Monday as I scrolled through Twitter. The display was packed with bottles of clear spirits decked out in distinctive blue, red and yellow packaging — a variation of the same thing I see every time I open my spice cabinet.

I immediately turned to Google to find out if Old Bay Vodka was A) a real product or B) a really convincing Photoshop job. Sure enough, McCormick, the company behind the iconic spice blend, had released what it describes as a “crisp, refreshing, smooth vodka with fresh celery and herbal notes followed by sweet spice and mild heat (red pepper) notes.” 

For reference, Old Bay is a mix of 18 herbs and spices, including paprika, celery salt and black and red pepper. Though the seasoning is traditionally used to flavor crabs and seafood, Marylanders have a penchant for using it on the rims of their Bloody Marys. Fittingly, this new vodka was made in collaboration with the Maryland-based George’s Beverage Company (which previously partnered with McCormick on an Old Bay Bloody Mary mix). 

“Old Bay has been a fan-favorite for over 75 years in the Chesapeake Bay region and beyond,” Jill Pratt, chief marketing excellence officer for McCormick, said in a statement. “Our fans are loyal and passionate when it comes to all things Old Bay. We’re thrilled to work with George’s to bring the one-of-a-kind flavor of Old Bay to fans in entirely new, exciting and innovative ways.”

The website for the new vodka — which indicates that it will be sold exclusively (or at least to start) in Maryland and Delaware — recommends using it to make drinks like the Bay Bomb (6 oz. of Natty Light, 1.5 oz. of Old Bay Vodka and a dusting of Old Bay seasoning on the rim) or the Bay Lemonade (1.5 oz. of chilled Old Bay Vodka and 6 oz. of fresh lemonade). 

Only a few reviews of the product are currently floating around, my favorite of which comes from an Arlington-based Twitter user. “Really not bad, you can taste the maryland in it, will absolutely slap in a bloody 7.2/10,” they wrote.

Halfway across the country, I was left wondering whether Old Bay Vodka would have any sort of staying power — or whether that was even the intention behind it. It’s the latest instance of a food company releasing what I heard referred to at a craft beverage conference last week as a “stunt spirit.” 

As reported by Food and Wine, Arby’s similarly released two vodkas last fall. The “Curly Fry” flavor was distilled with cayenne, paprika, onion and garlic for a spirit that “preserves the distinctive and authentic tasting notes of the traditional Arby’s curly fry,” while the “Crinkle Fry” variety was made with kosher salt and sugar to honor “the rich tradition of salted potato shapes.”

Oh, and they weren’t cheap, either. Both vodkas retailed for $59.99 — or considerably higher than the $2.19 you’d likely spend on a large curly fry — and were only briefly on the market for two specialty drops in November. 

RELATED: Sexy Colonel Sanders? How the face of KFC became a (kind of weird) sex symbol

Also in 2021, Taco Bell Canada launched Jalapeño Noir, a pinot meant to pair with the chain’s toasted cheesy chalupa. It sold out a mere 11 minutes after dropping on the chain’s website. That same year, the Kraft Heinz Company unveiled Grey Poupon wine, which was a Viognier made with mustard seeds. It also sold out in one day. (In an update posted to Instagram, Grey Poupon wrote, “We are officially sold out! Turns out everyone wanted a taste during their lunch break.”)

Unless you had connections or monitored the product websites with the same tenacity needed to score coveted concert tickets, it’s likely that you were never going to try these special product launches, which were executed similarly to collaborations like 2020’s MLMA x Crocs x Kentucky Fried Chicken launch. (In case you were wondering, those one-of-a-kind shoes sold out less than an hour after going on sale.) 

https://www.instagram.com/p/CUsW8x6r9VT/

So, what exactly is the point? Well, I’m currently sitting here wondering if there’s anything I could purchase from Taco Bell that would taste good dusted with a sprinkle of Old Bay. I’m kidding — well, sort of — but in an oversaturated market, attention is both a commodity and a currency. To borrow a phrase from the raunchy Netflix comedy “Big Mouth,” “You’re picturing it, and we’re talking about it.” 

I’m simultaneously daydreaming about Arby’s vodka and Grey Poupon wine. I can’t get any of these bottles at my local liquor store, but I can get my hands on the real food products that inspired them. For the aforementioned companies, that’s likely more than enough. 

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Why Dolly Parton turned down the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame

Dolly Parton, America’s leading lady of country, is saying no to another well-deserved award consideration.

On Monday, Parton announced on social media that she is withdrawing from the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame nominations for its 2022 class of inductees. The acclaimed musician, who gave us hits like “Jolene,” “I Will Always Love You” and the work anthem “9 to 5,” wrote that she didn’t feel she’d “earned that right” although she was honored by the nomination. 

Essentially, the 76-year-old legend feels that her music output didn’t fall into the rock & roll category. 

“I really do not want votes to be split because of me, so I must respectfully bow out,” she explained, adding, “I do hope that the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame will understand and be willing to consider me again – if I’m ever worthy. This has, however, inspired me to put out a hopefully great rock ‘n’ roll album at some point in the future, which I have always wanted to do! My husband is a total rock ‘n’ roll freak, and has always encouraged me to do one.”

Read her full statement:

RELATED: How Dolly Parton’s “Coat of Many Colors” became an LGBTQ+ anthem

Many fans would probably disagree. Besides the urge just to honor the beloved artist with any and all awards, one could argue that she’s one of the original female crossover artists. And is the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame strictly about that genre of music? Or can that genre be interpreted so narrowly these days? 

On the bright side, maybe this will be the inspiration for her to deliver a fully rock & roll album. Yes, please!

This isn’t the first time — nor is it the second time — Parton has displayed such humility. She previously declined two prestigious offers for the Presidential Medal of Freedom. The first time, she refused because her husband, Carl Thomas Dean, was sick and later, refused a second offer due to pandemic-related travel. 


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“I don’t work for those awards,” she added. “It’d be nice, but I’m not sure that I even deserve it. But that’s a nice compliment for people to think that I might deserve it.”

Despite not seeking recognition, she’s demonstrated her worthiness time and again. Parton inspired a love of reading amongst children through her Imagination Library book gifting program. She also helped fund the Moderna vaccine during COVID’s peak and recently, provided full tuition for all employees working at her theme park, Dollywood.

Other nominees on this year’s list include Eminem, Lionel Richie, A Tribe Called Quest and Dionne Warwick. Parton is the only country music nominee for the 2022 class. At this time, her name is still on the hall of fame’s voting page and can be added to the official Fan’s Ballot. 

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Should Mayim Bialik be the full-time “Jeopardy!” host and successor to Alex Trebek?

In the ongoing search for a permanent host for “Jeopardy!” one person who hadn’t been considered would like to throw her hat in the ring.

Mayim Bialik – who is currently sharing temporary co-hosting duties with former champ Ken Jennings – feels like she shouldn’t have to vacate the podium when her gig expires. During an interview with Entertainment Tonight on the Critics’ Choice Awards red carpet on Sunday, “The Big Bang Theory” star said she would love to follow in the footsteps of the late Alex Trebek and be the face of “Jeopardy!” 

“I like to say [I’ve] lived season to season since [I was] about 13 years old,” Bialik said. “So, what I know is I’m hosting until May 6, and beyond that, hopefully, I’ll know more before May 6.”

If Bialik bags the position, she’ll make history as the show’s first full-time female host.

RELATED: Mayim Bialik fills in as “Jeopardy!” host for now, while celebs weigh in on the kerfuffle

“I think being a female is its own mark,” she continued. “My grandparents were immigrants to this country, so I think for me, being in two generations being a woman and a host in that iconic role blows my mind.”

Bialik added that she has support from Trebek’s family to continue his legacy.

“I got to meet them when we dedicated the stage and just feel so humbled around them,” she revealed. “I want to only honor. You can’t match him, so there’s no need to try, but do it continuously, and have their blessing and feel what they are doing is supporting that legacy.” 

Bialik first joined the popular game show as a temporary guest host in August of last year, during the second half of season 37.  She was eventually named a special co-host while former executive producer Mike Richards was named Trebek’s successor. Richards, however, was subsequently booted from the gig after his past racist, sexist and inappropriate comments resurfaced. That’s when Jennings replaced him in the shared hosting duties, while the search for a permanent host continues.


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Bialik’s recent announcement also prompted the show’s fans to share their thoughts. Some sided with Bialik while others pushed for Jennings to become the official host.

In addition to guest hosting “Jeopardy!,” Bialik stars in the FOX sitcom “Call Me Kat.” The 46-year-old actor previously opened up about her busy schedule and her desire to become a permanent addition to the game show in a September interview with Glamour.

“Having a full-time job [on Fox’s “Call Me Kat”] didn’t stop me from wanting it,” Bialik said about her guest host position. “But it really was after those two days [of filming her “Jeopardy!” episodes] that I realized I had never wanted anything more than that job. I said to the crew, ‘I don’t want to leave. I really don’t want to leave.'”

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Secret Service report details growing threat of “incel” terrorism

A new Secret Service report highlights a concerning rise in terrorism threats posed by men who called themselves “involuntary celibate,” often refered to as “incels.”

The 26-page report, released on Tuesday by the Secret Service’s National Threat Assessment Center (NTAC), documents a sharp uptick in incel-fueled attacks against women over the past decade. 

“The term ‘incel’ is often used to describe men who feel unable to obtain romantic or sexual relationships with women, to which they feel entitled,” the report notes.

RELATED: Atlanta gunman who killed 8 people in Asian spa shooting spree says it wasn’t racially motivated

Researchers put a particular emphasis on the case of Scott Beierle, 40, who in 2018 shoot several women at a Florida yoga studio. According to the report, Beierle had a long history of warning signs leading up to the shooting. CBS reports that he’d previously been fired from several teaching jobs, and banned from numerous restaurants and apartment buildings.


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“During his teen years, the attacker was accused of stalking his classmates, and he wrote stories that centered around violent themes,” said Steve Driscoll, lead research specialist at NTAC, on Thursday. “One of those stories was 81 pages long and involved the protagonist murdering several girls before committing suicide. The female characters in the story that were killed, represented the attacker’s actual classmates from his high school, but he slightly changed the names in his writing.” 

Beierle had also been arrested for groping women and was known as Ted Bundy amongst his close friends. 

The day before his shooting, Beierle left a note that said the following: “If I can’t find one decent female to live with, I will find many indecent females to die with.”

“The Hot Yoga Tallahassee attacker was motivated to carry out violence by his inability to develop or maintain relationships with women, along with his perception of women’s societal power over men,” Driscoll said. 

RELATED: “We fostered something chaotic and irresponsible”: Elliot Rodger, Isla Vista & the echoes of a tragedy

Stories like Beierle’s have abounded over the last decade. 

In 2014, 22-year old Elliot Rodger – who has been hailed by his followers as an “incel hero” – opened fire on dozens of UCSB students in Isla Vista, California, killing six people and injuring fourteen others with gunshots, stabwounds, and a vehicular attack. 

After the incident, reports shortly revealed that, in carrying out the mass killing, Rodger had intended to punish women for not sleeping with him. Rodger extensively documented his struggles in a 107,000-word manifesto, wherein he describes sexually active men and women as “Chads” and Stacy,” according to The Los Angeles Times.   

Lina Alathari, the chief of the National Threat Assessment Center, told CNN that there is often “crossover between misogynistic views and White supremacy.”

“The body of research examining misogyny as an extreme ideology and incels specifically, as well as its intersection with other ideologies like White supremacy, as a field of research, is growing,’ she added.

An omicron sub-variant is spreading rapidly in the UK. The US may be next

In much of the United States, it’s beginning to feel like the pandemic is almost over. COVID-19 restrictions have eased and mask mandates have been lifted as daily cases, hospitalizations and deaths continue to decline in a majority of cities across the country.  

Yet some epidemiologists fear that the returning sense of normalcy may merely be a mirage, when in reality the country is on the brink of yet another wave of a newly-mutant variant. Currently, in parts of Europe — where COVID-19 restrictions eased a couple months before they did in the U.S. — infection rates are starting to climb. And as it did previously, Europe’s experience may herald what is to come in the United States. 

According to the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center, the past week has brought an increase in COVID-19 cases to nearly half of all European countries. Countries seeing the biggest surges include Finland, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom. Specifically, in the UK, where COVID-19 cases and hospital admissions are rising, scientists are also seeing an uptick in cases caused by the BA.2 omicron subvariant. Previously, the pandemic in the United Kingdom has foreshadowed what came later elsewhere, including the United States, and some experts fear the UK’s recent surge is yet another signal that the U.S. isn’t too far behind such a trend.

RELATED: Pediatricians on Florida’s recommendation against vaccinating children: “Don’t listen to it”

BA.2 is a subvariant of the original omicron variant that caused the most recent surge in hospitalizations and cases across the world. However, unlike the “original” strain of omicron ( known as  BA.1), early research shows that BA.2 is more transmissible and can reinfect people who were previously infected with BA.1— although the same research also suggests that reinfection is rare. While BA.2 was discovered in November and has already become the most dominant variant in countries like Denmark and South Africa, there is no guarantee that it won’t gain traction in the U.S. yet. 

Eric Feigl-Ding, chief of COVID-19 risk task force at the New England Complex Systems Institute, told Salon that “signals” are there that suggest that BA.2 will cause the pandemic to get worse again in the next couple of months.

“I think late April is when things will start to get really worrisome,” Feigl-Ding said. “And then I think May is when I think it will get much worse; I always tell people we have about one month before it gets bad, but you can see the turnaround signals.”


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Feigl-Ding has a track record of getting predictions right. In January 2020, before the pandemic started in the United States, Feigl-Ding warned how deadly a global COVID-19 pandemic could become — but was brushed off as a COVID-19 “alarmist.” Months later, Feigl-Ding was redeemed in the public eye.

One signal indicating that the U.S. could see a BA.2-driven surge this spring, Feigl-Ding said, is from the data of wastewater. As Bloomberg reported, a wastewater network that monitors for COVID-19 trends shows that cases are once again rising in many parts of the country.

“While wastewater levels are generally very low across the board, we are seeing an uptick of sites reporting an increase,” Amy Kirby, the head of the CDC’s wastewater monitoring program, told Bloomberg in an email. “These bumps may simply reflect minor increases from very low levels to still low levels. Some communities though may be starting to see an increase in COVID-19 infections, as prevention strategies in many states have changed in recent weeks.”

Feigl-Ding told Salon it is notable that BA.1 is dropping in prevalence in the U.S., while BA.2 is increasing. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), BA.2  makes up 11.6 percent of the coronavirus variants circulating in the United States as of March 5. The previous week, BA.2 made up 8.3 percent of the coronavirus variants circulating. In South Africa, where news first broke about the original omicron strain, BA.2 overtook the original omicron in South Africa and it’s become the dominant strain in Denmark. Feigl-Ding said that the low booster rate in the U.S. could make the U.S. more vulnerable to a BA.2 wave, too. To date, only 44 percent of fully vaccinated people in the U.S. have received a booster dose, according to CDC data.

On Monday, Bob Wachter, the chair of University of California, San Francisco’s department of medicine, had a slightly more optimistic prediction in one of his viral COVID-19 updates.

“While the BA.2 subvariant (still a minor player in U.S.) is a bit more infectious, it’s not more serious or more immune evasive than the original,” Wachter said on Twitter. “This means that while BA.2 may increase case numbers a bit, it shouldn’t cause a surge by itself.”

However, Wachter said he does see “some dark-ish clouds on the horizon.”

“First, much of our relative quiet owes to our wall of immunity from vax, infections, or both. All these protections are waning,” Wachter said. “The durability of immunity afforded by an omicron infection is still unknown, but early evidence says that people whose only immunity came from their omicron infection may well be vulnerable to reinfection in a few months.”

But Wachter pointed to a Nature study suggesting that vaccine immunity is waning.

“Despite conflicting data from Israel, I’ll bet that Pfizer’s CEO is right and a 2nd booster will soon be recommended,” Wachter said.

Dr. Monica Gandhi, infectious disease doctor and professor of medicine at the University of California, San Francisco, told Salon she can see a scenario in which BA.2 causes an increase in cases again in the United States. However, she said such a scenario largely depends on vaccination rates in a given community. 

“I do think it will increase cases, because anything more transmissible increases cases, but I think that increasing hospitalizations will purely depend on the rate of vaccination in that community,” Gandhi said. She pointed to the current situation in San Francisco: “We have BA.2 in San Francisco and three people in the hospital.” 

Gandhi says since we just went through the BA.1 variant, she hopes natural immunity in unvaccinated populations will help keep healthcare systems from being overwhelmed in the event that BA.2 does explode in parts of the United States.

Feigl-Ding told Salon he wishes politicians waited just another month to lift mask mandates. He believes that a little more time with restrictions could mean that BA.2 fizzles out, like the mu variant did.

“We would keep cases so low that if there were any outbreaks, we would be at the high probability of fizzling out again,” Feigl-Ding said. “This is the problem — we always give up when we’re at a plateau, we’ve always kind of given up halfway through the drop.”

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Koch Industries refuses to break ties with Russia despite Corporate America’s mass exodus

Koch Industries, the Wichita-based petroleum company run by right-wing billionaire Charles Koch, has kept its Russia-based operations going despite Corporate America’s mass exodus from the country amid Russia’s devastating invasion of Ukraine. 

According to Popular Information, the conglomerate owns a number of Russia-based subsidiaries. Notable among them is Guardian Industries, an Auburn Hills, Michigan-based manufacturer of industrial glass and other products. The subsidiary reportedly runs two Russia-based facilities in Ryazan and Rostov. 

Earlier this month, Guardian suggested that operations could not come to a halt despite the Russia incursion. 

“Guardian Industries continues to closely monitor the tumultuous events in Eastern Europe, supporting our employees who are affected,” a company spokesperson told USGlass Magazine. “The health and safety of our employees and all personnel working at our facilities is our first priority.”

RELATED: Mass exodus: Behind corporate America’s unprecedented show of force against Putin’s invasion

Electronic components manufacturer Molex, another Koch Industries subsidiary, offers its products through a “network of third-party distributors across Russia,” as Popular Information reported. 

Two letters released by Molex in February and March indicate that the company has no intention to suspend operations in Russia. 


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“Molex is monitoring the ongoing developments in Eastern Europe,” the company wrote earlier this month. “We are assessing the potential impact to our supply chain and customers as part of our Business Continuity Protocol. While the situation remains fluid, we can provide the following updates.”

Koch Industries also owns Koch Engineered Solutions, a subsidiary that “specialize[s] in process and pollution control equipment that help industrial facilities to operate responsibly.” According to Popular Information, Koch Engineered Solutions runs a sales office out of Moscow. The company reportedly has a history of evading U.S. sanctions to support its bottom line. 

RELATED: Biden promises punishing sanctions on Russia, stops short of Putin

Koch Engineered Solutions, for its part, has not commented on the Russian invasion, suggesting that operations will remain business-as-usual. 

Over the past two weeks, Koch Industries has distinguished itself as one of the few major corporations to remain in Russia as the country’s president, Vladimir Putin, continues to carry a full-scale military invasion of Ukraine. Nearly 400 companies – such as McDonald’s, Starbucks, BP, Deloitte, Ford, GM, Hilton, and Netflix – have suspended their operations in or divested from the Russian economy. 

Still, Koch Industries is not the only laggard. Companies like Halliburton, AbbVie, Bosch, Cargill, Subway, White & Case, Accor, and Amway have apparently refused to sever ties. Many of them have argued that breaking away from the country would be most punishing to Russian citizens, especially amid crippling U.S. sanctions. 

Mary Lovely, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington, told the U.S. News that Corporate America’s withdrawal is ultimately “a business calculation.”

“On the stay side: How much revenue do they earn in Russia? Do they provide an essential service?” Lovely explained. “Each day that passes, though, calculations change. Sanctions against Russia are likely to last a long time, along with rising revulsion.”

An army of Republican Karens are fighting to end legal abortion in the U.S.

After Texas passed a sweeping abortion ban that outlaws any pregnancy termination two weeks after the missed period, what happened is exactly what pro-choicers predicted would happen: Women did whatever it takes to end unwanted pregnancies anyway.

Initial misleading reports claimed abortions in the Lonestar state went down 60%, a figure heavily hyped by anti-choicers who want to pretend that women are easily swayed from the abortion decision. Soon, however, the truth came out: Nearly all Texas women who wanted abortions got them by either going out of state or buying abortion pills online. The actual abortion rate was only down 10%. No doubt the few who were forced into unwanted childbirth were the most vulnerable Texans: Teenagers, immigrants, and poor women who don’t have the means to find alternatives. 

Republicans did not take the news about the real Texas abortion rate well, and their reaction was, naturally, to double down on the misogyny and sadism.

RELATED: Are women people? Why the Supreme Court just signed off on a Texas law that denies women’s humanity 

In Missouri, a bill was immediately proposed to ban interstate travel to get an abortion. The law, if passed, would allow anyone who wishes to sue someone who helps a patient leave the state to get an abortion. Neighbors who disapprove of parents helping a daughter get an abortion? Angry men who want to punish an ex by suing a friend who gave her a ride? Now they aren’t just being invited to lash out in a misogynist rage, but to make money in doing so. The face of this bill — let’s call it the Nosy Neighbor And Wife Beater Empowerment Act — is a woman, Republican state Rep. Mary Elizabeth Coleman.

A lot of folks remain surprised that a woman would back a law that literally wants to punish pregnant women by imprisoning them. So the phrase “internalized misogyny” got tossed around quite a bit to diagnose Coleman. But that, frankly, is an inadequate explanation. With Coleman and women like her — and there are many women like her — it’s more useful to think of externalized misogyny.

In a male-dominated system, especially in red states and the Republican circles that these women move in, women are largely shut out of holding much real power. So these women are gaining power the best way they know how, by attacking other women. And the Republican Party, which is controlled by men, is only too happy to let the public face of misogyny be a female one. 


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A couple of years ago, the slang term “Karen” exploded into the national consciousness. It referred to white women who leverage racism and white supremacy in order to feel powerful, often by calling the cops on Black people for such non-crimes such as birding in Central Park, having picnics at the lake, or letting small children run lemonade stands. Gender played a central role in the public imagination of the Karen — but not because white women are any more racist than white men. It’s because these women snatch power by play-acting feminine helplessness, often crying or acting scared in order to keep the upper hand. These women exploit their socially allowed role of being scared little girls in order to be big old bullies. 

And this Karen dynamic is very much in play with female anti-choicers who generally play to sexist stereotypes, casting themselves as tender-hearted baby enthusiasts just indulging a maternal instinct. Like the Karens who pretend they’re just trying to protect the delicate white women from Black people having picnics or watching birds, anti-choice Karens like to pretend they’re just in this to protect other women. They often speak of other women as having no sexual desires of their own and needing to be shielded from the supposed evils of oversexed men forcing abortion upon them. There’s heavy use of the phrases “as a mother” and “women deserve better than abortion.” 

RELATED: Will Supreme Court conservatives overturn Roe? Their casual contempt for women is not a good sign 

In reality, of course, these Republican women are sadists, which is evident in their opposition to health care and the adequate child care necessary to have the babies they wish to force on other women. They go after other women for the same reason the cop-calling Karens go after Black people: Women are easy targets. And it’s even easier because, to deflect from accusations of misogyny, the Republican Party desperately wants to put female faces on the flood of abortion bans they’re passing. For a woman who yearns to dominate others, being the official author of these bills is an easy way to fulfill that desire. 

Look at Republican legislators, and you’ll see a sea of nearly all-male faces. But when it comes to anti-choice bills, the sponsors are disproportionately women.


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Rep. Rebecca Alexander sponsored the proposed abortion ban in Tennessee. In Florida, it’s Sen. Kelli Stargel. The Karen behind Idaho’s newly passed abortion ban is Sen. Patti Lodge. In Pennsylvania, the Karen du jour is Sen. Judy Ward. The Mississippi abortion ban that the Supreme Court is likely to use to overturn Roe v. Wade? Written by state Rep. Becky Currie. The lady-sponsored misogyny is even branching out beyond abortion bans. In Wyoming, an attempt to abolish gender studies in universities was spearheaded by state Sen. Cheri Steinmetz. 

The most obvious example of this trend, of course, is Justice Amy Coney Barrett, Donald Trump’s appointment to replace Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg on the Supreme Court. Nominating an over-the-top Aunt Lydia type to fill the seat of the beloved feminist was a standard Trump troll. Barrett’s gender stands out among Trump appointees to the judiciary, 76% of whom were men. Republicans want the deciding vote on the overturn of Roe v. Wade to be a woman — she’ll probably even be allowed to write the decision — just so they can say “neener neener she can’t hate women because she is a woman.” 

But just because Barrett is a woman doesn’t mean she can’t hate women. On the contrary, her contempt for other women was on full display during arguments over the Mississippi abortion ban, in which she repeatedly insisted that it was no big deal to endure a forced pregnancy because “you can terminate parental rights” after birth. Barrett didn’t think twice about the immense amount of suffering this would cause other women — the pain and suffering of childbirth, the months of nosy questions about a pregnant body, the stress at work and at home from being pregnant against one’s will. Or worse, she has thought about it, and gets off on how much power she has to inflict massive suffering on other women. 

Republicans want women to be the public face of the anti-choice movement for the blunt and obvious reason that it helps derail conversations into “debates” over whether or not women can hate women. But the psychology of the misogynist Karens isn’t even that complex. The nosy neighbor, the scolding church lady, the prudish mother who bans her daughter from dating, the teacher who shames female students for wearing miniskirts: Female bullies are all around us. Like most bullies, they are cowards who prefer to punch down. And other women just happen to be easy targets. 

CORRECTION: An earlier version of this article was published with a different photo, of an anti-abortion demonstrator who does not identify as a Republican. The photo has been updated.

Democrats say Trump is violating campaign finance law by not announcing 2024 bid

A Democratic super PAC on Monday filed a complaint to the Federal Election Commission accusing former President Donald Trump of violating campaign finance laws by spending donor funds without officially filing his candidacy.

Trump has repeatedly hinted at rallies that he plans to run for president again in 2024 and his super PAC has continued to raise and spend money. Campaign finance laws require candidates who raise or spend more than $5,000 in support of a presidential campaign to register with the FEC. The Democratic super PAC American Bridge accused Trump of “illegally using his multicandidate leadership PAC to raise and spend funds in excess of Commission limits for the purpose of advancing a 2024 presidential campaign.”

The payments, the complaint says, include “events at Trump properties, rallies featuring Mr. Trump, consulting payments to former Trump campaign staff, and digital advertising about Mr. Trump’s events and his presumptive 2024 opponent.”

Many observers have noted that Trump may be trying to dodge campaign finance requirements by not formally filing his candidacy.

“I know what I’m going to do, but we’re not supposed to be talking about it yet from the standpoint of campaign finance laws,” Trump said during an event last fall.

RELATED: Inspector General calls for FEC ethics review after employee’s ties to Trump revealed

Trump last summer told Fox News host Sean Hannity that he had already made up his mind about another presidential bid and later complained in another Fox interview that it was “unbelievably stupid” that campaign finance laws prevented him from announcing his decision.

“Let me put it this way: I think you’ll be happy, and I think that a lot of our friends will be very happy. But I’m not actually allowed to answer it,” Trump said. “It makes it very difficult if I do.”

He has since teased potential presidential bids at rallies and at last month’s CPAC event.

“We did it twice and we’ll do it again,” he said last month.

During a golf event in January, he referred to himself as the “45th and 47th” president.

Trump again hinted at another run to rally-goers in Florence, South Carolina last week.

“In 2024, we are going to take back the beautiful, beautiful White House,” he said. “I wonder who will do that. I wonder. I wonder.”

Although Trump has not formally announced his candidacy, his PACs are sitting on $122 million in donor funds, more than the Republican National Committee and the GOP’s congressional campaign arms. Trump’s Save America PAC, which also donates to other Republicans, spent just $350,000 on other candidates in 2021, far less than it spent on Trump’s own properties.


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“Trump has played footsie with the Federal Election Campaign Act for months,” American Bridge said in a statement to the Associated Press, adding that Trump’s Save America PAC has spent more than $100,000 per week on Facebook ads and has “consistently raised more than $1 million per week — a clear violation of campaign finance law and precedent established by the Federal Election Commission.”

There is nothing legally preventing Trump from announcing his bid but he would be subject to stricter fundraising limits and disclosure requirements if he does.

“He should have to adhere to the law in a way that all other candidates do,” Jessica Floyd, the president of American Bridge, told The New York Times. “When he says ‘I’m going to do it a third time,’ that’s not flirting. That’s more than a toe dip.”

Floyd said that Trump’s mention of campaign finance laws last year shows the clear intention of evading FEC rules.

“It’s not like he doesn’t know what he’s doing,” she said.

Trump spokesman Taylor Budowich said the complaint was “frivolous.”

“America is spiraling into disaster because of the Democrats’ failures, and instead of reversing course, they are busy filing frivolous complaints that have zero merit,” he told the Times.

But campaign finance watchdogs say the FEC should investigate the complaint.

“He’s asking his list for money over and over and over again,” Jordan Libowitz, a spokesman for Citizens for Ethics and Responsibility in Washington (CREW), told Public Notice. “He raises money for these donors to max out to his leadership PAC, and then they’re going in with $0 towards the federal limit for the campaign itself.”

Adav Noti, vice president of the Campaign Legal Center, told CNN that “there is a strong argument that, under the law, Trump has triggered candidacy for 2024.”

But, “even in the best of circumstances,” he added, “the FEC generally doesn’t enforce the law at all, and when it does, it is always years after the fact.”

The FEC, a bipartisan agency equally divided between three Democrats and three Republicans, has repeatedly deadlocked on investigations as Republican members have repeatedly blocked probes into Trump’s campaign and other conservatives.

Though Trump has been the subject of dozens of FEC complaints, the former president has a 43-0 record in FEC cases over the past six years, according to the Daily Beast’s Roger Sollenberger. None of the three Republican commissioners have ever voted against Trump, including in 22 cases where the FEC’s internal nonpartisan Office of General Counsel found that campaign finance violations had occurred. Last year, a deadlocked FEC dropped its inquiry into whether Trump violated campaign finance laws when he had former attorney Michael Cohen pay adult film actress Stormy Daniels $130,000 in hush money to stay quiet about their alleged affair. Last month, the FEC declined to hold Trump accountable for “soft money” violations to which his campaign had already admitted, according to the AP.

Democratic commissioners have sought to leverage the panel’s rules to get courts to force the agency to act. Campaign watchdogs have repeatedly sued the FEC for not doing its job and Democratic commissioners are now blocking the agency from defending itself in court in response to the lawsuits, in hopes that federal courts will enforce campaign laws.

“It is not like I think the courts are automatically going to come to the same decision I would come to,” Democratic Commissioner Ellen Weintraub told the Times. “But I think it’s got a better shot.”

That strategy has seen mixed results thus far.

“Campaign finance laws are routinely ignored and corruption is rampant,” Stuart McPhail, senior litigation counsel at CREW, told the Times. “This path is the best in a broken system.”

Other FEC critics hope the tactics will prompt Republicans, who have long resisted stricter enforcement of campaign finance rules, to reconsider the way the FEC works.

“If they break it so much that federal courts are intervening,” Noti told the Times, “that would seemingly be an intolerable situation to Mitch McConnell.”

Read more:

Capitol rioter begs to stay out of jail, says she has already lost her job and marriage

A Pennsylvania woman who participated in the riot at the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6 is asking prosecutors to give her probation instead of the jail term they’re seeking, the Pittsburgh Post Gazette reports.

Jennifer Heinl, 44, who lost her job and her marriage due to her actions, is due to be sentenced next week for demonstrating in a Capitol building, which is a misdemeanor, after she pleaded guilty in November. 

Federal prosecutors wanted a sentence of two weeks in jail and three years of probation for breaching the Capitol building with the pro-Trump mob that day. Prosecutors say she was inside the building for 47 minutes while taking video, lied to an FBI agent, and showed no remorse during an interview with federal agents. 

Heinl’s lawyer, Martin Dietz, is requesting probation, saying her client is “extremely remorseful, embarrassed and ashamed” for participating in what he called an “unjustifiable attack on America,” adding she had never even gotten a traffic ticket before and takes care of her two sons who have health issues.

Dietz argued Heinl already suffered for her actions. Her marriage to a police officer fell apart after he had asked her not to go to D.C. on Jan. 6, but she went anyway. The two are finalizing a divorce.

“Ms. Heinl made a very serious and ill-advised error in judgment when she entered the U.S. Capitol along with hundreds of other persons,” he said. “She is not, however, a bad person.”

Joe Manchin, who’s made millions from coal, is blocking Joe Biden’s climate-friendly Fed nominee

Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.Va., on Monday came out against the nomination of Sarah Bloom Raskin for a top position on the Federal Reserve, saying that he’s “unable” to support Raskin over her stance on inflation and energy costs. 

“I have carefully reviewed Sarah Bloom Raskin’s qualifications and previous public statements,” Manchin said in a statement. “Her previous public statements have failed to satisfactorily address my concerns about the critical importance of financing an all-of-the-above energy policy to meet our nation’s critical energy needs,”

“I have come to the conclusion that I am unable to support her nomination to serve as a member of the Federal Reserve Board,” the senator added. 

Raskin, who President Biden nominated in January to be the Fed’s next vice chair for supervision, served as the deputy secretary of treasury under former President Obama. She is also a former Fed governor. 

RELATED: Joe Manchin has made $5.2M from his coal company — and gets big donations from fossil-fuel industry

Raskin is just one of four other nominees to occupy high-up vacancies at the Fed. Among those nominated include Jerome Powell, who would serve as Fed chair; Lael Brainard, who would serve as vice chair; and economists Lisa Cook and Philip Jefferson, who were nominated for board seats.

Thus far, Republicans have stonewalled the confirmations of all five nominees. In Raskin’s case, Republicans on the Senate Banking Committee have pointed to her past role on the board of a Colorado company that had direct access to a Fed master account during her tenure, according to NPR. Raksin, for her part, has denied any wrongdoing. 


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Earlier this month, NBC News reported that Senate Republicans also have a bone to pick with her stance on climate change – an issue over which Manchin has sparred with many of his progressive and Democratic colleagues. This past year, Manchin, whose family owns a coal business in West Virginia, consistently undermined several aspects of Biden’s climate climate agenda, most notably by objecting to the president’s signature Build Back Better framework. 

RELATED: Joe Manchin has dumb new reason for why he torpedoed Build Back Better

Meanwhile, Democrats have widely touted Raskin, claiming that her pedigree is beyond reproach.  

“[Raskin] previously served on the Board and she served as second-in-command at Treasury – both positions where she earned bipartisan Senate confirmation,” said White House spokesman Chris Meagher. “She has earned widespread support in the face of an unprecedented, baseless campaign led by oil and gas companies that sought to tarnish her distinguished career. We are working to line up the bipartisan support that she deserves so that she can be confirmed by the Senate for this important position.”

Both the American Bankers Association and the Financial Services Forum have issued statements supporting Raskin’s nomination, according to NBC News.

The GOP’s “shadow primary”: Anti-Trump Republicans secretly compete to replace him

While high-profile Republicans like former Vice President Mike Pence and ex-U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley are ostensibly sitting on the sidelines waiting to see if Donald Trump announces his third bid to run for president again, some of the former president’s Republican critics are making moves to line up support for a bid themselves if he decides to sit 2024 out.

According to a report from the Associated Press, a trio of anti-Trumpers are testing the waters by traveling and seeing if there is enough support to jump into the race with an appeal to conservatives who have grown tired of the twice-impeached former president’s act.

As Steve Peoples of the Associated Press wrote, “Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan is planning trips to Iowa and New Hampshire. Rep. Adam Kinzinger, R-Ill., is considering a rough timeline for a potential presidential announcement. And allies of Rep. Liz Cheney, R-Wyo., are openly talking up her White House prospects.”

According to the report, the three are engaging in what is described as a “shadow primary” with an eye on becoming the leading alternative choice for so-called “Never Trumpers.”

“Their apparent willingness to run — even if Trump does, as is widely expected — represents a shift from previous years when ‘Never Trump’ operatives failed to recruit any GOP officeholders to challenge the incumbent president. But with the 2024 contest almost in view, the question is no longer whether one of Trump’s prominent Republican critics will run, but how many will mount a campaign and how soon they will announce,” the report states. “Those close to Cheney, Hogan and Kinzinger expect one of them, if not more, to launch a presidential bid after the 2022 midterms. While all three are nationally known to some degree, their goal would not necessarily be to win the presidency. Above all, they want to hinder Trump’s return to the White House, at least compared with 2020, when his allies cleared the field of any Republican opponents and persuaded some states to cancel primary contests altogether.”

According to Kinzinger — a favorite target of Trump due to his participation on the House select committee investigating the Jan. 6, insurrection — “It’s there as an option, but it’s not necessarily because this is all some big plan so I can be in the White House. It’s looking and saying, ‘Is there going to be a voice out there that can represent from that megaphone the importance of defending this country and democracy and what America is about?’ There certainly, I’m sure within the next year or so, will be a point at which you have to make a decision.”

“If it’s not me doing anything, certainly we’ll be all in for whoever can represent us,” he predicted.

The report goes on to note, “Several former Trump loyalists who have emerged as on-again, off-again Trump critics are also eyeing the GOP’s next presidential nomination. Among them: former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, former Vice President Mike PenceFlorida Gov. Ron DeSantis and former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley. But most in this group have offered Trump far more praise than criticism, leaving the likes of Cheney, Hogan and Kinzinger as the only consistent Trump antagonists in the 2024 conversation.”

Critics respond to EPA’s plan to rein in trucking pollution

long-awaited rule to reduce dangerous emissions from heavy-duty trucks and buses was announced by the Biden administration earlier this week. Climate and environmental justice advocates say the proposal isn’t enough.

In particular, critics are frustrated that the administration is looking to gradually curb diesel exhaust pollution as opposed to advancing zero-emission vehicles.

“The Biden administration can set a course to rapidly shift to zero emissions trucks, and they should use every available tool to do so and protect public health,” said Angelo Logan, campaign director of the Moving Forward Network, in a statement.

The 72 million Americans who live near truck freight routes are routinely exposed to air pollution that causes a wide range of health problems. While the EPA’s proposal would reduce smog-forming emissions from trucks by up to 60 percent by 2045, advocates say people will still suffer, and that’s not acceptable. 

“It misses the opportunity to advance zero emission trucks at the pace needed to address the urgent public health crisis facing environmental justice communities,” said Patricio Portillo, a transportation analyst with the Natural Resources Defense Council, in a statement.

Climate advocates also faulted the administration for not doing more to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. While the EPA’s plan does tighten greenhouse gas emission standards for certain types of vehicles, the agency will wait to pursue stronger standards for heavy-duty trucks later, in a separate proposal.

The EPA intends to finalize the plan announced Monday by the end of 2022. The agency is accepting public comments until mid-April.

“We will be urging the Biden administration to rethink its approach and set an ambitious course,” said Paul Cort, director of Earthjustice’s Right to Zero campaign, in a statement. “EPA’s new trucks rule could do so much more to set us on the right path and electrify the dirtiest vehicles on the road.”

How this tiny Christian college is driving the right’s nationwide war against public schools

The mood in Costa Mesa on Feb. 2 was more love bomb than fire bomb: yet another school board meeting packed with impassioned parents. But this time they’d come out, on a mild Southern California evening, not to let the board know how angry they were, but how delighted. 

The parents who rose to speak at the monthly meeting of the Orange County Board of Education weren’t shouting about mask mandates, vaccine requirements, trans kids on sports teams or books about racism. They didn’t have to. Instead, mother after mother, with young children in tow or on their hips, came to the podium to say that their kids used to cry before going to school, but now were filled with confidence and wonder; that they had found a transformative community among the school’s other moms; that the teachers were giving their children “the best education in the entire country.” 

One former homeschooler said she’d always sworn to keep her kids out of public school, but the one they attended now had changed all that. One father was moved to talk about sunsets in explaining how the school’s mission was uniquely equipped to guide children toward goodness, beauty and truth. From the dais, the board members beamed back at the parents, and when a lone trustee protested that they should address a conflict of interest that appeared to undermine the entire proceedings, the audience burst into laughter and the trustee’s colleagues, amid jokes, voted her down. 

The school under discussion that night wasn’t a regular public school. It was a recently-launched charter called the Orange County Classical Academy (OCCA), which is funded with taxpayer money but follows a private school-like curriculum centered “on the history and cultural achievements of Western civilization” and an ambiguous mission to instill “virtue.”

The public face of OCCA is its charismatic co-founder, Dr. Jeff Barke, a Newport Beach “concierge physician” who gained national notoriety as one of the most outspoken skeptics of pandemic public health policies and has voiced vitriolic opposition to today’s public schools. 

Barke’s wife Mari, as it happens, is president of the Orange County Board of Education, which was deciding whether to allow OCCA to expand to new campuses throughout the affluent suburban county of nearly 3.2 million people. (That was the evident conflict of interest that sparked laughter from the crowd.) Although Orange County is more a purple than a deep-red jurisdiction these days, that board is dominated by a conservative majority, swept into power over the last several years thanks to an unprecedented influx of right-wing cash. 

RELATED: Republicans’ war on education is the most crucial part of their push for fascism

But OCCA isn’t only a school, or even a network of schools. It’s just one facet of a national movement driven by the vision and curriculum of Hillsdale College, a small Christian school in southern Michigan that has quietly become one of the most influential entities in conservative politics. 

In an era of book bans, crusades against teaching about racism, and ever-widening proposals to punish teachers and librarians, Hillsdale is not just a central player, but a ready-made solution for conservatives who seek to reclaim an educational system they believe was ceded decades ago to liberal interests. The college has become a leading force in promoting a conservative and overtly Christian reading of American history and the U.S. Constitution. It opposes progressive education reforms in general and contemporary scholarship on inequality in particular. It has featured lectures describing the Jan. 6 insurrection as a hoax and Vladimir Putin as a “hero to populist conservatives around the world.” 

If you wonder what conservatives hope to install in place of the books they’re trying to ban, the answer often lies in Hillsdale’s freely-licensed curricula.

If you thought that Donald Trump’s 1776 Commission — a jingoistic alternative to the New York Times’ “1619 Project” that was roundly panned by historians — died with his presidency, that effort is now being amplified and exported, on a massive scale, around the country. If you wonder what conservatives hope to install in place of the books they’re trying to ban, the answer often lies in Hillsdale’s freely-licensed curricula. 

And as Republicans move into a new phase of their long-game efforts to privatize public education, Hillsdale has become a key resource. Across the nation, conservative officials from state leaders to insurgent school board members are clamoring to implement Hillsdale’s proudly anti-woke lesson plans, including the “patriotic education” premises of its recently released 1776 Curriculum, or add to its growing network of affiliated classical charter schools. 


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In late January, Tennessee Gov. Bill Lee, a Republican, used his State of the State address to tease the most ambitious Hillsdale-inspired plan to date: building as many as 50 new charter schools in partnership with the college; using its 1776 Curriculum to foster what Lee calls “informed patriotism”; and launching a university civics institute to combat “anti-American thought.” 

As Hillsdale’s president likes to say, “Teaching is our trade; also, I confess, it’s our weapon.”

These linked trends amount to a vision of things to come if Republicans win their current war on public education. And war is how they see it. As one Republican leader promised at Hillsdale last spring, if conservatives can “get education right,” they’ll “win” the country “back.” Or as Hillsdale’s president himself likes to say, “Teaching is our trade; also, I confess, it’s our weapon.” 

*  *  *

In the video that introduced most Americans to Jeff Barke, the doctor stands on the steps of a municipal building in Riverside, California, in May 2020, wearing green scrubs and a white lab coat and claiming to speak for thousands of silenced medical workers who believed the experts were wrong about COVID. In Barke’s improbable telling, the video was an accident: He asked his wife to take a picture of him addressing the anti-lockdown rally for their adult children, but she inadvertently hit her phone’s “record” button. The resulting footage was too large to email, so they posted it to Facebook instead, and the rest was unintentional history. 

The video went viral, and Barke began meeting fellow “freedom fighters” around the country. He helped organize America’s Frontline Doctors, the right-wing group that became famous that July when around a dozen of its members stood before the Supreme Court, again in white coats, to call for reopening the country without delay. As later became clear, America’s Frontline Doctors was organized in cooperation with the Trump campaign, and Barke’s supposedly accidental activism was no more organic. 

Barke has been involved for years in right-wing politics in and around Orange County, a realm of beaches and upscale suburban sprawl that has been a centerpiece of American pop culture and is perceived as the birthplace of modern conservatism. Those 948 square miles south and east of Los Angeles are the “Nixonland” that helped create the prosperity gospel and served as the case study for Lisa McGirr’s seminal history “Suburban Warriors.” It’s the place, Ronald Reagan often said, where “good Republicans go to die.” 

Jeff Barke is a member of Orange County’s Republican Central Committee and the conservative donor organization the Lincoln Club. When Mari Barke was a delegate at the 2016 Republican National Convention, Jeff and their son attended as alternates, wearing matching stars-and-stripes suits. For 12 years, Jeff Barke was a member of the Los Alamitos school board, where he led a successful effort to require that a new course on environmental science also include dissenting opinions about climate change. 

Barke also became a combative presence on social media, calling for fast-tracking herd immunity through widespread virus infection, and suggesting that masking children is child abuse.

But in 2020, he graduated from local activism to national right-wing stardom as one of the most provocative voices around pandemic policy. He wrote a book, “Covid-19: A Physician’s Take on the Exaggerated Fear of Coronavirus,” with a foreword by Dennis Prager, co-founder of the right-wing video outlet PragerU. (Its fifth edition was published last month.) Barke also became a combative presence on social media, under the handle @rxforliberty, calling for fast-tracking herd immunity through widespread virus infection, and suggesting that masking children is child abuse. 

In one livestream interview, Barke whipped out a Sig Sauer pistol, describing it as his preferred pandemic protection. More recently, he has compared widespread COVID testing to unnecessary breast biopsies for healthy women. 

Although the Barkes are Jewish, Jeff undertook a regional mini-tour of megachurches that refused to shut down during the early days of the pandemic, and befriended a number of high-profile evangelical leaders, such as Chino megachurch pastor Jack Hibbs (himself somewhat notorious for blaming the violence of the Capitol insurrection on removing “God from the courts and from the schools”). The headmaster Barke hired to run OCCA is a member of Hibbs’ congregation. For her part, Mari Barke is a former Trump 2016 campaign volunteer and an adviser to the Unity Project, a conservative coalition formed in 2021 to oppose vaccine mandates that has since become involved in the U.S. “trucker convoy” protesting pandemic restrictions (although Mari says she has no involvement with that effort). 

Along with all this advocacy, Jeff Barke was also working to get his school up and running, and the two campaigns appear strongly connected. Amid his short viral speech in Riverside, he pulled out a pocket version of the Declaration of Independence and Constitution, telling the crowd they were written to restrain the government, not the people. The booklet, he later explained, was published by Hillsdale, where his son — after taking a break to work for Trump’s Department of Agriculture — is an undergraduate. 

In an interview, Jeff Barke told me that attending multiple parents’ weekends at Hillsdale had led him to see the school as “a beacon of liberty” that is “fighting to return America back to its founding roots.”

Attending multiple parents’ weekends at Hillsdale had led Barke to see the school as “a beacon of liberty” that is “fighting to return America back to its founding roots.”

In appreciation, the Barkes became members of Hillsdale’s top-tier donor “President’s Club,” and were listed on Hillsdale’s website as members of its Parents Association Steering Committee. (In an interview with Salon, Mari Barke said she turned the invitation down, but her election biography includes the committee as one of her volunteer affiliations.) It was also through Hillsdale that Jeff Barke became friends with Tea Party activist Mark Meckler, cofounder of the right-wing group Convention of States, which seeks to hold an Article V convention that could lead to rewriting the U.S. Constitution, and where Jeff holds the puzzling title of “head physician.”

In 2018, Jeff Barke lost his seat on the Los Alamitos school board, which his critics say was the result of controversial positions, such as his advocacy of climate-change denialism, although he blames a campaign against him by the local teachers’ union. But as he later told Hibbs’ church, “God had bigger plans.” In that same year, Mari Barke was elected to the Orange County Board of Education (OCBE) on a platform of “school choice and parental rights.” Her campaign amassed an unheard-of war chest of around $425,000, more than half of that donated by the Charter Public Schools PAC. She also benefited from the support of the California Policy Center (CPC), a state-level affiliate of the State Policy Network, a coalition of more than 150 right-wing groups that promote model conservative legislation. According to a 2018 lawsuit, a CPC offshoot hired Mari Barke — shortly before she announced her OCBE candidacy — to instruct an ESL course for some of its Spanish-speaking pro-charter parent activists, thus enabling her to campaign “as a teacher.” Today, she serves as the director of a CPC initiative that provides conservative policy analysis and training to state and local politicians. 

Through his wife’s campaign, Jeff Barke got to know Mark Bucher, the California Policy Center’s co-founder and a fellow member of the Lincoln Club. Bucher had been involved in local education politics for decades, promoting a series of school privatization and charter initiatives and using funds from far-right Christian philanthropist Howard Ahmanson to orchestrate a mid-’90s conservative takeover of the Orange Unified School Board — one of the county’s 28 independent school districts, in and around the city of Orange (a different elected body than the OCBE). But by 2019, Barke said, Bucher had developed “a vision about classical education.” Barke told him about Hillsdale, and history was made again. 

*  *  *

For decades, 1,500-student Hillsdale College — a liberal arts school in rural southern Michigan, founded by Baptist abolitionists in 1844 — has been known as a “citadel of conservatism.” Its campus features prominent statues of Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher, its curriculum leans heavily into the Western canon of “Great Books” and it describes itself as “a trustee of modern man’s intellectual and spiritual inheritance from the Judeo-Christian faith and Greco-Roman culture.” 

In the 1980s, the college earned right-wing adulation for refusing to accept any federal funding, including student aid, to maintain its “independence in every regard”; in practice, this means it doesn’t have to comply with federal regulations, such as Title IX prohibitions on sex discrimination or the reporting of student racial demographics. (In 2013, Hillsdale president Larry Arnn complained to a Michigan legislative committee about state officials visiting campus to assess whether the student body included enough “dark ones.”) Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas once summoned up Reagan and American colonist John Winthrop in calling Hillsdale a “shining city on a hill.” 

Throughout the Trump years, there was a virtual revolving door that shuttled Hillsdale staff and alumni back and forth between the school, the White House and Capitol Hill.

But in recent years, Hillsdale has greatly expanded its influence, becoming one of the most significant actors in U.S. conservative politics — if also one of the least conspicuous. Throughout the Trump years, there was a virtual revolving door that shuttled Hillsdale staff and alumni back and forth between the school, the White House and Capitol Hill. (Vanity Fair described the college as “a feeder school for the Trump administration.”) Right-wing politicians and thought leaders vie to give speeches at Hillsdale, which are then disseminated to a claimed audience of 6.2 million through the school’s monthly publication, Imprimis. 

Arnn, who has led the school for the last 22 years, is a Churchill scholar from Arkansas with a penchant for folksy and antiquated diction. For him, college is “a hoot,” freshmen are “little wigglers,” his sons (affectionately) are “wastrels,” and the emotional namesake patron of Hillsdale’s charter school program, conservative philanthropist Stephen Barney, is (also affectionately) “a blubber baby.” Arnn came to the college in 2000, in the wake of a shocking scandal that appeared to threaten Hillsdale’s future. (The previous president allegedly had an affair with his son’s wife, who subsequently killed herself.) 

But Arnn’s mission went well beyond restoring stability. He was co-founder and later president of the Claremont Institute, an influential right-wing think tank that has spent the last six years trying to ret-con an intellectual platform for Trumpism and is also home to John Eastman, the law professor who tried to convince Mike Pence to throw out electoral votes and overturn Trump’s defeat. Given those connections, Arnn seemed destined to deepen the school’s ties to the conservative movement. He has succeeded, probably more than he could have expected.

RELATED: Right-wing authoritarianism is winning — but higher education is where we can fight back

In 2009 Hillsdale hired right-wing activist Ginni Thomas, the wife of Justice Thomas, to help the college launch a Washington campus on Capitol Hill, across the street from the Heritage Foundation (where Arnn is a board member). From that facility, which inspired a 2018 Politico feature entitled “The College that Wants to Take Over Washington,” Hillsdale initially ran a joint fellowship program for senior congressional staff with Heritage and the Federalist Society.

The school’s cheerleaders have included many of the biggest names in right-wing media, including the late Rush Limbaugh, Mark Levin and Hugh Hewitt.

Ben Domenech, founder of right-wing publication The Federalist, has used a studio at Hillsdale’s Washington campus to record his podcast, and Federalist editor in chief Mollie Hemingway teaches journalism there. Michael Anton, a former Trump White House adviser and author of the notorious essay, “The Flight 93 Election,” which made an apocalyptic case for the necessity of electing Trump, has joined Hillsdale’s Washington staff to lecture on politics. The school’s cheerleaders have included many of the biggest names in right-wing media, including the late Rush Limbaugh, Mark Levin and Hugh Hewitt, who for years has run a weekly interview series with Arnn and other Hillsdale faculty members that now includes hundreds of episodes.

Arnn endorsed Trump in 2016 (along with a number of Hillsdale staff, who dominated a group endorsement titled “Scholars & Writers for America“) and was on the short list to serve as Trump’s secretary of education. The new president of course picked Betsy DeVos instead, and she too has Hillsdale ties. Her brother Erik Prince, founder of the “military contractor” company previously known as Blackwater USA, is a Hillsdale graduate, and her family’s foundations have made extensive donations to Hillsdale over the years. For a small liberal arts school, it has amassed an astonishing endowment of more than $900 million.

DeVos is philosophically aligned with Hillsdale’s mission as well. In 2001, she called on conservative Christians to embrace the Republican “school choice” agenda as a more efficient means of advancing “God’s Kingdom” than merely funding private Christian schools, since, as she told one group of wealthy believers, “everybody in this room could give every single penny they had, and it wouldn’t begin to touch what is currently spent on education every year in this country.” Nineteen years later, in a speech at Hillsdale shortly before the 2020 election, DeVos invoked Dutch theologian Abraham Kuyper (perhaps questionably) to argue that government should have little role in education and parents should be able to direct taxpayer funds to private schools. 

RELATED: Fighting back against CRT panic: Educators organize around the threat to academic freedom

Two months later, Arnn was tapped to lead Trump’s 1776 Commission, drafting a blueprint for “patriotic education” as a rebuttal to  “The 1619 Project.” (The vice president of Hillsdale’s Washington operations was also appointed to serve as the commission’s executive director.) Although President Biden disbanded the commission the day he took office, Hillsdale released a closely related project last July: the 2,425-page 1776 Curriculum, offered as a free download on the school’s website. In his own speech at Hillsdale in September, former secretary of state and potential 2024 presidential candidate Mike Pompeo called for the curriculum to “be taught each place and everywhere.” 

Hillsdale’s alumni are not unanimously happy with the direction Arnn has taken the school. Julie Vassilatos, who attended Hillsdale in the ’80s, said that in those heady Reagan days, the school was certainly a world unto itself, “but not like Republican bubbles are now. I don’t know if I can get this across — it wasn’t insane.” 

The first signs of a shift were visible, says one Hillsdale alum, when students began trickling in from homeschooling “survivalist” families.

By the time Vassilatos neared graduation, she said, the first signs of a shift were visible, as students began trickling in from homeschooling “survivalist” families. Nevertheless, Arnn’s endorsement of Trump left her speechless. “When I was there, it was very ideologically oriented in a Great Books kind of way, towards ‘the higher things,’ ‘the permanent things,’ ‘the good, the true and the beautiful.’ So I have never been more shocked in my life than that they went for Trump, because he’s the absolute opposite of everything I thought I was taught in college.” 

Another alumnus, Tennessee writer and podcaster Sam Torode, who graduated in the late-’90s, likewise saw Arnn’s support for Trump — particularly his 2020 re-endorsement, after the first impeachment, the family separation crisis and Charlottesville — as “a betrayal of everything I learned at Hillsdale.” When Arnn’s 1776 Commission released its report less than two weeks after the Jan. 6 attack, Torode drafted an open letter, signed by a few dozen former students, chastising Arnn for promoting the project in the immediate aftermath of “the greatest threat to the Constitution and America’s representative democracy in our lifetimes.” 

But Hillsdale’s actual and planned expansion is much broader than its direct links to political power. In 2020, the college began building a Center for Faith and Freedom in a replica Monticello mansion in Connecticut, donated to the school along with a $25 million endowment by Friendly’s restaurant magnate S. Prestley Blake. 

In December, Hillsdale launched a new Washington project, the Academy of Science and Freedom, to highlight the arguments of three prominent COVID-19 skeptics, including Dr. Scott Atlas, Trump’s former pandemic adviser. In recent months Hillsdale has acquired a sizable tract of land outside Sacramento as part of plans to establish an education center in California. It’s adapting its curricula for homeschooling parents and this year will launch a master’s program to train teachers to staff its charter schools. Arnn recently said that South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem offered to build Hillsdale “an entire campus” in that state. 

Next: How Hillsdale’s charter schools empower stealth public funding for “religious ideology” and a deeply conservative view of American history and society 

Read more of Kathryn Joyce’s reporting on the far right:

Is America the “world’s greatest democracy”? In 2022, we don’t even crack the top 50

Nations are built on myths and lies — mixed, of course, with bits of the truth. The United States is no different, but our nation’s myths and lies are more extravagant than most: America, we are told to believe, is an “exceptional” or “indispensable” nation, the world’s greatest democracy, a shining city on a hill.

Those beliefs are delusional, sometimes to the extreme. While the American experiment in democracy is historically important, for most of its existence the United States was an overtly racist nation whose democracy was defined by exclusion: First and foremost the exclusion of Black people and women, but also the exclusion of Native Americans, many nonwhite immigrant groups and poor people in general.

Furthermore while claiming to be an exceptional nation and the world’s greatest democracy, the U.S. has consistently supported authoritarian and antidemocratic regimes around the world whenever that was deemed to serve the “national interest.”

Political scientists and other scholars have shown that the U.S. is currently organized as a plutocracy, in which elected officials are highly responsive to the interests and demands of large corporations and the richest Americans while routinely ignoring the democratic will of the majority.

RELATED: Are we normalizing the “death of democracy” by talking about it so much? Definitely not

So-called democratic institutions, most notably the U.S. Senate and the Electoral College, grant disproportionate political representation (and therefore disproportionate power and influence) to overwhelmingly white and overwhelmingly rural “red states,” as compared to the far more populous and more diverse “blue states.” California has 55 members of Congress, representing nearly 40 million people. Wyoming has three members, representing fewer than 600,000 people.

The U.S. Supreme Court, and the judiciary system as a whole, are also not representative of the country’s current demographics, values and beliefs, and has become increasingly driven by partisan division. Instead of being a voice for the voiceless and the less powerful, in the best spirit of the Constitution and the Bill of Rights, today’s Supreme Court is largely an agent of right-wing authoritarianism.

One of America’s two institutional political parties has been corrupted from within by a fascist movement that seeks to end multiracial democracy and replace it with a new form of Jim and Jane Crow American apartheid. In the wake of Donald Trump’s presidency and the coup attempt of Jan. 6, 2021, America is experiencing an existential democracy crisis, its most significant internal challenge since the Civil War. 

But the United States is by no means unique in this regard, as explained in “Freedom in the World 2022: The Global Expansion of Authoritarian Rule,” the new report from the international democracy watchdog Freedom House:

The present threat to democracy is the product of 16 consecutive years of decline in global freedom. A total of 60 countries suffered declines over the past year, while only 25 improved. As of today, some 38 percent of the global population live in Not Free countries, the highest proportion since 1997. Only about 20 percent now live in Free countries….

At the same time, democracies are being harmed from within by illiberal forces, including unscrupulous politicians willing to corrupt and shatter the very institutions that brought them to power. This was arguably most visible last year in the United States, where rioters stormed the Capitol on January 6 as part of an organized attempt to overturn the results of the presidential election. But freely elected leaders from Brazil to India have also taken or threatened a variety of antidemocratic actions, and the resulting breakdown in shared values among democracies has led to a weakening of these values on the international stage. It is now impossible to ignore the damage to democracy’s foundations and reputation.

The report also warns that the U.S. “has fallen below its traditional peers on key democratic indicators, including executive elections, freedom from improper political influence, and equal treatment of minority groups.” According to Freedom House’s ranking of democratic health and freedom, the U.S. rating has dropped by 10 points in the last decade, to 83 points out of a possible 100. That score puts the U.S. roughly 62nd in the world, below every major Western European nation (and many others as well) and about even with Panama, Romania and South Korea. On the specific measure of “political rights,” Freedom House now ranks the U.S. lower than such often-troubled nations as Poland, Bulgaria and South Africa, and only one point above Brazil.


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I recently spoke about this new report and other topics with Amy Slipowitz, a research manager for Freedom House who is co-author, with Sarah Repucci, of “Freedom in the World 2022.” In our conversation, Slipowitz explained why the United States is no longer regarded as one of the world’s leading democracies, and discussed America’s democracy crisis as part of a much larger global trend.

She warned that Trump’s coup attempt and the Capitol attack of January 2021 have greatly damaged America’s role as a leading democracy and served to encourage and inspire authoritarians and autocrats around the world. Slipowitz also discussed the collaboration of illiberal forces in a campaign against democracy on a global scale, which includes assaults on democratic institutions, civil society, education and the rights of marginalized groups, particularly women, immigrants and refugees, and the LGBTQ community.

This conversation has been edited for clarity and length.

Given all the ways that global democracy is under attack and in crisis, how are you feeling?

There is a great deal of pessimism right now about the state of the world. The beginning of 2022 only solidifies that. Our new report, which focuses on 2021, found that this was the 16th consecutive year of decline in global democracy. The trend is clearly not reversing and might actually be deepening.

Beyond the data, I think we know that something is horribly wrong and clearly getting worse. 

The decline is occurring not just in authoritarian countries but also in democracies. It is also taking place in those countries hovering between authoritarianism and a democratic system. It is clear that the majority of individuals around the world are being impacted by this trend. On the ground, this decline in democracy and freedom is impacting people’s political rights and civil liberties. The long-term decline in democracy is just more evidence that everyday people are really feeling the brunt of it. Eight out of 10 people live in what we at Freedom House would describe as a “partly free” or “not free” country. People who live in those societies are not able to access civil rights protections, freedoms of political participation and all the other rights and freedoms that they should be entitled to.

RELATED: Can American democracy escape the doom loop? So far, the signs are not promising

How does the global democracy crisis manifest on the day-to-day, on the local, experiential level, for people around the world?

It depends on the context. These conditions even vary from one authoritarian country to another. And one’s experiences also depend on who they are and what group they belong to within that country.

One example would be India. Democracy is in decline there. The people who are feeling the brunt of this are activists, independent journalists, civil society workers and academics. India’s ruling party, the BJP [a Hindu nationalist party], has really embraced a form of majoritarian rule. In keeping with that, the BJP is enacting discriminatory policies that target the country’s marginalized Muslim population as scapegoats. This is part of a larger plan by the BJP to advance its policy goals.

Turning to the United States, what can we say about America’s democracy crisis as compared to countries such as India, Brazil, Hungary and other prominent examples? How is America similar or different in that regard?

There is a growing illiberalism within democracies such as the United States, Brazil, India and Hungary. In those countries we are seeing internal forces that are undermining democratic institutions. Moreover, those countries’ democratic institutions are being undermined from within by elected officials. One obvious example would be how, in the United States, Trump and his supporters have claimed that Joe Biden did not win the 2020 presidential election and that the results were fraudulent. 

That kind of rhetoric has been echoed in places like Brazil, where Jair Bolsonaro is up for re-election in October. He’s already laying the groundwork to claim fraud if he does not win. His claims include casting doubt on electronic voting machines.

One other common trend is how elections are being undermined, where credible outcomes are being attacked by illiberal figures who try to cast doubt on the entire democratic system.

Media freedom is also being attacked. Hungary is a great example, where the Fidesz party has really consolidated control over media outlets, and many have been acquired by government-friendly companies or allies of [Prime Minister] Viktor Orbán. The media’s independence is under siege. Something similar is also taking place in Poland.

RELATED: Tucker Carlson’s Hungarian rhapsody: A far-right manifesto for the “demographic war”

In total, illiberal actors in all of these countries have different tools they can use to undermine democratic institutions, including election integrity, judicial independence and media freedom. All have pressured these pillars in some way, though through different tactics. It may be through harassment of journalists, judges and election workers; through consolidating ownership of media outlets; through packing courts with loyalist judges, or many other means. 

What about the attacks by illiberal and other right-wing forces on pluralism and civil society? Specifically, on the human and civil rights of ethnic and racial minorities, on the LGBTQ community or on women’s rights?

In the new report, we highlight a dynamic we describe as “autocratic collaboration.” This is where we see collaboration by individuals and groups within a democracy to undermine that country’s democratic norms, principles and institutions. One way that is manifesting is through so-called family-values attacks on LGBTQ rights, women’s reproductive rights and freedoms, and other areas of bodily autonomy and freedom. This is a common feature of illiberal forces, as covered in our new report.

Language such as “illiberal” or the “global right” can perhaps be confusing for the general public. Is there more precise or more transparent language that can be used to describe this democracy crisis?

Rather than trying to focus too much on specific phrases or words that accurately capture what is taking place, I believe it is more important to talk about what democracy actually means, not just in the United States but around the world.

The term “democracy” has really been co-opted. For example, China and Russia claim that they are “democratic” when that is clearly not true. We really need to clarify what democracy actually is. One of the ways that can be done is through better civics education and other initiatives. Making sure that people around the world understand what democracy means, and why it is the best system for a society and governance and one that does the best job of protecting people’s rights, is very important.

OK, so in that spirit: What is democracy?

All too often democracy can get conflated with “free and fair elections” or at least credible elections. There are so many more components to democracy. Democracy is not just being able to vote freely or participate in politics. It is also the different mechanisms that can be used to hold the leaders of a country accountable for their actions.

RELATED: Democracy vs. fascism: What do those words mean — and do they describe this moment?

One example would be a system of checks and balances where the legislative branch can check executive power. An independent judiciary is another element. There also need to be counterbalances and checks outside of government, such as independent journalism. In total, there is a need for a healthy and robust civil society. There also needs to be government transparency, freedom of expression, freedom of association and the rule of law. A healthy democracy encompasses a range of elements.

The Republican Party and Donald Trump attempted a coup on Jan. 6, 2021. The Republicans and their allies are continuing to attack voting and civil rights as part of an effort to end multiracial American democracy. How do we locate those events, relative to the global democracy crisis?

The United States is a country that people around the world look to for examples of what is and is not acceptable. If a military leader in some other country sees that, in the United States, certain forces are undermining the outcomes of democratic elections, that gives said military leader cover to say, “Oh well, it’s being done in the United States, so I can do the same or even worse.”

If American democracy is under attack at home, it really diminishes the credibility that the United States has in its leadership on the international stage and its ability to promote democracy around the world. Ultimately, it is really important for not just the United States but other democracies as well to look to their domestic shortcoming, given that the impact can be international.

RELATED: Republicans would “rather end democracy” than turn away from Trump

What does the data reveal about the claim that America is the “world’s greatest democracy”?

As determined by Freedom House, the United States has declined by quite a bit over the last decade. In our measurements of democracy that would be 10 or so points over the last decade, which is quite considerable. At present the United States is no longer alongside its traditional peers such as the United Kingdom and Germany. Democracy in the United States is now more like those in countries such as South Korea or Croatia. This reveals how much has happened internally in the United States over the last 10 years to weaken its democracy. But for better or worse, democracy’s advocates — and its detractors — still observe what happens in the United States very closely, and take what is happening there to advance their own interests.

What are some of those specifics about the decline in America’s ranking?

There are a number of things. I will focus on what we saw this past year. One is a rise in political violence and threats. Academic freedom is also under attack. Other issues include a lack of government transparency, the politicization of the judiciary and negative treatment of migrants and asylum seekers.  

What happens to a democracy when political violence becomes normalized?

Our new report flags the upcoming midterm elections and also the 2024 elections as possible flash points for violence. That conclusion is based on what we are seeing at present, with growing political polarization and the violence and threats that come along with it.

Political violence can reveal the cracks in a political system, one that was never strong to begin with or that has deteriorated over time. Democracy takes constant work. A democracy cannot just arrive at a certain point and then everything is somehow OK. It is important to consistently assess how your democracy is doing, and find the weak points and then figure out a plan to concretely address them.

Once a democracy begins to decline, can that trajectory be altered, or does that become a type of path dependency?

It is much easier to tear things down than to build them back up and improve upon them. There is a lot of work ahead, but I am an optimist. It is part of my nature. One of the measures that can be taken to reverse this long-term decline in democracy is global collaboration. Democracies really need to come together and stand up to authoritarian leaders. Democracies also need to stand up to the would-be autocrats in their own countries as well.

What can the average person do in this fight to save democracy?

Individuals need to educate themselves about events in their own country and around the world. Learn how autocrats and other illiberal forces are trying to suppress human rights and freedoms. Knowledge is important for resistance. Advocating for local democratic governance is also really important. The grassroots are very important for a strong democracy. People should also find ways to contribute to the democratic health of their own communities: Civil society is local too. It might feel small, but it will have an impact.

If American democracy were a patient who came to you for treatment, what would your diagnosis be?

There is significant damage to the organs, but there is medication that might help the patient pull through and recover. The patient is critical and will need to stay in the hospital for quite a while and go through a lot of rehabilitation. There is no quick fix here, and we need to get at the root of the problem.

How American political polling got messed up

When was the last time your phone rang and a person conducting a poll asked to survey you?

The chances are very good that, if this has happened at all, it is a very rare occurrence. Perhaps more importantly, there is a high probability that you refused to take the poll, or missed the call. That would put you in the company of millions: because most people prefer to not be surveyed, polls are not as reliable as they experts would like them to be. 

Sometimes, polls can be even be used to manipulate public opinion — rather than simply measuring it.

So why polls have these reliability issues? Understanding that requires going back to that hypothetical polling phone call.

RELATED: The power of the Big Lie: Why do 30% of Americans cling to Trump’s dark fantasy?

“A major reason is the drop in response rates to pre-election polls, especially those conducted by phone using live operators and random-digit dialing techniques,” W. Joseph Campbell, a professor at American University, told Salon by email. Campbell had been asked why polls have been so unreliable as he recently authored a book called “Lost in a Gallup: Polling Failure in U.S. Presidential Elections.”

“Response rates have dropped to less than 10 percent in some cases, making it quite difficult for pollsters to obtain adequate samples,” Campbell added. He said that some pollsters are experimenting with a technique called “mixed mode” polling, where they blend methods of reaching out to people (for example, using both telephone numbers and the internet). It remains to be seen whether this will be more effective.


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This does not mean that polls are less reliable than they used to be, however. According to Joshua Dyck — a Professor of Political Science and Director of the Center for Public Opinion at the University of Massachusetts, Lowell — recent polling errors have not been particularly egregious by polling standards. They have simply stood out more because they coincided with two very noteworthy historical events: the presidential elections of 2016 and 2020. In both of those, Donald Trump was one of the candidates.

“The specific error was that the Trump vote was undercounted,” Dyck explained. It is concerning because it meant that polls unintentionally overstated the support for Democratic nominees Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden in those respective contests, and could have influenced public discourse and policymaking in unforeseen ways based on those faulty assumptions.

Later, the polling errors were seized upon by Trump supporters to create the narrative that things had somehow been fixed. Of course, there was no evidence for that — but once the narrative was set in the mind of many conspiratorial thinkers, the idea of a plot against them was hard to break, as it plays into Trump’s narrative that he and his followers are under siege from shadowy elites. 

Curiously, the persistent polling error seems to only occur in polling of Trump voters — suggesting that their behavior, as a group, isn’t modeled as accurately as pollsters would like. 

“Polls that haven’t included Trump have been quite accurate and not particularly biased,” Dyck continued. “Furthermore, my sense is that 2020 was an idiosyncratic election and very difficult to poll because of the rapid increase in convenience voting methods and since there was an increase in response rates of those who were social distancing and staying at home because of COVID. This may have biased polls away from Trump by 2 or 3 points (especially among Republican samples).”

As Campbell pointed out, the 2016 and 2020 elections had problems for different reasons. In 2016, there were polling errors specific to critical swing states like Wisconsin and Michigan, which gave Clinton an illusory edge in the electoral college. (She did, however, win the popular vote.) In 2020, a number of factors played a role in polls unintentionally undersampling Trump supporters, from inadequate methods to ideological hostility to pollsters. As a result, even though polls were generally correct about Biden winning the election, they overestimated his margin of victory. It was the worst polling mishap since the 1980 election, when polls gave President Jimmy Carter a better chance of being reelected than was actually the case.

This is not to say that polls are only biased against Trump and his acolytes. The language of polls can have the effect of manipulating public opinion — for instance, overstating support for Trump through their language. One recent example is a Harvard Center for American Political Studies (CAPS)-Harris Poll which purportedly found that 62 percent of Americans said Putin would not have invaded Ukraine if Trump had been president, including 85 percent of Republicans and 38 percent of Democrats. While this would seemingly indicate that Americans have largely forgotten Trump’s attempt in 2019 to coerce Ukrainian President Volodomyr Zelenskyy by withholding military aid the nation needed to protect itself from Russia (this resulted in his first impeachment), there is another possible explanation: The wording of the poll question itself.

“As I say, question-wording matters quite a lot. Elmo Roper, one of the founders of modern opinion research. said years ago: ‘You can ask a question in such a way as to get any answer you want,'” Campbell told Salon. “And it’s also true that polls may reflect more certainty on issues than respondents really have. Respondents may not be especially well-informed on issues, even major issues, but the way the poll questions are framed and results presented may suggest more certainty than there really is.”

This is not the only way in which political polls can be manipulative. Sometimes the manipulation is quite intentional.

“Now, where you need to be wary of this in politics is when a campaign releases an “internal poll” without releasing the whole survey,” Dyck wrote to Salon. “They may be releasing the results after testing messages about how much their candidates like puppies, apple pie and the stars and stripes. Usually these messages can get their candidate’s support to go up a few points in the poll, but that’s not real support — that’s hypothetical support that informs their campaign about the most effective messaging.”

Read more Salon articles about polling and polls:

The best things to buy at H Mart, America’s favorite Korean grocery store

I noticed there was a shift.

I started seeing Shin Ramyun everywhere in New York City — drugstores, supermarkets, and even corner bodegas. In a local dollar store in Washington Heights, I watched a girl rush out of line (“Will you save my spot?”) to grab a couple packs of the stuff, flashing a smile at me as she returned with the red squares, “I’m obsessed with these.”

I grew up with this Korean brand of instant ramen. It’s so iconic in Korean pop culture that, if there’s ever a food scene in a television drama, more often than not the character is eating Shin Ramyun out of this ramen pot. (Watch the members of K-pop sensation Girls’ Generation slurp Shin Ramyun for a whole 6-minute television segment.) To think that this grocery-store staple has become so ubiquitous would’ve been unfathomable back in the late ’80s and ’90s, especially where I grew up in the suburbs of Atlanta, Georgia.

But then again, so much has changed since then.

In 2004, H Mart came to Duluth, Georgia, and it was a sign that Korean immigrants had truly arrived. In that same year, the Italian restaurant where I had my first date with an old girlfriend became a Korean fried chicken restaurant, and the local Blockbuster turned into a Korean bakery. Koreans were finally establishing their own community in the predominately white Georgia suburbs of Fulton County — not just a place for them to shop for groceries, but also a communal space for them to see friends, neighbors, and fellow Koreans.

H Mart is to Korean immigrants in America as Patel Brothers is to Indian immigrants in America: a grocery store, of course, but also a marker of a moment in time and space, when a cultural need for belonging gave way to venture capital.

In the time since H Mart first opened back in 1982, Sandra Oh has won an Emmy, the word gochujang has been added to the dictionary, and Yakult has flown off the shelves because of a Netflix film based on a novel written by a Korean-American writer. Boy band BTS has taken over the world. Like these cultural moments, the ubiquity of H Mart, too, is a sign that Korean food is on its way to becoming mainstream.

And so, with unbridled excitement in my Korean-American heart, I offer you my veritable list of the very best things to buy at H Mart, America’s most-beloved Korean grocery store.

* * *

What to buy at H Mart

1. Short-grain white rice

It’s the first thing you’ll see when you walk in: a wall of short-grain rice options. My favorite brand is Kokuho Rose sushi rice — but just go for the cheapest. Fun fact: The packaging will all look Japanese, but that’s because most Korean rice is, historically, Japanese.

2. Kimchi

Contrary to popular belief, most Koreans don’t actually make their own kimchi. It might be a seasonal activity for certain home cooks, but many just buy their everyday stash at H Mart. Even my mother! That’s because H Mart makes perfectly good kimchi, as long as you wait till it ferments before eating (usually a couple weeks in the fridge, or if you’re really impatient, overnight on the counter). There are many varieties: kkakduki (“Country Style Cubed Radish Kimchi,” the label might read), chonggak (young “bachelor” radish), and regular cabbage kimchi (with or without oysters).

3. Instant ramen

Again, Shin Ramyun is the go-to, but I often get Shin Ramyun Black, which has thicker noodles and an extra seolleongtang bone broth soup mix packet that adds nice depth. Or sometimes I opt for Ichiban (beef flavor) because it’s what my mom would cook for my brother and me after long days at the pool. There are so many varieties and brands of instant noodles at H Mart that are worth exploring. My cousin Becky goes to H Mart just to see what’s new on the shelf: These days you can get instant jjajangmyeonjjamppong, and even carbonara-inspired ramen.

4. Roasted seaweed snack

Also known as gim, seaweed snack is Korean-style nori that’s been brushed with sesame oil, salted, then roasted. We ate it as a side dish growing up, or as a vehicle for leftover rice balls in the morning. As an adult, I’ve learned to incorporate it into my recipes because I find that it adds a nuanced salinity that salt or soy alone can’t provide. You’ll find it in my avocado toastdeviled eggs, and even scrambled eggs. The Great Wall of Gim at H Mart is proof enough of this pantry item’s lasting importance in the Korean diet.

The gim selection at H Mart takes up nearly an entire aisle.
The gim selection at H Mart takes up nearly an entire aisle. (Photo by Eric Kim)

5. Korean snacks, chips, and candies

My brother shops at H Mart for one thing and for one thing alone: the snacks. See below for a few of our personal favorites growing up: Goraebab, which translates to “whale food,” is an umami-packed tomato-flavored chip that’s dangerously good (1); Shrimp Flavored Cracker is a classic, and exactly what it sounds like (2); Sweet Potato Snack is a lovely sweet cracker studded with black sesame seeds (3); and Onion Flavored Rings are a cleaner-tasting Funyun (4).

1. Goraebab“Also, I never make it out without at least one thing of Hi-Chew,” Software Engineer Micki Balder tells me.

6. Korean ice cream

Korea has great ice cream, too. I’m particularly fond of the Samanco cake cone ice cream sandwiches filled with vanilla ice cream and sweet red bean (there’s also a strawberry version that I sometimes prefer). Another favorite is Melona, a soft, creamy ice pop flavored with honeydew. You can stock up on green tea and red bean ice cream at H Mart, as well — and don’t forget to leave without those little mochi ice cream bites.

5. Pantry staples and specialty ingredients (depending on who’s asking) 

H Mart is where I come to stock my Korean pantry: sesame oil, soy sauce, gochujang (red pepper paste), gochugaru (red pepper powder), black bean paste, tofu, and miso. They have a wide selection of Japanese pickles, as well, which are lovely to keep on hand. “I like to get containers of pickled ginger from the fridge section,” Lifestyle Writer Ella Quittner says. “I eat it as a snack, sometimes dipped in a bit of soy.”

Senior Social Media Manager Connor Bower buys those “large, teabag-like packets filled with dried anchovies, kelp, and shiitake mushrooms used to make anchovy stock two cups at a time.” Many a Korean recipe starts with anchovy stock, including tteokbokkigyeranjjim, and budae jjigae. “It’s been so useful to have on hand whenever I want to make one dish,” Connor admits, “as I’m not sure I’d be able to go through large quantities of the anchovies and kelp by myself.”

A miso for all of my personalities.
A miso for all of my personalities. (Photo by Eric Kim)

“I love buying the golden curry packets, fish balls, and fish sauce,” Account Manager Rebekah Daniels chimes in.

“I got amazing mushroom soy sauce when I was in Thailand,” VP of Finance Victoria Maynard adds.

Sweet chili garlic sauce,” Micki waxes lyrical. “That stuff tastes good on everything, but I especially like it lacquered on fish.”

9. Really fresh seafood

Speaking of fish, H Mart’s fish selection is very good. I love getting the individual salmon fillets — always center cut, but sometimes, if it’s available, I get the cheek and roast it low and slow. Tastes incredible with fresh white rice.

“I get my blue crabs from there,” says Sales Director Lizzie Greene. “They also have pre-packaged crabs with their roe and fat saved for making crab stock or butter.”

10. Bones for bone broth

One of my favorite Korean dishes is the aforementioned seolleongtang, a milky bone broth made from brisket and difficult-to-find cuts of beef, namely knee, leg, and shin bones. Head to the H Mart freezer section, where they sell these bones, labeled “Beef Bones,” either in large plastic bags or packaged like this.

11. Fruits and vegetables

My cousins and I joke that H Mart produce is twice the size of regular fruits and vegetables (but it really is, and often cheaper too). Plus, H Mart is a great source for the harder-to-find varieties like dragonfruit, jackfruit, papaya, durian, Korean Concord grapes, melons, and Asian pear. So don’t forget to stock up on fresh fruit while you’re there, and if you are one of those go-getters who plans to make their own kimchi at home, this is where you can buy all of that fresh napa cabbage and the FATTEST scallions you’ve ever seen.

Fancy prepackaged tropical fruit, I love you.
Fancy prepackaged tropical fruit, I love you. (Photo by Eric Kim)
Just two or three of these, paired with a bowl of white rice, and you've got yourself a whole meal.
Just two or three of these, paired with a bowl of white rice, and you’ve got yourself a whole meal. (Photo by Eric Kim)

12. Prepared banchan

There’s a whole wall of prepared foods and banchan, or small Korean side dishes, such as: pickled garlic, fried anchovies, spicy octopus and squid, spinach, black beans, lotus root, perilla leaf, seaweed salad, brined cod roe, and even little Korean-style omelets and pancakes, or jeon.

13. Frozen dumplings

Think: Trader Joe’s dumplings, but way better. And more variety, too: Korean mandoo, Japanese gyoza, Chinese baos and shumai, etc.

14. Home goods

Though this seems less intuitive, H Mart’s kitchen selection is pretty extensive. It’s where nearly every newly minted Korean adult will go to buy a couple of key items for a starter pack to life: a rice cooker and this lightweight plated aluminum pot (which brings water to a boil way faster than a regular pot, making it ideal for instant ramen). Also, stock up on pretty chopsticks, spoons, forks, and little rice and soup bowls. Or if you’re like me and secretly love kawaii things, don’t miss THIS totally cute cat tea cup!

Meow.
Meow. (Photo by Eric Kim)

More selections from the Food52 editors:

15. Frozen finger food destined for the air fryer 

Yawnnn. What’s that sound? It’s your air fryer, zapping up yet another batch of frozen french fries. You both deserve excitement, and excitement – in this scenario – is encased in the frozen snack aisle. Open one glass door, there’s the sweeties: steamed hoppang (red bean buns), hotteok (sweet cinnamon pancakes), and pre-roasted goguma (Korean sweet potato). Their savory next door neighbors will be mozzarella-filled corn dogs, different jeon (pancakes), and crispy seaweed rolls. In a move that makes any evangelist proud, most of these foods will come with package instructions on how to cook in the air fryer. 

16. Baking ingredients

In need of Blue Star mochiko flour? Ground sesame seeds? Canned red bean paste? Or how about ube condensed milk and coconut milk powder? From all the mochi in the world, soboro-ppang, and ube pie – it matters not what’s on deck for your next Asian baking project because you’ll find what you need in Hmart’s shockingly thorough baking aisle.

17. Tteok (Korean rice cakes)

Perhaps this is a no-brainer, but a trip to Hmart is incomplete without procuring a bag of tteok. There’s bound to be a few different brands offering identical cuts of tteokbokki-terrific cylinders, and flat moons at the beckon call for a bowl of cozy ttukguk. As long as the bag you choose is cryovac-sealed, giant, and the size and cut suits your needs, then I think any brand is fine. Tip: lightly char your tteok and dip them in a little honey. Quickest/squidgiest/cutest snack ever.

18. High-quality instant coffee mix

If that reads like an oxymoron, hear me out. Korean instant coffee mixes make weekday mornings a breeze. I love how it’s mild, a bit treacly, and it’s always a delight to see a small sprinkle of dry milk powder transform into creamy silky bliss. Mix into a cup of hot water and that’s it. Look for the yellow boxes labeled “Maxim” – in my opinion, it’s the best brand. In the summer, I opt for Kanu iced Americano coffee mix.

19. Fizzy, milky, refreshing drinks

More wonder walls. Should I seek an escape from my usual coffee, I head to the one lined with non alcoholic drinks. My love for banana milk will never fade no matter how time flies. Another childhood heirloom is Milkis, where delicate carbonation meets a lightly sweet milky base in a whimsical can. I’ll grab a bottle of roasted barley tea or the Bacchus energy drink when I’m looking for a soothing elixir.

20. All the alcohol to chase your (insert emotion here) away

And HMart would be remiss without a larder of alcoholic drinks – it’s a pretty well-known fact South Korea has a massive drinking culture. On a big lit up shelf, there’s a ton of soju and makgeolli (the fruity flavors are nice, and won’t taste like college), Asian beers and fancier liquors. Each bottle is typically no bigger than a plastic soda container, which is great for transport and because Asian alcohols tend to be S-T-R-O-N-G, small pours at a time go a very long way.

21. Lemona

What is Lemona you ask? Think of it as a hotter, sweeter, cooler, better version of Emergen-C. I use that lyrical descriptor because gracing most sachets of this citrusy Korean Vitamin C supplement will be none other than BTS. So if Lemona’s revitalizing antioxidants fail to save you from those seasonal blues (they won’t), looking at seven beautiful faces certainly will help.

5 of Salon’s best pie recipes for Pi Day (or any day of the week)

Pie transforms any meal into something special, according to pie expert, bakery owner and pastry chef Petra (Petee) Paredez.

“I think that one of the ways that pies transform a meal is that it’s a dessert that everybody shares, and we kind of want to share dessert,” Paredez said on Salon Talks in 2020. “When you’re at a restaurant, dessert is the thing you’re most likely to share.”

“And it’s this joyful sort of indulgence,” she continued. “It feels good to share as an experience with somebody.”

In honor of Pi Day — a holiday first celebrated by mathematicians in 1988 San Francisco as a nod to 3.14, the first three digits of the ratio of a circle’s circumference to its diameter — here are 5 of our favorite pie recipes from the Salon Food archives, ranging from new twists on classic flavors to bite-sized treats fit for a crowd. 

1. Maple-Butter Apple Pie

Paredez told Salon’s Joseph Neese that when it comes to fruit pies, “you want to just amplify the flavors that are already there.” Her maple-butter apple pie is a perfect example of this guiding principle. Maple syrup plays up the inherent sweetness of the peeled and sliced apples, while browned butter adds an extra dimension of caramelization that augments the warm baking spices traditionally found in apple pie like nutmeg, cinnamon and cardamom. 

Oh, and don’t leave off the cornmeal-nut crumb, which adds an addictive textural bite to the pie. 

RELATED: If you follow these four steps, you’ll get a perfect pie crust every single time

2. Salted Honey Chess Pie

When Salon’s Mary Elizabeth Williams dove into the cookbook “Black, White, and the Grey: The Story of an Unexpected Friendship and a Beloved Restaurant,” she kept pausing on the dish that “contained the highest volume of words that made [her] drool.”

That dish was salted honey chess pie. It’s a 10-ingredient wonder that comes together in no time. It’s also crust-optional, which is perfect for pie lovers who prefer not to mess with fiddly crust and blind baking. 

3. Crumbly Mini Banana Cream Pies

Looking for something in the bite-sized category? Try Williams’ crumbly mini banana cream pies, which are based on a cookie from the cult-favorite bakery Crumbl. 

“I was intrigued by the banana cream pie cookie,” she writes. “The thought of ‘creamy, smooth banana pudding stuffed into a buttery pie crust and topped with a vanilla wafer’ really called to me.” Her version cuts a few corners — including using pre-made crust and pudding — to get dessert on the table in no time. 

4. Old-Fashioned Coconut Pie

Bibi Hutchings‘ mom had a knack for creating beautiful desserts to gift on holidays or special occasions. It took Hutchings a little while to cultivate that same skill, but once she did, her mom’s coconut pie became a key part of that gift-giving rotation. 

“This easy-to-make pie bakes to a gorgeous golden color; and it’s never runny, always divine when it comes out of the oven,” she writes. ” In fact, it’s so pretty that you’ll be proud to gift it to even the most discriminating person on your list.” 

5. Southern Pecan Pie

“The perfect pecan pie (it’s pronounced ‘pah-KAHN,’ by the way) has been a longtime tradition in my family,” Hutchings writes.

This pecan pie is made from only 7 super traditional ingredients, including light Karo and melted butter. It’s best served warm alongside some bourbon-spiked coffee

Even more slices of pie to enjoy:

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The ever-surprising Pete Davidson is going to space as an “honorary guest”

Among the many surprising titles that Pete Davidson has held in the past year – from Kim Kardashian’s boyfriend to chicken cutlet connoisseur – you can add space traveler.

The “Saturday Night Live” star  is embarking on a journey to outer space next week thanks to Jeff Bezos and the New Shepard space program. He’ll join the fourth Blue Origin spaceflight with human passengers on March 23.

Blue Origin, the privately funded aerospace manufacturer and flight company founded by Bezos, has so far flown 14 passengers to space since its first human flight in July 2021, Axios reported. The inaugural flight included Bezos, his brother Mark Bezos, aviation pioneer Wally Funk and Dutch teenager Oliver Daemen, who was 18 years old at the time.

Other notable passengers include “Star Trek” star William Shatner, who became the oldest person to fly to space at 90, and ex-NFL star/television personality Michael Strahan, who took part in last December’s flight.  

RELATED: No, billionaires won’t “escape” to space while the world burns

According to Blue Origin, Davidson will be travelling with five additional crew members on the rocket: Party America CEO Marty Allen; president and CEO of a Florida-based real estate firm Marc Hagle and his wife, Sharon Hagle, founder of the nonprofit group SpaceKids Global; University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill professor Jim Kitchen; and the president of Commercial Space Technologies, Dr. George Nield.

If you notice that one of these things is not like the other, you’re right. Davidson is flying as an “honorary guest,” compared to the other paying customers.

The flight is scheduled for take off at 8:30 a.m. CDT from Van Horn, Texas. Passengers will fly approximately 62 miles above Earth’s surface, where they will experience a brief moment of complete weightlessness, before returning back home. Each passenger will also carry a postcard submitted to the Blue Origin’s Club for the Future, a nonprofit that strives to encourage future generations to pursue careers in STEM, per NBC’s TODAY. 


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Davidson’s space voyage announcement arrives just a few days after his relationship with Kim Kardashian became Instagram official amid his ongoing feud with Kardashian’s ex-husband, Kanye “Ye” West. Earlier this month, Ye uploaded a grim music video where he’s seen kidnapping, decapitating and burying alive a claymation versioln of Davidson. On Sunday afternoon, Davidson’s friend shared the pair’s lengthy text conversations on social media. The exchange offers an intimate look at their private conversations and even includes a photo of Davidson making a vulgar gesture on Kardashian’s bed.

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How the red panda became the face of cute rebellion, from “Turning Red” to “Aggretsuko”

In “Turning Red,” the Pixar-produced film airing on Disney+, a 13-year-old girl named Mei who lives in Toronto turns into a red panda whenever she feels a strong emotion, ranging from anger over her mother’s strict parenting to crushing on her and her friends’ beloved boy band, 4*Town. The red panda Mei poofs into is giant, bright orange-red and adorable, capable of turning even the mean girls at school into cooing, weeping fans. As Mei’s friend Abby says, pleading for her to turn into the creature so Abby can hug her: “Just a little hit! It’s so cute!” 

In this movie, as in life, teenage girls are onto something. Why are red pandas so irresistible? Athletic, pint-sized and fierce, they’re not even a “real” panda, and yet, they are also the best panda.

Related: What the fuzzy animals of Netflix’s “The House” can teach “Don’t Look Up” about climate anxiety

Mei’s panda is much larger than life (without giving any spoilers, so are some other animals in the film). Her jumbo size is part of the animal character’s appeal, like a blazing red Totoro. She has to duck to get into the bathroom at school, can barely fit in her own bedroom and ends up destroying quite a few things just by turning around. When Abby comes in for a hug, it’s like embracing a room full of fluff. 

As Mei becomes a red panda more and more, she becomes dexterous just like the real animals are — and unlike them, capable of performing the same 4*Town dance moves as her friends, her giant puffy tail wagging in time. How she navigates the world as a red panda — basically, having to relearn her own life in a new form — seems like a pretty good metaphor for adolescence. Suddenly in a different body, everything is changed. 

In reality, red pandas are on the petite side. According to National Geographic, they “typically grow to the size of a house cat, though their big, bushy tails add an additional 18 inches.” And like your fluffy house friend, they wrap those tails around themselves when they’re sleeping for extra warmth. Squee.

Red pandas need that blanket tail because their natural habitat (which is threatened) includes high altitudes, mountains in Nepal, China and Bhutan. Despite their cuteness, they’re hardy creatures, used to surviving in cold and snowy conditions. With thick fur even covering their feet, only their noses are exposed to the elements. They live much of their lives in trees, and as such, are excellent climbers. They use that cute ringed tail for balance too, along with cat-like claws and feet that can rotate 180 degrees

Take that, middle school bullies!

It was the climbing prowess of the red panda that allowed a real-life one to escape its enclosure in 2020 at the Columbus Zoo. Two-year-old Kora was a newcomer to Columbus (where I saw red pandas for the first time as a child), her athleticism, bravery and cunningness on display early as she first explored her enclosure. As documented on the National Geographic reality series “Secrets of the Zoo,” which also airs on Disney+, her keepers expressed concern as she headed immediately for the top of a chain link fence.

It just makes us feel better when she’s . . . in a tree,” one of the keepers said. 

In a short time, she would be, spotted by zoo visitors between the rhinos and the elephant building after going missing two days previously. Keepers thought she had escaped during a storm (it wouldn’t be the first time or the 10th time for a red panda). Portions of the zoo were blocked off, and keepers gathered below her, trying to persuade her to come down from the tree with treats. Kora climbed higher. 

Keepers brought in reinforcements in the form of her twin cubs. Kora had given birth only a month before and was still nursing, having been brought to the zoo to breed (her mate stayed complacently back in the enclosure). One of her cubs, perhaps prophetically, was named Bandit

Kora became an internet legend when keepers held her twins up, and she still refused to be lured down. She made this face, recognizable to many moms who have finally left the house and just want some alone time. In this tree is fine. 

Kora Bueller’s Day Off came to an end when the zoo decided to tranquilize her, and she fell uninjured 10 feet into a waiting net. But the story of her joyride lives on. So does her adorable, impish face. The Columbus Dispatch described her as “The 19-pound mammal, which is not considered dangerous, has striking red coloring and resembles a raccoon.”


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Perhaps it’s the “not considered dangerous” part that makes red pandas so endearing. You don’t expect them. They frequently have their tongues out. Little eyes shining, they look like they’re smiling. And yet, like a cat, their claws are semi-retractable and sharp enough to grab slick bark, to climb down from trees head-first, the only animals to do so. They eat mainly plants, including bamboo, but will also snack on bird eggs and small lizards. So, watch out! 

They seem like they have secret lives — and in fiction, they do: In Netflix’s “Aggretsuko,” a red panda office worker by day screams hardcore metal karaoke by night, like a fierce, fuzzy “Jem and the Holograms.” 

Scientists struggle with how to define them. As National Geographic writes, “The red panda has given scientists taxonomic fits. It has been classified as a relative of the giant panda, and also of the raccoon, with which it shares a ringed tail. Currently, red pandas are considered members of their own unique family — the Ailuridae.”

An animal that doesn’t seem to fit in anywhere — it makes sense that the young teen heroine of “Turning Red” would find herself as this creature; she’s still trying to find herself in general. And the absence of so-called “standing mythology” of the red panda is partially what attracted the filmmakers to the animal in the first place. “We wanted the space and the room to come up with a whole legend,” “Turning Red” director Domee Shi said.

A legendary rebel already, there’s nothing less about this so-called “lesser panda.” And as for Kora, the Columbus Zoo escapee? She awaits your call, Hollywood. 

“Turning Red” is streaming on Disney+.

More amazing animal stories

 

How 5G could send weather forecasting back to the 1970s

When you hear wireless internet providers talk about “expanding the 5G cellular Network,” your first thought is probably, “Oh good.” That’s because there’s a lot of wireless data streaming to the world’s many many smartphones, tablets, and laptops. But scientists are increasingly worried that all that mobile device bandwidth will come at a cost — our ability to forecast the weather quickly and accurately.

While most people know that they’re paying their wireless provider to connect them to the internet, they may not realize that wireless providers are tapping into a finite resource: a narrow band of radio frequencies known as spectrum (not the cable company). Spectrum-range radio wavelengths are unique for a few reasons. For one thing, they can transmit data through solid objects – such as the walls of your house or windows of your car – making them ideal for wireless communication. But they are also important because the Earth’s atmosphere naturally emits radio waves, which can be picked up by satellite sensors and translated into weather data like temperature and precipitation. 

The problem is, the radio wave frequency used by wireless cellular networks is similar to the ones used to monitor atmospheric conditions; the 24 GHz band is increasingly being used for telecommunications – notably for 5G cellular networks. The nearby 23.8 GHz band is reserved for scientific purposes, including weather satellites. As these two spectrum bands come under greater use, they can interfere, making the dissemination of weather and climate information slower and less accurate.

Wireless data bandwidth can be a bit like a highway in a growing city. Unless more highway lanes are added as the population grows, traffic will get worse. As more and more people receive wireless service, the signal can slow if companies don’t look to expand bandwidth for mobile devices. As a result, many companies are asking the Federal Communications Commission, or FCC, to auction off additional spectrum bands for wireless communications. 

But atmospheric scientists say auctioning off additional spectrum bands could reduce their ability to give communities a heads-up about extreme weather events like hurricanes and tropical storms — events in which time is of the essence in order to save lives.

“This would degrade the forecast skill by up to 30 percent,” said Neil Jacobs, former acting NOAA Administrator, in a 2019 federal hearing about interference between cellular and scientific spectrum bands. “This would result in the reduction of hurricane track forecast lead time by roughly two to three days.”

Precise and timely information about the weather is especially important in our age of extreme weather. In 2012, for example, the National Hurricane Center was able to give the state of Louisiana an accurate prediction for when and where Category 1 Hurricane Isaac would make landfall about two days in advance of the storm. The original warning came five days in advance but misestimated the location of the landfall by 250 miles. The two-day lead time still gave the Federal Emergency Management Agency and the state time to alert people about the risk and make evacuation orders. 

In the end, the storm resulted in about $612 million in damages and at least 5 deaths in the state. Without that forecast correction, it’s likely many more lives would have been lost. 

But getting a storm’s theoretical timing and trajectory right is notoriously tricky. Atmospheric water vapor – a crucial component in weather forecasting and climate modeling – primarily releases radiation in the 23.8 GHz frequency spectrum band. In a 2021 hearing before the House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology, David Lubar, Senior Project Leader of the Civil Systems Group at the Aerospace Corporation, described the water vapor monitoring as “trying to hear a whisper in San Francisco while standing 500 miles away in San Diego.” 

For this reason, federal law and international agreements state that the 23.8 GHz spectrum band should be reserved for earth science and radio astronomy observations only. Sensors on some satellite systems operated by the big federal agencies like the National Atmospheric and Ocean Administration, or NOAA, and National Aeronautics and Space Administration, or NASA, are designed to pick up these signals. Interference from adjacent spectrum bands — also known as “out-of-band” emissions —has been a concern of the remote sensing community for quite some time. For satellite sensors that rely on incredibly sensitive measurements to provide accurate weather forecasting data, this problem is magnified.

Scientists, however, have felt left out of the decision-making process as the FCC continues to auction off nearby spectrum bands for commercial uses.

“The FCC process is very complex and confusing for the scientific community, and most scientists do not have the resources available to them or advocates for such a process,” Bill Mahoney, Director of Research Applications Laboratory at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, said in the same hearing.

But there are things the government could do to limit spectrum band interference. Following a 2019 auction in which the FCC issued 2,904 commercial licenses to use the 24 GHz spectrum band, the commission proposed limits on spectrum interference. But these out-of-band emissions standards were significantly less stringent than what the scientific community had advocated for. 

As a result, experts say commercial spectrum interference could bring U.S. weather forecasting accuracy back to levels not seen since the 1970s. 

This loss in weather forecasting accuracy could also be quite costly. While the FCC’s 2019 auction of the 24 GHz spectrum band generated $2 billion in revenue for the Department of the Treasury, the costs from severe weather could be much greater. During the 2021 hearing, Mahoney noted that out-of-band emissions are degrading forecasting accuracy “during a period when our country is facing significant increases in billion-dollar weather disaster events.” 

With commercial spectrum allocation likely to continue, some proposals have been made to protect weather forecasting accuracy despite interference. The government could limit spectrum band interference. Similar to sound-proofing a studio to make sure you don’t bother your neighbors, “out-of-band” emissions can be reduced. In the 2021 hearing, Lubar recommended adding devices to satellite sensors that “would identify the interference contamination, do some significant computation on the spacecraft, and flag that data so that it doesn’t contaminate the downstream weather process.” Presently, however, there is no funding allocated for NASA’s or NOAA’s joint satellite missions to provide such an instrument.

A spectrum mitigation plan will likely be needed as the FCC is considering future proposals to share more bands. In particular, the agency is considering sharing the 1675 to 1680 MHz frequency band. That’s the same band used by NOAA’s Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite to provide real-time weather information – notably for severe weather and flooding.